UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC

Q3 2021 Earnings Conference Call

10/28/2021

spk00: Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the UVE third quarter 2021 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1 on your telephone. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Rob Luther, Vice President of Corporate Strategy and Investor Relations.
spk03: Thank you and good morning, everyone. Welcome to our discussion on our third quarter 2021 earnings results, which were reported yesterday. On the call with me today is Steve Dunahee, Chief Executive Officer, and Frank Wilcox, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, please note today's discussion may contain forward-looking statements and non-GAAP financial measures. Forward-looking statements involve assumptions, risks, and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those statements. For more information, please see the press release and UVE's SEC filings, all of which are available on the investor section of our website at universalinsuranceholdings.com and on the SEC's website. A reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to comparable GAAP measures is included in the quarterly press release. With that, Steve, I'll turn it over to you.
spk05: Thanks, Rob. Good morning, everyone. Our third quarter results reported yesterday demonstrate continued execution of our multi-year strategic priorities, including discipline growth and operational improvements. Our direct premiums earned growth of 15% in the third quarter was primarily driven by primary rate increases in Florida earning through the book. We have now filed for more than 34% in primary rate increases in Florida over the past 18 months, while simultaneously continuing to shape our underwriting risk with total policies in force relatively flat year over year. Our business expenses were lower from continued expense management controls, including lower agency commissions and employee productivity gains, in addition to lower executive compensation accruals. These results were highlighted by a 16.4% annualized return on average equity in the quarter. I'd like to now turn it over to Frank to walk through our financial results. Frank.
spk02: Thanks, Steve. As a reminder, discussions today on adjusted operating income and adjusted EPS are on a non-GAAP basis and exclude effects from unrealized and realized gains and losses on investments in any extraordinary reinstatement premiums and related commissions. Adjusted operating income also excludes interest expense. We ended the third quarter with total revenue down 7.8 percent to $287.3 million, driven primarily by the realized gain on investments of $53.8 million in the third quarter of the prior year versus a $4.3 million realized gain in the current quarter. Direct premiums earned were up 15 percent for the quarter, led by primary rate increases in Florida and other states earning through the book as policies renew. EPS for the quarter was 64 cents on a gap basis and 63 cents on a non-gap adjusted basis driven by a combined ratio improvement of 36.1 points for the quarter to 98.6 percent. The improvement was driven by a 30.9 point improvement in the net loss in LAE ratio from decreased weather events and lower prior year's reserve development. partially offset by current year strengthening and higher reinsurance costs impact on the ratio. The expense ratio improved 3.7 points on a direct premiums earned basis due to continued focus on operating efficiencies, as Steve mentioned in his remarks. On a net basis, the expense ratio improved 5.2 points for the quarter. On our investment portfolio, we saw our net investment income decrease 38.6 percent to 2.8 million, and our realized gains decreased 92 percent to 4.3 million for the quarter. Both decreases are the result of the sale and subsequent reinvestment at lower yields of a majority of securities in the portfolio that were in an unrealized gain position in the third and fourth quarters of 2020 to recognize the fair value benefits in surplus. In regards to capital deployment, during the quarter, the company repurchased approximately 101,000 shares at an aggregate cost of $1.4 million. The company's current share repurchase authorization program has $17.8 million remaining as of September 30, 2021, and runs through November 3, 2022. On July 19, 2021, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share of common stock, which was paid on August 9, 2021, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on August 2, 2021. As mentioned in our release yesterday, we are maintaining our guidance for 2021. we still expect a GAAP and non-GAAP adjusted EPS range of between $2.75 and $3 and a return on average equity of between 17% and 19%. The guidance assumes no extraordinary weather events in 2021 and also assumes a flat equity market for GAAP EPS. If weather events exceed plan, we expect to see both a benefit from our claims adjusting business and increase loss costs. With that, I'd like to ask the operator to now open the line for questions.
spk01: Thank you. If you have a question at this time, please press star then 1 on your touchtone telephone. If your question has been answered or you wish to remove yourself from the queue, please press the pound key. And our first question comes from the line of Tom Schimp with Piper Sandler. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
spk04: Hey, good morning, guys. Good morning. We're now a few months past the effective date of Florida property insurance reform. I know it's still early, but can you guys give us your first thoughts on how the bill is impacting litigation trends? And additionally, are there aspects of the bill that are ending up to be more positive or more negative than you initially expected?
spk05: Hey, Tom. Good morning. Steve Dunaghy. You know, I think our initial comment was we used the term cautiously optimistic, and we continue in that vein for several reasons. You know, the scale of alder adjusting, which is our internal adjusting arm, enabled us to move very quickly in responding to the legislation. And I think the other side of the legislation arm, the attorneys, are forced to prepare their request in a way they didn't have to in the past. So there's some pressure on them to be more organized in how they proceed. And it gives us a window to settle the claim fairly, which didn't exist in the past. So we see that as a positive result of the legislation. We also see the fact that the other side needs to look at their fee recoveries in a way that they didn't in the past, and it forces them to be more fair in their request if they realize they have to go to court and eventually win a larger settlement that usually is not achievable and has not been achievable in the past. So those aspects of it, we feel good about the two-year tail on CATS and other requests for funds after the claim is settled. is also, we feel that'll be favorable, but that's two years out. So as we get to those points, we'll see the benefit. I would also point that case glide year over year is beginning to decline as well across the state. So I think that's a fair indicator to look at. And the AOV legislation from 2019 continues to serve us and the state well at this point. So sorry for the long answer, but figured I'd try and not cover it for you.
spk04: That's great. So the company has been fortunate to avoid some of the most serious storms the past year or two. Maybe you could give us an update on capital adequacy and what is available to downstream from the holding company. In addition, maybe some updated thoughts on your growth appetite as it relates to that capital, because I know the third quarter PIF fell in both Florida and other states. Maybe just an update there on how you're thinking through both of those dynamics.
spk02: Good morning, Tom. This is Frankie. So, I mean, the good news is that we are growing top-line premium for UPCIC through rate increases. And, you know, that increase in premium demands capital. So we continue to support the capital needs. In addition to that, we've taken a more conservative approach with the current accident year by increasing the loss pick up to 42%, which also puts demands on capital. So we infused $15 million of cash in the month of August. And in the month of October, we also infused $20 million, which will count as a surplus as of 9-30 through an approval process that you go through with the OIR, similar to what we did at the end of the year. So the holding company continues to have capacity to continue to support the insurance entities, which we believe is the number one priority.
spk05: And, Tom, I would add relative to your question about rate in the other states, you know, we are hyper-focused on risk and rate at this point. So we analyze what we're willing to take in, where we're willing to take it in, and our internal profitability model has served us well relative to zip codes, territories, et cetera, as to where we want to write business in a rate-adequate manner. And we continue to grow in certain states, and we've pulled back in some others where we didn't feel as though the rate was adequate for growth. But overall, growth continues from a policy count, more on a tempered basis, but on a rate perspective, it continues to flow through the books.
spk04: Okay, great. And maybe just one more for me. In the press release, you cited 34% rate increase in Florida over the past 18 months. You know, I think investors sometimes forget it takes time for these rate increases to become active and then written and then eventually earned into the income statement. So maybe you could help us, you know, think through the timing of how we should think about these rate increases leading to improved underlying results.
spk05: Yeah, it's a really good aspect, Tom, that you pick up on. The rate is always laggard by 12 months within our business across it. So while the rate is flowing through, we continue to deal in a very hard market across several states. But within Florida, the most recent approved rate is 14.9% that is really just beginning to flow through for new business and in Q4 will affect renewals. So a savvy investor would understand that we will continue to take rate throughout the next 12 months in a favorable manner at UPCIC.
spk04: Okay, great. That's it for me.
spk05: Thanks, Tom. Have a good day. Thank you, Tom. You too.
spk01: Thank you. And again, ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question at this time, please press star, then 1. And I'm showing no further questions at this time, and I would like to turn it back over to Steve for any closing remarks.
spk05: Yeah, I'd like to thank all of our associates, consumers, agents, and our stakeholders for their continued support of Universal, and I wish you all a great day. Thank you.
spk01: Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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