8/7/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Zimmer Biomet Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. If anyone needs assistance at any time during the conference, please press the star followed by the zero. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded today, August 7, 2025. Following today's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. If you have a question, please press the star followed by the one on your push-button phone. I would now like to turn the conference over to David DiMartino, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

speaker
David DiMartino
Senior Vice President, Investor Relations

Thank you, Operator, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Zimmerblatt Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. Joining me on today's call are Don Tornos, our Chairman, President, and CEO of and Sukhya Patia, our CFO in EVP Finance, Operations, and Supply Chain. Before we get started, I'd like to remind you that our comments during this call will include forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by the forward-looking statements due to a variety of risks and uncertainties. For a detailed discussion of all these risks and uncertainties, in addition to the inherent limitations of such forward-looking statements, please refer to RICC filings. Please note, we assume no obligation to update these forward-looking statements even if actual results or future expectations change materially. Additionally, the discussions on this call will include certain non-GAAP financial measures, some of which are forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliation on these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and an explanation of our basis for calculating these measures is included within our second quarter earnings release, which can be found on our website, ZimmerBiomet.com. With that, I'll turn the call over to Yvonne. Yvonne?

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining today's call. I would like to start today the way that I always do, by sharing my gratitude to the more than 17,000 Zimmer Biomed team members who move our business and mission forward each and every day. Thank you for your tireless work. Thank you for your strong performance. And yes, most importantly, thank you for your relentless commitment to serving our customers and their patients. I firmly believe that the Zimmer Biomed workforce and our culture here are amongst our key competitive advantages. Through my prepared remarks this morning, I'm gonna cover three key areas. First, I'll summarize the second quarter of 2025 performance, as well as providing the general update behind our positive adjustments to our yearly guidance. Secondly, I'm gonna cover the three key strategic priorities for Zimmer Biomed, providing some examples of our progress. As a reminder, those three priorities are people and culture, operational excellence, and innovation and diversification. And then thirdly, I provide some quantitative data points that will validate our confidence behind our new product introduction performance, which is one of the main reasons of why we feel so confident on the second half of 2025 growth acceleration. Starting with the quarter, we delivered a very solid quarter on both the top and bottom line. This was against the backdrop of an 80 basis point seven day headwind, in the quarter with the strongest comps for the year versus 2024, and with the announced significant delay in international orders, which have now moved into the third quarter. In spite of all of the above, we did grow in the quarter sales by 2.8% on an organic constant currency basis. For the second consecutive quarter, our U.S. HIB's business drove strong results. We grew 5.2% over the prior year, accelerating from 3.7% growth in the first quarter of 2025. Also, U.S. needs increased sequentially by 150 basis points, growing 1.7% over the prior year period. And SET, one of our most exciting businesses, reported another solid mid-single digit organic constant currency growth quarter, which is now the 17th in a row, at nearly 5% growth. Within SET, SET, we deliver double digit growth in sports medicine and CMFT, cranial maxillofacial thoracic, while delivering high single digit growth in upper extremities within the quarter. This was driven by our differentiated product portfolio and our solid ASC execution. For 2025, we're updating our full-year organic constant currency revenue growth expectations to a range of 3.5 to 4.5 from our previous 3 to 5% range, excluding the contribution of Paragon 28. We continue to expect Paragon 28 to contribute 270 basis points to our sales growth projection in 2025. We're also raising our 2025 adjusted earnings per share guidance to $8.10 to $8.30 from the previous range of $7.90 to $8.10. This range of guidance contemplates four things. Firstly, our continued confidence in a second half 2025 sales acceleration driven by our new product cycle. Secondly, increased operational efficiency. Third, a lower impact from tariffs than initially anticipated. And fourth, the weakening of the U.S. dollars, FX benefits. So he's going to provide more detail on guidance during his prepared remarks. Our confidence in delivering this forecast is very high, and with July not behind, we're even more confident in the acceleration of growth relative to the new products that we're launching, in particular in the U.S., where we saw the strongest month so far in the year 2025, that being the month of July. While we are pleased with our solid financial performance, What I'm most proud of this quarter is the strategic and operational progress we're making towards our long-term ambitions. We continue to transform Zimmer-Bauman at a very rapid pace as we execute on our key priorities from a strategic standpoint. Those three priorities, once again, are people and culture, operational excellence, and innovation and diversification. Let me share several recent and very exciting updates on these three priorities. And I'll start with innovation and diversification and our framework to conduct discipline M&A in order to move into higher growth spaces. On July 14th, we announced a definitive agreement to acquire Monogram Technologies, which is the company behind MBOS, the robot with semi and fully autonomous AI-driven robotic capabilities. Recently, Monogram's robot became the first robot in the world to complete a fully autonomous surgery using Monogram's implants. This is very exciting and disruptive technology, which is highly complementary to the technology suite of solutions that we have here at Zimmer Biomed. As a complement to a broad suite of robotic and navigation solutions, Monogram's first-to-the-world technology has the potential to change the standard of care and transform the future of orthopedic surgery solving some of the most meaningful challenges in musculoskeletal health, those being efficiency, accuracy, and reproducibility. This plan acquisition of Monogram and our commitment to ROSA and its robust pipeline underscores Zimmer Biomed's unprecedented strategy of enabling today while boldly defining the future of orthopedic surgery. We have maintained our desire to diversify into higher growth segments to discipline M&A And the monogram acquisition meets all the stringent financial and strategic criteria. The acquisition is expected to be neutral to adjusted earnings per share from 2025 through 2027 and accreted thereafter. It will contribute to revenue growth beginning in 2027 and will generate high single digit ROIC, return on invested capital, by year five, with increasing contribution starting in year six. The acquisition of Paragon 28 earlier this year is another way we're leveraging M&A to diversify our company into higher growth segments. We completed the acquisition on April 21st, and the integration so far is proceeding as planned. We recently transitioned Zimmer Biomed's full and anchor portfolio to Paragon 28 sales team, creating more scale and leveraging the strong commercial channel and capabilities that Paragon 28 is known for. I love the contribution that Paragon 28 is making, and I look forward to our ongoing journey together. Now, turning to our second priority, operational excellence, this is a strategic pillar that encompasses efforts on both the top and bottom line. As we work to strengthen our commercial execution in the U.S. to drive consistent above-market growth, improve margins for similar partners globally, and reduce inventory for the organization in order to improve free cash flow generation. I'm proud of the work that the team has done in 2025 so far to drive EPS growth. Their work has now enabled Zimmer Biomet to be able to grow earnings in the year 2025 versus 2024 in spite of executing two significant M&A deals, investing in large commercial initiatives, launching new products, driving the boldest DTP campaign, and absorbing the tariff impact. Of course, none of this progress will be possible without our team. Our third priority is dedicated to people and culture, ensuring we have the right people in the right roles. We recently welcomed Kevin Thornell as our Group President for Global Businesses and the Americas. Kevin is a very dynamic and seasoned leader who brings a wealth of knowledge and experience in driving growth and commercial excellence within medical devices, including orthopedics. I look forward to Kevin's leadership and contributions as we continue to accelerate growth and transform Zimmer Biomed into the boldest, most customer-centric company in MedTech. The progress that we're making in each of these three strategic priorities is real and reinforces my conviction in both our planned second half acceleration as well as the long-term opportunity that Zimmer Biomed has ahead. We believe that the early customer enthusiasm and adoption that we've seen behind our magnificent seven product cycle will continue to fuel our growth in the back half of 2025 and beyond. And again, one month into Q3, we've seen that come into realization. Here are a few recent trends that are inspiring our confidence in the second half acceleration and solid growth over the long range plan. In US HIPs, we continue to drive robust adoption or for Z1 triple tapered stem for direct anterior hip procedures, with now roughly 50% of Z1 users converting to Zima Biomed from competitive offerings. We believe the combination of Z1, Hemer, or surgical impactor at OrthoGrid, or AI-driven surgical guidance system for total hip replacement, is going to continue to drive a strong growth through the second half of 2025 and beyond. In U.S. knees, our persona osteotide cementless total knee penetration continues to move in the right direction. In addition, we are seeing very strong early adoption of our Oxford partial cementless knee. Nearly 50% of surgeons trained on Oxford through the second quarter of this year have adopted their implant, our implant, in the practice, with 10% of them being competitive conversions. We have planned countless new training programs for the rest of 2025 and going into 2026. In Europe, the Persona Revision new launch continues to gain traction with more than 100 accounts implanting the system across the key countries of Western Europe. We expect Persona Revision adoption to accelerate meaningfully throughout the end of 2025 with plenty of additional training events scheduled throughout the rest of the year and a very solid supply platform across the continent. Lastly, in SET or embodied line of collagen-based biointegrative solutions continues to exceed expectations. When new launches are driving share gains in shoulder arthroplasty. More than one third of surgeons implanting or identity total shoulder were using competitive systems two years ago, while 40% of osteophytes stemless shoulder users are near the Zim environment. These products underscore our confidence in at least mid single digit SEP growth going forward. Our team is all in and committed to executing with urgency and excellence for the rest of 2025. And again, our confidence in the second half revenue growth expectation for the year is very high. In conclusion, We are very proud of the progress in our organization, and we look forward to continuing to execute and build momentum as we move through the second half of this year, 2025. I have more conviction in our strategy and team than ever, and I am deeply inspired every day knowing that my teammates and I are living the Zimmerbaum and mission of alleviating pain and improving the quality of life for people around the world. And with that, I will turn the call over to Suki. Thank you.

speaker
Sukhya "Suki" Patia
Executive Vice President, Finance, Operations & Supply Chain and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks and good morning, everyone. As Yvonne mentioned, we delivered another solid quarter that demonstrated the early impact of our new product cycle. We grew sales 2.8% on an organic constant currency basis, despite an 80 basis point selling day headwind. In addition, we delivered adjusted earnings per share of $2.07, which was up 3% year over year, despite dilution from the Paragon 28 transaction and continued investments into our commercial organizations. As we get into the details of the results, unless otherwise noted, my statements will be about the second quarter of 2025 and how it compares to the same period in 2024. And my commentary will be on a constant currency and adjusted operating basis. 2025 organic constant currency commentary and guidance excludes any impact from the recently closed Paragon 28 acquisition. Net sales were $2.77 billion, an increase of 7% on a reported basis and 2.8%, excluding the impact of foreign currency and the Paragon 28 acquisition. Consolidated pricing was 20 basis points positive, marking another consecutive quarter of positive pricing. Our U.S. business grew 2.3% on an organic basis, driven by over 5% growth in HIPs, and 150 basis points sequential acceleration in needs to 1.7%. As Yvonne mentioned, this performance reflects contribution from and early customer enthusiasm for several new product launches across our business. Internationally, we grew organic revenue 3.4%. Global hips grew 4%, with the U.S. increasing 5.2% and international increasing 2.7%. The U.S. performance was driven by our Z1 triple taper hip stem, which continues to exceed our expectations. Z1, in combination with Hammer and OrthoGrid, is driving share of wallet and competitive conversions. Global needs grew 1.8% in the quarter, with the U.S. growing 1.7% and international growing 1.8%. This quarter's U.S. results reflect increasing penetration of our Posana osteotized cementless total knee and early adoption of our Oxford partial cementless knee. While room for improvement remains, we continue to invest in high growth segments such as ASCs and robotics to increase our penetration. The early adoption of our new product launches, coupled with ongoing commercial investments, reinforce confidence in a second half acceleration. Next, our SET segment grew by 4.9% on an organic basis, led by double digit growth in CMFT and sports medicine, and a high single-digit growth in upper extremities. This marks the seventh consecutive quarter of at least mid-single-digit growth in SET, a trend we expect to continue as planned product launches accelerate. As a reminder, with the closing of the Paragon 28 acquisition, SET is now our second-largest business. Finally, technology and data, bone cement, and surgical declined 2.2%, due to difficult comps from the prior year and a mixed shift towards ROSA volume-based placements versus outright sales. Turning to our P&L, we reported gap-diluted earnings per share of $0.77 compared to gap-diluted earnings per share of $1.18 in the prior year. Higher revenue and lower year-over-year restructuring charges were more than offset by acquisition-related charges and interest expense due to the Paragon 28 transaction. On an adjusted basis, we delivered diluted earnings per share of $2.07 compared to $2.01 in the prior year. This increase was driven by higher revenue and a lower share count, partially offset by a step-up in SG&A and interest expense tied to the Paradon 28 transaction. Adjusted gross margin was 72.3%, higher than the second quarter of 2024, largely due to favorable mix and lower E&O, which more than offset higher manufacturing costs. Adjusted operating margin was 27.8%, lower than the prior year as a result of increased commercial investments and the addition of Paragon 28, but in line with expectations. Adjusted net interest in non-operating expenses were $75 million, above the prior year driven by higher debt related to the Paragon 28 transaction and higher interest rates on refinance debt that matured in 2024. Our adjusted tax rate was 18.2% and fully diluted shares outstanding were at 198.3 million, down year over year due to the share repurchases from last year and in the first quarter of 2025. Now turning to cash and liquidity. We had another strong quarter of cash generation with operating cash flows of 378 million and free cash flow of 248 million, in line with 2024 levels despite closing the Paragon 28 transaction in the quarter. Our working capital initiatives, including inventory reductions, continue to pay off as we've reduced days on hands by almost 20 days compared to the second quarter of 2024. We ended the quarter with approximately $557 million of cash and cash equivalents. Now regarding our outlook for 2025, we are updating our guidance based on a number of factors and now expect 2025 reported revenue growth of 6.7% to 7.7% adjusted EPS of $8.10 to $8.30, and free cash flow of $1 billion to $1.2 billion. We are also narrowing our 2025 organic constant currency revenue growth guidance to 3.5% to 4.5% from our prior range of 3% to 5%. Inside of this, we continue to expect average selling prices to be roughly flat for the full year and selling day differences to be a modest headwind to growth. Importantly, as Yvonne mentioned, we remain confident in our expected second half growth acceleration driven by no selling day headwind in the second half of 2025, more favorable comps resulting from the ERP implementation challenges in the second half of 2024, acceleration from new product launches, particularly our Magnificent 7 across all of our business and geographies, and the timing of orders in EMEA. Now let's walk through the moving parts that impact our reported revenue guidance. At recent rates, FX is now expected to be a more meaningful tailwind to our full-year outlook than previously anticipated. At current rates, we now anticipate FX to contribute 50 basis points of growth in 2025. Second, on Paragon 28, we continue to anticipate the acquisition to contribute about 270 basis points of growth in 2025. With our successful efforts to mitigate our exposure to global tariffs and the assumption of China-related tariffs remaining at current levels, we are lowering our expected tariff impact for 2025. While the situation remains fluid, we now anticipate about a $40 million headwind to operating profit in 2025, principally in the second half, which is down from the $60 to $80 million we estimated during the first quarter earnings call. While we're not providing 2026 guidance at this time, based on current assumptions, We believe the improvements in 2025 will carry forward into 2026 and beyond. We now anticipate full-year adjusted operating margin to be down about 100 basis points from 2024 versus our prior guidance of 100 to 150 basis points of a decline. We still expect fourth quarter adjusted operating margin will be the highest for the year. Adjusted net interest and other non-operating expenses are now expected to be approximately $290 million down from $305 million primarily due to lower borrowings. We continue to expect our adjusted tax rate to be approximately 18% for the full year and fully diluted shares outstanding to be approximately 200 million. As mentioned, we project the 2025 tariff headwind to be more than offset by a combination of the weakening U.S. dollar and a corresponding FX tailwind, supply chain mitigation efforts, proactive actions we're taking to decrease discretionary spending, and advancing other operational strategies. Given these dynamics and factoring in the dilution from the Paragon 28 acquisition, which is in line with our original expectations, we now expect our 2025 fully diluted adjusted earnings per share to be $8.10 to $8.30, up from our previous guidance of $7.90 to $8.10. I'd like to close by thanking the entire ZB team for their hard work and dedication. We continue to make meaningful, positive change across the business while investing to accelerate long-term growth. With that, I'll turn the call back over to David.

speaker
David DiMartino
Senior Vice President, Investor Relations

Thank you, Suki. Operator, let's open up for questions. In order for us to take as many questions as possible, please limit yourself to one question. Operator, please go ahead.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you, David. We'll take our first question from Robbie Marcus with J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Robbie Marcus
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Oh, great. Great. Good morning, and thank you for taking the questions. Two for me, both outlook related. Maybe on the first, as you think about the updated organic sales growth guide narrowed at the midpoint, how do we think about the drivers of the improvement and the cadence of improvement? It implies an acceleration in the second half. You have an easy comp. versus second half last year. How do we think about the drivers, the level of confidence and visibility, and how to think maybe about 3Q versus 4Q?

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, absolutely. Good morning, Robbie. So I'll start with the latter part of your question. Level of confidence is very high, and it's very high given a variety of factors. Let's talk about the basic math, and then I'll get into some details around new products. But basic math, As you recall, in the second half of 2025, we don't have the day rate headwind that we did have in the first half of 2025, and that's about 100 basis points right there. Secondly, and you're acutely aware of this, we do benefit from the ERP comparable from a year ago, second half of 2024. We went through the ERP debacle, and that's roughly another 100 basis points right there. The day rate and ERP already got 200 basis points of favorability right there. Strong July, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, actually the strongest month so far in the year 2025, where the U.S. actually grew upper single-digit in the month of July with mid-single-digit performance in the Americas in this ahead. So those are the basic data points that gives us confidence. As you get into new products, we said from the very beginning of the year that you will see a ramp-up. That's given the investments done early in the year. That has to do with the timing of the actual new product launches. You've seen already in the U.S. that sequentially we're growing NEIS, about 150 basis points from Q2 to Q1. NEIS continues to be a strong performance, so that definitely helps out. And then lastly, the third and final thing I'll say that gives us confidence is the emerging markets distributor purchase. We mentioned this in Q1. The value of that order, which we'll be recognizing here in the next days, is around 50 to 60 basis points for the company in the quarter that shifted from Q2 on to Q3, and roughly around 110 basis points for the international segment of our business. So, again, through the combination of these mathematical data points, the new product performance, the visibility to your point that we're having, we're extremely confident on the second half acceleration. Relative to Q3 to Q4, while we typically don't like to give quality guidance, I'll tell you, I'd be very surprised if Q3 is not a number scratching 6%, and then given comes in Q4 of 24, the number for Q4 of 25 should be slightly lower. Thank you.

speaker
Robbie Marcus
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Great. Very helpful, Avant. Oh, can I ask a question? Oh, it's one question. My apologies. I'll get back to you. Go ahead, Robbie. Okay.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We'll move to our next question from David Roman with Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open.

speaker
David Roman
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you. Good morning. I appreciate your taking the question. Can I just go into a little more detail on what you're observing here with respect to end market trends? I think when you add up The totality of companies having reported earnings through Q2, it does look like orthopedic markets have slowed a little bit. Your commentary around July is obviously encouraging for Zimmer, but maybe you could contextualize results here and what you're seeing in broader market trends both through the quarter and what you're observing early here in Q3. Okay.

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, David. Look, I've learned over the last seven years to don't drive or make any assumptions on market health based on one quarter or even two quarters. We believe that when you look at the overall market, it still is very healthy, certainly higher than pre-COVID levels, definitely not benefiting from the post-COVID market volumes, but certainly higher than pre-COVID levels. As my peers commented, June was somewhat short. but May and April were very strong, or strong, and then July has been very, very strong for us. Part of that comes relative to ERP. The other part is that we're seeing a high volume of cases coming into the hospitals. Pricing continues to be very favorable, 20 basis points positive for us in the quarter. The volumes going to the ASC are very strong. We do see a double-deepening effect, cases going into inpatient, outpatient, HOPD, and ASCs. We continue to monitor waiting lists. Those are not slowing down. So large centers across the Northeast in the Midwest are reporting a four to six-month waiting list. So that is encouraging. And then outside of the United States, there is obviously a lot of seasonality, timing, variability. But again, July started very strongly. So net-net, we believe that these markets continue to grow at least 4%. And there is nothing that we've seen in the horizon that tells us that orthopedics as a market is slowing down. Thanks, David.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We'll move to our next question from Jason Wittes with Roth Capital. Your line is now open.

speaker
Jason Wittes
Analyst, Roth Capital

Hi, thanks for taking the question. I want to ask about Monogram. Specifically, I know Mako and Striker get a lot of credit for first mover, but a lot of that had to do with their intellectual property and sort of how it placed limitations on a lot of the competition. If you look at Monogram, which, you know, obviously you guys are believers in, given the acquisition, do you think it gives you a pretty strong position to maintain both in terms of their cutting and and their AI applications. And related to that, I think there's an ultimate goal there to really reduce the time and reproducibility of these procedures. Are you anticipating that's gonna happen as well with that platform?

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Hey, thanks for the question, Jason. So first things first, Striker and Mako should get a lot of credit for being visionaries 10 years ago. and changing how orthopedics get done. So I'll start with that credit their way. We believe that at a moment right now we can have similar, if not greater, impact by changing the standard of care, launching first-to-the-world technology that is going to leap us forward into semi-autonomous and fully autonomous. And maybe I'll touch briefly on what an autonomous robot does, and then I can talk about the differentiating features of mBoss, the monogram platform. So a fully autonomous robot is going to give you precision without the human deviation, the variability, of having a surgeon controlling most of the work. So that is breaking the level of precision. Number two, the automation or autonomy of an emboss or a fully autonomous robot will reduce cognitive loads and surgeon fatigue. So basically this improves well-being and enables that surgeon to engage in a higher level of decision-making. And this is some feedback that we have to do diligence that will be highly disruptive. These are very, very busy surgeons that are looking for efficiency and they're looking to use their operating time to think at a level, at a higher level. And then lastly, scalability. This is gonna be a robot fully autonomous that is gonna be fully integrated in a seamless way with the rest of the CVH ecosystem. So what you do and plan before surgery goes right into the autonomy of the robot and dictates what happens after. And now you're not connecting different parts and pieces of the ecosystem. It's happened seamlessly. So that's the benefit of having an autonomous robot. We're acutely aware that maybe not everybody will want to have a fully autonomous robot. That's why we insist on having flexibility and optionality, and our ecosystem of solutions, including ROSA, will have different approaches to meet different customers where they're at. Relative to the features of mBoss and Jason, you know the technology very well. It has a very dynamic robotic arm with seven different degrees of freedom. What that basically means is that you're going to be able to avoid cutting the patella, which is something that current offerings have some issues with at times. Secondly, it does have a robotic control saw that prevents burring and enables reaming. It is city-based for both planning and intra-hub navigation. It does have components of AI and machine learning that truly personalizes the entire case, how you plan for it, how you execute the planning. I love the fact that it's market-less tracking, so you don't need all the complex markers in the actual case. And then lastly, and very, very powerful, it is capable of engaging in fully remote surgeries. So that in itself we think is disruptive. So again, excited about where we are in the journey. It's a major leap forward. We are excited. We're ready to execute on the launch in early 2027 for at least a semi-autonomous version. We're hiring a ton of people as we speak and doing a bunch of clinical work. So very excited.

speaker
Jason Wittes
Analyst, Roth Capital

Thanks for the detail. I'll jump back in queue.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thanks, Jason. We'll take our next question from Larry Beagleson with Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.

speaker
Larry Beagleson
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. Yvonne, on a recent podcast, you made some interesting comments. You said we need to diversify ZBH, and we're rethinking our capital allocation strategy. You also said Zimmer's been too focused on the short-term and EPS dilution. Can you elaborate on what you meant and what that could mean for M&A going forward? Thank you.

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Larry. I always wonder who is the one person that listens to my podcast. As always, my wife. I'm disappointed to hear that it's you. Look, the reality is that for quite some time, we've been managing the business, trying to resolve innovation gaps that we had. trying to be a pleaser of different stakeholders. And we're in a different place today. We have resolved all the innovation gaps. There is not a single gap in the portfolio, whether it is NIS, whether it is HIPS, whether it is SET. We got the broadest suite of solutions in robotics navigation with Monogram. It's going to enable category leadership. So now it's about the future. And the future does require diversification. We aspire to have at least a 5% WEMGAR environment by the end of 2027, and be in a position to be in a 6% to 7% WEMGAR environment by the end of 2030. So with that framework, our capital allocation has not changed, but it certainly evolved. We want to engage in responsible M&A that will get us into the 5% by the end of 2027 and by 2030 in the 6% to 7%. We're going to allocate that capital to deals that make sense. We don't chew this year. Monogram Technologies, we are doing. Monogram Technologies have done Paragon 28. And we've got Amplify Power to do more deals that, again, responsibly will get us into those Vanguard environments. We are going to focus more important than the what is how we do those deals. We're going to solve problems that change the standard of care, just like the answer that I gave to Jason. We're going to move from doing things in just the current spaces into more, I would say, transformational spaces. So it's not change. It's evolve. And I love where we are. I love the opportunity ahead. And we're excited about the next five years.

speaker
Larry Beagleson
Analyst, Wells Fargo

Happy birthday.

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We'll take our next question from Travis Steed with Bank of America. Your line is now open.

speaker
Travis Steed
Analyst, Bank of America

Hey, thanks for the question. One clarifying question, Yvonne, the scratching the 6% growth in Q3, just to clarify, that's organic, so excluding the F&A acquisition, just wanted to clarify that. And then your comment on that improvements in 25 will continue into 26, does that mean 2026 revenue growth should be at least as good, if not better? than kind of the 2025 organic revenue growth? And if you think that's kind of the case kind of for NEIS as well?

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I'll give this a chance. So, the 6%, the scratching 6%, it is organic. So, this is in the absence of Paragon 28. So, when I mentioned that Q3 should be around a 6, I'll be very surprised if not scratching a 6. That is organic, excluding Paragon 28. And then on 2026, as you can imagine, we're not going to offer any commentary today other than we like the momentum that we got. We like the pipeline that we have. We've made a lot of investments in 2025, and those should materialize as we get in 2026 and 2027. But we're not going to engage in run rates and assumptions here today. Thanks, Travis. Thanks a lot.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. We'll take our next question from Vijay Kumar with Evercore ISI.

speaker
Vijay Kumar
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Hey guys, thanks for taking my question. Maybe one on the margins here, operating margins. You've raised it by 50 basis points versus prior assumptions, right? But it's still down 100 basis points year on year. Can you give us a bridge on what's changed between tariff and I think between the paragon acquisition, this monogram, what's changed in FX and when you put all those pieces together, How do you think about margins, you know, exiting the year under 26? Should there still be some headwinds as some of these issues annualize? Thank you.

speaker
Sukhya "Suki" Patia
Executive Vice President, Finance, Operations & Supply Chain and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. Hey, Vijay. It's Suki. Thanks for the question. I will say it was difficult to hear parts of your question, but I think I got the gist of it. So, if I missed anything, just come back. You're correct. Margins were down in the second quarter year over year. That's in line with expectations. They were up sequentially from the first quarter and a little bit better than what we originally expected. The key driver of why they're down year over year, as we've talked about with the Paragon 28 acquisition, is simply folding that company into our baseline. When we originally provided guidance prior to Paragon 28, we said operating margins would be up slightly. That would have marked, you know, the fourth or fifth consecutive year of increasing operating margins. But, of course, we did the transaction, which we think is a very attractive long-term growth driver for us. As you think about the rest of the year, I'll really turn to our guidance uplift to sort of give you the moving parts there. And it's actually funny. If you go back to the very beginning of the year and you look at where our guidance for EPS is now, we're almost right back where we started. even in the backdrop of closing one acquisition, announcing another one with Monogram, very exciting opportunity, and tariffs. So you put all of that into the mix, and we're almost right back where we started again. So what's driving our earnings per share increase from our last guide? I'd say it really comes down to four key components in the order of size. First is our tariff assumption is better than we originally expected. as we've had more time to work through our mitigation strategies, and we're also seeing lower overall tariff rates than what were originally announced on our first quarter call. You know, we're now predicting about $40 million of tariff headwind this year versus our original assumption of $60 to $80 million. So that's a very nice component. Second is we're doing much better on free cash flow this year than originally expected. We're spending less on the integration of Paragon 28, and that's going as expected. We're also seeing utilization of assets and better working capital improvements. That ultimately is leading to lower cost of borrowing and lower borrowings in general. So that's reducing our interest expense from a little bit over $300 million on our last call to about $290 million this year. So that's another major driver. And then the last two are really around operational improvements that we continue to drive in the business. We've been talking about that, and that's been delivering operating margin expansion for the last several years. That continues. into this year. And then there's a modest FX benefit from our last call. So those are really the moving parts of why we're increasing our guidance for this year. But as you said, operating margin will be down primarily because of the Paragon 28 integration, but it won't be down as much as we originally thought.

speaker
Matt Nixick
Analyst, Barclays

That's helpful. Thank you, guys.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We'll take our next question from Chris Pasquale with Nefron. Your line is now open. Our line

speaker
Chris Pasquale
Analyst, Nefron

Thanks. I wanted to follow up on Monogram. Historically, the biggest concern about pursuing a fully autonomous capability for orthorobotics was the perceived onerous regulatory requirements to get sign-off from the FDA. I'm assuming that that was the key focus of your diligence process. So, can you talk about your confidence in the EMBOS commercialization timeline? And could you also elaborate on how the deal is neutral to EPS in the free revenue phase? Are you guys making some cuts to internal projects to offset the incremental investment there? Thanks.

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Hey, good morning, Chris. Thank you. First things first, we've been looking at this technology monogram for about two and a half to three years. So we have had ample time to understand regulatory pathway technology, the opportunity to go from semi-autonomous to fully autonomous. So we believe we know the space very well. and we have engaged third party along the journey to help us understand complexity associated with different claims. It is a very robust clinical trial associated with fully autonomous north of 100 patients and enrolling more. We're working hand in hand with the FDA. We have experts that have been part of commercialization efforts in the past for other technology. So I would say that the degree of confidence is very high. I don't want to make any assumptions here today. But we understand what we need to do to get there. So that's piece number one. And we're being somewhat conservative when it comes to the assumptions on those product releases, both for the semi-autonomous and fully autonomous. Relative to how do you make the deal EPS neutral, a couple of things. Number one, we are reducing expenses in non-core areas. So, as you can imagine, we manage an enterprise with around 44% to 45% OPEX. There is always room to take money from non-core areas to investments in critical areas like technology, Monogram being one of them. We're going to be able to leverage a lot of the R&D engineering, sustained engineering platform. So, ROSA is a large platform within Zimmer Paramed, and the same folks that are doing other sustained engineering for ROSA are going to be able to do some of this. The same applies for some of the marketing functions, quality regulatory and whatnot. So, we're not going to be cutting anything that is customer-focused. We're not going to be cutting anything that is critical for the pipeline, but it has been a reshuffling of OPEX for non-core areas. Thank you, Chris. Thanks a lot.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We'll move to our next question from Ryan Zimmerman with BTIG.

speaker
Ryan Zimmerman
Analyst, BTIG

Thank you. Good morning. I want to ask about knee growth, particularly in the U.S., but just also worldwide. I mean, if you look at it this quarter and on a two-year stack, it did get a little bit better for you guys relative to maybe some of your peers and what we saw in the fourth quarter and the first quarter. So, Yvonne, talk to us about what specifically changed there from those past two quarters where it was maybe trailing behind some of your other peers and kind of what, in your mind, sustains that ability to to be, you know, maybe in that two spot versus what was, you know, arguably the three spot?

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Ryan, for the question. So first things first, we are encouraged with the acceleration that we've seen. I'll talk about the U.S., then we can talk about international. But Q2 to Q1 in the U.S., acceleration of 150 basis points. I already mentioned July is stronger than that. So things are moving in the right direction, encouraged by, not satisfied. We want to get back to the days where we were taking share each and every quarter. And we do believe there's a pathway there through new product introductions, down the road, technology like Monogram, technology like investments we're making on smart implants. We do believe that it's a pathway there. On the second half of 2025, we made a lot of commercial investments in terms of DPP, direct to patient initiatives that are working out. We're making leadership changes. We have restructured, as I mentioned, some territories. We have evolved incentive plan. So our level of confidence to accelerate in the second half or new business in the U.S. is very high. International is a bit all over the place because you've got the tender that moved from Q2 to Q3. So I'm convinced we're going to post a very strong mean number internationally in Q3. And then as we get into 2026, there is ample opportunity with additional new product introductions, getting Oxford parts of Semendes in other markets, getting persona revision accelerated in Europe, Middle East, and Africa. So I do think we're turning the corner. Again, not satisfied where we are, but very encouraged with the trends, Ryan.

speaker
Ryan Zimmerman
Analyst, BTIG

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We'll take our next question from Patrick Wood with Morgan Stanley.

speaker
Patrick Wood
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Beautiful. Thank you so much. I'd love to hit on HIPS and Z1 in particular. You know, the numbers and the strength that you guys have seen there, do you know, has that been predominantly on the Coxivara side or has that been more broad-based across HIPS? Thanks.

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

We love what we're seeing with Z1. We're actually taking a market share with this product. So the latest data point that we got is that roughly 50% of all the Z1 users are competitive conversions. Again, moving into Q3, we continue to see the same trend. We had in late 24 some challenges with supply. As of right now, there are zero challenges, zero shortages when it comes to supply. So we're doing a lot of trainings. We're releasing sets. And we think that Z1 is going to continue to accelerate in growth. As you recall, Patrick, for about five to seven years here in the U.S., we were shared donors. And now the trend is changing. So that is the market product, but it gets amplified through OrthoGrid, which is an acquisition that is going to both expectations and then a surgical impactor hammer. is also going better than expected. So two quarters in the U.S. of 5% growth, and we expect that the run rate to be very similar as we achieve 2025, if not better.

speaker
Patrick Wood
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Lovely, Carlo. Thanks, Ivan. Thank you, Patrick.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Danielle Antolfi with UBS.

speaker
Danielle Antolfi
Analyst, UBS

Hey, good morning, guys. Thanks so much for taking the question. Ivan, I guess it's your birthday, so happy birthday. And congrats on a good quarter. So just a question on Monogram. I thought that deal was interesting. And I'm just curious, Yvonne, as you look ahead to when you're launching Monogram, sort of how you think of Monogram and ROSA coexisting, what you think it brings to the robotics market overall in addition to what you have with ROSA. Thanks so much.

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Daniel, thank you so much, and thanks for the birthday wishes. Look, two and a half years looking into this, we look at different pathways to get to leadership in robotics. We felt with data that having the most flexible and comprehensive product suite is the way to go. You've got non-robotic believers. We have navigation opportunities. You've got large footprint robotic believers. We've got those. Small footprint robotics. We have an exclusive partnership with Think Surgical. There is a strong appetite for autonomous robotics. We're going to be first to market based on all the intelligence that we have IP-wise, the only one for a while. So we believe that a comprehensive suite of solutions is the way to go. In terms of what this will do for the robotics, I do think you're going to have a lot of surgeons entering the world of robotics. I think one data point that most people miss is that here in the U.S., 80, 8% of surgeons, 29,000 surgeons in the U.S., don't use a robot. And internationally, that number is actually higher, 90, 90% of surgeons don't use a robot. So providing those surgeons with an efficient approach highly reproducible robot platform that drives the benefits of autonomy, I think expands the buy. So we're going to continue to see growth, market expansion of robotics, and it enables a great share of wallet opportunity for us here at Zimmer Biomed. So very excited about this acquisition.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you.

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Daniel.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Matt Nixick with Barclays.

speaker
Matt Nixick
Analyst, Barclays

Hey, thanks so much for taking the question. Can you hear me okay? Yes, Matt, we can hear you. Great, thanks. So, just a couple of follow-ups. There's one on Paragon 28, and, you know, I think you've talked about bringing that entire organization on and kind of keeping them together as kind of a team intact, which seems to be successful so far. So congrats on that. And wanted to get a sense, you know, first, is there anything that any retention or any threshold beyond which we should be, you know, thinking about where you may be 100% confident that that's just going to happen and we're going to keep this team together, whether it's something end of the year or 12 months out that, you know, we get through that threshold and we're good. And then the second part of it is, I guess at what point you start thinking about, you know, bringing on, you know, repeating, rinse and repeat on an acquisition like that to drive growth, drive margins, you know, expand the , that sort of thing.

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks. Thanks, Matt. Look, Paragon 28 is going really well. So, we deliver better than expected operational efficiencies. That's part of why the free cash flow position for the rest of the year has improved. Delivered lower acquisition costs, nice savings across the board, but it didn't come from the commercial innovation elements of the deal. To your question, there's been no management turnover. As you know, Albert Acosta, the former chairman and CEO of Paragon 28, is the global president of that business. I've said this in a gazillion forums, so here we go again. I'm pretty much married to Albert for the rest of my life. He brought with him the entire commercial channel. And by that, I mean the senior leadership in commercial operations, as well as the territory leaders, And I am not aware of any sales rep or distributor or anyone in the channel that actually has left Zimmer Balmed. So they have, it's not been run to my attention, so it's not a large number. We recently integrated the Zimmer Balmed lower extremities, lower trauma, foot and ankle portfolio. into that sales channel. So the Paragon 28 or former Paragon 28 sales reps are very excited to have those new products from Zimmer Biomed. There's been no innovation delays. We are today in Denver, I believe, doing an R&D review. All the feedback we get around innovation is that it's on track and on time. So net-net, everything is going really, really well. Still expect 270 basis points of revenue growth contribution in the year 2025. And to your later question, is this a rinse and repeat kind of model moving forward? Absolutely. Absolutely. I think this creates a proxy for other deals. Solid innovation, solid commercial execution, keep it away from the mothership, let it run, deliver sustainable growth. Yeah, it's a rinse and repeat model, and we're going to likely play it again. Thanks for the question, Matt. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We'll take our next question from Shagun Singh with RBC Capital.

speaker
Shagun Singh

Great, thank you so much. I just wanted to, and happy birthday, Van. I just wanted to ask a question on Monogram. Can you maybe give us a little bit more on the confidence you have in the progress on the fully autonomous portion of the robot? I just wanted to get a sense of what progress has already been made internally. I know you guys have a semi-auto that's FDA approved, it hasn't launched, and then the CBR suggests some development timelines on the fully autonomous. So just wanted to get a sense of your comfort level. And then just on the competitive landscape and how that might evolve, I think Stryker indicated on their call that they have the ability to be fully autonomous today, but they decided not to turn it on. So I'm just wondering, like, how do you think about the competitive landscape once you bring this to market? Thank you for taking the question.

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Well, thank you. Look, I'm not going to comment much on competitors and their abilities or lack of abilities, but if they can turn it on, I will recommend it that at some point they do, because this type of technology will change the world of orthopedics. Relative to the opportunity or the level of confidence on fully autonomous, they, this is not part of Jimmy Valmetta yet, just completed the first fully autonomous surgery in the world, I believe it was two weeks ago, with excellent results. So that's a very encouraging data point. In terms of our pathway to get there, I alluded to the fact that it is a robust clinical trial. We understand the different steps we've got to take to get to fully autonomous. We have heads when this launch is going to happen. We continue to work with experts. So our level of confidence is very high. I don't want to speculate too much yet because we're early in the journey, but the assumptions that we're making so far have been validated by the experts. So really, really excited. And semi-autonomous, we launched in early 27. We believe that fully autonomous embossed, we launched in late 2027, if not early 2028. And as soon as we can, we'll provide more details into how that's going. Thank you, Shakun.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Richard Newiter with True Securities.

speaker
Richard Newiter
Analyst, True Securities

Hi. Thanks for taking the questions. Yvonne, I wanted to just ask a little bit more on the robotics portfolio approach. It makes sense. You know, you want to be able to position to go where the market goes and what it wants, and this is an evolving sector. So, you know, I appreciate that. But when you were describing kind of, you know, there's something for everyone, you kind of characterized, at least I thought I heard you characterize ROSA as kind of, you know, a large footprint robot. You have Monogram, which has advanced capabilities, including autonomous. That's where maybe the market's going. And then you kind of have, you know, smaller footprint, but key mini. I guess one, is Monogram, large footprint is not necessarily something people want, I guess personally. What is it that ROSA is going to do for the marketplace that Monogram isn't going to usurp? And then, you know, as I think about it, it sounds like it's eventually going to be a Monogram T-mini kind of race for you guys. But correct me if I'm wrong there. I'm just trying to get my arms around that. Thank you.

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Hey, thanks for the question, Rich. Look, ROSA is the number one orthopedic robot outside of the United States. That is a fact. The reason why a lot of surgeons choose ROSA with approaching, if not exceeding, 2,000 installations is because there is a large chunk of surgeons that don't believe in CT scanning. and, again, particularly outside of the U.S. They don't want to expose the patient to radiation. In some countries, it's not reimbursed. They don't want to add another step in the procedure. There is a preference for image-less robotics. There is a segment of surgeons that want to be fully in control of the case, and they like ROSA. They like the way that it integrates with pre-planning, and they're used to it. So we're going to keep ROSA, and we got six different indications coming for ROSA in the next, call it, 18 to 24 months. So that's going to stay there. In terms of is there a race between T-mini and embossed monogram, no. There is not a race between our internal offerings. There is going to be a desire to continue to offer different solutions for different customers around the world. And we strongly believe, two and a half years of market research, that optionality, that flexibility will win the race. Thank you, Rich. Thank you, Rich.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our last question comes from Caitlin Cronin with Canaccord.

speaker
Caitlin Cronin
Analyst, Canaccord

Hi. Great. Thanks for taking the questions. Just maybe if you could comment on, you know, robotic placements in, you know, this quarter specifically and then just the pipeline for the rest of the year and then adjacent to that, how is that think partnership really trending and the ongoing commercialization there?

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Caitlin. So I'll start with the second part of the question. We just extended the exclusive partnership with Think Surgical. So obviously we like what we see. We like having the optionality of that smaller handheld CT scan base. And there is a fairly large pipeline of deals in the making for Think Surgical. Overall robotics, you see that the category declined versus a year ago. That is because of capital equipment sales. Installations remain on track. We've been saying for, I don't know, four or five years that the point of entry is at least 300, and we continue to see that that number of better. We like the number coming out of ASCs, especially new ASCs, so everything is going in accordance to plan. And, again, as we get into late 2025, we're going to be launching next generation ROSA, with the ability to do a kinematic knee with simpler landmarking, with better tracking. So we think that ROSA knee with what we call Optimize will be an accelerator of ROSA installs as we exit 2025 and go into 2026. Thanks for the question, Caitlin.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Great. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Yvonne Tornos for closing remarks.

speaker
Yvonne Tornos
Chairperson, President, and Chief Executive Officer

Well, thanks, everybody, for joining. I'll keep my closing remarks under a minute. Number one, starting with gratitude, I do want to end with gratitude to the Zimmer Balmain employees for their progress this quarter for their efforts, which have enabled us to raise EPS for the year 25, as well as free cash flow, while narrowing the revenue guidance. Number two, I want to talk about the level of confidence that we have, not just for the second half acceleration, given new product introductions, a strong July and whatnot, but just given all the visibility that we have in terms of what's happening in every country and across every platform. So we are extremely confident on the second half acceleration, but most importantly, we are very confident on the future of Zimmer Biomed. We're excited about the future. We have the strongest pipeline that we have had in the six and a half years that I've been here, and that includes the opportunities ahead as we continue to leverage the balance sheet to drive responsible M&A and bring new-to-the-world technology like monogram orthopedics or Paragon 28. So thank you for your time this morning, and we look forward to the next update in November.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you again for participating in today's conference call. You may now disconnect, and have a great day.

Disclaimer

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