11/7/2024

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Good afternoon. This is the CARS call conference operator. Welcome and thank you for joining the Azimut Hordi 9-month 2024 results conference call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Should anyone need assistance during the conference call, they may signal an operator by pressing star and zero on their telephone. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Gabriele Blais, CEO of Azimut. Please go ahead.

speaker
Gabriele Blais
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you very much and good afternoon to everyone. As usual, we'll go quickly through the presentation that you might have received and then we will be available for Q&A. If we just want to start on slide number four, quick highlights on the results so far this year. We have gathered up until the nine months 12.5 billion. If we update this with yesterday's announcement as of the end of October, inflows have come down to 14.3 billion, so surpassing even the revised guideline we have given in July this year. Adjust net income of $447 million, 28% progression with the same period the year before. And as far as clients are concerned, we are delivering net weighted average performance, so net of fees of 8.25% year to date. or 52 basis points ahead of the industry. In the meantime, during this 2024 that has been very rich in terms of achievements, we want to remind everyone that we did complete the first exit from our GP staking business, cashing in a significant amount of money given the investment that was initially made, so 60 million, and we came out with 165 million gross. The second announcement just a couple of weeks ago with the strategic partnership in Australia with Oaktree that is going to invest 124 million in AZNGA, a business which Admin started back in 2015. and has been valued at an AV of 690 million. In this case, we are not going for an outright sale, but we will retain a strategic stake of 25%. Last but not least, we will also touch this point later on, the reorganization of the Italian FA network, which aims to create a digital bank, and for the very first time since our history will enable us to capture NII in order to consolidate our relationship with clients and collect deposits. Moving to slide number five, this is a quick update on the trend in our assets under management and under custody. As you can see, significant growth throughout the year thanks to significant inflows. as well as a benign market environment, which adds on top a good performance on our asset. If you consider the spike that you see in Q2, this is in the inflow data. This is linked to the acquisition of true independence. Even if we exclude that, one point which is worth mentioning and underlining is how More than 70% of our inflows so far this year have gone into managed inflows. Moving to slide number six, this is the typical breakdown per region of our flows. As you can see, 2.3 billion out of Italy, thanks to our proprietary distribution system, as well as the contribution coming from the partnership with Unicredit. In the EMEA region, Turkey, Monaco, and the UAE, very strong, almost 200 million each. And then moving to the Asia-Pacific region, we have to definitely underline an almost billion euro of flows coming out of Australia, as well as some 230 million coming from the Asia region. As far as the Americas is concerned, 2.3 billion. Here the lion's share is contributed by Brazil with 1.4 billion of flows. As we have mentioned several times throughout the year, flows are coming back. There is a more constructive environment and therefore we are intercepting significant flows. As I mentioned before, $6.1 billion of acquisition from Sanctuary of True Independence, which walk us to the $12.5 billion in the nine months. Moving to slide number seven, total assets. As you can see, we have reached 106.1 billion euros. If you want to update this to last month, it goes up to 108 billion. And in terms of geographical breakdown, not much to say. In terms of weighting, it hasn't changed much. Once again, the three major markets account for more than 70% of our assets. Starting on slide number eight, we will go through quickly the results. We have decided that we'll be commenting the nine-month result, while Alessandro later on will be giving you a bit more color on the quarterly, third-quarter results. So as far as the revenue, we have a progression of 9% or almost $90 million year over year. If we break this down in the composition of the revenues, you can observe how the management fees have gone up by 5% to almost $900 million of that. 12 million comes from Italy as well as 30 million from our foreign operation which we can further break down in 9 million from change of perimeter and 20 million from organic growth with the lion's share here coming from Australia and Turkey respectively. As far as the Italian business, we have seen growth coming from the advisory and individual managed portfolios, as well as the ongoing trend of revenue growth out of the private market initiative, which is partially affecting the lower recurring fees on funds, as well as the fact that we are switching AUM from liquid into illiquid products. As you can observe, 196 basis points of recurring margins. This is something we have commented several times after seeing a downward trend in the last quarters. Second and third quarter of this year, I've seen a stable margin at 196 basis points. If we go back to the insurance fee line, we have seen a positive growth of more than $30 million. The bulk of that is related to performance fees, which is $29 million, while the current component goes up by $4.5 million. year-over-year. Moving to the performance feline, we have a significant increase versus the year before. So far this year, I would say that net of the negative fulcrum, we have a positive contribution coming from Italy that partially offset the negative fulcrum but most importantly performance fees from our foreign operation in excess of 15 million delivers the almost 9 million of net performance fees last but not least in terms of the other revenues you can see a good level at more than 30 million this is explained by the investment banking and FinTech activities for almost half of that amount, and then fees that are client activity driven for the other half. Moving to slide number nine. You can see a breakdown of the costs, which are up by 60 million compared to a year before. If we deep dive again here in terms of distribution costs, they are up by 25 million, of which Italy explains 20 million. And this can be summarized in $5 million related to the progression of the management fees that we commented before. Another $5 million related to the placement of private market funds by third parties as well as some affiliates that are managing some of our funds. And last but not least, $7 million almost by higher variable incentives as well as higher severance payments due to the year's curve, which is now no longer in our favor as we commented in the year before. If we move, sorry, there is also in the distribution cost line 3 million almost of higher marketing costs in Italy, also related to the new bank project that we have commented in the last quarters. As far as the foreign business, we have a progression in the distribution cost line of 5 million related to a bunch of different countries, but nothing material or exceptional here. Moving to the personal and SG&A line, we have a progression of 30 million where basically Italy stays flat with probably one notable exception related to some successful variable incentive for some successful corporate investment banking activities, And the benefit of that is below the EBIT line, so in the finance income line. So you see the cost in here, but the revenues or the income are booked below the EBIT line. When we move to the foreign operation, there is a progression of $25 million, $5 million explained by the new perimeter, as well as $20 million of organic growth. This leads us to an EBIT of $458 million and an EBIT margin of 43.5%, basically flat versus the year before. Moving on, clearly this year the finance income is playing a very significant contribution. The bulk of that is explained by the capital gain that we recorded on the sale of the Kennedy Lewis stake. whereas the O3 transaction is not yet here. We also have been pleased by some dividends from our GP staking business, as well as our positive net interest income on our cash that today is yielding an average yield of around 3%. Net profit, an adjusted basis, just to better reflect the industrial profitability of the company, is not considering the impact of the IFRS 17, which is $447 million or a 28% progression versus the year before, which gives us a 61 basis point in terms of net profit margin. Moving on to slide number 12, you see the usual snapshot of our performance, a weighted average performance net of the fees. On a four and a half year basis, we are delivering an over performance of more than 90 basis points, whereas year to date, as we have already mentioned, this stands at 8.25% or 50 basis points ahead of the industry benchmark. Slide 13, not much to say, if not that we are continuing the buildup of our presence in the private market space with 6.3 billion. And you can see on the following slide the geographical breakdown, which by now is mainly Italy-driven, following the state of Kennedy-Lewis, and from an asset class perspective, there is a very balanced mix between private debt, private equity infrastructure, and the rest. So let's go to a couple of slides on the transaction in Australia. As you have heard and read, probably we have successfully completed a very interesting transaction. It took us a bit longer than what we expected originally, but there was a lot of interest and we thought it was quite appropriate to assess every single transaction that we were submitted and choose the optimal bidder as far as we were seeing the future development of the business. So some of you may remember that AZNGA is basically consolidating financial practices in Australia. So we now have more than 34 partner firms and in excess of 15 billion Australian dollars of assets under advice. It was founded back in 2014, although the first transaction was performed in 2015. The rationale behind this transaction is clearly to sell a portion of our stake, retain at least a strategic interest of 25%, and participate in the future growth of the underlying industry and, most importantly, of AZNGA. AZNGA will continue to consolidate businesses into what we call super firms in order to be even more present across the country and more meaningful in terms of the advice we provide to our domestic Australian customers. As far as The positioning and the reasoning why we did this transaction is that with Oak Tree, who has been investing in the financial industry in Australia and not just in Australia, we can accelerate a lot more the growth process that we are going through, as well as strengthen the credibility of the business model we have been building for quite some time. This is a very interesting transaction, which we will certainly discuss even more in the future. But it goes without saying that we started some years ago in Brazil to actively manage our foreign investments. And by now, you should have understood that every single country is has an incredible potential, but not just that, it has a hidden value that sometimes is recognized by the market. Moving to slide number 16, the effect of this deconsolidation. Just one thing here, we are expecting potentially to close the transaction by year end if there is the Foreign Investment Review Board approval. This is customary approval that in Australia is demanded by foreign investors. willing to buy a stake in an Australian business. Nothing more than a procedural process, but if it's not completed by year-end, it's going to be done before, I mean, in the early weeks of 2025. Once this happens, we will adjust the assets on closing, 9.6 billion as of the end of September, and we will not adjust retrospectively the net inflows that we have collected in 2024. Going forward, only the pro-rata stake of Antimode in the Australian business will be reflected in the monthly inflow figures. As far as the P&L is concerned, we have given here a snapshot of the contribution and what it means or what it would look like, our P&L net of the line-by-line consolidation of AZNGA as we will only then consolidate the pro-rata stake of our interest of 25% within the finance income line below the operating profit then moving forward to slide 18 we just wanted to before digging into the bank new bank project wants to spend a couple of minutes on remembering ourselves what this company has achieved since it went public back in 2004 It's important because sometimes we forget what this company has achieved and why we are so convinced that in the future we will continue to deliver not just the numbers but the strategic objectives that we communicate to the market. So if we go, and there is no particular order in what we put in this slide, and there is certainly a lot of other things that we have forgotten. But if we start from the top left-hand side, you probably remember how in 2005 the Bank of Italy changed the performance fee methodology and we transferred AUM from Italy to Luxembourg without losing a single client. In 2015, we announced the reorganization of Timone shareholding and we confirmed our long-term commitment. And some commented that we were kind of no longer committed or looking forward to remain attached to the growth of this company. And this has not occurred. We have always delivered over performance to our clients in the short, medium, long term. We have always delivered anything between 80 to 100 basis points per annum net of fees to our clients. In 2008, we started our internationalization strategy to simply diversify our business and gain access to growth. And we can see this in the numbers we are producing these days. Then we leverage and deleverage the balance sheet using the cash generation to deleverage the balance sheet. And at any point in time when we were debt free, we were more generous in terms of capital distribution, i.e. dividend policy. We generated more than 15 times of total shareholder returns since the IPO, being the third best stock in the Italian market in terms of total return. We did change the fee structure twice, not something that we were looking for, but we adapted to the new regulatory guidelines. And we didn't put at risk nor destroy the business model, which means that we didn't lose any single client as it was hinted by some. We did deliver and over-deliver every single business plan since the time of the IPO in 2004. Every five years we delivered or over-delivered growth and met any single target and objective we set to ourselves. We did two successful LBOs by Timone's participants. It goes hand in hand with what we think in terms of undervaluation of our business. And we have remained committed for the long run. We didn't do these transactions for the short-term gain as our shares remain locked up in Timone. We did the product innovation, which basically supports our unique integration with the distribution. And more recently, in 2019, we started the democratization and expansion into private market to upgrade our product offering, build better portfolios for our clients, and deliver consistent positive performance to retain our clients and our financial advisor over the long run. And last but not least, We are committed to expand our business in the corporate and investment banking and fintech activities to enlarge our client base and to diversify our revenues and profit and become a one-stop shop for entrepreneurs as well as corporate clients. At the management team, employees, financial advisors worldwide, so not just those in Italy, have always delivered and more. So the new bank project, which we will comment in further detail in the next slide is not different. And we will make it happen one way or another. Slide 19 shows you why we do this. We do this because in Italy there is a significant amount of money trapped in deposits, 1.8 trillion at the system level. And when we drill this down to our competitors, we have a significant gap. We did build this gap very conscious of that because we did not want to have a banking license up until a couple of quarters ago when we decided that we wanted to intercept the net interest income that we could generate. So we went for spin-off transaction or we hinted to what is a separation of the Italian network into two. And from October, the entire network of Azimuts, so not just those that are going into the new bank, have the possibility to raise deposits by an agreement with Illimiti, which is a trusted partner since many years, and with whom we have already opened in just a single month thousands of accounts which are being funded. we have provided therefore a target of seven and a half to ten billion euros in terms of manage in terms of sorry deposits that we will be raising it's not going to be done overnight of course because it's a significant amount of money but as we have mentioned before we have always delivered our targets last but not least we have put in place the right incentive scheme to all our FAs, and we just wanted to remind you that we have been managing and incentivizing an FA network for the last 35 years, so we know how to do things. And this is all done to capture the net interest income. Slide number 20. It's a quick update of the timeline. Nothing dramatically changed vis-à-vis what we have already communicated to you, if not that in Q4 we expect to conclude negotiations in one way or another. In one way or another it means, slide 21, that there are several options that we are discussing internally and with potential partners. There is no particular order in this slide, so you shouldn't be reading the slide left to right or right to left. It's just that we wanted to picture to you the three different options that we are confronted with these days. And if we want to start from the sale to a banking partner option, it's an option in which Adzimuth will retain a shy of 20% participation in the new bank. And we will benefit from clearly initial proceeds as well as the earning streams that the new bank will generate given our shareholding. The banking license will be readily available to capture the full net interest income. And in this case, it's going to be done via the banking license that the bank probably will provide. The second option that we are confronted with is the sale of the stake to a financial partner. In this case, again, we will retain shy of 20%. And this shy of 20% is related to the fact that we will be within the threshold of not being or not falling within the CRD4 regulation as far as admin holding is concerned. So we will not be subject to capital constraints nor Bank of Italy regulation. In this case as well we will benefit from initial proceeds as well as from the earning streams via the stake in the new bank and lastly the license which is going to be acquired will also allow us to capture the net interest income in full. Last but not least there is the option that says that we will do a complete spin-off and then subsequently listing autonomously. And this is not related to the failure of the first two options, but we have a clear idea of what is the objective, the price, and the capability that we have to grow the new bank project for the benefit of our shareholders. So our shareholders in adjunct holding will become shareholders in this option of the new bank and benefit from the expected future growth and net interest income to be generated by the new bank. So to create value for clients, shareholders, financial advisors, and employees, we will also, while also capitalizing on assets that are currently outside of adjunct perimeter, any of these options is currently being assessed with potential counterparties and we will take the final decision by year end. I will leave the floor to Alessandro for the financials. Thank you, Gabriele.

speaker
Alessandro
Chief Financial Officer

As we have anticipated by Gabriele, we will focus on the third quarter results. So we can move to slide 23 where we have the first part of the P&L. Starting from the evolution of the total revenues, you can see that there is a positive variation compared to the second quarter of $2 million. And as well, if you consider that the second quarter there was a benefit of $7.6 million on variable fees compared to this quarter that is almost zero, you can appreciate the evolution of the impact coming from the increase in the recurring fees. of $8 million and this amount is explained by a positive growth from the Italian business, let's say 60%, and 40% is coming from the foreign business. We are stable and we are consistent with the previous quarter on the other income, and as well we have a positive increase in the insurance revenue of 1.2 million. Again, a combined effect in this case of an increase in the recurring fees of 0.5 million and 0.7 million from the performance fees. At the level of the operating cost, you see that there is an increase of 5.7 million, mainly of these increases coming from the distribution cost, where we have an increase of 5 million, but as we already anticipated, the impact is mainly driven by the effect of the change, the negative change of the yield curve. Therefore, it is generated at 4 million cost. Therefore, we should underline the fact that it is not linked to an increase of cost of the distribution network, but mainly coming from this non-recurring effect linked to the food. At the level of the personal and the GNA, we are almost flat with a negative variation, so lower cost of just $700 million. But here, again, what has been already mentioned by Gabriele, we have a variable effect that is not reflecting in the total revenue, but below the EBIT in the finance income. And then on the amortization, We have an increase of $1.6 million due to higher costs, but also driven by a prudential approach on provision. So, all in all, we have stabilized the revenue margin, again, as anticipated before. So, quarter on quarter, you see that we are almost in line with the previous quarter. So moving to the following slide, page 24, we have the second part of the P&L. Again, to compare the second quarter probably doesn't make sense as we are impacted by the Kennedy-Lewis transaction. So focusing on the quarter, the 70 million, the almost 70 million that you see in the finance income are mainly driven by positive realized and unrealized gain on our own investments. of around $19 million that can be split 50-50 between the Italian business and the international business. We have positive contribution from the interest, again linked to our liquidity, of $3 million around, and then partially offset by negative fair value option of $5 million and the IFRS 17 for $1.8 million, as also mentioned in the note number four. Then the evolution again in terms of tax or minorities, we are back to a normal evolution and normal, let's say, impact comparing to the previous quarter as, you know, again we were impacting by the Kennedy-Lewis in the second quarter. Moving then to slide 25, we have the net financial position. We have a cash-in-cash equivalent amount of money above 1.1 billion with a net financial position of 661 million compared to the 637 million of June 24. You cannot be afraid, I mean, of the low variation compared to the previous quarter. As you see that there is only 25 million increase. But you should consider the significant amount of tax that we paid, mainly on LuxHub, that is coming from the approval, I would say, of the previous year tax declaration of the Luxembourg business. Therefore, we start to pay as well from this approval amount. from the tax authority, the amount that's already booked on our P&L in the previous quarter and years. Therefore, if you would like to reconcile the $25 million variation starting from $160 million of net profit for tax, we take out $8 million coming from M&A activities, and then the $127 million paid in tax, we should get the 25 million variation compared to the previous quarter. I'm going to leave back to Gabriele for the last part of the presentation.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-

Investor presentation