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spk10: Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Ascend Wellness Holdings Second Quarter 2021 Investors Call. I'd now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker, Rebecca Kaur, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
spk09: Good evening and welcome to AWH's Second Quarter 2021 Investor Call. The presentation that accompanies this call can be found on our website. www.awholdings.com slash investors. Before we proceed, I would like to remind you that there are a number of risk factors and other cautionary statements contained in our SEC and CDAR filings, including our 10Q, which we expect to file in the next week. We will not review those risk factors and other cautionary statements on this call. However, we encourage you to read them carefully. Various remarks that we make on this call concerning expectations, predictions, plans, and prospects constitute forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from historical or anticipated results. Any forward-looking statements reflect management's current view only, and we undertake no obligation to revise or update such statements or to make additional forward-looking statements in the future.
spk11: During the Operator? Oh, my apologies.
spk01: Did we lose sound? I'm not hearing anything.
spk10: Yeah, we did just lose sound. I'm sorry, did I? I am hearing you now. Can you go ahead?
spk01: Did Rebecca finish her remarks? I did not hear.
spk10: Miss Cord, do we still have you on the line? It seems we may have lost Ms. Kaur.
spk01: Okay, well, I'm just going to go ahead, and if she has more to add, we'll get to it.
spk05: All right, thanks, everyone, for joining the call this evening. The picture you see on the right here is of our Paramus area New Jersey store, which opened in the quarter. This store is on heavily trafficked Route 17 by the Garden State Plaza Mall in Paramus. and should be one of the highest volume stores in an adult use New Jersey. The store is built to support the transition to adult use we expect to see in New Jersey in early 2022. As always, we appreciate the support from our loyal and committed investors who have helped us grow this business from three employees in 2018 to nearly 1290 employees and operations in six limited licensed states across the country. This is an exciting time in the industry and particularly at Ascend. The momentum towards federal legalization is building, the market is in hyper growth, and our customers are becoming more and more loyal and passionate about Ascend. One by one, the domino effect is benefiting the states. As almost monthly, another state legalizes either medical or adult use cannabis consumption. Today, 19 states have fully legalized adult use and 38 states have legalized medical use consumption. The most recent Gallup poll shows that 67% of Americans support cannabis legalization. This support is almost up over three times since the 1970s. For the most part, history has proven that for every major social issue in America, after two-thirds of the country supports it, it eventually becomes federally legal and importantly mainstream. Estimates show that the U.S. cannabis industry Sales in 2020 were over $17 billion, a 40% increase over 2019. Some analyst projections predict industry legal sales will reach as much as $100 billion by 2030. The market is exploding, and we believe we are well positioned in leading states to capitalize on this exciting opportunity. We are proud to share with you the highlights from Q2, our first full quarter as a public company. We remain committed to providing best-in-class disclosure. I will remind you that we are the first U.S. cannabis SEC registered IPO with Delaware governance and audited GAAP financials. We remain committed to good governance and transparency. With that, let's discuss the highlights from the quarter. Since the end of Q1, we have opened three dispensaries, bringing our total to 18. In addition to New Jersey, the second dispensary license we acquired through the Midway transaction became operational in Chicago Ridge, Illinois, increasing our total number of dispensaries in the Chicago area to four and our total in Illinois to eight. We are in process of rebranding all dispensaries to the Ascend name by the end of August. On April 29th, we opened our Boston flagship location, which is the first retail location in the downtown of a major city on the East Coast. Our location is steps away from TD Garden and Faneuil Hall. Sales in this location continue to build despite downtown foot traffic being limited. On the cultivation front, we added approximately 17,000 feet of canopy this quarter, bringing our total canopy to just under 100,000 square feet. We expect to bring online an additional 145,000 square feet by the end of the year, including expansions of our cultivation facilities, as well as the addition of our new 120,000 foot greenhouse facility in Illinois. In the quarter, we engage Seaport Global Advisors as our bankers to assist us in refinancing our existing debt, to lower the firm's cost of capital and provide additional cash to support investment. We expect to have an announcement soon. We currently have over $100 million of cash on the balance sheet, and with this incremental debt raise, we will be fully funded to build out our current pipeline. We also have significant updates on the product front. Last week, we launched our partnership with Lowell Smokes, and now you can find Lowell pre-rolls on the shelf of our stores in Illinois. We're excited about this partnership as Lowell Smokes is the number one selling pre-roll in California, and this is their first foray out of state. Also in Illinois, this month we launched flour from our Ozone Reserve in-house top shelf brand in all of our Illinois stores. This represents the culmination of the improvement of our cultivation team to produce best in class flour in the state. On the M&A front, we are pleased to announce substantial progress in Ohio. We closed on our cultivation facility in Monroe, Ohio, to add to our existing processing facility under construction. We also received approval for the acquisition of a dispensary in Carroll, Ohio, and are moving close in the near future. We are excited about Ohio as it is one of the top medical markets with high potential to return recreational in 2023. We expect to have more announcements about Ohio in the near future. Lastly, before moving on to financial highlights, I want to comment on our continued commitment to social justice. During the quarter, Ascend doubled down on our commitment to Last Prisoner Project. Following the early completion of our initial pledge made to the Last Prisoner Project, Ascend committed to a second pledge. Ascend retail locations currently ask customers to voluntarily donate $1 to LPP at checkout with a corporate match for each dollar donated up to $250,000 for a total of $500,000. This project is important to me personally. Social justice remains a top priority at Ascend as we continue to commit our time and resources as opportunities rise. Let's discuss the financial highlights of the quarter. Total system revenue for the quarter was $97.5 million. Net revenue, which excludes intercompany sales, was $83.4. On the top of the slide, you can see year-over-year net revenue, which increased by $58 million, or 228%. Quarter-over-quarter net revenue increased by 17.2 million or 26%. Revenue growth was driven by increases in cultivation and production activity, new store openings, and heightened traffic at open stores. Just to remind you, this quarter represents the peak quarter over quarter growth for the year as the bulk of our 2020 openings have occurred at the end of this quarter. Due to the strong performance in the quarter and improvements in both our retail and wholesale operations, we are raising revenue guidance for the full year 2021 from 320 to 340 million to 330 to 350 million. We are pleased that we continue to execute in this hyper growth environment. Later in the presentation, I will turn it over to Dan Neville, our CFO, and he will dive deeper into the financials. Let's talk about our footprint. As I've mentioned in the past, we are primarily focused on flagship assets in limited licensed states east of the Rockies. We aim to have the best retail locations and have carefully curated our selection of assets. We continue our strong growth and currently have 18 dispensaries open and 90,000 square feet of canopy and a robust pipeline. Including the dispensaries set to open, we expect to have 26 dispensaries and 285,000 square feet of canopy by the end of next year. This just represents our fully licensed, fully financed, and in development pipeline. It does not include any additional assets or asset expansion, and we fully expect to do more in the future. We are pleased to develop
spk01: such a robust portfolio assets in just three short years of operations. So far this year, we've brought five dispensaries online.
spk05: We plan to open four more early next year. We anticipate closing the transaction with MedMen New York by year end, which will provide us entry into the New York market. MedMen has four operating retail locations across the Strait, which are currently in New York's medical program, including the flagship Manhattan location, which is located on Fifth Avenue, just steps from Bryant Park. I will also note that most of the canopy we need to bring online is at existing cultivation sites. We believe canopy expansions have significantly less execution than greenfield projects. Let's talk a little bit about more of the construction. Got a few pictures for you here. We have canopy expansions underway in Illinois, Mass, New Jersey, and Michigan. The first picture on the upper left is a drone image of our marquee Illinois cultivation facility. It provides a significant scale for our vertical operations in Illinois, and we are one of the top wholesalers in the state. We currently have 55,000 feet of canopy in Illinois today, and we will add 58,000 by the end of the year through the addition of our fully sealed greenhouse. I like this picture because it really illustrates the scale of the operations. When we first took over, we inherited a 75,000 square foot building with a de minimis amount of canopy. Now we have a fully built out canopy manufacturing and distribution center with another canopy expansion underway. Our Illinois facility is the blueprint for our cultivation expansions across all of our other states. The next image on the top right is a picture of seeds being planted in the first phase of our of our New Jersey cultivation facility. Around year end, we expect to have the second phase of New Jersey expansion complete with additional canopy and processing capabilities. Our first phase of expansion began in April and is planting already. This shows our ability to move at lightning speed to take advantage of new adult use markets. This was the playbook we used in Illinois, and we are doing it again in New Jersey. The image on the bottom left is a new flower room that we recently added to our Massachusetts cultivation. While this project has been significantly delayed, we are finally in the final stages of construction. Tables and lights are being added, and we expect to plant in October. And finally, the picture on the bottom right is one of the flower rooms just before our first harvest in July at our Michigan facility. Let's discuss our branding strategy. We continue to build our portfolio of brands. We have two in-house brands. One competes in the quality for value segment, Ozone, and the other is our higher end brand, Ozone Reserve. We look to partner with West Coast brands to increase our product offering, particularly in the best category. In April, our Ozone brands brought in the second highest sales of any brand in the state of Illinois, above highly regarded brands like Rhythm, Verano, and High Supply, among others. The brand is developing a strong reputation in the market. We're continuously working to diversify our ozone offering and provide all form factors to our customers. It is our strategy to deliver to every dispensary in Illinois every week, and we believe this distribution strategy is a key part of our success. Our brand partnerships provide Ascend with a unique opportunity to expand in high-end key product categories and provide each of our stores with a variety of SKUs and form factors, as well as consistent access to quality product. Our differentiated brand, combined with our consumer-focused retail experience, is paying off. Our stores are optimized at fast throughput, multiple points of sale, and efficient layouts. We provide an exceptional digital experience with express pickup, curbside, and delivery options. We have committed customers and we reward them through our loyalty program. Customer service is our priority. Let's talk about our revenue and our revenue mix goals. Our adjusted gross margin and adjusted EBITDA margins for the quarter were 48% and 24% respectively. While we are comfortable with these strong margins, we think we can do substantially better over time through vertical integration and scale. There are four main drivers which will help us achieve these desirable margins. Increasing production capacity as we bring Canopy online and we begin to harvest plants. Continuing to add retail locations to achieve the maximum cap in each of our markets. optimizing product mix, and finally reaching a more balanced retail wholesale revenue breakdown, as well as carrying an appropriate amount of in-house and partner brands in our own stores. By achieving these objectives, we will gain scale, operating leverage, and realize industry-leading margins. We're moving towards the ambitious goal that 50% of our business come from wholesale, 50% of our business from retail, and 50% of our products sold in our retail dispensaries across our network being our own in-house ozone, ozone reserve, and partner brands. Today, approximately 40% of our revenue is wholesale, and approximately 35% of the products sold at Ascend Dispensaries are AWH brands. We wanted to give you some more insight into our M&A strategy. Both my CFO and I come from financial backgrounds. We were once in your shoes on the buy side. As such, we are extremely judicious in how we allocate capital. We are acutely focused on return on invested capital and know that for every dollar we invest, we want to make sure it is worth diluting our ownership in our existing portfolio of superior assets. We have a disciplined two-pronged M&A strategy. First, in keeping with our theme of going deep and not wide, our priority is to continue to expand in the states we are in and optimize and scale our existing footprint. While we have reached the regulatory cap in most of our states, we have room to expand from our eight retail licenses owned today in Illinois to the state cap our announcement today of ohio acquisitions shows our commitment to being a leader in that state we would look to continue to expand in ohio until we get to the five dispensary cap we are committed to becoming a market leader in massachusetts and while we have a good start with our expansion of our cultivation facility we are open to the possibility of expanding our cultivation manufacturing and distribution capabilities through acquisition The second prong of our M&A strategy is to expand into other limited license adult use or near adult use markets. While we would focus on contiguous states east of the Rockies, we are also open to opportunities in other limited license states. At Ascend, we are opportunistic buyers, and if nothing meets our criteria, we are comfortable with our current portfolio. On the topic of valuation, you have all noticed that the sector has traded lower over the quarter, and many industry competitors trade significantly below target valuations and valuations of similarly growing companies in other industries. Even with that industry discount, AWH trades at a meaningfully lower valuation compared to some of the larger MSOs. AWH is trading at approximately 8.7 2022 adjusted EBITDA estimates compared to the larger MSOs, which are trading closer to 13.5. Although these companies have much larger market share, AWH has premier assets in premier locations, and we are positioned to operate and become leading players. Before I turn it over to Dan, let me just reiterate the company's investment thesis, which we've discussed with you in the past. We call ourselves MSO 2.0 because we are a company that didn't pursue a strategy of state applications, but rather went out and actively bought what we believe to be the best portfolio of any MSO. We are now focused on building and scaling these attractive assets with intent to achieve scale before expanding to new opportunities. Within these markets, we are focused on premier asset flagship locations. As competition enters this business and states with limited caps, we strongly believe in the value in superior retail locations to create barriers to entry and long-term value creation. We have a very disciplined capital allocation program, and the bulk of our expansion has been fully funded through sale leasebacks and capital raised. We are not biting off more than we can chew and are very diligent with where we spend our money. We have successfully grown our portfolio through M&A, and we see this as the fastest path to growth given the barriers to entry and regulatory environment. We have the team to succeed. Our management group is focused on executing and has already done so in Illinois. The team brings expertise from several areas spanning capital markets, cannabis industry, regulation and permitting, retail, and more. The company has room for continued margin expansion, with only about 30% of our cultivation assets generating revenue today. These are just a handful of the reasons why we are confident that Ascend is positioned to exceed. Now, let me turn it over to my CFO, Dan Neville, to provide a detailed update on the financials this quarter.
spk08: Thanks, Abner. Good evening, everyone. Abner covered the revenue drivers earlier in the presentation. So for this slide, I'll focus on adjusted gross profit and adjusted EBITDA. Adjusted gross profit dollars increased $7 million to $39.6 million, or 22% sequentially, driven by Illinois wholesale production efficiency and retail stores coming online. This was partially offset by declines in Massachusetts wholesale. Gross profit margin was 47.5% in the quarter. down approximately 170 basis points sequentially. This decline was driven by lower realized pricing in mass wholesale due to the bulk sale of lower testing product, partially offset by increased margins in Illinois. Unfortunately, we had some sick genetics that were brought into the building in mass. We have since introduced new healthy strains that are achieving higher potencies, but the old genetics are not completely flushed through our inventory yet. Our adjusted EBITDA for Q2 was $20.3 million, which represents an increase of $4.5 million, or 28% sequentially. Our margin for Q2 was 24.4%, which represents a 43 basis point increase sequentially. Despite our gross margin headwinds, we levered FD&A by 150 basis points quarter on quarter, which allowed us to expand EBITDA margins. As a reminder, approximately $6.1 million of rent expense is related to sale leasebacks that is accounted for above the line, the majority of which are in COGS. We've already built out the corporate infrastructure needed to run our assets and have centralized our overhead structure. This should allow us to continue to grow revenue faster than FD&A expenses. Let's move on to discuss some of the key operating metrics for this quarter on slide 16. During the second quarter, AWH opened three dispensaries, which brought the company's total to 18 open dispensaries. Retail transactions in the quarter totaled 573,000, which is up from 146,000 last year and 411,000 last quarter. average basket in the quarter was $101, which trended down quarter on quarter. We now have five cultivation sites online in five states with the closing of our Monroe, Ohio acquisition earlier in the quarter. In Q2, we sold approximately 11,000 pound equivalents of product at a very healthy average price per pound of approximately $3,600. Both of these metrics trended up for the company in aggregate. Let's move on to slide 17 to dive deeper into the wholesale business. Gross wholesale revenue increased to $39.5 million, representing an increase of 30% sequentially. Net wholesale revenue, which excludes intercompany sales, increased to $25.4 million, representing an increase of 23% quarter on quarter. The increase was driven by increased output and pricing at the company's Illinois cultivation facility. Our pounds sold increased 28% quarter-on-quarter to 11,040 pounds, and our gross revenue per pound was $3,577. Pricing was up slightly quarter-over-quarter, driven by an increase in pricing in Illinois, partially offset by declines in realized pricing in mass due to the bulk sale of lower testing products. Let's move to slide 18 to discuss the retail metrics for the quarter. Total retail revenue increased to $58 million, representing an increase of 28% sequentially. Retail transactions increased 39% quarter over quarter to $573,000. This was driven by an increase in transactions at our existing operations and the opening of three new stores within the quarter. Our revenue per transaction declined by 8.6% sequentially to approximately $101. This decline was driven by geographic and adult use patient mix. In the quarter, we added two recreational dispensaries in urban locations, which typically have a lower average ticket. Additionally, average tickets for medical customers are significantly higher than recreational. So as we serve more recreational customers over time, we expect our average ticket to tick down. Our annualized revenue per store was $13.9 million, which was down 3% sequentially. However, I'd like to point out that this is a very healthy number, especially considering that we opened three new stores that were still ramping over the course of the quarter. Let's move on to slide 19 to discuss the increase in guidance. We are proud that our Q2 revenue growth came in above expectations, and as a result, we are increasing our full year 2021 revenue guidance to a new range of $330 to $350 million of net revenue. The new range represents a very healthy 130 to 144% growth over last year. We have line of sight to this new range, as all of the assets required to achieve this revenue are already turned on. While our revenue growth is impressive and our adjusted EBITDA dollar growth for the remainder of the year will follow, we don't anticipate significant margin expansion in Q3 and Q4. Instead, we expect moderate increases in margin due to a lower rate of sequential revenue growth for the remainder of the year and a ramp in wholesale expenses in Q3 and Q4. These expenses will support the planting and subsequent harvests out of our expanded cultivation footprint in early 2022. As Abner mentioned, we have canopy expansions underway in Illinois, Mass, New Jersey, and Michigan, and expect to have approximately 235,000 square feet of canopy online by the end of 2021. These canopy expansions, combined with the additional stores we're bringing on around year-end, will drive the next step function change in revenue and margin expansion. Note that this guidance does not include the revenue associated with our pending transaction in New York. Let's move on to slide 20 to discuss cash flow in the quarter and the state of the balance sheet. Before we dive in, I'd like to note that we are in the process of raising approximately $200 million of senior debt, which will refinance our existing debt, fully fund our MedMen New York obligations, and provide additional working capital to pursue M&A. We anticipate this will bring the average antista rate on our debt down significantly from our current rate. While there's no guarantee until we're closed, we're highly confident given where we are in the process. On the top of the slide, you'll see a waterfall bridging to cash at the end of Q2. During the quarter, we increased cash by $41 million. We used approximately $4 million for operations, and we invested $36 million in CapEx, the majority of which was used for cultivation expansions. Cash CapEx was elevated during the quarter due to a timing delay of a $14 million tenant improvement reimbursement that came in in early July. Finally, we received $86 million in net proceeds from the IPO. We continue to anticipate CapEx use of approximately $90 million for the full year as we build out our cultivation expansions and continue to bring online stores in Massachusetts, New Jersey, and Michigan. We ended the quarter with $104 million of cash and equivalents, $132 million of debt, and net debt of $27 million. In closing, this is a very exciting time at AWH, and I'd like to personally thank all of the Ascenders across the organization for helping us get to where we are today. We're not done yet, and over the next 12 months, we'll continue to be laser focused on executing on our plan. completing our cultivation expansions, opening the remaining dispensaries, and taking the blueprint we've created in Illinois to our other markets. With that, I'll turn it over to the operator for questions.
spk10: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. Should you have a question, please press star followed by one on your touchtone phone. You will hear a three-tone prompt acknowledging your request, and your questions will be pulled in the order they are received. If you wish to decline from the polling process, please press star followed by two. If you're using a speakerphone, please lift your handset before pressing any keys. One moment for your first question. Your first question comes from Russell Stonely from Beacon Securities. Please go ahead.
spk12: Good afternoon, and thanks for taking my question. First, with respect to the debt financing you're working towards, I understand you're looking for roughly $200 million. Just wondering if you can comment on what demand looks like and what the potential terms may come out of that or what you're looking for there.
spk05: Hey, Russ. Thanks for the question. Yeah, we're looking to raise, as I think Dan said, about $200 million. The debt markets are very strong for cannabis-related securities. Obviously, while the rates are significantly lower than they have been in the past, we probably have an average cost of debt now of close to 15%. And we're looking to bring that below 10% with this offering. And this offering will basically represent all the debt of the company pro forma. We're in the closing process. And as Dan said, we've got to get this done quickly. but it's looking very, very strong now, and we're very excited to work with this new group of debt investors.
spk12: Great. Thanks for the call on that. Just a quick question around your cultivation expansions. Obviously, a lot on the go, and we've heard more generally just issues, supply chain disruptions and challenges faced by by various builders of anything really across the US. Just wondering if you're seeing challenges on that front and if so, how you're managing them and how you feel about the schedule in that context.
spk05: There's very little about cultivation builds that aren't challenging, to be honest. I think the industry, you know, I think the industry has done a good job. I think we've done a good job, but this is hard. I think in this current environment, it's hard to build any industrial facility. Supply chains are challenged. We have trouble getting building materials. Things get delayed. We rely on electrical utilities to bring us additional power, zoning, permitting, jobs. It's hard to get people to show up to work in a very difficult kind of construction environment. And it's challenging. With all that said, we're moving forward pretty close to target. I mean, everything tends to get delayed in this industry by a little bit. But for the most part, when you look at our cultivation expansions, as illustrated by that picture, you can see that in New Jersey, our first expansion is planted. In Michigan, we're harvesting. In Mass, Um, you know, when you see, when you see fully built out rooms and you see they're putting in the tables and lights, that's when, you know, you're really done until then, you know, everyone can tell you that, you know, things are moving forward, but, you know, I want to see that interior picture of, you know, a fully built out room and plants and, you know, and lights in there. And then I know we're ready for plants. Um, so I think we're in good shape. Um, you know, we do have some, we do have more, you know, our, our second expansion in New Jersey is coming online. additional expansions in Ohio and Michigan. But overall, what's nice about our portfolio is we're in the later innings of this cultivation build. And so the certainty on timing, you know, I said, you know, when we started in the very beginning, we were delayed years. Then we were delayed months. Now we get delayed weeks. You know, we're in the final process here and things are going well.
spk12: That's great, Collin. Thanks on that. Maybe if I could just sneak in a quick final question just around New Jersey and reading the local press, see a number of local municipalities, some passing ordinances banning, at least temporarily anyway, adult use operations pending the final regs. Just wondering how you're situated and what that environment looks like in the three regions. three municipalities, including Fort Lee, which you intend to open later this year, I believe. Just wondering how that environment works for you now.
spk05: Yeah, well, look, I think you have to understand a little bit about the New Jersey process. The way New Jersey did it was that if you don't ban it by a certain date, I think it's this month, you're automatically voted to opt in. What that did was that put pressure on the towns, which weren't ready to pass an adult use ordinance, to ban, but that ban, you know, for most of these, not for most, but for some of the towns and certainly our towns really relates to giving those municipalities a chance to write a local ordinance the way they want. We feel very good about our prospects in all three locations. Montclair, we expect to, you know, it basically is completed and we are looking forward to adult use there. We're moving forward very aggressively in Rochelle Park and we feel very good about Fort Lee. This is politics. This is local politics. Nothing is ever assured. But when we pick locations, particularly in a state that we only have three locations, we pick these locations with an eye towards adult use and with mayors and towns that were excited about those tax revenues. So, you know, nothing is ever assured, but we feel very confident in all three towns.
spk12: That's excellent. Thanks for the color.
spk11: I'll get back in the queue.
spk10: Your next question comes from Bobby Burleson with Canaccord. Please go ahead.
spk03: All right, thanks for taking my questions. So I guess the first one, Abner, would be with the news out of New York, it's been frustrating, kind of a slow process there with moving forward on some of the legalization progress. And with the governor resigning, the incoming governor, What are your thoughts there in terms of the calculus on how things play out? Is this a net positive in terms of how quickly we move forward from here? Just any take on that would be helpful.
spk01: Thanks, Bobby. Was there news in New York today? I didn't notice.
spk05: No, just kidding. Look, everyone knows that New York has been a very frustrating market. I think while everyone's excited about it long term and excited about the prospects of a market with 20 million people, and very limited supply to be a really attractive market for the industry, it's been very slow going. And I think even before you get into the problems of Governor soon to be former Governor Cuomo, even when he was kind of riding high, while he was pro-cannabis, he wasn't moving quickly. And we all know that the cannabis board has yet to be seeded, and he didn't even move forward with whole flour as aggressively as hoped in the medical market. then the state has gotten to complete an action as we've gone through this political drama. You know, we do see today as a very strong net positive. We see the ability of Albany to get back to work as being really important for this industry and this process. We believe the new lieutenant governor is very supportive of cannabis and will move very quickly to see the board and move forward. You know, that said, that's political and My opinion is as good as anybody else's, but we definitely see this as a strong net positive. As someone going through the legal process to get our transaction approved, we're really excited about this move and our ability to work with the Department of Health and get this transaction closed.
spk03: Great. Thanks for that. Obviously, 2022 has a lot of tailwinds from the cultivation you're bringing online. in the second half here, but in the second half on a revenue basis, hitting the guidance, just curious, now that all your assets relative to that guidance are turned on, if you had to kind of rank your confidence level by geography or sales channel or what have you, how do you feel about tiering what's contributing to you guys hitting the guidance here in the second half?
spk05: All right, well, Dan and I aren't in the same room, so I'll give you my answer and then I'll let Dan give it to you. I mean, if you look at our guidance, you know, if you look at what we did in the second quarter and you multiply that by four, you know, we're sitting here on the run rate of our guidance for the year. So we're not really banking on significant growth to hit this target. You know, we have the highest confidence, I think, that we've ever had in the near term at AWH because these assets are on. And if you look back at Russ's question, the question is always, when's it going to open? You know, we played the when's it going to open game in Boston for about nine months. You know, we've been delayed, you know, over a year in our math facility previously on the cultivation, you know, and others. And like others in the industry, this is part of doing business. The fact that we have all our assets open right now is, you know, really gives us a high confidence into Outlook over the next, you know, six months, nine months. And then we have, if you look at the pipeline slide, we have another wave of cultivation assets, which, and some dispensaries, that will really drive the next wave of growth. We always use the growth in our company as stair-steppy. You know, we went through the stair steps in 21, and now we're going to kind of yield those results for the rest of the year. And now we've got to bring on the next set of assets, which are going to drive growth in 2022. So I think that's, you know, that's kind of where we are. And I'd also say, you know, to remind you that when we look at our pipeline and our growth, we're not building in anything for M&A. No additional cultivation builds that, you know, that we need. And also, New York is really not figuring in in most people's estimates. We view New York as a 2023 event. Therefore, 2022 has the minimus contribution from New York. So for all those reasons, you never want to be overconfident in a very difficult industry, but we feel pretty good at where we are. Dan, what are your thoughts on this here?
spk08: Yeah, I'd echo what Abner said. The assets are on. We're at a pretty healthy run rate today. We obviously do have a few minor openings in the balance of the year. the Newton dispensary and some harvest out of Michigan and New Jersey that would hit before the end of the year. But we've kind of battle tested and put very unheroic assumptions around those assets. So we're pretty confident. We're very confident on the current performance of our assets today and achieving these results. I think Illinois is obviously the biggest driver here, right? But you continue to see robust growth out of that market. We're not banking on that for the remainder of the year, but that tailwind continues to help us quarter on quarter and month on month.
spk05: Yeah, I mean, I would just say, Illinois has been a monster for us. We're so proud of that team out there. We were sitting here six or nine months ago on our call. We were looking to scale up that operation. We were looking to improve cultivation yields. We were looking to bring our kitchen online. And all those things have happened. We're achieving cultivation success. We're achieving manufacturing success. We're achieving distribution success. All of that indicates what we kind of have always thought, that this industry is hard. You have to dial it in. But when you dial it in, it is really, you know, it can be really successful. And I think you're seeing that with a lot of our competitors. You know, everyone has states that they're struggling with and getting up to speed. But, you know, the better companies in the industry all have states that they're really killing it in. And for us, that's Illinois.
spk03: Great. Thanks. I'll let somebody else ask some questions. Thanks for those answers.
spk10: Your next question comes from Matt McGinley with Needham. Please go ahead.
spk04: Thank you. My first question is on the bulk sale revenue in Massachusetts. How much revenue was related to that lower testing flower in Massachusetts this quarter, and how much of a gross margin impact did it have? And I think Dan said in his prepared remarks that you weren't completely through that inventory. So I'm curious how much of an impact that could actually have into the third quarter.
spk05: I'll let Dan answer that, but let me just say on the macro question, you know, this is When you bring cultivation facilities online, your initial set of genetics and your initial harvests are a bit of a crapshoot as you dial it in. In every one of our facilities, and I would say for every company in the industry, no one is ever thrilled or most people are not thrilled with their first harvest. So, you know, we got unlucky with a set of genetics that came in with some illness. And because of the timing, it takes three or four months to work through that. But what's nice is that we're pretty much through the last harvest of really troubled product, and everything that we see now is starting to test better, act better, and we're rebuilding it. And we went through this in Illinois, so while we're never thrilled with something like this, we consider it kind of part of the business.
spk01: I'll let Dan answer the specific numbers of it.
spk08: Yeah, so Matt, it was a little over a million dollars a product. To answer the second part of your question, we, you know, what we have still in the vault and on the balance sheet today is about $350,000 worth of product. So while there's a little bit still that we have to flush through here, there's a lot lower You know, a lot less that we have left on the other side of this thing. So that kind of dimensionalizes where we're at. The overall impact on the margin side of things was about 200 bps for the issues in Massachusetts.
spk04: Okay, that's helpful. And taking in the refi opportunity you discussed, but also thinking about your cash flow from ops, You know, in this quarter, you were fairly close to crossing over to positive. And based on the revenue guide, you know, it looks like you would probably be positive in the back half of the year. I know working capital would be lumpy, but, I mean, do you think that you could be, you know, cash flow positive in the back half of the year?
spk05: Well, I'll turn it over to Devin to go through the specifics. But once again, I mean, I think what's important is we are after tax, free cash flow positive. significantly before expansion cap backs. And I think for any company, you know, we've all been doing this for a long time. That's a good position to be in because every dollar that we're investing that puts us at negative overall cash flow is high return capital to grow the business. So we like where we are and we like that the core business is essentially free cash flow positive. Dan, you want to go through the timing?
spk08: Yeah, so we should be in late Q3 or late Q4, we should be after tax, cash flow positive, not accounting for the CapEx spend that we have for these cultivation build-outs for the remainder of the year.
spk11: Okay, that's great. Thank you very much.
spk10: Your next question comes from Graham Cranor with 8 Capital. Please go ahead.
spk07: Hi, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my question. I wanted to ask a follow-up regarding the comments made regarding M&A targets, particularly within new states. Looking at some of the targets that you laid out there, I'm just wondering, do you have any sort of internal hurdle rates or do you look for businesses at a certain stage or life cycle in terms of how that might fit in with the existing core business, what that might do to the financials? Just wondering if you get a bit more selective when you're looking at various greenfield opportunities? Thanks.
spk05: Thanks for the question. You know, it's hard to, you know, it's such a three-dimensional kind of matrix in terms of decision-making. It's hard to just give you a quick answer to that. You know, certainly, you know, when we bought our New Jersey asset, it was not profitable, didn't have a ton of revenue. And, you know, we're really buying assets. And we were, you know, also taking a risk that adult use didn't ever happen in New Jersey. So very high discount rate, but really high upside in the asset. When you get into a later stage existing adult use market, if we were to do something additional in Massachusetts, for instance, or if we were in a late stage medical market, those are the things where we're looking to be really accretive pretty much immediately or in 22. So, you know, we're always looking for accretive acquisitions, but I think you can get caught up in something being accretive on a multiple basis, but not accretive on a value basis. So we need to, you know, it's great to do accretive acquisitions. We're looking to do some. We're talking to people that fall in that category, but that isn't the only metric, right? We're looking at an industry that's going from $17 billion to $100 billion. There's plenty of upside for growth. There's plenty of assets that are underperforming. And those can be tremendous buys, you know, opportunistically. Also, you know, you have to admit that we're not the only people out there looking for M&A, right? So, you know, the market is definitely more competitive now, and we feel that we have a real competitive advantage in our existing states. And if you look at it by going deep and not wide, when you look at what we've done in Illinois and certainly what somebody like Kim has done in Florida and Cureleaf in New Jersey, by getting significant market share, you just drive huge profits in this industry. And that is something we would like to do in all our core markets.
spk01: And so in a lot of cases, our most accretive acquisition could be in our existing markets.
spk07: Understood. Appreciate the call there. Just as a quick follow-up, In terms of what you're seeing in the private markets right now, are the valuations reflecting what we've seen in the public markets coming off the highs in February, or is there a bit of a dislocation there as you're having these discussions? Thanks.
spk05: There's a bit of a dislocation. I mean, look, the private market, there's always an arbitrage between the private and public markets. But unfortunately, when the public markets come down like they have, you don't get that 20% or 30% reduction in in private market values right away. And it's also case-by-case basis. Forever in this industry, you have a lot of SSOs and smaller operators with stars in their eyes about either becoming MSOs or the high valuation of their assets. And that has really slowed down consolidation for us and a lot of other players. And that hasn't changed. But at the same time, You know, this industry is hard. People reach the level that they're capable of as operators, and they see it's time that they can maybe create more value for themselves and their investors by partnering with somebody like us. You know, we think that, you know, we have a very attractive stock. We're a company that kind of does what it says it's going to do, good people to work with, executed. So we hope we're a good partner. There's a lot of memories in this industry on the private side of people who did deals with companies that had stock implosions. And so it's not just valuation. People want confidence in the stock that they're getting, in the case that they're getting stock, as well as the people involved. So those are all areas where we compete.
spk01: to get good deals and get attractive valuations. Okay, thank you very much for that.
spk10: Your next question comes from Kendrick Tai from ATB Capital. Please go ahead.
spk11: Kendrick, your line is now open.
spk06: Apologies, technical difficulties. Good evening, and thank you for taking my questions. Abner, just on Illinois and the capacity expansion there, can you speak to or even just directionally provide any insight on how much more attractive either the yields will look through that expanded footprint and or perhaps just speak to sort of what your expected margin profile, you know, could be that you would generate relative to what you do now on that much smaller footprint? And then a follow-up question on Illinois and the capacity expansion there. As it relates to new retail licenses, is it reasonable to assume that part of what you've been building into here at your sort of target of $113,000 next year is with a view to having room to support those additional new licenses as they come on through the lottery process in the second half of next year?
spk05: Yeah, let me take the macro point and turn it over to Dan on some of the specifics of the return on the greenhouse. Yeah, look, you know, Illinois has just under 110 stores now with 14 million people. That's significantly understored, right? I think the industry is really excited about having additional stores. We're not worried about the competition. We're excited that customers are going to have more access to product and creates a great opportunity for a wholesale market. That's clearly part of the thought process. Secondly, we do see these licenses as potentially people we can partner with to get our additional two licenses and get to 10. And we're having active discussions with people who have won the lottery or talking about it to partner with them in a way to become part of the Ascend family. When we look at the greenhouse, we think the greenhouse can do similar results to the indoor, but as you know, greenhouse, we're looking, we're gonna be a little bit more conservative We're going to look for a little lower turn and look for less flour and more product that's going to go into manufactured products and distillate. But we have a real shortage in our current facility in distillate. We've been very successful. And as a result, we need more biomass and we need more distillate. So this is product that's desperately needed for you know, our existing business and has a home right away. Dan, you want to talk a little bit about the margin profile or give them a little?
spk08: Yeah, sure. Yeah, so we don't really dive into margins on a state-by-state basis, but, you know, directionally I can kind of give a little bit of color. You know, we do we do have a pretty substantial footprint today in Illinois. We have 55,000 square feet of canopy and we're adding 58,000 square feet with the greenhouse. So it's it's well, it's a significant expansion. We're not tripling our canopy or quintupling our canopy like we are in Massachusetts or New Jersey and leveraging that overhead. With that being said, you know, greenhouse, it will obviously be lower cost biomass. You know, you don't have as much electricity related to that. And, but that'll kind of be offset by the fact that we assume more of our product will go towards distillate products due to it being greenhouse product, although it will be fully conditioned and a sealed greenhouse. I would say that we will be able to leverage our infrastructure that we have in place today at the Berry Cultivation. So think the lab, we don't have to add any additional capacity at our lab. We don't have to add any capacity at our kitchen or with any of the automated equipment we use related to pre-rolls or flower batching. So we can leverage that and leverage the capacity utilization there. And that should be accretive to margins. And then the last point I would make directionally is that we are carrying the costs, not just in Illinois, but across these expansions of the tenant improvements that we spent for these expansions within our sale lease back today. So we're paying full freight on the rent side of things to fund these build outs. And that's included in the $6.1 million of rent that we paid in the quarter. Once we get production out of these facilities in Q1, that fixed cost along with the other fixed cost I talked about with the lab kitchen and just overall management overhead should provide a nice bump in margins once we're productive out of that facility.
spk05: And just to be clear, that's a huge headwind to our business, right? Because we only have 30% of our cultivation assets online. I mean, if you were to look at most other industries, you'd be capitalizing the cost of additional projects until they started generating revenue. You know, we're eating that full freight on rent. So, you know, that's why scale just immediately is so accretive to our bottom line as we bring this cultivation asset online.
spk06: Thanks, Admiral. I hear you. And that's great color from you and Dan. If I can just pivot to a quick discussion on brand and related. You know, your interesting little exhibit there on your ozone sort of positioning and, you know, particularly within the context of April. I'm just wondering, recognizing those sort of ratings and rankings can be pretty noisy. Is it safe to say that over time you're typically, you know, sort of, you know, put some takes within that top five sort of grouping in Illinois? Could you provide any insight there as to how that sort of trended directionally and perhaps how you exited the quarter? And then just one further follow-up for me, please.
spk05: Look, we're doing well. That was obviously a very favorable stat in April, so we're happy to share it with you. You know, I would say there's a number of great brands in Illinois, and we're all kind of, you know, Cresco is the biggest player, not surprisingly, you know, both the Cresco brand, the high supply, and others. After that on the wholesale side, you know, GTI, while we're ahead of Rhythm, has other brands. But, you know, there's a bunch of us, you know. You know, Verano, ourselves, and GTI are in that next group. Other players have great products, but they don't have, you know, the canopy or the depth of market yet. You know, they're building. They'll get there, I assume. But, you know, for right now, it's a small group that a dispensary can say, look, you know, I need you to fill my shelves every week. And that's, you know, that's what we're trying to do for our dispensaries and for every dispensary. um and you know that's that's been the contributor of our success knowing if you if you as a customer can know that there's going to be a flower pre-roll and a vape and a gummy delivered to your dispensary every uh week then you can be a great partner of that dispensary and we can do that in illinois and we want to do that in all our states thanks uh just a quick final one speaking of filling shelves um does the cachet of lao farms
spk06: create, you know, sort of demand, some natural demand pool, for want of a better way to put it, of that product? Or, you know, will you need to be doing a big marketing push around Laos? Any sort of color on, you know, how you're going to get from here to there on Laos? I mean, we're familiar with the cachet, obviously. But how does that cachet translate into shelf space near Illinois? And how do you plan on driving that shelf space allocation for Laos Farms?
spk05: Yeah, well, I mean, if you look at earlier states like Illinois and newly adult-used stores, customers are clamoring for new products. I mean, you know, you see it when Incredibles and Mindy's launches new flavors. You see it, you know, when GTI entered with Bebo. You saw it when we came to market with some cookies product. The market responds really well to new products. It's just a matter of them then liking that product and holding on to it. you know, we're very bullish on the pre-roll segment. It is our biggest focus. You know, when you look at, you know, the cannabis industry, you know, only 20% of the people are buying pre-rolls. But when you look at the cigarette industry, 2% of the people roll their own cigarettes. So, you know, we see pre-rolls as the fastest growing segment in the market for flour. You know, we're very focused on it. And in order to do that, we want to bring in additional brands. You know, because we're not as focused on the best segment in the market, it makes us a natural player and partner for someone like Lowell, because our ozone and ozone reserve will play below that brand. And so we can use the cachet of Lowell to help build their brand at the top. And we can basically show the quality for value segment on the ozone and ozone reserve. That's why we think we're such a great partner. Look, we love to develop best brands, we are working on it. But you know, we also know there's some great brands out west, and we'd love to partner with them. We think it goes great
spk01: you know, with the ozone strategy. Thanks so much, and congrats on the quarter.
spk10: Your final question.
spk05: I would also say, I would just also add that I think Lowell's category, which is multi-pack pre-rolls, is an undersupplied category. You know, they do a good job with it, but in general, the market does clamor for multi-pack pre-rolls, and so that is a segment that ozone wants to fill, and I think Lowell does, you know, a tremendous job on the premium side.
spk01: Thanks, Edwin.
spk10: Your final question comes from Jesse Fidlock with Cormark Securities. Please go ahead.
spk02: Hey, good evening. Just on your total transaction, you had some very nice sequential growth, and I'm just wondering if you could maybe elaborate a little bit on how much of that came from the new story openings versus the higher throughput.
spk01: Thanks, Jesse. I'll turn that one over to Dan to give you the financial metrics.
spk08: Yeah, well, it's really hard to break that down, I would say. I mean, the vast majority of that would have come from, you know, new store openings. We did, despite only having three openings in the quarter, we did open our Fairview Heights dispensary, which is in southern Illinois. In southern Illinois near St. Louis, that store came out of the gate very strong. That was not in the compare in, you know, that was technically not a new opening, but it opened March 27th. So that was a big contributor. So we have seen additional throughput through dispensaries. Our Chicago acquisitions, the Boston dispensary has been ramping nicely as well. but the vast majority is through the new openings.
spk02: Okay, understood.
spk11: And then just switching to New Jersey, you know, I'm just hearing kind of anecdotally. Jesse, I think we cut out.
spk10: Are you still there, Jesse? It looks like we've lost Jesse. There are no further questions at this time. Please proceed.
spk05: Yeah, look, thank you, everybody, for joining the call. We're very excited about what's going on. We continue to scale this business. It's hard, but we're doing it, and we're growing quickly, and we look forward to speaking to you very shortly.
spk10: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines. Have a great day.
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