Vector Group Ltd.

Q2 2021 Earnings Conference Call

8/5/2021

spk01: Welcome to Vector Group Limited second quarter 2021 earnings conference call. During this call, the terms adjusted operating income, adjusted net income, adjusted EBITDA, and tobacco adjusted operating income will be used. These terms are non-GAAP financial measures and should be considered in addition to, but not as a substitute for, other measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with GAAP. Reconciliation to adjusted operating income, adjusted net income, adjusted EBITDA, and tobacco adjusted operating income are contained in the company's earnings release, which have been posted to the investor relations section of the company's website located at www.vectorgroupltd.com. Before we begin, I'd like to read a safe harbor statement. The statements made during this conference call that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements. that are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in or implied by forward-looking statements. These risks are described in more detail in the company's Security and Exchange Commission filings. Now I'd like to turn the call over to the President and Chief Executive Officer of Vector Group, Howard Lorber.
spk08: Good morning, and thank you for joining us on our second quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. With me today are Richard Lampin, our Chief Operating Officer, Brian Kirkland, our Chief Financial Officer, and Nick Anson, President and Chief Operating Officer of Liggett Vector Brands. Ron Bernstein, Senior Advisor to Liggett Vector Brands, will join us during the Q&A. During this call, I will review our consolidated financial results for the second quarter and then discuss Douglas Ellman's financial performance for the three, six, and last 12 months ended June 30th, 2021. Nick will then summarize the performance of our tobacco business. I will then provide closing comments and open the call for questions. Now, turning to Vector Group's consolidated balance sheet. At June 30th, 2021, our balance sheet remains strong. We maintain significant liquidity with cash and cash equivalents of $490 million including cash of $155 million at Douglas Elliman and $108 million at Liggett. We also held investment securities and investment partnership interests with a fair market value of $212 million at June 30, 2021. Turning to Vector Group's consolidated results from operations for the three months ended June 30, 2021, Vector Group's revenues were $729.5 million compared to $445.8 million in the 2020 period. The 283.8 million increase in revenues was a result of an increase of 266.8 million in the real estate segment and 17 million in the tobacco segment. Net income attributed to Vector Group was 93.3 million or 61 cents per diluted common share compared to 25.8 million or 16 cents per diluted common share in the second quarter of 2020. The company recorded adjusted EBITDA of $144.2 million compared to $76.5 million in the prior year. Adjusted net income was $96.5 million, or $0.63 per diluted share, compared to $28.7 million, or $0.19 per diluted share, in the 2020 period. Moving on to results for the six months ended June 30, 2021, Vector Group's revenues were $1.27 billion, compared to $900.2 million in the 2020 period. The $373 million increase in revenues was primarily attributed to the real estate segment. Net income attributed to Vector Group was $125.3 million or $0.81 per diluted common share compared to $22.5 million or $0.14 per diluted common share in the 2020 period. The company recorded adjusted EBITDA of $238.6 million compared to $136.7 million in the prior year. Adjusted net income was $141.8 million, or $0.92 per diluted share, compared to $68.6 million, or $0.45 per diluted share, in the 2020 period. Moving on to results for the last 12 months ended June 30, 2021. Vector Group reported revenues of $2.38 billion, net income of $195.7 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $435.3 million for the last 12 months ended June 30, 2021. Now turning to Douglas Elliman's financial performance for the three, six, and last 12 months ended June 30, 2021. For the three months ended June 30, 2021, Douglas Elliman reported $392 million in revenues, compared to $132.9 million in revenues in the 2020 period. For the second quarter of 2021, Douglas Elliman reported net income of $43.2 million and adjusted EBITDA of $45.3 million compared to a net loss of $5 million and adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.1 million in the second quarter of 2020. The net loss for the three months ended June 30th, 2020 included pre-tax restructuring charges of $3 million. For the six months ended June 30th, 2021, Douglas Ellman reported $664.8 million in revenues compared to $298.5 million in revenues in the 2020 period. For the 2021 six-month period, Douglas Elliman reported net income of $57.1 million and adjusted EBITDA of $61.6 million compared to a net loss of $74.1 million and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $8.8 million in the 2020 period. The net loss in the 2020 period included pre-tax charges for non-cash impairments of $58.3 million and pre-tax restructuring charges of $3 million. For the last 12 months ended June 30, 2021, Douglas Elliman reported $1.14 billion in revenues, $83 million in net income, and $92.4 million in adjusted EBITDA. In addition, Douglas Elliman reported closed sales of $42.9 billion for the last 12 months ended June 30, 2021. Douglas Elliman's strong year-to-date results were driven by continued momentum in all markets and both closed sales volume and revenues more than doubled from the comparable 2020 period. We are particularly pleased with the continued strength of the South Florida market as well as the rebound of New York City during the first six months of 2021. In addition, Douglas Elliman's gross margin or company dollar increased to $105.5 million in the second quarter of 2021 from $42.7 million in the second quarter of 2020. For the six months ended June 30th, 2021, Douglas Hellermann's gross margin increased to 179.6 million from 95.9 million for the same period in 2020. As Douglas Hellermann's revenues and gross margin significantly increased in 2021, we discontinued certain expense reductions implemented in the second quarter of 2020, including reductions to advertising and discretionary compensation. Now I will turn the call over to Nick to discuss our tobacco business.
spk05: Nick? Thank you, Howard, and good morning, everyone. Liggett continued its strong 2021 performance during the second quarter with another significant increase in year-over-year earnings. Despite a challenging competitive marketplace, our go-to-market strategy continues to prove successful, and we remain confident our brand portfolio is well-positioned to meet evolving market demands. In the second quarter of 2021, Eagle 20's volumes remained stable and the brand delivered significantly higher margins while Pyramid continues to deliver substantial profit and market presence to the company. We are also very pleased with the performance of our price fighting brand Montego as we expand its targeted distribution footprint. I will now turn to the combined tobacco financials for Liggett Group and Vector Tobacco. For the three and six months ended June 30th, 2021 revenues were 329.5 million and 598 million respectively compared to 312.5 million and 599.6 million for the corresponding 2020 periods. Tobacco adjusted operating income for the three and six months ended June 30th, 2021 was 103.2 million and 182.1 million compared to 79.4 million and 148.5 million for the corresponding periods a year ago. Liggett's second quarter earnings represent a 30% increase over the year-ago period and were primarily the result of higher gross margins associated with higher pricing and promotional spending efficiencies. We also continue to manage our tobacco operations cost-based effectively. In addition to these factors, increased wholesale inventories associated with the timing of our price increase at the end of June contributed to the quarter-over-quarter earnings increase. We estimate that approximately 30% of the almost $24 million earnings increase was the result of these incremental wholesale purchases. We expect this to reverse in the third quarter as inventories normalize. According to Management Science Associates, overall industry wholesale shipments through June 30th, 2021 were down approximately 5% compared to last year, while Liggett's wholesale shipments decreased by 7.7% for the comparable period. As we regularly note, we believe retail shipments are a better indicator of short-term industry trends because inconsistent wholesaler purchasing patterns typically do not impact retail sales. Liggett's retail shipments through June 30th, 2021 declined 6.4% from the year-ago period, while industry retail shipments decreased 2.7% during the same timeframe. As a result, Liggett's year-to-date retail share has declined slightly to 4.13% from 4.29% in the corresponding period last year. As noted on previous calls, we anticipated modest declines in Liggett's year-over-year retail share due to increased net pricing consistent with our successful long-term income growth strategy. However, we do expect this trend to abate throughout the second half of this year as we expand Montego markets. Despite price increases, Eagle 20's retail volume remains strong. It is currently the third largest discount brand in the U.S. and is sold in approximately 85,000 stores nationwide. Montego is competitively priced in the growing deep discount segment, and we are taking a carefully targeted approach with expansion. To date, we remain pleased with the market's response to Montego, which is now sold in nearly 30,000 stores. Montego delivered approximately 12% of Liget's volume for the second quarter of 2021, compared to 5% in the second quarter of last year. In summary, we are pleased with the operational and financial performance of our tobacco business. The second quarter results continue to validate our market strategy and reflect the competitive strength we have in the deep discount segment, including our broad base of distribution, consumer-focused programs and the scope and executional capabilities of our sales force. As we look ahead, we remain focused on generating incremental operating income from the strong sales and distribution base of our brand portfolio. Finally, while we are always subject to industry, regulatory and general market risks, we remain confident that we have effective programs and infrastructure in place to keep our business operating efficiently while supporting market share and profit growth. Thanks for your attention and back to you, Howard.
spk08: Thank you, Nick. Vector Group had an outstanding second quarter underscored by record quarterly revenues in our real estate segment and record operating income in both our tobacco and real estate segments. We have strong cash reserves have consistently increased our tobacco market share and profits over the long term, and have taken the necessary steps to position our real estate business for future continued success. We are pleased with our longstanding history of paying a quarterly cash dividend. It remains an important component of our capital allocation strategy, and it is our expectation that our policy will continue well into the future. Now, operator, please open the call for questions.
spk01: Thank you, sir. If you would like to ask a question, please signal by pressing star one on your telephone keypad. If you're using a speakerphone, please make sure your mute function is turned off to allow your signal to reach our equipment. Again, please press star one to ask a question. We'll pause for just a moment to allow everyone the opportunity to signal for questions.
spk03: Thank you. Our first question comes from Carew Martinson with Jefferies.
spk02: Hi, this is Oliver on for Carew. Thanks for taking the questions. I was wondering if there are any updates on the potential ban of menthol flavored cigarettes and initiatives that you may have in place if that regulation does pass. How has your thinking changed on what the timeline is on that front?
spk05: Sure, Oliver. No changes really from what we talked about at the end of the first quarter. We're still waiting for a ruling from the FDA. They said previously that it would take up to a year for that to come out, and then as we talked about previously, we anticipate there will be some time before anything gets finalized there. especially based on the complexity of the issue and the prospect of litigation from the industry. So no updates at this point in time, and we'll certainly keep you informed if that changes. But nothing further at this point in time.
spk02: Okay, great. Thanks. And, you know, you mentioned how market share is down again a little bit. I understand the profit maximization mode on the tobacco side of the business and how you mentioned expecting Montego to help share increase, but how are you looking at market share as a whole and where do you ultimately want to be with that?
spk05: We always take an opportunistic approach to the market. From our perspective, Obviously, we're looking to balance that and optimize profit over the long run. When we see opportunities develop in the marketplace, we'll take advantage of that. We want to make sure that Liget gets its fair share of future growth, but it's a balancing act. Again, we take an opportunistic approach to that, but again, we're looking to optimize share in profits over the long run. We're obviously optimistic about the discount segment. It continues to grow over the course of this last year, and we certainly tend to get our fair share of that growth over time.
spk06: This is Ron Bernstein. Just to add to Over a long period of time, we've analyzed the market and recognized that there are times when the market provides the opportunity for volume growth, and there are times that it provides the opportunity for profit growth. And what we look to do is to maximize those opportunities when they come up. And with the growth, the increased profitability of Eagle 20s and Pyramid, We've been in a position to boost up that profit as we build up Montego underneath those brands.
spk02: Great, thank you. And then just lastly, do you have any plans to address any parts of your capital structure? I see that the 10.5% senior notes due 2026 become callable in November of this year.
spk08: Yeah, we have it under consideration. Obviously, the call premium is pretty high now, but as we move forward with lower call premiums and looking at how the company's businesses are doing, we're going to see what we can do. We're going to consider, if possible, at the right time to obviously refinance to lower the rate and extend the maturity. But we can't really say for sure when that's going to happen or if it's going to happen.
spk02: Okay, thank you very much.
spk01: Thank you. Our next question comes from Gaurav John with Barclays Capital.
spk04: Hello, it's Mandip Sanga calling on behalf of Gaurav Jain. Thank you for taking our questions. I have two, if I may. The first one is, how should we think about real estate profitability on a sustained basis? Do you view 2021 as a high benchmark year? they're creating tough comps thereafter. And my second question is Vector is deleveraging quite fast and will have a leverage ratio of sort of below three by the end of the year. How should one think about the excess capital? Is there a possibility for cash to be returned to shareholders through buybacks or dividends? Or is M&A a more likely use of capital? Thank you.
spk08: Well, Let me handle the first question. As it relates to the real estate, I don't necessarily feel that we've increased the highest point in where the business is going to be. There will be some ups and downs seasonally, but I think based on looking right now where it seems that mortgage rates and interest rates are going to be kept at historically low numbers and money is being put into the economy, you know, quite heavily. I think we're in for, you know, some pretty good times over the next few years. Hard to say whether it'll be, you know, two years, three years, four years, one year. You know, you just don't know. But the way it looks right now, it's going to continue until the overall policy changes. Now, you know, people worry about inflation, and that is something to worry about. But if we really think about it on the real estate side, real estate has always done well in inflationary environments. and especially when interest rates have stayed low. So I'm pretty bullish on where we are today and where the near future, at least, for the next couple of years will be. I think that looks pretty good. On your second question, BK, you want to handle that?
spk00: As far as the capital structure goes, We've already discussed some of the issues related to the 10.5%. So our leverage ratio, you're right, right now is at 3.25 on a gross basis, which is the lowest it's been, I think, in history. And certainly we'll look to deploy capital going forward. A couple of places we would look. would be as far as our PropTech investments. We believe that's really complementary with Douglas Elliman and will give Douglas Elliman some efficiencies that will give it a core competency against its competitors. And we will also continue to look at the dividend going forward.
spk04: Excellent. Thank you both.
spk01: Thank you. Our next question comes from David Levin with Mid-Ocean Credit Partners.
spk07: Hey, thanks. Most of my questions have been answered. I just had one question on the mix shift in tobacco in Q2. Could you just clarify how much of the uplift in Q2 was due to the mix shift? I just missed that number. Apologies.
spk05: I didn't give a specific number on the mix shift. I mean, what I was alluding to was the fact that the increase in inventories about 30% of that approximately $24 million increase was due to the increase in wholesaler inventories.
spk07: Gotcha. Okay. All right. Thanks for the clarification. As I said, my other questioner answered, so I appreciate it. Thanks.
spk03: Operator, any other questions? Any further questions?
spk01: Ladies and gentlemen, those are all the questions that we have for today. Thank you for joining us on Vector Group's second quarter 2021 earnings conference call. We will conclude our call. On behalf of us at Vector Group, Liggett, Douglas, Ellman, we hope that everyone remains healthy and well. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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