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Yum China Holdings, Inc.
2/6/2025
and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the YUM China fourth quarter and fiscal year 2024 earning conference call and webcast. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one and one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star one and one again. Please note that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker, Florence. Please go ahead. Thank you, operator. Hello, everyone.
Thank you for joining Young China's fourth quarter 2024 earnings conference call. On today's call are our CEO, Ms. Joey Wu, and our acting CFO, Mr. Adrian Ding. I'd like to remind everyone that our earnings call and investment materials contain forward-looking statements, which are subject to future events and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from these forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements should be considered in conjunction with the cautionary statement in our earnings release and the risk factors included in our findings with the SEC. This call also includes certain non-GAAP financial measures. you should carefully consider the comparable gap measures. Reconciliation of non-gap and gap measures is included in our earnings release, which is available to the public through our investor relations website located at ir.yamchina.com. You can also find a webcast of this call and a PowerPoint presentation on our IR website. Please note that during today's call, all year-over-year growth results exclude the impact of foreign currency, unless otherwise noted. Now, I would like to turn the call over to Joey Watt, CEO of Yum China.
Joey? Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining us. We just celebrated Chinese New Year last week. I want to wish everyone a happy and healthy Year of the Snake. I'm excited to share that we achieved another quarter of strong results in quarter four, capping a record-breaking year. In the fourth quarter, system sales grew 4% year over year, outperforming the industry. Same-store sales index sequentially improved to 99% of prior year levels. Restaurant margin and OP margin expanded significantly year over year. Co-operating profit grew 35%. For the full year, we set multiple new records. we opened a record 1,751 net new stores, ending the year with 16,395 stores. Adjusted operating profit reached $1.2 billion. Core OP increased 12%, and dilute EPS grew 22%. Our due focus on operational efficiency and innovation led to improvement in both the top and bottom line. Despite a challenging environment and value-minded consumers, our efforts have led to eight consecutive quarters of positive transaction growth. We have sequentially improved the same-store sales index and expanded margins since quarter two. KFC has shown considerable resiliency and growth momentum. KFC accelerated store openings and reached 2,200 plus cities in China. Delivery sales grew 16%, continuing our decade-long double-digit annual growth momentum. 2024 feels to me like an inflection point for Pizza Hut. It has made significant progress in transforming itself by enhancing its mass market appeal and operational efficiency. Core OP more than tripled in quarter four and grew 19% for the full year. Both brands have tapped into underserved markets and expanded into adjacent categories to drive incremental traffic, sales, and profit. Our breakthrough models, K-Coffee Cafe and Pizza Hut Valve, showed promising results and have significant potential for further growth. I want to thank our incredible team for delivering these strong results. Embracing our People First culture, we celebrated our achievements with over 11,000 restaurant managers at our RGM convention in Hong Kong. We continue to delight our customers with great food and excellent value for money. And we are grateful to our shareholders for your continued support. With that, let me turn the call over to Adrian to discuss our results in detail. Afterward, I will share additional highlights on our CNY activities and our strategy. Adrian?
Thank you, Joey, and happy Chinese New Year, everyone. In 2024, all of our brands made notable progress. Let me share some color by brand. I'll start with KFC, which consistently delivered strong performance. In 2024, KFC group system sales by 6%, exceeding industry levels. We have developed innovative products for our flagship categories of original recipe chicken and juicy whole chicken, resulting in double-digit sales growth. We have also expanded our delivery market share on aggregator platforms by capturing more smaller orders. At the same time, we improved rider efficiency and further enhanced customer experience. KFC opened the record 1,352 net new stores in 2024. bringing our total store count to 11,648. Our flexible models enable us to broaden our reach with a mix of company-owned and franchise stores. We added nearly 1,000 company-owned net new stores in 2024. The payback period for our new stores remained healthy at two years. Thirty percent of KFC's net new stores were franchise stores. They help us unlock incremental opportunities in lower tier cities, remote areas, and strategic locations such as highways, campuses, and tourist areas. KFC's growth potential in China is huge. Coffee is a key growth driver for KFC. In 2014, KFC sold 250 million cups of K coffee, marking 30% growth. Our breakthrough K-Coffee Cafe model expanded from around 50 cafes in 2023 to 700 cafes in 2024. We plan to expand the model to 1,300 locations by the end of 2025. KFC and K-Coffee Cafe generate good synergies, driving incremental sales and profit. In terms of product innovation, aside from our signature fruity sparkling coffee, This winter, we launched a handshaking Americano with frozen pear. The drink features a real frozen pear, a traditional Northern Chinese delicacy, and has generated significant social buzz. Pizza Hut has made substantial progress in becoming more affordable for customers and profitable for our company. In 2024, Pizza Hut achieved the highest level of OP in RMB since our spinoff. Same-store transactions grew 5%. Restaurant margin expanded by 60 basis points on a comparable basis. Pizza Hut also opened a record of 412 net new stores, bringing the total to 3,724 stores. Pizza Hut's payback period for new stores improved from three years in 2003 to two to three years in 2024. We're transforming Pizza Hut into a more mass-market brand by widening price range and enriching the menu. Sales of pizza priced under 50 yuan increased 50% year over year. Pizza Dough Burgers, a new category we launched in April, has already reached a low single-digit percentage of our sales mix, showing good potential. As Pizza Hut expanded the addressable market, we also streamlined operations to improve efficiency. We managed to reduce our cost of labor by 110 basis points in 2024. Our breakthrough model is gradually maturing, exceeding 200 stores in 2024. Dining sales saw solid growth, while delivery sales also improved. WOW stores attract younger customers and meet functional needs, expanding Pizza Hut's addressable market. Although the ticket average is lower by design due to smaller party sizes and lower per person spending, we successfully drove transaction growth. Margins have improved since launch. We'll continue to refine the WOW model and expand to more locations in 2025. Lavazza continued to grow through a few growth engines of coffee shops and retail businesses. Store economics have meaningfully improved due to better operational efficiency and reduced new store capital expenditure. The retail segment saw sales growth of over 30% and became profitable in 2024. We've made good progress in building appreciation for Lavazza's coffee expertise and enriching food choices. such as Lavazza's signature kaffir beans, considered the first coffee on Earth, and our Michelin star chef-themed food offerings. For Little Sheep and Huang Ji Huang, our focus has been on improving their menus, refining store models, and strengthening their supply chain. Little Sheep's new conveyor belt hot pot model is designed to appeal to solo diners and younger consumers. Huang Ji Huang has demonstrated resilience delivering profits for five consecutive years ever since our acquisition. For Taco Bell, in 2024, we pruned our store portfolio to focus on key markets, Beijing and Shanghai. These efforts led to improved operating results. Let me now go through our Q4 P&L. As a reminder, Restaurant margin on a comparable basis excludes additional VAT deductions, as well as temporary relief from landlords and government agencies received in the prior year. Core OP further excludes foreign exchange impact and special items. For quarter four, system sales grew 4% year-over-year, and same-store sales index sequentially improved to 99% of prior year levels. KFC system sales increased 5% year-over-year, same-store sales index improved sequentially, reaching 99% of prior year levels, with a 3% same-store transaction growth year over year. A widened price range, reduced delivery fees, and smaller ticket items, like coffee and breakfast, successfully attracted consumers. Quarter four ticket average was 38 yuan, 4% lower than prior year levels, yet stable with quarter three, Pizza Hut system sales increased 3% year-over-year. String store sales index achieved 98% of prior year levels, improving by 4 percentage points sequentially. String store transactions grew 9% year-over-year, the highest growth quarter in 2024. The ticket average was 10% lower year-over-year, which is in line with our strategy to transform Pizza Hut into a more market brand. More importantly, Pizza Hut's profitability continued to grow. Core OP in quarter four more than tripled year over year. Our restaurant margin was 12.3%. 160 basis points higher year over year. On comparable basis, restaurant margin was 180 basis points higher year over year. We achieved savings across all cut lines. Cost of sales was 31.9%. 50 basis points lower year-over-year. Cost of sales improved through favorable commodity prices and our spending better and buying better initiatives under Project Red Eye. We continue to pass savings from these initiatives to our consumers, offering excellent value for money. Cost of labor was 28.2%. 80 basis points lower year-over-year, or 90 basis points lower on a comparable basis. improved operational efficiency more than offset wage increases for our frontline staff. Occupancy and other was 27.6%, 30 basis points lower year over year, or 40 basis points lower on a comparable basis. This came from cost optimizations such as utility savings and simplified operations. Our OP margin was 5.8%, 140 basis points higher year over year, driven by improved restaurant margin. Operating profit was $151 million, growing 35% year-over-year. Core OP also increased 35% year-over-year. Net income was $115 million, growing 17% year-over-year. As a reminder, our market-to-market equity investment had a negative impact of $9 million in quarter four, compared to an active impact of $14 million in the same period last year. We recognized $16 million lower interest income this year from a lower cash balance. Diluted EPS was 30 cents, growing 27% year-over-year, or 20% excluding market-to-market equity investment impact. For the full year, system sales grew 5%, and central sales index reached 97% of prior year levels Restaurant margin was 15.7% steady year-over-year on a comparable basis. G&A expenses were 5.0% of revenue in line with our target, and 80 basis points lower compared to 5.8% in the prior year. This was due to operational efficiency gains and lower performance-based compensation in the year, among other factors. Operating profit grew 8% to $1.2 billion Core operating profit increased 12%. Effective tax rate was 26.7%, in line with our guidance and prior year. Net income was $911 million, up 13% year-over-year. Diluted EPS was $2.33, going 22% year-over-year, or 12%, excluding market-to-market equity investment impact. let's turn to capital returns to shareholders. We're on track to return $4.5 billion to shareholders from 2024 through 2026, with a total of $3 billion allocated for 2025 and 2026. The average annual amount is equivalent to around 9% of our market cap. In 2024, we returned $1.5 billion including $248 million in quarterly cash dividends and $1.24 billion in share repurchases. Total repurchases exceeded 31 million shares, representing 8% of our total shares outstanding. We generated $740 million in free cash flow in 2024 and ended the year with $2.8 billion in net cash. With our healthy cash position and robust cash generating capabilities, we're stepping up our quarterly dividends significantly by 50%, from 16 cents to 24 cents. Assuming 24 cents per quarter, our payout ratio will be equivalent to over 40% of our diluted EPS in 2024. Additionally, our $360 million of share repurchase plan for the first half of 2025 has been executed daily. We're committed to providing attractive capital returns to shareholders. Finally, moving on to our 2025 outlook. We continue to maintain our dual focus on system sales and same-store sales growth. In terms of our footprint expansion, we're on track to reach 20,000 stores by 2026. In 2025, we expect to open between 1,600 and 1,800 net new stores. Capital expenditure in 2024 totaled $705 million. In 2025, we expect capital expenditure to be in the range of $700 million to $800 million. Turning to margins. While commodity prices remain largely favorable, we continue to expect wage inflation in 2025. With our ongoing efforts in operational efficiency, we expect G&A expenses as percentage of revenue to slightly decrease for the year. For 2025, we expect to hold core OP margins relatively stable or even slightly improve it year over year. By brand, we're committed to maintaining healthy restaurant margins for KFC and improving Pizza Hut in the mid to long run. As consumers celebrate the Chinese New Year, We're offering them delicious food, great value, and an enjoyable experience. While trading so far has met our expectations, we need to closely monitor post-holiday trading. The external environment remains dynamic. Consumers are willing to spend more during holidays, but may become more cautious afterwards. We remain hopeful that stimulus policies may positively impact consumption in the mid to long run. For quarter one, we're confident that same store transaction index will continue to be positive for the ninth consecutive quarter. And our goal is to outperform the industry. Let me pass it back to Joey for her comments on CNY and our strategy.
Thank you, Adrian. Building on Adrian's observations on Chinese New Year trading, I was delighted to see our stores bustling with customers. We offer them great food at an incredible value and exciting campaign featuring Olympic champion and popular IPs. At KFC, we brought crayfish back for the eighth consecutive year. We even combined it with our iconic beef wrap, to create a new customer favorite. Our Chinese New Year tradition is the Golden Bucket. This year, for the first time, it included a whole chicken, making it a great choice for sharing with family and friends. At Pizza Hut, we introduced festive trade-off options for our pizzas, such as Pistachio Stuffed Crust and Fortune Cat Crust . A crust in the shape of Fortune Cat In China, the pistachio symbolizes happiness, and the fortune cat represents luck and prosperity. Customers love these good wishes for starting the new year. As I reflect on our industry-leading results over the past few years, I come back to our dual focus on operational efficiency and innovation. I think it's fair to say that most view these two as trade-offs. To get one, you must compromise on the other. At Yum! China, we reject that as a forced trade-off. We need both, and both is the only outcome we will accept. Operational efficiency has been a hallmark of Yum! China from the beginning, but we have dialed up our efforts significantly in the last couple of years. Our project Fresh Eye and Red Eye initiative has given us new perspectives on our operations and transformed our organization. They have made us more efficient, agile, and competitive, from our restaurant and shared service centers to our supply chain. At the same time, We have doubled down on digitization, leveraging technology and generator AI to enhance customer experience and efficiency. The gains we have realized from these initiatives are not merely incremental. They represent structural improvements in our business capabilities that set us up for profitable growth far into the future. Innovation colors everything we do in every aspect of our business. We introduced around 600 new or upgraded menu items in 2024. Exciting new food and excellent value for money drive traffic to our stores. We innovated new store models, such as KFC's small-time mini and Pizza Hut's valve, to tap into underserved customer segments. We have found that operational efficiency and innovation feed off and reinforce one another. We have employed innovation to attack the problem of operational complexity. At KFC, our menu innovation focuses on infusing fresh energy into our flagship categories to unleash their huge potential. Original recipe chicken burger, gigantic egg tart and crispy whole chicken generated a lot of excitement. At the same time, we are simplifying operations to support these menu innovations. The same strategy applies to Pizza Hut. In December, we launched a brand new menu with delicious new products while streamlining operations. For example, The golden salty egg chicken pizza, Liu Jing Xian Da Hua Nen Ji Pizza, crafted with our existing ingredients, instantly became a popular choice. We also lowered prices on several of our iconic products while protecting margins. Our value for money communication is now more straightforward and compelling. Customers love our new menu. And in quarter four, Pizza Hut achieved the best same-store transaction growth in 2024. Before we turn to Q&A, I would like just to recap the three key takeaways from today. First, we achieved record-breaking results in 2024 from top line to bottom line. KFC remains our key growth engine and profit contributor. Pizza Hut has made significant progress, transforming in every aspect and field to me as though it has reached an inflation point. Second, our due focus on operational efficiency and continuous innovation has made our business more resilient and competitive, positioning us for long-term, sustainable growth. We remain committed to both sustainable growth and capital returns to shareholders. We are on track to return $4.5 billion to shareholders from 2024 through 2026. The average annual amount represents around 9% of our market cap. This quarter, we are stepping up dividends by 50%. With that, I will pass it back to Florence. Thanks, Joey.
Now we will open the call for questions. In order to give more people the chance to ask questions, please limit your questions to one at a time.
Operator, please start the Q&A. Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, please press star 1 and 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 and 1 again. Once again, please press star 1 and 1 and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 and 1 again. Thank you. We are now going to proceed with our first question. The questions come from the line of Michelle Chang from Goldman Sachs. Please ask your question.
Hi, Joey, Adrian. Congrats again for the very solid results. And we understand the consumption environment is still quite fluid. So I would like to take the chance to hear your observation on the competitive landscape. So we indeed hear some companies who are slowing down the expansion and even they are starting to withdraw some of the promotion activities. And we noticed that KFC actually started to raise the price early of the year. So are we seeing the competitive landscape improving? And also, we see more opportunities to further accelerate, penetrate, expanding our market share. So it will be great to hear your insights. Thank you.
Thank you, Michelle. We do see some rationalization of of marketing promotion and also a little bit of price increase including ourselves. So I think that is healthy because very modest price increase and the rationalization of the promotion, they do help to manage the cost pressure. So that is sort of the overall what we are observing. However, most importantly, I think, for us, we know what's our focus. And maybe I'll take this time to just really highlight the few things that Adrian and I would both make in our opening remarks earlier. our hardware in Pizza Hut. For a change, let me start with Pizza Hut. We have done something right because we actually used the word inflation point for this quarter because we really have seen every aspect of the business has been transformed in a very positive way. The results speak for itself. Very nice improvement of the same-door sales, 4%. And then the OP improvement is solid. And then the net new store opening is 4-1-12 this year, 2024. It's the best net new store in the last 10 years, really. And still, the break-even is two to three years. And the breakthrough of the business model, one is just to become even more mass market, which has been our goal in the last many years. with the introduction of additional product and lowering the price. And then the second breakthrough is the vial. So very nice result with very clear growth drivers. So we are at the inflation point for Pizza Hut. For KFC, it's a very big business already, but yet we still see quarter four and ongoing strong momentum and performance. in three ways. One is we continue to widen the offering in terms of price point, increasing the entry price point, but also a higher ticket average such as whole chicken. And then also the secondly is the K-coffee improvement. It's 30% growth for K-coffee alone. And that's very, very nice. And then the delivery too. Delivery is not only one quarter is 10 years, 10 year of double digit increase. And then net for both business, just to do another health check, the same flow transaction growth is nice and healthy on the eighth quarter of such. So with all these happening, we are capturing incremental business and hopefully a little bit of market share. But with that said, Michelle, it's still a very big market. And our market share, relatively speaking, is still very small, even though we are the biggest player in the market. And there's still a lot of the opportunity for us to expand the business, have more market share by going to lower tier city and going for the incremental franchisee store, et cetera, et cetera. But I'll pause here. Thank you, Michelle.
Thank you, Joey, for the explanation, and congrats again. Thank you.
We are now going to proceed with our next question. The questions come from the line of Chen Luo from Bank of America. Please ask your question.
Hi, Joey and Adrian. Congrats again on the results. So my question is focused on the new store expansion. Because I noticed that, A, we have opened more and more smaller stores, and B, we are also expanding more and more to the lower-tier cities. And number three, we are now shifting from an equity store-focused model to a hybrid model with more and more franchise stores to be open in the next few years. And what's the implication from this these changes. For example, if you look at the second half numbers of last year, so our next door opening growth was around low teens. But then if you look at the revenue contribution from new stores, it should be around 5% for Q4 and about 6% for second half. And meanwhile, our franchise stores as percentage of total net new stores increased to about 33% versus only teens in first half. So with all these things in mind, is it fair to say that the near-term algo in terms of the revenue contribution from new store opening in the coming few quarters could be just around 5% or 6% similar to second half of last year due to the from smaller stores and more and more expansion into lower tier cities as well as the franchise stores. I hope my answer is, my question is clear enough. Thank you.
Thank you, Lawson. I'll address your question of the new store and franchisee store and then Adrian probably can help elaborate a bit in terms of relationship of the store number versus the revenue contribution. So, I mean, we are pursuing dual focus on both returning a lot of capital to the shareholder and at the same time pursuing high growth. So we have addressed the capital allocation already in our opening remarks. So on the new store opening area, you can see that we just continue to be very aggressive with that because as I answered my question to Michelle earlier, there's still a lot of opportunity for us to open store both in the top tier city and lower tier city. And the strategy needs to be slightly different, but we see that opportunity. And then the lower tier city right now is a big focus because even if we observe the trading in the last year or even last quarter, Lower tier cities are still doing better, so we'll continue to do that. But it does require a different model, for example, lower investment, smaller menu, simpler operation. But net-net, the criteria is we still want a two-year payback for the stores across all city tier for KFC and two to three year for Pizza Hut. As long as we can achieve that, we'll continue our journey to open more stores in top tier cities and lower tier cities. When it comes to the relationship between company-owned store and franchisee store, you know, despite our accelerated franchisee store opening in the last year and particularly last quarter, the company-owned store still contributes to the vast majority, actually specifically 85% of our entire portfolio. So it's going to take a while for the franchisee store to catch up even though we are catching up. So for the company-owned store, it does have very nice store economics. However, why are we accelerating the franchisee store? Because they're incremental. They're incremental in two areas. One is strategic location, such as highway service center, college campus, hospitals. et cetera, et cetera. And secondly, they are in the lower tier city and remote areas as well. So both are incremental. And operationally, we can do it. Our team can do it. And operationally, we have the appropriate store model, such as KFC small-time mini for KFC. And then right now, the is very promising for the lower tier city as well. So therefore, we are doing more. So it's a natural development of our company's capabilities. And then I'll pause here and let Adrian answer the relationship between the revenue and the store.
Thank you. Thank you, Joey. So Luocheng, you are exactly right that the size of the stores become smaller and smaller. And it's worth noting that even for the larger stores, in the first year of their opening, the revenue tend to be smaller. Overall, our new store that's opened this year enjoy a 50% to 60% of revenue compared to the mature stores. So that's the first point. The second point is the store week also play a role here. So if keeping all else equal, the net new store growth rate the same, the time at which we open the stores within a quarter will play a role in the system sales growth. So I think that these two points combined will address your question on the mathematical relationship there. And lastly, I think you asked the question over the next few quarters, what is our system sales growth guidance? I think if overall macro situation is stable, as it is right now, we would, as you pointed out, enjoy a mid-single digital growth of system sales this year in 2025. Obviously, new SOAR only play a portion of the role here. It's important to know that SSG is also important in deciding what is the ultimate system sales growth. So these two combined will contribute to the final figure of system sales growth. But at this point in time, we do expect a missing no-digit growth for this year, 2025. Thank you, Luo Chen.
Thank you. That's very clear. Congrats again, and also happy 20th year. Thank you.
We are now going to proceed with our next question. The questions come from the line of Anne Ling from Jefferies. Please ask your question.
Hello, thank you very much for taking my question. Just one question regarding the TA. So I understand that the same social health growth, the decline actually narrowed. If we take a look at the breakdown, TA is still negative, but however, we have a very strong TC to offset this. So my question is like, you know, when do you think that, you know, this TA will start to turn positive or, yeah, so I think that's the key question that I have, especially for KFC.
Thanks. Thank you. Thank you, Anne. So our TA trend is basically consistent with our intended strategy to drive traffic. And, you know, as you point out, we continue to drive same-store transaction growth is the eight concept quarter, and that allow us to grow our business in underserved market segment, which is working. And at the same time, it's important to note that while we are doing that, we are able, at the same time, protect the margin, as it show in the quarter four margin. restaurant margin or OP margin both actually improve because our TA strategy is also aligned with our dual focus on operational efficiency and innovation. And then answering your question about our plan going forward, well, in the long term, longer term, we take a balanced approach to maintain a steady TA. For example, our quarter four TA, which is KFC, would be 38 RMB. It's still higher than the TA pre-pandemic. In the short term, our goal of the TA is to remain relatively stable. Our quarter four TA, 38 yuan again, is stable versus quarter three. Our focus is on value. also widening the price range, and also to drive the traffic. And it's working. And we don't have any material plan to change our approach, even after the modest price increase back to December 2024. And for Pizza Hut, our strategy is to continue to drive the TA down, to make it more mass market while improving the sales and the profit. Thank you, Anne. Thank you.
We are now going to proceed with our next question. The questions come from the line of Lillian Liu from Morgan Stanley. Please ask your question.
Thanks a lot. Hi, Joey and Adrian. Congrats again. My question is more on margin. Obviously, I think fourth quarter is another evidence of a very strong execution efficiency and all around the operation management. And in particular, I think the payroll and the labor cost savings was quite significant. So trying to understand going forward in 2025 with all the cost projects and initiatives continuing, What are light items in particular are we seeing more chance for savings further? And what kind of overall margin improvement trend we can expect for 2025? Thanks.
Thank you, Lillian. So let me try to address this question. Firstly, sales is an important factor to determine the margin for 2025. And I'll actually first state the conclusion first on the overall margin trend and then break it down for the different drivers. As to the conclusion, as I mentioned in the prepared remark, we look to keep the core OP margin for the full year relatively stable or even slightly improve it year over year. And by brand, we're committed to maintaining a healthy restaurant margin for KFC and improving Pizza Hut's restaurant margin in the mid to long run. And then now I'll break it down into different drivers. Firstly, I'll discuss about COS. So we continue to invest in value for money to drive incremental traffic. And commodity price remains favorable, as I mentioned in a prepared remark, in the near term. And we continue to seek improvement through Project Red Eye initiatives, redesigning our product approach to optimize ingredient use. In terms of our long-term guidance, we still aim to keep our COS at 31% plus and minus 1% But for the year of 2025, this ratio is likely to fall in the upper half of our guided range with some slight improvement year over year from 2024. So COS as a percentage of sales will slightly improve year over year, but it will fall in the upper half of our guided range. So that's on COS. In terms of COL, we will face some headwinds. So we are facing ongoing cost pressure from wage inflation, which over the years tend to be low single-digit, too many single-digit. And the increase in our rider cost is also a challenge because the delivery mix will increase. But to clarify, the rider cost per ticket will go down, as we previously discussed about. But the increase in delivery mix will make the rider cost as a percentage of our sales increase. We continue to make every effort to drive operational efficiency to partially offset those cost pressures on COL. But overall, we do expect to face some headwind on COL as a percentage of sales. And then thirdly, coming to O&O, we do see much improvement from O&O from the past few years. If you compare it to 2024 from 2019 before the COVID times, there was a significant improvement in rental. Back then, the rental was around 10% of sales. Now, as you know, it's 9%, although we don't disclose the exact figure. Depreciation also meaningfully improved as a result of capital expenditure improvement. And also, we see a higher return on investment on advertising expenses. So advertising and MP expense have been improving over the past five years. And then speaking of 2025, we will continue to look for opportunities to generate some savings in 010. But the 010 cost as a percentage of revenue is likely to be stable year over year from 2024 to 2025. The opportunities that I mentioned include the AMP opportunities, particularly for Pizza Hut, because the AMP expression of sales for Pizza Hut is still slightly higher than KFC. So we do see some opportunities there. But for some other line items within the ONO, we also feel some pressure. So overall, for occupancy and other costs, it's likely to be stable. And lastly, coming to G&A. As I mentioned in the prepared remark, we target the three-year GAA extent of presenter sales to slightly decrease, but we do expect some quarterly fluctuations. So that hopefully gives you some more color on our margin. And in a nutshell, the conclusion is the QOP margin will remain relatively stable or slightly improve year over year. Thank you, Lillian.
Thank you, Adrian. Maybe I'll take one short comment regarding the cost of labor. In terms of approach, specifically what exactly have we been doing? Mainly focusing on a few things. Simplification, automation, centralization, digitization. So all these activities in the stores are going through this field approach to improve the efficiency of DOL. So exactly what are we doing? For example, Generate AI, we've been using Generate AI to screen millions of resumes, and then also forecasting, et cetera, and that certainly helps save the labor cost. And we're also outsourcing some activities in the stores to the central kitchen. And, you know, not only save the COL, also, you know, change the profile of the staff number in the store, which we're going to share more in an annual report later on. So specifically, that's what we have been doing, and it's been ongoing and particularly focused since Project Fresh Eye last year as well. But it will be ongoing. Thank you, Lillian.
Thanks a lot, Joey and Adrian. That's very detailed and very helpful. Thank you again.
Thank you.
We are now going to proceed with our next question. The questions come from the line of Christine Peng from UBS. Please ask your question.
Thank you, management, for the opportunity to raise the question. So I have a very quick question regarding Pizza Hut Wall. I think Adrian probably mentioned earlier that Pizza Hut Wall, the capital return is actually pretty good compared with the traditional Pizza Hut store. But I just want to get more clarity in terms of the store economics. such as unit revenue margin, et cetera, so that we can, you know, better understand the potential of this new format going forward. Thank you. Okay.
Yeah. So, thank you, Christine. Indeed, as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, piece of how well we do observe some pretty encouraging progress But I need to caution that, you know, it's a new model that's only like a seven month old. It takes time for any new model to become mature. And the right word we are using, we were using the preferred remark was the model is maturing. It's in the process of maturing. So we do observe some early signs of significant outperformance on the die-in part of the sales. And then on delivery part of sales, it's, you know, improving since the first piece of how wow model opened in May. But still there's a slight gap versus the regular Pizza Hut model in terms of delivery sales. And in terms of margin, as it's always our philosophy, the transaction comes first and then sales and then margin. So margin, we're still in the process of fixing the margin. Currently, in terms of the 200 wild stores, the COS and COL for many of those stores become broadly on par versus the regular Pizza Hut model as percentage sales. But the overall margin, there is still a slight gap versus the main model. So we are still in the process of fixing those. So for the year, for 2025, the focus here on WOW model is really to, firstly, further improve the delivery sales, and secondly, to fix the margins. Obviously, over the past several months, over the 200 WOW stores, a vast majority, or almost all of those stores, are flipping from the regular Pizza Hut models. We only opened the first new Pizza Hut wow store in December. This year, we'll test opening new Pizza Hut wow stores. Especially, we do see some good potential in lower tier cities and in highly competitive trade zones, where consumers do seek value for money. So it's a new model, again, and then it takes time for the model to mature. But we do have high hopes and excitement on this model. Thank you, Christine.
Thank you, Adrian. We are now going to proceed with our next question. The questions come from the line of Ethan Wong from CLSA. Please ask your question.
Thank you. Good evening, Julia, Adrian, Happy Spring Festival. Just a follow-up question, Adrian's previous comment on the headwind on labor costs. So Adrian mentioned the labor cost per ticket for delivery is going down, but because delivery as percent of total sales going up, so that may lead to some headwinds. Just want to understand more on that point, because actually delivery sales as percent of total revenue has been going up last year. but we are able to achieve lower labor costs per school. That's quite impressive. So why that is not the case going into 2025? So just want to understand it. Thank you.
Thank you, Ethan. So just to offer some more color here. You are right in pointing out that the 2024, we successfully managed to improve the operational efficiency significantly to offset the impact of delivery sales mix increase on the COL. So as a natural consequence, that will be a high base for us. That will be a tough lapping for us. As you know, the Project Fresh I actually kicked off in late 2023. So the full year, there was an impact on 2024. And the COL is one of the key areas of Project Fresh I. you know, in terms of efficiency enhancement and productivity improvement. So with this tough lapping and tough base, for 2025, I just give some, you know, pretty transparent guidance on how the COL as President Seals may evolve. First, I'll break down into two parts, just offer some more color. The first part is the non-rider part, right? The non-rider part, obviously, we do face a low to mid single-digit wage inflation, but we will make every effort to try to further enhance our operational efficiency to hopefully offset that wage inflation. So we do look the non-rider part of COL to be broadly stable as percentage of sales for the full year 2025. And then the second part is obviously the delivery part. In terms of the delivery cost per ticket, it will be lower year over year, from 2024 to 2025. There are lots of efficiency measures there. Notably, the platform riders, which is one of the key initiatives, improve the cost. And at the same time, the quality of the service is still improving. As we mentioned in one of our previous earnings release, KFC currently already enjoyed around half of the stores with the platform riders doing the delivery. And Pizza Hut is having a lower percentage. And obviously, there is room to improve on both this penetration for platform riders and our stores. So that's some of the drivers to drive down the particular cost on delivery. But the increase in delivery mix as a percent of sales is probably more than the savings we can generate from there. So all in all, the delivery part of the COL percent of sales may likely slightly increase year-over-year. So overall, if you add these two together, one is probably stable, the other one is slightly increased, we do face some headwind there on COL. But as I mentioned, we do have some other margin initiatives, for instance, COS. Hopefully, it will be slightly better year-over-year for both the brands and for Yum China. And O&O will be probably stable. All in all, as a result, the restaurant margin for KFC, we hope to maintain the healthy level restaurant margin year over year. For Pizza Hut, we look to improve it over the mid to long run and hopefully slightly improve it for this year as well. And for Yum China as a whole for 2025, the core OP margin, we expect that to be stable or slightly increase year over year. Ethan, thank you.
Got it. Thank you, Adrian. And congratulations ending the year on a strong note, especially with margin. Thank you. Thank you.
We are now going to proceed with the last question. And the questions come from from CICC. Please ask your question.
Thank you for the chance for the last question. Thank you, Julia and Adrian. Happy Chinese New Year. And I have one question. So our pricing strategy is very clear both for KFC and Pizza Hut. So just want to further evaluate our actions. So for Pizza Hut, it has been going through promotion activities from December last year to February this year. So how does this affect theme store sales and margin? And also we see that the TA for Pizza Hut has already reached 78 in Q4. So do we think this level has already reached our expectation or if they'll have some room to trade down in the future? Thank you.
Thank you, Sujie. For Pizza Hut, our goal actually will continue to drive down the TA for the Pizza Hut model. It's very impressive the brand team has done to move it to 78. But we see room to go down slightly further, but above KFC, obviously, and also above Pizza Hut Valve. Then I think we'll be happy. In terms of the pizza pricing and promotion, let's take the new menu that we just launched. We launched 40 new products in the December 2024 new menu. And then we lower the list price of about 30 iconic products for the Pizza Hub model, starting from 9.9 yen for the drinks and desserts. So it's very attractive. And then in the price reduction, some items, very iconic, for example, the escargot. We have the price. However, here's the little very important point. we kept the margin neutral through the innovation. So we are very happy that we found ways to deliver our iconic product with much value for money for the customer and also protect the margin. And the communication become very straightforward as well. No need to go through the very sophisticated promotional We just go straight to the very attractive menu price, and we still protect the margin. So that's what we have been doing, and customers resonate very well with that. And thus, we have observed very nice transaction growth. So we'll continue to do that. So I'm glad that our team took a very bold move with that 30 iconic product price reduction. and still protect the margin. So we'll continue to find new ways to serve our customer even better going forward. Thank you.
Thank you, Joey, and congrats again. Thank you. Thank you. Thanks, Joey. Thanks, Adrian. Thank you, everyone, for joining the call today. For further questions, please reach out through the contact information in our earnings release and on our website. Thank you.
Thank you all. Thank you.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect your lines. Thank you.