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10/18/2023
Senior Vice President of Investor Relations, Ms. Goldstein, you may begin.
Thank you. Good morning, and welcome to Travelers' discussion of our third quarter 2023 results. We released our press release, financial supplement, and webcast presentation earlier this morning. All of these materials can be found on our website at travelers.com under the Investors section. Speaking today will be Alan Schnitzer, Chairman and CEO of Dan Fry, Chief Financial Officer, and our three-segment president, Greg Teslowski of Business Insurance, Jeff Clank of Bond and Specialty Insurance, and Michael Klein of Personal Insurance. They will discuss the financial results of our business and the current market environment. They will refer to the webcast presentation as they go through prepared remarks, and then we will take questions. Before I turn the call over to Alan, I'd like to draw your attention to the explanatory note included at the end of the webcast presentation. Our presentation today includes forward-looking statements. The company cautions investors that any forward-looking statement involves risks and uncertainties and is not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statement due to a variety of factors. These factors are described under forward-looking statements in our earnings press release and in our most recent 10Q and 10K files with the SEC. We do not undertake any obligation to update forward-looking statements. Also, in our remarks or responses to questions, we may mention some non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations are included in our recent earnings press release, financial supplement, and other materials available in the investor section on our website. And now I'd like to turn the call over to Alan Spencer.
Thank you, Abby. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Core income of $454 million for the quarter benefited from very strong underlying underwriting results and net investment income. was also impacted by elevated catastrophe losses and net unfavorable prior year reserve development. Mike will provide more context on the catastrophe losses. The unfavorable prior year reserve development was driven by the results of our annual asbestos review and our runoff book. The reserves in the ongoing businesses of all three segments developed favorably. We are very pleased with the underlying fundamentals of our business. Underlying underwriting income of $868 million pre-tax was up more than 40% over the prior year quarter, driven by record net earned premiums of $9.7 billion and a consolidated underlying combined ratio, which improved almost two points to an excellent 90.6%. The underlying combined ratios in our commercial segments remained excellent. Our business insurance segment once again delivered very strong results with an underlying combined ratio of 89.7%. The underlying combined ratio in our bond and specialty business was also excellent at 80.7%. Looking at the two commercial segments together, the aggregate BI-BSI underlying combined ratio was 88.3% for the quarter, among our best ever. In our personal insurance segment, the underlying combined ratio improved more than five points to 94.2% as a strong written rate from prior quarters is earning in. Our underlying results in personal insurance are improving and heading in the right direction. Turning to investments, our high-quality investment portfolio continued to perform extremely well, generating after-tax net investment income of $640 million, reflecting strong and reliable returns from our growing fixed income portfolio and solid returns from our non-fixed income portfolio. In terms of production, thanks to great execution by our colleagues in the field and the strong franchise value they have to sell, We grew net written premiums by $1.3 billion, or 14%, to a record $10.5 billion. In business insurance, we grew net written premiums by 16%, to $5.1 billion. Renewal premium change in the segment was very strong at 12.9%, driven by renewal rate change, which accelerated year over year and sequentially to 7.9%. Renewal rate change was higher sequentially in every line other than workers' comp, where overall renewal premium change remains positive and appropriate given returns in the line. For the segment, even with higher pricing at record levels, retention remained very strong at 87%, a reflection of a rational market. New business was strong and higher broadly across the segment. In bond and specialty insurance, we grew net written premiums to a record $1 billion, and achieved 91% retention of our high-quality management liability business and grew net written premiums in our industry-leading surety business by 13%. Given the attractive returns, we are very pleased with the strong production results in both of our commercial business cycles. In personal insurance, top-line growth of 14% was driven by higher pricing. Renewal premium change was 19.4% in our homeowners and other business, and increased to a record high 18.2% in our auto business. Another quarter of strong production across the board positions us well for the rest of the year and into 2024. We'll hear more shortly from Greg, Jeff, and Michael about our segment results. With the end of the year in sight and 2024 on the horizon and coming into focus, we feel very well positioned for what's ahead and quite confident. In our business insurance segment, written margins are expanding. Pricing has been strong, and the components of core goods inflation that impact our loss costs are moderating. Medical inflation in particular remains benign. Nonetheless, given the duration of relevant liabilities, we continue to incorporate medical inflation in our loss costs based on the higher, longer-term trends. In terms of the top line of business insurance, we're pleased that economic output and consumption so far remain robust. Given our leading workers' compensation business, we benefit in particular from the near 50-year low in unemployment, the prime age labor participation rate, which is at its highest level since 2007, and ongoing wage inflation, which contributes to premium growth and margins. As a result of strong pricing in recent years and higher fixed income NII, returns in this segment are currently attractive. Nonetheless, given the uncertainty generally in terms of weather volatility, economic and social inflation, the hardening reinsurance market, and the geopolitical landscape, we plan to continue pursuing strong price increases in both the property and casualty lines to achieve our overtime return objectives. Turning to our industry-leading bond and specialty business, we just reached a milestone $1 billion in net written premiums, and the returns are terrific. And as you've heard, results in our personal insurance business are headed in the right direction. Earned margins are improving, and additional price increases will earn in from here. We're very pleased with our targeted marketplace execution. Same time, inflationary pressures are moderating. In terms of the investment portfolio, with interest rates at their highest levels in recent memory, and most indications suggesting higher for longer, we are extremely well positioned. In the last five years, we've grown our very high quality investment portfolio by nearly $19 billion, or about 25%, to more than $90 billion. 93% of the portfolio is allocated to fixed income. As we look ahead to 2024, we expect our after-tax fixed income NII will be more than $2.6 billion. To ensure that our competitive advantages continue to distinguish us and fuel our performance, we will continue to invest in our ambitious and focused innovation priorities. We're spending more than a billion and a half dollars this year on technology, inside an excellent expense ratio and with a higher proportion allocated to strategic technology investments. We're confident that we're working on the right priorities, executing effectively, and that we'll see the benefits play out in growth and attractive returns going forward. Lastly, I'll share that we're recently back from one of the year's largest industry conferences where we met with many of our distribution partners. We left confident that we have the pole position with distribution in the United States and that we're positioned to support each other's strategic and marketplace priorities. We're committed to being their best partner and to offering the products and services that best serve our mutual customers. To sum it up, we remain very confident in the outlook for our business. I couldn't be more grateful to my 30,000 colleagues who show up every day committed to our culture, our standard of excellence, and to fulfilling our mission of creating shareholder value and our purpose of taking care of the people we're privileged to serve. And with that, I'm pleased to turn the call over to Dan.
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