10/25/2024

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the third quarter 2024 Universal Health Service Earnings Conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during this session, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising you your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Steve Fulton, Executive Vice President and CFO. Please go ahead, sir.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Thank you. Good morning and welcome to this review of Universal Health Services results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024. During the conference call, I'll be using words such as believes, expects, anticipates, estimates, and similar words that represent forecast projections and forward-looking statements. For anyone not familiar with the risks and uncertainties inherent in these forward-looking statements, I recommend a careful reading of the section on risk factors and forward-looking statements and risk factors in our Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023, and our Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2024. I'd like to highlight just a couple of developments and business trends before opening the call up to questions. As discussed in our press release last night, company recorded net income attributable to UHS for diluted share of $3.80 for the third quarter of 2024. After adjusting for the impact of the items reflected on the supplemental schedule as included with the press release, our adjusted net income attributable to UHS for diluted share was $3.71 for the quarter ended September 30, 2024. As we anticipated, Acute care volumes have moderated somewhat and have gradually begun to resemble the patterns we experienced before the pandemic. Adjusted admissions to our acute hospitals increased 1.5% year over year with surgical growth slowing. Overall revenue growth was still a solid 8.6%, excluding the impact of our insurance subsidiary. Meanwhile, expenses were well controlled. Specifically, the amount of premium paying the third quarter was $60 million, reflecting a 12% decline from the prior year quarter. Included in our operating results during the third quarter of 2024 were aggregate net incremental reimbursements of approximately $20 million recorded in connection with various state supplemental Medicaid programs, approximately half of which was earned by our acute care hospitals. These net reimbursements were in excess of the supplemental program projections included in our earnings guidance for the full year of 2024, as revised on July 24, 2024. On a same facility basis, EBITDA at our acute care hospitals increased 36% during the third quarter of 2024, as compared to the comparable prior year quarter, and the increase was 17%, when excluding the impact of the incremental Medicaid supplemental payments earned in Nevada during the third quarter of 2024. The increase in operating income comparison to last year's third quarter for our acute hospitals is a further step towards a more extended margin recovery we hope to sustain for the next several periods. In our acute segment, physician expense, which was a significant headwind in 2023, has stabilized at approximately 7.2% of revenues thus far in 2024. During the third quarter, same facility revenues at our behavioral health hospitals increased by 10.5%, primarily driven by an 8.5% increase in revenue per adjusted patient day. Even after adjusting for Medicaid supplemental payments not included in our original 2024 guidance, facility revenues increased 8.3% and same facility EBITDA increased 9.6% in the third quarter of 2024 as compared to the comparable prior year period. As a result of untradable trends experienced during the last several years during the third quarter of 2024, we recorded a $30 million increase to our reserves for self-insured professional and general liability claims. Our cash generated from operating activities was $1.4 billion during the first nine months of 2024 as compared to $815 million during the same period in 2023. In the first nine months of 2024, we spent $698 million on capital expenditures and acquired $1.7 million of our own shares at a total cost of approximately $350 million. Since 2019, we have repurchased approximately 31% of the company's outstanding shares. As of September 30, 2024, we had 1.01 billion aggregate available borrowing capacity pursuant to our 1.3 billion revolving credit facility. In our acute care segment, we continue to develop additional inpatient and ambulatory care capacity. Construction continues on our de novo acute care hospitals consisting of the 150-bed West Henderson Hospital in Las Vegas, Nevada, which is expected to open shortly, the 136-bed Cedar Hill Regional Medical Center in Washington, D.C., which is expected to open in the spring of 2025, and the 150-bed Allen B. Miller Medical Center in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, which is expected to open in the spring of 2026. In our behavioral health segment, we recently opened the 128-bed River Vista Behavioral Health Hospital in Madera, California, and we are developing the 96-bed Southridge Behavioral Health Hospital in West Michigan, a joint venture with Trinity Health Michigan, which is expected to open in the spring of 2025. The approval processes continue in connection with new Medicaid supplemental payment programs in Tennessee and Washington, D.C., as well as a proposed funding increase to the existing program in Nevada. Although we cannot provide assurance that any or all of these programs or program changes will ultimately be approved by CMS or the timing of such approvals, which may not occur until 2025, if approved in their current forms, the Tennessee program with estimated annual net benefit of 40 to $56 million would be effective July 1, 2024. The Washington D.C. program, with estimated annual net benefit of approximately $85 million, would be effective October 1, 2024. And the funding increase to the existing Nevada program, with estimated annual net incremental benefit of approximately $56 million, would be effective July 1, 2024. Our previously provided earning guidance for the full year of 2024, as revised on July 24, 2024, did not include the estimated incremental net benefit related to any of these programs. I'd be pleased to answer your questions at this time.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question at this time, please press star 1-1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 1-1 again. One moment for our first question. And our first question is going to come from the line of Josh Ruskin with Niprin Research, your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Marco
Representative for Josh Ruskin, Niprin Research

Hey, good morning. This is actually Marco on for Josh. Appreciate you taking the question. I was just wondering if you could speak to any changes you may be seeing in the behavior of managed care plans during the quarter, including activity around patient denials or downgrades across both the acute and behavioral segments. And then it would also be helpful if you could just give some color on what trends you're seeing between commercial and MA plans and whether this activity is focused around any specific areas like 2 midnight. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Sure.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

So I think if you go back and review some of our transcripts and other commentary from late in 2022 and early into 2023, we first began to note, I think, more aggressive behavior on the part of our managed care payers, especially coming off of the initial years of the pandemic, 20, 21, 22, where clearly we felt like payers had become less aggressive, I think, in response to a large degree to the significant decreases in utilization during the early stages of the pandemic. So since then, since I would say late 22, early 23, again, we've seen, I think, payer behavior become more aggressive. as it relates to denials, as it relates to patient status changes, length of stay management when patients are in the facility, et cetera. I don't believe that we saw a dramatic change in the current quarter. I think, again, the more aggressive behavior that we've been citing I think has been ongoing for more like a year or four or six quarters. wouldn't necessarily suggest that we saw dramatic change in the current quarter. As far as whether behavior is focused on any particular area, you specifically asked about the two midnight rule. Again, I think we've made a comment that we've been focused on the two midnight rule and the appropriate coding Consistent with the two midnight rule and appeals consistent with the two midnight rule for several years We've been using a third party firm to help us properly code Admissions we've been using that same firm to help us with denial appeals etc. And so I don't think we've seen again some of the perhaps significant difference in how to midnight rules to midnight you know coding claims are being handled with our claims and as maybe some of our peers have really changed their behavior as a result of the recent clarifications that CMS issued in terms of two midnight rule.

speaker
Marco
Representative for Josh Ruskin, Niprin Research

Thanks. Appreciate all the color on that. And then just to squeeze in one more quick one. I was wondering if you could just give a quick update on physician recruitment and turnover trends in the acute behavioral segments. especially as it relates to opening up additional capacity, and then whether you're seeing any more incremental competition in that area. Thank you.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, so I think there's been, you know, much discussion about physicians and especially as it related to hospital-based physicians. You know, last year when there was a significant increase for almost all providers, in the expense of hospital-based physicians, in our case, especially emergency room physicians and anesthesiologists. I think that increased expense was more a result of billing changes and I think specifically the No Surprise Billing Act and the constraints that that put on those specialties, emergency room anesthesiology, in terms of their ability to bill for out-of-network patients. So I think the pressures on those expenses were driven more by those billing changes than they were by, you know, a lack of or scarcity of those sort of positions. You know, I don't think that there's a dearth of positions, nor do I think there's a glut necessarily in every market. Different specialties, you know, are more challenging, et cetera. But I don't think we would describe position recruitment as particularly, you know, difficult in the current period. I don't think it's changed much over the last several years.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Great. Thank you for all the calling.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And one moment for our next question.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Our next question is going to come from the line of Anne Hayes with Mizzouho. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Anne Hayes
Analyst, Mizzouho

Great. Thank you. Heading into 2025, are there any maybe major headwinds and tailwinds you want to call out? And to that, I know it sounds like you're getting incremental provider stuff in 2024. Is there anything we should be on the lookout for 2025? Thanks.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

So, I think for us, Anne, you know, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we'll have two new facilities open in 2025. Our West Henderson facility in Las Vegas, which will open late this year. and then a hospital in the District of Columbia, which will open in the spring. I don't believe, and we'll be more precise about this when we give our detailed 2025 guidance in February, but I don't believe that either of those facilities will create a significant drag on EBITDA. There will be some opening expenses and some ramp up, but I think both are well positioned so that, again, they should not create much of a drag. I think otherwise, For the two businesses, you know, we are expecting the continued margin recovery that, again, I alluded to in my opening comments. And then finally, you know, the major tailwinds are the ones that I mentioned, again, in my remarks, the specific ones in terms of Tennessee, District of Columbia, Nevada. These are either new or additional supplemental programs that have been submitted to CMS for approval. There's been some reporting and some things that have been written about programs, either new or expanded programs in California and Florida that could be effective next year, but those I think are in sort of earlier stages of development. So I think broadly there's some significant potential tailwinds in the Medicaid supplemental area, some of which we've disclosed in some detail, others which I think are a little bit more um or not quite as precise at this point um but but those for me seem to be the big puts and takes for 2025 at this point all right thanks thank you in one moment for our next question our next question is going to come from the line of andrew mock with barclays your line is open please go ahead

speaker
Andrew Mock
Analyst, Barclays

Hi, good morning. Wanted to focus on the acute volumes. Maybe if you just take a step back and comment on the volume progression in that business. And now that we've established a more normal baseline for volumes, like what's the outlook in the acute care segment for volume growth? Thanks.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Andrew, I think we've been pretty clear and consistent in our commentary in this regard. And that is, you know, we've been saying for some time that we expected broadly acute care growth to return to sort of more normal, I'll call them pre-COVID levels, you know, so same sort of revenue growth in the 6% to 7% range that would be split pretty evenly between price and volume. I think if you actually look at our year-to-date metrics in acute care, I think our adjusted admissions are up 3%. I think our pricing per revenue per adjusted admission is up 5%. I think if you adjust out for the Nevada Medicaid supplemental, you're sort of in that range of 6% to 7% revenue growth split pretty evenly between price and volume. I think that's been our view for a while. I know that some of the commentary from our peers have been a little bit more bullish about you know, what acute care volume may look like and suggesting that there have been some structural changes in the business that would result in elevated acute care volume growth for the foreseeable future. We haven't seen that yet. And, you know, obviously, I think if there are these structural changes, we would benefit from them as would, you know, the average acute care hospital. We just haven't seen really evidence of that just yet. The other issue, which I kind of alluded to earlier, is I think a number of acute care hospitals are anticipating a fairly significant benefit from the two midnight rule change and, you know, a consequent change in the way they're coding these things, et cetera. As I've indicated, again, I think pretty clearly and consistently for a while now, we think we've been focused on that issue for several years now and, as a consequence, don't necessarily anticipate an incremental benefit from that. So, again, you know, I think we view acute care volumes or the future of acute care volume growth, and I think broadly acute care revenue growth is something that should be solid, et cetera, but that some of the really elevated acute care volume growth that we've seen over the last several years has been a result of the catch-up in postponed and deferred procedures or procedures that have been postponed and deferred during the pandemic. And by definition, I think those were sort of a one-time thing, and I think we're largely past that at this point.

speaker
Andrew Mock
Analyst, Barclays

Great. And then your corporate expenses tracked a bit higher than our estimates in the quarter. Can you help us understand any one-time items there or other drivers of the increase in the corporate segment? Thanks.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, we had a $5 million loss on the extinguishment of debt related to our refinancing that we did during the quarter. We probably had another $5 million settlements of miscellaneous smaller lawsuits So that $10 million of corporate expense, you know, I would clearly characterize as non-recurring in the quarter.

speaker
Andrew Mock
Analyst, Barclays

Great. Thanks for the call.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. And our next question is going to come from the line of Justin Lake with Wolf Research. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Dylan
Representative for Justin Lake, Wolf Research

Good morning. This is Dylan on for Justin. Thanks for the question. Just had a couple quick ones for you. Is there any color you can provide on the trajectory of volumes in the behavioral business in the quarter? And then second, behavioral pricing clearly remains a strength. Are you expecting to see similar opportunities heading into 2025, or do you expect that to moderate? Thank you.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

So as far as the trajectory of behavioral volumes, again, I think for the last several quarters, we've been talking about our sense that we're while we originally guided to 3% same-store patient day growth for behavioral for the full year of 2024, that growth was occurring more slowly than we originally anticipated, and we sort of revised that view to we'd be able to exit the year at that sort of 3% level. We were able to exit the third quarter at that 3% level, and that's despite a little bit of drag the hurricane impact in South Carolina and Georgia on some of our facilities at the very end of the quarter, Hurricane Eileen. So, you know, I think we remain confident that we should be able to exit the fourth quarter at that at least 3%, you know, patient day growth rate and remain confident that we can do so. As far as behavioral pricing, behavioral pricing, as people know, has been quite strong for several years now, you know, throughout most of the pandemic. We attribute that to some degree to, you know, our efforts to leverage better pricing from some of our lower paying payers, particularly managed Medicaid payers. And I think in an environment where there's not a great deal of excess capacity in the behavioral industry writ large, that's been an effective sort of strategy. We've been suggesting for some time that behavioral pricing is likely to moderate at some point. And we continue to believe that, but to be fair, it is hanging in there very robustly and very strongly at the current time. And obviously we're not doing anything to try and reduce that. But we do believe that behavioral pricing, which has been running at historically high levels, will moderate at some point, but still should track in sort of that four to 5% range for the foreseeable future.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And one moment for our next question. Our next question is going to come from the line of Sarah James with Cantor.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Gabby
Representative for Sarah James, Cantor

Hey, guys. This is Gabby on for Sarah. You had a nice beat on a cute revenue permission. Could you just walk us through the drivers there? And was any of that related to the extra day in the quarter?

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, I mean, you know, the extra day, I think, you know, is a mechanical sort of thing. We tend not to really focus on that, largely because I think in the end, obviously, you know, the longer the period, if you look at the full year, all that comes out in the wash. I think more importantly, we had a difficult acute care comparison. I think, you know, our same-store adjusted admissions in last year's third quarter were up close to 7%. But I think even more importantly, if you go back and you listen to our or read our commentary from last year's third quarter, we attribute a lot of that to, again, this catch-up in the deferred and postponed procedures and those procedures that had been postponed or deferred during the pandemic. And as a consequence, if you go back, while our volumes, both admissions and surgical volumes, were strong in the third quarter, of last year, they tended to be skewed towards those lower acuity, kind of more discretionary procedures that people had the ability to defer during the pandemic. And so when you're looking at now that comparison with 24 to 23, you see, you know, volumes sort of look unfavorable and they've come down some, but acuity has come up because so much of that activity last year's quarter was skewed to the lower acuity, lower revenue sorts of procedures.

speaker
Gabby
Representative for Sarah James, Cantor

Okay, awesome. And then any color on the inpatient surgical trend?

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, as I noted in my prepared remarks, surgeries were so often they were probably down slightly in the quarter. And again, I think it's a lot of the same dynamic that surgeries were quite strong in the third quarter of last year, but that was skewed towards a lot of what I'll describe as sort of catch-up, lower acuity, more discretionary, more elective sorts of procedures.

speaker
Gabby
Representative for Sarah James, Cantor

Okay, great. Thank you, guys.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And one moment for our next question. Our next question is going to come from the line of AJ Rice with UBS. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
AJ Rice
Analyst, UBS

Hi, everybody. Maybe just to ask about the labor. You commented that your use of premium pay was down to 60 million, 12% down year to year. Any more broad comments on what you're seeing in both business lines and labor? Are we sort of at a stable point at this point, and you can sort of hold your SWB ratios, percent of revenues going forward, or do you think there's still further opportunities?

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, you know, what I think has happened, AJ, is that, again, you know, we're in sort of now this post-pandemic environment in which, Wage inflation, I think, has stabilized. It is clearly lower than it was at the height of the pandemic. Obviously, our use of premium pay has diminished dramatically, although it is also, I think, starting to stabilize and sort of flatten out. And I think that should continue. That's benefiting us, obviously, in an environment where the revenue growth in both businesses has been quite robust. you know, it's contributing to the margin recovery that, you know, salaries are somewhat stable. And I will say, you know, people have noted to me that on the behavioral side, salaries as a percentage of revenue did sequentially increase from Q2 to Q3. And, you know, I've asked about whether that's kind of an emerging trend. And I would say not. I think that that's a function probably of the impact of the hurricane that we saw at the very end of the quarter where a number of our facilities, particularly in the Georgia-South Carolina markets, saw diminished volumes, but also it's a double whammy because we see diminished volumes, but we're also paying overtime, et cetera, to keep people in the facility and make sure it's properly staffed. But I think outside of that, I would say that you know, labor trends have stabilized substantially in both business segments.

speaker
AJ Rice
Analyst, UBS

Okay. And maybe just thinking about growth, development, capital, deployment, et cetera. Any comment on the behavioral side, the JV pipeline? You're paid some new bed additions as you start to think about 25. And then, obviously, to the extent there is free cash flow beyond any of that, whether there's M&A opportunities or should we think that most of that cash flow is going to go to stock buybacks from here?

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, I mean, you know, we continue with a pretty aggressive and robust capital expenditure program. You know, I talked about some of the big spends in my prepared remarks, but You know, we've started, or maybe, you know, more properly, I would say we've restarted to add beds to our behavioral business. We've been doing that pretty consistently prior to the pandemic. During the pandemic, we paused many of those expansion activities with the sort of logic being, you know, we were struggling to staff the existing beds we had. There was no point in building new beds. But now that, again, the labor market has stabilized, you know, we're looking in those markets where there is an opportunity to increase volumes by adding beds. Now, to be fair, you know, our overall occupancy in behavioral is still in the low 70s, so there are plenty of facilities where we should have the potential for upside volume without having to add any new beds, but there are some facilities that are running at higher occupancies than that, and in those facilities, we are, again, either resurrecting or entertaining new programs to build that, and we'll continue to do that. As far as opportunities for M&A, I think we often comment that we are presented with opportunities reasonably regularly. We have found, if you look at the last five, seven years, not a great deal of those opportunities to be very compelling, although we'll continue to look at them. And so my guess is because M&A, I think, can be hard to predict, but my guess is that as you think about it, our capital deployment will remain focused probably on capital expenditures and on share repurchase, much as it has been for the last five to seven years.

speaker
AJ Rice
Analyst, UBS

Okay.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Thanks a lot.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. One more moment for our next question. Our next question is going to come from the line of Pito Chicory with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Pito Chicory
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Hey, good morning, guys. Looking at same-store occupancy here, that's a fun metric because it probably underestimates the busier days of Monday through Wednesday for the collector procedures. So my question is, what is the max occupancy for the portfolio before it impacts same-store mission growth? And as you think about hospital occupancy, If you can't sort of expand beds fast enough, does this sort of create a more aggressive conversations with their lowest yielding MA pairs like you did a few years ago when you're max capacity in behavioral?

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah. So, you know, I'm not sure if your question was specific to one or both of the segments. So, I'll try and answer for both. I think on the acute side, Occupancy over the years has become a somewhat less relevant metric. Obviously, it measures your occupied inpatient beds. But, you know, my experience is, you know, I've been in a hospital any number of times that, you know, maybe had two-thirds occupancy from an inpatient bed perspective. but you walk through the emergency room and, you know, there are, you know, stretchers in the hallway or you walk through the OR and, you know, you've got a real busy schedule at the cath lab, that sort of thing. So I think that acute care inpatient occupancy is not as relevant as sort of a metric as, you know, it used to be or one time it was. I think a number of other equally important variables in measuring sort of the efficiency and the output of an acute care hospital. I think in terms of the broader question, I don't know that we have too many hospitals that, you know, we're really at max capacity in any of those areas. We're certainly not there in terms of inpatient beds, but I don't think we're necessarily there in terms of emergency room capacity or cath labs or ORs, et cetera. And to the degree that we are, you know, I think we're responding to that with capital improvement and expansion programs to address that. On the behavioral side, I do think that inpatient occupancy or an inpatient bed occupancy number is more relevant. There are sort of fewer ancillary sorts of procedures in a behavioral hospital that account for that, although obviously outpatient activity needs to be measured as well. But the same thing, I mean, as I said, for the most part, I don't think we have physical capacity constraints in our behavioral business, but there certainly are facilities and geographies where that is an issue, and those are the places where we're doing debt expansions or at least contemplating debt expansions.

speaker
Pito Chicory
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Great. And follow-up here is on physician expenses. You know, you talked about that being stable at like 7.2% of revenue. Are there other areas like radiology and NICU which have not been pressure points in the past? which could be asking for subsidies going forward or pretty much across portfolio, across all different groups of physicians at Stable. Thank you so much.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, so the answer is yes, and I would say, you know, in the portfolio, you know, I can find examples in almost every specialty where, you know, we've had requests for greater subsidies or increased expense, et cetera. As I noted in, you know, comments earlier, I think for us, the biggest pressure by far, the most expansive, has been in the emergency room and anesthesia areas. But yeah, we have, I think, you know, one-off situations where we've seen pressure from hospitalists or, you know, laborists or radiologists, as you asked about. But they clearly, you know, I think have accounted for much less pressure than ER and anesthesiology. And I think broadly, while we continue to sort of deal with those issues every day, I think that situation, which was such a headwind in 2023, has largely stabilized. Great.

speaker
Pito Chicory
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Thanks so much, guys.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And one moment as we move on to our next question. Our next question is going to come from the line of Joanna Godchick with B of A Securities. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Joanna Godchick
Analyst, BofA Securities

Hi, good morning. Thanks so much for taking the question. So I guess first of all, clarify the comment there around the outlook for psych business into next year. So you sort of alluded to the idea of, you know, maybe pricing, excluding supplementals, growing 405. And, and I guess you still expect to exit at, you know, 3% volume quote. So is that sort of the trajectory to expect next year's in terms of growth for that for that segment?

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, so, Joanne, I mean, we're not going to give sort of precise 2025 guidance on this call. We don't do that until our fourth quarter call in February. But, you know, I think we have broadly described our expected sort of trajectory of growth in the behavioral business is, you know, same sort of revenue growth in the kind of mid to upper single digits, 6%, 7%, 8%, probably skewed a little bit more to, you know, pricing. So, know four to five percent pricing three to three and a half percent volume um but you know i'm not suggesting that that's going to be our precise guidance for next year but i think you know in terms of thinking about next year that's i think how we start and then obviously to the degree that there's any significant uh medicaid supplemental programs etc you know that that would be sort of you know incremental to that right and i could think on psych um

speaker
Joanna Godchick
Analyst, BofA Securities

So in terms of volumes, so, you know, this quarter maybe wasn't very close to 3%, but I guess you still expect to kind of exit that year. But as we think about all these different tailwinds, so can you kind of walk us through what you're seeing out there in the market? So obviously there's the mental health parity recent bill that has, I guess, more teeth requiring you know, to actually execute on this mental health priority and also sounds like states are adding more benefits. So are you seeing higher demand? And I guess, are you able to meet that demand? I guess, is there something to be said about increased rates to be able to then, you know, staff for that volume?

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah. So, Joanne, I apologize because I'm having a little trouble hearing you, but I think I got the crux of your question. I'll say this. We, as I indicated in some earlier comments, I think our volume recovery and behavioral has, I think we've been candid about saying it's taken a little bit longer than we expected. We've cited a number of issues that have been challenges. Labor scarcity issues in specific pockets and specific geographies has been one. We had a handful of residential facilities that struggled with some very sort of unique issues that they've been recovering from. And I think over the last year or so we've talked about the impact of Medicaid disenrollment and the sort of challenges that that's created even for those patients who have been able to re-enroll or enroll in commercial exchange products. All that I think tends to be a benefit on the acute side. I don't think it tends to be as much of a benefit on the behavioral side. because the large copays and deductibles that generally come with those commercial plans have sort of been challenging. But I think for the most part, the recovery in our behavioral volumes and our optimism about being able to sustain that recovery in the fourth quarter is really about the improvement of all these issues. We continue to be able to hire more staff and have more adequate staff to allow us to take more patients. The residential facilities that have struggled are continuing to improve. And the Medicaid disenrollment impact, you know, continues to dissipate as either patients are able to re-enroll in Medicaid or get commercial exchange coverage and they exhaust their copays and deductibles. So I think, you know, it's the improvement in those areas that's really contributing to the behavioral improvement. I think you specifically asked about, you know, whether we're seeing or anticipating, you know, a significant benefit from the Biden administration's sort of tightening of rules on mental health parity. You know, mental health parity, which was implemented, you know, any number of years ago, put it to great fanfare, and I think, you know, expectation that we would really benefit from that. I think we've benefited to some degree, but I think the payers and the payer community broadly has been challenging in terms of really, you know, getting them to comply with, I think, both the spirit and, you know, the actual intent of mental health parity. I do think that the strengthened government regulations are helpful, but I don't know that they're likely to, you know, really create a landscape change. I think where they're helpful is as we appeal these things, as, you know, we appeal denials and that sort of thing, you know, strengthened government regulations are often helpful in that regard, but I don't think that's going to drive a huge increase in bailout volume.

speaker
Joanna Godchick
Analyst, BofA Securities

Thank you. And if I may squeeze a very last, I guess, clarification question or comment on the 2024 guidance, so assume no change. So you pulled out $20 million, I guess, good guy in the quarter from supplemental that wasn't in there, but then there was a $10 million bad guy, I guess, for this debt and debt costs. And I guess that'll make so roughly no change to your 2024 guidance. I just want to confirm that. Thank you.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yes, there is no change to our revised 2024 guidance.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And one moment as we move on to our next question. Our next question is going to come from the line of Jamie Purse with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jamie Purse
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hey, thank you. Good morning, Steve. I just wanted to go back to acute care volumes in the quarter at 1.5%. I appreciate you've been expecting some normalization, but that was, you know, just weaker than expected. And I want to get a sense of if you saw any change across the quarter in any call-outs by payer class, if you can give us any detail on how some of the larger payer classes grew relative to that. And then as we think about normalization, is this what the new normal looks like, or are there any dynamics in the third quarter that make this not representative of the go-forward?

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, so on this one, Jamie, I think I'm just going to have to repeat comments I've already made. I think that the most uh, significant sort of dynamic in the quarter is the difficult comparison to last year, uh, which I will say we have clearly and consistently pointed out during the quarter and tried to manage people's expectations. Um, but, but more importantly is that difficult comparison to last year, I think was really related to the fact. And I think if you go back and, you know, read or listen to our commentary from last year, it was this sort of, you know, exhaustion of deferred and postponed procedures. which we did view as kind of a one-time thing. What I also said earlier was I thought that if you looked at the year-to-date performance in the acute business, 3% adjusted admission growth, 5% revenue per adjusted admission growth, and if you X'd out the impact of the Nevada supplementals, you started to get... you start to get an acute care model that in my mind, A, was reflective or is reflective of our historical model, but also our expectations for the future, which is kind of, you know, mid-single digits, 6%, 7%, same-store revenue growth split pretty evenly between price and volume.

speaker
Jamie Purse
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, that's helpful. And then maybe just a bit of a longer-term question. We've been in a pretty unique environment really for the last five years or so, number of structural dynamics have either emerged or maybe intensified over that period, you know, ASC utilization, aggressive payer tactics, you know, that probably impacts administrative burden, growth in MA and HICS. I guess just as you think about the next five years, can you level set us on strategy and, in particular, internal investment priorities going forward?

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, I mean... It's a pretty broad question and one that I'm sure, you know, we could, you know, speak for an extended period of time about, you know, all the dynamics that you mentioned. I think broadly the way I would answer the question, which seems to be, you know, an acute care centered question is, you know, we have a view that the care continuum has clearly been expanded and payers are looking to ensure that patients can be treated in the most cost effective settings of care. which, you know, has resulted in a growth of ambulatory surgery facilities and freestanding imaging facilities and, you know, much greater access points. You know, we've had great success with, you know, our penetration of freestanding emergency departments as an example. But broadly, I think, you know, we are trying to participate in that, in the investment in that broader continuum, whether it's Again, ASCs, freestanding imaging, freestanding EDs, et cetera. That's certainly one component of it. The other, I think, is a continued alignment with our physicians, whether that's through accountable care organizations. We have at least one of those in every single market in which we operate, whether it's employed physicians, which we have in virtually all of our markets, et cetera. But I think we view that... As we sort of continue into a pretty challenging environment and where utilization is going to be, you know, viewed carefully by payers and by the government, we think, you know, being properly aligned with our physicians is sort of most, you know, most important dynamic. So, you know, to me, I would cite those two issues, you know, the continued emphasis on physician alignment in a bunch of different ways and the continued expansion of the care continuum and as two of our major focuses as we think about the next five years.

speaker
Jamie Purse
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

All right. Appreciate it. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And one moment for our next question. Our next question is going to come from the line of Ryan Langston with TD Cal. And your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ryan Langston
Analyst, TD Cal

Hey, Steve. Thank you. Quick one and then maybe a more broad one. First, Does the SDP program benefit you called out for DC, does that include the new facility that you're opening?

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, it does. Although I think for the most part, it's been difficult to predict what the impact on the new facility is because obviously we have no track record of utilization, et cetera. So the number that we've given is largely based on the historic performance of our acute care hospital in the district. as well as we do have a behavioral hospital in the district that would have a smaller benefit from this program. But the new hospital will participate in any new Medicaid supplemental program that's approved.

speaker
Ryan Langston
Analyst, TD Cal

So that would just be some upside potentially to what you've arranged already, I guess, maybe modest? Correct.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Okay.

speaker
Ryan Langston
Analyst, TD Cal

And then maybe just more broadly, you know, we've seen some, I guess, increase in frequency in legal headlines both on behavioral and the acute side. Just curious on your thoughts on is that just sort of the avalanche of you see one and now you're going to get three more? And if you think that might subside, I mean, it just seems like these are much higher, at least frequency than pre-COVID. So just any kind of high level thoughts on some of the legal news flow would be great. Thanks.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, I mean, certainly there have been some kind of headline grabbing verdicts in, I think, particularly in the behavioral space in the last year. I think as we've indicated, we believe that the two verdicts that we have disclosed are both subject to appealable issues. At least one of the verdicts has been substantially reduced just at the trial judge level. But again, I think there is a great deal more appeal activity to go on both of those cases. I think it's hard to say whether those cases really reflect a significant change in the landscape. I think they were both extraordinary verdicts in terms of any sort of history in terms of the facts of the case or the jurisdictions or whatever. As I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we are increasing our reserves for malpractice expense to recognize, I think, just more broadly an increase, not so much in the frequency of cases, but in the severity of cases and the severity of settlements and, you know, verdicts, et cetera, but not necessarily really driven by the two cases that we've been disclosing because I do think those are sort of extraordinary and are both likely to be significantly reduced.

speaker
Ryan Langston
Analyst, TD Cal

Got it. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And one moment for our next question. Our next question is going to come from the line of Matthew Gilmore with KBCM. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Matthew Gilmore
Analyst, KBCM

Hey Steve, so the outlets for the Medicaid supplemental payments, I think we've heard you talk about Tennessee and DC in the past. I think today you mentioned some additional funding for Nevada of $56 million. Did that be understood to be something new that's developed or was that already sort of baked in and understood previously?

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

No, I think what gives rise to that incremental benefit is the state increasing the size of their Medicaid supplemental pool as a result of updating their Medicaid utilization statistics and data and submitting that to CMS. So that is something that is sort of incrementally, you know, newsworthy to us and then obviously we're disclosing it now. But I think it's triggered by the increase in Medicaid utilization that the state is experiencing and as a consequence is increasing their pool these Medicaid supplemental payments available.

speaker
Matthew Gilmore
Analyst, KBCM

Got it. And then, Steve, I wanted to see if you would be able to provide any comments on the hurricane dynamics. I think you mentioned some impacts around the edges with behavioral volumes, but any way to think about sort of any EBITDA impact, or is it just small enough that it doesn't matter that much?

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, I mean, you know, I would say that, you know, we thought that probably in the behavioral side of the business, Patient day volume would have been maybe 25, 30 basis points higher had it not been for the impacts of the hurricane. I mentioned that, you know, I think there was a bit of a, you know, creep up in salary expense during the quarter as a result. I think broadly we had the view that trying to quantify the impact of the hurricane in both of the segments, it was just not material enough to sort of call out as a discrete item. It certainly was, you know, a bit of a drag during the quarter. But I think, you know, I think our point of view was it wasn't significant enough to call out as a discreet item.

speaker
Matthew Gilmore
Analyst, KBCM

Got it. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

One moment for our next question. Our next question is going to come from the line of Whit Mayo with Learing Partners. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Whit Mayo
Analyst, Learning Partners

Thanks. I'll just keep it to one question. Steve was just looking for an update on some of the EMR investments you guys have been making within the behavioral segment, you know, how many facilities now, any benefits that you're seeing on labor or other efficiencies, and then just maybe any new strategic initiatives within that segment that we should be mindful of as we enter 2025. Thanks.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, so I don't necessarily have, you know, the precise date in front of me with, but I think... By early next year, we'll probably have 25 or 30 facilities live on the EMR, and that implementation and installation process will continue. I think we feel like it's generally been successful, and I think it tends to lend itself to greater efficiencies when you don't necessarily have a paper record, but also higher quality of care. Different clinicians are able to view the record more more easily, et cetera, and that improves, I think, the quality of the patient care that you can provide. I think the other technological development that we've talked about before in behavioral has to do with what we describe as patient observation or patient rounding. Having eyes on behavioral patients, you know, very, very frequently is a significant part of keeping patients, you know, safe and well. And, you know, to date, that's been a physical exercise that literally, you know, someone is laying eyes on every patient every 15 minutes or so. But to the degree that we can enhance that process technologically, you know, have a patient wear what, you know, looks like an Apple Watch and have, you know, our clinicians carry what looks like a tablet around and, you know, be able to know where patients are and whether they've been observed and you know, keep track of them, you know, more effectively that way. I think that's going to be a significant development that will help in the behavioral business in a great many ways in terms of quality of patient care and risk management, et cetera, in the next few years.

speaker
Pito Chicory
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Okay. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And one moment for our next question. Our next question is going to come from the line of Michael Ha with Baird. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Michael Ha
Analyst, Baird

Thank you, Steve. I think last quarter you mentioned a lot of cost management in your acute care business in preparation for that sort of eventual return to pre-pandemic volume. And then basically the aim of being able to continue EBITDA and margin expansion, even when things moderate. So now that volume appear to be moderating and acuity seems to be picking up, it feels like it might be materializing faster than most expected. So I wanted to revisit this topic. ask about those cost management efforts. How has it been tracking? And at this point in time, if volumes do continue to moderate, what's your confidence level that you're right now in the right position to drive that EBITDA and margin expansion in the Q?

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, I mean, I think the point that I tried to make in the last quarter, maybe in the last couple of quarters, is this sort of idea that some of the traditional kind of blocking and tackling that, you know, we have done from a productivity standpoint was, if not suspended, maybe paused temporarily during the pandemic. You know, we were so challenged in, you know, finding, you know, an adequate workforce and keeping an adequate workforce during the pandemic. You know, there were, you know, we're definitely sort of there was a reluctance to, you know, manage to, you know, what we would sort of consider peak efficiency. I think, you know, as we emerged from the pandemic, we're willing to do the sort of things that I think we've always historically done, including adjusting to, you know, volumes as they moved up and down. And, you know, I think, you know, you saw that last quarter, and I think you saw that this quarter as well, where, you know, salaries as a percentage of revenues has been, you know, coming down and coming down. pretty steadily, and I think is really one of the main contributors to that margin recovery. I think that's continuing, and I think the point being, you know, I don't exactly know where acute care volumes will, you know, move, and I don't think anybody really knows for certain, but I think we're in a position where, you know, we're much more, you know, flexible about reacting to that and reacting to that in an efficient way than we were at the height of the pandemic when we faced so many more staffing challenges.

speaker
Michael Ha
Analyst, Baird

Thank you. And then follow-up, California and New Mexico supplemental payments for 25. We're hearing it could be potentially 70 to 80 million for California, 30 for New Mexico, for UHS. I was wondering if you have any sort of additional clarity on sizing. And then with all the recent discussion around state proposals and the CMS raising those payments to average commercial rates for next year. I was wondering if you could talk more about those supposers, the potential tailwind, not just California and Florida, which everyone's been focused on, but across all your states. I guess how real a potential tailwind is this? Thank you.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, so just responding to the specific questions you asked, you know, New Mexico I don't think is a significant deal. Upside for us, we have one small behavioral facility in New Mexico. California, we obviously have a much bigger presence, both for acute and behavioral. I think the challenge in terms of sizing the potential benefit in California is that the state has not created a formal plan or an allocation methodology, et cetera. So even though we understand that the potential benefit in total could be quite significant. We really have no way of knowing exactly how that would impact specific hospitals, how it would be allocated among specific hospitals until the state issues a more specific plan, which at least we understand is not likely to happen until sometime maybe next year, early next year. Your broader question about are more states likely to increase their programs or develop new programs, increase their funding to average commercial rates, It really varies by state, and we've sort of had this practice of we really only disclose them when the states have a formal plan that they've submitted to CMS and are awaiting approval. But we certainly, like others, are aware that other states are contemplating this in earlier stages, et cetera. And so we continue to believe that the potential benefit could be significant beyond just the ones that we've disclosed, which are significant, I think, in and of themselves. but difficult to size that opportunity in any sort of precise way until the states develop their plans and submit them to CMS.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And one moment for our next question.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Our next question is going to come from the line of Ben Hendrix with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ben Hendrix
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Great. Thank you very much. Just a quick follow-up on some of the psychiatric questions, especially in residential psych. And I think I've asked this before, but just wanted to get any update or any update, the thoughts on your strategic initiatives around psych. And you mentioned the higher liability reserves and some very specific issues. at some of your facilities. Is there any thoughts on kind of changing strategic direction or evolving strategy there? And could we potentially, amid this heightened security, could there be consolidation opportunities in residential? Thanks.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, I mean, you know, I was asked kind of a more strategic question earlier. Well, that focus was on acute care. But then I think in some ways, my answer on behavioral and my outlook is similar in the sense that we see an expanding continuum in which outpatient care is likely to play a greater role and there'll be more demand for access to outpatient care and we're expanding our outpatient footprint in response to that. I think we continue to expand our services to military members because that seems to be a growing and significant part of the business. The SUD or addiction business continues to grow and demand is increasing there and I think we're increasing our exposure there. I don't know that it's particularly an acute residential issue of paying attention or focusing on one more than the other. as much as it is these other service lines, you know, which we think are growing in it. And I would add to sort of the outpatient dynamic, you know, continuing expansion of telehealth capabilities as well.

speaker
Ben Hendrix
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And I'm showing no further questions at this time, and I would like to hand the conference back over to Steve Filpton for any closing remarks.

speaker
Steve Fulton
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, we'd just like to thank everybody for their time and look forward to speaking with people at the end of next quarter. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. Everyone have a great day.

Disclaimer

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