10/30/2025

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Welcome to the 2025 Nine Months Results Announcement Conference Call for Budweiser Brewing Company, APAC Limited. Hosting the call today from Budweiser APAC is Mr. Y.J. Cheung, Chief Executive Officer and Co-Chair of the Board, and Mr. Ignatius Larus, Chief Financial Officer. The results for the nine months ended 30th September 2025 can be found in the press release published earlier today and available on the Hong Kong Stock Exchanges website. and Budweiser APAC's websites. Before proceeding, let me remind you that some of the information provided during this results call, including our answers to your questions on this call, may contain statements and future expectations and other forward-looking statements. These expectations are based on the management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors beyond our control. It is possible that the Budweiser EPAC's actual results and financial condition may differ, possibly materially, from the anticipated results and financial condition indicated in these forward-looking statements. Budweiser EPAC is under no obligation to, and expressly disclaims any such obligation to, update the forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. For discussion of some of the risks, and important factors that could affect Budweiser APAC's future results see risk factors in the company's prospectus dated 18th September 2019 and the 2024 annual report published and any other documents that Budweiser APAC has made public. I would also like to remind everyone that the financial figures discussed today are provided in U.S. dollars unless stated otherwise. The percentage changes that will be discussed during today's call are both organic and normalized in nature and unless otherwise stated. Percentage changes refer to comparisons with the same period in 2024. Normalized figures refer to performance measures before exceptional items which are either income or expenses that do not occur regularly as a part of a Budweiser EPAX normal activities. As normalized figures are non-GAAP measures The company disclosed the consolidated profit, EPS, EBIT and EBITDA, on a fully reported basis in the press release published earlier today. Further details of the 2025 nine-month results can also be found in the press release. It is now my pleasure to pass the time to Y.J. Sir, you may begin.

speaker
Y.J. Cheung
Chief Executive Officer & Co-Chair of the Board

Thank you, Rick, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining our call today. Our performance in China has been challenged over the past few quarters, as our results have not delivered on the full potential of our brand and organization. While the overall industry has been impacted by a soft economic cycle, which has been even more pronounced in our footprint and a mix of channels, we have recognized clear opportunities to enhance our route to market and portfolio execution to better align our results to our capabilities. As a company of owners who strive every day for operational excellence with our customers and consumers, we have been working in China to rise size inventories and allocate resources. We have a clear view of where to improve. Our priority is to reignite growth and rebuild our market share momentum. We are moving with speed, focus, and discipline to ensure that our business turns stronger, more efficient, and better positioned to improve over time to outperform for the long term. I will now hand it over to Yige to provide more on our performance in the first nine months and the third quarter of 2025. Thank you.

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, YJ, and good morning, everyone. In the first nine months of 2025, total volumes decreased by 7%. Revenue decreased by 6.6%, while revenue per hectolitre increased by 0.4%. Our normalised EBITDA decreased by 7.7%, and our normalised EBITDA margin contracted by 37 basis points. In the third quarter, total volumes and revenue decreased by 8.6% and 8.4%, respectively, with ongoing challenges in China partially offset by our performance in India. Revenue per hectolitre increased by 0.1%, driven by a positive geographic mix in India and revenue management initiatives in APAC East, partially offset by our performance in China. Our normalized EBITDA decreased by 6.9%, impacted by our top-line performance, while our normalized EBITDA margin expanded by 46 basis points. Now let me discuss some highlights for each of our major markets. In APAC West, in the first nine months of the year, volumes and revenue decreased by 7.9% and 8.7%, respectively, while revenue per HECF leader decreased by 0.8%. Normalized EBITDA decreased by 9.7%. In China, volumes in the third quarter decreased by 11.4%, impacted by continued weakness in our footprint and on-premise channels. Revenue decreased by 15.1%, while revenue per hectare decreased by 4.1%. Impacted by increased investments behind innovations and brand activations, as well as efforts to expand our in-home presence, coupled with an adverse brand mix as we managed inventories. Normalized EBITDA decreased by 17.4%, impacted by our topline performance and operational deleverage. On that note, as YJ mentioned earlier, we have a clear view of where we look to improve in China and how to achieve this. Accordingly, we are focused on improving our topline performance through the following areas. further strengthening our route to market with an elevated focus on the in-home channel across online, offline, and O2O. Increasing investment in our mega brands such as Budweiser, Carbon, and Corona to win in the premium, core plus, and super premium segments now and as the industry recovers. Leading innovation within the industry across packaging, brands, and liquids to increase category participation and develop new consumption occasions. expanding our footprint through targeted geographic expansion, and restoring our excellence in execution. We made further progress in our channel expansion strategy in the third quarter, focused on premiumizing the in-home channel as in-home consumption occasions continued to develop. In the first nine months of the year, the contribution of the in-home channel to our volumes and revenue increased as we began to extend our distribution within this channel. On the portfolio side, we continue to invest in diverse marketing campaigns and innovations to further increase the brand power of our portfolio, connect with consumers across more occasions, and increase sales momentum. Corona expanded its signature drinking with lime ritual from bottles to cans with the launch of a full open lid can design, which further reinforces the brand's differentiation and appeal. This innovation is now rolling out across online and retail channels to expand Corona's reach in in-home drinking occasions. Budweiser introduced Budweiser Magnum in a one-litre can, broadening its consumer reach with a greater in-home presence while retaining its striking black and gold design. The new packaging format further highlights the brand's distinctive brewing and aging process, as well as its unique flavour. On the digitization front, the usage and reach of Bees, our B2B wholesaler and customer engagement platform, continued to expand. As of September 2025, Bees was present in more than 320 cities across China. We continue to leverage technology to further enhance our commercial capabilities, optimize our route to market, and strengthen our customer relationships. While our performance in China has been disappointing, our businesses in South Korea and India have continued to deliver solid results. In India, in the third quarter, we delivered double-digit revenue growth which translated into a strong EBITDA performance, further compounded by the lapping of additional costs incurred in the third quarter of last year on projects to enhance the digitization and integration of both financial and non-financial information. In the first nine months of the year, the Budweiser brand continued to grow ahead of the industry, with the volume and revenue of our premium and super-premium portfolio increasing by double digits. In APAC East, in the first nine months of the year, volumes decreased by 0.5%, with revenue and revenue per hectolitre increasing by 1.8% and 2.3%, respectively. Normalized EBITDA increased by 0.3%, with our EBITDA margin decreasing by 46 basis points. In the third quarter, volumes in South Korea were flattish, as we continued to offset ongoing industry weakness by outperforming the industry in both on-premise and in-home channels. Revenue and revenue per hectare leader both grew by mid-single digits, driven by our ongoing revenue management initiatives and a positive brand mix. Meanwhile, our EBITDA and EBITDA margin expanded substantially, supported by a strong commercial performance and commodity tailwinds. We increased our commercial investment to bolster our competitiveness in the lead-up to Chuseok, one of the key selling periods in South Korea. From a portfolio perspective, we also unveiled recently KAS All Zero, South Korea's first non-alcoholic beer to emphasize a 4-0 concept of zero alcohol, zero sugar, zero calories, and zero gluten. And with that, YJ and I are here to answer any questions that you may have.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, the floor is now open for questions. Please press star 1 to ask a question. If you wish to cancel a request, please press star 2. In the interest of time, We ask the participants to limit themselves to two questions, and please ask one question at a time. Our first question is coming from Lillian Lo from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

speaker
Lillian Lo
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you. Can you hear me?

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, very well, Lillian.

speaker
Lillian Lo
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hello. Thank you. Oh, thank you. Hey, thanks, YJ and Yiji. I have two questions. One is about China. In particular, you mentioned in-home mix has been increasing, but underlying, I would like to get more color about the brand performance, in particular the major mega brands performance relatively in sub-quarter and also what's the latest trend for Budweiser, Harbin, super premium segments. That's my first question. I will ask the second one after that. Thank you.

speaker
Y.J. Cheung
Chief Executive Officer & Co-Chair of the Board

Okay. This is YG. Thanks for your question. Good morning, everyone. In terms of brand performance, let's talk about it by channel. By channel, on-premise got impacted by the industry in the past few years. We also got impacted as well. And also the new trend for the channel, which is in-home O2O, that's one we have a gap. And we are working with vendors, retailers to build a platform to fill the gap, what do we have. And which link to the brand portfolio we have. The brand portfolio we have, which the consumer knows and loves, we have a rich portfolio. We also focus on innovation to meet the consumer needs by channels. For example, Budweiser feeds the in-home channel. We create a 740 ml big can, which is quite good quality. performance in the in-home channel. And also, in terms of O2O, we also create a bottom magnum one-liter can to fill the gap and link to the channel O2O. And for the super premier, we see the O2O trend, the performance quite good. We have a rich portfolio for super premier as a company we are. And give example, Corona, we also develop a full open-lit can, not only bottle with the lime, but also are able to allow the consumer to drink Corona with the lime in a full open-lit can. So those are, you know, talk about brand, link to the channel. with the innovation, see the gap we have, see the soft weakness we have on Permian. Those are the action we see, we take, in terms of channel investment, cooperation, and also the innovation we develop. We see good trend on this. And also, for the Core Plus, we are working hard on it, and we do have very good examples in the benchmark in Korea. You see the cost superiority linked to the innovation. There's a big innovation, big best practice we're going to apply and learn within the APAC. So I try to break this by channel linked to the innovation and the gap we have, the action we take, investment we take, best practice we learn from Korea. to be able to answer questions. Thank you.

speaker
Lillian Lo
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thanks, YJ. My next question is about Korea. In Korea, we understand that the whole industry demand is still pretty weak, and the cash are gaining market share, and trying to understand what is the latest demand trending into fourth quarter and next year. And reacting to that, what's the competition dynamic shift to? Thank you.

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

No, thank you for the question. I'll take that one on Korea. So you're correct that the total industry remains soft, right, given the macroeconomics. The demand has been soft now for several quarters. If you take a look at maybe the economic indicators, we've seen CPI stabilize, so inflation is stabilized, and consumer sentiment actually has been improving sequentially over the past few months. However, by the same token, the savings rate for consumers has been on the rise. And that's despite inflation being under control and actually interest rates being cut in Korea as well. So consumers are effectively acting as if they're under some level of pressure, and they're prioritizing essential spending, which of course includes food and utilities within that category. So this consumer frugality trend or kind of short-term effect is currently, of course, impacting overall alcohol consumption, as well as the natural structural trade-up that you often see from lower-priced alternatives, such as soju, of course, into beer, which has been long-standing in Korea. But even within this context, right, you still see pockets of growth within Korea. And so we see non-alcoholic beer growing. We see flavored beer growing. We see RTBs outperforming. So these are also gaining popularity as they are in other developed markets or more developed markets, right, which presents, of course, opportunities for us as well. Then from a competition perspective, the way I would look at it is, I mean, the summer and the Chuseok selling periods are usually the most active, right, in terms of promotional activity, investment innovations, and this year really has been no exception. In this context, we're very pleased with the commercial results from the South Korea team in the third quarter. They continue to gain market share in both the on-premise and in-home channels, and that was led, of course, by the core portfolio and by CASC. which helped to offset, of course, this soft industry, this soft demand, as we just discussed. But I think most importantly, perhaps, is the fact that the brands are very healthy there. The innovation pipeline has been very effective at solving consumer needs in the last couple of years. In core specifically, of course, we've continued to increase consumer participation in the category. via non-alcoholic beer, flavored beer, and several other liquid innovations, including Cas0, the Cas all zero, of course, that I discussed in my comments earlier, and then different variants, of course, of the Cas lemon squeeze as well, not to mention, of course, Hanmax extra creamy draft can as well. On top of that, we're still focused, of course, on continuing to lead premiumization, which we see as an opportunity as well, given it remains under-indexed in Korea relative to other more developed markets. So I think as we move into this last quarter of the year and into 2026, with our brand portfolio healthy, with it being very well supported by the route to market we have there and by the very strong team in Korea, we see ourselves as ready to continue to lead beer industry growth across Korea for the future. So I hope that answers your question. Thank you so much, Lilian.

speaker
Lillian Lo
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Yeah, thanks, definitely. Thanks again, Ihi and YJ.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Our next question is coming from Wenbo Chen from CICC. Please go ahead.

speaker
Wenbo Chen
Analyst, CICC

Hi, YJ. Hi, Iggy. Thanks for taking my questions. I have two questions. I think the first is about China's inventory. They have seen ongoing progress with this stocking in the third quarter. So would you please share what's our outlook for the China market in the fourth quarter and coming years? And do we expect a rebound in the selling performance?

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

Hi, Ramon. Thank you for the question. I mean, you're correct. We've been proactively taking steps, right, to adjust or manage your inventory in the current business environment. And that's with the intent, of course, of ensuring the health of our route to market, right? And we've been doing that since about the late third quarter of 2024. Okay. Our inventories as of the end of the third quarter this year, third quarter 25, are now actually lower than they would have been in the same period of last year. And that's both in terms of absolute inventory and days of inventory. And we would expect this, of course, to be lower than the industry average. So we've made good progress, I think, on the inventory front thus far. Going forward, we'll continue to manage our inventory very attentively. So we don't give an explicit outlook, but we always want to make sure that we're on top of inventories and managing it very attentively. And there will be adjustments, of course, based on sellout trend changes as we move forward. However, we wouldn't expect these to be necessarily as significant as what we have done, of course, over the past year. So I hope that answers your question, Wimble. Thank you.

speaker
Wenbo Chen
Analyst, CICC

Okay, thank you. And my second question is about the in-home channel. We have made great progress in the in-home channel this year, and you just mentioned our optimized product mix. And could you also share the current penetration level of the in-home channel across business in the first three quarters? And also, what are the plans for the further expansion in the fourth quarter in the next year?

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, first, thank you for the kind words. We've been working very hard, as Waiji also mentioned, right, on making progress in the in-home, which is a big priority for us. And, of course, you can see that in many of our markets. Maybe the way we tackle this is, I mean, first and foremost, with increasing disposable income and market maturity across China, we would expect both the in-home channel to continue to grow and the premiumization trend to take more root there over time. And this, of course, offers us one of the largest opportunities to expand our business moving forward. When we look at the current, to your point on penetration level, the current level of the off-trader in-home channel in China, it's directionally 60-plus percent of the industry. However, it only accounts for a little bit more than 50 percent of our channel mix. So we still have a big opportunity to expand our presence closer to the industry average. and we know that the in-home will continue to grow its share of industry, as I mentioned, as the market continues to mature. So we'll hopefully catch both, right, close the percentage mix here, and its weight will increase rather over time. Then from a brand and portfolio perspective, and Waji was alluding to this earlier, right, in retail it's essential to have a full portfolio, right, and you need to have various packages at each critical price point to fulfill different consumer demands. We're very fortunate, right, to have the portfolio, that we have available to us. And the brand power of that portfolio is actually significantly higher than our market share. So we know that it offers the potential to drive far more penetration than we have today. We have solid plans here and we're gonna continue to invest behind our mega brands with the strong mega platforms we have to achieve that. The teams also continue to make progress on the right packs. So it's important to have the right assortment as we were discussing at the point of sale and to have key price points covered. And the biggest remaining opportunity, as we've shared before, and YG mentioned earlier on the call, is really on Core Plus, right, which is particularly relevant in the in-home channel. Then from a route-to-market perspective, you know, the key to successful in-home expansion is really to expand the high-quality distribution network to be able to cover more points of sale. We've been doing that over the past couple of quarters, going wider and deeper, even in geographies where we already have a well-established presence. So we're developing new tier one and tier two wholesalers to help us expand to more points of sale. This takes time, of course, as you need to recruit wholesalers and build capabilities, right, to ensure that you have the right picture of success in every in-home point of sale. But the teams are very encouraged with the progress here, and maybe two proof points I would probably give are one, the contribution of the in-home channel to our total volume and revenue has continued to increase, so that focus is driving us in the right direction. And second of all, when we look at the in-home channel, actually premium and super premiums contribution within in-home is now outpacing that of Chinese restaurants. So we're seeing the in-home channel premiumized as the teams exert their energy and their efforts there. So I would echo YJ's points where I would say the team has the right plan and the right initiatives in mind. There's progress already on several of the portfolio and market areas. And now there's just a lot of work to do, a lot of work to be done, right, to scale this with consistent execution in the quarters to come. So thank you so much for the question, Wenbo.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Thank you. Our next question is from Chen Luo from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Chen Luo
Analyst, Bank of America

Hi, YJ and Yiki. So I've got two questions. Both of them are on China. The first question is about our branding strategy. Earlier this year, we heard about our commitment to developing the Harbin brand nationwide. Most recently, China checks a simple gesture. We are making even further commitment to the same strategy. Considering the rise of the local and regional brands and the very niche brands in China recently, do we think Harbin is strong enough to compete especially to continue Guangdong province. So this is our stronghold province, but we now see big pressure of share losses to local brands. Do we believe local consumers are willing to switch from Zhujiang or Lichuan to Harbin, which originated from Northeast China? Are we going to develop some regional brands to bond with local consumers? given the success of a in Fujian province. So maybe I stop here, later I will ask my second question, thank you.

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

Okay, no, thank you for the question. Maybe let me start here. I think if we didn't have confidence in Harbin, right, we wouldn't have prioritized it for our first offering in the core, in the RMB8 price point, right? So if you think about it, Harbin has been a national brand for years and has a broad presence nationwide across different channels, right? Given the amount of time the brand has existed for, given the presence in multiple provinces, it's one of the few truly national brands in China. In Guangdong specifically, the brand has been there for a long time, and we've been developing the brand, particularly in the on-premise channels, but also, of course, in the in-home more recently, focusing historically more on the six RMB price point. As we expand into the in-home, we chose Harbin ICGD Zero Sugar priced at that RMB 8 price point in CR to kind of leverage the brand power of Harbin, both nationally but also in Guangdong, which actually stacks up very well versus other local brands. So we're, of course, bullish on Harbin overall and ICGD in particular based on that starting point from a brand power perspective. And then as Wedja mentioned earlier, based on the superiority framework we have in place where we test, you know, liquid packaging, positioning, communication, and value with consumers, we know that we have a superior offering, right? One that should outperform other offerings in the market at the price point at which it's being offered. So we know we have a strong horse in the race. From that perspective, the sales volume of carbon, ICGD, zero sugar, we also actually tested with consumers. where the volume would come from. And actually, most of that volume is either sourced from existing consumers trading up within our portfolio, so moving up from RMB6, such as Harbin Ice into RMB8, or also successful conversions from other local competitor brands, right? And so the fact that it has both a functional benefit and a specific partnership behind it, right, with the MBA, so Zero Sugar is the MBA partnership, made it a superior offering, which is explaining a bit that advantage that it has against other brands. By the same token, you're right, China's a very large country, and you need more than one brand to be successful. Harbin ICGD Zero Sugar represents our first offering in that RMB 8 price point, and it is a priority for us to capture growth opportunities with this brand, but we know that we will need a portfolio over time. In other places, we might complement our portfolio with other Harbin innovations, We, of course, have local brands that have innovation opportunities, as you mentioned as well. Beyond Harbin, of course, we've got Sedrin in Fujian, which is doing very well, and I'm sure you would have seen it during your most recent visit there. Nanchang in Jiangxi, Big Boss in Jiangsu, Double Deer in Wenzhou, and so on and so forth. So we can also invest behind some of these local brands. We have a very solid innovation pipeline across different regions, which is designed to be tailored for local consumer needs. and should be complementary to what we're doing on the Harbin brand today. So I think from a brand and portfolio perspective, we're in a good place. I think the key element, going back to Waiji's point, will be the expansion of our in-home coverage and distribution and the enhancement of our trade execution. So I think the better those two things are done, the more we will get out of the portfolio that I just mentioned. So lots of work to do, but the teams are committed to the brands, and they're actually quite excited about the growth potential that they show at this point. So I hope that answers your first question.

speaker
Chen Luo
Analyst, Bank of America

Oh, thank you, Vicky. That's very helpful. The second question is about the channel in China. Despite our progress with the in-home channel, the on-trade channel is still witnessing quite big declines. How are we going to sustain the sales momentum in the on-trade channel? How are we going to cope with the rise of the new channels amid the increasing channel fragmentation? Thank you.

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you for the question. Yeah, so I think there's a couple of things. It's more a question of the magic of the and versus or, right? We need to do well in both channels. We've been somewhat conservative on our expectations on on-premise recovery because, of course, the trend for consumer occasions growing in the in-home continues, and it's been taking place at a similar rate for a while. So in terms of on-premise recovery, we haven't really seen a significant improvement yet. By the same token, we continue to sustain our investment in the channel. This is still a critical place, right, to do brand building, to have effective innovation launches, et cetera. And it's very important for the health of many of our wholesalers. It will be very important for us to continue to invest here, particularly for when the on-trade begins to recover as well. In the interim, though, we're focusing on the factors that are more inside of our control, right? We're closely working with the distributors to optimize packaging assortment, right? And so the launch of different packaging examples, like the ones YJ gave before on Budweiser and Corona and also Blue Girl, are tailored for that current consumption environment. We're also investing significantly in trade execution. So think brand promoters, targeted food streets, essentially things that allow us to elevate the consumer drinking experience and promote on-premise consumption in the areas and sub-channels that have been more resilient within there. But you're right, in terms of emerging channels, the instant retail, O2O, and e-commerce channels continue to grow. They're a big focus for us moving forward. The O2O channel actually conveniently skews more premium, which is beneficial to our in-home premiumization efforts, and we benefit from having a full portfolio there. And, of course, the contribution of O2O to our in-home sales mix is also increasing. So, yeah, we're engaged with our wholesalers to utilize these platforms to drive traffic, to promote different drinking occasions for our full portfolio, and to capture growth opportunities. So I don't think we can choose one or the other. I think we need to do a good job of maintaining the on-premise while building a stronger in-home presence, which we're doing very actively today. Thank you for the question, Luchan.

speaker
Chen Luo
Analyst, Bank of America

I want you.

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

So I don't know if you could hear us. Thank you for the question.

speaker
spk10

Very much appreciate it. Thank you. Thanks a lot. That's all my question. Wonderful.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Our next question is coming from Mavis Hui from DBS. Please go ahead.

speaker
Mavis Hui
Analyst, DBS

Hi, YJ and Iggy. Thanks for taking my questions. My first one is on low alcohol beer. On the back of rising health awareness, what could be our impending strategies on product innovation and advertising and promotion to further seize market share in low alcohol products? And do we have some expectations on or the targets on the proportion of our sales coming from light beers or alcohol-free products in five years' time? Thank you.

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you for the question, Mavis. Yeah, so where I would start is we constantly interact with consumers to get feedback on their needs, and then we innovate to ensure that our portfolio is providing balanced choices that meet these needs. And we're seeing non-alcoholic and low-alcohol beers gaining popularity in many markets. If you look at APAC overall, the development of both non-alcoholic and low-alcoholic is actually quite different by market. So maybe I'll cover it by country. I think if you go to China, non-alcoholic and low-alcoholic beer is still a niche market today. And consumers have many different non-alcoholic options, which can serve as great alternatives in non-alcoholic appropriate occasions. However, when consumers drink beer, they generally still prefer to consume alcohol. So we're here, present with Budweiser 00. with Corona Zero as well here in China, but it's more with the intent of growing the non-alcoholic beer segment in the right way and preparing for the future as the China market matures. If you move to South Korea, it's a bit different, right? Non-alcoholic beer is gaining popularity, and we expect, of course, that momentum to continue. There we have several non-alcoholic product innovations behind casks, right? So we have casks 00, we have the all-new casks 00, which we mentioned earlier. And we have flavor variants, right, like the cast lemon squeeze 0.0 as well. So we're seeing success with different offerings there. And all of these offerings are actually quite helpful because in both the non-alcoholic and low-alcoholic space, they're increasing consumer participation in the category. They're providing incremental volumes, right, to the team there. So they're helping us to offset some of that industry softness we discussed before. And they're actually also incremental to our profitability as well. So it kind of serves all three purposes. And then if we move to India, right, the beer market has been traditionally dominated by hard liquor and very high alcohol percentages, right, so 40-plus percent ABV products. Beer is growing in India, and strong beers, I think 6% to 8% ABV are a big part of the India beer market today. However, there's a growing trend, right, towards lower alcohol products, which favors, of course, the growth of the beer category overall in India. And, yeah, within this context, non-alcohol beers have a role to play. they'll help to provide consumers in India more choices, right, to match their needs and their lifestyles. And our leading non-alcoholic offerings in India today include Budweiser 00, Flavour Budweiser, which is Green Apple, and Hoegaarden 00, right? So I think each of the markets is in a different place. We haven't shared targets by market level, but we have high growth ambitions across the board. It's just a question of taking advantage of market maturity. to make sure we have the right offerings in the right place, and we lead the development of the non-alcoholic segment as well. Thank you for the question, Mavis.

speaker
Mavis Hui
Analyst, DBS

Thanks, Iggy. And my second question is about India. So we have some more updates on the biggest barriers to scaling up faster in India, aside from religious or cultural diversity. For example, would it be the route to market, regulatory hurdles, or maybe consumer education? And where do we see the most untapped growth opportunities in the market over the next one to two years? Thank you.

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you for the question, Mavis. Look, in India, we're focused on consistent and sustainable top-line growth, first and foremost, particularly given the maturity level of our India business. And, of course, we want that to translate both to bottom-line and cash flow growth as well. In India, we have strong growth momentum. The premium and super premium revenue, which is roughly two-thirds of our business in India today, grew by double digits both in the quarter and year-to-date, first nine months of the year. And the Budweiser brand, of course, continues to grow ahead of the industry. Premiumization continues to be the most critical driver of EBITDA performance as well. You know, we deliver strong results with double-digit revenue growth and significant EBITDA margin improvement, which you would have seen in our APAC West results. And, of course, admittedly, this was on a softer base in the second quarter last year, but we still see the benefit of strong premium growth in our quarterly results. In terms of the industry overall, year-to-date it continues to grow, which is also helpful, of course. As you'll recall, India has a very low per capita GDP, So that's what makes the opportunity so enticing long-term. The industry is expected to continue growing, and that's both in volume and revenue terms. And that's actually even before we consider the impact of moderation initiatives, which we see as an opportunity to unlock an even more exciting future for India. And, I mean, we're encouraged by a few things we've seen in the last few quarters, right? So the number of points of sale in some states, including Uttar Pradesh, for example. have increased in Uttar Pradesh. They actually roughly doubled the number of outlets that are allowed to sell beer. So there's more than 10,000 points of sale of beer now. Some states are experimenting with low-alcohol bar retail vans, which can serve beer or wine. And as these become allowed and they're introduced in some key cities like Noida and Lucknow, we see, of course, that that picks up consumer demand. And then in Maharashtra, we've also actually seen positive changes for both excise as well as how beer distribution can be done. So we see some signs in different places that help to advance the industry moving forward. And then among things we can control even through that period, productivity is also an important driver, right, of our ambitions in India. That will help us to drive EBITDA margins. And the way we're doing it is the supply chain teams continue to make progress here by benchmarking our best-in-class small breweries, in China, which are a reference. Looking at initiatives that they can replicate there in India, we see very good progress on these initiatives. They're helping us to accelerate profitability. So it's a bit of these different buckets, but hopefully that answers your question as well, Mavis. Thank you so much.

speaker
Mavis Hui
Analyst, DBS

I see. Very helpful. Thank you so much. That's all from me.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Our next question is coming from An Ling from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

speaker
An Ling
Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you. Hi, management team. Thank you very much for taking my question. I have two questions, you know, one for China and one for Korea and Taiwan. So first, you know, on the China side, on the commercial investment, how do you allocate resources between the on-trade and off-trade currently? And management mentioned previously that, you know, mega platform investment in third quarter 25. So would you share with us what is the ROE when you compare to some of the previous initiatives? And looking ahead, how do you plan to allocate ad spend or marketing spend across different channels, for example, digital platform, entertainment, or sports events? That's my first question.

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

Okay, thank you for the question. A few things to unpack here. So let me maybe try and break it down into components. I think the first piece on mega platforms, I think we're very fortunate, right, to have access to the mega platforms. That's one of the big benefits that we have. And these, of course, would not necessarily make sense to pursue on an individual country basis, right? So here we're very lucky that they're relevant with consumers in many markets. And we benefit from two things, right? We benefit from, of course, a more manageable cost by taking on these mega platforms at a global level. And if we undertook them of course ourselves for one or two markets, but then we also get the opportunity to activate them with different brands in different markets based on consumer preferences and needs, right? So that's helped a lot to make the mega platforms high ROI initiatives in general. And then of course, good examples of that would be things like FIFA, the Olympic partnership, and many music platforms. A good example being Tomorrowland, which we'll be doing in Shanghai later in November. In terms of commercial investments by channel and how we think about them, going back to maybe the question earlier, we're sustaining our investment in the on-premise channels because we still see them as critical for route to market, critical for brand building. So despite, of course, the pressure on the on-premise channels, they still play a critical role. By the same token, the incremental investments that we're making are going more towards the in-home channels, right? And especially, as Wajid was saying before, the emerging sub-channels, so O2O, instant retail, e-commerce, right? So as in-home occasions continue to develop, we're putting a larger proportion of our spend in that direction. And then given, of course, the market, right, has been shifting quite a bit, we look to continue to remain agile. in the context of that macro environment. So as channels recover, et cetera, we're actually in quite an easy position to increase or adjust our spend accordingly. Then in terms of marketing spend or marketing investment specifically, the brand power portfolio is the critical element for driving optimization, right? So that's our reference for market share growth potential. And from that perspective, look to continue to give differentiated offerings to our consumers and drive more value for our premium brands with unique experiences. In the nine months of 25, our investment as a percentage of revenue increased and that was driven mainly by marketing investment on our mega brands and behind our mega platforms. There, the FIFA focus, right, for Budweiser, the music focus for Budweiser, the MBA sponsorship and campaigns for Harbin have been the places where we look to continue to create premium and kind of friend-setting experiences. And these need to be rooted, of course, on consumer passion points. The second piece has been around innovations, right? So launching the Budweiser Magnum One Leader, the YG Mention, the Krona, full open lid can as well, the ones you mentioned, which give us a chance to increase category participation and develop new consumption occasions as well, right? So if you think about the corner full open lid can, it allows consumers to have the lime experience in a can and in home setting, which is something that of course is a much nicer experience than without it. And then the third area of focus is increasing direct consumer communication, right? So with different social media channels and points of contact, making sure we increase the consumer reach and contact frequency to deliver that innovation and that mega-platform messaging in the right way. So we'll continue to invest in diverse marketing campaigns and innovations, and the goal would be to further bolster the brand power of the portfolio, to continue to connect with consumers, obviously, across more occasions, and then, of course, to increase the sales momentum as we move forward. Thank you for the question.

speaker
An Ling
Analyst, Jefferies

Got it, got it. Thank you. Yeah, and my second question is on back to Korea and also, like, you know, the Taiwan custom update. And so would you give us an update on the status, you know, on these two recent events? Number one is, you know, the Korean custom tax dispute. First report in Feb 24, and then, like, you know, in June, you also have an update on that. So we'd like to get an update on the Korean dispute. And the second is the impact from the anti-dumping issue. duties in Taiwan for the four months from July. So we understand both are small events, but I would love to hear some comments from you. That's all my question. Thank you.

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you for the question. So on the Korea Customs tax side, the dispute is ongoing. What I can share is what we shared via the press release, which is obviously in 2023, right during the year ending 2023. Oriental Brewery, which is a wholly-owned subsidiary in South Korea, recorded a $66 million U.S. dollar non-underlying charge, and that related to a customs audit claim, right, which was recorded in a financial statement that year. During the third quarter of this year, right, so the period ending 30th of September of 2025, will be recorded an $18 million U.S. dollar non-underlying charge, and that was related to these same customs audit claims, but for the remaining audit periods. So, accordingly, the aggregate amount of non-underlying charges that are related to such claims is now $84 million, and we share that the potential penalty exposure was not expected to be material to the company. As you're well aware, we continue to vigorously defend against the customs tax dispute, which, as we mentioned in the past, can be a lengthy and potentially multi-year process. And we remain committed to upholding the high standards of compliance across all our operations as well. On Taiwan specifically, there was a provisional tariff, which you're correct, which is more than 33%, which was announced back in June. Since then, the rate has been slightly adjusted by 2.5 percentage points down to 31.3% in the third quarter. And of course, we're closely following the situation and continue to monitor for further updates in the months to come. But that's the only update thus far, right? A small adjustment down in the tariff rate in the third quarter. I think the point for us on Taiwan is we value the Taiwan market, and our priority there is ensuring that our consumers and our customers have full access without any disruption to our portfolio of beers, the full portfolio of beers they choose from. So we continue to carefully assess actions to support our wholesalers and local consumers with that perspective in mind. So I think that's all I have for those two topics, Anne.

speaker
Anne

Got it. Thank you very much.

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

You're most welcome. Thank you for the questions.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Our next question is coming from Leif Liu from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead. Hi, Leif. Your line is open. Please unmute and go ahead with your questions. Thank you.

speaker
Leif Liu
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hello. Can you hear me?

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, very well, Leif. How are you today?

speaker
Leif Liu
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you. Thanks a lot. Good. How are you? Thanks, YG and Iggy, for taking my questions. I also have two questions. The first one is on the product innovations in Korea. We indeed deliver quite strong results in Korea, especially with ASP up 5%. So I want to discuss how to look at your future premiumization strategy in Korea, also adding specific color on the performance of all the great new products launched in the recent two years, As you mentioned, CAS 0.0, CAS demo quiz. And also, will we continue to see strengths in ASP and in programming in CREAR going ahead? Thank you so much.

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you for the question, Liv. Yeah, I mean, South Korea, as we've discussed previously, is one of the more mature markets we have in Asia, and the premium segment is still quite underdeveloped, right, versus other similar markets. And the price and margin ladders in Korea are historically much more compressed than in other countries, so consumers have been less aware of the reasons really to pay a premium price for premium products. And this, of course, means that the premium mixed growth in the past was not as pronounced as it could be. So, I mean, we've been making an extensive effort to drive premium experience at an expanded price premium to core. We've been doing that on the on-premise channel, leading with Stella Artois, but the rest of the premium portfolio has been helping there too. And you've probably seen the Perfect Serve program that the teams have been executing with Stella Draft. So the toolkits that we provide there to bars and restaurants make the consumption experience far more elevated than historically would be the case. They strengthen our premium brand equity, and they allow consumers to pay more. And so in the on-premise channel, of course, the weight of premium beer has increased as a result. And actually, more recently, Stellar Trois has taken the number one position in premium draft as well, which the team is very proud of. So in the past three years, it's really been about helping consumers to see the value of premium products, and this helps to expand the price ladder for premium products moving forward. Then in terms of innovation or new products, right, we share your excitement about innovation in Korea, so thank you for the kind words. Hanma Creamy Draft, you know, which is priced at a premium to cast, is gaining popularity in the on-premise channel. So the teams are quite pleased with that as well, and we continue to expand its presence in bars and restaurants. In the third quarter, actually, Hanma grew by double digits, so it's reinforcing its position within the portfolio there. We also continue to increase consumer participation, as I was saying earlier, via non-alcoholic beer and some of the other flavored innovations, so Cas00, CasL0, and the different variants of Cas Lemon Squeeze are doing very well there, too. So, yeah, we're very pleased with the healthy brand portfolio, the strong route to market, and the people capabilities we have there, and we're excited to continue to lead the beer industry growth in Korea moving forward. Thanks for the question, Lee.

speaker
Leif Liu
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thanks a lot. That's very clear. And my second question is on group level cost. So how to look at any potential cost benefits into next year with our 12-month rolling hedging scheme?

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

I mean, through the first nine months of the year, our cost of goods on a per hectare basis has roughly been flattish, right, remained largely flattish. In fact, it decreased by 0.4%. So we've been taking advantage of commodity tailwinds this year, right, which is a product of 2024 hedged pricing, right, versus 2023, as well as the efficiency improvements that you count on us to do. And that's been partially offset by country mix, right, with Korea outperforming relative to China. Korea and India are performing relative to China. We've not really made any changes to our commodity hedging strategy, so you can still think, directionally speaking, of raw and packaging material cost trends in the context of a roughly 12-month hedging policy. If you look at spot pricing rate for the last few months, barley has continued to decline or been softer than the previous year, even if in a more muted rate, so think more like low single-digit decline. If you look at aluminum pricing, the market has continued to increase in 2025 versus 2024. So that one presents a bit of a headwind. It's now sitting in the high 2000s USD per ton, whereas it was more low to mid 2000s, right, at kind of bottom. And it's just a bit harder to predict and to hedge, but it's been mostly neutral thus far, right? So we don't really give a guidance, but if you just took a look at 2025 pricing versus 2024 pricing, and you used a fairly simple view of hedging, you'd expect probably a slight headwind in commodity pricing. As, of course, given we're already late in 2025, we would be mostly hedged for next year. But I think the reality is the way we structure our business, and we've said this in the past, is to leverage our efficiency improvements and cost management initiatives to be able to manage these types of changes. And given commodity escalation is fairly moderated, it wouldn't be a stretch for us to ask corporations, right, to do their best to offset as much of the impact of commodities moving forward. So if everything goes this way, that should leave us with premiumization as ideally the most meaningful driver or variable, right, for cost of goods escalation as we move forward and look into 2026. So thank you for the question, Leif.

speaker
Leif Liu
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thanks a lot. Very clear. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

In the interest of time, our final questions will come from Linda Huang from Macquarie. Please go ahead.

speaker
Linda Huang
Analyst, Macquarie

Thank you, YJ and Yiji. I have two questions regarding with China. The first one is regarding for the net revenue per hectare liter because during the third quarter, we found that it's under the bigger pressure compared to the first half. So can you give us some of the context? What is driving this, and then how do you see this trend going forward?

speaker
Ignatius Larus
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you for the question, Linda. I mean, in the third quarter, our revenue per hectare decreased approximately four percentage points, and this was a consequence of increased investments behind brand activations and our innovations, with a focus, of course, on expanding our in-home presence. coupled with an adverse brand mix, particularly as we managed inventories as well. I mean, we remained very agile in our investments, and within the context of the current consumption environment, that means where, how, and how much we invest. If we look at the third quarter specifically, a greater proportion of our investments actually went to through-the-line campaigns, which were designed to provide as much value as possible to our consumers. to drive traffic for the in-home and to support a route to market in that regard as well. So you would have seen a lower net revenue per hect leader with, on the other side, kind of a reduced sales package investment at the same time. So you could think of it as a bit of a switch in kind of investment mechanisms or areas of focus, right, with maybe more above the line or gross profit investment and less sales and marketing or SG&A investments. Despite the increased investment, though, both behind brands and innovations, the contribution actually of our premium and super premium segments to our total revenue continue to increase in the quarter. And, yeah, equally important, I mean, we continue to maintain pricing discipline while investing, right? So we'll look to lead and grow the category and drive value for our consumers in a disciplined way. And so, yeah, as we move forward, we still expect premiumization will continue to be the primary driver for both top-line growth and for margin expansion as well. Thank you for the question, Linda.

speaker
Linda Huang
Analyst, Macquarie

Yeah, so the second one is regarding for industry. Because I also noticed that the private label trend is taking off in China, and there's many retailers right now, they also have their own beer brands. So does the company have any plan to work as an OEM with those retailers?

speaker
Y.J. Cheung
Chief Executive Officer & Co-Chair of the Board

Yeah, Linda, this is YG. Let me take this question. In terms of OER, I think the major thing that I think to the people who like to have a, retail have liked to have OEM is, one is the consumer to want to have a differentiation of the beer. And second was with the current industry, the extra capacity and efficiency in the breweries. So thanks for everybody visit our Fujian market. Putian brewery back in the week of September 15th. So you always see we are the company how a rich portfolio can provide consumer the differentiation of the brand and package. So we have a big advantage in terms of differentiation that can be the consumers that need. And second one is the capability in the brewery and the efficiency we have in Putian and also link to the new technology to link to the hybrid So we do have this kind of advantage in terms of the operation of the brand and also efficiency improvement, the excellent program and the high technology we have. So that's our advantage we have to make this happen. And let me summarize what we just talked about. First, in terms of brand portfolio, we have a reach. We got to strengthen this further to the consumer. And our root market, not only on-premise, but also the new chain of in-home and O2O that are going to U.S. and build a platform. And third one is the most important for us. After we have a plan, we have an initiative, the key is execution. So the execution, I'm talking about across three R's. responsibility, resources, and recognition. You know, we're going to have the team on the field to own the plan and initiative, which is a very clear target and KPI to be able to track it. In terms of resources, we're going to further invest the channel and also the brand. So we're going to use an excellent program to develop the best practices and the toolkits to help people to be able to implement the target they have. And at the end of the day, we're going to recognize people who's better, who's not good, and then recognize people and to reward and consequence people clearly. So those are the three I talk about. We also develop a platform we call OneBot platform between commercial and the supply chain to work together to make this happen. We are on the stage to build a one-year plan for next year. So our direction is quite clear. Keep the momentum and see the gap we have, build a plan, and the portfolio, the root market execution, and to have next quarter as a bridge to bring our performance to be stabilized and further expanded. getting improved time by time. So I want to use this opportunity to thank the analysis inverter, pay attention to our performance. We're going to speed up the speed, focus, and the discipline of the execution. Thank you.

speaker
Linda Huang
Analyst, Macquarie

Thank you. Thank you, YJ, your detailed answer.

speaker
Y.J. Cheung
Chief Executive Officer & Co-Chair of the Board

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

This concludes our Q&A session today. I would like to turn the conference back over to Y.J. for the closing remarks.

speaker
Y.J. Cheung
Chief Executive Officer & Co-Chair of the Board

Thank you, Ray. As discussed on the call today, we recognize that our results are out of sync with the quality of our brand portfolio, route to market, and people. We are actively correcting this by focusing on fencing our key portfolio offerings, scaling our in-home road to market, and enhance our execution to capture future growth opportunities in China. We are pleased with the result of our business outside of China and are looking forward to continue their momentum as we improve our result to be more in line with the potential of our business. Thank you all for joining us today and I am looking forward to speaking to you again soon.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

This concludes today's results call. Please disconnect your lines. Thank you.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-