Clear Secure, Inc.

Q2 2022 Earnings Conference Call

8/15/2022

speaker
Operator
Good morning and welcome to the clear second quarter 2022 earnings conference call. We have us here with us today, Ms. Karen Seidman-Becker, co-founder, chairman and chief executive officer, Ken Cornick, co-founder, president and chief financial officer. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would also like to remind you that today's discussion will contain forward-looking statements relating to future events and expectations. You can find factors that could cause the company's actual results to differ materially from these projections in our most recent SEC filings. In addition, we've included some non-GAAP financial measures in our discussion. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in today's 8K. With that, I'll turn the call over to Taryn Seidman-Becker, co-founder, chairman, and chief executive officer. Taryn?
speaker
Karen Seidman - Becker
Hello and welcome to our second quarter 2022 earnings call. We were certainly expecting a very busy summer travel season, which we at Clear had termed Travelpalooza. Needless to say, the global secular demand for travel, combined with the significant industry challenges, have exceeded our already high expectations. This travel environment has highlighted the imperative for future facing innovation and collaboration amongst all stakeholders to ensure travelers have the frictionless experience they rightfully deserve and enjoy in so many other settings. We are laser-focused and deeply committed to accelerating our network expansion, partnerships, and innovation around new products to help travelers navigate an increasingly difficult global travel environment. We at Clear spend each day envisioning and creating safer and easier travel experiences. When we say transforming the journey from home to gate, we mean it. From stepping out of your front door to reaching your final destination, it is just too hard today. Clear is on the side of the traveler and obsessed with making the journey better. Our results continue to be fueled by our strong network and our evidence of the power of the network aspect we spoke about in our shareholder letter. As we've continued to add new nodes, the value proposition increases exponentially. In the second quarter, we experienced strong bookings growth of over 75%. Some of our earliest markets opened over a decade ago are amongst the fastest growing in our network. We were able to fuel our growth in a highly capital-efficient manner, reflecting not only the network effect but the obsession with customer experience, yielding both strong word of mouth and a high NPS. New products and innovation will further our network expansion and and the continued increase in our total addressable market. We have just launched our new Powered by Clear Verification SDK, available for mobile web experiences or native mobile applications. This low-code integration creates a single app solution for our partners, enabling frictionless experiences for their customers in both digital and physical environments. We are excited to welcome new partners to our network, creating new nodes for our over 13 million existing Clear members, and ensuring rapid adoption for our partners. Since our IPO, I am pleased with the continued obsession and improvement of our member experience, the growth of our network, new product introductions, and our solid financial performance and free cash flow generation. What has propelled us at Clear and will continue to fuel our innovation, growth, and culture is the strong leadership team we have built. Just this month, we are excited to welcome Nick Petty as our new Chief Technology Officer. Nick joins us most recently from J.P. Morgan, where he was the CTO of payments for consumer and community banking. And before that, Nick was part of strong engineering cultures at Uber, Capital One, PayPal, and Amazon. Before I turn it over to Ken, a quick comment on the economic climate. These are still early days at Clear. And while there is plenty of discussion in the market about a recession, our business has not experienced any evidence of a travel or economic slowdown. We have an appropriately aggressive plan in front of us as identity, holistically speaking, and frictionless experiences have never been more important and we are well positioned to lead. We are also well equipped to manage through various economic environments as evidenced by clear financial performance during the pandemic when travel declined by almost 100%. Our bookings declined by about 10% while our margins and free cash flow expanded. I'm excited about the opportunities in front of us our strong free cash flow and balance sheet, which positions us incredibly well in this environment. With that, I will turn the call over to Ken.
speaker
Nick Petty
Thanks, Karen. Good morning, everyone. Our financial performance in Q2 was better than we expected, with revenue up 86% and bookings up 76%, driven by growth in ClearPlus as well as new platform deals and renewals. As Karen alluded to, this level of growth is not just about the return to travel post-COVID. It's a reflection of Clear's significant growth opportunity. Our bookings CAGR versus pre-COVID 2019 levels is approximately 30%, with same-store bookings accounting for roughly 80% of this growth. As we discussed on the last two earnings calls, our focus remains on growing members, bookings, and free cash flow. We generated $41 million of free cash flow this quarter, bringing year-to-date free cash flow to $61 million and last 12 months free cash flow to $114 million. We expect to remit the approximately $65 million payable to American Express in the third quarter related to the very successful first year of our platinum partnership. Even with this outflow, we expect to generate positive free cash flow in the second half of 2022. Excluding the working capital benefit from American Express over the last 12 months, we generated approximately $50 million of free cash flow, which is up over four times the prior year LTM amount of $11.6 million. Next quarter, once we anniversary the payable to American Express, we'll be speaking more about LTM free cash flow. We're also focused on operating leverage. Since inception, we have been methodical about expense growth, and we embody a scrapping at scale culture. As previewed in our Q421 earnings letter, year-over-year operating expense growth will continue to moderate as we progress through 2022. In the quarter, total op-ex grew less than 25%, roughly a third our revenue growth rate. driving significant margin expansion. Adjusted EBITDA turned positive in Q2 and is now positive on a year-to-date basis. In addition, adjusted net income turned slightly positive in the quarter. We reported 94.3% net member retention in the quarter, which was higher than our expectations and remains above our long-term expectations of the upper 80s. In our quarterly letter, we included some additional detail on underlying drivers of our net retention metrics, specifically, As utilization has grown with our network, retention levels for newer cohorts of members continue to improve. We see that in our retention curves, which have shifted up and to the right. This should provide a healthy tailwind to retention over time, which we now expect to settle above pre-COVID levels. Our cash and equivalence balance as of June 30th was $703 million. As mentioned, we expect to generate additional free cash flow in the back half. Our Q3 guidance expects GAAP revenue of $111 to $113 million and total bookings of $128 to $132 million, excluding any contribution from TSA PreCheck. We're making good progress on our launch timeline, and we do expect a Q4 launch. We will now go to Q&A.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question and answer session. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to use your, to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment please while we poll for questions. Our first question comes from the line of Dana Telsey with Telsey Advisory Group. Please proceed with your question.
speaker
Dana Telsey
Good morning, everyone, and congratulations on the nice results. I'd like your word, Karen, of the Travelpalooza. And can you expand upon how you're thinking about the Travelpalooza going forward, potentially into the third and fourth quarter, and what you're seeing on the cohorts of membership retention? Because it certainly seems like the year one retention is going very nicely. Any other questions? qualitative thoughts on the other year's membership and their retention. And just lastly, on American Express and on TSA PreCheck, any updates there? Thank you.
speaker
Karen Seidman - Becker
Hi, Dana. So I'll take the Travelpalooza concept and then I'll turn it over to Ken on retention and PreCheck timing and Amex. You know, as I said in my words at the beginning, We continue to see very strong travel trends and expect them to continue for clear because these are still early days. We are opening new airports, right, which drives new enrollment and drives retention and utilization. We're launching new products. And I think it's really important, never has a frictionless experience been more valuable to travelers. All you have to do is turn on any TV station or online streaming to see how challenged the travel experience is. And how people expect the predictable experience they have in other settings to happen in airports or in travel in general. And that's what we're really focused on. So whether it be home to gate, whether it be our announced partnership with Uber, whether it be our reserve products. whether it be some new products that we're testing in the market that have been written about. We're on the side of the traveler and really obsessed with their experience from the time they leave their house to the time they board their plane, and I think that's deeply valuable. So we continue to see great strength in Clear and the opportunities in front of us.
speaker
Nick Petty
So I'll start with pre-check. Pre-check is, you know, we're progressing on the launch timeline very nicely. We still expect a Q4 launch, and we're gearing up marketing and ops to support that. On the Amex piece, I don't know if you had a specific question, but as we sort of alluded to in the commentary, we're very pleased with year one performance of the Amex partnership. We'll be remitting the $65 million as we called out in the free cash flow to area of our letter, and we think there's a lot of opportunity on this Amex partnership for continued growth, not only on the platinum side, but potentially adding other card portfolios within that family. Retention, look, we wanted to give some additional detail in some of the drivers behind the KPI that we report, the net member retention number. And we are very pleased with how the cohorts are progressing. Typically, most companies would see a degradation over time in the quality of the joins. We see the opposite. And we're really focused on the LTV and the LTV to CAC. And the younger cohorts are actually performing better than our older cohorts. And that's really attributable, we think, to the network effect and the utilization.
speaker
Dana Telsey
Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Paul Chung with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question.
speaker
Paul Chung
Hi. Thanks for taking my question. So just on booking strength, could you kind of expand on, you know, any pricing uplifts there? I know you did some price increases. And where are you seeing, you know, new enrollment momentum? Any comments on particular regions? And then, are there any kind of card programs or airline partnerships you should be thinking about over the next six to 12 months? I have one follow-up.
speaker
Nick Petty
Sure. So, in terms of the booking strength, it really is fairly broad-based, and certainly the pricing that we took in Q2 went through successfully and is a contributor to the growth. But if you recall, we raised prices for new members only, not existing. We grandfathered existing members in. And so it is a small contributor to the bookings growth, but not all of it. It's fairly broad-based from a geography perspective. I would echo that comment. It's really broad-based as well.
speaker
Karen Seidman - Becker
The only thing I would add to that, Paul, is that you are starting to see strength on the coast. And so that's something we had commented on earlier in the year was coastal weakness, if you will, between international travel and business travel, and you are starting to see strength there. So I think that's important to think about as travel comes back, both on the leisure side, but then as well as the business and international side, which have obviously been very slow to rebound.
speaker
Paul Chung
Gotcha. And then my follow-up, you know, free cash flow has been excellent. It's already exceeding all of 2021, and it's mostly on bookings growth. But anything else you want to point out there? You mentioned the $65 million going out in 3Q, but as we look beyond 3Q, how do we think about kind of the normalized pace of free cash flow? And does that cash outflow kind of occur every year in 3Q, or is it kind of more spread out? in smaller magnitude as well. Just any comments there?
speaker
Nick Petty
With respect to the cash outflow, that'll be every year in Q3 for Platinum. In terms of the free cash flow profile of the company, a couple things to point out. Number one is, as we've sort of repeated every quarter, there is a discrepancy between GAAP and bookings. So cash and GAAP The gap lags behind bookings as we grow the business. And so that is, you know, a main contributor to the free cash flow generation relative to the gap financial metrics. But I would also point out, you know, we are hyper-focused on capital efficiency as a very capital efficient business. And, you know, we expect that to continue. It's just a feature of the business.
speaker
Karen Seidman - Becker
I think it's also a feature of our culture and who we are. So when you look at the IPO letter that we wrote, we talked about it. It's how we've grown up. It's how we've built the business that we believe you can have growth and free cash flow. And Ken talked about a scrapping at scale culture that's embedded through now our over 3,000 team members around the world. And so it's a great business. And I think we have very strong leaders who are focused on economic efficiency as well as investing appropriately in the business. And now 13 years into this, that's what we've done from the beginning.
speaker
Paul Chung
Great. Thank you. Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Michael Turn with Wells Fargo Securities. Please proceed with your question.
speaker
Michael Turn
where we were modeling, it looks like it calls for continued 30% growth as a baseline. You mentioned the rebound in summer travel you're seeing. Anything you can add just around how to think about or how we should think about normalized growth for the business and some of the drivers there as we maybe reach a point where some of the bigger spikes and ebbs and flows we've seen over the prior period start to settle a bit here?
speaker
Nick Petty
We missed the first part of your question, but I think the gist of it, I think we got the gist of it, which is a normalized growth rate over time. And, you know, we're not guiding to long-term growth rates, but we did point out, you know, we wanted to highlight the CAGR of the business since 2019 just to show you this is not just about the travel rebound. This is a strong, you know, secular grower. And we're not going to, you know, give you guidance specifically on the long-term growth rate, but we did want to point out the CAGR since 2019, as many companies are doing in this environment.
speaker
Michael Turn
Sure. I mean, I think the CAGR is helpful just for us in trying to model just some of the settling impacts that could play through. Maybe just one more, Ken, if you could just remind investors the relation between free cash flow and EBITDA. Clearly, we saw the bigger spike to 40% margin on free cash flow this quarter. Anything for us to be mindful of just in the relation between those two metrics and thinking through the trajectory there?
speaker
Nick Petty
Sure. So as a reminder, so with a subscription business, since we're an annual biller, we have gap revenue, which lags behind our cash receipts. So if a member pays us $189 today, that's a booking of $189. The gap implication of that is that gets amortized or deferred over the 12-month period of the subscription. And so that's why you see you know, free cash flow exceeds the GAAP metrics. Adjusted EBITDA, while not a GAAP metric in and of itself, is based off of GAAP revenue. And most, basically all of our costs, cash and GAAP are the same. So we recognize all the costs up front, cash and GAAP, while the revenues are deferred. And that's why the adjusted EBITDA, again, is based off of GAAP revenue and our free cash flow is in excess. And in terms of, you know, CapEx, we're a fairly capital efficient business. And so over time, As GAAP catches up to bookings, those would converge. But since we're growing today, there is that lag, and therefore free cash flow is higher than the GAAP metrics.
speaker
CapEx
Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Brian Essex with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your question.
speaker
CapEx
Hi, good morning, and thank you for taking the question. Maybe, you know, for Ken or Karen, can we get a sense of, given the enrollment growth that we've seen on the platform, I mean, across the company, can you give us a sense of what conversion rates might be of the non-airline business and how that's driving kind of the kind of robust growth we're seeing in the enrollment volume? So, you know, if you go to a conference or something and you're downloading the app and you're getting that feedback, you know, participants' information, how are those conversion rates and how do you see the trajectory of, you know, paying enrollments going forward based on that trajectory?
speaker
Nick Petty
Yeah, so you're referring to the upgrade rate from the platform to Clear Plus, and that is an exciting area for us. And I think we mentioned last call, we haven't done a lot to specifically market to those folks, but we're getting, you know, very strong organic rate rates there. And we think there's a lot of opportunity there. It is a contributor to the growth, but not a major contributor yet.
speaker
CapEx
Got it. That's very helpful. And then maybe just from a CAM perspective, as we think about the potential of this platform, you know, the aggregate business together, how should we think about international opportunities both on platform and ClearPlus? Is that something that's potentially on the horizon or is that, you know, kind of a ways away?
speaker
Karen Seidman - Becker
It is not a ways away. I would say it's today and on the horizon in that when we bought Y-Line, it was a business that had revenues in Latin America. And so not only are we expanding the reserve product to other international markets, but that is also bringing platform opportunities to those markets as well. And so it is a today and on the near horizon business. not in the distant future. And areas that we're specifically focused on are really the Americas, so going from Canada down through South America, as well as some places in Europe, Western Europe.
speaker
CapEx
And that's super helpful. Is that primarily for platform business, or is that kind of on the airline side as well?
speaker
Karen Seidman - Becker
So you should think about that as the platform business, but reserve is, you know, aviation focus. It is sooner on the platform and the reserve side than it is on the Clear Plus side.
speaker
CapEx
Got it. Super helpful. Thank you very much. Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, if you'd like to join the question queue, please press star one on your telephone keypad. Our next question comes from the line of Ananda Baru with Loop Capital Markets. Please proceed with your questions.
speaker
Clear
Yeah, thanks, guys. Good morning, and thanks for taking the questions. Congrats on the consistent good results here. I guess, yeah, a few if I could. Just to start, Karen, sort of top of your prepared remarks, you mentioned sort of ongoing network expansion and new products and features on the horizon. Is there anything there you can share with us or sort of not specific, maybe give us at least at a higher level, some of the ways you're thinking about getting at some of this new stuff. And then I have a couple follow-ups.
speaker
Karen Seidman - Becker
Sure. So the new Powered by Clear SDK that we talked about, the low-code integration for partners to embed Clear's technology in their user flow. So you should think about two parts of the business, right? The travel side of the business and the platform side. I would think of travel as owned and operated, what you see at Clear Plus Lanes or Reserved, And then what you think about is the platform, which you'll see partner announcements over time, is a single app solution so that the clear enrollment and verification experience can be embedded in partners' apps. And so that's really a very powerful product introduction on the platform side and a significant milestone for our company so that this frictionless experience that people have come to expect, partners can bring to their customers. And so that is a huge unlock for us, number one. And then the other thing that you might have read about is a clear premium pilot going on in Orlando. And so that's us testing different services, connecting our digital assets like our app or our reserve technology with our physical assets. In this case, it's our ambassadors and airports to create services furthering the frictionless experience where you could go on to the app and ask for an ambassador to come meet you and truly help you go curb to gate. So those are premium products. We have different assets that we can put together in different ways, whether it be for us or for our partners. So those are just two examples.
speaker
Clear
Yeah, that's really interesting and helpful. So for the pilot that's going on in Orlando, is that a live pilot so you actually in Orlando could do that and have an ambassador meet you?
speaker
Karen Seidman - Becker
It is a live pilot that we are testing.
speaker
Clear
Interesting. Okay, cool. That's helpful. And, Ken, 80%, you said there's 80% same-store sale growth embedded in the 30% booking category. I think in the past you've talked about, you know, recent past, but you've talked about some of the things that you've done, you guys have done to do that, continue to upgrade the talent. I think you talked about moving some of the stronger general managers around the country to replicate performance. Is there anything incremental that you've been doing over the last 90 days or so that could continue to help catalyze this growth? Are you guys sort of, I don't want to say set with what you're doing, but is it going to be sort of more of the same? I'm wondering if there's anything that you're doing to continue to lend to the consistent same-store sales performance.
speaker
Nick Petty
Yeah, we're continuing to refine our hiring practices. We're continuing to refine our training. You know, we're continuing to refine the technology that our ambassadors have, you know, in their app, in their hands to track performance. So yeah, we continue, we're a continuous improvement sort of philosophy. And, you know, continuing to hire additional, you know, training resources and management resources as we grow the business. So I think it's, you know, more of the same, but continuing to refine and improve.
speaker
Clear
Yeah, improving it across the board. Okay, super helpful. And then last one for me, TSA Pre, thanks for the update. Are you guys thinking any differently about the contribution from TSA Pre than you were doing the IPO process? Or should we generally think of it as being relatively similar?
speaker
Nick Petty
Yeah, I think it's very consistent with what we've communicated in the past. We think there's a very large opportunity to drive new enrollments for pre-check as well as renewals, and no change to our thought process.
speaker
Karen Seidman - Becker
The only thing I would add to that is, you know, I think many people have enrolled through global entry historically, and I think that those – those appointments are even harder to come by these days, and so it might create even a bigger total addressable market for pre-check enrollment.
speaker
Clear
Cool. That's helpful. Awesome. Thanks, guys. Appreciate it. Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes our question and answer session. I'll turn the floor back to Karen for any final comments.
speaker
Karen Seidman - Becker
Thank everybody for joining us today. Thank you.
speaker
Operator
Thank you. This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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