speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Welcome everyone to the Wyndham Hotels and Resorts First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time all participants have been placed in a listen-only mode and the floor will be open for your questions following the presentation. If you would like to ask a question at that time, please press the star and 1 on your telephone keypad. If at any point your question has been answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star and 2. Lastly, if you should require operator assistance, please press star and 0. I would now like to turn the call over to Matt Capuzzi, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations.

speaker
Matt Capuzzi
Senior Vice President of Investor Relations

Thank you,

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

operator.

speaker
Matt Capuzzi
Senior Vice President of Investor Relations

Good morning and thank you for joining us. With me today are Jeff Pilati, our CEO, and Michelle Allen, our CFO and Head of Strategy. Before we get started, I want to remind you that our remarks today will contain forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to risk factors that may cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied. These risk factors are discussed in detail in our most recent annual report on Form 10-K, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and any subsequent reports filed with the SEC. We'll also be referring to a number of non-GAP measures. Corresponding GAP measures and a reconciliation of non-GAP measures to GAP metrics are provided in our earnings release and investor presentation, which are available on our Investor Relations website at .windomotels.com. We are providing certain measures discussing future impact on a non-GAP basis only because without unreasonable efforts, we are unable to provide the comparable GAP metric. In addition, last evening, we posted an investor presentation containing supplemental information on our Investor Relations website. We may continue to provide supplemental information on our website and on our social media channels in the future. Accordingly, we encourage investors to monitor our website and our social media channels in addition to our press releases, filings submitted with the SEC, and any public conference calls or webcasts. With that, I will turn the call over to Jeff.

speaker
Jeff Pilati
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Matt. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us today. Despite an uncertain macro environment, we delivered a very solid start to the year. Adjusted EBITDA grew 9% on a comparable basis, and adjusted EPS increased 20%. We grew our global system by 4% and our pipeline by 5% to a record 2,143 hotels. We saw healthy increases in both our US and our international royalty rates. We drove continued growth in our ancillary fee streams, and we returned nearly $110 million to our shareholders. Global REVPAR grew 2% in constant currency. International REVPAR grew in all regions except China. Latin America REVPAR grew by 25%, excluding Argentina's hyperinflation, with both strong ADR and higher fee PAR additions in Mexico and in the Caribbean. EMEA REVPAR rose 6% with solid performance in Germany, Turkey, India, and Greece. And Southeast Asia and the Pacific Rim posted -over-year REVPAR growth of 8%. And in China, demand remained steady, but REVPAR declined 8% -over-year, reflecting continued pricing pressure. As you've all been tracking through STR, while US REVPAR started strong in January, momentum softened in February and March as consumer sentiment weakened. Our results finished about three points below our expectations, growing 2% for the quarter, or up 60 basis points when normalizing for the benefit from hurricanes and the Easter shift to Q2. Excluding these benefits, pricing power still remains steady, increasing 110 basis points for the quarter against a 50 basis point decline in demand. When normalizing for the timing of Easter and the lapping of last year's solar eclipse, April -to-date REVPAR in the US is down 3%, consistent with what we saw in March on a normalized basis, and while March and April results have trended below the expectations we assumed in our original outlook, and Michelle will take you through our revised outlook in a moment. Recent trends are now more encouraging, indicating positive momentum as we head into the busy summer travel months. Whatever demand scenario may transpire, our brands have always outperformed in periods of economic downturn relative to the overall industry. Following 9-11, REVPAR for our select service hotels outperformed STR's upscale and above segments by 300 basis points. During the global financial crisis, by 500 basis points, and during COVID, by 2,500 basis points. Windham's track record of industry outperformance is not coincidental. It reflects the structural advantages of our select service model and the nature of the demand that we serve. With limited reliance on white-collar corporate and group travel, which tends to contract most during economic downturns, our business is anchored by a stable and resilient base of essential front-line blue-collar workers, a guest segment that continues to drive consistent demand, even as broader corporate discretionary travel budgets tighten. This segment has shown resilience through prior cycles, and we expect it to do the same in any macroeconomic setup. Moreover, we are far less impacted by the current international inbound demand declines. Less than 3% of our bookings in the United States arrive from international inbounds, including less than 2% from Canada. Approximately 90% of our footprint is concentrated in drive-to markets where leisure demand is less impacted by the cost and the complexity of air travel. Our brands are attractively priced relative to upscale full-service hotels, positioning Wyndham to capture trade-down demand from both leisure and business travelers seeking value. We outperform in times of economic distress because our model is different. During economic down cycles, we've continued to grow our system. Amid softer demand environments, hotel owners consistently turn to brands at scale that they know and that they trust. And brands that outperform their competitors, seeking broad distribution, a loyal customer base, operational support, and cost efficiencies. As independent and underperforming branded hotels face mounting pressure, Wyndham offers the tools and the support needed to compete more effectively. And as investment in U.S. manufacturing accelerates, particularly in secondary markets, our existing system and pipeline of select service and extended stay hotels are located in regions where demand is growing. Whether it's in markets driven by the on-shoring that new tariffs are creating, whether it's in markets that are beginning to benefit from large infrastructure projects that are finally beginning to break ground from the Federal Infrastructure Bill where allocations are ramping, or whether it's from new private sector investments in large data center projects across the country, Wyndham's portfolio is well positioned to serve the everyday travel that these markets will benefit from in the decade ahead. Our continued momentum on the development front speaks volumes, reflecting not only the strength of our value proposition to owners, but also the confidence that they have in our ability to perform in any range of market conditions. This was a record first quarter for us in terms of room additions. We opened 15,000 rooms, 13% more than we did last year, and our development teams drove sequential net room growth across every region we operate in. We signed 6% more deals than a year ago, expanding our pipeline for the 19th consecutive quarter to a new all-time high of 254,000 rooms, representing an average fee par premium of over 30% versus our current domestic and international systems. Domestically, our mid-scale and above brands grew 4%, driven by conversions like the Wyndham Avanti Resort and Conference Center on International Drive in Orlando, and new construction openings like the La Quinta Hotel in La Habra in Orange County, California. New Echo Suites and Hawthorne Suites openings continued across Texas, Virginia, and Wyoming, reflecting growing developer interest in our extended stay new construction prototypes. Internationally, we grew net rooms by 7%. With continued strong interest in our brands across Europe, the Middle East, and Eurasia, our team grew the pipeline by nearly 40% and net rooms for the quarter by 5%, with new construction additions like the La Quinta Batumi Beach in Georgia's coastal hotspot. Latin America grew its pipeline by 9% and increased net rooms by 10% with high-quality conversions like the Wyndham Altra Punta Cana Resort, and new construction hotels like the new Trip by Wyndham Guzman, located in the heart of Jalisco, the Mexican birthplace of tequila. In Southeast Asia and the Pacific, net rooms grew by 14%, including the debut of our Wyndham Grand brand in Phnom Penh, Cambodia. And in China, our team doubled our direct franchising system openings and grew net direct franchise rooms by 17%, with both spectacular new conversions and beautiful new construction additions like the Days in by Wyndham Shantoo Jin Ping, our 100th Days in in China. By contrast, our legacy master license franchisees in China grew at a much slower pace, up less than 2% year over year. Excluding our China master licensees, global system growth would have been 30 basis points higher than our headline growth rate, underscoring our strategic focus on accelerating growth within our direct franchising platform internationally, where we continue to see stronger fee par and greater revenue potential in the quarters and the years ahead. As we prioritize our development growth in higher fee par geographies and higher chain scales, as we build scale in markets where we already have significant density, and as we expand our direct franchising in select regions previously heavily reliant on master licensee relationships, the hotels we're adding are entering the system with a stronger economics, contributing to meaningful royalty rate accretion, which is beginning to pay off. This quarter, for example, our royalty rate increased by 19 basis points domestically and by 15 basis points internationally. By continuing to remix our portfolio towards higher fee par hotels, we're elevating the long-term earnings power of our system. We also continue to see strong momentum in our ancillary fee growth this quarter, driven by our renewed co-branded credit card agreement, our growing partnership initiatives, and our ongoing technology innovations. New Barclays accounts rose 11% and spend volumes increased 7%. Our new debit card, which was launched this quarter, is attracting a much younger demographic into our ecosystem. And we recently announced a new partnership adding Carnival Cruise Lines to Wyndham Rewards, giving our loyalty members even more ways to explore, to earn, and to make the very most out of their vacations. Finally, we want to recognize our phenomenal team members around the world. For the third straight year and the fifth time overall, Wyndham was named one of the world's most ethical companies by Ethisphere. This honor reflects the care, the commitment, and the integrity that our teams bring to their work every day, and it's what makes Wyndham such a great place to work and a great company to partner with. In closing, while the current demand environment is uncertain, our focus remains firmly on the long-term. We've been here before, and each time we've stayed grounded in what we do best, growing our system, supporting our franchisees, and advancing the strategic initiatives that strengthen our business over time, which is exactly what we're focused on doing right now. Our value proposition is stronger than ever. It's powered by our world-class teams, a -in-class technology stack, the industry's number one loyalty program, and a resilient, acid-light business model designed to perform through all phases of any economic cycle. We remain confident that our growth strategy will continue to deliver meaningful value for all of our stakeholders, and with that, I'll now turn the call over to Michelle. Michelle?

speaker
Michelle Allen
Chief Financial Officer & Head of Strategy

Thanks, Jeff, and good morning, everyone. I'll begin my remarks today with a detailed review of our first quarter results. I'll then review our cash flows and balance sheet, followed by our outlook. Before we begin, let me remind everyone that the comparability of our quarterly results is impacted by the timing of our marketing fund spend. In the first quarter of this year, marketing fund expenses exceeded revenues by $22 million, compared to expenses exceeding revenues by $14 million in the first quarter of last year. To enhance transparency and provide a better understanding of the results of our ongoing operations, I will be highlighting our results on a comparable basis which neutralizes the marketing fund impact. In the first quarter, we generated $316 million of fee-related and other revenues, and $145 million of adjusted EBITDA. Fee-related and other revenues increased $12 million year over year, principally reflecting a 9% increase in royalties and franchise fees, as well as higher ancillary revenues. The increase in royalties and franchise fees reflects a system goal to 4%, royalty rate improvement of 16 basis points, and higher other franchise fees. Our ancillary revenue growth was primarily driven by higher credit card and partnership fees, as well as increased license fees. Adjusted EBITDA grew 9% on a comparable basis, primarily reflecting the higher fee-related and other revenue, and approximately 60 basis points of margin improvement. First quarter adjusted diluted EPS was 86 cents, up 20% on a comparable basis, due to EBITDA growth, the benefit of share repurchases, and lower depreciation and amortization, partially offset by higher interest expense. First quarter free cash flow was $80 million, converting from adjusted EBITDA at approximately 55% in line with our expectations. We returned $109 million to our shareholders in the first quarter, through $76 million of share repurchases, and 33 million of common stock dividends. Amid broader market volatility and a meaningful share price decline during the quarter, we accelerated buybacks, repurchasing 35% more than we did in the first quarter of 2024. We closed the quarter with approximately $640 million in total liquidity, and our net leverage ratio of 3.5 times remained as expected at the midpoint of our target range. Turning now to outlook. While first quarter global REVPAR performed in line with our full year expectations, as Jeff mentioned, we had anticipated stronger performance, especially in March, given the relative ease of the -over-year comparison. With trends remaining softer through April, we are refining our 2025 outlook to reflect a more cautious view of industry-wide REVPAR performance for the remainder of the year. Our current assumption is that full year constant currency global REVPAR will range between down 2% to up 1%. The high end of this range assumes the remaining nine months of the year perform largely in line with our original outlook, essentially implying a swift resolution to the current global trade tensions and a corresponding improvement in consumer sentiment. While that may prove optimistic, we believe it provides a useful reference point for modeling purposes. Conversely, the lower end of the range reflects REVPAR performance more consistent with the trends we saw in March and April, where the rest of the year declined about 3%. Given the current uncertainty and limited long-term visibility, we believe this new guidance is a reasonable lower bound for planning purposes, wider than what we typically provide, but a prudent response in today's volatile macro environment. To help frame the potential variability, we've provided REVPAR sensitivities on slide 21 of our investor presentation. Every one point change in REVPAR equates to an approximate $10 million impact to fee related and other revenues and $4 million impact to adjusted EBITDA. There are no changes to our net room growth outlook. Fee related and other revenues is now expected to be $1.45 billion to $1.49 billion, down from our prior outlook of $1.49 billion to $1.51 billion. This decline is roughly split evenly between royalties and franchise fees and marketing reservation and loyalty revenues. As we navigate this environment, we're taking prudent action to manage expenses carefully, which is allowing us to meaningfully offset much of the revenue impact at the EBITDA line. Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to be between $730 million and $745 million, down $10 to $15 million from our prior outlook. Adjusted net income is projected to be $358 million to $372 million, and adjusted diluted EPS is projected at $4.57 to $4.74, which reflects the first quarter share repurchases and is based on a diluted share count of $78.4 million. As usual, our EPS outlook assumes no share repurchase activity or incremental interest expense associated with any potential borrowing activity. Precash flow conversion before development of Francis is expected to be approximately 57%. There is no change to our development advance spend outlook. As it relates to our marketing funds, our expectation remains that at the rep bar levels we're now guiding to, the funds will break even on a full year basis, give or take a few million dollars. We also expect the marketing funds will break even in the second quarter. Our business model is built for resilience. We no longer own hotels. We no longer carry management or performance-based operating guarantees, and nearly 100% of our system is franchise, making Wyndham the most asset-light business in the industry. Our strong balance sheet enables us to stay focused on our long-term growth strategy, discipline capital allocation, and the flexibility to lean in when opportunities arise. Together, these strengths position us to unlock long-term value and deliver meaningful returns for our shareholders, regardless of near-term dynamics. With that, Jeff and I would be happy to take your questions. Operator?

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The floor is now open for questions. At this time, if you have a question or comment, please press the star and 1 on your telephone keypad. If at any point your question has been answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star and 2. We do ask that you limit yourself to one question. Thank you. And we'll take our first question today from Lizzie Dubb with Goldman Facts. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Lizzie Dubb
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi there. Thanks for taking the question. First off, Jeff, I just wanted to say a big congratulations on the new addition to your family last week. It's exciting news. Thanks very much,

speaker
Jeff Pilati
Chief Executive Officer

Lizzie. Yes, of course. We're daughters and now three grandsons in two short years. It's amazing how fast that happens. That's awesome. That's awesome.

speaker
Lizzie Dubb
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

So on the question, you know, I appreciate all the comments around the range of outcomes for the RevPAR outlook. Super helpful. I guess looking at the U.S. specifically, could you share a little more about what you've been seeing and just put a finer point on what has changed? I think last quarter, the makeup of the outlook of 2 to 3 percent in the U.S. was about 150 to 200 basis points infrastructure, then another 50 on leisure, 50 on pricing power. So when you think of that makeup now, I'm just curious how that buildup is different today.

speaker
Jeff Pilati
Chief Executive Officer

Sure. It's probably a little bit different on the infrastructure side. And we could talk about that in a second. But to your first part of your question in terms of what we're seeing, I'd say we're all still optimistic on the team, Lizzie. Normalized April demand was performing, as Michelle said, similarly to March. But that was until last week where we saw RevPAR improve by 400 basis points, running about a full point ahead of prior year. So the pace for May, 20 days out with a third of our business on the books, is trending in line with our revised outlook with pricing holding firm. And I think that's really important. Our franchisees realize that there is still pricing power out there, that their ADRs are still well below inflation and well, a good room for ADRs to run. And I've got to give a shout out to our teams who are working so hard to communicate with our franchisees, our revenue management best practices, to really drive rate and margin. We have a global conference coming up in a couple weeks and that will be what we're talking about. Ensuring the franchisees are building that base business with contracted, negotiated business, really taking advantage of all of our on-demand and digital marketing to drive occupancy. So pricing holding firm, majority of our franchisee revenue, as you know, I think it was your question to Michelle on last month's call, is there seasonality? There is. A third of our hotel's full year demand shows up in June, July and August. And so we're exiting April with momentum and we're encouraged that leisure transient will pick up into the summer months. And there are lots of other reasons for that optimism. Our cancellation rates are holding steady. They're not ticking down. Our average lead times are holding steady at 20 nights. And our average length of stay are still well ahead of where they were pre-COVID level. In fact, in the quarter, they picked up 3% year on year based on the paid media campaigns that our marketing funds were running. And hit 1.95 nights, significantly higher than they were pre-COVID level. So on the transient side, our middle income guests are still more employed with wages and with savings higher than pre-COVID. And nearly half of all Americans are still saying that they're planning a vacation for this summer, which is we don't have foresight to in terms of our booking windows. But the back part of your question, we're optimistic on the blue collar everyday travel fronts. We're seeing increasing private on-shoring and public infrastructure demand, although it did start off slower than what we saw in the fourth quarter in terms of that 150 basis points. And Michelle, I don't know if you want to add anything to that.

speaker
Michelle Allen
Chief Financial Officer & Head of Strategy

Sure, happy to. Yeah, as I just mentioned, Lizzie, leisure, I think the biggest disconnect from our initial guide and the results we saw back in January was leisure just not performing as strongly as we had expected. Pricing is holding. Our weekday trends continue to outperform our weekend trends. It's really just that consumer sentiment resulting from the macro uncertainty that's weighing on the overall leisure occupancy in driving what I would say our outlook at this stage. And so if we think about the remainder of the year, we're in the US specifically, we're expecting at the low end that the rest of the year will perform consistent with the normalized trends we saw in March and April. So that implies about 3% down. And then at the high end, obviously, we are building in some optimism to that just assuming that there could be potential that those trends were more of just a short-term reaction to the uncertainty. And as the shock wears off, we would see the improvement that Jeff is talking about. And in addition to the positive momentum he referenced, I would just add, we're also seeing Google search volumes up over the last two weeks in April as it relates to hotel and travel related keywords, again, giving us optimism that consumers are beginning to plan their summer vacations.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And we'll take our next question from Michael Belisario with Baird. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Michael Belisario
Analyst, Baird

Thanks. Good morning, everyone.

speaker
Jeff Pilati
Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Mike. You had a new baby, I think, last quarter, right? Was it Annie?

speaker
Michael Belisario
Analyst, Baird

No, no, no. Number three is next quarter. So I'm doing my part to catch up to you. Jeff, you didn't talk about your longer-term outlook and algo. I don't see that flagged in your deck anymore. So maybe you can just sort of help us frame what that outlook would be in the current environment, maybe what changes and sort of what are the sensitivities that we should be thinking about there looking out to 26 today.

speaker
Jeff Pilati
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I'll talk just really quickly. An important part of that algo, Mike, is obviously our net room growth. And there is nothing that we're seeing that would prevent us from delivering. We've had a lot of questions on net room growth on our long-term 3 to 5 percent net room algo. We've had a record first quarter as we talked about 15,000 room openings. Up 13 percent, really strong signings, and really around the world, with 180 hotel contracts awarded up 6 percent to last year and up 40 percent to the first quarter of 2019. And our pipeline's in great shape. But Michelle could talk about the EBITDA.

speaker
Michelle Allen
Chief Financial Officer & Head of Strategy

Hi, Mike. So I think we'll have a better perspective on 2026 once we see how 2025 plays out in February. At the midpoint of this year's original outlook, we were pacing toward an 8.5 percent EBITDA taker over the three-year period. I say with our revised outlook, EBITDA's down only about 13 million this year, which as Jeff mentioned, in no way alters our long-term trajectory. Our growth algorithm remains intact. Our focus is on controlling what we can control. And everything within our control is performing at or above our expectations. System growth, royalty rate, margin, fee par, ancillary revenues, the pipeline, all in line or better than expectations. So we'll continue to execute against our strategic priorities, manage our cost structure with discipline, and of course, deploy capital where it drives the greatest long-term return. And history tells us then that U.S. growth is typically around 2.6 percent annually. And so while 2024 came in below trend and 2025, May 2, those under earning years should then be followed by stronger than average ones. So we feel really good about the fundamentals we can control. We're confident our business can compound growth at attractive rates in a more normalized, better environment.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We'll take our next question from Brad Montour with Barclays. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Brad Montour
Analyst, Barclays

Good morning, everybody. Thanks for taking my question. So I wanted to talk a little bit about the development backdrop. The net unit growth in the first quarter was just, I mean, when we calculated it's just a touch below the range for the year. And so that, you know, you guys were affirming that. It implies a little bit of a lift as you go through the year, wondering if, A, that's sort of planned, what you guys expected to happen as you go through the year. And second, maybe, Jeff, if you could just talk about, you know, your 70 percent year opens or conversions, if you could just talk about the puts and takes of the conversion business and that momentum as it pertains to the current backdrop, i.e., you know, costs for furnished goods going up, but of course, we've got this potential countercyclicality effect of slowing the rep part potentially helping. I hope that all makes sense, but any thoughts there will be helpful? There's

speaker
Jeff Pilati
Chief Executive Officer

a lot in there,

speaker
Jeff Pilati
Chief Executive Officer

Brent. And I'll start with where you started. I think we feel very good about the first quarter in terms of where we landed, as you know, our openings ramped throughout the year. And it was very consistent. There's a good slide, Matt, put in the deck in terms of what we needed to do this quarter. We felt we did it. And again, nothing out there that, as I said to Mike, is making us doubt our long term three to five percent algo. In terms of conversions, the second part of your question, we, there's, I think it's slide six in the IP, which talks about our ability to flex up. But we were around 90 percent conversions during COVID, which as new constructions came down, conversions came up. And you saw that normalized in our investor presentation, 70 percent of our full year, 2024 openings, given the strength and the success of our new construction prototypes. And that has continued to pick up. Our new construction openings picked up by 500 basis points, both domestically and internationally to nearly a third of all of our openings. And with our executions, our new construction pipeline being up 400 basis points to 1500 hotels in the first quarter, quarter on quarter, we're not seeing, we're not seeing that slow down. So is there the ability to flex up in conversions? Absolutely. Domestically, our conversion pipeline was up double digits versus last year. But we're feeling really, really good about it domestically. We're feeling great about it internationally. We met with dozens of developers this quarter in Southeast Asia, where our signings were strong, our conversion pipeline. We grew in Southeast Asia significantly in the quarter and in China, still real strong strength out there. You saw 90 percent more room openings in last quarter and a 17 percent domestic net room growth over there. And then in Europe, we talked about that 40 percent increase in the pipeline, I believe in our script. We were over in India where, gee whiz, I mean, infrastructure demand is exploding and hotel supply just can't keep up. We were in India, the first franchise company to enter India before franchising was even as popular as it is today. And we are today the company with more franchise hotels than anyone else. And India is really what's helping fuel our India growth in both the openings and the pipeline. And then the last part of your question on what we're hearing in terms of costs, tariffs and whether or not that's going to slow things down. I think tariffs, supply chain, stability on those fronts, certainly top of mind. But our teams are doing a great job of shifting sourcing, bringing production closer to home and negotiating with suppliers to share in the increased costs. There's always been a concern in you read a lot about the cost of steel and aluminum in the industry. But with us in our type of construction, we're a lot less about steel and aluminum, much more so focused on lumber, which is a huge driver of cost. Most of our new construction is stick construction as opposed to steel and aluminum construction. And happily, the administration exempted Canadian lumber from the new tariffs, given I think what it knew its impact would be on new construction. And then the concern shifts to imported fixtures, furniture, equipment, technology, electronics. But we're optimistic, and I think our franchisees are as well, Brandt, that the uncertainty that's out there could be relatively short lived. I mean, we've worked through supply chain disruptions before, and they are increasingly looking to us for help. And our teams are increasingly sourcing domestically wherever possible. In fact, we're mandating at least one domestic sourcing solution for all important supply categories. For example, our FF&E for our new Days In Dawn prototype, Days In is our best performing economy brand right now, and its RPI just keeps going up, and Days In Dawn prototype's a big part of that. It's being sourced entirely from North Carolina or Texas. Our Echo Suites, which we've talked a lot about, are fastest growing new construction brand lines yet. All of that FF&E is manufactured in Minnesota, where we're not seeing any costs increase yet. So, we're sourcing's not domestic. We're certainly expanding solutions in other countries when it comes to things like technology, like Vietnam and Cambodia. And we're, again, optimistic that this is going to be more temporary than long term. I hope that answers it.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We'll take our next question from David Katz with Jefferies. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
David Katz
Analyst, Jefferies

Hi. Morning, everybody. Thanks for taking my question. No babies here. We won't comment on that. None here. Well, I was just going to leave it right there. I wanted to talk about your development engine and the development process. Easy to get sucked into the near term, rev bar and demand, etc., which is relevant. But taking a long term view on how you're one, allocating resources, driving, nudge, building a pipeline. I'd love some geographic updates on how you're doing in different areas. There's been a lot of concern about what might be going on in Asia or elsewhere with it. And if you could, Michelle, just talk a little bit about key money and key money strategies. It's another area that we're all quite interested in. Thank you.

speaker
Jeff Pilati
Chief Executive Officer

Okay. I'll start off and pass it to Michelle on key money. She's very tough about those key money allocations. We're not doing much of it to the chagrin of our international presence overseas. Nor do we have to. You mentioned Asia. That's a good place to start. We were over there this quarter and we've just seen continued acceleration on both the execution and the development front. We are bringing in fee par accretive rooms. We open 90% more rooms. Many of our peers have been talking about building master license relationships over there and how well they're working for them. We've been very focused, having entered China, for example, 20 years ago with master license, to focus more on selling the 20 plus brands that are not master licensed directly because they're coming in at much higher fee parts, much higher license fees. And so while we open 90% more rooms, the team executed so many more deals, over 50 deals. More deals executed than they did last year. And our Asia Pacific pipelines, whether it's in countries like Thailand or Singapore, we are seeing robust growth and we're seeing really strong growth on both the new construction side and on the conversion side. We have continually invested in our franchise sales and development teams overseas. Europe is a big, big area right now that we're focused on that's doing very well from both an application standpoint and an opening standpoint, as is Latin America. So we continue to increase our sellers, our franchise sales team. We're focused entirely right now on selling direct franchise agreements as opposed to master license agreements overseas. And we're using very little key money to do that. Michelle?

speaker
Michelle Allen
Chief Financial Officer & Head of Strategy

Sure. From a key money strategy, we are prioritizing opportunities, David, as you know, that deliver high quality revenue, a creative fee part to the system. That means we're focusing on higher rep par markets where we can or already do have scale and where we can drive pricing. I'd say internationally we're being selective and strategic about how we direct the capital, even how we direct our human capital. And you'll see us do a good bit of volume in EMEA this year, specifically in Germany. We really like the structure of that market being the largest economy in Europe. But as Jeff mentioned, we're not deploying capital into China, for example, so being very selective and very strategic. We know this strategy is working. It's worked really well for us over the last few years. And we continue to add more attractive markets into the system. Just this quarter we added Singapore, for instance, internationally. And the deals that have development advances associated with them are coming in at much higher fee pars. So we're really thrilled to be seeing the strategy executing according to our expectations. And the teams are really happy to have this tool in their tool camp.

speaker
Jeff Pilati
Chief Executive Officer

And very happy to see without a lot of key money, as Michelle mentions, going out internationally, that international pipeline coming in with a fee par premium of over 30 percent. And I think it's 32 percent of what is in our existing international system.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And we'll take our next question from Stephen Grambling with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Stephen Grambling
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thanks. This is just a follow-up on that question. I guess sometimes what we see now is the output of several years of efforts. As we think about what might happen going forward and the major changes you see in the development environment, maybe if you can just elaborate on how either the terms or the structure of agreements may have changed over the past years of higher interest rates. And then just to clarify, I think the loan advances you cited there were up a little bit. Is that related to moving upstream or is that new markets? And then what's the typical, I guess, payback that we should think about on those? Thank you.

speaker
Michelle Allen
Chief Financial Officer & Head of Strategy

Yeah, sure. With respect to the loan advances, we had an opportunity to advance our partnership with one of the premier developers in Germany. I just mentioned that was the strategic and is the strategic market for us. We were able to strengthen our footprint in this very important region, Germany's largest economy, highest fee par market outside of North America. And we've been really focused on building density there. This portfolio will add over 3,000 rooms to our system over the next few quarters as we integrate it. And you can see that impact in the EMEA pipeline, which is up 40% for the region.

speaker
Stephen Grambling
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Got it. And I guess are those kind of standard terms that we see that get paid back over, you know, a typical length of time or do we assume that... Oh, sure. ...is that... ...is that available?

speaker
Michelle Allen
Chief Financial Officer & Head of Strategy

Yeah, it's definitely an interest-bearing loan and it will be paid back over, I believe, the next two years.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And we'll take our next question from Danny Assante with Bank of America. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Danny Assante
Analyst, Bank of America

Hi. Good morning, everybody. Just a follow-up question on your change in outlook, Comix, Michelle. You talked about the low-end run rating down three, the top end of the guide being up one for the balance of the year. Can you maybe break that down for us by, you know, what's changing in your outlook by region? So what's changing in the U.S.? And then how is your outlook in the rest of the world changing?

speaker
Michelle Allen
Chief Financial Officer & Head of Strategy

Sure. Yeah, actually, my prior comments were with respect to the U.S. only because I think that was the exact question. So let me just clarify. In the U.S., we're assuming that we see the continued pressure from March and April for the remainder of the year. So that would have us down 3% on a normalized basis. Of course, it's going to be down a little bit more in the fourth quarter when you take into account lapping, the hurricane headwinds. But it will all average out to down 3% for the remaining...the remainder of the year. Internationally, I'd say we've taken a generally consistent approach using the more recent trends in each of the regions to project out the rest of the year. Every region, as you know, faces its own dynamics. China has faced more recent pricing, pressure, EM, momentum has continued. Black Ham is seeing exceptional ADR growth. In Canada, we're assuming, again, consistent March and April performance, which, you know, was not really stellar. So overall, we're expecting international rep par to decline about a point on a constant currency basis.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And we'll take our next question from Steve Pazella with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Steve Pazella

Steve, good morning, everyone. I just wanted to follow up on you encouraging recent trends, Tom, again. And then you could expand on where you are seeing that and if you think they're sustainable. And if these recent trends were to continue, would that get you to the midpoint of the guidance?

speaker
Lizzie Dubb
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi.

speaker
Michelle Allen
Chief Financial Officer & Head of Strategy

So, as I say, our guidance is meant to reflect any range of outcomes. At the low end, we are assuming pretty generally speaking that the trends we saw in March and April continue for the remainder of the year. Again, there is potential, as Jeff mentioned, that those trends were more transitory and that we would see improvement from that. And we're starting to see some early signs of positive momentum. But to be fair, starting to see some early signs of positive momentum and the majority of our EBITDA is going to come in those very important summer months. So until we have full visibility of what that looks like, it's really we really just need to see how those are going to perform. What's going to get us to the midpoint or the higher end is improved performance from those March and April trends, obviously. We would expect to be closer to the midpoint, I'd say, than the lower end if we see improvement from that down 3% in the U.S.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We'll take our next question from Patrick Scholes with Truest. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Patrick Scholes

Great. Thank you. Good morning, everyone. No plans for any more children on minus in my family. We are good there in that department. Thank you. Question here on the ancillary revenues. I believe last quarter you had called out an expectation for low teen growth for this year. Certainly since last quarter, I believe it was in February, we've seen declining consumer confidence. Is your expectation still the same for low teen ancillary revenue growth? Thank you.

speaker
Michelle Allen
Chief Financial Officer & Head of Strategy

Hi, Patrick. Sure. Yeah, we continue to expect 2025 growth to be in the low teens range and there are further growth opportunities beyond 25, including international expansion. And so we continue to expect it will be higher than low teens in 2026. As it relates to this year and this current red car environment, I say a significant portion of our ancillary revenue is contract based, which provides a high level of visibility and durability. And then the largest growth driver this year, as you know, is expected to be our co branded credit card and the non contractual piece of our card income is based on total card spend, not just not just travel spend and only about a third comes from from the travel category. Okay, so I think that makes this fee stream more insulated from from red car fluctuations and we feel really comfortable at this stage and we're we're guiding right now from a red car outlook that the ancillary fees will continue to grow in that low teens range for 25.

speaker
Patrick Scholes

Okay, could you just give a little bit explanation exactly what a contracted sounds like that's something that's locked in no matter what happens here. What exactly is that? Thank you.

speaker
Michelle Allen
Chief Financial Officer & Head of Strategy

Sure, with respect to license fees, for example, there's a minimum floor that that that will pay to wind them. So, their V. O. I. at at would need to drop pretty materially before we would eat into that floor. So it provides kind of a base a base space.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And we'll take our next question from Ian's a female with Oppenheimer. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Ian S. Female
Analyst, Oppenheimer

I agree. Thank you. Maybe talk about the trend you're seeing infrastructure right now. You know, you've seen any impact from macro. Do you expect to see any softening there or is it kind of just study as she goes? Thanks.

speaker
Danny Assante
Analyst, Bank of America

Yeah,

speaker
Jeff Pilati
Chief Executive Officer

thanks. Yeah, we did, as I mentioned in Lizzie's question, see a bit of a slowdown in the first quarter versus the fourth quarter with the halting of disbursements of infrastructure funds in January, but the I. I. J. A. allocations are gradually resuming. Several of us, several hotel and airline CEOs had the opportunity to meet a few weeks ago with Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy down in D. C. And the assurance that the administration's main focus is all about getting the balance of the allocations out. But but more importantly, as Secretary Duffy said, the dollars actually spent the administration wants faster spending on highway and bridge construction. Big, beautiful highways, big, beautiful bridges. There is just too much economic growth. There's too much creation. There's too much economic stimulus to boost GDP for this. As Secretary Duffy put it to us, not to happen in terms of making the transportation infrastructure stronger. And we certainly heard that for anybody that was listening yesterday to the televised cabinet meeting in the White House. It's all about getting getting those funds flowing when it comes to things like our nation's airports and air traffic control or the recent energy dominance executive order to expand oil and gas exploration that Secretary Wright talked about yesterday. And we're starting to see that our GSO revenue growth continued to pick up. It was up smaller numbers, but it was up 30 percent year on year. And so much of that is driven by infrastructure and by our remote sales teams that franchisees can opt into for for sales support actually availing themselves of the demand that that those contracts are created. Our consumed GSO revenue in the first quarter from infrastructure room nights exceeded the US SDR industry growth by about 380 basis points. And so that's helping us drive continued mid scale midweek share gain. And we're also seeing strong private investment with dozens of hotels near our nation's largest data centers. Secretary Lutnick, they were all talking about it yesterday, was referencing what's going on out in Arizona with TSMC and the investment that they're making. We have dozens of hotels that are seeing seeing the benefits of that of that demand. And so we continue to view the infrastructure spend that one point two trillion dollar bill as a multi-year tailwind that's going to be driving over three billion dollars of gross room revenue to our hotels in in the next next eight to 10 years.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And as a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press the star and one keys on your telephone keypad. We'll take our next question from Alex with Redburn Atlantic. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Alex
Analyst, Redburn Atlantic

Good morning. Thank you for taking a question. On the German. On the German deal, could you just give us some more detail on the terms of that on the nature of the 3000 rooms? If they're already existing on new construction and whether there are any similar deals that you have in the pipe that could pop through later down the line?

speaker
Michelle Allen
Chief Financial Officer & Head of Strategy

Sure, probably can't disclose specific terms for competitive reasons. I can say that it is. It is a structure that allowed us to provide financing to to a partner that was well above our cost of capital and with strong structural provisions. And and personal personal guarantees. You know, we're always judicious with our capital and and make sure when we deploy it, it's above it's above our hurdle rates. Our first priority is investing, investing in the business and in high, high quality growth. And and I say, you know, an asset like cash generated business like ours gives us flexibility even in uncertain times to evaluate opportunities on a case by case basis and and deploy capital where where it creates the most long term value. Could there be potential opportunities like this in the future? We hope so. I hope we're bringing in 3000 high quality .A.R. accretive rooms in in one of our our key strategic markets is something we're incredibly excited about. And so I think when we when we think about deals and what makes most sense for the long term health of our business, we have a number of tools in the toolkit and and we deploy them very strategically.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And we will take our last question today from dead. I want to select with Morningstar. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
I Want To Select
Analyst, Morningstar

Good morning, guys. Yeah, just wondering your commercial team seems to be leading the industry and innovative technology solutions. What opportunities are you providing owners in this environment to lower costs and increase top line growth? Thank you.

speaker
Jeff Pilati
Chief Executive Officer

Well, thank you for that. Shout out Dan. I'm sure Scott Strickland and his incredible commercial team appreciate it. They've been very busy over the last six years. We've talked a lot about it's in our investor deck. We've invested over 300 million in what is become an industry leading tech stack. We have completely moved off of legacy providers. We have best in class providers that are entirely cloud based like Oracle and Amazon and Adobe. Canary is our most recent and exciting partner in all of these partners, along with Sabre, of course, which is all of where all of our ARI is is held. It's enabling us to innovate faster. It's taking labor intensive tasks away from our franchisees. And it's really raising the service bar for our customers. Most importantly, for our small business owners will be talking a lot about this at a global conference. It's allowing them to make extra money. But our approach with our franchisees and small business owners is not to mandate these services, these programs, this technology, but to offer them on an opt in basis. And when we have five thousand of our six thousand U.S. franchisees opting into services like our signature reservation service where they don't have to employ a front desk agent to check Dan Waziolek in. But they're able to actually service them while all of those calls are bounced to a professionally run call center that's delivering a much faster average speed of answering, a much higher conversion rate. And a significantly higher up to 15 percent higher EDR lift. That's a big deal. And they'll sign up for that all day long as they will are often revenue management services which drive hundreds of increased basis points of occupancy or I mentioned earlier, our sales support where we're we're hiring salespeople across the country because small business owners can't necessarily afford them on their team. But are willing to opt into those type of services. We're also offering free services that any small business owner would be crazy not to opt into like our ability to reconcile OTA reservations that don't show up at no cost delivering thousands of dollars of savings a month. I could go on and on. We've talked a lot about Windom Connect. It will be a big push for us at conference. Over three quarters of our franchisees have opted into because it is a best in class suite of technology that's allowing monetization efforts for franchisees to now charge effortlessly, seamlessly for an early check in for the Waziolek family or a late checkout or what they might want in their room before they arrive. So we're really excited about it. It's a big piece of our value proposition and something that our franchise sales teams are very proud of offering to our franchisees.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And there are no further questions on the line at this time. I'll turn the floor back to Jeff Bellotti for any closing remarks.

speaker
Jeff Pilati
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you very much, David. And thanks everyone for joining us and for your questions today and your continued interest in Windom hotels and resorts. Michelle, Matt and I look forward to seeing many of you at the upcoming investor conferences that we'll be at in the weeks ahead and to spending time with thousands of our franchisees, our team members from around the world and our strategic sourcing partners at our 2025 Windom Global Hotel Conference in Las Vegas at Caesar's Forum from May 19th to the 21st of this month. Have a great day, everyone.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And this does conclude today's Windom hotels and resorts first quarter 2025 earnings conference call. Please disconnect your line at this time and have a wonderful day.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

Q1WH 2025

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