5/30/2019

speaker
Christine
Conference Operator

Good afternoon. My name is Christine, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Uber Technologies Inc. Q1 2019 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press the pound key. Thank you. Kent Schofield, Head of Investor Relations. You may begin your conference.

speaker
Kent Schofield
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, Christine, and thank you for joining us today. And welcome to Uber Technologies Q1 2019 earnings presentation. On the call today, we have Dara Khosrowshahi, CEO, Nelson Che, CFO, and this is Kent Schofield, Head of Investor Relations. During this call, we will present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. Additional disclosures regarding these non-GAAP measures, including a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures, is included in the press release, supplemental slides, and our filings with the SEC, each of which is posted to investor.uber.com. I will remind you that these numbers are unaudited and may be subject to change. Certain statements in this presentation and on this call may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. Such statements can be identified by terms such as believe, expect, intend, and may. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from these forward-looking statements, and we do not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements we make today. For more information about factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from forward-looking statements, please refer to the press release we issued today, as well as risks and uncertainties. including then sections under the captions risk factors and management's discussion and analysis of financial condition and result of operations and our final perspectives filed with the SEC in connection with our IPO on May 13th, 2019. Following prepared remarks today, we will open the call to questions. With that, let me hand it over to Dara. Camp, thank you.

speaker
Dara Khosrowshahi
Chief Executive Officer

Welcome everyone to our first earnings conference call as a public company. We're very excited. Our IPO earlier this month was an important moment for Uber. It was the culmination of nearly a decade of work to build a network, products, technology, and operational excellence that power our global platform today. It's also the result of more recent changes, including our adoption of world-class governance standards, an update to our cultural values, and a shift towards long-term partnership with cities, regulators, and the millions of people and organizations who use their technology to earn income or grow their business. every day. While I'm proud of what we've achieved with IPO, I've told our team that it is ultimately just one moment in a much longer journey. We have an even greater duty to create long-term value for our investors, our customers, our employees, and our many stakeholders. We'll do this by making the Uber platform a one-stop shop for the movement of people and powering local commerce around the world at a massive scale. over 700 cities and 63 countries. Today, we're pleased to report another quarter of strong growth, demonstrating the continued success of our platform strategy. Q1-19 growth bookings grew 34% year-on-year on a reported basis and 41% year-on-year on a constant currency basis and excluding divestitures, producing an annualized run rate of $59 billion. Our monthly active platform consumers, or MAPCs, grew an impressive 33% year-on-year to 93 million. However, those 93 million MAPCs represent only 2% of the population in the 63 countries where we operate our ride-sharing products, and an even smaller percent of the population in those countries where they use Uber Eats. We believe our platform model allows us to acquire, engage, and retain customers with a cost as well as efficiency and effectiveness advantage over our rivals, typically monoline competitors. These efforts are just getting started as we penetrate into a $12 trillion total addressable market. Now, on to Q1 2019 platform updates. In ride sharing, Q1 gross bookings grew 22% year-on-year and 29% on a constant currency basis and excluding some divestitures. Some ride sharing highlights. Part of our commitment to increasing driver engagement and satisfaction, we launched Uber Pro, our driver rewards program in 15 cities in Q1, and now have expanded across the U.S. Among other things, we're helping drivers to lower their operating costs with gas and car maintenance discounts. We're also providing access to tuition-free college education at Arizona State University Online for qualifying drivers, or if they choose, a member of their family. Meanwhile, we're growing our partnerships with Hertz, FAIR, Localiza, and other vehicle suppliers to enable more drivers to use Uber if they don't have access to a vehicle, which is one of the biggest inhibitors for potential drivers to earn on our platform. For riders, we've launched Uber Rewards across the U.S. to recognize and reward our most loyal consumers. Leveraging the breadth of our platform, consumers can earn points using ride-sharing and eats towards benefits that make their everyday Uber experience even better. including price protection for specific routes, priority pickups at airports, and free EATS deliveries. Consumer satisfaction with Uber rewards has been over 85%. In RideCherry Marketplace Tech, we implemented a new dispatch optimization model that's able to use a 10 times denser graph that allows us to dramatically increase the potential rider and driver pairs to enable lower ETAs. In the U.S., our gross bookings category position on a dollar basis has been stable at 70 plus or minus 2 percentage points versus our largest competitor since Q1 of 18. In Q1 of 19 specifically, our category position was stable at 69%. We've more recently seen signs of competition becoming more focused on brand and product versus incentives, which is a trend that has continued into Q2 19, and we think which is a healthy trend for the business. In Latin America, our category position has been stable since the beginning of the year, and we've seen a stabilization of competitive intensity as well. We continue to maintain what we estimate to be a large per-trip efficiency advantage over our largest competitor in the region, and we've improved our competitive response to new rollouts by other players in the market. We're also in the early stages of rolling out EATS in the region, which will allow us to uniquely capitalize on the synergies between the two offerings as we're the only company in LATAM that offers both rides and eats. Now, onto our eats business, which grew 109% year-on-year during Q1 to 3.1 billion in gross bookings and at 117% on a constant currency basis, excluding divestitures. This growth is impressive on its own, but even more so that Q1-19 represents year-over-year growth over Q1 of last year, which is a quarter at which we believe Eats became the largest online meal delivery player outside of China. Our 2018 goal of improved restaurant selection was achieved with 220,000 restaurants on the platform at the end of 2018, and we continue to add selection at an aggressive pace. We'll continue to improve restaurant selection, including the launch of self-service sign-up portals, as well as their new aggregator business model that allows restaurants to use their own couriers to deliver to consumers. In the U.S., we continue to see great expansion of our platform into suburban markets that are oftentimes earlier in their engagement cycle with ride-sharing. We have a strong category position in Japan, which we think will be a spearhead for... Sorry, we have a strong category position in Eats in Japan, which we think will be a spearhead for a ride-sharing business, and we continue to make category position Games, and EMEA. Last and certainly not least, we expanded our Starbucks partnership to seven large U.S. cities and now have begun international pilots. Now, a bit about our other best segment, which grew Q1 gross bookings by 230% year-on-year to $132 million. Uber Freight continued to make rapid progress in building our logistics on-demand platform throughout Q1, with growth for the quarter exceeding 200% year-on-year. More and more large global enterprise shippers are beginning to benefit from Uber Freight's vast carrier network, transparency, real-time pricing, and more, with many notable new customers joining Q1, such as CVS, Cisco, Petco, and Heineken. To better support our enterprise shippers and further integrate into their supply chains, we've announced a strategic partnership with SAP, providing customers seamless access to the Uber Freight network, enabling real-time booking, and on-demand freight capacity, 24 by 7. Now, on to new mobility. The quarter began with the release of a new version of the Jump e-bike in January, featuring next-generation hardware that improves connectivity, is more durable, and has a swappable battery. New mobility growth bookings grew strongly quarter over quarter as we carried out continued expansion across the U.S. for both bikes and scooters, and our first movement into the European market, a focus that has continued in Q2. We also launched our first public transit product in partnership with the city of Denver, which has shown early positive results, as well as furthering the expansion of Uber's platform of non-rod-sharing products. Lastly, on our ATG group, Toyota, Denso, and SoftBank Vision Fund agreed to invest $1 billion, implying a $7.25 billion valuation for Uber ATG on a post-money basis. which we expect to close in July 2019. This investment and expanded commercial partnership will further deepen ATG Toyota collaboration and add Denso's expertise for next-generation autonomous vehicles. The investment and agreement is a great recognition of the progress that our team has made to date. Our in-house efforts remain focused on the commercialization of autonomous vehicles within our network. This includes developing our own autonomous driving software and hardware stack, but it also includes making our network ready to deploy other partners' autonomous technologies, of which Toyota and Dimer have already been announced. Now I'll pass it on to Nelson to cover the Q1 financials in some detail. Thanks, Dara.

speaker
Nelson Che
Chief Financial Officer

Now on to Q1 2019, which as a reminder came in at or near the high end of the financial ranges we provided last month in our perspective. Our gap revenue of $3.1 billion was up 20% year over year, Our GAAP cost of revenues excluding DNA of $1.7 billion increased to 54% from 45% of revenue in Q1 of 2018. Our GAAP EPS was a loss of $2.26 per share compared to a gain of $1.84 in Q1 of 2018, which benefited from a $3.2 billion gain attributable to the Grab and Yandex transactions that closed during that quarter. As a reminder, and per the language in our prospectus, we expect a large stock-based compensation charge in Q2 associated with restricted stock units that vested in conjunction with our IPO. For the remainder of the call, I will discuss key operational metrics as well as non-GAAP financial measures, excluding pro forma adjustments unless otherwise noted. First, our total company global trips of $1.5 billion grew 36% year over year, excluding our Q1-18 divestitures in Southeast Asia and Russia. Growth was driven by Eats and Eats-related trips growing globally in excess of 80% year-over-year and by strong ride-sharing performance, particularly in Latin America. MAPSEs grew 33% year-over-year to $93 million. We continue to see strong new MAPSE additions to the platform via Uber Eats and Nemo. Total company gross bookings grew 34% to $14.6 billion. On a constant currency and extra-vestor basis, bookings grew 41% year-over-year. As a reminder, we report our businesses as two segments, core platform, which includes ride sharing and Uber Eats, and other bets, which includes freight, our logistics platform, new mobilities, which are bikes and scooters. ATG, our autonomous driving effort, is included in research and development. Adjusted net revenue, or ANR, of $2.8 billion was up 14% year over year. ANR was up 18% on a constant currency basis. Core platform ANR of $2.6 billion was up 10% year-over-year. Core platform ANR was 14% year-over-year on a constant currency basis. Ride-sharing ANR is up 10% year-over-year. Eats ANR was up 31%. And they were up 14% and 32% year-over-year, again, on a constant currency and extra-vesture basis. Our ANR as a percentage of growth bookings declined 400 basis points year-over-year to 18%. primarily due to Eats, which has a lower take rate than ride-sharing, growing as a percentage of the core mix, in particular in India, where increased incentives to consumers, drivers, and restaurants drove nearly half of the year-over-year decline in Uber Eats take rate to 8% from 12% a year ago. Additionally, an increase in the use of ride-sharing driver incentives, in particular in the U.S. and Latin America, to compete with other companies in the category. In Q2 2019, we expect core platform ANR as a percentage of gross bookings to improve sequentially from Q1, due in part to increased rationality in U.S. ride-sharing industry that Dara mentioned earlier, and new Uber Eats service and small basket fees launched in the U.S. at the end of the quarter. We expect these benefits to continue into the back half of 2019 and result in ANR year-over-year growth rates to accelerate. Non-GAAP cost of revenues excluding DNA increased to 50%, 42% of ANR and was flat at 9.4% with Q1 2018 as a percentage of gross bookings. Cost of revenue was flat as a percentage of gross bookings as improvements in insurance costs were offset by an increase in cost of revenues due to freight and NEMO's gross or merchant model where freight partners' payments and NEMO's scooter hardware and fuel costs are included in cost of revenue. We continue to make progress on payments and are realizing efficiencies through our efforts. Additionally, we have expanded our launch of Uber Cash, our closed-loop digital wallet to Mexico and Brazil, in an effort to provide a more seamless payment experience and help our customers save more money. On the insurance front, we launched a way for drivers to file an incident report in-app through a series of simple steps where they provide information and upload photos. This allows Uber and our insurance partners to respond promptly and more effectively to provide support to drivers and riders. Turning to operating expenses, operations and support increased to 16% from 15% of adjusted net revenue and decreased to 3% from 3.4% of gross bookings versus Q1 of 2018. The decrease as a percentage of gross bookings was primarily to do to improve platform leverage, which more than offset eats growing as a percentage of our mix. Although we view it as a long-term operational execution opportunity for eats, the online food delivery industry has higher support contact rates than ride-sharing. Sales and marketing increased to 36% from 26% of adjusted net revenue and increased from 6.9% from 5.8% of gross bookings in Q1 2018. This increase as a percentage of gross bookings was primarily due to increased consumer promotions as well as increased advertising and marketing headcount. Similar to improving incentive trends we discussed in the U.S. and LATAM in ride-sharing, We expected to deploy fewer consumer promotions in Q2 of 2019, resulting in sales and marketing as a percentage of gross bookings in A&R to decline in Q2 of 2019. Now on to core platform contribution margin. As a reminder, our core platform contribution margin is a percentage of A&R and demonstrates the margin that we generate after the direct expenses related to our ride-sharing and Uber Eats businesses are deducted. What it does not include is indirect, unallocated R&D and G&E expenses, including ATG and other technology programs. During Q1 2019, we invested in our ride-shorty category leadership through product improvements and competitive pricing relative to competitors that we continue to try to use capital to mitigate our efficiency and effectiveness advantages. Due to this investment, our core platform contribution in Q1 was negative 4% as a percent of ANR, down from positive 18% in Q1 of 2018. We remain confident in the long-term model's leverage because in our top five countries, our gross bookings during Q1 2019, our core platform contribution margin ranged from negative 10% to positive 54%, even as EATS remains in investment mode in all these countries. Given improving competitive dynamics in U.S. ride-sharing and relative stability in LATAM, we expect contribution margins to improve sequentially in Q2 2019 and for the remainder of the year. R&D increased to 15% from 14% of ANR and decreased to 2.8% from 3.1% of gross bookings in Q1 2018. The decline year-over-year as a percentage of gross bookings was primarily due to lower ATG, external engineering, and equipment spend, more than offset and continued R&D headcount additions. G&A increased to 15%. from 14% of adjusted net revenue and decreased to 2.8% from 3.2% of gross bookings in Q1 2018. The decline year-over-year as a percentage of gross bookings primarily relates to the timing of litigation spend and legal and tax reserves as we continue to invest in the systems and infrastructures needed to be a public company during the first quarter. Our Q1 2019 adjusted EBITDA loss was $869 million, We've been consistent in our communication that 2019 will be an investment year with a focus on our global platform expansion, long-term product and technology differentiation. In terms of liquidity, we ended the quarter with approximately $5.7 billion in unrestricted cash. The net IPO proceeds will be captured in our Q2 2019 financials, and we expect to receive the billion dollars in aggregate proceeds from Toyota, Denso, and SoftBank in July of 2019. As a reminder, At the end of March, we reached an agreement to acquire Careem, a ride-sharing delivery and payments company operating in the Middle East, North Africa, and Pakistan, for $3.1 billion, consisting of $1.4 billion in cash and $1.7 billion in convertible notes. The acquisition of Careem is subject to applicable regulatory approvals and expected to close in January of 2020. We look forward to starting our regular quarterly cadence with you. Dara?

speaker
Dara Khosrowshahi
Chief Executive Officer

All right. Thank you, Nelson. Sometimes simplicity is a beautiful thing. And while the canvas that we operate against can seem complex, our story is simple. We're the global player. We are the largest player in personal mobility. Our brand, our technology, our operational platform all give us structural advantages versus the monoline players. We have a generational and demographic wave behind us, and our job is to grow fast at scale and more efficiently for a long, long time. And while the markets that we compete in are and will remain competitive, we like what we see. Our IPO was an important step in our evolution, but just a step. Our teams are focused, motivated, talented, and very, very determined to prove Uber's value to our shareholders.

speaker
Kent Schofield
Head of Investor Relations

With that, we're ready for some Q&A. Thanks, Dara. Operator, you can open it up for questions.

speaker
Christine
Conference Operator

Thank you. At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask a question, please press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Brian Nowak from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

speaker
Brian Nowak
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thanks for taking my questions. I have two. Just the first one on rideshare map fees. Can you sort of talk to us big picture about what you think the biggest hurdle you have to overcome to continue to drive fast rideshare MAPSE growth in some of your oldest markets in the U.S., whether it's price, density, and how do you do that? What are your strategies in place to kind of continue to grow MAPSEs? Then the second one on Uber rewards, any color on early learnings there, comments on frequency of users that are using that product, and how do you think about pushing that more globally over time? Thanks.

speaker
Dara Khosrowshahi
Chief Executive Officer

Sure. Just as far as our core rideshare markets, I think as it relates to audience or MAPSEs, First of all, there is the natural expansion that is happening. You look at one is there's expansion from the city cores to the city suburbs. That is naturally happening. For example, in New York City now, over 50% of our rides don't originate or end in Manhattan. And that was very much not true three, four years ago. So you see there's kind of a natural expansion from the cores into the suburbs. The second for us is that you've got kind of the newer millennial generation that is not particularly interested in owning a car. I think the stats are something like 26% of 16-year-olds got their licenses, and that comparison doubled what it was just 20, 30 years ago. So we do have this. urbanization happening on a global basis. We've got this generational wave that is just not interested in car ownership, and all of that absolutely helps us. Then I think that you look at our other businesses that we're growing in, including Eats and our scooter business, new mobility business, 50% of our Eats customers actually don't use rides. So whereas the rides business is a very strong audience creator for the Eats business, Now as Eats expands, especially into some of these suburbs, Eats is finding new customers for us, which first of all are going to be customers for Eats, but these are customers that then we can upsell into the rides business as well. And then the scooter business for us, e-bikes and scooters, are finding yet another generation of usually younger customers who are in the center of cities, and what we're finding is that with their new mobility products, We're actually, of the customers who use our NEMO products, they are typically under-penetrated in terms of using our RISE products. So it's a whole new customer base. Sometimes they have used our RISE product and we're kind of reactivating them. Sometimes they weren't using RISE at all. So it's reaching into yet another customer segment, and it's also reaching into a different type of trip, a trip that's typically less than five miles. And then you see us also penetrating into transit and other areas with our marketplace strategy, which is really getting into every single use case that you would want as far as transportation and usually cheaper use cases. So this is pool. This is a press pool. And then these are transit partnerships that we have, which are for folks who want to spend $4 or $5 or even $1 or $2 per ride. So that's all within a country. And then also keep in mind that we have six target countries, Germany, Argentina, Japan, South Korea, Spain, and Italy. These are countries that we believe that we can open up. We think that Uber is a terrific service in those countries, and we think that there's a regulatory opening in those countries, so to speak. It will take some time. Those countries will represent a 20% increase in population or MAPC potential. And there are many, many other countries that either we're not in or, you know, we have to get out of Finland, Norway, Slovakia, the Czech Republic, et cetera. So all of this kind of increases the overall population, et cetera. So I think on the MAPSE side, there isn't one silver bullet, but there are many, many levers, and we have teams working against each of these levers to continue to increase MAPSEs, not just for the rides business, but the overall Uber platform as well. And the second question was about rewards, is that right? Yeah, exactly. Was it about the rewards? Yes. Yeah, I think in terms of rewards, on the consumer side, we're going pretty aggressively in the US, and we're seeing very good early signal, and we're seeing very high consumer satisfaction. The other great thing about rewards is that it knits our various services together. You've also seen that we have a subscription product on the ride side, and anticipate our being more aggressive in tying in our different products across our subscription products as well. So we're very happy with the early results from rewards, but it is early and we think that's a product that we can optimize pretty significantly going forward. And we're certainly looking at launches outside of the US, although we haven't announced anything yet.

speaker
Kent Schofield
Head of Investor Relations

Thanks, Brian, for the question. Operator, next question.

speaker
Christine
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Heath Terry from Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

speaker
Heath Terry
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Great, thanks. Just a couple of things. You made the point in the press release of continuing to see signs of less aggressive pricing by some of your ride-sharing competitors. Just curious to the extent that you can elaborate on that and how universal that is in terms of geography. how much of that is in the U.S. versus some of the other more important markets to you. And then on the Eats side of the business, obviously with headlines about competitors raising more money in the space, Dara, curious about your view on how or what type of consolidation is going to happen within the Eats category and to what degree Uber potentially takes part in that in some way.

speaker
Dara Khosrowshahi
Chief Executive Officer

Sure. I think on the competitive front, listen, there is no universal. Every single country is different, and we'd be here for half an hour if we described the competitive position in every country. I think some important ones in the U.S., if you listen to the Lyft conference call, for example, they talked about competing more on brand, and I think that competing more on brand and product is, call it a healthier mode of competition than just throwing money at at a challenge. So we have seen that pencil out into the market, so to speak, and we are obviously operating independently. But I'd say we like what we see on the competitive front in the U.S., which is our largest market. In South America and Brazil, Mexico, et cetera, we certainly saw competitive entry by Didi and some other players. And we're seeing it stabilize at this point. And so, again, you know, will things get better or worse? We can't predict. But I think that sitting here today versus where we were three months ago, we're always uncomfortable in our chairs, but we're, you know, less uncomfortable, so to speak. And I think we have more of a handle on the competitive situation, and I think we feel net better. Now, that can get worse or better, but I'd say today we feel better on the competitive front overall on a global basis. I think as it relates to eats and the landscape there in food delivery, listen, there's a lot of capital coming in because it is a huge category. And there are some folks that believe that the category, the food category, can be larger than the rides category. And if that's true, and by the way, it could be true, in China it looks like it is larger than the rides category, that would be an enormous win for us. But today, it is challenging in that there are many players that are well-funded, they're well-operated, and they're competing to win. But we're the biggest player outside of China. We love our team, we love our technology, and the platform that we have and the ability of our RISE business to, one, has built a brand that is very, very recognizable, but also moved riders from eaters is considerable. And I will tell you that we are very, very early in the stages of exploring the many, many ways in which our rides business can help continue to build our eats business and vice versa, by the way. So, you know, will there be consolidation? Yeah, I think there will absolutely be consolidation. We are not in a hurry in that I think that whether consolidation happens sooner or later, we will be kind of the biggest player on a global basis. We like our competitive chances. We love the advantage that we have as it relates to the platform. So we will play a consolidating part if it makes sense for our shareholders from a long-term perspective. But it's kind of a plan B because our plan A, which is an organic plan, is a great plan, and we feel very strongly about it.

speaker
Heath Terry
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Great. Thank you, Dawn.

speaker
Christine
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ross Sandler from Barclays. Your line is open.

speaker
Ross Sandler
Analyst, Barclays

Great. Two questions from you guys. So on the rides incentives issue, so you mentioned that they've come down a little bit. I guess the question is, as those come down on the rider side and as prices or fares increase, how sensitive are GB volumes and GB growth rates in rides to increasing prices, and are you seeing anything new in the current quarter relative to the first quarter on rides, GB growth? And then the second question is on eats. So I think there's a perception out there that the eats take rate is coming down because some of your larger QSR deals, but Nelson, you mentioned India. So can you parse the eats take rate compression between India and maybe other factors like building out selection, and any update on each business post the pricing changes in March? Thanks.

speaker
Nelson Che
Chief Financial Officer

Sure. This is Nelson. In terms of on the ride side, we haven't really, right? And so the only place that we are watching is in New York. And as you know, there are mandated pricing moves that have happened, and we've been passing it on. So we have seen that increase. It's been less about a category position story for us. But pricing has increased, and I think it probably does have ultimately some impact in terms of how gross bookings grow in the category there. But, you know, our position is quite strong there. Beyond that, we haven't seen it too much. Regarding your question about EATS, India is an investment market force, right? And so there's two things going on there. It's growing very, very quickly. There are two competitors that are very aggressive on there, including ourselves. We are doing well and holding our own, but it is a net market in that we are funding both the eater, the courier, as well as the restaurant in terms of building the business. As I mentioned in my prepared remarks, if you think about a 400 basis point difference in terms of our contribution or take rate, sorry, in year over year in Uber Eats, it was half of it. And the other half is really about increasing restaurant selection, increasing incentives for our restaurant partners. And that was the difference between how we're going there. In terms of how the business is going now, it continues to grow well. As Dara mentioned, it's more of a market-by-market situation. It's growing very, very quick, fast, as you saw from our results. And we continue to do well. But I would say that there are certain markets where there are well-funded competitors that are growing. And, you know, you see in the U.S. where, you know, we have a competitor that's well-funded and growing quite quickly. We are growing fast as well, but they are growing their category position faster than us.

speaker
Dara Khosrowshahi
Chief Executive Officer

But we should also expect, Nelson, correct me if I'm wrong, which is our take rate for EATS is on the way up for the balance of the year versus the other way. So this should be the low watermark, and then you should see take rate for EATS increase over the balance of the year.

speaker
Nelson Che
Chief Financial Officer

And then your last question was on the new service fees. And so they've just started, but they've been well-received. We haven't seen any impact on the business. As Dara said, you'll see the take rates improve through the balance of the year, and you should see the A&R increase increase as well as you think through the balance of the year in terms of the growth rates.

speaker
Kent Schofield
Head of Investor Relations

And Ross, just to your first question around rationalization and the competitive environment, you alluded to this, but just to be clear, it impacts take rate, it impacts sales and marketing as you think about driver and rider side and all of that, but just wanted to be clear on that side. Thank you for the question, Ross. Operator, next question.

speaker
Christine
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Mark May from Citi. Your line is open. Mark May, your line is open. If you're on mute, please unmute.

speaker
Mark May
Analyst, Citi

Can you hear me? Okay. You touched on this a minute ago, but I think New York City is a top five market, I believe, for you, and there have been some very recent changes there. So just curious if you could comment on how, if at all, the recent changes in New York City, including the new fees and the limits on growing supply, you know, if that's impacted the market, the growth in the market at all recently, and if so, how we should think about that. And then secondly, more of a housekeeping question, regarding the guidance on sales and marketing leverage for Q2, is that on a bookings or an A&R basis, and would you expect that to persist in the second half? Thanks.

speaker
Dara Khosrowshahi
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, sure. In terms of – I'll take the first question now, so I'll take the second question. In terms of New York City, listen, our business is pretty darn resilient. and the changes made in New York City, while we don't think that they are consumer-friendly and the caps, et cetera, you know, we certainly don't think that they're driver-partner friendly, our business has proven out to be pretty resilient. So it has translated into pretty substantial price increases to the consumer, to the rider. We have seen that effect. Trip volumes, definitely, because there is some price sensitivity as it relates to any product, and ours is not accepted. But overall, if you look at the dollar growth rate in New York, it's still a healthy city for us. We do think we're still proponents of comprehensive reform in terms of congestion pricing, kind of more market-based regulation. We do want to be constructive here, and, you know, a city with too much traffic and lots of cars standing still doesn't serve us, doesn't serve our riders, doesn't serve our drivers as well. So, you know, our service is certainly shown as resilience. We think the environment can get better, but New York continues to grow for us and continues to grow at a healthy pace on a dollar volume standpoint.

speaker
Nelson Che
Chief Financial Officer

And then, Marcus Nelson, on your second part of the question, yes, we expect that our core platform, ANR, as a percent of gross bookings to improve sequentially. And then we do expect, as we think through the back half of 2019, we're going to see those benefits continue, as well as an acceleration year over year of our adjusted net revenue.

speaker
Mark May
Analyst, Citi

Sorry, I was referring to sales and marketing leverage.

speaker
Nelson Che
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, so that leverage was against – well, it'll be against both, but really the point was about gross bookings.

speaker
Kent Schofield
Head of Investor Relations

And, Mark, that was a little bit to the prior question in that as you think about sales and marketing, you think about promotions to the rider, and you think about rationalization, you know, generally that has an impact there as well. Thank you. Thank you, Mark.

speaker
Christine
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Mark Mahaney from RBC. Your line is open.

speaker
Mark Mahaney
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Great, thanks. Two questions. Could you touch briefly on synergies between ride-sharing and Eats? Can you talk a little bit more about the strategies to try to generate more of those synergies over time? And then, Nelson, could you talk about any new insights you have in terms of getting leverage against insurance costs, which seem to be a material component of COGS? Any new insights there? Thank you very much.

speaker
Dara Khosrowshahi
Chief Executive Officer

Sure, Mark. I don't want to give away too much in terms of competitive strategy going forward, but suffice it to say that we are starting to experiment in ways in which we can upsell our rides customers to eat deals in a way that you know to be plain spoken isn't annoying and in a way that is beneficial to to our riders And we are seeing some very very encouraging early signal usually if you if you got a core product and obviously you can you can imagine that our app has a relatively limited space to promote other things to do other than to get a ride and usually there's a plus or minus to your putting in a promotion to do something else. And what we found is that with rides and eats, we've got, you know, very talented tech and product team, and we're seeing early signal where essentially you can have very little, if any, cannibalization of a ride. throw a significant amount of potential demand onto the EAT side. And these are very early experimentation results, and again, are very much V1, but are showing a signal that creates a good amount of excitement for us in-house. There are also ways for us to tie the businesses together as it relates to the loyalty program, which we're pretty early on in, as it relates to subscriptions, as it relates to promotions, et cetera, on the back end. which, again, were fairly early in the experimentation stage. So I think that I don't want to give away too much, but there's a whole host of activity that the teams are focused on. And really what we're looking to do is significantly increase the percentage of our MAPCs that use both products. And when we see customers using more than one product, their engagement with the platform more than doubles. not only does the engagement with Uber increase, but the engagement with our individual products increases as well. So it's kind of a win-win-win.

speaker
Nelson Che
Chief Financial Officer

And then, Mark, on insurance, there's not a step function improvement. I would say it's more a grind them out. And so what we've done over time is the team has built a great actuary book. And so what that enables us to do is a couple things. First of all, you shouldn't see quarter-to-quarter noise in our accruals, and that's actually pretty important. It allows us also to go in and work with a lot of the national carriers now who are trying to bid business. So that is helpful. You heard in my prepared comments how we're leveraging technology and data to help in terms of incident response times. And so a great way to also help outcomes is make sure you have really good, fast incident response, which we're doing. And then the one thing I would tell you is that over time, insurance, while there is a little bit of a service fee in the U.S. to offset, it's largely impacting the U.S. rideshare business. So it will continue to become a smaller part of the overall P&L as other parts of the business continue to grow quickly. So that would be my takeaway. And so I think you'll see us continue to grind out productivity out of insurance.

speaker
Mark Mahaney
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thanks, Nelson. Thanks, John.

speaker
Christine
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Lloyd Wamsley from Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.

speaker
Lloyd Wamsley
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Hi, thanks for taking the question. This is Bernal for Lloyd. Two, if I may. One, what are the nuances associated with the markets that are currently generating over 50% contribution margins? And if you're already getting more than 50% contribution margins in one market, how do you see that kind of... How do you see contribution margins in the future in other markets? And second, with regard to lower costs that will open up the TAM, what are the key elements to getting pricing lower absent a shift to autonomous? Is pool really growing in the right mix enough to lower the price meaningfully? Or are there other pathways to lowering the pricing? Thank you.

speaker
Dara Khosrowshahi
Chief Executive Officer

Sure, absolutely. on contribution margin?

speaker
Nelson Che
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so I'll start on the contribution margin. So I think in the markets where we have high contribution margin, we have very strong category position. We have good take rates. And so what I mean by that is the adjusted net revenue percent of gross billing tends to be higher. And then in those markets, believe it or not, there is competition But we've done a good job in terms of how the market has evolved. And so we have very, very strong position from that standpoint. What you'll see over time is as the markets continue to evolve, you'll see us continue, particularly on the rideshare side, focus more on contribution. And you'll see us get more efficient. And so we'll get the scale benefits of just our global scale versus everyone else's to deploy technology and operations you'll see us continue to grind out some of the productivity metrics we're going to work on on things like insurance and things like payments and other things. And then, you know, as Dara and I mentioned, you know, the one wild card is going to be market by market what happens from a competitive position. And so while we feel comfortable sitting here today and looking into the next couple of quarters, those things can change. But as we see through those things, that'll happen. And then the last part of it, because, again, this is a core contribution metric, is how EATS continues to evolve. In the specific market where you mentioned it, we have a very strong market position. We have a good EATS business as well. And again, while we're not going to disclose where that place is, there are markets where, again, we have good core contribution margins across the globe. And you'll see us continue to give you more highlights as the quarters continue here.

speaker
Dara Khosrowshahi
Chief Executive Officer

And I guess the other way that I put it is, The markets with high contribution margins, we don't consider it to be outliers. You know, the outliers was the U.S., where, you know, our company went through some very, very significant challenges as it related to brand and what has, frankly, been a strong competitor in Lyft. And so the U.S. is an outlier as far as a scale business that hasn't yet achieved very strong contribution margins. There are markets like Latin America where we've got a competitor come in more recently. But from a structural standpoint, actually, this is a business that we believe can be very significantly contribution margin positive. And the one outlier is in the U.S. And in the U.S., we suffered some brand damage that's very unusual. That's going to take some time to repair. And now I think in the U.S., we're in a competitive position with the other player. where the competition is going to be more healthy. It's going to be based on brand and product and technology, which we think is the right place to compete versus throwing money at the problem. I think on the other question as to low cost, et cetera, listen, I think that there are many different ways in which we take on low cost. First of all, as it relates to the pool product, what we're really focused on is being more efficient and increasing the match rates as it relates to each trip, and it means being smarter about which trips we match, and then also the Introduction Express pool that essentially adds waiting and then adds walking to the equation in order to increase the match rates as well. Historically, we have priced pool quite aggressively in order to create liquidity in the marketplace, in order to create the opportunity to match. Now, actually, I'd say the majority of the work is in improving our matching capabilities versus using pricing to increase liquidity. Beyond pool and express pool, we're investing in high-capacity vehicles. Either we call it Uber Shuttle or Uber Bus that we've launched in a number of markets. This is about taking matching to the next level. 10 riders in a single vehicle, 15 riders in a single vehicle. We think we will do this ourselves over a long term. We may also partner up with governments, do kind of public-private partnerships to be a part of the transportation solutions of the cities in which we operate. Beyond that, are having public transport. We talked about integration in Denver. We've integrated London public transit into our app as well. And while that's not strictly our product that we will be marketing, it's another essentially search or another occasion by which users will come to our app to learn what's the best way to get from point A to B. And if every user every day in every city is opening up our app in the morning when they want to get someplace, then good things are going to happen over a period of time. So we don't think there's any kind of magic lever here, but we are putting more against these different modes of transportation, and then you add to that e-bikes, scooters, both through our own products and through partnership with Lime, and we're looking at partnering with other players as well. You just have the whole transportation ecosystem on one app, all your information fully integrated with the loyalty program beneath it. We think that's a very, very powerful product, but it will take time for all this to come together.

speaker
Kent Schofield
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, Kunal. Operator, next question. You're welcome.

speaker
Christine
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Khan Masha from HSBC. Your line is open.

speaker
Khan Masha
Analyst, HSBC

Hi. I'm interested in your payment strategy. You mentioned you're introducing payments wallet in emerging markets. Are these cash products you mentioned going to be used only for Uber ecosystem, or can they be used for remittances and outside Uber platform? Can you please talk a little bit about that?

speaker
Nelson Che
Chief Financial Officer

Sure. So the start of our payments is really on productivity right now, and so we're you know, 87% of the transactions that happen on Uber are done with a swipe. And so what we're doing right now is really focused, the team is really focused on trying to drive down some of the costs, and you're going to see those benefits. And those are both in terms of core process improvements. We've improved some of our cash collections and the arrears, fraud prevention. There's all sorts of different operating things as we continue to focus on productivity. And so that's going on right now, and we're seeing the benefits now, and you'll continue to see the benefits throughout the year and moving forward. The second thing we did launch and which I mentioned is a closed loop wallet. And this is really to help in certain markets like Brazil, which is really a cash market for us. And it really helps in terms of a lot of cases because in the US, we really worry about riders. In Brazil, we have to really focus on driver safety. And so because drivers, there are incidents with drivers, they're getting robbed or they're getting carjacked. And so the more and more you can move away from cash is beneficial. Additionally, we do see that if you have Uber cash credit on your account, you will use the service additionally. The last thing is really just we are evaluating how open we go in terms of a wallet, which I think was your question. And I would say that's an opportunity we're looking at now. You did notice that PayPal invested as part of IPO, and so we are talking to a number of different partners and we are going through that own process internally now of how to openly want to be. You can envision that a company that is growing, as Dara said now, the run rate of the business is approaching $60 billion a year in terms of billings this year. There's a lot of opportunity that we see ahead on it, and so we're just working through that now. The real takeaway right now is just the focus on the productivity side, which we're getting, and you'll see in our results. Thank you, Colin, for the question.

speaker
Kent Schofield
Head of Investor Relations

Operator, next question.

speaker
Christine
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Yusuf Squall from SunTrust. Your line is open. Yusuf, if you're on mute, please unmute. Your line is open.

speaker
Yusuf Squall

Sorry, apologies for that. Dara, you mentioned a couple of times now that competition is more going to be focused on brand and products. Maybe you can flesh that out a little bit. Brand competition could also be a pretty expensive proposition. So maybe if you can just help us understand what you mean exactly by that, that would be helpful. And also, if maybe you can just give us an update on those six markets where it's been more difficult to do business in, particularly in Germany, I think the last time, You mentioned that you had started making some headway there, so any help there would be helpful.

speaker
Dara Khosrowshahi
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks. Sure. You know, when I talk about brand and product, really it's shorthand for talking about the quality of the service. You know, what are your average ETAs? What are your ETAs, kind of P90 ETAs? How do you make sure that every single customer interaction is is a great interaction. What's the quality of the vehicles and your driver partners? Are they happy? Are they hospitable? How's your pricing? How consistent is your pricing? How are your match rates, et cetera? So really, Donna, when you think about our services, there's a cost of customer acquisition. How are you bringing customers into the funnel? We think we have an advantage because we essentially are acquiring customers across multiple verticals. Second is how long are your customers staying with you? How loyal are they? We think that with our loyalty programs, with subscriptions, with payments, with wallets, we have now all the tools, again, against a multitude of different products that we can offer one consumer so that we think that we've got kind of a structural loyalty advantage over the other players. And then we're constantly iterating and improving our experience and our technology in order to make sure that it's best of breed in terms of your ETAs, your pricing, your routing, how quickly do you get from point A to B, and all the different choices that we offer you as well. So we think that's a great area for us to compete in. And listen, the Uber brand is a brand that everybody knows all around the world, and we've already built two multi-billion dollar services on the Uber brand, and we think freight will be a third. So we like competition as it relates to kind of brand, product, technology, and we think that over the long term, our being the bigger player, our being the global player, and our being the multi-product player is going to put us in a very good position where competition is not just about dollars. Now, if it is about dollars, we're going to push back as hard as anyone pushes us as well.

speaker
Kent Schofield
Head of Investor Relations

I think that... Besides the six countries.

speaker
Dara Khosrowshahi
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, the six countries... I'd highlight, listen, each of these countries is unique in its own way. Germany, for us, has been a country that has been a significant investment. I've been to Germany already three times. We are kind of growing in Germany the right way. It takes longer to build a service to some extent based on the regulations there, but we are very happy with the growth rates in Germany. We're very happy with the quality of the service there. and we think that the regulations are headed in the right direction so that we can build a larger service and in a way that ultimately is better for the cities. You know, Germany has regulations, for example, of return to base, where if a private hire driver takes you out to the airport, he or she has to come back to base, you know, empty. That doesn't make any sense, especially in a country like Germany that is such a leader in... in all the environmental issues that they play in. So hopefully over a period of time, they will recognize that in Japan, which is the largest taxi market in the world, we are launching in partnership with taxi. And we're building out our product suite as it relates to taxi partners. We're going out and having really good discussions with taxi partners, and we're signing up taxi partners and kind of building a service the organic way, and we are optimistic about the potential of Japan as a market and the potential of TACSI as a partner there. There are some kind of creative ways in which we're working with TACSI, which we think can result in pretty good-sized services there as well. The Olympics are clearly a consideration. for the government, and again, I think that we can play a constructive part in building out a great business there. Argentina is another market for us that is showing us a very, very strong signal, and I think is one of the absolute bright lights in South America, and it's mostly a cash market at this point, but we think has a ton of potential. There are some markets, you know, Italy is very slow in developing. Spain, Barcelona, for example, has taken a step back. So all of these markets have their positives and negatives, but I think that overall they're going to be a net positive. And when I look out five years forward, I think that they will be real contributors into our ecosystem.

speaker
Yusuf Squall

Thanks, Daryl. You're welcome.

speaker
Christine
Conference Operator

Next question. Your next question comes from line of David Dillon from SMBC NICO. Your line is open.

speaker
David Dillon
Analyst, SMBC Nikko

Thank you. Really nice improvement on the freight side, the 200% growth. Can you share the number of trips there? I know you gave some information on the carriers and the drivers and the shippers, but is there any additional metrics you can provide there if possible?

speaker
Nelson Che
Chief Financial Officer

Actually, no. We're actually not giving that kind of information out, but... We've seen good signal there. We're pretty confident in terms of the ability to grow out there. We're seeing it just because we see all the same store sales that we're getting with these national shippers. We continue to build out our routes. And as you know, the key to building a good freight business is building kind of supply demand across routes, which we're building. We're not optimized yet. We're not big enough yet, but we're seeing very, very good traction there. And then we'll look forward to talking more about freight. Again, we've been in the business a little over a year and a half or so. And again, we think that we'll continue to grow. The growth will continue to exceed 200% for the year.

speaker
Dara Khosrowshahi
Chief Executive Officer

I'd say just to add a little bit of color, in general, if you look last year, freight was probably the overall logistics business was in an undersupply position. This year, there's more supply out there. There are more trucks out there. So Pricing has come down. So the real focus of the freight team now is to really focus on bringing in demand and going out and signing up the enterprise shippers. And that sales team is just really, really knocking it out of the park. They are bringing in a lot of names. And usually, well, not usually, almost without exception, when we bring in a new name, we service them very well. We've won a bunch of kind of shipper of the year awards, etc., and then we build a business. So you're going to see our sales team out there. They're knocking on doors, and fortunately the doors are opening at this point.

speaker
Nelson Che
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, and the only thing I'd add is that one of the real win points for us is just it's a very manual business if you know the freight business, and so we're able to automate it. And so the enterprise shippers like that. So whether the shipment creation stats, like 87% of the time it's done electronically, the pricing is done almost 80% electronically, And even the booking is done almost 80% electronically. And so that wins. And so we're seeing those benefits out there. And as Dara mentioned, the sales team has been going after it. And so, you know, we're seeing good signal right now. Great.

speaker
Kent Schofield
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, everyone. Great. Thank you for the questions today. And thank you, everyone, for joining us. And we look forward to catching up with you soon. Thank you.

speaker
Christine
Conference Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.

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