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Grupo Bimbo Sa Spns/Adr
10/29/2024
Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Grupo Bimbo's third quarter results conference call. If you need a copy of the press release issued earlier today, it is available on the company's website at grupobimbo.com. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that this call is being recorded and that the information discussed today may include forward-looking statements regarding the company's financial and operating performance. All projections are subject to risk and uncertainty, and actual results may differ materially. Please refer to the detailed note in the company's press release regarding forward-looking statements. I will now turn the call over to Mr. Rafael Pamias, Chief Executive Officer of Grupo Bimbo. Please go ahead, sir.
Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us. Connected on the line today is our CFO, Diego Gagiola, Mark Bendix, Executive Vice President, and several members of our finance team. Before presenting the company's financial results, I would like to express on behalf of myself and all Grupo Bimbo's associates Our deepest solidarity with the people from the state of Florida, North Carolina, Yucatan, and Guerrero, who continue to deal with an extremely difficult situation after the impact of Hurricane Helen, Milton, and John. More than 3,200 associates live in the affected areas. Thankfully, everyone is safe, and we will continue to support them through these challenging times. and to serve these impacted communities and those supporting the recovery efforts. Our commitment to the safety and well-being of our associates and the communities we serve remained a top priority. These third quarter results continue to demonstrate the strength of our business, showcasing our diverse geographies and categories, as well as the exceptional execution by our teams. Overall, our volumes showed positive growth and our net sales increased 7.4%. In Mexico, we achieved strong volume growth exceeding the mixed effect and reached a strong EBITDA margin of nearly 22%. We also saw remarkable results in EAA where we attained the highest EBITDA margin ever at 10%. And our Latin region began to show signs of recovery despite ongoing challenges. with improving trends in Colombia and Chile, and resilience in Argentina. These successes help offset the difficult environment in North America, where while we observe improvements compared to the first half of the year, consumption remains soft. Collectively, all the mentioned results contributed to a record adjusted EBITDA margin for the third quarter at 14.7%. As we move ahead, our focus will be on firing up volume everywhere and reinventing our productivity to secure our long-term sustainability. I would like to share that in line with our ongoing efforts to optimize our global footprint. We will be closing five bakeries, three in the U.S., which we communicated last quarter, one in Valladolid, Spain, and one in Canada. Throughout this process, our main priority remains our associates and their well-being. We communicated to providing, we are committed, apologies, to providing support during this transition, ensuring that all team members receive the assistance they need. In September, we held the ninth BIMBO Global Race, and thanks to more than 300,000 participants, including 160,000 virtual runners, more than 3 million slices of bread are being donated to food banks around the world. We are honored to have received multiple recognitions this quarter, one as the company with the best corporate reputation in Mexico by Merco, and two global recognitions, one of the world's best employers by the Forbes magazine, and for a second consecutive year, one of the world's best companies within the top global food category by Times Magazine. Now, looking into the results by region, in Mexico, sales improved by 6.6%, mainly due to strong trends across most categories and throughout every channel. A positive mixed effect increasing the value to our consumers with four quarters in a row with positive and improving volume evolution. Adjusted EBITDA margin in Mexico reached a strong level at almost 22%, with an expansion of 160 basis points, reflecting the positive volume contribution, favorable mixed effect, and lower commodity costs. In North America, excluding FX effect, top line declined 4%, mainly due to the continued industry-wide weight consumption environment, driven by a stressed consumer seeking value from extended inflation pressures and the strategic exit of certain non-branded business. Within this tough context, the good news is that we are generally seeing a slightly improved trend sequentially. In fact, our branded business is already flat on a volume basis, and we have grown unit share in bagels, sweet baked goods, and snack categories. We continue to evaluate promotions to ensure we have competitive pricing in the marketplace and enable the right price volume equation while continuing to drive consumer engagement and market penetration. We are making efforts to expand our distribution to meet the consumer where they shop and provide the right value for them through price pack architecture aligned with the channel. Despite the lower commodity costs and the realization of strong productivity benefits, adjusted EBITDA margin contracted 140 basis points, mainly due to strategic investments to lower our costs and expanding our value chain to increase our capabilities to better serve more customers and consumers. These investments include part of the one-time charges related to the closure of the bakeries I mentioned before, which are older and slower bakeries with limited impact on our overall capacity, as well as investments to optimize our go-to-market capabilities. Our forward focus will remain on proactively pursuing opportunities to improve our cost structure, expand our distribution, and grow share by meeting consumers at every shopping location. Moving on to Latin America, excluding effects In fact, net sales increased 7.7%, mainly because of the good results in Brazil and the Latin Sur division, and also smaller countries such as Costa Rica and El Salvador. On top of that, our business in Argentina has shown signs of resilience due to our ability to capitalize our risk management policies together with proactive revenue growth management strategies. and our Colombia and Chile organizations have shown improved trends. In fact, Colombia started to grow its profitability. During the quarter, we also completed the acquisition of Panyific in Uruguay, a well-recognized player in the high-quality frozen bread market. This transaction will allow us to continue expanding our local portfolio as well as exporting Panyific's successful business model to various countries in South America. And during the quarter, we also signed an agreement to acquire Wickbolt, a player in the baking industry in Brazil. This family-owned business complements our brand portfolio with brands that consumers love and better positioned our company in the south region of Brazil. In Europe, Asia, and Africa, exploding FX sales increased 7.3%. This was mainly due to strong performance in BIMBO QSR, double-digit sales growth in Romania, UK, India, and Morocco, coupled with the inorganic contribution from the three acquisitions we have completed in the region over the last 12 months. The remarkable adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 240 basis points resulted from a solid sales performance, lower cost of sales, efficiencies throughout the supply chain, and the positive contribution from the past acquisitions, which led to a record margin for a third quarter of 10%. We are excited to announce the signing of an agreement to acquire Dondon, a leading player in the baking industry in Southeast Europe, with presence in four countries, Serbia, Slovenia, Croatia, and Montenegro, with exports to several others. This acquisition is accretive and complements our recent investments in a region of solid growth and high per capita consumption of bread products. Dondon has a strong, well-established brand, a robust manufacturing footprint, and an extensive distribution network. This acquisition is still pending regulatory approvals. While it is a bolt-on acquisition, it aligns strategically with our company's long-term goals. With this, I would now like to turn over the call to Diego, who will walk you through our financials.
Please, Diego, go ahead. Thank you, Rafa. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. These quarter results were good and a perfect example of the benefits of being a well-diversified company, not only in terms of categories and channels, but also in terms of countries and currencies. We achieved an all-time high in sales, a positive mix evolution, and we continue to benefit from lower commodity prices and the acquisitions made in the past, resulting in a record adjusted dividend margin for a third quarter. All this happened despite the sub-consumer environment we and most CPGs are experiencing in the U.S., while we continue to invest in our transformation journey for our value chain in the country. Going a little bit deeper into the results, I want to mention that most of the difference between our gross margin expansion and our lower EBITDA margin expansion comes from North America. And it is mainly explained by, one, The investments we are making to transform our value chain for the long term. Second, the one-time expenses related to the bakery closures. And third, and to a lesser extent, the 4% decrease in top line. On a smaller degree, we are also investing in our distribution network in Mexico to expand our reach. which is already partially reflected in our strong sales performance. And we feel confident this will continue to deliver the expected growth in our revenues. And finally, in Latin America, we saw a challenging consumption environment in Colombia and Chile, as well as one-time expenses related to the reallocation of our plant in Paraguay. Moving on to the balance sheet, we closed the quarter with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 2.8 times. Our total debt closed at 146 billion pesos. The increase in our debt position when compared to 2023 was because of the financing for our strategic investments, including our bolt-on acquisitions that were closed during the quarter and also because of the depreciation of the Mexican peso of more than 16%, or 2.7 pesos per dollar. As for our accumulated operating working capital, we saw an improvement of approximately $50 million as compared to the nine months of last year, mainly due to an improvement in suppliers and inventories. Overall, we remain optimistic about our future, especially because of the investments we're making for our long-term performance and because of our solid diversification and leadership position within the countries where we operate. While we continue to anticipate a challenging consumer environment in North America, All our other regions are showing strong trends. So we reiterate our guidance for the full year. We anticipate that our CapEx investments will end the year close to the low part of the range at approximately $1.8 billion. So with this, we can now proceed with the Q&A session, please.
Thank you. The floor is now open for questions. If you have a question, please press star one on your touch-tone phone at this or any time. If at any point your question is answered, you may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star two. Questions will be taken in the order that they are received. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. The first question comes from Fernando Alvarez with Bank of America.
Hi, good afternoon, and thanks for taking my questions. I have two questions, both related to the U.S. First, can you comment how the promotional activity behaves quarter over quarter and year over year, and what is your outlook on this going ahead? And my second question is if you can explain the difference between the EBIT and EBITDA margins, given that the first one decreased 300%. basis points year over year and the second only 140 basis points. Thank you.
Fernando, thanks very much. This is Mark Bendix. I'll take the first question and I'm sure Diego will answer the second question on EBITDA margins. First of all, what we're seeing in terms of promotions, we want to have the right promotional activity for our customers. And we've made investments geared towards offering more value to our consumers with price reductions and promotions, smaller offerings, and improving in-store availability, which has slightly improved volume. I will say that we're not seeing the same kind of response in promotions that we had seen in previous years. So we're using our RGM process to continue to evaluate our promotions and and gearing our new efforts on price pack architecture to meet the changing consumer need. We plan to continue to compete and to focus to provide the right value propositions that meet the needs of all of our consumers across all of our categories and all of our channels. We're using and developing new offerings to win that value conscious consumer. Diego, do you want to take the second question?
Yes, Mark. Sure. Hi, Fernando. Thank you for your questions. Well, yes, as you mentioned, we do have a higher decrease on our EBIT margin as compared to the EBIT on the region, on North America. This is mainly because of the increased depreciation and amortization. that is the main reason for having this higher decrease of EBIT. And to a much lower extent, we have a small charge from MEPS. Remember that we still have pending liability on MEPS on our balance sheet, and we still suffer from any interest rate variances. So this also impacted a little bit the results of EBIT as we exclude from our EBDA all the MEPS effect.
Perfect. Thank you, Diego. Thank you, Mark.
Your next question comes from Renata Cabral with Citibank.
Hi, everyone. Thank you so much for taking my question. My question is related to capital allocation. I'd like to understand the level of leverage that we would be comfortable with and in terms of share buybacks if you continue with the program. Thank you so much.
Yes. Happy to share with you that, I mean, where we feel comfortable is with leverage of between or around two and a half times. Clearly, we are slightly above that level, although it is not a concern. We are not in the comfort zone, but as you know, we have a very conservative capital structure. And also, and not less important, a very strong profile on our debt maturities with more than 11 years. The next big maturity that we have on the debt side is in 2026. It's a Certificado Bursatil, a local bond of 10 billion pesos, and then we have another 10 billion pesos in 2027. So on that front, we feel very comfortable. We have almost fully available the revolving credit facility. We have close to $1.9 billion out of the $1.95 billion. So we have ample liquidity. And that's why we still feel confident that the right strategy is to continue doing some bolt-on acquisitions. And it is the case of Wigvolt that hopefully will be concluded next year. as well as Bonbon, as both acquisitions are still pending to receive the approval of the authorities. Now, regarding the buyback program, during the year we have bought back close to 55 million shares, which represents 3.8 billion pesos. We still have a legal reserve of a little bit more than 11 billion pesos, for potential future buybacks, although we will continue to execute our buyback program as we have been doing it in the past in a conservative way, but constantly operating when we have a window to operate, and as we continue to see an opportunity regarding the valuation of the company. So you can expect a little bit of further pressure in our leverage because of the resources we are allocating for the buyback program.
Grace, thanks so much for the caller. And my second question would be on the train zone Mexico. We saw very resilient results for bimbo this quarter, and we saw in other consumer names some weaknesses. So I would like just to understand the main trends, if you can give us some color in terms of what performed better, or traditional chain, or the modern chain, or any highlights in terms of products would be really helpful. Thanks so much.
Yes, hello. I will take that one. We are quite happy with the performance of the third quarter in New Mexico. As we mentioned before, we We had a positive volume for four quarters in a row. So I would say that the first reason is that our efforts to reconnect with consumers are working through price pack architecture, through going to channels that they are shopping more and geographies that are suffering less. I would say that our efforts have been successful. Also, we have had a strong... and successful pipeline of innovation. It's been in the high double digits. We're also extending the boundaries of our business model. We are taking a lot of efforts on Omnichannel. And I would say that we keep extending our distribution network. So I would say that we saw growth in almost every category and channel based on these four reasons.
That's clear. Thank you so much.
Thank you.
Your next question comes from Ricardo Alves with Morgan Stanley.
Hello, everyone. Good night. Thanks for the call, as always. A couple of questions. In North America, we've been discussing the challenge, the challenging top line trends. If I could get some more details specifically on competition, it appears to us that the competitive landscape has become a little bit more difficult in terms of when we look at different categories. So if we are able to go into that level of granularity, great. But what we have been seeing, for instance, on Nielsen is that bread is rolls and buns. It's not only the old discussion that we had in this forum, in this call on private label, but we also see evidence of other competitors being a little bit more aggressive. So I just wanted to pick your brains if you see prospects for better or more rational competition from your competitors. or maybe the data that you are seeing on the margin is already indicating a more rational scenario. So just an update on North America, specifically on competition, but if you could go into a couple of categories, I think that that would be helpful. Thank you very much.
Ricardo, thanks for the question. As Rafa and Diego indicated in their opening, I think it's important to understand that we've exited several non-strategic private label businesses. And if we look at our core operating and our branded business, it's sequentially improving quarter to quarter. And in this quarter, our branded business is actually flat on a volume basis. And we've grown unit share in bagels, in sweet baked goods, and snack categories significantly. And all three of those categories are eminently important to our profile and our success in the U.S. So we remain optimistic. We have to get stronger, and we continue to work on innovation and price-back architecture. As Rafa said, it remains relevant and important to the North American consumer. We're focused on eliminating waste at all levels and keenly focused on enterprise cost management. We've been making investments in North America to transform our value chain, to deliver long-term and savings. And we're always looking for ways to drive value by optimizing our North American footprint. So we are encouraged on where we're going. We see sequential improvement and balance of the year. We're also optimistic. Hopefully that helps, Ricardo.
It does help. Just to clarify, in terms of competition, you do not see a more or maybe more aggressive or maybe less aggressive. You'd say that competition is more or less the same at this point in time.
Yeah, I would say competition is about the same. We always have good competition, and it's been a rational marketplace, I would say.
Got it. Super helpful. And if I make just one final follow-up, perhaps this one to Diego. Diego, good night. Just a quick one. Other expenses, I believe it was $2.3 billion. When we tried to reconcile your operational performance, which was better than what we expected, but we saw a miss on net income, I think that that's the line that we didn't predict very well. So this $2.3 billion, also compared to the last couple of quarters, it was significantly higher. Can you just provide some more details on that line, just so that we model a little bit better going forward? Again, I appreciate the time, everyone. Thank you.
Yes. Sure, Ricardo. Let me tell you this. Our other expenses line, I would say it was a little bit probably higher than previous quarters. And this is This is highly connected with all the transformation program in North America, particularly in the U.S. An important part of these 2.3 billion pesos has to do with the expenses, one-time expenses related to the restructuring of the business in the U.S. We also have some other one-time expenses that are related with the closure of the plants, the three plants that we announced on the call of last quarter, a new one in Canada, and also the close of a plant in Spain. So all this is putting some pressure to the other expenses line. Again, just important to mention, not all of it, it's a cash expense. We have some non-cash, but also cash expenses. We also had, as I mentioned on the previous question, an impact from MEPS, negative impact from MEPS because of the movement on interest rates.
Very clear, Diego. Thank you so much.
Your next question comes from Philip Ucos with Scotiabank.
Thanks operator. Uh, good evening. Uh, a couple of my questions were answered, but let me, uh, do this one. So on EAA, obviously very good performance here. Um, particularly on the margin side, we did very, very well. Uh, but obviously there's, there's some inorganic noise there in the numbers. So just wondering if you can break up for us kind of, um, what was organic versus inorganic, um, And then on the flip side, also related to that, you're also seeing some synergies, which you mentioned at the call. So just wondering if you could talk about those. And then I have a follow-up. Thank you.
Hi, Felipe. This is Diego. Unfortunately, we do not disclose the specifics from organic and inorganic. What we have mentioned, and we can reiterate, is that the acquisitions that we have performed particularly in this region, are being accreted, of course, on growth, but more importantly, on the margin expansion. But unfortunately, we did not disclose the specifics.
The only thing that I can add is that we do feel that the ALA margins for the future are sustainable. Why? Because our organic business is growing over a strong basis of comparison. And also... The three recent acquisitions completed over the last 12 months have been accretive and continue to have excellent results. So I would say that definitely there has been a lot of movement in EAA. So you can expect that as the acquisitions start to mature, we will also see productivity initiatives that will further the results. So I would say... I would think that very recently we have discovered a region of high per capita consumption, strong growth, fragmented competition, and those are the places we want to be to enhance our global portfolio and know-how. So I would believe that there are sustainable margins both because of the growth of the organic business and the accretive acquisitions.
And let me really expand here just a little bit more. From the EAA EBITDA growth, just to give you some color, the most relevant growth is coming organically. Inorganically, we're having this accretive effect on our margins because on the profitability of the businesses that we acquire. But because of the relative size to the region and, of course, to the whole Grupo Bimbo operation, the most important contributor of the growth is the organic growth, not the inorganic.
No, I understand that you can't give exact results, but that was actually very helpful to help us understand, you know, that most of it is organic. That definitely are good news. And then I may ask a follow-on on the closures. You announced two new closures, one in Canada, one in Spain. I imagine that they're not huge, but just wondering a little more about the message for the future of Does this mean that the footprint realignment is being reassessed worldwide? So a little bit of what you did in the U.S. over the last few quarters, is that now kind of going into a global mode and we'll see more of these, or do you think that you're mostly done with the questions?
It is not necessarily a global strategy. I would say that, yes, globally we are continuously looking for opportunities on where we can capture opportunities some incremental profitability by reallocating the production to a plant that can have a better performance either because of the location or because of the speed of the lines and the design of the plant. In some cases we have some old plants as it was the case in the U.S. So it makes a lot of sense to reaccommodate where we're having the production without losing the volume, and this way taking out some expenses that, of course, we will see this payback in the coming quarters. Cash on cash, we typically have a return of less than a year or around a year. So it's a very nice productivity project. Now, it's hard to predict if we're going to be able to find more of these Again, we're constantly looking into that. In some cases, we need to expand a line. We need to increase the speed of an existing plant in order to be able to reallocate the production from point A to point B. So it's not as easy. It's not that we necessarily today have the full visibility that we could say we're going to close X number of plants. It's more on a case-by-case basis, and what we can assure you is that we will continue to look for these opportunities that are very profitable and will help us continue expanding our margins in the coming future.
Very helpful. Thanks a lot to both of you guys.
Our next question comes from Antonio Hernandez with Aclimate.
Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. Just a quick one regarding the impact of the closure of these five bakeries. Is this something that we should expect, I mean, just for one, two quarters, or how should we think of this going forward? I know that in the positive upside from this, but any type of – is it like one time, like one quarter, or is it more maybe like a quarter, a quarter and a half, and maybe a slight impact in bowling perhaps? Thanks.
Yes. I mean, we already recognize in the third quarter part of the costs from these bakery closures are But we do still expect to have additional cash and non-cash expenses during the fourth quarter. Regarding the volume, potential volume loss, I would say no. We're not expecting anything, hopefully, unless we have a problem or we make a mistake. But we're planning not to lose any volume. So really switching beforehand the volume to the plans that correspond and then close the plant with all the necessary procedures with the people and with the assets and with the fixed assets and the lines, and reaccommodate those assets in our operations.
Okay, perfect. So most of the impact was in the third quarter versus fourth quarter? Just confirming that.
No, not necessarily, as we're just announcing the following closures. We did announce back in July the closure of the three plants in the U.S., although the impact in our resources is still not fully reflected, so not necessarily it is more in the third quarter than in the fourth. In fact, it's going to be more the other way around.
Okay. Makes sense. Thanks for that call, or have a nice day.
Your next question comes from Teresa Chen with Barclays.
Hello?
Hello? Hey, this is actually Ben Toro. For whatever strange reason, there was a wrong name transmitted. No, just following up on some of the closure questions that you got tonight. And thanks for some of the clarity. So as we look at it, I mean, obviously a lot of that is driven by some of the M&A activity and like looking through a portfolio, what is efficient, what is inefficient. So I just wanted to follow up on the more recent M&A activities as you look at those assets. and as you grow your footprint in some of those other regions, how should we think about the fit today and maybe the fit of tomorrow? So where do you think there is a need to maybe do similar actions as you're doing it right now in the U.S. and some of the other regions, be it in Europe, be it in South America, or in Asia?
Yes, hello. We evaluate case by case, but I would say that our last acquisitions are being chosen because of their ability to deliver volume growth with competitive margins. Remember that we have been insisting on the accretive nature of the last acquisition. So we're evaluating and nothing is written in stone, but we are quite happy up to now with... what the new acquisitions are bringing to the body. They are allowing us to expand our footprint to reach more customers and consumers.
Okay. Well, thanks for that. And then just like maybe just following up on just like the consumer trends. And I mean, that's obviously been a question. And I think it was pointed out well as it relates to the consumer in Mexico and The strength, the weakness, however you want to put this, how do you guys see the current consumer environment evolving into the fourth quarter? And what's your expectation into next year, just in light of some potential disruption from U.S. elections, et cetera?
Yes, Ben. As I mentioned during my speech earlier, When I said that we believe we're going to be on target with our guidance for the year, I mean, if we go on details, what we're falling behind the initial objective is clearly North America with a soft consumer environment. We believe the fourth quarter will be a little bit with the same trend. Now, for the other three regions, we feel a little bit more optimistic. we think that we will continue some growth, good performance, not only on top line, but also being able to capture some incremental productivity that will be reflected on the margins of these regions. So all in, we think that Group of BIMBO will end the year pretty much aligned to the guidance. Now, still early to talk about 2025. I think that we should wait, as we always do for the next conference call. And, of course, we will provide some specific targets, both in top-line, margins, and capex for the next year.
Okay. Perfect. I would just add, as possibly many other companies are sharing, too, that we have entered an era of calculated spending with consumers, right? And there are more they discern more about which groceries and in which categories they spend more or less. I would say that some of our consumers, they need to wait for the salaries to catch up the price increases. So we're hopeful because when we apply this strategy the right way, we grow volume, right? And I would say that The name of the game will be to be sure that we deliver the right price pack architecture and also that we find those segments that are more resilient to price. We see opportunities in premium segments. We see opportunities in health and wellness. So it's too early to tell, but we are adjusting our strategies already to face these more discerning consumers.
Okay, perfect. Thank you very much.
Your next question comes from Alvaro Garcia with BTG.
Hey, gentlemen. Thanks for the space for questions. Two questions for me. One, just kind of double-clicking on, did you have some comments on mix in Mexico? In my sense, that is that it's more of a channel thing, maybe more geared towards the traditional channel. We've seen some commentary on that, but I was wondering if maybe that might be a, a category mix thing. So if you can clear that, those, those mixed comments on Mexico, that'd be very helpful. And then my second question is on, um, on China. I was wondering if you could provide maybe a strategic update on your investment plans, uh, on your branded business specifically in China. Thank you very much.
Yeah. On, on Mexico, I would say that, um, we have, we see a strong growth in all channels, right? From wholesalers to, uh, convenience, special channels, modern trade, traditional and out of end. I would say that also we are growing solidly in all the categories we are present. So I would say that the good job done by the local teams is about our ability to reconnect with consumers. We have done a lot of work on sizes and prices and having a different strategy. per channel. I have to reiterate that the main growth lever for Mexico, it has been positive volume, strong positive volume for four quarters in a row, okay? So I would say we still have intact our ability to extend the distribution network, the innovation was quite positive with double digit growth. And again, price-back architecture.
That's very clear.
When it comes to China, I would say that we are still on the same trend. There are some slight improvements versus the same quarter of a year ago. It is true that the overall consumption environment and business environment in China is quite trying. We do have strong and resilient business in quick service restaurants, and there are some channels that are already responding well to our branded initiatives. It is too early to say that the consumer environment and the business environment is on the right side. So I would say that 2025 is a year to keep building and profiting from our strong presence in many categories.
I mean, just to compliment Alvaro, as you probably know, the branded business that we have in China is very small for GD, and it's even small for EAA. So as you can see, even still with the... Not as positive performance of the branded business in China. We have a very healthy business in the whole region, a very good margin expansion, top-line growth. So we will continue to work on fixing the branded business in China. We don't expect any big negative effect from this operation.
I would just add, if I was not clear before, We need to praise the good job done by our quick service restaurant business in China. That is doing very well. And that is the bulk of our business over there.
Great. Yeah. Awesome. Thank you very much.
Your next question comes from Alejandro Sucks with ITAL BBA.
Hola, Rafael, Diego, Mark. Thank you for the space for questions. Two very quick ones from my side. First one for Diego. Diego was wondering if you could give us maybe some color on the company's current hedge position on raw materials thinking into the end of the year and maybe into the next year. And the second one maybe for Rafael was wondering if you could give us also some color on the weakness that you mentioned on Chile and Colombia. Is this more of a macro situation? This is more of a competitive dynamics. And how do you see this improving going forward? Thank you.
Yes, hi, Alejandro. Well, regarding the hedges for the fourth quarter, I'll say that we're very close to 100%. So we feel very, very confident we will still continue to see these positive wins and these positive effects. once we report the last quarter of the year. Now, for 2025, we have a smaller hedge position. It's almost a third, one-third of our needs for the year. And the overall result today, of course, without taking into account what can happen with the other two-thirds, but with what we already hedged, it's a positive effect for 2025. Of course, not as big as in 2024. That was the biggest tailwind. But we will continue to see some positives in 2025.
Yeah, when it comes to LATAM status and going forward, well, as you know, LATAM is a combination of 15 countries, right? Brazil is the biggest one and has been outperforming for several years now. I have to reiterate that Argentina has been showing resiliency with positive results about our expectations, and yes, as I said before, Colombia and Chile have been the recent underperformance for two different reasons, right? In Chile, we are experiencing a challenging competitive environment, especially on pricing in modern trade. On the other side, in Colombia, the consumption overall is weak across categories, and we continue to be impacted by the new food tax and the development of hard discounters. On the positive side, we're seeing improvements sequentially in both markets. I was actually both in Santiago de Chile and Bogotá last week, and the teams presented those improvements and the turnaround initiatives, and I am quite confident that soon we will find some more robust growth in both countries. They have, I believe, started to find the solution, and it's going to happen in the next quarters of 25 and possibly beginning 26. We feel optimistic about the evolution of the region because we feel optimistic about Chile and Colombia.
Very clear. Thank you, Rafael and Diego.
Your next question comes from Mateo Desada with BRG.
Hi, good afternoon, everyone. Mateo Desada from Rojatin here. Thank you for taking my question. I actually have two quick ones, if I may. First one, I wanted to know if you could provide some more color on what drives the difference between ABTA and operating margin expansion in Mexico as well, because you mentioned that at the consolidated level, it is mostly driven by the U.S., But in Mexico, it's the same thing. We have, if my numbers are right, a big growth in DNA in Mexico. And I wanted to know first what could be driving this. And the second one is regarding net debt and whether we should expect net debt to stabilize around here after the I believe six or seven quarters of the figure growing.
Thank you. Can you repeat the second question, please?
The second question is related to net debt and whether we should expect the number net debt to stabilize around here after a couple quarters of the number growing in a row, I believe.
Yes, hi, Mateo. Regarding the difference between EBIT and EBDA in Mexico, it's mainly because of an incremental depreciation and amortization. For the past two years, we invested heavily in the country on many different fronts, and this is affecting or increasing the depreciation and amortization. Here, we do not have any additional or extraordinary as it was the case with the question of North America with the MEPS. So it is mainly that, and it is part of the growth that we've been able to achieve because of these past investments. Regarding the net debt, what I can tell you is that more than saying that it will stabilize, and let me expand here a little bit, and a quick and important assumption. Assuming that we get the approval for the two acquisitions that we already signed and announced, if we are to conclude these two acquisitions, we will continue to face some additional pressure on the leverage of the company. Nothing material as these two acquisitions are bolt-on, and none of them will be transformational for the company. Now, with a long-term view, what we believe is that once we go through 2025, assuming that we conclude these two projects, then we will start to see a deleverage. Okay? So it's not necessarily a stabilization. It is not a view on a quarterly basis. We really have a long-term view. on where we can go and then how we can deliver it to the company and, of course, always making sure that we have the right debt profile so we can continue to build on these future goals of Groupovil.
Okay. Thank you very much, guys.
This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Rafael Paneas for any closing remarks.
Okay, thank you all for your time today. Please do not hesitate to contact us with any further comments or questions you might have. Goodbye and have a good day.
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