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spk14: Good morning and welcome to the Verizon second quarter 2022 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants have been placed in a listen-only mode and the floor will be open for questions following the presentation. To ask a question, press star 1 on your touchtone phone. If at any point your question has been answered, you may remove yourself by pressing star 2. Today's conference is being recorded. If you have any objections, you may disconnect at this time. It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to your host, Mr. Brady Connor, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations.
spk06: Thanks, Brad. Good morning, and welcome to our second quarter earnings conference call. This is Brady Connor, and I'm here with our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Hans Vestberg, and Matt Ellis, our Chief Financial Officer. As a reminder, our earnings release financial and operating information, and the presentation slides are available on our investor relations website. A replay and transcript of this call will also be made available on our website. Before we get started, I'd like to draw your attention to our safe harbor statement on slide two. Information in this presentation contains statements about expected future events and financial results that are forward-looking and subject to risks and uncertainties. Discussions of factors that may affect future results is contained in Verizon's filings with the SEC, which are available on our website. This presentation contains certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included in the financial materials posted on our website. Now let's take a look at consolidated earnings for the second quarter. In the second quarter, we reported earnings of $1.24 per share on a GAAP basis. Reported second quarter earnings include a pre-tax loss from special items of approximately $435 million, including a net pre-tax charge of approximately $198 million related to a mark-to-market adjustment for our pension liabilities. In addition, the impact of amortization of intangible assets related to TracFone and other acquisitions was $237 million, excluding the effects of these special items Adjusted earnings per share was $1.31 in the second quarter. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Hans to take us through a recap of the second quarter.
spk09: Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Our second quarter was not a good barometer for where Verizon has been or where it's going. While we are not satisfied with our performance, we know what the issues are, and we are already executing to reaccelerate in the second half of the year. As I said in our first quarter earnings call and reiterated things, we're seeing weaker consumer wireless volumes. The inflationary environment is clearly impacting consumer behavior, and we also saw intensified competition for consumer attention. The result was a significant impact on our gross ads. Based on our performance this quarter and analysis of the landscape, we're updating our financial guidance by lowering our expectation for service and other revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted earnings per share. Matt will provide more detail in a few minutes. As you know, we have already responded. Last week, we launched our welcome unlimited plan for consumer wireless that will meet the needs of budget conscious consumers without providing device subsidies. In addition to these new plans, we took pricing actions in both of our business units to mitigate inflationary pressures. In consumer, we also adjusted prices for some legacy meter plans, increasing revenue per plan while motivating step-ups to our unlimited offerings. All of these actions position us for improved performance in the second half of 2022 and into 2023. More than ever, our leadership team is focused on executing our strategy through operational and customer-focused solutions. While I'm confident that we have the right strategy in place, we will continue to refine our approach as the consumer market evolves. Looking further into our business, we continue to see momentum that gives us confidence in our ability to improve performance over the long term. In our consumer group, we have consistently pursued a disciplined strategy of offering high-quality services at the competitive prices. the economic pressures that our customers are facing and are carefully bringing new offers to meet their needs. I'm personally working with the consumer group to define our disciplined approach to the market while also looking closely at how we operate and do business. This is reflected in the plans and promotions we introduced in May, June and July. Mix and match continues to drive premium plan adoption, with 78% of a consumer base on unlimited plans and 39% on premium unlimited. We have seen healthy step-tops for five consecutive quarters, which continues to drive ARPA growth, and there is room for more. While consumer budgets are becoming strained, we continue to find ways of delivering new valuable services while recognizing that the enhanced subsidies we're seeing in our industry are not sustainable long-term. Our new Welcome Unlimited plan is a great example of this. We have tailored offers for the full range of consumer segments from premium to value across postpaid and prepaid to meet all consumer needs in these challenging market conditions. In the prepaid value segment, our integration track is on schedule and provides us with another suite of offerings to bring consumers onto our network. Our fixed wireless access solution continues to bring us new connections. Across consumer and business, we increased fixed wireless net ads by 32% over the first quarter, driven by a 50% increase from our consumer group. In our business group, we again delivered excellent wireless volumes with 430,000 net ads, including 227,000 postpaid phone net ads in the quarter. This marks our third consecutive quarter exceeding 200,000 wireless phone net ads. In the global enterprise market, businesses, government agencies, and other institutions continue to recognize the power of Verizon's network and the importance of digitalization. This week, we announced an over $400 million project with FBI to help the Bureau meet its global bandwidth demands We will provide direct access to our development team and will advise on system enhancements like cloud computing, video and imaging transmission, and data applications. We also offer private 5G solutions to optimize complex organizations. We recently partnered with Virginia International Terminals to build a private 5G network across its Seaports campus. This network is scalable to replace Wi-Fi with more secure connectivity. We're seeing new opportunities and increased demand for these network solutions from enterprises and other organizations. Verizon is uniquely positioned to take advantage of the moment and provide the highest quality private networks to these customers. Private networks are the gateway to mobile edge compute. which can deliver game-changing customer outcomes, including revenue growth, new customer experience, and cost savings. During the second quarter, we expanded our MEC ecosystem by bringing AWS wavelength zones to Nashville and Tampa, and now reached 19 metro areas. This means that 75% of the U.S. population is now within 150 miles of Verizon's 5G edge. In partnership with Truist, we supported the launch of the 10,000-square-foot Innovation and Technology Center in Charlotte, North Carolina. As a founding member of the Innovators in Residence program, we will help create a global hub for the development of 5G and MEC application in the financial service segment. This trend will continue to create growth opportunities for us across a range of industries as we market 5G private networks and in mobile edge compute. The momentum in Verizon business is a fitting send-off for Group CEO Tammy Irvine, who is ending her amazing 35-year career at Verizon. We promoted SAMPATH as Verizon's business CEO on July 1st. SAMPATH brings over two decades of experience in digital networks, critical infrastructure protection, and a deep understanding on how networks play a role in enterprise growth and global security. He has been part of the Verizon team for more than eight years, and I know that he is the right leader to take Verizon business forward. The power of our networks gives us the flexibility to meet the needs of our customers across consumer and business. The continued and speedy expansion of our network and capabilities creates agility and optionality within our larger strategy. We ended the quarter with 135 million pops covered CBAN and remain on track to reach at least 175 million POPs by the end of their year. With the early clearance that we announced in March, we're expanding service into an additional 30 markets and have started deploying 100 megahertz of CBAN spectrum in many markets across the U.S., almost doubling the spectrum available for 5G. We're seeing the phenomenal performance we expected. Network usage is growing quickly, with C-band usage up 233% since the end of the first quarter and millimeter wave traffic up 49% year-to-date. Where C-band is deployed, it accounts for more than a third of our wireless traffic on average. Consumers are also equipped with the devices that need to use 5G. Currently, 47% of our consumer base has a 5G phone, and we expect that number to reach nearly 60% by year-end. Our already best wireless network continues to earn recognition for its performance and dependability. This month, J.D. Power gave us the highest number of awards for network quality for the 29th time in a row. And Root Metrics recognized us for having the best overall network performance in the country for the 18th time in nine years. Turning to the second half of the year, we will continue to listen to our customers and give them reasons to sign up, stay, and upgrade with us. This month, we also added on top of our yearly business transformation, a multi-year program to enhance our efficiency measures and actually the cost benefits delivered. This will ensure that our balance sheet remains strong for the market ahead. We run Verizon with the goal of growing our business and controlling costs. We will never shy away from investing a portion of our cost savings in our growth initiatives. We're confident. in our ability to deliver both efficiency and growth while creating long-term value for our shareholders. Before I turn it over to Matt to give you more details on our results and our outlook for the second half of the year, I want to mention that we reached a tentative deal with our unions to extend our collective bargaining agreement. This extension will provide us with labor stability to focus on our customers and opportunities to grow our business over the next four years. By that, I hand it over to Matt.
spk12: Thank you Hans and good morning everyone. As Hans said, this was a challenging quarter and our results did not meet the expectations we have set for ourselves. We have implemented multiple actions to better position Verizon for the future. At the same time, we expect the market environment to continue to be very competitive for the remainder of 2022. Before discussing our expectations for the remainder of the year, let's walk through results from the second quarter, beginning with an overview of our postpaid mobility results on slide seven. Our runway for mobility growth is predicated on driving our customer base into higher-value data plans, and we continue to make good progress in the second quarter. Premium penetration within our consumer base increased to 39% at quarter end, and 57% of new accounts in the quarter selected premium unlimited, and step-ups within our existing base remained healthy. This activity helped drive a 2.4% year-over-year increase in consumer postpaid ARPA. Our recent administrative fee increase and economic adjustment charge began to show up on customers' bills in the last few days of the second quarter, and we expect close to a full quarter's benefit to revenue and ARPA trends in the third quarter. while our metered price changes will be phased in throughout the third quarter, which will provide an additional uplift. We reported post-paid phone net ads of 12,000 in the second quarter as strong business results, more than offset softer consumer performance. Business delivered 227,000 post-paid phone net ads in the We continue to see strong demand across all lines of the business group as phone gross ads were up nearly 30% from the same period a year ago, and we expect this strong performance to continue. On the consumer side, postpaid phone net losses were $215,000 in the quarter and stemmed from two main drivers. First, churn increased by 10 basis points compared to the same period last year. Higher involuntary churn contributed roughly half of the increase due to the expiration of state consumer protection policies and less stimulus funding. This was coupled with an 11% decline in phone gross ads from the prior year driven by the competitive offerings in the marketplace. As Hans indicated, we recently introduced a welcome plan in order to drive demand for more price conscious consumers, particularly as they make spending adjustments due to the effects of higher inflation. This new plan is well positioned to attract new customers, especially for those who bring their own device. It is our most basic unlimited offering with no device promotions or many of the other features available in Mix and Match Unlimited plans. We reserve our most generous action and retention offers for consumers willing to select our premium unlimited plans, and we believe that opportunities exist to better serve these high-value customers. Upgrade activity remained elevated throughout the quarter, reflecting loyalty within our core customer base while also serving to drive greater premium adoption. As a result, total post-paid phone activations across consumer and business were up 8% from the same period last year. Let's now discuss broadband performance on slide eight. During the second quarter, we continued to scale and grow our nationwide broadband opportunity with additional expansion of fixed wireless households and businesses covered. In addition, we expanded files availability to an additional 150,000 homes during the quarter, and are on track to achieve our target of 550,000 incremental homes open for sale in 2022. Total broadband net adds with 268,000 in the quarter, an increase of 39,000 sequentially in what is traditionally a seasonally softer quarter. Fixed wireless momentum accelerated as we added 256,000 subscribers in the quarter, up from 194,000 in one queue. Fixed wireless net ads have increased every month throughout 2022, and we expect to continue that trend in the third quarter. We also added 36,000 files into net net ads during the second quarter. While Fios' internet churn remains well below pre-pandemic levels, we are seeing softer gross ads due to lower than expected switching activity from moves and fewer new home purchases. We recently introduced Fios Mix and Match 3.0 that aligns our Fios and fixed wireless pricing and better positions us to grow joint account penetration. Now, let's talk about the value market on slide 9. Our integration of TrackPhone is on track and the team remains focused on enhancing the customer value proposition and delivering cost synergies through migrating off-net customers onto the Verizon network. Our TrackPhone brands had net prepaid losses of $227,000 in the second quarter and total Verizon prepaid net losses were $229,000. These results exclude a base adjustment of $402,000 related to a competitor's 3G shutdown. Our prepaid volumes were impacted by aggressive postpaid promotions. As we make progress on our track phone integration initiatives, we will be better positioned to serve those customers wanting to migrate to postpaid offerings. Our business case had anticipated subscriber losses during the early phase of the integration period, which we expect to continue into the second half of the year. However, should customer preferences shift to the value market amid recessionary concerns, we would expect to see some benefits. Prepaid ARPU was $31.26 in the quarter, up modestly on a sequential basis, and we expect it to remain stable going forward. Now, let's move to the consolidated financial results on slide 10. On a consolidated basis, total revenue was relatively flat year over year as wireless service revenue growth and higher wireless equipment revenue were offset primarily by wireline declines and the net impact of last year's M&A activity. Total wireless service revenue growth was 9.1%, primarily driven by our ownership of TrackPhone, further progress on our premium unlimited strategy, and strong business volumes. Service and other revenue was down 3.9% for the quarter, as did revenues lost from Verizon Media, more than offset net incremental revenue from TrackPhone. Adjusted EBITDA was $11.9 billion for the quarter, down 2.6% euro per year due to the divestiture of Verizon Media. Higher device subsidies and promotional spending associated with the increased wireless activations, wireline revenue declines, and inflationary cost pressures. Regarding inflation, we have seen the pressures within our cost structure, most notably on labor costs, utilities, and transportation and logistics expenses. We expect these pressures to accelerate in the second half of the year and have an impact on profitability and earnings. As Brady and Hans highlighted, adjusted EPS for the second quarter was $1.31, down 5.8% from the prior year. This primarily reflects the impact of our adjusted EBITDA results and higher DNA related to our C-band rollout. Now, let's take a look at our second quarter consumer financial results. Total consumer revenue for the quarter grew 9.1% year-over-year, driven by the inclusion of track phone, higher equipment revenue, and core wireless service revenue growth. Wireless service revenue was up 10.5% year-over-year, also driven by the inclusion of Tracto and post-paid ARPA growth. Total Fios revenue was flat versus the same period a year ago, as Internet growth was offset by video and voice declines. Consumer EBITDA was $10.4 billion, down 0.3% compared to the same period last year. A higher contribution on track phone was more than offset primarily by a higher promotional activity. Consumer EBITDA margin was 40.5% of the quarter. Now, let's take a close look at the business financial results on slide 12. The business segment's wireless results remained strong in 2Q, while wireline service declines continued amid a softening economy and ongoing secular headwinds. Wireless service revenue growth of 3.0% was up from 2.1% last quarter. Small and medium business continued its strong momentum, accelerating growth for the second consecutive quarter, while global enterprise had its best performance since the first quarter of 2020. Business wireline declines were elevated this quarter, in part due to foreign currency and federal USF, which together impacted growth by more than 300 basis points year over year. The secular pressures from technology migration continue to weigh on legacy voice and data services, and we expect this trend to continue. Business EBITDA was $1.7 billion for the quarter, down 6.5% from the prior year. In addition to wireline revenue declines, we experienced elevated device subsidies related to the 15% year-over-year increase in wireless activations in the quarter. EBITDA margin was 22.9% in the second quarter. Moving on to slide 13 and the cash flow summary. Cash flow from operating activities for the first half of 2022 totaled $17.7 billion, compared with $20.4 billion in the prior year period. The reduction was primarily due to working capital impacts from higher device activations and increased inventory levels as part of our supply chain management in the current environment. Capital spending for the first half of the year totaled $10.5 billion, an increase of $1.8 billion compared to last year, driven by C-band spending of $2.8 billion. The net results of cash flow from operations and capital spending is free cash flow of $7.2 billion for the first half of the year. We exited the quarter with $130.6 billion of net unsecured debt, a sequential improvement of $5 billion resulting in a net unsecured debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.7 times. In a period of rising interest rates, our balance sheet is in a strong position, with less than $2 billion of unsecured bonds maturing in the next 18 months. Lastly, let's move to an update on guidance for the remainder of the year. Based on our current expectations, we are updating our guidance for the year We now expect wireless service revenue growth to be in the range of 8.5% to 9.5% down from the prior 9% to 10% range. The pricing actions already implemented are expected to contribute approximately $1 billion in the second half of 2022. However, this benefit is expected to be offset by the accounting impact of promotional activity and the impact of lower net ads. As a result of the reduction in wireless service revenue expectations and anticipated ongoing wireline pressures, we now expect service and other revenue growth to be in the range of minus 1% to flat. We are lowering our adjusted EBITDA growth expectations for the fall year to a range of minus 1.5% to flat versus our prior range of 2% to 3%. This revised outlook accounts for higher levels of activations driven by our promotional activity. inflation-driven costs that we discussed previously, the reduction in wireless service revenue, and business wireline revenue headwinds. Our guidance assumes consumer EBITDA margin in 3Q to be similar to margins seen in the first half with typical seasonality in 4Q. Business EBITDA margins in the second half of 2022 are expected to be in line with those reported in the first half of the year. Finally, we are lowering our fall year adjusted EPS guidance to a range of 510 to 525 versus the prior 540 to 555 rate. This view reflects the reduction in adjusted EBITDA as well as incremental cash interest expense versus our expectations at the beginning of the year of about $300 million for the fall year compared with the $150 to $200 million we estimated last quarter due to updated market expectations for additional Fed fund rate increases. For CapEx, we are reiterating prior guidance of $16.5 to $17.5 billion for business as usual capital and $5 to $6 billion to C-band related spending. In closing, we are confident in our strategy and believe that our assets position us well to generate long-term shareholder value. I will now turn the call back to Hans for concluding comments before we open up to questions. Thank you.
spk09: Thank you, Matt. In summary, we view this quarter and second half challenges as short-term. We have a strong and resilient business model that is well suited to deliver favorable financial results even in uncertain economic times. In this environment, we remain disciplined and focused on delivering long-term shareholder value through improved revenue and profitability with healthy cash generation that supports our network investments and dividend policy, as well as a strong balance sheet. We also have the best team in the industry, and I know they are ready to deliver. The actions we have taken in our consumer business create an opportunity to solidify consumer performance. Those actions include new possible plans and a continued integration of track funds. Fixed wireless access for both consumer and business has proven to be a powerful connectivity solution. We expect our nationwide broadband presence and our fixed wireless subscriber base to grow well into the future. We will continue to drive business wireless subscription and expand our MEC ecosystem. Taken together and combined with our accelerated efficiency work, our actions during the quarter address our competitive challenges, and we will continue to listen to our customers and thoughtfully respond in the marketplace. Our second quarter initiatives are designed to strengthen our network as a service faculty, which uses the power of our network to drive results from our five vectors of growth. Thank you for all, and we're ready to take your questions. Brady, back to you.
spk06: Thanks, Hans. Brad, we're ready for questions.
spk02: Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1. Please unmute your phone and record your name clearly when prompted. Your name is required to introduce your question. To withdraw your request, please press star 2. One moment for the first question. Your first question comes from Brett Feldman of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead, sir.
spk03: Thanks. And two questions if you don't mind. You know, yesterday AT&T cited that they were seeing a delay in the collections of payments specifically from their consumer. customer base, so I was curious, have you seen any stretching out of DSOs or bad debt expense and really what's embedded in your outlook, especially if you're anticipating that the macro remains a bit tougher? And then the second question is you outlined some of the steps you've taken from a price plan standpoint to sort of better position your consumer wireless business. Is there anything else you think you need to do at this point or is it mostly execution driven and all in, do you think the steps you have taken so far are sufficient to get back to positive consumer postpaid phone net ads in the third quarter or at some point in the second half of the year. Thank you.
spk09: Thank you, Brett. I can start with the second part. As you said, we have taken... uh several actions in the quarter aggressive all the way from the new unlimited plan with the bring your own device uh and no subsidy and then of course we also have done our uh increases uh on the pricing actions we have taken so we've taken that but we constantly now evaluate if we need to do something more but we will be very conscience about and discipline in the market because I don't think that it's sustainable long-term to continue with this subsidized model so we will policy in and policy out of course it's a holiday season of course that will be there so we will work with that one but clearly that will do but remember also if you look at our value or premium segment this is in the high end we're doing really well we have high quality cost of customers you see the step-ups continuing so what we are addressing right now is the metered and low and unlimited which are more price conscious right now and that's what we're addressing with it so we're more surgical than just making any blanket decisions here. So that's very good. And on top of that, we feel good about track phone, of course, if the market would turn even worse. I mean, we have track phones, and then we can play in all segments and meet all the demands from different customers. But clearly, we're staying extremely close to it. Matt and I and Manon and her team, we work weekly to see where the market is going, if we need to adjust. But we will always think about our financial discipline and how we preserve cash, because we just need to think
spk12: two times before we bring in customers we want high quality customers Matt maybe you can comment on the on the customer base yeah thanks Hans and thanks for the question Brett so and actually building on your last comment there Hans about high quality customers Brett that shows up in the payment patterns we're seeing we haven't seen any noticeable change in the in the payment patterns from customers continues to be very good very much in line with what we were seeing uh pre-covid in fact slightly better than that time period and when you look at the quality of the business we're writing the uh the the fico scores in our dpp portfolio have never been higher so at this point in time we're continuing to see the type of strong payment patterns that you would expect from the high quality customer base that we have thank you yep great thanks brett brad we're ready for the next question
spk02: Thank you. The next question is from Simon Flannery of Morgan Stanley. Your line is open, sir.
spk00: Great. Thank you. Good morning. You noted a few times some of the pricing actions that you've recently taken, both the price increases, but also the recent unlimited welcome offer at $30. Could you give us a little bit of early reads in the marketplace, your ability for customers to digest these price increases, maybe move to other plans, as well as any incremental traffic that you're seeing from the new unlimited plans or those customers taking that offer, or is this really driving door swings to maybe trade up to one of the higher offers as well? And then secondly, last quarter, you did talk about store traffic deteriorating in the later part of the quarter around the war, et cetera. It'd be great to get a sense of how store traffic's trended through 2Q and into Q3. Is it pretty consistent with those levels you saw, or has it deteriorated further? Thank you.
spk09: On the prices, let me start and Matt will add in there. Of course, the pricing actions we took with price increases and on the metered plan and adjustments, that we will see coming into play in the second half of this year. We will of course expect some of it might be some consumers that are cost conscious that will do disconnect and that we're calculating with. On the Wellcome Unlimited, which is a segmentation of the unlimited market, It's a little bit too early to say. It's only been in the market for, I think, seven or eight days. It's a little bit too early to say. We think we're addressing a part of the market where we had some outflows in the second quarter, and we have taken that action aggressively with this plan. But clearly, we also see opportunities for having step-ups in that plan as well from our customers. Matt, anything more?
spk12: No, just one thing I'd add to Hans's response, Simon. Certainly, we expect to see significant benefit in the second half of the year from the actions we've taken. I mentioned that in my comments at probably about $1 billion of incremental revenue sequentially at the second half versus the – versus the first half. I would expect, and we have assumed in our forward view, that we'll see a small bubble in churn here in the third quarter as a result of customers as they get those price increases of major plans or whatever else. But apart from that, we expect to see significant benefit from the actions we've taken.
spk09: And maybe, sorry, I didn't answer on the store traffic there. I realized that. So as we said in the first quarter and through the second quarter, we had a little bit less of traffic in our stores in April and May and latter part of March. We saw some pick up in June, but still a little bit below earlier trends. But that might be just the market and how it's working right now. But other than that, nothing special.
spk00: Great. Thanks a lot.
spk09: Yeah, thanks, Simon.
spk06: Brad, we're ready for the next question.
spk02: Thank you. The next question is from Phil Cusick of JPMorgan. Your line is open.
spk04: Hi, guys. First, a follow-up, if I can. And I don't mean this to sound disrespectful, but on one hand, you're raising prices with fees. On the other hand, you're bringing in lower-priced discounted offers. And I know you're offering loyalty credits to customers who call and complain about pricing. And it seems like you're out of the market. So do you think that your network is going to return to its dominance and you can sort of get through this period? Or do you think you need to really readdress your competitive position in order to maintain share? I'm sorry to return to something you've talked about a few times already, but I'm really having a hard time with it. Thank you.
spk09: Thank you, Phil. First of all, we feel really good about our network and the quality of the network. It's actually better than ever, and as you hear us talking as well, we are just in the midst of the seabound rollout, which is extremely strong, and the performance we see on it, and we just are passing over 130 Plus million pops on it and by year end at least 175. So we're going to have many more customers getting the benefit of the C-band. So now we feel good about RM and you saw the root metrics, you saw both of the JD Power as well having us as the best network. So we don't feel that is a difference. What we're doing right now, I think that you have to be very clear, Phil, we're segmenting the market. So where we now have the welcome plan, that's a segment of the unlimited and meet the plan. On the high end, we have, as Matt said, we're really good – loyalty, we see step-ups, exactly as we outlined in our plans, that's what we see in the continuous and that's why we saw the ARPA increase in this quarter and we see continuously step-ups. So I think, not only think, I'm confident our strategy is working, we're just addressing a segment in these economical times. So I feel really good about our strategy and how we do it and we will continue to be very focused on cash flow and getting the right type of customers because We believe high quality customers are important and that means loyalty. It means also a very good base to build on. So we feel good about this strategy. I understand your question, but I feel really good about it. Matt, anything else?
spk12: Yeah, Hans, maybe the only other thing I'd add on is, Phil, one of the things we've done during the current quarter, we mentioned last time that we've reached an agreement with some of the satellite companies to get early clearing on outside of the initial 46 C-band markets. And in those markets, we're not turning on 60 megahertz, but 100 megahertz of the C-band. And the difference in the speeds that we're seeing with 100 megahertz versus 60 is exactly in line with what we'd expect. But it tells us that we have a path to a very, very strong network performance. We really like what we're seeing on CBAN today. But when we get the full amount deployed, it's going to be an uptick even further. So we absolutely believe that a network-driven strategy will allow us to continue to perform very well.
spk02: That's helpful. Thanks, guys.
spk06: Thanks, Phil. Brad, we're ready for the next question.
spk02: Thank you. The next question is from John Hudlick of UBS. Your line is open.
spk01: Hi, this is Batya for John. Can you talk a little bit about how you expect fixed wireless trends to trend from here? Is there an opportunity to expand maybe the addressable market as you build CBAN further? And maybe an update of what percent of that fixed wireless space is new to Verizon? Thank you.
spk09: Hey, great question. First of all, we feel really good about our five vectors of growth. And in one of the vectors, of course, we have national broadband. This was exactly what we envisioned when we rolled out the Verizon Intelligent Edge Network in 2017, that we can have multiple opportunities to address the market. And fixed-wise access is just humming for us. I mean, 32% growth, 50% growth in the consumer group. This is all about us deploying the network. Of course, we have millimeter wave and we have 4G in the fixed-variance access, but the C-band both gave coverage and an enormous good performance as well. So as we roll out and hit the more households, we can grow even faster. So our expectation, Matt and my, is of course that we will continue to have that opportunity to grow right now from the base we have as we're opening most households. But remember, from the open household to have sold it through, et cetera, it's a little bit time lag because The direct marketing and all of that is working through, but we feel really good about it. We feel also good about our Fios, even though it was a little bit less of net ads on Fios because less movements, I guess, in this environment, nothing strange, but really good performance on Fios when it comes to the network and our customer base and assurance. All in all, the national broadband is playing really good for us, and this was a strategy from the beginning. I have high expectation. Matt has high expectation on this as well. Our teams are executing from the network to our commercials. Matt?
spk12: Hey, Barty, just maybe one data point for you on fixed wireless. About 30% of our FWA ads are what we would call new-new to Verizon, where we didn't have an existing relationship with them. So obviously we like the ability of taking an existing Verizon customer and adding a service, but when you bring a completely new customer on the platform, that's pretty exciting as well. So hopefully that helps your question.
spk01: Great, thanks.
spk06: Thanks, Bhatia. Brad, we're ready for the next question.
spk02: Thank you. The next question is from David Barton of Bank of America. Your line is open.
spk10: Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the question. I guess my first one, Matt, we've thrown out a couple numbers, a billion dollars of top line incremental benefit from pricing plans, maybe $300 million of incremental interest from presumably floating rate debt. We talked about some of the other numbers you talked about. We threw out some math around inflation and the impact it could have on the $20 billion of expenses that's exposed to inflation. What's the inflation headwind dollar number that you're budgeting for? And then when we talked about this equipment and supply chain working capital headwind, what kind of dollar number are we talking about there? And then Hans, I think you mentioned in passing the the CB agreement or agreement in principle that you signed, I think, last week. It seems like a potentially dangerous time with the inflation that we have around us right now to be kind of locking into multi-year collective bargaining agreements. Could you talk about why this is happening and why you feel comfortable doing it now? Thanks.
spk12: Matt's thought. Hey, Dave. So thank you for the question. So look, if you think about the guide at the EBITDA level, as you say, there's about $1 billion of when you sequential uptick. But then the offsets to that, you've got the promotional spend that is certainly running at a higher level than we thought at the beginning of the year based off what we're seeing in the marketplace. And we're making the assumption that we're going to see that type of level for the balance of the year. That's baked in there. Of the reduction in EBITDA growth from the 2% to 3% down to the minus 1.5% to flat, 75 to 100 basis points of that. is coming from inflation and our assumption of that for the full year versus our original plans for the year. On the working capital side, you've got a couple of things playing in there. One is over the last couple of years, we've had some artificial working capital headwinds caused by COVID as volumes came down, transactional volumes came down that gave us some lower DPP balances that was a favor to working capital. We now, of course, see volumes increasing again, and so you've got that reverting to more normal levels, on top of which moving to 36-month DPP would increase the amount of outstanding balances versus what we saw pre-COVID. So we'll work through a large chunk of that this year, and I would expect to see less of a working capital headwind after this year, but that's certainly in the – you're seeing that in the free cash flow right now. We feel very good about the cash flow generation, about the business going forward and what we'll achieve as we work through this current period. Hans, I'll hand it over to you for the union question.
spk09: Yeah, thank you. And maybe you have to comment on the supply chain because there's a lot of discussion around that. And I have to say that Verizon has done a great job on our supply chain around the whole supply chain and secure data. And you can see that in our rollout on our C-band millimeter wave and everything else we're doing in the network that we're way ahead of our earlier plans. And that's, of course, how we have secured our supply chain. I really won't say. When it comes to the unions, I mean, we have reached, as I said in my remarks, we have reached a tentative agreement on the bargaining agreement with them. And we have a great partnership with the unions. So we think this is an important one just to see that we secure the workloads we have in the future and see that we continue to have a great working relationship with the unions. So that's why we have this tentative agreement.
spk10: Great.
spk09: Thanks, Dave.
spk06: Brad, we're ready for the next question.
spk02: Thank you. The next question is from Michael Rollins of Citigroup. Your line is open.
spk04: Thanks, and good morning.
spk05: You're discussing the strength of your business wireless segment, and your competitors are also talking about stronger business wireless performance. I'm just curious if there's something larger afoot within this segment in terms of behavior and the way businesses are buying wireless. Related to that, is that possibly coming out of what was traditionally the consumer market? So is there some kind of shift that's also happening underneath the industry in terms of where sales are coming into? And then just one other, I'm just thinking about what you talked about in terms of the change in guidance for revenue in EBITDA for this year. And I'm curious how this informs the multi-year outlook. that the company previously established and the relationship you're seeing longer term between the performance of revenue and profitability.
spk09: Thank you. On the business wireless, you have seen us now for several quarters having a really good run on it. Our conclusion and our confidence level is high that our mission-critical network is so important for our customers, and that's why we see such a good traction from it. I think it's normally there are probably some leakage in between consumer, the small and medium, but it's also from small and medium or consumer, the small and medium. So that I don't think is anything different than what I've seen before, but it's always some type of movement in between. So we feel really good about our business wireless and how they're performing and how our customers like our network. On the second question, as I said also before, I mean, We think it's short-term challenging times right now. Long-term, we are confident that this is a great market. We have great assets and we can execute on our plans. So whatever we have done the last five years here with the network, with our divestments and acquisitions, we have positioned ourselves for a really good long-term strategy in a market where mobility, broadband and cloud are the most important digital assets for consumers and businesses. uh i couldn't uh dream to have another position that we have today so i i'm confident about the long term of our business matt and yes hey yeah
spk12: Hans, maybe just a couple of things. Mike, if you think back pre-COVID, Verizon Business Group had very strong performance. Obviously, COVID was very disruptive to the business segment. You've seen the recovery in that ads over the past year now be very strong. And you've seen that show up in the service revenue growth up to 3% this quarter, up sequentially two quarters in a row now. And we do expect that to continue at a strong pace. And as Hans said, we're not going to comment on multi-year outlook at this point, but certainly feel like the actions that we are taking and have taken and will continue to work on put us on a path to EBITDA growth as we go forward here. So look forward to obviously updating you on that as we get into next year.
spk05: One just quick follow-up, if I could. With going through the pandemic and kind of where we are today, there's a bigger work-from-home and hybrid work environment. Is that emboldening companies to kind of shift from what felt like for years they were trying to get out of buying devices and services for their employees? And is that emboldening them to now, because of this different work environment, actually buy wireless communications on behalf of their employees differently than maybe two or three years ago?
spk09: Thanks, I think I actually see both I mean we see we saw a trend over the years of own device from enterprises but actually in order to secure a uh a more uh seamless experience for enterprise customers we see more we see more now customers actually going back and actually supplying the uh the devices for customers it's a little bit dependent what type of business they're into i have to say uh but but we see a little bit of a trend going the other direction right now think about building private 5g networks where you want everybody to have a seamless wireless, 5G wireless experience inside an office and then going out on the street and having Verizon's commercial network, then you need to deploy a handset that is actually coming from the company in order to manage it. So we see actually both. So I don't think it's an accentuated trend. At least as I can tell from taking the question from this level. On the other thing, I just want to give another data point as well. I mean, remember, I talked a lot about handoffs in the networks during COVID. It was sometimes down 60% in New York City that people didn't move. We are back to the handoffs. That means handovers. It seems like people are moving equally much right now as they were doing pre-COVID. It's of course a different bucket, but on the high level when we look in the network, handovers are back to normal and actually even a little bit more. That can of course depend on how much more equipment we have deployed in two years, but that's what we see.
spk06: Thanks.
spk02: Brad, we're ready for the next question. Thank you. The next question comes from Craig Moffitt of Moffitt Nathanson. Your line is open.
spk13: Hi, thank you. Hans, I wonder as we think about growth, maybe we revisit some of the comments you've made over the past couple of years about 5G. As the market has evolved, what is your latest thinking about the opportunity, both for the industry and for Verizon specifically, as it relates to some of the new revenue opportunities that seemed so promising a couple of years back, like mobile edge compute and private networks and that sort of thing. Is it right that I think there's a broad sense among investors that sort of the bloom is off the rose a bit for those opportunities and they may not be as big and as attractive as we once would have hoped?
spk09: Thank you, Craig. If we take the three different business models we deployed in the network uh for 5g i mean fixed wireless access if i take that first that definitely is happening all the way that everybody was questioning if we fix wireless access it's something you can do we feel really good about it the capacity in the network is is there there's no problem and and as matt said we're we have deployed 60 megahertz or the c-band we're having average 160 so we have so much more to go so that one is definitely happening On the mobility, 5G mobility, yeah, short term is a little bit more challenging. I think that comes from both economical situation in the market. Long term, I see the same as we said before, the step ups and going to higher plans is a great opportunity for us. And as you saw in this quarter, our ARPA went up, our high-end customers continue to do step-ups. So both of those are happening, and 47% of our customers have a 5G phone, and by year-end, we would probably be near at least 60%. So I think those are happening. On the count of the mobile edge compute and IoT, we also have a really good trend on that. It has pivoted a little bit right now and starting with private 5G networks and then it rolls over to mobile edge compute when you bring in the cloud experience in it. So you saw that during the quarter we announced several private 5G networks. We see more and more customers feeling that that's a good replacement for them in order to have a secure high capacity network instead of having Wi-Fi in many cases. And the reason why it's happening right now is now devices are coming out, and the next couple of years we're going to see so many more devices, and not talking only about smartphones. So I feel that it is the same opportunity that we've talked about all the time. Given the economic environment, it might be always some changes to it, but long-term, I see no difference to it, and that's how we build a network. And we're the world leader in mobile edge compute and private 5G networks. We feel that that's the sweet spot for us. We've been all the time, been very early with other 5G use cases as well and feel really good where we are. So I understand your question, Craig, but in general, I'm confident that this is a great opportunity for the market.
spk06: Great.
spk09: Thank you.
spk06: Yeah, thanks, Craig. Brad, we're ready for the next question.
spk02: Thank you. The next question is from Kanan Ventekeshwar. Your line is open.
spk08: Thank you. So maybe a couple. I mean, first question. From a price increase perspective, when we look at what you've done, it's a bigger part of your base that's absorbing the price increase than, say, AT&T. And despite that and the growth of social and cable revenues, your service revenue growth guidance is down and EBITDA growth is negative. So in terms of growth, you may need to lean on other levers, I guess, in order to grow margins beyond this year. So if you could just help us understand what those levers are. especially if the macro environment starts getting weaker. I mean, how do you keep your margins intact? And then secondly, there seems to be an enormous amount of handset inventory that you've built up over the last two or three quarters on your balance sheet. It would be great if you could help us understand what the objective there is and if we should expect some kind of a clearing event around the holidays for those handsets. Thanks.
spk09: Yeah, thank you, Kanan. First of all, when it comes to the margin, I mean, there are many levers to run here. Of course, one is, of course, continue to see that we have good opportunity to grow. And remember, we have five vectors of growth, and some of them might be more impacted if the economic environment is turning worse, but many of them actually are playing well in the hands in a market like that, like fixed-wise access, like our value brand with Tracfone and all of that. So, again, I feel that we have opportunity to expand by having those performing if it's going to be tougher on some others. And then, of course, cost. I mean, we always work with cost, and as Matt has outlined several times, We work with cost efficiency and programs constantly, and now we're adding efficiency programs or enhancing what we have in order to be prepared for tougher times and being able to invest in the market. So I think we have all the things that we should have, and I'm confident that we have a toolbox that we're working with, and the team is on it every day, and we will continue to be on it. It is an environment that's a little bit complicated, I think, for any company at the moment. But I just feel that we know what we're doing here. We are confident about our strategy. We're confident about our cash generation. And we're confident that we will be financially disciplined through this time. Matt?
spk12: Yeah, Hans, nothing really to add on the margin side. There are obviously a number of paths forward for us, and we have high expectations for the results we'll produce. On the inventory part of your question, we took a decision that – I think was obviously a smart way of approaching the market to say there was more uncertainty around supply chain, both the availability of the physical item and also the supply chain's ability to deliver that item from factory to us in a predictable fashion. And so we built some build some cushion into our supply chain model, and you see that in the inventory levels. There is certainly scope for us as we feel more comfortable about the predictability of the supply chain to return inventory levels closer to historical levels once you account for the difference in rate of the price of the product. But certainly, absolutely, I would expect to see inventory levels have the opportunity to reduce.
spk06: Brad, we're ready for the next question.
spk02: Thank you. The next question comes from Frank Loudon of Raymond James. Your line is open.
spk07: Great, thank you. Can you talk to us a little bit about the business market with government and any changes you're seeing there? And then at what point can we expect to see the consumer subs get back to something approaching a more positive growth with your current promotion strategy? Is that something more out into next year? I understand the confidence in the network and so forth, but at some point we'd like to see that kind of show up in the subs. Where can we expect that to start to turn?
spk09: Yeah, thank you, Frank. Let me start with the governmental business. And of course, in governmental business, there are a little bit longer contracts. Of course, they come up for renovation now and then. What we see much more is the digitalization happen in that segment as well, equally much as we see with enterprises. and much more about us supplying whole business models with digitalization and applications and support them with the ways of working. So that has been good, and as we announced yesterday, one of them with one governmental agency definitely included that. So we see the government going the same ways as the enterprise market going with digitalization, which includes applications, Wireless technology, fiber technology in order to see that their employees and their services have the latest technologies and that I think we're playing well into given the network we have and the confidence that everybody have in our network. So I think that's really what's happening. Matt, on the consumer side?
spk12: Yes, so look, obviously the team continues to work through the competitive marketplace, as I mentioned earlier. I do expect to see a little bit of a bubble in churn in the third quarter here because of some customer reaction to the pricing actions we've taken. We would expect to compete effectively during the holiday season as we get into new device launches and the fourth quarter. so i would expect us to uh to start to show up with uh obviously different numbers at that time of the year and then we'll continue to work to be as competitive on a disciplined fashion in the market as we need to be all right great thank you yeah thanks frank uh brad we have time for one last question thank you your final question will come from doug mitchelson of credit suisse your line is open sir oh thanks so much hans i think your commentary on
spk11: handset subsidies is about as strong as we've heard from you. For your premium customers, do you believe then that streaming gives you a much better mileage for your promo dollar than handset subsidies or should we expect you to reconsider streaming subsidies as well? And I'm just thinking with your new plan on the more price conscious consumer side, is it just price that's going to swing those customers over to Verizon or is other factors like a value offering with bundled 5G home or streaming subsidies
spk09: something that might work you know just as well obviously the value customers you know have broadband and probably have streaming at home as as well just curious how you think about evolving the price sensitive offering thanks thank you first of all on the on the different type of value services we have in the high end or in the premium segment if it's Disney plus or others we think that's very important still and and we we see our customer really liking it and we have been in the forefront of this industry with these type of exclusive deals with the most prominent brands you can ever think about we will continue to do that for our high-end customers and that has really turned out well for us and our partners. And during the second half of this year as well, as we announced at Investor Day, we also want to launch a Plus Play, which is a platform for digital subscription aggregation for our customers. You have seen basically, I wouldn't say everyone because there's many in the market, The majority of the important brands have signed up with us. So we will continue to leverage both sort of network as a service, but also distribution as a service for our customers and for us in order to have the best return on investment. So we feel good about that. And as you see in the marketplace, I mean, digital subscription services is just popping up direct to consumer all over the place. nowhere better to work with than working with Verizon that has the biggest direct-to-consumer distribution in the market. So we have a lot of inbounds. We're going to do it right. We're going to see that our customers and our shareholders are benefiting from it. When it comes to the question about subsidy and all of that and segmentation, and as I clearly articulate, we try to be surgical in our changes both on prices and on Step ups and all of that and right now the team Working diligently has been on the segment that is sitting low and unlimited and meet the plan We're going to see and have opportunities there to bundle in other things We're already working with our fixed wireless access offering for our customers that are wireless customers with good very good value proposition, so we will continue with that and see if there are other things we need to bundle in and But right now, we have, I think, a very strong positioning, and we're taking aggressive actions in the quarter. Some confidence that we will continue to see improvements here over time.
spk00: All right, thank you.
spk09: Yeah, thanks, Doug.
spk06: Brad, that's all the questions we have for today.
spk02: Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude the conference call for today. Thank you for your participation and for using Verizon Conference Services.
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