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Vulcan Materials Company
2/16/2024
Welcome everyone to the Vulcan Materials Company fourth quarter 2023 earnings call. My name is Carrie and I will be a conference call coordinator today. Please be reminded that today's call is being recorded and will be available for replay later today at the company's website. All lines have been placed in a listen-only mode. After the company's prepared remarks, there will be a question and answer session. Now, I will turn the call over to your host, Mr. Mark Warren, Vice President of Investor Relations for Vulcan Materials. Mr. Warren, you may begin.
Thank you, Operator. Good morning, everyone. With me today are Tom Hill, Chairman and CEO, and Mary Andrews Carlisle, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Today's call is accompanied by a press release and a supplemental presentation posted to our website, VulcanMaterials.com. Please be reminded that today's discussion may include forward-looking statements which are subject to risks and uncertainties. These risks, along with other legal disclaimers, are described in detail in the company's earnings release and in other filings with the Securities Exchange Commission. Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures are defined and reconciled in our earnings release, our supplemental presentation, and other SEC filings. During the Q&A, we ask that you limit your participation to one question. This will allow us to accommodate as many as possible during our time we have available. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Tom.
Thank you, Mark, and thank all of you for your interest in Volcker Materials Company. Our teams delivered an outstanding year in 2023, and achieved two significant milestones. We generated over $2 billion in adjusted EBITDA, and we surpassed $9 of aggregate cash gross profit per ton. We remain focused on continued growth, consistent execution, and value creation for our shareholders. Our fourth quarter results again demonstrated the benefits of that focus and our aggregate-led business. We delivered a 27% year-over-year improvement in adjusted EBITDA, margin expansion in each of our three primary product lines, and another 90 basis points of sequential improvement in our trailing 12-month return on invested capital. In the aggregate segment, continued pricing momentum, coupled with moderating inflationary costs, resulted in $9.92 of aggregate cash gross profit per ton. a 21 percent improvement over the prior year. Our Vulcan way of selling and Vulcan way of operating disciplines continue to contribute to our commercial and operational results. The fourth quarter performance marked 19 of 20 quarters over the past five years of sequential improvement in 12-month aggregate unit profitability, a clear example of our consistent execution and the durability of our business. Aggregate shipments in the fourth quarter increased 2% compared to a weak prior year quarter that was impacted by abnormally wet and cold weather. Aggregate freight adjusted price improved 14% of the quarter, pushing the year-to-date average selling price to $19 per ton, a $2.60 per ton increase over the prior year. Freight adjusted unit cash cost of sales increased 7% compared to the prior year quarter. This marked a third consecutive quarter of trading 12-month deceleration in year-over-year costs. As we move into 2024, we are determined to continue controlling what we can control, most notably the expansion of our aggregate unit profitability. Price and momentum remains healthy, and we expect freight-adjusted aggregate price to grow from 10% to 12% for the full year. Inflationary cost pressures continue to moderate, and we expect freight-adjusted unit cash costs to increase mid-single digit in 2024, resulting in an attractive mid-teens improvement in cash gross profit per ton. On the demand side, we continue to expect a moderate decline in 2024, with aggregate shipments forecast to land within a range of flat to down 4% for the full year. Much like 2023, we see varying dynamics across different end uses, so let me provide some commentary on each end use. I'll start with residential, which has quickly entered recovery mode, single-family housing permits, and starts return to growth in the second half of last year, and momentum is accelerating across our footprint. We expect the strength in single-family construction activity to be offset by weaker multifamily starts as they pull back from historically high levels. Overall, the underlying fundamentals for residential construction activity remain firmly in place. Vulcan markets have low housing inventory levels and favorable demographics driving the need for additional housing. We continue to see distinct trends across various categories of private non-residential construction, which we anticipate will result in a year-over-year decline in shipments to this end market. Moderating warehouse starts from recent historical high levels are expected to be the biggest headwind to private non-residential construction. Light commercial activity is expected to remain weak as uncertainty in the macroeconomy and higher interest rates persist. Manufacturing activity, however, remains a catalyst for non-residential shipments and is concentrated in Vulcan states. we continue to ship on numerous large manufacturing projects, which we offer customers a differentiated solution with our advanced footprint and logistics capabilities. On the public side, the demand backdrop is developing as expected. We began seeing modest growth in the second half of 23 and project accelerating demand into 2024. Trending 12-month highway starts have now surpassed $100 billion. 2024 state budgets are at record levels, and strong upcoming leddings are anticipated in many Vulcan states. We continue to foresee growth in both highways and infrastructure activities for the next several years. Coupling our anticipated unit profitability growth with the demand backdrop I just described at midpoint of our guidance we project delivering a fourth consecutive year of double-digit growth in adjusted EBITDA. I'm very proud of our teams for what they have and will achieve. Now I'll turn the call over to Mary Andrews for some additional commentary on our 2023 performance and some more details around our 2024 outlook. Mary Andrews.
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