Westrock Company

Q3 2021 Earnings Conference Call

8/5/2021

spk00: are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press the star 1 on your telephone. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. In addition, if you require any further assistance, please press the star 0. Thank you. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Mr. James Armstrong, Vice President of Investor Relations. Sir, please go ahead.
spk05: Good morning, and thank you for joining our third fiscal quarter 2021 earnings call. We issued our press release this morning and posted the accompanying slide presentation to the investor relations section of our website. They can be accessed at ir.westrock.com or via a link on the application you're using to view this webcast. With me on today's call are Westrock's Chief Executive Officer, David Sewell, our Chief Financial Officer, Ward Dixon, as well as Pat Lindner, President, Commercial Innovation and Sustainability. Following our prepared comments, we will open the call up for a question and answer session. During the course of today's call, we will be making forward-looking statements involving our plans, expectations, estimates, and beliefs related to future events. These statements may involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those we discussed during the call. We describe these risks and uncertainties in our filings with the SEC, including our 10-K for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2020. We will also be referencing non-GAAP financial measures during the call. We have provided a reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures in the appendix of the slide presentation. As mentioned previously, the slide presentation is available on our website. With that said, I'll now turn it over to you, David.
spk04: Thank you, James, and good morning. I'd like to start today with a summary of Westrock's performance in the third quarter, as well as provide some perspective on our progress and the work underway since I joined the company. then i'll turn it over to ward who will provide additional detail on our financial performance and outlook for the remainder of the year we delivered very strong performance in our fiscal third quarter with demand for fiber-based packaging continuing to be robust we generated record revenue of 4.8 billion dollars an increase of 14 year-over-year Adjusted segment EBITDA was up 15% to $811 million, and adjusted EPS rose 32% to $1 per share. This was terrific performance in a challenging inflationary environment and positions us well for the future. We had robust sales growth across all of our businesses, with packaging sales up 15% during the quarter. Demand continued to be strong in the key markets we serve, including e-commerce, food, beverage, and industrial. North American per-day box shipments were up 9% year over year. We are implementing the previously published price increases across our major paper grades. These pricing gains, combined with our volume growth and mix improvements, outpaced inflation and drove 15% adjusted EBITDA growth year over year and adjusted EBITDA margins of 16.8%. We continue to generate strong free cash flows that we used to strengthen our balance sheet while also investing in our business and delivering value to shareholders. Overall, net leverage at the end of Q3 is 2.54 times down from 3.13 times at our peak. Last quarter, I talked about the key strategic priorities for Westrock. Leveraging the power of the enterprise. leading in sustainability, accelerating innovation, and executing a disciplined capital allocation program. And I'd like to take a minute to walk through some of our progress in each of these areas and our path ahead. We have been moving quickly in my first four months on the job. During this time, I've continued to visit our facilities and spend time with our customers. These visits have reinforced my belief in the unique opportunity we have to provide value through our broad portfolio of paper and packaging solutions and help our customers meet their most challenging needs for sustainable packaging solutions. We've initiated a detailed review across the business, looking at how to further enhance our focus on attractive end markets where our differentiated portfolio is rewarded. We are still in the early stages of this process, but our recently announced team realignment is a significant step forward in fully leveraging the power of our enterprise. We are strengthening our focus on commercial excellence, innovation, and sustainability across the enterprise and combining these functions. Bringing these critical activities together provides focus, integration, and alignment to the disciplines that will enable us to grow our company and lead in providing sustainable and innovative solutions for our customers. We are focused on growing our packaging business and maximizing our opportunities across the portfolio. We have combined the former NPS and our food and beverage packaging business into one team, unifying these commercial teams and operations better serve our customers and maximize the productivity of our global operations. We have also integrated the sales teams across our consumer paperboard and container board businesses and combined our consumer and container board mills into one system. During the third quarter, we continued to implement our disciplined capital allocation strategy and further strengthened our balance sheet. Over the past three quarters, We've reduced adjusted net debt by $1 billion, raised our dividend by 20%, and completed the investments in our strategic capital projects. So what's ahead for Westrock? The Westrock team is relentlessly focused on leveraging the power of the enterprise to improve margins and returns while continuing to deliver excellent free cash flow. We will invest in our converting systems to support growth and packaging and in our mill system to improve our overall cost structure. These investments will further enhance our packaging capabilities to serve those markets where our customers value our differentiation. This also means working to reduce our exposure to markets where we don't see this potential, such as export container board and low-margin SBS businesses. We also remain disciplined in our capital allocation, We are working to ensure the strength and flexibility of our balance sheet as we invest to grow our business. We remain committed to maintaining our investment-grade credit profile and consistently growing our dividend. We will invest in our future through capital projects and tuck-in M&A opportunities that clearly align with our strategy and provide attractive returns on invested capital. And we will make opportunistic share repurchases to return value to shareholders. The significant progress we have made in reducing our leverage ratio provides additional optionality as we consider our capital allocation priorities going forward. We will be balanced in our approach, always seeking to maximize returns while maintaining the financial strength and flexibility required to execute our strategy. As we strive to lead in sustainability, we announced our commitment to set a science-based target to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. As we work to partner with our customers to improve their sustainability, we are also focused on improving our own. Sustainable fiber-based packaging is critical to realizing the full potential of the circular economy, and we are working to accelerate our innovation pipeline to help our customers meet demand for sustainable packaging. Our new Evergrow product is a great example of leveraging the power of the Westrock enterprise with capabilities that no other packaging company can bring to the customer. This product leverages our design capability, consumer-incorrigated packaging, and our machinery expertise and creates a sustainable fiber-based curbside recyclable alternative to plastic produce packaging. It has great shelf appeal, protects the produce, and can be recycled into new packaging. You can use the QR code on this page for a closer look at this exciting new packaging. And with that, I'll now ask Ward to provide detail about our financial performance in the third quarter.
spk05: Ward? Thanks, David. We executed well in the third quarter, and our results reflect this. As David mentioned, we generated revenue of $4.8 billion, adjusted segment EBITDA of $811 million, and adjusted EPS of $1 per share. These results exceeded the high end of our guidance range we outlined last quarter. Demand was strong with record net sales that increased 14% compared to the prior year. Our revenue grew across all of our businesses, and we continue to focus on improving our business mix. The implementation of published price increases and improved business mix drove $320 million in year-over-year earnings improvement and exceeded cost inflation by more than $100 million. Cost inflation was driven by higher transportation, energy, chemical, and recycled fiber costs. Operating costs were higher year over year due to the non-recurring nature of some of the cost actions taken last year as part of the pandemic action plan. In addition, Q3 was our peak maintenance outage quarter in FY21. We generated more than $550 million in adjusted free cash flow in the quarter and used the majority of that cash to reduce debt. Our net leverage is approaching the high end of our 2.25 to 2.5 times leverage target. Our packaging businesses continue to grow, with sales increasing 15% year over year. This revenue increase is due to both strong demand and the implementation of published price increases. As you can see on this slide, our packaging sales were 71% of our total sales in the third quarter, while paper sales were 29% of total sales. Packaging volumes were up year over year, with strong demand in food and beverage, retail, e-commerce, and distribution. Demand in markets such as cosmetics and spirits also improved as global economies continue to recover. External paper sales increased 10%, with price increases more than offsetting lower volumes. We are focused on growing our integrated packaging, domestic container board, and paper board businesses. We are also working to reduce our volumes in lower margin specialty SBS and export container board markets. For reference, the combination of the adjusted EBITDA margins in our lower margin specialty SBS and export container board markets is below 10% as compared to Westrock's 16.8% total company average. As we actively manage our mix, we will improve our profitability going forward. We look forward to updating you on our progress. We believe it's important to also discuss our results on a sequential basis to highlight current trends. We reported significant improvement in earnings, with revenue up 8.5% and adjusted segment EBITDA up 27% quarter over quarter. Increases in pricing and improved mix enabled us to outpace inflation by approximately $100 million sequentially. While we had the sequential benefit from the ransomware and weather impact in the second quarter, the third quarter was our peak maintenance outage period. Inventories in both of our business segments remain tight. Turning to the segment results, our corrugated packaging segment reported revenue of $3.2 billion, an adjusted segment EBITDA of $557 million. Adjusted EBITDA margins for our North American corrugated business were 19.3%. and our Brazil adjusted EBITDA margins were 23.2%. As I mentioned before, demand remained strong across a broad set of end markets. Corradiated box shipments increased 3% sequentially. Sequential cost inflation was driven by higher recycled fiber costs, which were up $22 per ton versus Q2, along with increased transportation, energy, and chemical costs. Corrugated packaging, pricing, and mix outpaced inflation by $89 million from Q2 to Q3. Inventory levels remain low as we came out of our peak mill outage quarter. We have only 11,000 tons of planned maintenance outage downtime in the fourth quarter. Finally, the Florence mill continues to increase production and operate well, and we expect the mill to be at full production levels at the end of the fourth fiscal quarter. Demand is very strong in the Brazilian market, and we expect margins to improve in the fourth fiscal quarter as the Trace Bajas mill continues to ramp up. Turning to consumer packaging, the segment reported revenue of $1.7 billion, an adjusted segment EBITDA of $269 million. Adjusted segment EBITDA margins were 15.5% in the quarter and were up 210 basis points sequentially. Our sales mix continues to improve, driven by strong demand in higher margin food and beverage packaging and paperboard sales. Packaging sales increased in North America, Europe, and Asia, and paperboard sales were up in all substrates sequentially. Our backlogs remain very strong and are currently at six to seven weeks across our grades. Our mill system performed exceptionally well with strong production and high operating rates. On price mix, we saw the benefit of the flow through of published price increases. Our sales mix improved as we sold less pulp and had higher sales of container board and CNK from the reconfiguration of our Evadale, Texas mill. In Q3, we produced 44,000 tons of craft liner and 18,000 tons of CNK at this mill. Cost inflation has increased at higher than normal levels throughout the year. many of our commodity input costs have increased significantly, including OCC, which July is up $77 per ton since the end of FY20. However, we have been successful in implementing previously published price increases across our system, which have offset this inflation. In the fiscal third quarter, the spread between price and inflation turned significantly positive. The April container board published price increase should be fully implemented in our system at the end of August. We are also implementing published price increases in craft paper and realizing higher pricing in export container board. Consumer price flow through will continue accelerating into fiscal year 2022. We generated more than $1.1 billion in adjusted free cash flow in the first three quarters of this fiscal year. Following the capstone acquisition, our adjusted net debt peaked in the second quarter of fiscal 2019 at $10.5 billion. We've made outstanding progress in reducing this debt quickly and exited the third quarter with $7.9 billion in adjusted net debt. We are quickly approaching the high end of our two and a quarter to two and a half times net leverage target. We continue to reduce debt and strengthen our balance sheet. We recently announced the redemption of $400 million of our senior notes that mature in March of 2022. The redemption will occur in September using cash on hand, which will reduce our debt even further. Turning to fiscal fourth quarter guidance, we expect higher prices, stronger volumes, minimal scheduled maintenance downtime, and improved productivity. This will be partially offset by sequentially higher recycled fiber, virgin fiber, and energy costs. As a result, we expect adjusted segment EBITDA to be in the range of $870 to $920 million and adjusted earnings per share in the range of $1.15 to $1.29. And now I'll turn it back over to David.
spk04: We have great opportunities to grow our company and improve margins while providing value to our customers, teammates, and shareholders. We are making rapid progress on our strategic priorities. First, we are leveraging the power of the enterprise. This quarter, we made several commercial and operational leadership changes that further align our teams to our strategy. This new structure will enhance market alignment, enable greater agility, and deliver efficiencies. And we are working to determine how we grow faster in high-value markets and minimize our exposure in export, container board, and low margin specialty SPS markets. Second, we are striving to lead in sustainability and accelerate innovation. We remain excited about the growing opportunity to partner with our customers to improve the sustainability of their packaging. As I mentioned earlier, we have committed to setting a science-based target to reduce our greenhouse gas emissions and are making excellent progress on the commercialization of our plastic replacement solutions. And finally, we will be disciplined in capital allocation. As we achieve our leveraged target, we have more opportunities to utilize our strong cash flows to create shareholder value. The future is bright at Westrock, and I want to thank our 50,000 team members for their incredible work. This is a team that is truly committed to solving our customers' most difficult challenges. I'm confident in our ability to successfully achieve our goals. And as we provide differentiated solutions that customers value, we will continue to deliver excellent performance. With our complete and differentiated portfolio, we have multiple levers to create value and grow sales and earnings. We are excited about the opportunities ahead. With that, that concludes my prepared remarks. James, we are now ready for Q&A.
spk05: Thank you, David. As a reminder to our audience, to give everybody a chance to ask a question, please limit your question to one with a follow-up as needed. We'll get to as many as time allows. Operator, may we take our first question?
spk00: Thank you. Your first question comes from the line of Anthony Pitnari of Citi. Your line is open.
spk05: Good morning. David, do you have a timeline for when the strategic review might largely be completed? And then as you look at the kind of people, processes, technology, is there anything that stands out to you in your first few months as a particular strength within Westrock or a particular need within the organization?
spk04: Yeah, thanks, Anthony. A couple things to your question. I think we're in the early stages of our strategy review, and you'll see announcements throughout the rest of the year and through the activities that we do as we make progress. But we're really looking forward to announcing those. But the structure changes were the first step in supporting our strategy. And I will tell you, there will be a few things to our approach which are really important. And I think it goes to the second part of your question is, what's the strength that I've seen in the four months I've been here? And the biggest strength I see, other than the people who have been tremendous, is the value of our unique portfolio. How do we continue to leverage that both from a growth standpoint and an efficiency standpoint? And we have tremendous opportunity to do that. Our enterprise customers who buy both corrugated and consumer are approaching $8 billion annually, and they want to partner with us for solutions on innovation and sustainability, which is a huge demand from our customers. So we want to continue to push that. And we're excited to have Pat lead our innovation and sustainability and focusing on market growth, where we can get rewarded, as well as continuing to be relentless in our productivity efforts. So I guess to answer your question, I'd say the timing will be throughout the rest of the year. I think the structure was the first piece of that. The strength is really our broad portfolio with our people in executing that. And the opportunity that I see is further developed. integration and synergies from the acquisitions that we made. And I think we have an opportunity to continue to take cost out of our systems. So that's where I see it so far in the first four months. And I think you'll see a lot more here throughout the rest of the year.
spk06: Okay, that's very helpful.
spk05: And then just in consumer, is it possible to say what you think sustainable underlying demand is in this market? Are you seeing real evidence that it's moved higher because of sustainability or plastic substitution? I'm just asking because there's a lot of moving pieces with reopening and food service and a comp against COVID, just trying to understand that. You know, what's the underlying growth?
spk04: Yeah, we're excited about our consumer business. As you know, we've consolidated our former NPS business with our consumer business, our food and beverage business. And that's really exciting just, again, from the efficiencies on the back end, but also the growth we can bring pulling those together. We're seeing retail come back, obviously, quite a bit. And what's also really exciting about the consumer business is their ability to improve margins, which is a big focus for us. Our tie-in with the machinery business allows for really unique solutions. So we think consumer has tremendous opportunities for further growth. We're seeing that growth both in the U.S. and in Europe. So we see this continuing as we go through the rest of the year and into 2022.
spk05: Okay, that's very helpful. I'll turn it over.
spk04: Thanks, Andy.
spk00: And your next question comes from the line of filling. Jeffery, your line is open.
spk06: Hey, David. The changes you're looking to accomplish to further integrate the business and extract more synergy is certainly very exciting. I'm curious, will it require a noticeable amount of capital to step up from here? And do you think you have the right people to kind of execute on that? on the goals that you're trying to implement going forward?
spk04: Yeah, Phil, thanks for the question. The people have been tremendous. We have the right leaders leading our businesses now. So I'm really excited about our path forward. The piece on the capital, we're really focused on our productivity efforts and bringing, as evidenced by bringing the mill systems together, And there will be additional capital spent to extract further cost-out opportunities. We've committed to $900 million to $1 billion in fiscal year 22 in CapEx. So we're comfortable with that number. And along with those investments and our productivity efforts, we're really confident we're going to start seeing results in extracting value out of our operations.
spk06: Got it. And it may be a question for Ward. Certainly, it's a very inflationary backdrop. I think implicit in your fourth quarter guidance, price cost is still kind of the headwind. When we look at the Q1 and, you know, assuming the August increase is reflected by the indexes for container board, do you think you're still going to be behind the price cost curve in fiscal 1Q? And do you have enough productivity to potentially drive margin expansion year over year?
spk05: Thanks. Thanks, Phil. So I'm going to challenge you a little bit. I think our if you look at our price inflation trends, both sequentially and year over year, we're actually driving more price realization than we are. You know, it's a positive relationship between price and inflation. Moving into the fourth quarter, clearly the largest inflationary item that we have is we've got the increase in OCC and it's really 45 to 50 bucks a ton. embedded in our guidance but we also have the continued flow through and the full quarter flow through of the ppw published price increases and in container board from april and uh the uh accelerating momentum that we have in the realization of the all of the price increases across the published price increases across the consumer business as we head into q1 um well you know i think if ppw does in fact publish we'll start to generate the benefits really in q1 pretty quickly we won't get much in q4 it'll be it'll ramp up in q1 and then move into q2 so i think uh our guidance is actually we're growing earnings sequentially from q3 to q4 and part of its volume part of it's the fact that we're uh we exited our peak maintenance outage but it's also the price cost relationship as well So we think we have earnings momentum as we move into next year, albeit in an environment where we have elevated transportation costs, recycled and virgin fiber costs. Got it. Okay, that's helpful, Ward.
spk06: Really appreciate it.
spk00: And once again, if you would like to ask a question, simply press the star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Again, if you would like to ask a question, simply press the star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Adam Josephson of KeyBank. Your line is open.
spk05: David and Ward, good morning. Thanks very much. Ward, just one more question about the assumptions embedded in 4Q guidance. So for OCC, it was up 20 in July. So I assume that you're thinking it'll be up another, call it 25 to 30 in August. Just please confirm or refute that. And then What about the insurance, any insurance proceeds you're expecting in fiscal 4Q compared to what was in your previous full-year guidance, and then any impact from the potential third price increase in that guidance? Yep. So let me take the quarter first, and then I'll spend a minute on the second half relative to the guidance that we gave you back in April. So our average OCC cost for Q3 was about $105 a ton. What's embedded in our guidance is about 145 to 150 bucks a ton for Q4. So that implies some sequential increases from August into September as well. But you can, I've always tried to be very transparent about our OCC assumptions, and I think I've done that here as well. What we have with price, the price realization has been very, very consistent from what we had in the April guidance. for both Q3 and for the full year. Really, the driver of the midpoint being lower than the 3.05 full-year guidance that we gave on the April call has simply been the elevated inflation environment. So our assumptions back then, and I think you can probably go to the transcript, is we thought we would exit Q4 with OCC around $105 a ton. So it's going to be $45 to $50 higher than what we assumed back in April. And then we've had higher natural gas costs that we thought would start to moderate, and they've remained elevated. And then virgin fiber is also a little bit higher. But we've been able to steer our way through this. and still feel really good about the momentum that we have in FY22, the cash flow generation that we have. And Adam, we have filed our claim with our insurance carriers for For the ransomware recovery, because I have not embedded any recovery in the current quarter guidance related to the business interruption portion of the claim, I'm very confident that we're going to recover our claim. I just don't have clarity around the timing. And as we get more clarity, I will communicate it. I appreciate that, Warren. And, David, one for you, just on the container board export commentary, How do you plan to sustainably reduce your exposure to that market? Is it through acquisitions of independence? Is it through some other means? Because obviously in the good times when domestic demand is booming as it is now, it's pretty easy to do. But when things go in the opposite direction, it's that much more difficult to not be involved in export markets in some capacity.
spk04: So I'm just wondering how you're thinking about that. Yeah, I appreciate the question on that. A couple things. There is some very attractive domestic container-borne markets that we enjoy and are good margins. We've successfully improved our integration over the last several years from the mid-60% to about 80%. And we've said we want to be at about 90% from a vertical integration standpoint. And What we'll do to continue to do that is exactly what you said. We'll continue to look at bolt-on acquisitions of independents. That'll continue to happen as we move forward. And we also have a multi-year investment plan in our operating systems. So we'll continue to invest there to optimize what the right – manufacturing footprint is to support the markets that we want to be in and grow. And that's part of our strategy work that's going on right now is our desire to accelerate that and get that moving faster. And I think you'll see as a result continued margin expansion in this segment. And we think we have a great path to get there.
spk03: Thanks so much, David.
spk04: Thanks.
spk00: And once again, if you'd like to ask a question, simply press the star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Cleve Rueckert at QBS. Your line is open.
spk04: Great. Thanks very much, and thanks for all the color already.
spk05: I just wanted to ask a follow-up on, you know, the integration and, you know, sort of your plans for the container board market.
spk04: You know, I appreciate that it's a It's a strategic focus and has been for a couple of years to improve integration. Can you tell us where it was in the quarter? And then I guess what's the timeframe for your investment plan?
spk02: Do you have excess capacity in the box business today, some of these changes on the –
spk04: salesforce side are going to help you know improve that or is it really going to require investment and you know the type of bolt-on acquisitions that we've discussed so are we exited uh thanks for that question steve uh we exited q3 i believe at 81 percent integration um in the system and again that's continuous progress of where we want to be um as far as timing That is something that we are looking at right now, and we will certainly share that with you as soon as we really dial that in. But you will see continued progress and focus on that. And again, it's going to go exactly as you said. It's going to go as part of our investments. in our system. It's going to be shifting into strategic markets that we want to be in, which is with our mill system, providing flexibility to where we want to play, and also de-emphasizing where we don't want to play. And then there'll be strategic bolt-on M&As that help support that as well. So it's going to be a multifaceted approach to that, We want to accelerate this because this is an important part of where we want to go as a company. I'm not ready yet to give you exact timing, but we will share that with you as soon as we start dialing in the plan to do so. And, Ward, I'll turn it over to you just for any other further commentary.
spk05: Cleve, what I would note is that we've invested in our box plant system. If you look over the last five years, we've invested almost over $750 million to upgrade our system. And we've installed over 43 EVOLs. So we've had a path that we've been on, and we'll continue to do that. And then we'll supplement it with the potential of tuck-in acquisitions as well for more vertical integrations.
spk04: Yeah, so, I mean, I guess, I don't know, it sounds almost like more of a sales focus at this point than an investment focus, but I guess we'll sort of stay tuned and see how it goes. Yeah, I would actually say it's both. Yeah. I would say it's both. I mean, it's also part of just how do we optimize what we have, and there will be investments on our infrastructure towards point on what we've done. in our facilities, there'll be the M&A piece and there'll be the strategic focus piece. Right, right. Yeah, that makes sense. Thanks for that detail.
spk05: I just wanted, you know, one follow-up on OCC and, you know, OCC availability. I guess sort of one of the thematic things that we heard throughout the first half was that recycling rates were quite a bit lower in OCC last year with sort of the shift to at-home consumption. I'm just wondering if you're seeing any increase in OCC availability within your system as sort of the reopening has played out through the middle part of the year. Yeah, that's a really good question because you know we operate our own. We operate 18 plants of our own recycling facilities and many single-stream facilities. And it's interesting, our generation over the last year, it's actually up 3%. And what we've done inside of our system is we've actually made some investments in our single stream capabilities to ensure that we can capture some of the smaller sort packaging that we see from the e-commerce stream. So generation in our facilities has been up. But we've made investments to make sure that we can capture the shift. And remember, we also, from a fiber security point of view, we manage more tons than we actually consume. So we have brokerage relationships with other generators of OCC to ensure that we've got fiber security into our system.
spk04: Got it. Thanks, guys. Good luck this quarter.
spk05: Thanks.
spk00: And your next question comes from the line of George Stafford with Bank of America. Your line is open.
spk03: Hi, everyone. Hope you're doing well. Thanks for taking the questions. Morning, George.
spk05: And providing the details. Hey, David. Hey, so, David, I want to ask you a question. You know, given your past experience, obviously you haven't been running Westrock for very long, but, you know, what experience do you have in, adjusting and consolidating operations and sales forces. There's frequently sensitivities around doing that. What do you think is key about enabling that effectively? And kind of the related point, I did not see the detail, perhaps it's in the deck and I've missed it, on the number of accounts and combined revenue to customers who are buying over a million dollars of both consumer and corrugated for you. If you can sort of update us on that in your answer. And then I had a quick question on the quarter itself coming up.
spk04: Sure. Thanks, George, for the question. From an experience standpoint, going back to my previous life at Sherwin-Williams, Being part of an $11 billion acquisition of Valspar, that's exactly what we did. We fully integrated that business. We segmented where appropriate. We brought teams together where we brought more value from a customer standpoint to bring solutions. And then on the infrastructure side, we brought operations in under one leader to really drive those efficiencies. And I'm really proud of the work I was a part of with that team to really drive a lot of value. So there's a playbook that I use when bringing on acquisitions. to ensure that you just don't do a bolt-on. You do it for how do you drive more growth, bring more value to customers where they get excited about it, and then also drive the synergies on the infrastructure. And I think that's really important, and it's been a lot of what I've done throughout my career. And I'm excited about the opportunities here. There's just really good opportunities for us to continue to further integrate this business and bring value. As far as the enterprise piece, we will approach on a yearly basis about $8 billion in sales of customers that buy over a million dollars in consumer and over a million dollars in corrugated. So there is obviously with that data tells us there is value in customers wanting to come to us with solutions for all of our products. And I thought Evergrow, which we highlighted, is a great example of that. When you tie in our machinery business and even you look at our victory packaging distribution business with e-commerce. So where we're focused is we know our customers want innovation and sustainability. They're looking for us to help them achieve their sustainability goals. Those enterprise customers are the ones pushing us the hardest. And when we can combine our complete solutions, we're seeing a lot of value in that, and we're getting rewarded for that. And, Pat, maybe I'll turn it over to you just to extract a little bit about what we're doing on enterprise and the excitement we have there.
spk01: Sure. Thanks for that, David. And good morning. So as David mentioned, we are making good progress in increasing our sales across the enterprise and up to almost $8 billion from about $5 billion at the time of the merger. So that's really good progress. I think as we go forward, we're going to put even more focus on those top strategic accounts. I was with a very important customer earlier this week, and they were commenting on the importance of Westrock providing unique solutions, particularly to optimize primary, secondary, and tertiary packaging. we're the only ones that can do that i mean we have a unique capability to put all of those together mix it in with machinery drive the automation our digital capability we don't often talk about the displays business but that's a really important part of it too because every time you have a display in retail which is gaining some strength now you have a carton a folding carton in that so there's opportunities for us all the way throughout the value chain to optimize primary secondary tertiary packaging and And from a commercial standpoint, sustainability, innovation, we are going to put a lot more focus on those top accounts, and we certainly look forward to sharing many of those examples with you where we've been successful, as we've done in the past, but share even more examples in the future.
spk05: Pat, thanks for that. I just, you know, prices are going up, so $8 billion is great relative to the $7.5 billion you're at. in the prior quarter just can you talk about number of accounts you're at 169 last quarter have you added accounts here and then my follow-up just on the quarter can you talk about how lines are shaping up so far early in fiscal 4q and what the maintenance step down adds to your earnings thank you good luck in the quarter
spk01: Yeah, so just from the 169, we're up to 178. So we continue to add customers. So it's a number of customers as well as the revenue that continues to climb. And, you know, that's just really important to us, not only in cross-selling, but leveraging the overall power of the enterprise. I think, if I understand your second question, it was really around how the quarter, the current quarter is starting off. And I'll just comment real quick. Yeah, it's more for Ward. Okay. Ward, do you want to handle that one? Yeah. So...
spk05: Remember, in the sequential earnings, I think we have one more shipping day sequentially, so that's part of the driver of volumes. There is volume contribution to earnings sequentially. The year-over-year comparisons obviously get harder as we go into the end of the calendar year when everything started to reopen and demand started to strengthen across both of our businesses. Your maintenance downtime question, it's down – almost 110 000 tons sequentially uh george i'd say that's 15 to 20 million dollars of uh earnings contributions sequentially thank you very much word thank you guys thanks george your next question comes from the line of mark weintraub of seaport research partners your line is open
spk02: Thank you. First one, big picture question. As you're looking at the two businesses, Container Board and Consumer Packaging, for a long time you've been getting pretty substantially higher margins in the cargated business than the consumer business, I think it's like 400 basis points right now. When you think about these businesses and their capital intensity and other various ingredients, Is there a reason for there to be, on an average basis, that sustained spread in the margins in those businesses, or is that something that you think will equalize more over time?
spk04: Mark, thanks for that question. I want to make sure I understand it. Are you talking about the consumer business margins matching our corrugated business margins? Yeah, comparing those two, EBITDA margins. Yeah. So our goal is to continue to drive our packaging margins to a much, much more attractive level to where we're at. We have further to go in consumer, as you well know. But I'm really pleased with the progress we're making. I'm not sure we'll get all the way to where we think our corrugated margins can get to, but we want to get very close to that. I think our EBITDA margins in the quarter have improved sequentially over 200 basis points on consumer markets. and we expect that to continue. The other thing about that is we are reporting our paper board sales in there. So, if you extract the lower margin external SBS, our margins are even more attractive. So, that's why that focus of reducing our exposure to the external market and SBS, combining our former NPS business with the consumer business, you know, with that opportunity plus the plastics replacement opportunity, We really believe that it's going to enhance continued acceleration of our margin expansion.
spk02: Great, that's helpful. And then, and I apologize if you had some technical difficulties earlier, but I picked up some indications, you know, there's going to be a little bit more capital to achieve the various goals. Can you give us kind of a general view as to what average CapEx might be in the next couple of years? Well, we've come out...
spk04: With a capex of $900 million to $1 billion for fiscal year 2022, I would expect us to maintain that range moving forward. We'll look at opportunities with our capital allocation, though. So with the strong cash generation, we're going to look at, with the excess cash we have, where do we provide the best return? So if there's great return with further capex to drive out costs. We'll look at that. We'll continue to look at other opportunities for bolt-on M&As, and we'll look at opportunities in share repurchases. So from a capital allocation standpoint, we want to be very disciplined in where we go with our capex, with our sustainable and growing dividend, and then with the excess cash and where we are with our debt levels, we're excited about the opportunities that brings for flexibility. Great. Appreciate it. I'll hand it over. Thank you. Thanks, Mark.
spk00: And once again, if you would like to ask a question, simply press the star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Again, if you would like to ask a question, simply press the star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Mark Wilde of Seaport. Your line is open.
spk03: Morning, David. Different firm, but you get the idea. When you talk about these investments in the mill and converting businesses, is it possible to give us some examples of what you're thinking about in both cases? I mean, there has been a fair amount of money, as the Lord mentioned, that's gone into the converting business over the last five years. And really, you know, if we go back over the last eight or ten years, there were a number of mill projects at Hodge, at Hodge, at Hopewell and then most recently at Florence. So trying to get a sense of, you know, what those projects might look like going forward, how they might be different.
spk04: Yeah, thanks, Mark. Appreciate the question. I'll start and then I'll turn it over to Ward with any additional commentary. As Pat alluded to earlier, we continue to invest in eBalls at our conversion plants. We think they really bring a great return for us. We look to do things like Florence. We obviously had the investment in Brazil as well. Trace Bajas was, I believe, a $345 million investment. Florence was a $400 million investment. So we made some really large investments in our mill systems, and we continue to make investments in our conversion plants. One of the things that we really are looking at, too, is flexibility in our mill systems. So if you recall, at Evadale, we converted SBS to C&K. That provided us an ability to get into higher-margin businesses and, again, get into the strategy of exiting lower-margin SBS businesses. So, with that, there was no capital needed to do that. But as we look at our footprint, now that we have one mill system, we're going to continue to look at those flexibility options. Some of them may require CapEx. But if we can invest in flexibility in what we want to produce, depending on demand, which provides the best return for us in those high-margin growth segments, we'll continue to do that. Ward, I'll certainly turn it over to you as well.
spk05: Mr. Yeah, I mean, Mark, again, I'll kind of reiterate some of the key themes of the investments that we've made in the container system. You know, the EVOL deployment, the corrugator upgrades. You know, we actually did build one greenfield box plant a couple years ago in Siouxland. And then on the mill side, you know, there's continued opportunities for woodyard upgrades, other debottlenecking projects, and numerous projects that are focused on reducing costs.
spk03: Yeah, that's helpful. David, for my follow-up, I just wondered, you know, you've been in the saddle for four or five months now. Just any thoughts on potential changes in terms of how you'd like to set up incentive comp structures at Westrock?
spk04: Yeah, Mark, that's a really good question because, for me, it's really important to reward our sales team with where we want to grow. So part of that is revamping and reinvigorating our sales incentive plans to reward the behaviors that we want to do. So as we go into fiscal year 22, that's a high priority for us, and it's something we're working with the teams on right now.
spk03: Okay, very good. I'll turn it over. Thanks, David.
spk04: Thanks, Mark.
spk00: Your next question comes from the line of Mark Conley. Your line is open.
spk04: Now that the teams are in place, can you give us a little more insight into the benefits you're expecting to get from combining container board and paper board mill operations? In container board, it's been more common to tightly align the mills with the box plants, and that was the strategy of some of the companies that Westrock acquired. Does this new approach put more separation between your board manufacturing and your converting operations? uh actually what we hope is to allow and we will allow our mill systems to be a hundred percent focused on being as efficient as possible and supporting our converting systems the most effective way possible so with allowing this structure and again talking about some of the flexibility optimizing our supply chain understanding with the strong demand we have, you know, how do we ensure we have the most efficient supply chain as well. This structure allows us to do that. I just really believe in focus and segmentation. And, you know, as the mill systems wake up every day, they're going to be thinking about safety, quality, cost, and service. And that's going to benefit both our customers and our shareholders. Okay. Now, second question, following up on Mark Weintraub's question, you have a lot more recycled in your container board system than some of your competitors do. Does that significantly reduce your ongoing CapEx requirements at those mills? And is it a goal to introduce more recycled fiber as you reinvest in that system? I'm really wondering about the system's capital intensity relative to your peers.
spk05: Yeah, so... mark this award. You know, our fiber mix is approximately 65% virgin, 35% recycled. And you're right, the capex load for a recycled fiber mill is lower than it is for the virgin mills. We've always liked the balance that we have in the system because ultimately we have a very broad offering to our customers in terms of lightweight, heavyweight, virgin, and recycled liners and mediums. And we think that ultimately positions us to support a wide range of customers. And so I... David, I'll ask you to comment about whether you think that mix is appropriate, but we have balance in the system and we've always felt comfortable with the balance. And again, Mark, I think another thing to remember is we've got some fiber flexibility across our mills to be able to take advantage of introducing more recycled fiber mix into our virgin system and vice versa. as market conditions for those critical input costs change.
spk04: Yeah, Ward, I think you hit it right on. And I think there's a theme here of, you know, I think we're in a great position from a flexibility standpoint. And that's the benefit of our broad portfolio is we can pivot and shift to provide the best returns and service to our customers as needed throughout our system. So, I think, Ward, you covered that well.
spk02: Very helpful. Thank you.
spk00: Your next question comes from the line of Gabe H. Your line is open.
spk05: David, Ward, good morning. I'm curious, have you guys put any thought into revisiting your leverage target? I mean, I spent some time kind of beyond the upper bound for a while. Obviously, you guys were doing some acquisition activity but it just and i appreciate it it seems like you guys are committed to an investment grade rating um but to afford you the flexibility to do things you'd like to do seems like a pretty tight window i'm just curious if you guys have thought about that uh we talk about it a lot we talk about it with the board um and you know and investors have uh I've had some investors ask us to consider expanding the range and others to talk about tightening the range and lowering it. Frankly, you helped answer part of the question. We like the flexibility that this target provides us. We do like the investment-grade credit profile and the discipline that that brings into our organization and capital allocation. And I think we've talked about in the past and we've had a track record of saying if the right opportunity exists for us to lever up for a short period of time above the target, to generate synergies and then pay down debt to get back within the target, then we're not prohibited from doing that. So I've always felt that this gives us the strong balance sheet that we need to be able to execute our strategy and also to have the flexibility in a business that has some variability in input costs and supply-demand conditions from period to period. David, do you want to add anything to that?
spk04: Well, I would just say, as we talked about our capital allocation approach, you know, where we want to put our cash is where we can get the best return. So part of that, the must-haves are, you know, growing and sustainable dividend, reinvesting in our business, investment-grade profile, and with the, again, the available cash we'll look at, you know, how should we look at debt? How should we look at share repurchases or even additional investments? So I think that flexibility is really important. And as Ward mentioned earlier, calling the bond in 2022 to pay it in fourth quarter with our available cash was a good use of our cash, but we still have additional opportunities to look at other areas of investment. So we'll continue to do that.
spk05: Okay. Thank you. And one last one. I appreciate it's challenging sometimes on an open format like this. But in terms of the strategy, is there anything that's off the table? Or can you give us a couple of ideas of things you might look at? I mean, could it include things up to divesting certain mills or product lines or something like that? Or is it everything you feel like you have, you're going to keep and it's more about investing and figuring out the way to maximize returns?
spk04: Yeah, I appreciate that follow up question. My approach also always when you go into strategy is everything's on the table. You have to evaluate everything. We have to evaluate our businesses, our footprint, the markets that we're going after, our structure that supports the strategy. So to answer your question, Abe, I would tell you we're looking at everything in fairness. And we will continue to communicate with you throughout the year on, you know, what that means. But the ultimate goal results of our strategy will be organic, profitable growth, margin expansion, and improved return on invested capital. Understood. Thank you. Thank you.
spk00: Your next question comes from the line of Mark Weintraub of Seaport Research Partners. Your line is open.
spk02: Thank you. Just a quick follow-up, if I could. As you have on that page 13, you've got a lot of published price increases recognized in the consumer packaging grades. And I think most of us have a pretty good understanding of how the container board flows through, et cetera. Can you just remind us how the consumer packaging price increases tend to flow through and the degree to which there might be cost-tied elements that also flow through into pricing.
spk01: yeah great thanks very much this is pat so let me try to handle that from a commercial standpoint so as you mentioned container boards a pretty good understanding of that and majority of the corrugated box and container board is is linked to ppw and passes through in three to four months as we've indicated in the past consumer is a bit more complicated because of the number of substrates and the different routes to market our different integration levels across those different substrates. And so we use a number of different value capture and pricing mechanisms in the consumer segment. And in aggregate, I can say about half of that is tied to PPW. And those flow through in different time periods. The other models, pricing models, are based on cost and also a fair amount of open market, which gives us quite a bit of flexibility. And so the way we think about pricing overall is that that's just, you know, the price and the lag and the type of model that we have is just part of the overall value capture and negotiation and discussion with the customer. As far as timing is concerned, we start flowing through, and you can see some of this starting in the third quarter and more in the fourth quarter, and as Ward indicated, accelerating into fiscal year 22. We start to see that right away. It'll ramp up, and it's really based on a previously published price increase. It's usually about six to nine months for that all to flow through. But again, it doesn't wait for the six to nine months. It's flowing through and it will continue in our case with the published price increases to date. It will continue to flow through into fiscal year 22.
spk02: Thank you. That's helpful.
spk00: And there are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn it back to Mr. James Armstrong for the closing remarks.
spk05: Thank you, operator. And thank you for joining our call today. If you have any further questions, please don't hesitate to reach out. And have a great day.
spk00: This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-