4/25/2024

speaker
Operator
Host

Greetings and welcome to the Valero Energy Corp First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference. At this time, all participants are on a listen-only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Homer Bollar, Vice President, Investor Relations and Finance. Thank you. Please go ahead.

speaker
Homer Bollar
Vice President, Investor Relations and Finance

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Valero Energy Corporation's first quarter 2024 earnings conference call. With me today are Lane Riggs, our CEO and President, Jason Frazier, our Executive Vice President and CFO, Gary Simmons, our Executive Vice President and COO, and several other members of Valero's senior management team. If you have not received the earnings release and would like a copy, you can find one on our website at InvestorValero.com. Also attached to the earnings release are tables that provide additional financial information on our business segments and reconciliations and disclosures for adjusted financial metrics mentioned on this call. If you have any questions after reviewing these tables, please feel free to contact our investor relations team after the call. I would now like to direct your attention to the forward-looking statement disclaimer contained in the press release. In summary, it says that statements in the press release and on this conference call that state the company's or management's expectations or predictions of the future are forward-looking statements intended to be covered by the safe harbor provisions under federal securities laws. There are many factors that could cause actual results to differ from our expectations, including those we've described in our earnings release and filings with the SEC. Now I'll turn the call over to Lane for opening remarks.

speaker
Lane Riggs
CEO and President

Thank you, Homer, and good morning, everyone. We were pleased to report strong financial results for the first quarter despite heavy planned maintenance across our refining system. Our team's ability to optimize and maximize throughput while undertaking maintenance activities illustrates the benefits from our longstanding commitment to safe and reliable operations. Refining margins remain supported by tight product balances with supply constrained by seasonally heavy refining turnarounds and geopolitical events. Product demand was strong across our wholesale system, with diesel demand higher and gasoline demand about the same as last year. We continue to execute strategic projects and enhance earnings capability of our business and expand our long-term competitive advantage. DGD, Sustainable Aviation Fuel, or SAF, project at Port Arthur is progressing ahead of schedule and is now expected to be operational in the fourth quarter of 2024. With the completion of this project, Diamond Green Diesel is expected to become one of the largest manufacturers of SAF in the world. In addition, we are pursuing shorter cash cycle projects that optimize and capitalize on opportunities to improve margins around our existing refining assets. These projects are focused on increasing feedstock flexibility, optimizing the value of our product mix, and maximizing utilization of existing conversion capacity. On the financial side, We were paid the $167 million outstanding principal amount of our 1.2% senior notes that matured on March 15th. And in January, we increased the quarterly cash dividend on our common stock from $1.02 per share to $1.07 per share. Looking ahead, we expect refining margins to remain supported by tight product balances and seasonably low product inventories ahead of the driving season. Longer term, product demand is expected to exceed supply even with the startup of new refineries this year and the limited announced capacity additions beyond 2025. In closing, we remain focused on things that have been a hallmark of our strategy, maintaining operating excellence, executing our projects well, discipline around our capital investments, and our commitments to shareholder returns. So with that, Homer, I'll hand the call back to you.

speaker
Homer Bollar
Vice President, Investor Relations and Finance

Thanks, Lane. For the first quarter of 2024, net income attributable to Valero stockholders was $1.2 billion or $3.75 per share compared to $3.1 billion or $8.29 per share for the first quarter of 2023. First quarter 2024 adjusted net income attributable to Valero stockholders was $1.3 billion or $3.82 per share compared to $3.1 billion or $8.27 per share for the first quarter of 2023. The refining segment reported $1.7 billion of operating income for the first quarter of 2024 compared to $4.1 billion for the first quarter of 2023. Refining throughput volumes in the first quarter of 2024 averaged 2.8 million barrels per day. Throughput capacity utilization was 87% in the first quarter of 2024. Refining cash operating expenses are $4.71 per barrel in the first quarter of 2024, lower than guidance of $5.10 per barrel, primarily attributed to lower energy costs and higher throughput. Renewable diesel segment operating income was $190 million for the first quarter of 2024, compared to $205 million for the first quarter of 2023. Renewable diesel sales volumes averaged 3.7 million gallons per day in the first quarter of 2024, which was 741,000 gallons per day higher than the first quarter of 2023. The higher sales volumes in the first quarter of 2024 were due to the impact of additional volumes from the DGD Port Arthur plant, which started up in the fourth quarter of 2022 and was in the process of ramping up rates in the first quarter of 2023. Operating income was lower than the first quarter of 2023 due to lower renewable diesel margin in the first quarter of 2024. The ethanol segment reported 10 million of operating income for the first quarter of 2024 compared to 39 million for the first quarter of 2023. Adjusted operating income was 39 million for the first quarter of 2024. Ethanol production volumes averaged 4.5 million gallons per day in the first quarter of 2024, which was 283,000 gallons per day higher than the first quarter of 2023. For the first quarter of 2024, G&A expenses were $258 million, net interest expense was $140 million, depreciation and amortization expense was $695 million, and income tax expense was $353 million. Defective tax rate was 21%. Net cash provided by operating activities was $1.8 billion in the first quarter of 2024. Included in this amount was $160 million unfavorable impact from working capital and $122 million of adjusted net cash provided by operating activities associated with the other joint venture member share of DGD. Excluding these items, adjusted net cash provided by operating activities was $1.9 billion in the first quarter of 2024. Regarding investing activities, we made $661 million of capital investments in the first quarter of 2024, of which $563 million was for sustaining the business, including costs for turnarounds, catalysts, and regulatory compliance, and the balance was for growing the business. Excluding capital investments attributable to the other joint venture member share of DGD and other variable interest entities, Capital investments attributable to Valero were $619 million in the first quarter of 2024. Moving to financing activities, we returned $1.4 billion to our stockholders in the first quarter of 2024, of which $356 million was paid as dividends and $1 billion was for the purchase of approximately 6.6 million shares of common stock, resulting in a payout ratio of 74% for the quarter. Through share repurchases, we have reduced our share count by over 20% since year-end 2021. With respect to our balance sheet, as Lane mentioned, we repaid the $167 million outstanding principal amount of our 1.2% senior notes that matured on March 15. We ended the quarter with $8.5 billion of total debt, $2.4 billion of finance lease obligations, and $4.9 billion of cash and cash equivalents. The debt-to-capitalization ratio net of cash and cash equivalents was 17 percent as of March 31, 2024. And we ended the quarter well capitalized with $5.3 billion of available liquidity excluding cash. Turning to guidance, we still expect capital investments attributable to Valero for 2024 to be approximately $2 billion, which includes expenditures for turnarounds catalysts, regulatory compliance, and joint venture investments. About 1.6 billion of that is allocated to sustaining the business and the balance to growth, with approximately half of the growth capital towards our low-carbon fuels businesses and half towards refining projects. For modeling our second quarter operations, we expect refining throughput volumes to fall within the following ranges. Gulf Coast at 1.79 to 1.84 million barrels per day. Mid-Continent at 410,000 to 430,000 barrels per day, West Coast at 245,000 to 265,000 barrels per day, and North Atlantic at 430,000 to 450,000 barrels per day. We expect refining cash operating expenses in the second quarter to be approximately $4.55 per barrel. With respect to the renewable diesel segment, we expect sales volumes to be approximately 1.2 billion gallons in 2024. Operating expenses in 2024 should be 45 cents per gallon, which includes 18 cents per gallon for non-cash costs such as depreciation and amortization. Our ethanol segment is expected to produce 4.5 million gallons per day in the second quarter. Operating expenses should average 38 cents per gallon, which includes 5 cents per gallon for non-cash costs, such as depreciation and amortization. For the second quarter, net interest expense should be about 140 million, and total depreciation and amortization expense should be approximately 710 million. For 2024, we expect G&A expenses to be approximately $975 million. That concludes our opening remarks. Before we open the call to questions, please limit each turn in the Q&A to two questions. If you have more than two questions, please rejoin the queue as time permits to ensure other callers have time to ask their questions.

speaker
Operator
Host

Ladies and gentlemen, the floor is now open for questions. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad at this time. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up the handset before pressing the star keys. Again, that's star one to register questions at this time. Today's first question is coming from Theresa Chen of Barclays. Please go ahead.

speaker
Theresa Chen
Analyst at Barclays

Good morning. I'd love to get a sense of your product supply and demand outlook from here, maybe tapping on Lane's earlier comments, and specifically, what is happening with respect to diesel and jet margins from the recent pullback, and where do you think we'll go from here?

speaker
Gary Simmons
Executive Vice President and COO

Hey, good morning, Teresa. It's Gary. I'll give you some insight just to what we're seeing in the market today, and then some thoughts on your final question. Overall, you know, we continue to see strong light product demand. In our system, we've seen gasoline sales trending at levels equal to last year. Diesel sales in our system are actually trending about 2% higher than last year. So I think when we look at all the data, we would expect gasoline demand to be flat to slightly up from last year. Vehicle miles traveled data is encouraging, would indicate we could see some gasoline demand surprise to the upside. Diesel demand flat to slightly down compared to last year. However, again, some of the freight indices appear to be turning and indicate we could start seeing better demand. And then jet fuel demand up, you know, year over year. I think, you know, that isn't really consistent with the sell-off in distillates like you're seeing. And I think some of that's just attributable to the fact that the market appears to be reacting to headlines. So in particular, you know, you have the drone attacks in Russia. Diesel gets very strong. But then there's a lag in the supply chain, so the physical markets aren't really seeing that interruption in diesel. In fact, you know, Russian exports following the drone attacks was actually higher. And so now we're finally getting to the point where Russian exports are starting to fall off, but the markets have kind of dismissed that, and we've sold off pretty hard. I think diesel's too weak. You know, and the two things I would point to, you know, on diesel being too weak, hydro-skimming margins in Europe are negative. Cracking margins in Singapore are negative. And unless something significant has happened on the demand side that we don't see, we need that capacity to run, which would indicate margins are going to have to get stronger from here on.

speaker
Theresa Chen
Analyst at Barclays

Really helpful. Thank you, Gary. And maybe following up on the point about Russia and appreciate you going through the dynamics on the diesel exports and such, maybe looking at the NAFTA side of things. So if their NAFTA starts to fall off as well, what does that imply for octane economics? And in light of maybe more NAFTA from some of the new refining capacity added, what is the net impact and the translation to gasoline margins as a result.

speaker
Gary Simmons
Executive Vice President and COO

Yes, I think in order to see any meaningful changes in the price of naphtha or discount to gasoline, you really need to see pet cam demand pick back up for naphtha. And a lot of that is just tied to crude flat price. As long as crude flat price is high, it's hard for naphtha to compete as a feedstock into pet cams. And so when that happens, then naphtha is trying to find a home into gasoline. which creates strong octane in order to be able to get it blended into the gasoline pool.

speaker
Theresa Chen
Analyst at Barclays

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Host

Thank you. The next question is coming from Neil Mehta of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

speaker
Neil Mehta
Analyst at Goldman Sachs

Good morning, team. Another really strong quarter. I want to ask about the cash flow payout. as you're well above the numbers that you've targeted as the floor. And so I guess the billion dollar of repurchase level, do we view that as a sustainable run rate? And how do you think about how investors should anchor to a payout guidance?

speaker
Jason Frazier
Executive Vice President and CFO

Morning, Neil. This is Jason. I'm going to ask Homer to address that question.

speaker
Homer Bollar
Vice President, Investor Relations and Finance

Yeah, Neil, I think given the strength of our balance sheet in the first quarter and the fact that we're not really looking to build more cash, we had a pretty strong payout at 74%. And you'll remember last quarter was 73%, which ended the year at 60%. So I think you can think of the 40% to 50% range as a long-term through-cycle commitment. But in periods where fundamentals are strong, balance sheet is good, like it is now, and sustaining growth capex and the dividend is covered, you can think of that as a floor, so the 40% to 50% as a floor, and I think reasonably expect any excess cash flow to continue to go towards buybacks.

speaker
Neil Mehta
Analyst at Goldman Sachs

Okay, that's helpful, Homer. And the follow-up is just on DGD. There was a pull forward of the SAF project, so it looks like the project is tracking well for 24 startups. So Just how – once it comes into service, what's the back of the envelope of how we should think about the incremental economics and what type of premium margins do you think you could sustain on SAF barrels?

speaker
Eric
Representative from Diamond Green Diesel (DGD)

Yeah, this is Eric. The project – like you said, the project construction is going well. Startup will be in the fourth quarter. As far as what we see in uplift, I think if you look to see what – the state and federal tax program benefits are. There's a lot of credits that have been stated in the IRA, whether it's 45Z or BTC or PTC. And then in Europe, you've got the Argus quote that all kind of give you a good feel of what that product's going to be worth. We've got strong interest in sales, and we do not see a problem moving it at returns that are going to meet our project return threshold.

speaker
Operator
Host

Thank you. The next question is coming from Roger Reed of Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

speaker
Roger Reed
Analyst at Wells Fargo

Yeah, thank you. Good morning. Probably to come back on some of the macro stuff here, crude differentials, you know, we've got some, I guess, discipline out of OPEC. We've got TMX, you know, starting up, I guess, almost any day now. We have some tightness from some other places that typically have exported heavier crudes to the Gulf Coast. Just curious what you're seeing on the crude, you know, call it availability front and expectations on differentials.

speaker
Gary Simmons
Executive Vice President and COO

Yeah, Roger, this is Gary. I think, you know, we saw crude differentials move a little bit wider in the first quarter, which we expected, and that was mainly just driven by demand with heavy turnaround season in the U.S. Gulf Coast. Demand was off a little bit and allowed the differentials to widen, but We believe that the differentials will be relatively tight through most of the year until you get the OPEC production back on the market. At least the consultant supply-demand balances would indicate maybe third or fourth quarter of this year you'll start to see OPEC production ramp back up. I would tell you we're not having any trouble in terms of availability of feedstock. It's just more narrow differentials than what we would like.

speaker
Roger Reed
Analyst at Wells Fargo

Fair enough. And then to follow up on your earlier comments about the structure of the diesel market, the need for cracks to go up, this time last year we saw gasoline for a little while move above, gasoline cracks move above diesel cracks. We have that seasonally again. But is there any reason that you would lean into a max gasoline over a max diesel or a blended sort of outlook relative to what you've been doing over the last couple of years here?

speaker
Gary Simmons
Executive Vice President and COO

No, I think, you know, a lot of that gets driven by availability of intermediate feedstocks, VGO. You know, in a tight VGO market, then you're kind of forced more to swing either gasoline or diesel. So far, availability of VGO has been okay. We've been able to fill all the conversion units, but we'll have to see how that goes moving forward.

speaker
Roger Reed
Analyst at Wells Fargo

Okay. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Host

Thank you. The next question is coming from Manav Gupta of UBS. Please go ahead.

speaker
Manav Gupta
Analyst at UBS

Congrats on a strong quarter again, guys. My first question here is, the bare thesis on refining somewhere was Das Bogos and then Gote. It looks like it's not played out these assets from what we read and hear, one of them doesn't have enough hydrogen, the other doesn't even have an FCC . Most likely will not be providing products to the market maybe even year end 2024. But my point is, even if they do start providing products to the market somewhere in 2025, Are these the last two ones that you are aware of, or there's a big wave coming after this? So I'm trying to understand this. Even if these two come on, they don't really change the global supply dynamics. So after this, again, we could see the markets tightening up again. So if you could help us out there.

speaker
Gary Simmons
Executive Vice President and COO

Yeah, so we see it exactly like you've described. You know, this year was the year where you had kind of a peak in terms of new capacity additions. And then from this point forward, you get to where global supply Petroleum demand outpaces new refinery capacity additions significantly, and we see several years of tightness.

speaker
Manav Gupta
Analyst at UBS

Perfect. The other point is that we generally see big projects get delayed, cost overruns. You're somewhere unique. Your projects get announced, and the actual start date keeps moving forward from the announcement, which is absolutely unique to you. And I'm just trying to understand, like, How are you doing this? And I'm hoping I get an answer which is more than, you know, we have the best people, because we already know that. So help us understand, how are you pulling forward your projects?

speaker
Lane Riggs
CEO and President

Well, hey, Manav, it's Lane. That's what I was going to say, but, you know, it speaks to the culture. Our culture is very much about high discipline, high accountability, and teamwork. You know, we make sure we get the right people into the right jobs and hold them accountable. and making sure that they're, and when I say the right people, they have to be people who are A, competent, and B, they're willing to work with the other team members who may not necessarily be under them or adjacent to them and ultimately working on behalf of Valero. And we have a high level of visibility with upper level management because we're a pretty flat organization. So we all know the status of the project. We all understand where we are in the development cycle and once the project starts. I mean, it's not like there's Ultimately, it's about alignment, competency, and accountability. That's really the secret sauce. You've just got to execute.

speaker
Manav Gupta
Analyst at UBS

Thank you, Seth.

speaker
Operator
Host

Thank you. The next question is coming from Ryan Todd of Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ryan Todd
Analyst at Piper Sandler

Thanks. Maybe a follow-up a little bit on some of the crude mix questions from earlier. with with tmx there's a lot of a lot of focus on what the impact is going to be particularly on on complex midcon refineries that are going to have to run more light sweet crude going forward um but in some ways it's similar to what's happened across the broader refining system that's been running more and more light crude uh across the system that's not always optimized for this i mean can you talk about what you think that this might mean for the optimization of the global refining system um You know, with more light sweet crude, what sort of impact does this have on utilization or optimization or general supply as we think about broader market?

speaker
Gary Simmons
Executive Vice President and COO

Yeah, so this is Gary. So globally, you know, TMX doesn't have that much of an impact. It's just rebalancing the barrels. I think you see some of the heavier barrels from South America that were going to the West Coast won't travel there, and they'll probably go more to the Far East and some more TMX barrels starting to go to the West Coast. So globally, not a big impact. We definitely see that hard to see differentials, you know, will come in because, you know, for a period of time here, we'll have the logistics to completely clear Western Canadian production. And that could cause some switching of mid-continent refiners that they back off on some of the heavies and go to a lighter diet. And yes, to your, you know... Basically to your comment, certainly in the Gulf Coast as we tried to run a lighter diet, it's resulted in lower overall utilization because we hit light engine limits on the crude units.

speaker
Ryan Todd
Analyst at Piper Sandler

Thanks. That's probably something that's happening on a broader sense across the system with general global crude mix being lighter, right?

speaker
Gary Simmons
Executive Vice President and COO

Yeah, I think, you know, overall the average crude gravity is up about one and a half numbers, which certainly, you know, results in lower utilization because especially most new capacity all was designed for medium and heavy sour crudes.

speaker
Ryan Todd
Analyst at Piper Sandler

Good, thanks. Switching gears to Diamond Green Diesel. I mean, as you think about the broader, obviously we've been through a soft spot here on renewable diesel margins, you know, with RIMS and LCFS pricing low. As you think about the outlook into the back part of this year and into 2025, can you maybe walk through how you view some of the moving, moving pieces that could tighten up that market and, and improve kind of the, the relative profitability of, whether it's renewable diesel or eventually SAF in 2025?

speaker
Eric
Representative from Diamond Green Diesel (DGD)

Yeah, I think the rest of this year, it's really going to be a question of what some of the other startups look like. We've seen in the news a lot of announcements of slowdowns, project delays, even some shutdowns. As that capacity comes offline or slows down, how does that balance versus some of the projects that are starting up in the overall D4 RIN balance at the end of the year. It's a little difficult to throw a dart and know exactly how that's going to end. What we can see is veg oil, whether it's BD or RD, is negative. Ag products all look very long right now. We do see we're expecting more competition on waste oils. We haven't seen as much of that as we thought we would considering the announced startups. So how all that balances out for the rest of the year, the thing there is we don't see any change in the RVO obligations. So it's still a question of how much capacity is going into a fixed credit bank in a fixed obligation. And so longer term, if you look at 25, I would think the long term outlook of RD is still positive because you look at the number of LCFS programs that are still being contemplated by legislation this year. The ramps in Canada and the UK continue to be strong. The SAF mandates that are kicking in in 2025 in Europe and the UK are going to create demand. And for us, diversification of your product away from California and your ability to diversify your product slate into SAF are going to be very beneficial to DGD. So I still like the longer-term outlook of 25 and beyond. 24 is a little hard to predict. I think it probably still stays stable. long in the D4s, net-net. So it might continue to be sort of a tough year. We think the second quarter, you know, from a margin standpoint, looks a little better from price lag standpoint. But the back half is still hard to tell with all the moving pieces. But long term, I think you still see a positive outlook sort of 25 and beyond. Great. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Host

Thank you. The next question is coming from John Royal of JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Greg Bram
Valero Employee

Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. So my first question is on turnarounds, I guess for Valero and maybe in terms of expectations for the broader industry. Given you and others had a heavy turnaround quarter in the spring, should we expect a lighter fall season and maybe that global supply won't come on as expected, but we could see more supply in the second half coming out of the US because just lower turnarounds than usual?

speaker
Greg Bram
Valero Employee

Hey, John. This is Greg Bram. I'll talk about our turnaround activity. Particularly in the first quarter, we had a pretty heavy turnaround load. You can really see that when you look at our throughput, particularly the Gulf Coast throughput being much lower. It's just reflective of the work that we had going on. Looking forward, as you know, we've always got turnaround activity going on in our system to varying degrees. The first quarter tends to be the heaviest period. Other periods of the year will be lighter, and that's just kind of driven by what we see from a margin standpoint. There's certain times of the year, like the holiday season, where you're tending not to try to go into that kind of work that's very intensive. As far as different periods of time, it won't speak so much to our plans. We have the same information others see about industry turnarounds. It looks like the fourth quarter will be kind of more in the typical range. of outages, but it's early to tell. A lot of things will change between now and when we get to the fall season. And so we'll see where that lands, but people at least are indicating something that looks like the more typical turnaround level of activity.

speaker
Greg Bram
Valero Employee

Great, thanks Greg. And then I just had a follow up on Neil's question on returns of capital and probably for Jason or Homer. You're essentially at a full free cash flow payout now. That's what we saw in the first quarter, and Homer's comment suggested that that's the expectation going forward. I know you've characterized the 40% to 50% as a floor, but is there any thought to changing that framework, given that you have your balance sheet where you want it, and you seem to be kind of in this new era on returns of capital that don't seem to be kind of peeling back to the old way of looking at things?

speaker
Jason Frazier
Executive Vice President and CFO

Well, this is Jason. Yeah, I can take a stab at that. I mean, we do think about that, and really, we ask you to look more at our actions rather than that statement, because we've been above it in the majority of time over the past several years. But we also view that more as a long-term indication through the cycle. I know we talk about sometimes that's a target, and it is, but we don't see any problem with being above it over a consistent period of time, and you should expect us to kind of behave, as you said, the last couple of quarters are probably the best indication of the future. is how we're going to behave with regard to cash. Fair enough. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Host

Thank you. The next question is coming from... Hey, Donna, are you still there? I'm sorry. Yes, I'm sorry. The next question is coming from Joe Latch of Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

speaker
Joe Latch
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Hey, all. Good morning, and thanks for taking my questions, and congrats on your strong quarter. So I wanted to go back to SAF. Are you seeing enough demand from customers to potentially support an additional project? And then, if so, would any potential announcement come after the first facility is online? Just trying to think about timing overall.

speaker
Eric
Representative from Diamond Green Diesel (DGD)

Yeah, I think what we're seeing in terms of the commercial interest exceeds our current capacity with the first project as we've said we're doing engineering on the second project in terms of timing you know that's always for us that's always an issue that we're not going to talk about that until we've decided internally on committing to that but you know what I'd say from a macro view you can clearly we know the units are cookie cutters of each other the project is nearly identical the execution time And all of that is gonna be very similar. So it's not a technically challenging project or something that would be difficult to fund. It's a question of how we see this market developed and when we decide to continue internally is when we would say something externally.

speaker
Joe Latch
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Great, yeah, that makes sense. And then I was hoping to go back and dig into your comments on Asia refining dynamics earlier, just given the decline in margins that we've seen over the past couple of months. Do you think we're close to a floor over there? And then we've also seen China exports tick up in recent months. How do you think that's been impacting U.S. margins?

speaker
Gary Simmons
Executive Vice President and COO

Yeah, so I think, you know, my comment there, when you have cracking margins in Singapore negative and you have hydro-skimming margins in Europe negative, it kind of tells you we've hit a floor, we need the capacity to run, and I think you'll see margins, you know, start to tick back up.

speaker
Joe Latch
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Great, thank you all.

speaker
Operator
Host

Thank you. The next question is coming from Paul Chang of Scotia. Please go ahead.

speaker
Paul Chang
Analyst at Scotia

Hey, guys, good morning. Morning, Paul. The first question, good morning. The first question, I think, is either for Gary or for Ling. TMX stopped up, and so that's going to bring the WCS, which is mostly the man-made synthetic heavy oil with really heavy bottom. and a lot of light barrels but no metal. So when that happens, will your system be able to convert all your, if the price is right, can your system convert all your heavy intake and the medium intake into using some form of combination of WCS plus some light barrel or that is not as simple. And also whether the industry will be able to, say, eliminate all their imports from the heavy barrel from, say, LATAM or from the Middle East, replacing it with WCS? That's the first question.

speaker
Gary Simmons
Executive Vice President and COO

Yeah, Paul, this is Gary. I think, you know, what we anticipate, there's a lot of coking capacity on the West Coast. I'll just use our Benicia refinery as an example. You know, Benicia was really designed to run ANS, and we think with the barrels that are coming off TMX,

speaker
Paul Chang
Analyst at Scotia

both the heavies and the lights you'll be able to blend those together to form something that looks a lot like ans and we would expect most west coast refiners will be doing something similar to that okay uh and second question that uh gary can you give us some um maybe your cutlass that uh what you see in the mexican mexican market for both gasoline and diesel

speaker
Gary Simmons
Executive Vice President and COO

Yeah, so our sales in Mexico have been consistent with historic levels. We're selling just over 100,000 barrels a day. We expect demand in Mexico remains very strong. We would expect to see that kind of ramp up later this year when we get our marine terminal in Altamira up and running. That'll make us more competitive in the north and allow us to continue to grow volumes in Mexico.

speaker
Paul Chang
Analyst at Scotia

Hey, Gary, do you have an export number you can share? In the first quarter? Yeah. Yeah, so we did... How much did you export?

speaker
Gary Simmons
Executive Vice President and COO

Yeah, so we did 103,000 barrels a day of gasoline exports. We did 153,000 barrels of diesel exports and 25,000 barrels a day of jet exports. The diesel number, you know, in the first quarter was down year over year, quarter over quarter, and I wouldn't read that as lack of demand. That was really a result of the heavy turnaround activity and just we didn't have barrels available for export. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Host

Thank you. The next question is coming from Matthew Blair of Tudor Pickering Holt. Please go ahead.

speaker
Matthew Blair
Analyst at Tudor Pickering Holt

Hey, good morning. Could you talk about your M&A appetite for refining assets? I think it's been about a decade since you did a major deal. Has anything changed regarding your overall outlook on M&A?

speaker
Lane Riggs
CEO and President

This is Lane. Not really. I mean, we always look at everything. I mean, if you look at the most prompt sort of big deal that's out there at Sitco, we've sort of, as a corporation, decided not to engage in that. You know, for whatever reason, whoever the successful buyer is, they can, you know, sort everything out, wants to liquidate some of the assets. We'll certainly look at them at that time. But in terms of philosophy, we look at everything, but we also, as a company, because we have done so much buying refineries and merging and acquiring, we understand the full cost to make a refinery run it, certainly at the level that we expect. And so, you know, ultimately that goes into our valuation models.

speaker
Matthew Blair
Analyst at Tudor Pickering Holt

Sounds good. I'll leave it there. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Host

Thank you. The next question is coming from Jason Gabelman of TD Cowan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jason Gabelman
Analyst at TD Cowan

Hey, morning. I had two market-based questions. The first just wanted to get a sense of what you're seeing on the West Coast as we move into the summer now that another asset will be permanently shut down there. Are you seeing rateable exports coming from overseas product-wise into that market, or do you expect kind of heightened volatility and elevator prices there.

speaker
Gary Simmons
Executive Vice President and COO

Yeah, so this is Gary. I would tell you, you know, in the first quarter, we saw a little lower demand, at least in our system, California for gasoline, which I think was related to weather. We've seen demand kind of return to normal patterns. And it's very difficult to just speculate and put barrels on the water to import the California market. So we don't think a lot of people are doing that, and you need to see the market react before you would go ahead and put barrels on the water for import into California. So we think there will be a lot of volatility, and it really is all dependent on how refineries on the West Coast run throughout the driving season.

speaker
Jason Gabelman
Analyst at TD Cowan

Got it. And then my second question, just going back to the commentary around the global lightning crude slate and the You had previously made a comment that crude gravity over the past few years has gone up three to four points, and that's maybe reduced global capacity available by three to four percentage points. Can you just comment on that dynamic?

speaker
Gary Simmons
Executive Vice President and COO

I don't know that I can quantify that. Certainly, that is our view, that as the crude gravity goes higher, You know, there's a lot of refining capacity around the world that was designed for a heavier gravity crude diet. It causes some de-rate crude units, but quantifying it, I don't know that I can do that. I don't know, Greg, if you have, I don't have any rules of thumb either.

speaker
Jason Gabelman
Analyst at TD Cowan

Okay. I'll leave it there. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Host

Thank you. At this time, I would like to turn the floor back over to Mr. Balar for closing comments.

speaker
Homer Bollar
Vice President, Investor Relations and Finance

Thank you, Donna. Appreciate everyone joining us. Obviously, please feel free to contact the IR team if you have any follow-up questions. Thank you, everyone, and have a great day.

speaker
Operator
Host

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. This concludes today's event. You may disconnect your lines at this time or log off the webcast and enjoy the rest of your day.

Disclaimer

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