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spk02: Good morning and welcome to our fourth quarter and year 2021 conference call. With me today are Dr. Gerald Paul, Fichet's President and Chief Executive Officer, and Lori Lipkeman, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. As usual, we'll start today's call with the CFO who will review Vishay's fourth quarter and year 2021 financial results. Dr. Gerald Paul will then give an overview of our business and discuss operational performance as well as segment results in more detail. Finally, we'll reserve time for questions and answers. This call is being webcast from the investor relations section of our website at ir.vichet.com. The replay for this call will be publicly available for approximately 30 days. You should be aware that in today's conference call, we will be making certain forward-looking statements that discuss future events and performance. These statements are subject to risk and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from the forward-looking statements. For discussion of factors that could cause results to differ, please see today's press release and Vishay's Form 10-K and Form 10-Q filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, during this call, we may refer to adjusted or other financial measures that are not prepared according to generally accepted accounting principles. We use non-GAAP measures because we believe they provide useful information about the operating performance of our businesses and should be considered by investors in conjunction with GAAP measures that we also provide. On the investor relations section of our website, You can find a presentation of the fourth quarter and year 2021 financial information containing some of the operational metrics Dr. Paul will be discussing. Now, I turn the call over to Chief Financial Officer Lori Lipkeman.
spk06: Lori Lipkeman Thank you, Peter. Good morning, everyone. I am sure that most of you have had a chance to review our earnings press release. I will focus on some highlights and key metrics. VC reported revenues for Q4 of $843 million. EPS was $0.25 for the quarter. Adjusted EPS was $0.62 for the quarter. The only reconciling items between GAAP EPS and adjusted EPS are tax-related. There were no reconciling items impacting gross or operating margins. Yesterday, Avishai announced a stockholder return policy whereby Avishai will return at least 70% of annual free cash to stockholders directly in the form of dividends or indirectly in the form of stock repurchases. For 2022, we intend to return at least $100 million. As a direct result of a change in tax law in Israel during the fourth quarter, the company made the determination that substantially all unremitted foreign earnings in Israel are no longer permanently reinvested. The distribution of these foreign earnings to the United States will initially be used to fund the stockholder return policy. We recorded additional tax expense at $53 million during Q4 as a result of this tax law change in Israel. Revenues in 2021 were $3,240,000,000, up by 29.5% from prior year. Gross margin was 27.4%. Operating margin was 14.4%. There were no reconciling items to arrive at adjusted operating margin. EPS was $2.05. Adjusted EPS was $2.32. EBITDA was $618 million, or 19.1%. There were no reconciling items to arrive at adjusted EBITDA. Revenues in the quarter were $843 million, up by 3.6% from previous quarter, and up by 26.4% compared to prior year. Gross margin was 27.3%. Operating margin was 14.4%. There were no reconciling items to arrive at adjusted operating margin. EPS was 25 cents. adjusted EPS was 62 cents. EBITDA was 160 million or 18.9%. There were no reconciling items to arrive at adjusted EBITDA. Reconciling versus prior quarter operating income quarter for 2021 compared to operating income for prior quarter based on 29 million higher sales or 37 million higher sales excluding X rate impacts. operating income decreased by $2 million to $122 million in Q4 2021 from $124 million in Q3 2021. The main elements were average selling prices had a positive impact of $11 million, representing a 1.3% ASP increase. Volume increased with a positive impact of $14 million, equivalent to a 3.2% increase in volume. Variable costs increased with a negative impact of 4 million, primarily due to increases in logistics and materials and services, not completely offset by cost reductions. Fixed costs increased with a negative impact of 13 million, primarily due to higher repairs and maintenance costs, R&D expenses, and other individually insignificant items. Inventory impacts had a negative impact of 6 million, exchange rates had a negative effect of 3 million. Reconciling versus prior year. Operating income quarter four 2021 compared to adjusted operating income in quarter four 2020 based on 176 million higher sales or 187 million excluding exchange rate impacts. Adjusted operating income increased by 62 million to $122 million in Q4 2021 from $60 million in Q4 2020. The main elements were average selling prices had a positive impact of $28 million, representing a 3.4% ASP increase. Volume increased with a positive impact of $76 million, representing a 23.2% increase. Variable costs increased with a negative impact of $5 million, primarily due to increases in cost of materials and services, metals, labor, and logistics, not completely offset by manufacturing efficiencies and cost reduction efforts. Fixed costs increased with a negative impact of $25 million, primarily due to annual wage increases and higher incentive compensation, as well as general inflation. Inventory impacts had a negative impact of $2 million. Exchange rates had a negative effect of $8 million. Reconciling the full year 2021 versus 2020, operating income for the year 2021 compared to adjusted operating income for the year 2020, based on 739 million higher sales or 704 million excluding exchange rate impacts, adjusted operating income increased by 254 million to 468 million in 2021 from 214 million in 2020. The main elements were average selling prices had a positive impact of 32 million, representing a 1.0% ASP increase. Volume increased with a positive impact of 307 million, representing a 26.2% increase. Variable costs remained on the same level as 2020, primarily due to increased manufacturing efficiencies and cost reduction efforts. which offset higher metal prices, customs and duties, labor costs, materials and services, and logistics. Fixed costs increased with a negative impact of 68 million, primarily due to annual wage increases, higher incentive compensation, as well as general inflation. Inventory impacts had a positive impact of 12 million. Exchange rates had a negative effect of 29 million. Selling general and administrative expenses for the quarter were $108 million, higher than expected due to individually insignificant items. Selling general and administrative expenses for the year were $420 million. For Q1 2022, our expectations are approximately $112 million of SG&A expenses. The increase is primarily due to wage inflation and uneven attribution of stock compensation expense. For the full year 2022, our expectations are 445 million SG&A expenses. Based on our cost cycle, our SG&A expenses are expected to be at the highest quarterly level in quarter one. The debt shown on the face of the balance sheet at quarter end is comprised of the convertible notes due in 2025 net of debt issuance costs. There were no amounts outstanding on our revolving credit facility at the end of the quarter. However, we did use the revolver from time to time during quarter four to meet short-term financing needs and expect to continue to do so in the future. No principal payments are due until 2025, and the revolving credit facility expires in June 2024. We had a total liquidity of $1.7 billion at quarter end. Cash and short-term investments comprised $921 million, and there were no amounts outstanding on our $750 million credit facility. Total shares outstanding at quarter end were $145 million. The expected share count for EPS purposes for the first quarter of 2022 is approximately $146 million, excluding any impact of share repurchases. The full year effective tax rate on a U.S. GAAP basis was approximately 31 percent, which mathematically yields a rate of 68 percent for quarter four. The fourth quarter and year-to-date GAAP rates include additional tax expense of 53 million as a direct result of an Israeli tax law change. The year-to-date GAAP rate also includes a tax benefit of 5.7 million due to the reversal of deferred tax valuation allowances in certain jurisdictions. and benefits of $8.3 million due to changes in tax regulations recorded in earlier quarters. Our normalized effective tax rate, which excludes the unusual tax items, was approximately 22% for the year and 21% for Q4. We expect our normalized effective tax rate for full year 2022 to be between 22% and 24%. Our consolidated effective tax rate is based on an assumed level and mix of income among our various taxing jurisdictions. A shift in income could result in significantly different results. Also, a significant change in U.S. tax laws or regulations could result in significantly different results. Cash flows from operations for the quarter was 147 million. Capital expenditures for the quarter were 100 million. Free cash for the quarter was $46 million. For the full year, cash from operations was $457 million. Capital expenditures were $218 million. Split approximately. For expansion, $141 million. For cost reduction, $12 million. For maintenance of business, $65 million. Free cash generation for the trailing 12-month period was $240 million. The full year period includes 15 million cash taxes paid for the 2021 installment of the US tax reform transition tax. BCS consistently generated in excess of 100 million cash flows from operations in each of the past, now 27 years, and greater than 200 million for the past, now 20 years. Back look at the end of quarter four was at 2,307,000,000. or 8.2 months of sales. Inventories increased quarter over quarter by $8 million, excluding exchange rate impacts. Days of inventory outstanding were 79 days. Days of sales outstanding for the quarter were 42 days. Days of payables outstanding for the quarter were 35 days, resulting in a cash conversion cycle of 86 days. Now we will turn the call over to our Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Gerald Paul.
spk00: Thank you, Lori, and good morning, everybody. Despite ongoing pandemic-related issues and an increased inflation rate, 2021 for Vichy has become one of its most successful years ever. Vichy, like electronics in general, throughout the year enjoyed quite excellent market conditions in virtually all market segments worldwide. Striving to maximize production output, we continue to expand critical manufacturing capacities, defining at the same time ambitious targets and measures for supporting future accelerated growth. For the year, I think we achieved strong results, gross margin of 27.4% of sales versus 23.3% in 2020, adjusted gross margin also of 27.4% versus 23.4% last year. Operating margin of 14.4% of sales versus 8.4% in 2020. Adjusted operating margin also 14.4% of sales versus 8.5% in 2020. Earnings per share of $2.05 versus 85 cents in 2020. adjusted earnings per share of $2.32 versus $0.92 in 2020. The generation of free cash also in 2021 remained on a quite excellent level. We in 2021 generated free cash of $240 million despite our high rate of capex. The fourth quarter shows a continuation of our strong financial performance in prior quarters, However, at a flat gross margin. We share in the fourth quarter achieved a gross margin of 27.3% of sales versus 27.7% in the third quarter. An operating margin of 14.4% of sales versus 15.2% in the third quarter. Earnings per share of 25 cents versus 67 cents in the third quarter. adjusted earnings per share of $0.62 versus $0.63 in the third quarter. We share in Q4 generated $46 million of free cash. Let me talk about the economic environment. The year 2021 in our industry will be remembered as a fairly unique year of a strong recovery, a real, may I say, boom year, characterized by record orders, record backlogs and lead times, and very low inventory levels in the supply chain. Virtually all market segments globally were flourishing, except for the automotive sector that suffered from shortages of supply, which for sure will be temporary. Sales of the component manufacturers in 2021 more or less were limited by their manufacturing capacities. Shortages of supply continue to exist. Increased inflationary pressures on the costs commanded broad price increases, which were widely accepted by the markets. All regions remain exceptionally strong, showing a continued robust demand. POS in all regions remains close or above all time highs, continuing to grow further. Global distribution remains confident concerning their short and mid-term business outlook in view of very high backlogs and an ongoingly strong POS. In the year 2021, POS of global distribution was 32% above prior year, running at record levels. POS in the fourth quarter was on the level of prior quarter and 30% above prior year. Especially the POS in Asia is at an all-time record high. Global inventory in the fourth quarter increased by 40 million versus prior quarter and by 49 million versus prior year. There is an impact of price increases during the year, indicating a lower increase in terms of pieces. Inventory returns of global distribution in the fourth quarter are at a still high level of 3.9%. slightly down from 4.2 in prior quarter. In the Americas, 2.2 turns after 2.2 also in quarter three and 1.6 in prior year. In Asia, 5.3 turns after 6.1 turns in quarter three and 5.0 in prior year. In Europe, 4.3 turns after 4.5 turns and 3.2 turns in prior year. Coming to the industrial segments, after several quarters of relatively weak performance, automotive markets seemingly started to recover in the fourth quarter. Customer supply, in particular with IC devices, has started to improve. Also in light of vehicle inventory globing, remaining globally depleted, we expect a strong year 2021 in automotive. The industrial segment continues to provide solid growth, reflecting increased electrification across a wide range of applications. Industrial automation robotics continue to accelerate. We also see a continued recovery in oil and gas markets. Computing markets perform well, driven by a strong service sector. In the telecom segment, 5G starts to gain momentum globally. The AMS business continues to develop positively also supported by a beginning recovery of the commercial avionics sector. Air conditioning, TV and gaming sectors keep supporting the consumer sector. Medical remains positive with a recovery of traditional applications. Due to an exceptionally strong performance in particular of our Chinese plants versus original expectations, the fourth quarter sales excluding X-rate impacts came in above the midpoint of our guidance. We achieved sales of 843 million versus 814 million in prior quarter and 667 million in prior year. Excluding X-rate effects, Sales in the fourth quarter were up by 37 million or by 5% versus prior quarter and up by 187 million or 28% versus prior year. Sales in the year 2021 were 3.24 billion versus 2.50 billion in 2020, an increase of 28% excluding X-rayed effects. Book-to-bill in the quarter, despite very high backlogs, remained above parity 1.09 after 1.26 in prior quarter. 1.06 for distribution after 1.29 in the third quarter. 1.15 for OEMs after 1.23. 1.08 for semiconductors after 1.27 in the third quarter. 1.11 for the passives after 1.26 in Q3. 1.10 for the Americas after 1.30 in Q3. 1.0 for Asia after 1.14. 1.21 for Europe after 1.41. We continue to see a broad continuation of an excellent economic environment. whereby Europe based on automotive is catching up. Backlocks in the fourth quarter remained on record levels of 8.2 months after 8.3 months in the third quarter. 8.9 months in semiconductors after also 8.9 months in the third quarter. 7.5 months in passives after 7.6 months in Q3. We continue to raise prices in a broad way, plus 1.3% versus prior quarter and plus 3.4% versus prior year. For semis, we raise by 1.7% versus prior quarter and by 5% versus prior year. For the passives, 0.8% versus prior quarter and 1.7% up versus prior year. Some highlights of our operations. Despite a continued good level of plant efficiencies and despite price increases, the contributive margin in 2021 remained on the level of prior year, which has been somewhat below the long-term average. We continue to suffer from substantially increased transportation costs and metal prices, but also from higher wages and general inflation globally. We expect to return to historical level of variable margin percent in the course of this year. SG&A costs in the fourth quarter came in at 108 million above expectations when excluding X-ray impacts mainly due to higher R&D costs and several individually immaterial items. SG&A costs for the year 2021 were at 420 million 37 million or 10% above prior year at constant exchange rates, mainly due to higher incentive compensation and wage inflation. Manufacturing fixed costs in the quarter came in at 142 million according to expectations when excluding exchange rate impacts. Due to substantially higher manufacturing activity, Manufacturing fixed costs for the year 2021 increased to 559 million, 39 million or 6% above prior year at constant exchange rates. Due to a higher manufacturing output, total employment at the end of 2021 increased to 22,825, 6% up from prior year. Excluding exchange rate impacts, inventories in the quarter increased by 8 million, by 7 million in raw materials, and by 1 million in whip and finish goods. Inventory returns in the fourth quarter remained at satisfactory 4.5. Excluding exchange rate impacts, inventories in the year 2021 increased by 99 million, Raw materials increased by 39 million and whip and finish goods by 60 million. Inventory turns for the entire year 2021 were at a very satisfactory level of 4.7, up from 4.3 in prior year. Capital spending in 2021 was 218 million versus 124 million in prior year. $141 million for expansion, $12 million for cost reduction, and $65 million for the maintenance of business. We are preparing ourselves for an accelerating growth in years to come. For the year 2022, we expect CAPEX of approximately $325 million, a sharp increase due to our project of building a 12-inch MOSFET FAB adjacent to our existing 8-inch FAB. We, in the year 2021, generated cash from operations of 457 million compared to 315 million cash from operations in 2020, which includes 16 million cash taxes for cash repatriation. We, in 2021, generated free cash of 240 million compared to a free cash generation of 192 million in 2020, which includes also 16 million cash taxes for cash repatriation. Fischer also in a year of high capex has continued to live up to its reputation as an excellent and reliable producer of free cash. Let me go through our product lines and I start as always with resistors. With resistors we enjoy a very strong position in the auto, industrial, military and medical market segments. We offer virtually all resistor technologies and are globally known as a reliable high-quality supplier of the broadest product range. Vishay's traditional and historically growing business has returned to record levels. Sales in the quarter were $190 million, up by $11 million or by 6% from prior quarter, and up by $32 million or by 20% versus prior year, excluding exchange rate impacts. Sales in the year 2021 of 753 million were up by 134 million or by 22% versus prior quarter, including 18 million coming from our acquisition ATP. All these numbers and comparison exclude again X rate impacts. Book-to-bill ratio in the fourth quarter was 1.14%, after 1.26 in prior quarter backlog remained at 7.8 month a record level gross margin in the quarter was at 29 percent of sales up from 27 percent of sales in q3 gross margin for the year 2021 was also at 29 percent of sales up from 25% in 2021, mainly due to substantially higher volume. Inventory returns in the quarter remained on a satisfactory level of 4.5. Inventory returns for the full year were at 4.8. Selling prices continued to increase by 0.6% versus prior quarter and by 1.3% versus prior year. We are continuously raising critical manufacturing capacities mainly for resistor chips and for power wire rounds. We continue to broaden our business with specialty resistors by targeted acquisitions like ATP and recently Barry Industries. ATP in the meantime has been integrated successfully. Inductors. The business consists of power inductors and mechanics. we exploit the continuously growing need for inductors in general, we should develop the platform of robust and efficient power inductors and lead the market technically. With magnetics, we are very well positioned in many specialty businesses, demonstrating also in this field steady growth. Sales of inductors in the fourth quarter were 82 million, slightly down by 3 million or by 3% versus prior quarter, but up by 7 million or by 9% versus prior year, excluding exchange rate effects. Sales in the year 2021 of 336 million were up versus prior year by 40 million or by 14%, excluding exchange rate impacts. Book-to-bill in the fourth quarter was at 1.13 after 1.11 in prior quarter. Backlog has increased to six months from 5.4 months in prior quarter. Gross margin in the fourth quarter was at 29% of sales, down versus prior quarter at 32% of sales, mostly due to temporarily lower volume and also due to higher logistics costs. Gross margin for the year was at quite excellent, 32% of sales virtually on the level as prior year. Inventory turns in the quarter were 4.6 as compared to 4.8 for the whole year. Some price increases also at inductors plus 0.1% versus prior quarter plus 0.5% versus prior year. We continuously expand our manufacturing capacities for power inductors and remain open for acquisitions in particular in the field of specialty businesses. Coming to capacitors, our business with capacitors is based on a broad range of technologies with a strong position in American and European market niches. We also enjoy increasing opportunities in the fields of power transmission and of electric cars, namely in Asia. Sales in the fourth quarter were at 129 million, 13% above prior quarter, and 45% above prior year, which includes, again, exchange rate impacts. Year-over-year capacitor sales increased by 103 million, or by 28%, excluding exchange rate impacts. The book-to-bill ratio in the fourth quarter was 1.04 after 1.37 in prior quarter. In the third quarter, we had received large orders for power capacitors. Backlog decreased slightly to a still extraordinarily high level of 8.1 months from 8.9 months in the third quarter. Gross margin in the quarter was a 22% of sales up from 21% in prior quarter, mostly due to higher volume and a more normal product mix. Gross margin for the year 2021 was a 22% of sales up from 19% in 2020, mostly due to increased volume. Inventory turns in the quarter increased to 3.7 as compared also to 3.7 for the whole year. Continued price increases, 1.6% up versus prior quarter and 3.0% up versus prior year. We remain confident for capacitors for the midterm in light of increasing design wins. Opto products, Vichay's business with opto products consists of infrared emitters, receivers, sensors, and couplers. Also in opto, we continue to see a strong acceleration of demand. Sales in the quarter were 78 million, 12% above prior quarter and 17% above prior year without exchange rate impacts. Year-over-year sales with opto products went up by 62 million or by 26% when excluding exchange rate impacts. Book-to-bill in the fourth quarter was at 1.21 after 1.36 in prior quarter. Backlog remained at a quite extreme level of 10.4 months after 10.9 months in the third quarter. Gross margin in the quarter for opto products came in at 34% of sales on the level of prior quarter. Gross margin for the year 2021 increased to excellent 33% of sales as compared to 28% of sales in 2020, mostly due to a much higher volume. Also for Opto products, we continue to raise selling prices They were up by 1.9% versus prior quarter and by 4.6% versus prior year. We are in process to start production now in our modernized and expanded Heilbronn wafer fab. And I said it before, Opto products continue to be a relevant factor for Vishay's growth expectations going forward. Coming to diodes. Diodes for Vishay represents a broad commodity business where we are the largest supplier worldwide. WeShare offers virtually all technologies as well as the most complete product portfolio there. The business enjoys a very strong position in the automotive and industrial market segments and keeps growing steadily and profitably since years. Sales in the quarter were 192 million, up by 8 million or 5% versus prior quarter, and up by 55 million or 40% versus prior year, which excludes exchange rate defects. Year-over-year sales increased sharply by 201 million or by 40% excluding exchange rate impacts vis-a-vis prior year and reached a record level of 709 million. The book-to-bill ratio in the fourth quarter was at 1.10, after 1.31 in prior quarter. Backlog remained at a very high level of 8.8 months, virtually on the level of prior quarter. Gross margin in the quarter was at 24% of sales as compared to 25% in the third quarter, impacted by higher logistics costs and the reduction of inventories. Gross margin in the year 2021 was at 24% of sales, up from 18% in prior year, mostly due to substantially higher volume. Inventory returns in the fourth quarter were at 4.7 as compared to also 4.7 for the whole year. We continue to raise ASP for the diodes plus 1.9% versus prior quarter and plus 6.5%. versus prior year. Our large and growing business with diodes remains to be one of the most important elements of our growth plans. Finally, MOSFETs. Vijay is one of the market leaders in MOSFET transistors. With MOSFETs, we enjoy a strong and growing market position, in particular in automotive, which in view of an increasing use of MOSFETs will provide a very successful future for this line. Demand over the year has reached extreme levels and is expected to increase rapidly further in the years to come. Sales in the quarter were 171 million, 2% below prior quarter but 32% above prior year, excluding exchange rate impacts. Year-over-year sales with MOSFETs increased steeply over prior year by $163 million or by 32% to $668 million. All this excludes exchange rate impacts. Actually, sales in 2021 in MOSFETs in particular has just been limited by manufacturing capacities. Book-to-bill ratio in the quarter was at 1.01 after 1.19 in the third quarter. Backlog remained on a very high level of 8.2 months. Gross margin in the quarter was at 30% of sales after 31% of sales in the third quarter. Driven by volume, gross margin in the year 2021 came in at 28% of sales, a substantial increase from 23% in prior quarter. Inventory returns in the quarter were at 5.0%. as compared to also 5.0 for the entire year. Also for the MOSFETs, we continue to implement price increases, plus 1.5% versus prior quarter and plus 3.5% versus prior year. MOSFETs remain key for Veche's growth plan going forward. We intend to keep a proper balance between in-house manufacturing of wafers and purchases from foundries. This in mind, we decided to build a 12-inch wafer fab in Itzihoe, Germany, adjacent to our existing 8-inch fab, increasing our in-house wafer capacity by 70% within three to four years. Let me summarize. Looking back, 2021 has developed into one of the best years of the history of Viché. despite an ongoing influence of the pandemic and accelerating inflation. Our success for sure has been supported by a globally high demand, but has not been the result of a specific shortage, nor has it been achieved by inflating the supply chain with inventory. I believe that 2021 has clearly demonstrated the strength and growth potential of electronics in general, but also the advantage for a broad liner like Vishay, who can exploit upturns in a broad manner. We continue to be financially more than stable, are very well established in most markets globally, and are used to react quickly and professionally to the market changes as they may occur. Our financial strength and independence allows us to invest in a substantial way in critical manufacturing capacities by supporting the development of new processes and products. We remain committed to shareholder value and pursue long-term strategies independently of the economic environment. Yesterday, we announced a structured and ongoing stock buyback program in parallel to the dividend payouts. We are confident for 2022, expecting also a strong recovery of the car industry. For the first quarter, we add for quarter four exchange rates guide to a sales range between 820 and 860 million at a gross margin of 27.3% plus minus 50 basis points. Thank you for your attention, Peter.
spk02: Thank you, Dr. Paul. We'll now open the call to questions. Sherry, please take the first question.
spk05: Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. And for participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up the handset before pressing the star keys. Our first question is from Rupalu Bhattacharya with Bank of America. Please proceed.
spk01: Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. Dr. Paul, in the fourth quarter, you had strong revenues. Revenues came at the high end of guidance. It looks like gross margin was at the lower end of guidance. Can you just talk about that 40 basis points of sequential decline in margins? What were some of the factors? How much was mixed? How much was FX? And how do you see margins going forward?
spk00: But we, of course, by nature of things, digged into that. And it's clear that by far the biggest impact is logistics costs, which were also higher than we expected them to be. This is the lion's share. It's not the efficiencies. They were quite good as they were throughout the year. It's inflationary impacts, it's wages, and as I said, mainly logistics costs. We do expect, but we are not completely master of that, We do expect logistics costs to become better in the course of this year with the air traffic getting more normal.
spk01: And Dr. Paul, with respect to these logistics costs, do you think that you'll be able to pass them on to your customers as it looks like they're going to remain high over the next couple of quarters from what we can tell? Is that something you can pass on?
spk00: Well, we do so principally as we raise prices. We raise prices since quarters, and we will continue to do so. So we will more and more offset that, and I guess, as I said, logistics cost, it depends on the general air traffic. It hopefully will not last a full year. We expect some kind of an improvement in the course of the second half.
spk01: Okay. Can I ask you about a longer-term focused question? Right now, the backlog is running very high. Let's say, you know, most product lines, you've mentioned about eight months of backlog. But, you know, what was that backlog pre-COVID? And as things normalize, where do you think that backlog normalizes to? I mean, do you think it remains high at eight months? Or do you think as we go through 2022, that normalizes back down? And where do you think it ends up in?
spk00: If you really look back to... through history, the normal backlog was three to four months, to say it frankly. This was the average for a long period of time. Then since the year 2017, it started to grow, but at the moment it's record high, and this is of course not normal. We do expect that the backlog will come down as we go with the normalization. Whether it will ever return to three months, that is the question. I believe there's more skepticism around concerning... low inventories, supply problems, etc. So I could imagine going forward, we will not go back to these three months, which were indeed historically the case. So there will be a reduction, but not to historical deficits, I believe.
spk01: Okay. And maybe just the last one, if I can ask. Yesterday, you announced a shareholder return policy. How does M&A, further M&A fit into that? Any thoughts on further acquisitions? Are you considering are you open to any and in which area, either passive or active. So any thoughts there would be appreciated.
spk00: First of all, I think I have to say that acquisitions are not in competition with this program. We continue to look for acquisitions in the same way. And we, no change, we will concentrate on specialty businesses as we go. So this is the answer, I guess, which you...
spk01: All right, thank you for all the details. Appreciate it.
spk05: Our next question is from Carl Ackerman with Cowan & Company. Please proceed.
spk04: Yes, thank you. Two questions, please. Dr. Paul, I don't think you've grown SG&A above revenue growth since 2013. So with SG&A up roughly 6% for 2022 and based on your commentary, that contribution margins should improve, it appears you're relatively optimistic about 2022. Clearly, backlog remains elevated over eight months, but are there market share opportunities or end market growth opportunities you would call out that anchors your expectations for 2022?
spk00: Well, it really still and foreseeably is the whole sales is determined by manufacturing capacities. Of course, everybody expects longer-term cooling down of the economy. We cannot see it. Our backlog continues to go up. So I dare to say our sales, and we are optimistic on that, is a product of established capacities, and we do increase capacities. We have programs there. If you want to highlight a product line which is in particular hot, if you want to say it like that, it's the MOSFET. It continues to be the MOSFETs. And everybody wants to increase and does increase manufacturing capacities there, but with good reasons, the application of MOSFETs increase.
spk04: I appreciate that. Some of your peers quantify the benefit from automotive restocking in calendar 21 and suggested the inventory benefit may not carry over into 2022. Nevertheless, though, I think at least half of your automotive business is on consignment. That better aligns your supply with market demand. But I'm wondering if your automotive customers have indicated your products are now balanced at a high level or whether your automotive products remain very tight and have seen lead times extended. Thank you.
spk00: It's the latter. It's the latter. We see a lot of escalations, continue to see a lot of escalations for higher shipments from our large automotive customers. And MOSFETs for sure is, in that sense, the most problematic. We do not see a cooling down. I think it will be the opposite. Automotive, based on a better supply situation, which they are going to have, is going to increase their demands this year. So it will be more a problem to serve them than to manage a low demand. Thank you.
spk05: As a reminder, just star one on your telephone keypad if you would like to ask a question. Our next question is from Matt Sheeran with Stiefel. Please proceed.
spk03: Yes, thank you and good morning. I just wanted to follow up on Carl's questions. One regarding your outlook for the year, Dr. Paul. Like you said, it sounds like you've got confidence. It's really up to your ability to increase your capacity So do you have any outlook in terms of what we should be thinking about growth rates for Vichay this year?
spk00: Well, we expected, we said it before, higher sales than in 2021. We expect higher sales. We had put a number to it. It's at least 5% up.
spk03: And what about your ability to meet that demand? I know you've got the CapEx. I know there's a lag there of at least 12 months, right, in some products. So if you look at the capacity and your price increases, you know, does 4% or 5% growth sound conservative?
spk00: Price increases together with capacity increases exist, but as you said, capacity increases come step by step. And in the first quarter, I fear we will still see negative impacts of the COVID pandemic, especially in our plants in China, which make the start a little slow by nature.
spk03: Okay. And then you sounded like your distribution inventory levels are still fairly lean. We're hearing from some of your peers that other sectors like OEMs and EMS are starting to build inventory and see some imbalance of parts. Are you seeing any signs of that yet?
spk00: There's no report, as you know. It's only our impression concerning... I think a good indication is the number of escalations which we see. And as a matter of fact, we are still very much under pressure that customers call us and want improved volumes and also shorter lead times. My impression, I think it would be naive to say that inventories at OEMs would not have gone up, but I believe they are still overall, there are still shortages for very many product lines, especially for MOSFETs. But maybe even semiconductors, discrete semiconductors in general. My impression is not that customers build undue inventory.
spk03: Okay. And just lastly, a question for Laurie regarding that one-time tax issue in Israel. Is that a cash payment? And it doesn't look like you're guiding, I guess, 23% tax rate going forward. So there's no impact going forward on that?
spk06: So maybe I start first. So the $53 million was charged to the P&L, and it will be paid out over a period of time because it was previously untaxed income to some extent. and then we accrued some withholding tax for the repatriation to the U.S. But the repatriation of the U.S. will be over a period of several years eventually, and therefore it will be cashed out but not immediately. We're still guiding to the 22% to 24% tax rate at this point in time.
spk03: Okay, thank you.
spk05: We have reached the end of our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to management for closing comments.
spk02: Thank you for attending today's call and for your interest in Vishay Intertechnology. This concludes our fourth quarter and year 2021 earnings call.
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