US Foods Holding Corp.

Q3 2020 Earnings Conference Call

11/2/2020

spk05: Thank you.
spk04: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the U.S. Foods Third Quarter 2020 Performance Review. At this time, all participants in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during this session, you will need to press star 1 on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you require any further assistance, please press star 0. I will now let the hand of conference over to your speaker today, Ms. Melissa Napier. Thank you. Please go ahead, ma'am.
spk03: Thanks, Cara. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to our third quarter fiscal 2020 earnings call. Joining me on today's call are Pietro Satriano, our CEO, and Dirk Lacascio, our CFO. Pietro and Dirk will provide an overview of our results for the third quarter and the first nine months of fiscal 2020, as well as provide some details on volume trends that we saw during the month of October. We'll take your questions after our prepared remarks conclude please provide your name, your firm, and limit yourself to one question. During today's call, and unless otherwise stated, we're comparing our third quarter results to the same period in fiscal 2019. Our earnings release issued earlier this morning and today's presentation slides can be accessed on the investor relations page of our website. References to organic financial results during today's call exclude contributions from Smart Food Service, which we acquired in April of 2020, and also exclude contributions from the food group for the time period prior to the anniversary date of the closing of the acquisition. In addition to historical information, certain statements made during today's call are considered forward-looking statements. Please review the risk factors in our 2019 Form 10-K and our last quarter's 10-Q filed with the SEC for these potential factors which could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the statement. Lastly, during today's call, we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. All reconciliations to the most comparable financial measures are included in the schedule on our earnings press release, as well as in the appendices and presentation slides posted on our website. I'll now turn the call over to Pietro.
spk10: Thank you, Melissa, and good morning, everyone. Before we get started, I would like to thank all our associates for their dedication and commitment that they have displayed in helping our customers navigate this challenging environment. Their efforts have truly been second to none. I'm going to begin on slide two with an executive summary of what we'll cover today. First, as evidenced by the continued appetite of consumers to eat out and take out, as well as the continued ingenuity of restaurants across the country, we remain confident that our industry will return to pre-COVID levels over time. Second, the third quarter saw a marked improvement in our business. Case volumes have steadily improved and we are profitably gaining market share. Third, recent acquisitions of Food Group and Smart Food Service have performed in line with expectations and the integration of Food Group is on track. And finally, the steady improvement in our case volume combined with our cost reduction actions, led to a just-eat-the-dot that was a marked improvement over the second quarter. Dirk will cover this fourth point in this review of the financial results, and I will cover the first three, starting with our perspective on the industry. Moving to slide four, the chart on the left compares consumer visits at food-away-from-home establishments, like restaurants, to visits at food-at-home establishments, like grocery stores. As you can see, pre-COVID, food away from home visits were roughly 50% of total consumer visits. After stepping down in late March and April, consumer visits at food away from home establishments have consistently increased and are trending back towards the 50% level that the industry experienced pre-COVID. This recovery illustrates the desire of the consumer to purchase from food away from home establishments, a habit that has been shaped over decades and helps reaffirm our belief that our industry will ultimately recover to pre-COVID levels. One of the drivers of this recovery has been off-premise dining, which continues to grow in importance. As we said in our last call, for full-service restaurants, 55% of traffic in June was off-premise, compared to 19% pre-COVID. A more recent survey states that 68% of consumers in this country order takeout at least once a month post-COVID, compared to 45% pre-COVID, an increase of 51%. The continued growth in off-premise dining also gives us the confidence that restaurants in the colder climates will be able to navigate the winter months. Over the past several months, we have seen restaurants embrace ghost kitchens, also known as virtual kitchens, a way by which operators can use their kitchen space to create new brands focused solely on takeout and delivery. In addition, some operators are experimenting with tents, igloos and heaters as a way to prolong outdoor dining. And others are promoting air purification mechanisms such as UV lighting as a way to build consumer trust for indoor dining. The ingenuity of restaurant operators has kept the permanent closure rate at a low level. And we've even begun to hear about some well-run and well-capitalized operators looking for opportunities to open new restaurants as the external environment improves. Let's now go to slide five and take a look at our own volume performance across different customer types. Throughout the third quarter and into the early part of the fourth quarter, we have seen a steady improvement in case volume across most of our customer types. The green line on the chart shows total restaurant case volume, including both independent and chain restaurants. The uptick you see in the month of August and September is both a result of an improvement in the industry as well as U.S. foods gaining share. Organic restaurant case volume for the week ending October 24th was down just under 10% compared to prior year, which is remarkable given that we were down almost 60% at the beginning of the pandemic. When we compare independence to change over the last few weeks, organic independent case volume has been down approximately 11 to 12% year on year, while organic chain case volume has been down approximately 7 to 8% year on year. Moving to other customer types, our case volume with both healthcare and hospitality has also improved. Healthcare designated by the blue line has ticked up as hospitals have started allowing visitors to return in a limited fashion. Hospitality, designated by the yellow line, has also picked up, as hotel occupancy rates have improved, especially in some geographies and formats, as leisure travelers have substituted one kind of travel for another. Last quarter, I commented on the $500 million of new business we had won in the first half of this year. This business is now fully onboarded, And I'm happy to report that on an annual run rate basis, we are on pace to onboard a total of over $800 million of new business by the end of this calendar year. Several of the new wins since we last spoke are in the healthcare arena, demonstrating the strength of our new business pipeline across the multiple different customer types. The pipeline remains strong, and as we look ahead to next year, we expect to continue to gain market share. And as we have previously discussed, the new business went across these multiple customer types at good contribution margins, helping us grow overall profitability. Let's move to slide six and a discussion of the factors that have led to these market share gains. As we see it, U.S. Foods has four distinct advantages over many competitors. The first is our scale and our scope. Our national footprint and consistent approach to servicing multi-geography customers are of particular appeal to large customers who are looking for a stable distribution partner like U.S. Foods. Second is our digital leadership. Our e-commerce offering has been particularly important during these times as customers are able to shop our extensive product offering and place orders online. Third is our suite of value-added services or CHEC business tools. One of our more popular value-added services has been ChowNow, a platform that allows customers to do takeout and delivery with much more favorable economics than competing services. Since the pandemic began, the number of customers using ChowNow has increased 50%. Now, not only does this drive more loyalty to U.S. foods, but we have seen that customers who use ChowNow are buying more, approximately 80% more than customers who are not using that platform, which also confirms how much off-premise dining has grown in importance. A new addition to our portfolio of value-added services is our Ghost Kitchen Playbook, supported by proprietary analytics. And this has helped customers mitigate the impact of COVID by extending their off-premise reach, both geographically and into new menu concepts that are particularly suited for delivery. And the fourth advantage is our growing portfolio of innovative products. In September, we launched our fall scoop focused on off-premise dining. The launch featured new items such as tamper-evident containers, cleaning and sanitizing products, and individually packaged ingredients that allow restaurants to create home meal kits. Response to the scoop launch was just terrific, and customer penetration was comparable to the rates that we used to see pre-COVID. Last week, we launched our Holiday Scoop, which features more new items, many in keeping with current customer needs, including the only EPA-registered 2-in-1 sanitizer that is effective against the virus that causes COVID-19, thereby helping operators keep their environment safe and building trust with diners. This Holiday Scoop also features items for off-premise dining with solutions that are perfect for family meals, including several sustainable items to add to an already strong line of products in our served good pot form. These differentiated products and solutions are a great example of how we continue to be the leading and most relevant distributor to operators. Lastly, on page seven, I want to provide an update on our two recent acquisitions. As we discussed last quarter, the food group's national chain business continues to perform well, benefiting from some of the recent favorable QSR trends we have seen play out in the industry. On the integration front, systems conversions required to enable some of the expected synergies are also progressing well. In August, we completed the first systems conversion in the Seattle market, and that went without a hitch. Over this past weekend, we completed our second systems conversion, and early signs point to another successful conversion. As a result, we have made up most of the temporary pause due to COVID, and we are on pace to achieve the previously communicated $65 million of annual run rate synergies on the original timeline, of which we expect to realize $10 million of those synergies this year in 2020. Moving to smart food service, Kate's volumes continue to outperform our delivered business, with comps down in the low to mid-single digits over prior year. The cash and carry business typically performs well in economic downturns as customers look to the value offering it provides. The smart food service stores are also open to the public, and this has allowed us to capture some of the shift to food at home over the last several months without changing our business model. Adjusting to the dog remains on pace with our expectations, and we expect to achieve the synergy target that we have previously discussed. Lastly, I'm pleased to announce the opening of two new Smart Food Service stores in the fourth quarter of this year. This is just the beginning of our store expansion plans with the ultimate goal to double the existing store count. I'll now turn it over to Dirk for a discussion of our third quarter financial results.
spk11: Thank you, Pietro. I'd like to begin on slide nine where I'll cover the highlights for the quarter before taking a deeper dive into our financial results. Our third quarter results showed significant improvement from the prior quarter and highlight the work we've done to position the business for success post-COVID. As Pietro mentioned, we saw consistent improvement in case volume as the quarter progressed. This improvement is attributable to our ability to gain market share as well as improvement in the underlying fundamentals of the industry. Our adjusted gross profit margin improved 70 basis points from the second quarter and was stable throughout the quarter. We expect our adjusted gross profit margin will continue to improve as our case volume recovers and our customer product mix returns to pre-COVID levels. On the cost side, we enacted a series of permanent cost reductions in the second and third quarters that will position the business for higher EBITDA margins post-COVID. On an annualized basis, we eliminated approximately $180 million of fixed costs from the business and will continue to manage our variable costs in line with case volumes. These fixed cost reductions are mostly in the corporate and back office areas of the business. And I'm pleased to report that we continue to see strong collection efforts on our outstanding accounts receivable. And as a result, we further reduce the uncollectible account receivable reserve by $30 million. Again, this quarter, our incremental COVID related uncollectible account reserve now sits at $65 million. and we have not seen a degradation in the quality of our receivables since COVID began. Moving to slide 10, our third quarter financial results improved significantly from the trough we experienced in the second quarter. Net sales compared to the prior year were down 10.5% for the quarter, driven by a combination of lowercase volume and negative customer mix, which is a significant improvement from the 29% year-over-year net sales decline we saw in the second quarter. Inflation for the quarter was 220 basis points, primarily driven by inflation in the beef and cheese categories. Our adjusted gross profit margin was down 100 basis points compared to the prior year, but improved 70 basis points from the second quarter. Changes in our customer and product mix and lower inbound logistics income were the drivers of the year-over-year decline. Lower inbound case volume resulted in us needing to re-optimize our freight network to compensate for the loss of scale that we benefit from at higher inbound case volume levels. This work is in process, and we expect our inbound logistics income to improve as the re-optimization works take effect and inbound case volumes improve. As I previously mentioned, we expect our adjusted gross margin to increase as our case volume recovers and customer and product mix returns to more normal pre-COVID levels. Gross margin at the customer level remains similar to pre-COVID rates, and we continue to see a rational competitive environment. Adjusted operating expense increased 20 basis points compared to the prior year. However, this was a 100 basis point improvement compared to the second quarter. We experienced a 20 basis point year-over-year increase despite experiencing fixed cost deleverage from lowercase volume. During the quarter, we successfully managed our variable cost to be in line with case volume while enacting the permanent cost reductions I discussed earlier. In the third quarter, there were a couple of items that had a net benefit to adjusted operating expense of approximately 20 basis points, the largest of which was a $17 million gain on the piece of excess land in Southern California. We don't expect these items to repeat in the upcoming quarters. Even with the benefit factored in, we're extremely pleased with the work we've done on the cost side. our cost structure remains flexible, allowing us to quickly adapt to changes in our case volume. On slide 11, I thought it would be helpful to spend a few minutes discussing our operating leverage and adjusted EBITDA margin. Prior to COVID, our adjusted EBITDA margin, which is the difference between adjusted gross profit and adjusted operating expense, was running in the mid-4% range and increasing annually. At the trough in the second quarter, this delta shrunk to 190 basis points, but it's quickly expanded again to 3.6% in the third quarter. This is a direct result of the improvement in our customer mix and the cost actions we've taken. If you notice, our adjusted operating expense with the percent of sales in the quarter is largely in line with where it was pre-COVID. This is despite the fixed cost deleverage from lower case volume. As our case volume improves, we expect the organization to operate at a lower adjusted operating expense level than we did pre-COVID. And on the adjusted gross profit margin side of the equation, the recovery in our independent restaurant case volume is helping us to drive improvements. And as I just mentioned, we continue to work to re-optimize our inbound freight network. This work and an increase in our independent case volume will help adjusted gross profit recover to be in line with pre-COVID levels. And that effect, we believe, will be an expansion of our adjusted EBITDA margin post-COVID. Moving to slide 12, Our adjusted EBITDA results for the third quarter improved meaningfully from the second quarter in both dollars and EBITDA margin. Adjusted EBITDA was $209 million for the quarter, which means based on this run rate, the business is generating approximately $800 million of adjusted EBITDA on an annualized basis, despite case volume being down in the high teens. This is another indication of the flexible cost structure and operating model that exists within the business. In the third quarter, we returned to positive earnings, generating $32 million of adjusted net income and 15 cents of adjusted diluted earnings per share. Since we had a gap net loss for the quarter, the additional preferred equity shares are not included in the share count for the third quarter. When we do return to positive gap net income, those shares will be factored into the earnings per share calculations. If these were included in the Q3 earnings calculation, our adjusted diluted EPS for the quarter would have been 13 cents. Turning to slide 13, the business remained in a strong liquidity and cash flow position. We ended the third quarter with $1 billion of cash on hand and $2.7 billion of total liquidity. In the second quarter, we had a large working capital benefit, which we expected to reverse in the third quarter. As of the end of the third quarter, this reversal is largely complete. During the quarter, we reinvested in inventory to support current case volume levels and return vendors to a normal payment schedule. Going forward, we'll manage working capital in line with the recovery in case volume. And at current case volume levels, the business is cash flow positive, and we expect to return to the strong cash flow levels we experienced pre-COVID as case volume continues to recover. We remain focused on reducing our net debt balance and lowering our net debt leverage ratio, which stands at 5.9 times at the end of the third quarter. Over time, we expect to reduce our leverage ratio through both an improvement in EBITDA dollars and a reduction in our outstanding debt, as we've consistently demonstrated the ability to do in the past. Overall, I'm extremely pleased with the progress we've made during the third quarter and the benefits we expect the business to experience from a continued recovery in case volume. With that, operator, we can now open the call for questions. Thank you.
spk04: As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 1 on your telephone. To withdraw your question, press the pound key. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of John Heinbichel with Guggenheim Partners.
spk06: Hey, Pietro, two things I wanted to dig into. The 180 million, how much of that did you see in the third quarter? And is that now, that is a run rate beginning in the fourth quarter. And how did you go about sort of safeguarding? It sounds like it didn't impact the field at all, safeguarding that would not impact your top line.
spk10: You're talking about the 180 and cost reductions, John? Yeah. Yeah. So, you know, primarily, and Dirk can add more on this, the focus has been primarily on the back office. We did make some small reductions in the sales force, as you know, John, back in April, aligning the size of sales force with the expected customer count over the long term. And so we... And as a result, as you can see by the market share gains and by the success we've had in terms of bringing on large customers, the reductions we've made have not impacted us. We've learned to operate in a kind of more lean, more agile fashion as a result of COVID. And as Dirk said, we think that over the mid to long term, that also will result in a higher EBITDA margin. Dirk, anything you want to add?
spk11: The other thing I would just add, Pietro, is just, again, a reminder on the sales reductions that Pietro mentioned were the ones that happened earlier in the year, and the more recent reductions were mostly back office types of roles. And, John, to your point, we do expect to be at a full run right here in the fourth quarter.
spk06: All right. Maybe as a follow-up, right, the idea – and it makes sense, right, that the business would be more profitable on a margin rate basis given the 180-plus synergy – When you think about returning to pro forma, sales and profitability, how quickly do you think it would seem like profit would come back maybe faster than top line? Is that fair? And would you think, could it be a year sooner that profitability, again, given the 180 and the synergy, that profitability would come back before you got to a pro forma revenue number, or no?
spk11: So with that, John, I think it is a reasonable assumption that it would come back quicker. It's hard to predict exactly how much quicker, but your point, as volume recovers, that does help profitability. But given the actions we've taken on cost that go into effect essentially now, it is reasonable to expect the profitability would come back quicker.
spk06: OK, thank you.
spk04: Your next question comes from the line of Kelly Vania with BMO Capital.
spk13: Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking our questions. Just a couple of questions. First on the Smart Food Service and SGA, wondering if you could just talk a little bit more about how those are performing and the contributions there. Sounds like Smart Food performing quite strong. And then just another question on the efficiency as you're bringing on some costs back as trends improve and how you see that trend continuing?
spk11: Sure. Good morning, Kelly. I can start and then Pietro can add as appropriate. I think as Pietro indicated earlier for the acquisitions, they're performing well relative to the environment we're in. To your point, SMART holding up quite well as a business. So starting with food group, Their sales were slightly better than U.S. Foods Organic for the quarter, really driven by a higher mix of chain business. And their overall EBITDA decline was a little bit better than the organic business, in large part because of the synergy benefits that have begun to flow through. Also, just from a food group, as Petra noted, with the second successful system conversion, we continue to make good progress on the integration of that business and are pleased at the pace now in which we have reaccelerated to move ahead with that. From a smart food service, you're exactly right. So that business has held up quite well for some of the reasons Petra talked about, the case volumes being really down in the low to mid-single-digit range, and EBITDA not much off from prior year levels. So we continue to be excited by what that presents from an existing footprint as well as expansion opportunities from this highly profitable business. So we're pleased today with both of them and continuing to work to strengthen our footprints and our penetration in both of them and continue to build on that.
spk10: The only minor point I would add, Kelly, is that the performance we've seen with Smart Food Service in terms of the load of mid-single digit comps, negative comps is very much in line with our six chef stores in a different part of the country. So it just goes to reaffirm the resilience of this channel and the appeal of this channel, especially in these kind of more challenging economic times.
spk13: Perfect. And just the efficiency, just as you've kind of brought back some costs, you know, as sales have improved and just If you can just tie that in maybe with the size of the sales force of where it is now and how much of that contributes to the 180 in cost savings.
spk11: Sure. So the reason that we tried to separate out the 180 from variable costs, because one of the things that, uh, so I, I need to maybe start with, uh, distribution is that a distribution labor pool is, is flexing up and down and depending on, uh, what the results and the case volumes are in different markets. And so we've been, uh, pretty active in managing that and we'll continue to do in order to, to match volumes. So, so that's, that's the main area where you see, uh, labor moving around a lot from the, the other, uh, selling an admin. You know, we have brought back some sellers from the original reductions, but I think in that case, we're pretty pleased with the size of where we are and the one thing that we've talked a lot about in the past and have demonstrated that in that case, as volume improves in certain markets, As needed, we will bring sellers back in order to profitably grow sales. But the bulk of the 180 that we've talked about is more admin and back office type roles, which we would expect to largely stay in place as this continues to recover.
spk13: Thank you.
spk04: Your next question comes from the line of Edward Kelly with Wells Fargo.
spk07: Hi, good morning, guys. Thanks for all the color so far. I wanted to start with just, you know, current case growth trends and maybe if you could provide a bit more color around, you know, what you're seeing currently. I know you have through, it looks like, I guess, the week of October 24th. It looks like total organic cases may be down somewhere in high teens. Just curious is if you've seen any change in that more recently. Just given the rise in COVID cases and the cooler weather. And then we are seeing, you know, globally restrictions kind of rising here, which, you know, maybe we start to see some of that in the US. Do you think that we could see some step back in the recovery, you know, as we sort of like get deeper into fall and winter?
spk10: Good morning, Ed. It's Pietro. So in terms of the pattern, I mean, you could see the, you know, from, I forget which page it is, you know, it's been a slow and steady increase throughout the fall. The increase has slowed a little bit from where it was this summer, not surprisingly. But it's a slow and steady increase versus where we were the week before, the week before that. In terms of, you know, the possible headwinds we might head into that you mentioned, I mean, the thing I would also ask, you know, to think about is, you know, the offsetting positive tailwinds. So let's walk through, I think, the things you mentioned. So the number of increasing COVID cases. So one of the things we did do is, you know, there was a, you know, what was characterized as a second wave in the Sun Belt this summer. And what we did is we looked at the sales in those states, primarily Georgia, Florida, Arizona, Texas, and what we found was there was a bit of a step back for a little bit of time, but then what we found is sales bounced back and they recovered at a higher level than they were before that second wave. So the long-term trend or mid-term trend continues to go up and just kind of overcome the the COVID cases. So, so yeah, so people might, consumers might be on the sidelines for some period of time, but then they come back and they come back in even greater numbers than they were pre, pre that spike. So I think that that's encouraging. You know, I think in terms of the colder climate, I talked about, about that a little bit in my, in my comments, you know, in some parts of the country, obviously, you know, there's not as much outdoor dining that can happen. But, But I think the wild card is the continued growing importance of off-premise dining, whether it's takeout or delivery. And there's a number of things restaurants are doing to both make diners feel more comfortable about indoor dining and as well trying to prolong the outdoor season. You know, in terms of restrictions, you're right. There's a couple of places in the last week that have put restrictions in place. You know, there's still also places in the country that have restrictions in place that haven't come off, like California. So I think those might have offset, you know, across the portfolio of geography. So what I would say is, you know. short term there's there may be as many positive tailwinds as some of the headwinds that you you describe and i think medium to long term the trajectory continues to to remain positive okay um and then i was curious um i guess derek if you could provide some color on the cadence of sort of hibita by month and i'm
spk07: asking this question because just taking a step back, the Q4 consensus estimate looks to be around $270 million or so, which to me seems a little high. I'm just kind of curious as to how we should be thinking about Q4.
spk11: Sure. So the overall, just in broad terms, the cadence wasn't all that different. You end up with a little stronger EBITDA as volume recovered throughout the quarter. But beyond that, there's not a whole lot I have to add. I think the other incremental piece is we would expect a little more of the cost savings to show up in Q4. But Otherwise, as far as the timing indicates in the quarter, nothing specific to call out beyond that as far as specific timing.
spk07: So where you were sort of running end of Q3, maybe you sprinkle in a little bit more cost saves, and that's kind of how we think about EBITDA by month Q4. Is that fair?
spk11: There's always some things on Q3. some things on seasonality and timing of things, but I think when you think about the core business, that's a good way to think about it. And I think that You know, I know there's interest in the coming few months, I think, so we're trying to balance that as you would want us to, but at the same time, you know, trying to make these decisions to balance for, you know, this time frame that's post-COVID in order to make sure that we're doing the things of really setting ourselves up for success on the other side. We actually talked about this of gaining share on small and large customers, and we've had very strong success in the last few months on that and are going to continue to push ahead to really help prepare the business further for the near term as well as the midterm.
spk07: Okay. If I could just squeeze one more, and this is for you, Pietro, I guess. You're optimistic that profitability can exceed pre-COVID levels. Some of this depends, I guess, probably on making the right decisions on the business that you take in today. Can you just talk a bit about how you're balancing the desire to drive near-term EBITDA growth with sort of the focus on, you know, post-COVID margins and, you know, the $800 million that you brought in, those margins kind of look similar to what the company would earn pre-COVID. Just, you know, curious as you're thinking about all that.
spk10: Yeah. So as I tried to allude to in my comments, the margins for the new business that we have brought in are very healthy, you For large customers, they're obviously lower than independents or small customers, but if you look at that spectrum of large customers, they come in in the upper quartiles of the margin profile of the large customers that we historically had in our portfolio. So we've been very judicious in terms of the rate at which we bring on those customers. I think the factors that are driving the interest of customers to make a different decision about who to partner with have probably more to do with some of the advantages I talked about, the scale, the stability we provide, some of the value added, especially some of those smaller multi-unit local customers, those value added still make a big difference. And I think that's really what is driving those profitable market share gains. Great.
spk07: Thank you.
spk04: Our next question comes from the line of John Avinco with JP Morgan.
spk01: Hi. Thank you. I wanted to revisit the $180 million of cost savings, which you said the majority of which are in the back office and corporate. That's not a small number. Obviously, I know that you know. Are there any future investments or functionality that you've taken off the front burner that maybe you're losing as some of those costs cut? And were there any major department consolidations, other types of structural work that happened to hit that $180 million? And the final question, just in case I get cut off, Some companies have talked about regionalization of their business, changing the way their sales force is compensated, just taking the opportunity of doing a broader restructuring, not just on the corporate and back office, but also what's facing the customer. Is that on the table? Is that off the table? Where are you in that process? Thank you.
spk11: Thanks. Maybe, Pietro, I'll start with some of the initial costs, and then you can comment on some of the business model things. so i i think on that uh john with uh out of 180 so uh most of it being people related costs but uh you know what i would say is we took an approach to really try to to balance so that we weren't making decisions that we felt negatively impacted the customer ability to service the customer in fact our focus on customer and service levels to customers is more relentless, I would say, in the last three to six months than it was prior to COVID, really, of, in fact, in some cases, investing more in inventory as we really strive for that. I think as we've gone through, there's a lens we've applied across these different areas, some of it because in some of these admins, if you do have you know, volume lower, you can take some of this out. We have found some ways through using some of our continuous improvement process to streamline some processes. So as you think about big investments in the way our priorities are structured, we have applied a prioritization and are not sacrificing the future and our top priorities at the expense of this cost and still feel very good about our ability to maintain and expand on leadership in many areas coming out of the other side of COVID.
spk10: Yeah, thanks, Dirk. And then in terms of some of the other things you've said, are they on or off the table, John? I presume you're referring to a couple of things. One is move to a multi-site area. And you'll remember, we moved to that management model in 2015. We're very happy with it. We think it served us well. you know, most areas have a present that overlooks two markets. We think that's the right number, and we aligned our region structure at that time to be consistent with that span. So we think we, you know, we did that work a number of years ago, and we're happy with the results of that work in terms of our operating model.
spk01: And anything, you know, on the sales facing part of the business, just in terms of how the customer is being served, whether it's you know, rethinking the way that they're being compensated or, you know, what the coverage are and how, you know, the territory managers are integrated just within the selling organization. I mean, if there are any changes that, you know, that the customer could see, that could also make you more efficient.
spk10: Right. So thanks for that reminder. You know, the team-based selling approach is, again, one we put in place many years ago. As you know, we modified our approach to compensation slightly a couple of years ago. So again, those are changes that we've already made, and we want to make sure that they settle. The only thing that has been pretty different in this environment compared to where we were before is the ability of, in particular, our restaurant operations consultants. We have specialists who are focused on product And then we have experts or specialists, we call them ROCs, restaurant operation consults, who are focused on the back office of the restaurant. And we've been able to really increase their reach through the webinars and through virtual technology. So what we've been able to do is, as opposed to have, you know, one rock or a couple of rocks in the market, try to learn everything about, especially with respect to the reopening blueprint or with respect to back in March or April, how to best apply for the government support. We were able to specialize and give people a much broader reach, which results in a better customer experience with customers. I suspect some of that will persist, John. You're able to expand the reach and provide a better experience for the customers. But when it comes to more of the product specialists, which is more hands-on, I don't expect a lot of change on that front.
spk01: Thank you. And I'm sure everyone's looking forward to getting the food shows back on the schedule. That'd be a nice reminder that COVID is over. Thanks so much. Good luck, guys.
spk08: Thanks, John.
spk04: Your next question comes from the line of Lawrence Sieberman with Credit Suisse.
spk02: Thank you. Can you dimensionalize organic independent case growth with the impact of restaurant sales declines versus net new restaurant customer acquisition versus wild share gains? To what extent have same sales decreases amongst existing customers and closures been offset by wild share gains and onboarding of new customers?
spk10: Um, so what I would say Laura is, uh, know some of the gains as i said have come from from market share gains and market shares is uh we've recently been able to to try to triangulate around that there's not great data on that we're starting to get better data um i mean of course uh some customers especially those where there's uh remain to be uh indoor restrictions uh i've had same store sales uh fall but some have compensated as i've said through off-premise dining and through outdoor dining, of course, the summer and the colder climates. So it's really, there's a number of different factors, and I think it would be hard to generalize. I don't know that we have all the data, and I think it would be hard to generalize specifically with respect to your question.
spk02: Oh, we understood. Just to follow up on the near-term organic case growth, looks like restaurants about down 10% the last few weeks. So I know you spoke to some of the near-term headwinds, but as we think about further sales gains from here, are they largely predicated on increases in capacity restrictions, or where do you really see the most meaningful opportunities for continued recovery near-term, you know, assuming the current environment is status quo?
spk10: I think, so I think over time, so the next two to four months, I don't know that anyone is, as Ed was implying, you know, that the current environment may improve, may very well deteriorate, depends on different parts of the country. And as I said, there are just as many potential positive forces as headwinds with respect to the near-term environment. I think what I would focus on is more the medium to long-term environment, Laura, where we think that consumers, you know, if there are some consumers who are obviously perhaps sitting on the sidelines, who perhaps haven't replaced all their dining out occasions with off-premise, that over time, especially once there's a vaccine in place, I think that those consumer habits go back to where they were. And what we're really encouraged by is just the steady, the slow and steady increase in organic performance, despite the second wave, despite some of the other things. You know, we're just seeing what's really encouraging over the long term is the slow and steady increase in organic performance amongst independents.
spk02: Okay, this is just a quick one. We've seen a pretty significant disparity in performance in urban and suburban markets. So what's your role to exposure concentration in urban versus suburban areas?
spk10: I don't know that we're able to quantify that, Laura, but I think you do raise a point. That's another example of where... you know, some of the more urban markets have been hit hard, but we've seen the offsetting shift to some areas. And again, when you cover the country like we do, you know, it's like a very well-diversified portfolio of stocks, a bunch of puts and takes, and we're making sure our local leaders do is make sure they shift appropriately, whether it's to different menu types that are more resilient or different sub-geographies that are experiencing growth.
spk02: Thank you very much.
spk04: Your next question comes from the line of Alex Sagal with Jeffrey.
spk09: Thank you. Good morning. I wanted to follow up on the margin commentary and First margin improved, you know, a solid 70 basis points quarter over quarter. This quarter is wondering how we should think about the dynamics heading into the 4Q, which historically is a pretty high margin quarter. Obviously, this year faces some unusual circumstances. If there's any factors we should consider in our 4Q view. Sure.
spk11: Good morning. I think that... When I start with the core customer margins, as I mentioned earlier, they've been quite stable, and we continue to see a pretty rational competitive environment. So at this point, it doesn't indicate that as something to consider changing. I think the main thing is really if the mix, again, plays out any differently than historically or recent run rates. But as far as the core underlying health, There's nothing specific that I would call out there, and we would expect the gross margins as volume and mix recovers to continue to improve as it has in more recent months. Like I said, at the second quarter call, I called out the last two months of that quarter versus this, and we have seen improvements as volume and mix has recovered and as volume recovers over time. We expect that to happen, and it's kind of hard to predict exactly which that happens in Q4 versus, you know, the coming quarters. But we are seeing that positivity happen as volume recovers.
spk09: Thanks. And then a follow up on the smart food service business. Sounds like you opened a couple stores so far in the 4Q. Do you have a rough idea on what you think the pace of development will look like in the 21?
spk11: So on those, we've opened one. We have one more that will be opened. And we haven't talked about a specific near-term pace. One of the things that we do have more in the pipeline for opening next year, and as Pietro commented earlier, our plans continue to be to double the footprint over the long term. We're working to integrate that in the business and really allow us to have that strong omnichannel presence that would be difficult to match. And as you may remember, we've talked about in the past is the positive that we see with our own smaller footprint of chef stores is not only do we get the incremental business from those stores and deliver customers who shop there also buy more. So it's not, it's a creative on that front. And so we look forward to as we continue to expand to likely see the benefits on that as well. So exciting future for Smart Food Service as part of the U.S.
spk09: Foods family. Great. Thanks for the color. Appreciate it. Thanks.
spk04: Your next question comes from the line of Carla Cascio with JPMorgan.
spk12: Hi. I'm wondering, given the changes that you've made, the new contracts that you've gotten and the acquisitions, if you could give us a sense for the breakdown of your business, what percentage of your sales overall are to key categories like either the restaurants, the independents, versus hospitality and healthcare.
spk08: Can you mind repeating that one more time, please?
spk12: I'm looking for a business mix where it stands today, given the acquisitions and the new business you've added. If you could break it out, if it's changed dramatically between restaurants, hospitality, and healthcare, or you can tell us how much of the business is to independence.
spk11: Sure. So, you know, at this point, we haven't quantified specifically. What I would say, though, is uh because there's also some shifts you know as you're well aware with the current changes in volume so for example with hospitality being lower but what we expect is when you look at the the core business and the customers over time we wouldn't expect that uh to shift meaningfully uh from where we had been historically you end up with uh hospitality being a little bit less than historically just because of the it is recovering but taking a little bit longer to recover than otherwise. But as you think about the business recovering over the long term, I would think about the mix similar to where it's been.
spk12: Have you said in the past what percentage of your sales are to independents or to restaurants?
spk11: So what we've talked about is we've said – I'm trying to remember that roughly – Melissa, you have to keep me honest here. Is it roughly –
spk03: About a third to independence, about a third to healthcare hospitality, about a third to what we would call all other. And then Carla, we've also said, you know, about 50% of sales are to restaurants. So that would be independent as well as change.
spk12: Okay, great. That's helpful.
spk04: Your next question comes from the line of Jeffrey Bernstein with Barclays.
spk00: Hey, guys. This is actually Jeffrey Strong for Jeff Bernstein. Two questions for you. Can you just give us a sense of how your inventory levels and your inventory management is trending kind of as you've rebuilt your inventory following the second quarter, maybe kind of positioning it relative to your pre-COVID levels? And then second, do you have a sense of whether or not your customers, on average, are still running simplified menus or they're back to running their full menus, maybe through SKU count per customer or any other metrics you want to provide?
spk11: Sure. So as I mentioned earlier, we're actively managing our inventory just because of the pace at which certain inventory items or SKUs are moving. We're running a couple of days higher on DIOH, but pretty, I'd say, not that far different. And our replenishment sales teams are actively monitoring and we're really striking the balance between the cost, I'm sorry, having the inventory levels and the service levels. And because we have some vendor challenges of getting the product in on time getting the product that we order uh here it's a matter of we've chosen to invest a little bit extra in inventory um in order to serve our customers so again a little more not all that different and monitoring closely I think to your question about the menus, it does indicate that customers are still running more simplified menus, and I think that's a way for them, as you know, for them to manage their own inventory and risk a loss or spoilage in this environment. And I would expect that that will continue for a while until we return to a more stable environment.
spk00: Gotcha. And then is there any update on the number of your customers that are not taking deliveries right now, whether through temporary or permanent closures?
spk11: So what we've talked about is that we expect that the level of closures sort of in the single digits. And we do have that we will work with our sellers on sort of some of them being temporary and some permanent. And expect at this point the the level of closures to still remain in the single digits. I think the thing that gets, you know, harder to tell over time is how that trends. But at this point, one of the things that we've seen is operators do continue to be very resilient. And as we've talked about before, I think through, and Pietro talked about it a few different ways today, as operators, you know, really expand the offerings they have through takeout and delivery services, that they're much better positioned now in the general group, it appears, than when we first entered COVID as far as dealing with some of the uncertainty and some of the restrictions that are in place.
spk00: Gotcha. Appreciate it. Thank you.
spk04: Your next question comes from the line of John Glass with Morgan Stanley.
spk08: Thanks. Good morning. First, if I could just go back to gross margin. You had last quarter provided some helpful detail around the year-over-year change related to volume declines, acquisition puts and takes, customer mix, et cetera. Do those details for this quarter, what the pressures were by those sort of various buckets for gross profit specifically?
spk11: Correct. Sure. So, you know, what I would say is out of the roughly 100 basis points, it's It's entirely driven by the combination of mixed and the impact of sales inflation. Sort of the acquisitions were pretty benign this quarter as far as an impact. And so it really is the combination of those mixed and inflation. And actually, as I commented earlier, across our customer margins and the balance. it really is quite stable of a backdrop of an environment. So that's what gives us the positivity slash optimism of the continued return as volume continues to improve. And even across the mix, we've seen improvements in the third quarter as we've seen those volumes recover.
spk08: Thank you. And then just as a follow-up, Do you have a sense or can you sort of quantify what you think your wallet share has changed among independent customers? Some talk about gaining wallet share among existing customers, so holding aside perhaps new customer acquisition. Give a sense of how much improvement you've seen in wallet shares, such that maybe someone's switching you being a secondary distributor to the primary distributor, however you measure that wallet share among independent customers. Sure.
spk11: So we haven't talked about a specific number, but we do believe we are gaining share among the independents. And there isn't, as Pietro commented earlier, not great industry data. There's some industry data through NPD that we use that does on a more blind basis, our share in each of the markets compared to others, and that data indicates in the recent months that we are gaining share versus the rest of the industry, pretty broad-based across our regions in the independent space. And then with the larger customers in national sales, with the wind that Pietro talked about, also believable gaining share on that as customers continue to engage with our team about conversions. Okay, thank you.
spk04: Thank you. The next question comes from the line of William Roeder with Bank of America.
spk06: Good morning. I just have two.
spk10: In your prepared remarks, you talked about how permanent restaurant closures seem to be relatively benign at this point. But I guess if you could talk about sequentially between the second and third quarter, if you did see an acceleration of some of those closures, And then you've discussed the 800 gross door openings that you've achieved this year. Are there any offsetting customer losses that were meaningful? That's all for me.
spk08: Thanks.
spk11: Sure. You know, in that case, from a closure, there's nothing that I would call out as far as any meaningful change from Q2 to Q3. And I think, in fact, in many cases, operators that were closed in Q2, we started to see some openings as they adapted through the environment where they were operating in. So it's nothing meaningful to call out specifically there. And then, do you mind repeating your second question again, please?
spk10: Yeah, the second question was just you gained 800 gross new doors.
spk08: Oh, that's right.
spk10: And there are 500 of chains.
spk08: And if there's any losses, offset those. Thanks.
spk11: Sure. So there's the number, I think it's roughly $100 million or so that offsets that. On a net basis, in fact, this is one of the strongest years our national sales team has had in a number of years. and again as uh petra just to reiterate we said earlier for us when we talk about profitably growing sales that that is we're taking that serious and you know with these wins it's not uh coming because we're we're just bringing in cases it's about uh you know attractive economics on these and our our sales team you know bringing forth some of the differences we have from scale consistency of operations uh tools etc and are very very pleased with the growth and the net levels of wins and the pipeline on that business remains very strong thank you all right thank you and your final question comes from the line of carla casella with jp morgan sorry with that i had a follow-up um on the cash flow side um actually two follow-ups
spk12: You're currently paying your preferred in-kind or picking it. Do you expect to continue to do that? And then you also sold some assets in the quarter, and I'm wondering if you have much more that's slated for sale and what actually you sold.
spk11: Sure. So we expect to play through pick the first year. That's the way the agreement was structured, and then I would expect that we would pay in cash post then. and that then is just you know one of the uh instruments we're focusing on one of the things over time that we have consistently demonstrated is uh focus when we talk about de-levering of really uh following through and executing on that and getting back to our two and a half to three times which in fact we had achieved right before the two uh recent acquisitions and i would expect us to continue to use strong cash flow postcovid in order to to do that as we move ahead To your point on the sale, the piece of property we sold was an excess piece of property in California that we had that we bought a number of years ago. We, from time to time, will buy pieces of property for potential future distribution centers, and in this particular case, that time's gone on and we looked at our footprint we determined that we would not need it and thankfully uh the market has improved since we bought it and so that's why we had the 17 million dollar gain and ultimately left that in our operations because we do buy and sell our sell excess properties from time to time with that can have gains or losses but we wanted to make sure we called it out in our uh script and earnings release etc in order to to be clear of what was in the results as far as your question about that we have many others I wouldn't expect. I mean, typically, you know, in a given year, we may have one or two. There's just nothing, you know, just that there's a couple smaller ones that, you know, potentially we have on the market now. And if we have progress on those, we would give updates as we move forward.
spk12: Okay, great. Thank you so much.
spk11: Thank you.
spk04: And then I'll put the questions at this time.
spk11: Okay, thank you. I think that unfortunately, right toward the end there, Pietro was kicked off the call. So just in closing, I hope as you leave today's call, you really get three takeaways. First, just the industry is resilient, expected to return to pre-COVID volume levels. Second, that our scale and differentiation of the company are leading to market share gains. And third, that our financial results significantly improved from the drop in the second quarter. And for this, I just want to reiterate and thank all of our associates who have really worked tirelessly since the beginning of this pandemic to serve our customers. So with that, thank you all for joining our call today. And that ends our comments. Thank you. Have a good day.
spk04: This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect. Thank you.
Disclaimer

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