2/18/2025

speaker
Shayna
Conference Call Coordinator

Good morning. Welcome everyone to the Vulcan Materials Company's fourth quarter 2024 earnings call. My name is Shayna and I will be your conference call coordinator today. Please be reminded that today's call is being recorded and will be available for replay later today at the company's website. All lines have been placed in a listen-only mode. After the company's prepared remarks, there will be a question and answer session. Now I will send the call over to your host, Mr. Mark Warren, Vice President of Investor Relations for Vulcan Materials. Mr. Warren, you may begin.

speaker
Mark Warren
Vice President of Investor Relations, Vulcan Materials Company

Thank you, Operator, and good morning, everyone. With me today are Tom Hill, Chairman and CEO, and Mary Andrews Carlisle, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Today's call is accompanied by a press release and a supplemental presentation posted to our website, VulcanMaterials.com. Please be reminded that today's discussion may include forward-looking statements which are subject to risks and uncertainties. These risks, along with other legal disclaimers, are described in detail in the company's earnings release and in other filings with the Security Exchange Commission. Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures are defined and reconciled in our earnings release, supplemental presentation, and other SEC filings. During the Q&A, we ask that you limit your participation to one question. This will allow us to accommodate as many as possible during our time we have available. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Tom.

speaker
Tom Hill
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Vulcan Materials Company

Thank you, Mark, and thank all of you for your interest in Vulcan materials today. 2024 was another year of successful execution. Our two-pronged growth strategy of enhancing our core and expanding our reach is working. we improved our industry leading aggregates cash growth profit per ton by 12% and deployed over $2 billion towards value creating higher sled acquisitions. These acquisitions expanded our presence into new attractive growth areas and strengthen our existing franchise in three of our top 10 revenue States. We finished the year strong. We plan to capitalize on our solid momentum and deliver attractive earnings growth again in 2025. Before discussing our outlook in more detail, I will provide you some key highlights from our fourth quarter performance. Our teams delivered $550 million of adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter, a 16% improvement over the prior year. Importantly, adjusted EBITDA margin improved on a year-over-year basis for an eighth consecutive quarter. In the aggregate segment, cash gross profit per ton expanded 16% to $11.50 in the quarter through a combination of continued pricing momentum and moderating year-over-year unit cash cost of sales. Aggregate freight adjusted price improved 11% in the quarter, consistent with full-year results. Price improvement remained geographically widespread. Agri-shipments were more mixed in the quarter across geographies and in uses. Shipments were 3% lower than the prior year. Growing public shipments and strong demand in storm-impacted areas of western North Carolina and east Tennessee helped to particularly offset headwinds and private construction activity. With less disruption from weather, and our consistent focus on maximizing efficiencies through our Vulcanwave operating efforts. Freight adjusted unit cash cost of sales increased 5% compared to the prior year. This was a meaningful improvement compared to previous quarters and a testament to the execution of our operating teams. This continued execution will be a focus for us in 2025. The pricing environment remains healthy, we expect freight-adjusted aggregate price to grow between 5 and 7 percent in 2025. Now, this includes an over 100 basis point negative mixed impact from recent acquisitions. Inflationary cost pressures continue to moderate, and we're making progress on our Vulcanwave operating process intelligence adoption. We expect freight-adjusted aggregate unit cash costs to increase low to mid-single digits in 2025, leading to another year of double-digit year-over-year expansion in our aggregate unit profitability. We expect 2025 aggregate shipments to increase between 3% and 5% compared to last year. This growth outlook is driven by recent acquisitions, coupled with expectation of stable demand for our legacy business. I expect that continued growth in public construction activity will offset ongoing more modest contraction in private activity. Over the last year, turning 12 months, highway starts have increased by another $7 billion to $122 billion. Blowing highway input cost inflation and continued IIJA-related spending support ongoing growth in highway shipments in 2025 and beyond. Additionally, $45 billion of funding initiatives were passed at the state and local level in the recent election cycle to spur additional transportation investment in Vulcan states. Affordability and elevated interest rates remain headwinds for residential construction activity. Increasing single-family starts over the past 12 months support modest growth in single-family housing in 2025. but multifamily storage data and elevated vacancy rates point to another year of declining demand in multifamily housing. Because the demographics and Vulcan market support a consistent need for additional housing, the timing of additional interest rates, reductions, and overall improvement in affordability will dictate when residential construction activity returns to growth. Likewise, a return to growth in private non-residential construction will also be a matter of timing. While we expect lower private non-residential demand in 2025, we currently anticipate that starts will bottom by mid 2025 and may begin to recover by the second half of the year, voting well for 2026 activity. Recent trends in both warehouse starts and data centers have been encouraging. Trailing 12-month warehouse starts, the largest category in private non-residential construction, have continued to flatten out at pre-pandemic levels after a precipitous drop from historic highs throughout 2023. Current planned data centers activity in our markets remains robust. And according to CoStar data, approximately 7% of proposed data center activity is within 20 miles of a Vulcan facility. As I said earlier, the focus of our teams is execution, controlling what we can control. Against the demand backdrop I just described, we expect to deliver between $2.35 and $2.55 billion of adjusted EBITDA in 2025. Now, I'll turn the call over to Mary Andrews to provide some additional commentary on our 2024 performance and more details around our 2025 outlook. Mary Andrews?

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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Investor presentation