Vitesse Energy, Inc.

Q3 2023 Earnings Conference Call

11/2/2023

speaker
Operator
Greetings, and welcome to the Vitess Energy Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. Please note, this conference is being recorded. I'll now turn the conference over to Ben Messier, Director of Investor Relations and Business Development. Thank you. You may begin.
speaker
Ben Messier
Good morning and thank you for joining. Today we will be discussing our financial and operating results for the third quarter of 2023, which we released yesterday after market closed. You can access our earnings release and presentation in the investor relations section of our website. We filed our form 10Q with the SEC yesterday. I'm here this morning with Vitesse's chairman and CEO, Bob Garrity, our president, Brian Cree, and our CFO, Jimmy Henderson. Our agenda for today's call is as follows. Bob will provide opening remarks on the quarter. After Bob, Brian will give you an operations update. Jimmy will review our third quarter financial results. After the conclusion of our prepared remarks, the executive team will be available to answer any questions. Before we begin, let's cover our safe harbor language. Please be advised that our remarks today, including the answers to your questions, may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. These forward-looking statements are subject to the risks and uncertainties, some of which are beyond our control, that could cause actual results to be materially different from the expectations contemplated by these forward-looking statements. Those risks include, among others, matters that we have described in our earnings release and periodic filings. We disclaim any obligation to update these forward-looking statements, except as may be required by applicable securities laws. During our conference call, we may discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted net income, adjusted EBITDA, net debt, net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio, and free cash flow. Reconciliations of these measures to the closest GAAP measures can be found in the earnings release that we issued yesterday. Now, I will turn the call over to our chairman and CEO, Bob Garrity.
speaker
Bob Garrity
Thanks, Ben. Good morning, everybody. Thanks so much for being on our call. With Brian Kring and I today is Jimmy Henderson, who joined us two months ago. And we are thrilled. He's had a wonderful, successful career as a CFO in the oil business, which is rare. And Jimmy not only brings a deep skill set to the test, he's a wonderful guy and just has fit in wonderfully. So he's really moved the needle in improving capacity so welcome Jimmy the test is a return of capital company not the first time you've heard that from me won't be the last time you heard it from me and payment of our fixed dividend is our top priority we paid our third quarter cash dividend of 50 cents per share in September and earlier this week the board declared our fourth quarter cash dividend of 50 cents to be paid in December. We continue to look at a lot of near-term development drilling deals and larger asset acquisitions that continue to be supportive of our dividend. During the third quarter, we're able to complete several impactful acquisitions that meet our very high return hurdles. As previously discussed, we buy whatever we can within our stringent economic parameters, and we're not limited by a budget. We are only limited by opportunity and economics. We put hedges in place to protect these returns when the opportunities present themselves. With that, I'm going to turn this over to Brian Cree, my longtime partner and vice president and president of Vitess. So, Brian.
speaker
Ben
Brian Cree Thanks. Good morning, everyone. As Bob mentioned, we acquired additional oil and gas interest through our near-term drilling acquisition program during the third quarter that will result in approximately $50 million of additional capex, primarily in the second half of 2023. These acquisitions exceeded our internal hurdle rates and are expected to provide material increases to production and cash flow in both Q4 23 and across 2024. The wells associated with these acquisitions have either already started producing or are in the process of being turned on to production in the fourth quarter, so the time between capex spend and revenue receipt will be shorter than our typical acquisition. Additionally, we continue to see consistent pace of development on our existing asset. The organic conversion of our inventory of undeveloped locations remains core to our business model. Since we like to provide insight into our pipeline of drilling and completion opportunities, as of September 30, 2023, we had 7.7 net wells that were either drilling or in the completing phase, and another 10 net wells that had been permitted for development by our operators. I want to touch a little bit on hedging. Over the last two months, we added to our oil hedges for the remainder of 2023, for all of 2024, and for the first half of 2025. We now have approximately 50% of our estimated fourth quarter 2023 oil production and close to 40% of our estimated full year 2024 oil production hedged at $79 per barrel. Thanks for your time. Now I'll turn it over to our new CFO, Jimmy Henderson, to review our financial highlights. Welcome aboard, Jimmy. Great to have you here.
speaker
Brian Cree
Thanks, Brian, and thanks, Bob, for all the kind words. I'm certainly happy to be here. And good morning, everyone that's listening in today. It is great to be back and involved in this industry that I continue to feel is so important and provides a vital resource. It's been wonderful to reconnect with many of you in the investment and the banking and research arenas as we continue to tell the exciting Vitess story. I especially want to thank the Vitess team for making me feel welcome. and helping me get up to speed since I joined. And lastly, congratulations to the Texas Rangers on the exciting win in the World Series last night. Now onto a quick review of the financial results for the quarter and our financial status. I'll assume you all can refer to our earnings release and our 10-Q, which were filed last night, for all the details on the quarterly and year-to-date results. So I won't bother repeating all the details that were included in those documents, but just to highlight a few items. As both Bob and Brian described, we've continued our return of capital program through the dividend and strengthen our future cash flows with several acquisitions, which obviously supports the dividend. Both activities continue to be cornerstones of our strategy. As for the results in the quarter, our production levels remain fairly consistent at just over 11,000 BOE per day, with about 67% of that being oil. As we previously reported, we expect the fourth quarter of this year to increase to 12,300 to 13,000 BOE per day, with further increases in production next year in 2024, primarily due to the recent acquisitions that we announced. Likewise, adjusted EBITDA was flat sequentially at $34.7 million, and adjusted NIT income was $11.1 million. GAAP NIT income was a loss of $1.5 million, and you can see the reconciliation of those numbers in the press release that we filed last night. Cash CapEx and acquisition costs in the quarter were approximately $34.1 million. We funded this investment with operating cash flows and withdrawals on the credit facility. This resulted in outstanding debt increasing by $15 million and a quarter, which put us at $56 million drawn as of September 30. We do expect further outspend in Q4 as we fund the remaining CapEx and acquisition costs as we disclosed a couple of weeks ago. We'll continue to fund these costs as well as our dividend through operating cash flow and on our credit facility. With that, let me turn it over to the operator for any Q&A that we might have today. Thank you all. Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad and the confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the queue. You may press star 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the start keys. One moment, please, while we pull for questions. And our first question comes from John White with Roth Capital Partners. Please proceed.
speaker
John White
Good morning, and congratulations on the quarter, and congratulations to Mr. Henderson for his new position.
speaker
Brian Cree
Thanks, John. Appreciate it.
speaker
John White
You said your, as you put out in your press release, you said acquisition activity accelerated in the quarter. Do you want to provide some more details on those acquisitions? Were they all producing properties and were they all in the Bakken?
speaker
Ben
Thanks, John. This is Brian and I'll handle that. Yeah, you know, as we've always said, the acquisition pipeline is something that we've developed over the last 10 years, but it can be lumpy. And we were just fortunate to see several different transactions come together kind of toward the middle and latter part of the third quarter. And, you know, they weren't really producing assets, although what I would tell you is that, you know, because our near-term development program is typically about buying AFEs or wells that are in the process of drilling. And that's really what the majority of these were. But there was a little bit of uniqueness to them in that several of these wells that we acquired were further along that drilling process. And so we were really happy with the rates of return, especially given that the wells started to come online kind of toward the latter part of the quarter, and more of them will come on in the fourth quarter. So even though they were near-term development acquisitions, They were just coming online faster than our typical acquisition would indicate.
speaker
John White
Thank you. And all of them in the Bakken?
speaker
Ben
Yes. All of those were in the Williston Basin.
speaker
John White
Okay. Thank you. I'll pass it back to the operators.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Donovan Schaefer with Northland Capital Markets. Please proceed.
speaker
Donovan Schaefer
Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the questions. I want to start off by asking about natural gas price realizations. You know, I know that, you know, natural gas is a very small part of the overall production for you guys. But just with how wide, you know, how significant price swings have been over the last 12 months being something like 10x what they were this last quarter. You take all that into account, it can still be somewhat material to the top line even as a small piece of the picture. I have to ask about realizations being $0.88 per MCF in the quarter. I know you do it net of transportation expense. That maybe makes it not like an apples to apples comparison with, say, like a peer or someone else producing in the basin. But I just want to understand kind of what drove that lower. What would it maybe be if you treated, if there was a way to compare it to someone who doesn't report it net of transportation expenses? Just trying to kind of wrap my mind around it and compare to what I see elsewhere.
speaker
Brian Cree
Yeah, thanks for the question, Donovan. Good morning. Yeah, so unfortunately, practices vary in how you handle transportation, as well as two-stream versus three-stream reporting. For us, we report two-stream, meaning that we have crude oil and natural gas only and not the NGLs, and the natural gas includes the NGL component of that. I think one of the biggest issues Well, a couple of impacts in the third quarter that reduced our realized price, and one is that the NGL prices were very low as storage levels continued to be high coming out of the summer. That's certainly a seasonal thing, and we expect to improve as we go through the winter, assuming that it does continue to get cold on the East Coast especially. So that should improve. There's certainly quarter over quarter here in the fourth quarter. The other component is, as you mentioned, gathering transportation and downstream costs. We net that out of our price. Not all producers do. Some show that as a separate G&T price. But the way that we are paid, that's really just a part of the net revenue we receive at the wellhead. So that's how it's handled here. So I'd have to make that adjustment. as others might show it as a different line item in the income statement. The other way that that affects our net back price is that a lot of those costs are fixed by the operators. So they have fixed fee versus like a percentage of proceeds type contract, which most people have gone to. And as prices of gas or NGLs goes down, obviously that fixed fee becomes a higher percentage. of the net price, and so it has more of an impact at lower prices than it does at higher prices. So hopefully that's helpful, but we're happy to follow up with you if that doesn't get you where you need to be.
speaker
Donovan Schaefer
Okay, that's very helpful. And I want to ask about the hedge book additions just between the release yesterday and then the update release with the recent near-term development acquisitions. So I think the only, if my notes are correct, the only change to the hedge positions between those two was really the addition of, you know, hedges in 2025 and it's not a huge quantity in terms of the total, you know, maybe it's like 10% or something of the total volume at that point, but I'm guessing maybe it's sort of tied to the addition of these acquisitions. So you're sort of looking out and saying, okay, we, we underwrote things at a certain strip, um, you know, and then, and then what can we hedge that same strip? Uh, you know, what, what can we, hedge that at compared to how we underwrote it. So I guess first, you know, my kind of thinking about it conceptually the right way, or was it just an opportunistic thing to pick up some smaller volume of hedges in 25? And then how does that 25, sorry, 75, $75, you know, swap price, how does that compare to, you know, what, how the curve where stir prices were for that time period when you underwrote some of these?
speaker
Ben
Thanks, Donovan. This is Brian. I'll take a crack at that. You had several questions in there. So is it opportunistic? It's kind of a combination of both, right? I mean, we did see a nice run-up of oil prices starting in September and into early October, shortly after we had made those acquisitions. And so it was a great opportunity for us to lock in prices associated with the expected production from those acquisitions at much higher prices than the than we had underwritten those acquisitions at, and that is part of the 2025 hedges. But also keep in mind that historically our company has liked to be closer to having hedges in place for approximately two years out, and so it's just kind of part of our normal process of starting to lock in hedges. There's still a lot of backwardation in the market as you get out into 2025, so we took advantage of of an uplift that we saw over a couple of days and got above $75 in 2025, so we pulled the trigger on that. I just want to touch on your comment about 23 and 24. We actually did add quite a few hedges for 23 and 24, increasing our average price. I think at the end of the second quarter, we had hedges in place for 2024 that accounted for maybe about 20% of our expected production. Now we're hedged at closer to 40% of our expected production, and we increased that average price from 76, which is where we stood at the end of the second quarter, up to a little bit over or close to $79. So, you know, again, it's a combination of both opportunistic. When we see those prices go up, we'll take advantage of it. And I think, you know, from our hedge book, you can see that we kind of like to be in that – mid to upper 70s before we lock in hedges and that's kind of historically how we've handled it and my expectation is that's how we'll look at it on a go-forward basis.
speaker
Donovan Schaefer
Okay and then lastly just I'm curious if you can comment on kind of the the state of the M&A market you know what if you're assessing a lot of opportunities still. I guess you can comment both on ground game or near-term drilling, near-term development, as well as something larger or package type deals. In both those kind of opportunity sets, have you seen directional changes where you're seeing more potential in one versus the other? this time or going forward, just kind of in general trends and what kind of the state of affairs are there and opportunity versus not. Sometimes it's better to just sit things out for a while.
speaker
Bob Garrity
Yeah, Donovan, thanks for the question. This is Bob. We are seeing a lot of deal flow, both in the near term and in the larger asset class, it's possibly because the price of oil has been fairly stable. But this is the biggest deal flow we've seen in years. Now, that said, that doesn't always correlate to us closing those deals. But it's great. There's a real nice smorgasbord of opportunities. about half the company is engaged in some form of reviewing and analyzing and closing deals. So we're very busy. But again, can't promise that we're going to close those things. But at the end of the day, we are underwriters. So we're having a lot of fun.
speaker
Donovan Schaefer
Yeah, I'd actually prefer that you promise that you Don't close on any of the ones that are coming at it from an economic standpoint. Right on. Okay. All right. Well, great. Thanks, guys. I'll follow up on any other questions.
speaker
Bob Garrity
Thanks for your support, Donovan. Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Jeff Grant with Alliance Global Partners. Please proceed.
speaker
Jeff Grant
Morning, all. Thanks for the time. I was curious on the cost side of things, uh, well cost specifically, um, just an update there in terms of what you guys are seeing, you know, what, how does a leading edge AFC maybe compare to, um, you know, this time last year, maybe first half of this year. And then, uh, relatedly, uh, what, what kind of costs are you guys baking into that 24 guide? Thanks.
speaker
Ben
Sure. Thanks, Jeff. This is Brian. I'll, I'll take a crack at that and, uh, let Bob add anything that he wants to add, but, uh, You know, we've talked about this on most of our calls. We didn't see as much cost inflation in the Bakken as I think some of the other basins have seen over the last year, year and a half. But as we mentioned on our 2Q call, the difference between the first quarter and the second quarter, we were starting to see a nice, you know, small but nice trend back to lower AFEs. I don't know that I would say that that trend necessarily improved into the third quarter, but I think it's been consistent. I think we started to see the price of oil go back up. Your drilling and completion costs are going to have some correlation to the price of oil, but I think we're happy with the AFEs that we've been receiving in terms of where their costs are coming in. Our operators are doing a good job. My sense is that sometimes it takes a while for us to get all the actual costs in. It's one of the benefits of of being a non-operated working interest owner is you don't see the cost as quickly as the operators do. But the trends that I think we're seeing is certainly the operators are doing a very good job of managing costs out there in the field. And I don't think we're seeing the inflation that we saw in 2022. I think that 2023 third quarter is kind of a continuation of the second quarter.
speaker
Jeff Grant
Got it. Great. Thank you. And for my follow-up on the, I guess, tangentially related to your own M&A aspirations, you know, HESS is obviously one of your larger operators. There's going to be a changing of the guard there soon. Do you guys have an opinion on that, positive, negative, non-event, as it relates to how it will impact the tests? And prospectively, just curious how you guys are thinking about looking at opportunities underlying HESS acreage given that change?
speaker
Bob Garrity
You must have been in our conference room the last week, Jeff, because it's been a big topic of conversation. We know Chevron for what they've done in the DJ, and we think that they're a very good operator. We are under Hess in a lot of wells, and I can't predict if it's a good thing for us, Jeff, or a bad thing. But we do like Chevron, and we got our head on a swivel. Usually when M&A like that happens, it's beneficial because the smaller assets do shuffle, but we haven't seen that yet. So we're looking out. We don't know yet.
speaker
Jeff Grant
Yeah, no, I know it's early. I thought I'd ask. So thanks for the time, guys. Appreciate it.
speaker
Bob Garrity
Thank you, Jeff.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, there are no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the call back to management for closing remarks.
speaker
Bob Garrity
Well, thanks, everybody, for your time. Ben does a terrific job in answering any questions that you have, and we really appreciate your interest and support. See you in a couple of months. Thank you. Bye-bye.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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