Avance Gas Holding Ltd

Welcome everybody to Avans Gas second quarter result presentation. I'm Øystein Kalle Kleve as mentioned, CEO of Avans Gas and I'm joined today by Randi Navdal-Beklund, our CFO. She will go through the numbers a bit later in the presentation. First to start off, the newest ship in our fleet, the Avans Avio, she was delivered from Hanwha Ocean, previous Davoo shipyard in South Korea on May 30th. And she recently completed her maiden voyage from Korea to picking up a cargo in the U.S. and then going back to China. And she's now on her way for her second voyage. Hmm. As you might notice here, also on the slide, we have a blue moon on the slide deck. It's today, August 30. Not only do we have a blue moon, but we have a super blue moon. Last time we did have this was 2009, and next time we're going to have it is 2032. So once we finish the presentation, I recommend you guys to have a look up at the sky tonight. Because it's not only the freight rate which is rocketing to the moon, it's also a very nice moon today. So let's start with the disclaimer. We will be presenting some expectations about the future with some forward-looking statements. We will use some non-GAAP measures when it comes to time-shutter equivalent earnings. And then, of course, we cannot cover all the details. So I also refer you to our earnings report, which we also published this morning. So let's kick off with the highlights. Very strong earnings for the quarter. The time charter equivalent earnings for the quarter was $52,000 per day on a low to discharge basis in line with guidance of $50,000 per day. The alternative measure here is also the discharge to discharge measure, which came in line with this, 50,800, also in line with guidance of $50,000. This means that even though our time charter equivalent earnings, or basically our average earnings per ship, was $6,000 lower than Q1, we did have more ship dates available with the delivery of Avio in May and then Rigel in February. So with these more ship dates, we actually replicated the very good numbers from Q1. In Q1, we delivered our strongest Q1 numbers ever. I think this is the second best Q2 numbers we have ever delivered. But combined, we are delivering a net profit for the first half of the year of 72 million, which is the strongest bottom line we have ever delivered. As I mentioned in the beginning, we took delivery of Avior. We're fixing her now for the second voyage. And then during the quarter, since we reported the last time in end of May, we have also expanded into a new area, which I will cover later in the presentation, with the contracting of four medium-sized LPG ammonia carriers for delivery in 2025 and 2026. Since last time, we also extended the variable time charter for Chinook with a super major for 12 months, taking that ship into July next year. As I mentioned, rates are going to the moon. Today, the Rastanura, Chiba, Japan, Aegean, Arabian Gulf, Japan route. The rate today is about 80,000 for a spot voyage, but we actually use the Baltic Aegean Japan route these days rather than the U.S., Japan, where there are more cargoes because of all the congestion in Panama, which I will cover lately, which distorts a bit the TCE numbers. But 80,000, that means with the spot exposure we have, we expect the second quarter, second half of the year to be even better than the first half. We are guiding stronger numbers for Q3. We expect to deliver TCE numbers in the high 50s compared to the low 50s. And as I mentioned, we also have more ship dates, which is also increasing our earnings capacity. We also have a high spot exposure, both for Q3 and Q4, which I will come back to. So with that, the board has decided to declare a third consecutive 50 cents dividend for the quarter. which then give a running yield of about 20%. And of course, as I mentioned with these bookings, our earnings is not expected to go down for the next quarter. All in all, that means we have delivered $1.7 of dividend last four quarters, which then gives our last 12 months yield of about 17%, still a pretty attractive yield. So let's have a look at our commercial performance. We do have a combination here of ships on time charter. Here we do have both fixed rate time charter and variable time charter, meaning more like an index charter. We have the two older ships on fixed higher rates. We have one ship, the Pampero, on a fixed higher rate. And then in this Q2 quarter, we had two ships on index, Polaris and Capella. As we mentioned in our May earnings report, we terminated the Capella index, and we have instead hedged that ship, taking her into the spot and hedged the exposure for Q3 and Q4 by derivatives, which we call SFA. I will come back to that. The earnings for the spot ships was close to $65,000 for the quarter, and $40,000 for the ships on time charter. That resulted in an average TCE for the quarter of $54,500, but then we need to deduct the losses on the freight hedging, about $2,500 for the fleet in total, where we end up at this $52,000, which I mentioned. For Q3, numbers are better. The spot rates, we expect to be at around $71,000 for the quarter. We are more or less fully booked already for Q3, so we do have a pretty good idea about this number. TC rates, slightly higher, also driven by the index charters. And then, of course, we do have, as you can see, more spot exposure in Q3, but we have also hedged more by FFAs. As I mentioned, we Hedged one ship for 23 at 47,500 for the full year. Once we terminated the Capella index, we hedged that ship for Q3 and Q4 at 53,000 and 63,000 respectively, on average 58,000. So that means we do have more losses on freight hedging in Q3 as the spot market's been super strong. So that means the... If you calculate the rates there, you will be arriving at about 61,300, but we expect the FFA to drag this number down to below 60, and that's why we're guiding numbers on a discharge-to-discharge basis after FFA losses or in the high 50s. So I mentioned we have been doing some fleet renewal. Let's see. Did I jump? Okay, I jumped on a slide here. Okay, let's give an overview of our fleet first. So today we have 20 ships in our fleet. So what we've been doing the last year or so is to renew the fleet. So we've been putting out the older ships for sale. These are the 2008 and 2009 ships. Last year we sold three of these ships, that is Glory, Providence and Promise. We announced during the summer that we also agreed a sale of Iris Glory for 60 million. And as we see here, the sale is pending. That doesn't mean there is any uncertainty about it. We have received the deposit from the buyer. The ship is on a time charter, which we expect to end in October. And then we will deliver the ship to the new owners. That means we only have one of these older ships left. It's the Venus Glory. She's also on a fixed hire time charter until about end of the year. And we expect to dock this ship during the 15 year class for the ship in October. We also have eight equal class ships. These are built to 15. Two of these ships are without scrubber, and the six other ships are with scrubber. The ships we have a scrubber, like source gas cleaning system, we trade those in the spot market. And the ships we don't have a scrubber with, where we are facing some diesel risk, we have been taking on time charter. So Chinook, we recently extended on an index until next summer, while Pampero is on a fixed higher rate time charter until end of this year. Then we have the new class of ships, the star class or the dual fuel class. Polaris and Capella, as I mentioned, delivered 2022. Polaris on a time charter until early next year. Capella now in the spot market where we hedged her by derivatives for Q3 and Q4. We took delivery of Rigel in February, Avior in May, and then we have two more ships for delivery next year. Then, during the summer, we've been busy ordering some new ships. These are medium-sized gas carriers. These are combination carriers, which can carry both LPG and ammonia. These ships can also burn both very low sulfur oil and LPG, and they are also fitted with a shaft generator, making them very economically to run. I will explain a bit more about this next slide. So that means altogether today, 20 ships. We have one ship with a pending sale that takes it down to 19. Average age, have we been able then to reduce to 5.6 years? All the new ships we have contracted are dual fuel ships, so 10 ships with dual fuel engines. We have, as I mentioned, six ships of the Eco class fitted with a scrubber. We have six ships. which can carry both ammonia and LPG. This is the Castor and Pollux for delivery next year, so VLGCs, which can carry ammonias, and all the new MGCs. There's actually also ammonia notation on Iris and Venus Glory. So if we adjust for that, the number is actually seven or eight, depending on this pending sake. Four of the dual fuel class ships, Rigel, Avior, Castor and Pollux, these ships can also burn ammonia as a fuel. So we do have quite a lot of flexibility in the fleet, both in terms of the cargo size, the cargo type, the fuel we can burn, being heavy fuel oil on the scrubber ships, dual fuel or very low sulfur oil, and then also ammonia on some of the ships. So if we go to the next slide, I can explain a bit more about this fleet renewal. So, what we've been doing, as I mentioned last year, selling three of these 2809 class of ships. We just announced sale of Iris. Of course, we are marketing Venus Glory also for sale. This ship is slightly better spec than Iris Glory. She has two deck tanks, which means you can fill the full ship with butane cargo and keep the propane heel in the cargo tanks. So if we assume we get the same price, 60 million, this ship has lower leverage, about $10 million less of leverage. This would release $60 million. Then we have contracted four MGCs with a combined capex of 246. We do find this very attractive. Broker value for these ships are already about $5 million higher than the price we have contracted them for. So if we assume... 70% loan to value. It might seem a bit high compared to what we have of loan to value today, but reflecting the fact that a lot of these ships typically have longer term charters, which you can bank on and get a higher level leverage on the ships. That means our financing capacity of 186 and the equity release or the cash release from Iris and Venus would be 60. So we would be able to finance the equity portion of these four ships with the sale of two older ships. And that means one plus one is four new ships. So two 15-year ships can then easily become four newer ships. And if we fail on doing that, we also have a very substantial cash balance of 192 million, which we can utilize to finance the ships as well. So just a bit more clarity on this. As I mentioned, four MGCs. These are super high spec, can carry both LPG and ammonia. They are fitted with fuel engines that can burn very low sulfur and oil and LPG. And right now, it's very attractive to be able to burn LPG, which is much cheaper than very low sulfur oil. Price point, $61.5 million. which is, if you compare this to Korea-built MGCs, it's about $8-9 million less, and we have earlier delivery, with first ship already end of 2025, and the rest of the ships in 2026. So why are we doing this? It gives us very new advanced ships. The MGC sector is also an attractive sub-segment of the LPG market. And also we have the additional benefit of being able to carry ammonia. The ammonia trade is also expanding. Ammonia is a more efficient hydrogen carrier than hydrogen because of much better volumetric density. So we do see a lot of opportunities there, especially now with all these programs like Inflation Reduction Act, where we see a lot of blue ammonia projects as well as green ammonia projects. And this ammonia needs to be transported, and we have the right chips in terms of the technical specification, but also the parcel size, which tends to be smaller for ammonia cargoes than LPG cargoes. Additionally, last point, which I will also cover on the next slide, is the fleet of MGCs is aging. So maybe we should just Okay, it's the slide after that. Okay, seaborne LPG export, as I mentioned. So what we have done here on the number one graph on the left is to take out the data for LPG export, and then we have drilled on to cargoes being transported by a medium-sized gas carrier. And as you can see, a pretty nice growth curve here, 11% CAGR from 2014 to 2023. We do have a dip. In 2022, this is mostly related to Russia. So if you also look at the ammonia trade, we have the similar dip. However, just as we have seen in the product anchor space, the inefficiency are driving ton mileage. So even though we have had this volume drop, ton mileage has gone up. And of course, eventually, we do expect a pretty sizable increase in the ammonia trade. Slide off. The picture number three here is from the Yara Capital Market Day presentation they recently had, where we do see a lot of new uses for ammonia. Of course, there's a lot of ammonia that needs to be green, which is black today, but then there's also a lot of new ammonia coming to the market through green or blue projects, where it could also be a better hydrogen carrier than just regular hydrogen, and that means we are bullish on the prospects and also the optionality of having these ships when we look at the fleet, which I think is the last slide I'm going to cover today. Let's see. So if you look at the fleet, it's an aging fleet. When we take delivery of these ships, we have close to 25% of the fleet will be turning 20 years. It's a bit Lumpy, this order book, 2007, there are quite a lot of ships. So those ships will be 19, so close to 20 years, meaning that they are getting close to retirement. Additionally, we do see that the newer ships, just like with the VLGCs, are much more efficient, both in terms of... the engines, which are more efficient, but also the fact that they can burn LPG, which is much cheaper, and also where you are reducing your carbon footprint. So with the order book today, 35 ships, including our ships, most of the other ships are fixed on long-term charters, which means there are very few uncommitted ships available in the market. Yeah. Okay. I have one more slide on dividends. Maybe that's the most interesting. slide for investors. So as you can see, we've been ramping up the dividend. Q4 2021, we had 5 cents. We increased it to 20 cents. We kept it there for three quarters. And now with the very strong market from Q4 2022, we have been sticking to 50 cents per share. We are repeating that for Q2. And as I mentioned, outlook for Q3 and Q4 is even better. So I think we will be able to provide or continue to provide investors with a very strong dividend going forward. And if we look at the decision factors without going into too much detail, of course, we just delivered our best ever first half profit of 72 million. Second half of the year looks very promising based on the market outlook and the FFA and the arbitrage levels. Of course, we don't have too much backlog, but we have two ships on FFA coverage. We have three ships on fixed higher rates, as I mentioned, on index. We have a very good cash position, 192 million. We don't have any covenant issues with our banks, and we don't have any loans maturing before 2027. We have increased our capex with the four MGCs, but as I mentioned, we do have a plan for financing those ships through the sale of older ships with a debt facility. And if not, we do have the sizeable cash position to cover some of that capex as well. So with that, I think I hand it to you, Randi.

Thank you, Esten. And let's go to slide 11 and have a look at our income statements and key financial figures. So we are pleased to report yet another quarter with strong financial results. The average time charter equivalent rate or TCE rate for the quarter was $52,000 a day, low to discharge and 50,800 in line with the guidance of $50,000 a day. This compares with a reported TCE rate of 58,400 for the first quarter. TCE earnings of likely higher in the second quarter of 63 million compared to 62 million in previous quarter due to more vessel dates as we took delivery of our fourth dual fuel new building in May 23. The TCE is reduced by 3 million in forward freight agreements or SFA, which translates to a negative effect for the fleet of 2,500 a day. The SFA is an alternative to contract coverage and as the spot market was considerably stronger Then our coverage for one ship of 47,500 a day, we recognize a lot. So just a reminder on the accounting side, the SSA and bunker hedges are designated for hedge accounting, where the fair value is taken through other comprehensive income and the equity and hits the TCE earnings when they become effective. operating expenses or optics were 9.7 million equaling a daily average of 8 000 a day this compares to 9.8 million or 8 600 a day for the first quarter and operating expenses are down basically uh due to more um uh partly due to more vessel days and after taking delivery of two new builds here today requiring less maintenance and repair enough story We continue to hold the lowest administrative and general expense, or ANG, by far, compared to our industry peers. For the quarter, ANG was 1.3 million, equalling an average per ship day of 1,100, and represents more or less a normalized ANG going forward. Non-operating expenses consisting of finance expense, finance income and foreign exchange loss were 4.3. And despite rising interest rates, we maintained the net finance expense from previous quarter as we have a high interest rate coverage of 90% of the underlying interest bearing debt, fixed at 3% compared to a current SOFR of 5.3. And this combined with an increase in interest earned on cash deposits, we will see a relatively maintained net finance expense going forward as well. This concludes the net profit of 35.7 million, which corresponds to an analyzed return on book equity of 24%. Looking at the first half net profit of 72 million, this is the best first-half profits in Avanskast ever. Moving to slide 12, a few comments to our balance sheet. Total assets increased by 54 million, primarily due to the delivery of a fourth new building of Avanskast of the year, as already mentioned. Our balance sheet currently consists of 14 villages on water. which is soon to be 13 as we sold the 2008 by the VLGC Iris Glory with delivery to the new owners between September 23 and January 24. Further, we have two dual-fuel VLGCs, Avant Casto and Avant Pollux, which currently represent new builds under construction and will commence depreciation at delivery during the first quarter of 24. Additionally, our balance sheet will increase with the recent four contracted MGCs as we pay pre-delivery capex prior delivery in 2025-2026. Looking at the liability side, we have a reasonable loan-to-value ratio of 51% and maintained our solid shareholder equity exceeding 50%. Total shareholder equity was 590 million at the quarter end. and has decreased by 10 million during the quarter and is explained by a net profit of 36 being offset by dividend paid of 38.3 million for the first quarter and a negative movement in other comprehensive income of 7.8 million which relates to a positive movement in interest rate swaps and negative movements in the fair value of SFA hedging of 12.6. As with the spot market, the share price has moved significantly upward with a year-to-date increase of 76%, and it's currently supporting our book values with a price-book ratio of 1.3. We have a strong cash position of 192 million as of June 23, which leads us to the next slide showing the cash movements during the quarter. We started with a cash position of 220 million, and during the quarter we generated 49 million in cash flow from operations, coming from strong freight income, exceeding our cash break-even level at approximately $22,000 a day today, which was offset by a decrease in working capital of 18 million, as accounts receivables increased by 14 million due to higher freight, And we also had an increase in prepayments of 9 million, mainly related to cash deposits on negative fair value of our SFA hedging position, which is partly offset by increase in accounts payable of 5 million. Further, we paid 13 million in capital expenditure, of which 8 million relates to Avans Castor, scheduled for delivery in 24. And dry docking expense of 5 million of Iris Glory and Venus Glory. We had a cash release of 3 million in net proceeds from loan related to delivery of Avance Avior. Cash release of 1 million from terminated swaps. We paid down debt by 12 million. And lastly, we paid 38 million in dividend for the first quarter of 23. And this brings the total negative cash movements of 28 million, which explains the bridge from 220 to 192 million at quarter end. Looking at our financing portfolio on slide 14, 70% of our outstanding debt and committed financing at the quarter end is sustainability-linked bank loans with a split in term loans. and 113 million non-armatizing revolving credit facility or RCF, which gives us flexibility to pay down the RCF when we have the capacity to do so and avoid interest expense and redraw when we need the funding. So the remaining 30% is a leaseback arrangement of which 20% or 135 million will be drawn next year at delivery of our remaining new builds. We have also locked in 90% of our average steps in 23 and 24 as an interest rate of 3% based on SOFRO compared to floating SOFRO 530 today, as mentioned, and this corresponds to a discount rate on interest expense of 43 compared to the current level. The chart on the right hand side of the slide, you can see that we're close to finalize our VGT new building program where the remaining two out of six VGTs will be delivered within the six months. At quarter end, we have paid about 75% of the total capital expenditure of our new building program and the remaining 25% or 121 million It's fully funded with 135 million daily spec with no commitment fee attached to it, which was signed in August last year. So this means that we are cash positive of 14 million on delivery in the first quarter next year. So to shortly summarize, we have a strong financial results, very sound financial position with the cash of 192 million, and that combined with the strong earnings into the second half of 23, we are positioned to continue returning value through dividends. So, yeah. And with that, Aysen, I'll leave it back to you for the market and the company update on slide 15.

Okay, thank you, Ørande. Let's look at the demand and supply. Nothing really new here. On the export side, there are two huge markets. Of course, the Middle East and then the US, which has become by far the biggest export market. And as you can see, growth here is pretty healthy. 17% growth in North American exports from 2021 to 2023, year to date. Middle East, even stronger, actually, 28% up from 2021 to 2023. Import-wise, it's mostly about Asia, China. It's a huge market. And even though economic recovery following the scrapping of the COVID restriction has been a bit slow in a lot of shipping segments, We see a very strong growth on the LPG side, 27% up yesterday, and then 38% up from 2023 to from 2021. And even during the COVID lockdowns of 2022, we had this market in China growing because LPG is cheap. LPG can replace coal. Coal has actually been expensive. LNG has been expensive. LPG is It's easy to handle and cheap and burn clean. And that makes it very attractive with customers. India also growing despite also their COVID restrictions. And of course, Europe with less gas coming from Russia. We have seen a bit substitution effect there to LPG with pretty strong growth in the European import market as well. If you look at the cargo types, VLGCs are by far the biggest cargo size. And then the other type is, of course, MGCs. So VLGCs and medium gas carriers take 83% of the cargo market. The others are the large gas carriers and the handy size. So let's look at a snapshot of the market today. Actually, this is close of market yesterday. The Baltic hasn't closed for today yet. There are three main routes. Not surprisingly, they are from AG and US. The most common Baltic LPG one is Ratanura to Chiba. Yesterday, that closed at $97 per metric ton. It means that people are paying $97 per metric ton you are transporting. And usually, you are transporting around 45,000 tons. On our bigger ships, we can transport all the way up to 51,000 tons. So this route today, given the bunker prices, close to $80,000 per day on a round trip basis. The other route is US to Japan. As you can see, it's a pretty big premium here, 93,500. But this assumes you get kind of a perfect voyage, and you have booked a slot in Panama, and you go straight through the canal. which is for most part not the case today, which I will come back to later. So if you are fixing this route through Suez, which is the most common these days, you get a round-trip economics about 80,000, similar to taking a Middle East cargo to Asia. And then if you're doing a shorter haul voyage intra-Europe, you can make as much as $111,000 per day. As I mentioned, the Panama auction, I will come back to this as well. Panama is clogged. We also have a bit in our slow traffic ahead in our presentation here. This means that with the worst drought in Panama since the canal opened in 1914, they have had to take down the numbers of daily transit. Each transit of a ship means that they need to refill the canal. And this means that about 200 million liters of water or 50 million gallons are displaced and lost to sea. So when you have low waterfall in the main reservoir, you have to limit the number of transit and you also have to reduce the draft. So when the Panama has less transit, they are not making as much money. So what happens then is that they start auctioning slots, which makes it also very unpredictable when you get a slot. And people are paying top dollars with the average from 1st of August to 27th of August for the northbound, meaning the voyage when you're coming from Asia to load the cargo in the US. The average to skip the queue has been $844,000, and this comes on top of the regular fees. close to $400,000. So it's very expensive to get through it, and it creates a lot of unpredictability in scheduling a ship. As I mentioned, the U.S. exports strong, 10% up year over year, 11% in the Middle East, and this 27% increase in import in China, despite a rather slow economic recovery. So the arbitrage is one of the big drivers for freight levels. So as it is today, LPG is super cheap in the US, driven by very high inventory levels. Fields in the shale basins are getting more gaseous. That means you have more LPG production. LPG demand in the US has been pretty slow because of the weather. And that means you have huge inventories in the US, driving the price in the US, while demand is strong in Asia. So today, the price of LPG is about $280 higher in Asia than in US. So actually, if you look at this freight rate of $175 per metric ton, that leaves more than $100 per metric ton in profit for the terminals and traders. So it's immensely profitable to move a cargo from US to Asia. And that means you can also pay higher freight. And this arbitrage is not going away any day soon. The future market doesn't expect arbitrage to stay at this hugely elevated level for all the time. But next year, average arbitrage is about $190 per metric ton. And this will be supporting the freight market. And if we look at the graph, On the left-hand side in the bottom here, we can look at the future freight rates, and these are the ones we can hedge. You see this dotted line? They're going to stay elevated for the remainder of the year, and then we expect somewhat lower rates for next year. Pretty decent level. We are talking here average rate for next year, 2024, in the future market for a non-scrubber ship above $50,000, which is more than twice our cash break even of around $22,000. So that's why we are pretty upbeat about the market because there is, as you can see on the right-hand side, a pretty good correlation between the arbitrage and the freight rate. So turning back to the Panama Canal, on the left-hand side here, you see the waiting time. It's gone up and down. We haven't even come to the winter. Winter season is usually Q4 is when you have the biggest congestion in Panama. Now we are already seeing it in August, driven by this drought. And Panama has announced that limitations to number of daily transit will continue for a long time. in order to fill up this reservoir. Another thing is that, of course, this volatility in waiting times is very sporadic. So it goes up and down. So when you are discharging a cargo in Asia, you're fixing a ship for US, you don't know whether the waiting time will be two days, five days, 10 days, 20 days. So it's very hard to get a fixed schedule. And then suddenly if it goes up, which it happens quite a lot, as you can see on this graph, suddenly you are losing your cargo and you have fixed your ship with a two-day lay can in order to get that cargo. And if you are not making the cut, you will be dropped. And then you have been ballasting on your own account and have to fix the ship again. So that means a lot of people, rather than going US, China, 10,500 nautical miles, 58 days on trip, they go through Suez. And this is adding days. So that route is 14,500 nautical miles. And even if fuel prices are high, They might go through us. If fuel prices are low, they might go through Cape of Good Hope in order to avoid the Suez Canal fees. And then we're talking 15,800 nautical miles and even longer legs. So when people are avoiding the canal, it drives ton mileage. And as I mentioned, you can skip the queue, but it's immensely costly. We have seen here on the right-hand side, the blue dots are ...of winning an auction to get past the queue, as the Panama has been increasing the number of auctions in order to keep the revenue stable. And as you can see on this blue dotted line there, it's gone rapidly up. We've seen first starting to get one million, one and a half, close to two. And now last week we saw $2.4 million being paid for a spot auction fee. And when you add the regular fee, you are getting close to $3 million to get your ship through the canal. And then, of course, you would have saved a lot of money going through Suez or Cape of Good Hope instead. Yeah, last slide before concluding. This is the regular slide. It's the order book. The order book has been the worry of most analysts for 2023. was scheduled 46 ships for delivery this year. I think we said in our November presentation last year, we didn't believe that that many ships would be delivered. We had four ships for delivery this year. We're going to end up having two, meaning 50% slippage. We do see slippage because the yards are quite busy these days with LNG and container orders. Which means the market stayed much better than everybody expected, and people started to worry about 2024 instead. But as we have shown, the future rate curve is pretty good for 2024 as well, with non-scrubber ships making above 50,000. Of course, the future curves are not always right, but the fundamentals are in place for a very conductive market, given the arbitrage level and all the congestion in Panama. So with that, I think we conclude. I just run through the summary. Very strong numbers for Q2. All-time high results for the first half of the year. We think we will do better in the second half of the year. We will also then probably book the 22 million gain on the sale of Iris Glory once we deliver that ship to new owners after we have completed the time charter. We have more ships on the water in the second half of the year, with two ships delivered in the first half of the year. We have a new subsegment with the four MGCs contracted at a very good time, at a very good price, in a very interesting market. We have taken some more coverage with the Chinook variable time charter, and as I mentioned, two ships hedged on freight derivatives. We are guiding... Stronger numbers for Q3, both time charter rates, but also we have more days available, similar to the effect was in Q2. We are booking Q4 now at very good numbers, 80,000 for Baltic One. And if you skip Panama, you get something similar for the longer route, US, China. And that takes you basically almost a full quarter. So if you're booking 80,000 and on a spot ship, you're covered 80,000. 85 of the 92 days in Q4. So with that, with a strong financial position, Randi has been talking about cash-wise and debt maturity-wise, we are declaring another good dividend, 50 cents, 20% yield. And with that, I would thank you for listening in. We will be back with our Q3 in end of August. And I think we open up for some questions.

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Yeah, I think we have some questions on the web, in the chat function, unless there are any questions by phone?

None from the phone lines at the moment.

We have a very long question there. Okay, let's take the shorter two, the two questions which are shorter first, because that's going to be... Okay, you mentioned the 35 vessel order book and that many of these vessels are delivering onto long-term charters. How should we think about the potential for this based port vessel to add additional pressure on the market, given many of these deliveries are in the near term? And this is Charles Bonner from Marhelm. So let me think here. 35 vessel order book. I guess he's talking about the MGC market here, where there are about 35 ships in order. We don't really have any exposure to this market until end of 25. So it's going to be more than two years before we take the first ship for delivery and then the next three ships in 26. So it's hard to predict the market near term here. Of course, LPG is cheap. And we're not only seeing a very good market in the VGC market, the MGC market is also strong now. Of course, we are not able to capture that since we don't have any ship on the market. But we do think that there will be some fleet renewal here because ships are getting older, ships are getting less efficient. And there are new decarbonization rules coming into force from 1st of January this year. And then a lot of these ships are also trading Europe, where you will have the European CO2 taxation from 1st of January next year, which will make our ships more competitive. So for us, it's a bit about the optionality. We are super comfortable trading these ships as LPG, but we get the added benefit of being able to trade ammonia quite easily. And the outlook for ammonia is Pretty compelling, even if you're not starting to use ammonia as a fuel for ships. There's a lot of ammonia that needs to be made from black to green, and people are wanting to have more food in the future as well. So ammonia is, of course, the driver for fertilizer. So we do see that even though it's not a shipping fuel, there are compelling outlook for the ammonia market, and that's why we order them. price point, timing, and the optionality of trading both segments. Then we have a question from Jonathan Wolff, whether we have plans to make the share more accessible to US-based investors by listing here. We did see that our main pair here in the Norwegian market, BWLPG, they announced yesterday that they are going to seek a new listing, which is something I've done with Flex LNG, where I'm also CEO. We started that process in 2018 and got that company listed in 2019 in the U.S. market, and that's been going quite well. I think it's a bit different there because we have a situation where the majority shareholder, Mr. John Fredriksen, owns 77% of the share. So the float is more of the shareholder. So that makes it, whether it's worthwhile to seek a US listing given the float in the stock, I'm not really sure about. We could maybe consider OTCX, OTCX listing, something like that to make it a bit easier, but I don't think it's worth spending them only doing a full listing of the company given the shareholder structure today. So you have to buy it in the Norwegian market. The Norwegian krona is super weak compared to the dollar. So, you know, maybe it's a good time to buy the stock and also have some exposure to the Nokia because it's historically weak against the dollar. So maybe you can get double up good income on the avant stock and hopefully some appreciation of the currency. At least we hope that's here in Norway because it's rather expensive going abroad these days. Let's see. We have one question from Greg Miller. I guess that's the Greg Miller of Freightways or something. Panama Canal restrictions have occurred frequently in the past. Do you see anything different in terms of market impact and will you see it this time versus instances of canal restrictions in the past? That's a good question. Yeah, we do see this happening more or less every season or every Q4. The last couple of years, Panama has been clogging. It's not really any surprise because when they expanded the Panama Canal way back, that was done to facilitate bigger container ships with all the trade from China to America on bigger container ships. Nobody at that time was thinking that America suddenly would become the biggest LNG and LPG exporter in the world. So the Panama Canal never really been scaled to this kind of trade. And then when on top of that, you get a very big drought driven by El Nino, then suddenly you get this situation already in the third quarter. So this is not going to get, you know, of course, rainfall will come back, but the congestion, but traffic will go up in Q4. So we don't really see any improvement near term. I think we will see a clogged canal both for the rest of Q3 into Q4, probably taper off sometime next year. But the trade is expanding. America is expanding a lot on the LNG side, where capacity will grow immensely the next couple of years. LPG exports will grow. So no, we don't see any improvements. And then, of course, you could always go into the discussion about climate change, if that's going to make the canal even more vulnerable in the future, where a lot of people are making that argument. So So we do think that Panama clogging is here to stay, and there is a preference for the cruise ships, the container ships, and the LNG ships with the more valuable cargo, rather than the LPG ships. So we will probably see less of the VLGCs transiting to Panama going forward than in the past. And should we try this long question? Okay, maybe you should read it then. I don't put my glasses.

So we have a question from about fiscal resilience and risk mitigation. The Q2 23 report shows a drop in the average TCE rate from 58,400 per day in the previous quarter compared to $52,000 a day. Can you delve into the risk factors and market conditions that contributed to this 11% reduction and what mitigative strategies is Avanskas employing to combat these changes?

Okay, let's go for that first. Yeah, we did have a drop in our, as I mentioned, 6,000 less in time charter equivalent earnings or average earnings for the quarter. And we mitigated that. We have more ships on the water, so we're able to generate the same result. We like the spot market, so we are happy taking that exposure and making $52,000 per day is pretty nice when your cash break even is $30,000 below that. That means $30,000, $11 million of EBITDA ownership or free cash flow ownership. Not EBITDA, free cash flow to equity ownership. That's a pretty good return. You can mitigate it. So we have done some mitigating. And that's, of course, we've done FFAs or freight derivatives, where we basically enter an agreement to lock in freight levels. And so we had one ship in the first half of the year at 47,500. And then we also did one for the second half of the year at average 58,000. So that's one way to do it. You can mitigate through derivatives. The easiest way to do it is, of course, to enter into a time chapter where either an index which will insulate you from some utilization risk, although the spot market there is quite liquid, so we don't worry too much about utilization risk as is often the case in LNG. So you rather want to lock in the rate level, which is quite volatile. So you can do that by doing a fixed higher charter. That is something we consider from time to time. And if we get a good rate, we're happy to lock in some returns there. And as I mentioned, if you're locking in 52 and you have a cashback if 22, you're generating 11 million of free cash flow. And that's pretty nice. So that is something we will consider if we get the right. And of course, we always have to look at what is the fixed rate higher versus our expectation for the spot market. We can take one or two more of this.

Yeah, we have four more. Let's continue with the second one. Revenue and competitive position. The TC coverage rate for the second quarter stands at 41% with an average TC rate of $40,000 a day. How does this performance compare with your main competitors and what steps in the company

thinking to improve its tc coverage in the upcoming quarters improve its tc coverage that that means that you want to improve the tc coverage it's not nice to improve your tc coverage if spot market is better so so if if we so a more it's adjusting your tc coverage so uh let's see last year you know we saw that around the 2023 market was pretty poor so you could have fixed a ship for 12 months or 24 months but the level you would have to be doing that was pretty low so we rather given our strong financial position we decided not to fix that many ship and rather stay in the spot market where we thought we would make more and of course we've been proven correctly but Of course, the strongest spot market now is driving up also the TC rates. So TC rates come up substantially, also driven by better arbitrage. So we look at this on a daily basis. It's not like the TC market is super liquid where you can just pick up the phone and say, I want to fix one ship 12 months at 50,000. A minute later, you fix the ship. So it takes a lot more work to do a time charter than a spot. So how it compares, 40,000, BW, their fixed TC coverage book was, I believe, 41. So it stacks pretty well compared to them, but it's a bit apples and bananas because the TC book for us includes ships that are older, and then we also have some on variable time shorter, so. But, you know, $40,000, we're making a decent return on that. But, of course, our spot exposure was closer to $65,000. So we're making a lot more money on spot and we're making more money on the spot in Q3. So, but that said, let's see if we do any big time shutter business, we will report that.

The third question from Mr. Trent. It's the portfolio diversification. The report highlights spot voyages constituting 59% of activities at a TC rate of 64,500 per day. Could you explain the rationale behind this heavily leaning towards spot voyages? Is the company looking to diversify its portfolio more evenly between term contracts and spot markets?

Yeah, but, you know, it's quite even, 59% and 41%. It's almost even than spot and TC. You know, we're quite agnostic, you know, whether we do TC or spot. For us, it's a calculation. You know, when we do a TC, we sit down, we make a curve, what we expect to make in the spot. We compare it to the TC rate. And if the spot rate we expect to make is a lot better, we don't do the TC. If we expect the TC to be in line with what we would expect to get in the spot, we might do it just to take down the volatility in our earnings. But for us, it's really a numbers game. We don't have a fixed strategy that we want to have 67% of the fleet on TC or one third on spot. Something like that. We are very opportunistic. We try to allocate the chips where we can get the best return. That simple.

The fourth question is on operational efficiency and market dynamics. You exceeded Q2 guidance of 50,000 by achieving an average TT rate of $52,000 a day. Could you unpack the operational efficiencies of favorable market conditions that contributed to this outcome? How sustainable are these factors?

We're just doing it slightly better than... Then what we have guided, but it's really driven by market. The market is volatile. It goes up and down. We try to capture the market on the open and fix some ships for longer voyages in order to lock in good rate levels. How sustainable? Really driven by the market. It depends on energy prices. Right now, we have had an environment where LPG is... incredibly favorably priced. We have had good ton mileage, strong growth from China, good export growth. So the market's been in a sweet spot, but this goes up and down like in all shipping segments. However, I think everybody's been positively surprised by the market this year because there was a lot of negative sentiment about it because of the order book for ships delivered this year. the market's been able to take care of it. And if we look forward, LPG, if you look at the price forward prices, they are low. So the arbitrage will stay strong. Panama will not improve. And people want to start burning a cleaner fuel than coal and biomass. So I think we are well positioned and we will, as I mentioned, we do think second half of the year will be better than the first.

The final question from Mr. Thames is related to strategic financial planning. Given that the company has exceeded its CC rate guidance for Q2 2023, are there any immediate plans for capital reallocation? Does Avanskaps intend to leverage this performance for growth strategies like M&A, technology investments, or fees expansion?

Yeah, we're just, okay, we're paying out 38 million quarter here in dividends which is a very good capital allocation strategy in my view. I'm a shareholder myself, so getting that dividend is really nice. So we're paying out actually slightly more than the earnings. We have done that for the last three quarters, given the good outlook and our big cash pile. And then the big capital allocation strategy we have been pursuing now is to selling older ships and replacing them with new MGCs, which are future-proof in terms of efficiency and also given that they can transport ammonia as well as LPG. So it's basically free renewal for dummies, as we put in the slide. So with that, I guess we might be able to conclude. Do we have more questions? No, that's good. Okay. Okay, thank you, everybody. Thank you for good questions. Thank you for dialing in or looking at our webcast. And yeah, we will be back in November with our Q3 numbers. And as I mentioned, we hope we will have a bigger bottom line for you guys. Okay.