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Bouygues
7/26/2024
Good morning and welcome to the conference presenting Grubrig's results for the first half year. This conference is recorded and your line will be on mute throughout the presentation. You will have the opportunity to raise questions at the end of the presentation. To do so, key in star 1. If you need help, star 0 and you'll be connected to an operator. And I'm going to give the floor to Olivier Roussard, Chief Executive Officer of the WIG Group. Monsieur Hussar, you have the floor. Ladies and gentlemen, good morning and thank you all for joining us for today's presentation of our half-yearly results. Unusually, we will be doing this half-yearly conference remotely because of the logistics involved. in the opening ceremony of the Paris Olympic Games this evening. I'm going to comment these half-year results alongside Pascal Granger. And at the end of the presentation, we will take your questions with the heads of the various business segments. I'm going to begin with the landmark events of the first half year. This is page four of your presentation. First general point is that we wish to confirm the outlook for the group for 2024. In other words, sales and a current operating profit from activities slightly up on 2023. Let me point out four things concerning our business segments. First of all, the backlog in construction is at a very high level, giving us very good visibility for the future. Second point is that the current, the COPPA, as we call it, a margin on COPPA of VQANs are up over a year at a good reflection of the strategic plan we called before. Thirdly, the commercial dynamics of Greek Telecom has continued in fixed lines, and in mobile phones, the market context is highly competitive. Forte Bicomobili is adapting to its very difficult market environment. Finally, our financial structure at the end of the first half year is very solid, with a big improvement in net debt compared with last year, thanks to the efforts made by our various business segments. Moving to page five, let's look at the key figures for the first half year. May I remind you that, as with every year, the first half year results are not representative of the annual results, mainly because of the seasonality of business at Colas, and to a lesser extent, the seasonality of the business at Equans. The group's sales figure for the first half year totaled €26.5 billion. That is a 1% increase over last year. The current operating profit from activities in the first half year improved by €20 million over the last 12 months to arrive at €747 million. Net income group share was €186 million, down €39 million over the same figure last year. Pascal Granger will give you more detailed information on that. Finally, our net debt totaled €8.7 billion at the end of June 24, This is down from 10.6 billion euro at the 30th of June last year. This is a very significant improvement of close to 1.9 billion euro. Again, Pascal will elaborate on that later on. Let's continue on page seven with a number of what we call sustainable initiatives taken by the group and its various business segments. In the course of the first half year, the group we decided to associate itself with the Solar Impulse Foundation. This four-year partnership is aimed at identifying, assessing, and scaling viable solutions in favor of the environmental and energy transitions. This partnership requires several areas of cooperation, particularly the development of joint initiatives relating to innovation and sustainable development. Now, Solar Impulse intends to certify solutions contributing to at least five of the 17 Sustainable Development Goals, that's the UN's Sustainable Development Goals. It has already certified 1,572 of these initiatives. Now, of these, three developed by our business segments, particularly Equans and NA Big Energy and Services, as well as Big, let me bid you. These include storage of energy, energy power supply, that's a green initiative, hydrogen power supply or optimization of the way we use our building. I will continue on page eight. This is two initiatives in the construction business. First of all, COLAS launched an environmental day three years ago. This is an event aimed at raising awareness in all its operations worldwide. And of course, it goes hand in hand with what we do in the field. The themes vary from one year to the other. This year we focused on the circular economy. Colas is involved in recycling and reusing its materials in order to accompany and accelerate the environmental transition of local authorities. Examples would include Easy Coal, which is an asphalt mix at lower temperatures that can be fully integrated with recycled aggregates. Veggie Road, which is an asphalt mix using a binder. Up to 77% recycled aggregates recycled, which is an in-place recycling process for degraded or end-of-life road surfaces that uses a coal technique that uses 100% of the existing road surface. Another initiative was at Green Construction. This is the launch of what we call Scale 1. It's a third-place innovation center aimed at promoting the environmental and digital transitions in the construction industry. This third place is an opportunity to test innovations in the sector in order to accelerate change in the world of construction. This helps sustainably improve, and this will debut in 2025. This is under the terms of a partnership with the Île-de-France region and the French government. Moving on to page nine, a few words about carbon shift. Carbon shift is a consolidation of Equan's know-how in terms of decarbonization, brings together experts, further low carbon transition it provides with the focus on the main know-how in terms of decarbonization optimization processes energy efficiency automatic control systems or the installation of heat pumps the management of electric vehicle fleets access to photovoltaic energy carbon sequestration but also geothermal energy upstream carbon capture solutions storage of electrical thermal power now carbon shift simplifies the decarbonization process for its customers it's a single point of entry for customers that has the ability to support global customers in several countries this is thanks to a dedicated team of 500 experts in a series of countries our clients are supported throughout the design installation and maintenance of their management or even during the financing and performance commitment phases. I now propose to move on to the operational review of our various business lines, beginning with construction. Moving on to page 12, if I may. First slide concerns the backlog. The backlog of the construction business is at a very high level at 31 billion euro, which gives us good visibility for our future business. The backlog in France is up over the last year, and it's a good reflection of how well reconstruction and CODAS have performed in France. We look at the backlog in greater detail, and I'm moving on now to slide 13, or page 13, beginning with reconstruction, which over the period took in €5.5 billion in orders. Now, this is supported by the strong dynamics of the normal course of business, that is, these are projects of a total value below €100 million. These normal course of business activities represent 59% of the orders taken in. There have also been a number of larger contracts signed in France and outside of France. In the second quarter, reconstruction was selected in France to build the second eastern line of Metro Line 15 in Grand Paris for a total of €570 million. We'll also mention the extension of the Victor-Dupli Hospital in Argenteuil for a total of €120 million. These major contracts follow the first quarter, which saw the signing of a number of other major contracts, particularly the building of the hospital Rabat in Morocco for a total of €460 million, or the cocaine solar farm in Australia for a total of €140 million. At €15.9 billion, the reconstruction backlog is up by over €500 million over the last year. That's 4% growth. It is... driven by public works, where the backlog has increased 10%, whereas the building part of the business is down slightly by approximately 1%. As a follow-up to previous quarters, we are in a difficult market situation. The upshot is that the backlog is actually down 240 million over the last 12 months. That's a 25% decline, or a value of 1 billion euro. Net reservations in housing are stable in terms of volume. the increase in block reservations offsetting the unit reservations, but it's a 6% increase in value over the year. As for commercial billings, the increase, or the bookings, I should say, are at a standstill. The beginning of a decline in interest rates observed at the late 2023 brought to a significant number of withdrawals in the first half year, which is encouraging, but this needs to be confirmed over time. Finally, CODAS Turkey in orders for €7.2 billion in the first half year. In roads, the order book is up slightly in France. It's down slightly outside of France because of the non-renewal of a number of major projects and a repositioning of business in certain countries. In railways, the first half year was marked by the signing of a number of major contracts, particularly in the Q2, the signing of a contract for the Metro Line 15, the East 2 in the Grand Paris for a total of 100 million euros. Finally, the Colas backlog is stable over the last year at 14.1 billion. In roads, the backlog is down 9%. In railways, it's up 25%. Let's now move on to the financial performance of our construction business on page 14, beginning with sales. Reconstruction sales totaled €12.3 billion, up 1% over the last 12 months, and up 1% on a like-for-like basis thanks to reconstruction and collapse. Reconstruction's sales figure was up 4%, driven largely by building outside of France. Republic Works was stable, and building in France was down very slightly. The sales figure for Biddy is down 17%. Housing is at 15% over the year, and the commercial buildings almost at zero, which is a clear reflection of the market, which is at a virtual stance. So finally, Colas' sales figure was up 1% over the last year. It has been supported by the rail business, up 7% as for roads. The sales are very slightly in France, North America, and the EMEA region, but down in Asia-Pacific. Moving on to Current operating performance from activities on page 15.
The COPPA for the construction business stands at minus 21 million euros. Let me remind you that because of the seasonality of Colas, the numbers for H1 are not representative of annual numbers. Numbers for brick construction in Colas are up. Brick construction copa is up at 134 million euros. Copa margin stands at 2.7 percent, up 2.2 percentage points over one year. You should point out that that copa margin is related to the nonlinear pace of construction. construction sites. And so a quarterly analysis of this indicator is not really relevant to assess the annual performance. On its side, Colas' COPAS stands at minus 119 million euros, up 8 million euros over one year. Now, that performance is pretty usual for a first half of the year, again, because of the seasonality of business. As to Bouygues Immobilier, it is undergoing change because in a context of lower business, Bouygues Immobilier is SCOPA for the first half year was minus 36 million euros again compared with zero at H1 2023. Adaptation measures decided in April are being implemented in the first stage of the redundancy plan, giving preference to voluntary departures and internal mobility is going according to plan. These measures will start kicking in at the end of 2024, the full effect being expected in the second half of 2025. Non-current charges for that were recognized to the tune of 23 million euros for H1. Let's move on to equants on page 17. In a rather buoyant context, equants enjoyed a strong new orders to the tune of 10.2 billion euros, growth both in France and outside France. That includes on H1 significant orders in France, Navy nuclear transportation and building, but also outside France for data centers, solar farms, or indeed the high-tech plants. Orders also, order-taking took advantage of RECURRING CONTRACTS OF MAINTENANCE AND NORMAL BUSINESS. ANOTHER POINT, ORDERS HAVE BEEN IMPROVING AT END JUNE 2024. EQUANCE'S BACKLOG STANDS AT 26.5 BILLION EURO STABLE COMPARED TO END 2023 AND THAT REFLECTS OUR NEW STRATEGY OF SELECTIVITY ON CONTRACTS BUT ALSO PULLING OUT OF THE NEW BUILD BUSINESS IN THE UK. Sales for equants stood at 9.4 billion euros at H1 2024, up 2%, thanks to a good positive momentum on the various geographical areas, and in spite of disposals conducted at the end of 2023 and the gradual pullout of the new-build business I mentioned earlier, revenue is also driven by significant growth in specialty areas, solar, data centers, and high-tech plants. COPPA stands at 300 million euros, so that's the COPPA margin at 3.2%, up 0.5 percentage points compared to H1 2023. This shows that the PERFORM plan is being implemented properly. Let's move on to page 18 on the outlook for 2024. Let me remind, we are confirming the outlook for 2024. The PERFORM plan is going as planned. The environment is positive, but we give preference to profitability rather than volume. In 2024, we confirmed that sales should be close to that of 2023. On the one hand, it will take on board the growth of Equance's markets, but also there's a scope effect related to the disposal of the discontinuation of asset-based activities at 2023 and the fact that we are being more selective on businesses. Let me remind you that for Equance, As of 2025, we're looking to an acceleration organic growth for revenue to be in line with the rest of the market. In 2025, the COPPA margin should be close to 4%. In 2027, the COPPA margin should reach 5%. Equant is also looking to a conversion rate of anywhere between 80% and 100% of COPPA to cash flow before WCRB. Let's move on to TF1's numbers. This is page 20, the numbers we published last night. The audiences of Group TF1 have confirmed the success of its editorial strategy. The audience share for women under 15 in charge of purchases is up one point at 34.6%, and the audience share for individuals aged between 25 and 49 is up 1.3 percentage points at 31.5%. TF1's sales figure is up 6% at 1.1 billion euros. Advertising revenue is up 7% over one year, thanks to a good advertising market in the linear part of the business, good performance of TF1 Plus in the digital. Advertising revenue of TF1 Plus is up 40% over one year, confirming the attractiveness of this platform for advertisers New and Studios Business is down. This is because there have been no significant deliveries of programs in H1, but this is in line with our expectations for 2024 because we're looking to more programs in Q4. Copa therefore is down 24 million euros over one year at 121 million euros. The cost of programs is up 55 million euros over one year. This is related to the Euro football competition. And, of course, there's been an uptake of the advertising revenue in 2024. But there are exceptional expenses for launchers in H1, in particular TF1+. Proper from activity stands at 11.7%, down three points over one year, as expected at this point of the year. Again, not representative of the rest of the year, of the full year. Let's move on to the outlook of TF1. I can confirm that TF1 will pursue its growth of digital, leaning on the promising launch of TF1+. It will keep a COPPA level close to that of 2023, and TF1 will keep generating significant cash, enabling it to look at a growth policy for dividends over the next few years. Let's move on to BRIC Telecom. This is page, slide 23. At end June, BRIC Telecom had as many as 15.6 million contract customers, not including machine-to-machine. That means an additional 76,000 customers over the first half year, including 59,000 over the second quarter. This is less than in H1 2023, where Big Telecom was able to get in an additional 109,000 new mobile customers. This reflects the lower growth of the market in terms of volume, but also the environment has become very competitive indeed. Mobile ABPU is stable at 19.7 euros, 19.7 euros. This reflects the constant tensions on purchasing power, which cause customers to move to cheaper contracts. Mobile ABPU has been for one year and since Q4 2023, but if the competitive context continued, that could bring about a lower mobile ABPU by end 2024. Page 24, growth dynamic in the fiber business. An additional 249,000 new customers on H1, including 115,000 on Q2. Customers with FTTH stand at 3.8 million, accounting for 77% of the total number, compared with 69% a year ago. Altogether, the customers for fixed lines, there are 5 million such customers, up 70,000 over the first half year. Fixed ABPU keeps growing. It stands now at 33 euros, up 2.5 euros over one year, thanks to the deployment of the fiber and the good quality of the network and its fixed equipment. Now I'm on page 25, where there comes key figures. Sales built with customers in H1 was up 5% over one year. The number for services at H1 2024 was up 4% over one year. We are being penalized by lower incoming revenue, but this has no effect on EBITDA after lease. Total sale is down 1% over the period, but this is because of a lower contribution of the others compartment that includes handsets, accessories, but also works. EBITDA after lease stood at 959 million euros, up 3% over one year, and this is driven by growing revenue and more cost control in what has become a very competitive environment and also higher OPEX in line with the acquisition of new customers in the fixed business. Operating profit Promotivity is slightly down, 356 million euros, because of additional depreciation allowances in line with our capex expectations. Finally, gross capex, not including frequencies, are in line with the objective at 778 million euros. Let's move on to the outlook for Brick Telecom. This is page 26. The outlook for 2024 for Brick Telecom remains unchanged. Brick Telecom proposes to increase the sales bill to customers EBITDA after these above €2 billion, and gross capital expenditure excluding frequencies around €1.5 billion. If we look at our EBITDA guidance after the year 2024, let me remind you that as we did in Q1, mobile ABPU has been stable since Q4 2023. The growth of the mobile market has become very limited indeed, but we keep growing our network into new areas. And because we are in a rental mode for the fixed business, this brings about costs that are recognized as OPEX. I'll give the floor now to Pascal Granger, who will give a detailed presentation of the numbers. Thank you, Olivier.
Good morning to one and all. Just some additional information on the financial statements as of June the 30th, 2024. Concerning the income statement on page 26, I'm not going to dwell on sales and the COPPA, which have already been explained in some detail. First point, in the first half of 2024, we recorded €45 million in amortization of PPA, power purchasing agreements, including €28 million for equans, all booked under Greek SA. Secondly, non-recurring elements, which are not present in the activity, totaled €106 million in the first half year. The two landmark events of the first half year are, first of all, equans, which booked €46 million in non-recurring expenses, mainly because of the management incentivization plan that we discussed at some length at our Capital Markets Day. The cost of this plan was booked entirely to the full half, first half of 2024, and is therefore higher than in the first half of 2023, where it only began to be booked in the second quarter. The amount of non-recurring expenses relating to this plan in 2024 will probably be a little higher than the €80 million initially anticipated, This is because Equans has performed better than expected. As for Big Immobilier, it has booked a non-recurring loss of €23 million, mainly due to the cost of adapting its activity. This is a plan that was announced last April. Then TF1, Big Telecom and Big Construction also booked non-recurring losses for smaller amounts. The third point is that the cost of net debt is significant. down 117 million. This is an improvement after a cost of 149 million euro in the first half of last year. This is due to the combined effect of increased liquidities and interest on these liquidities, bearing in mind that our debt is at a fixed rate. Fourthly, concerning the lower half of the income statement, we have booked an interest or a tax expense of 162 million after 155 million in the first half of last year. The calculation gives us a relatively stable effective rate at 39%. The effective rate of tax in the first half year was due to the, let's say, the constraints of international taxation. The fact that we have presence in a very large number of countries, there's a very wide range of rates of taxation in each of these countries. Fifthly, the share of joint ventures and associates reached €6 million, down from €46 million a year ago. This was in particular due to the lesser contribution of Tipco. This is a joint venture with Colas in Thailand, including a start-up of activities, which took place later this year, and, of course, Big Telecom's joint ventures, which are still in the investment stage. Finally, the 100% consolidation of Colas' losses at 100%, as opposed to 98% in the first half of last year. The result of these different items give us a net profit group share at the end of June of €186 million, down €39 million on the previous year. As you can see on page 29, net debt at the 30th of June 2024 totaled €8.7 billion, up from €6.3 billion at the end of last year. Now, this is a variation of €2.5 billion, which is mainly due to the usual seasonal effects on the group's activities. This variation is considerably smaller than the one we observed at the end of 2022 and indeed at the end of the first half of 2023, which was a variation of approximately €3.1 billion. This is due to the better development of our operations and working capital requirements in particular. The variation by comparison with year-end 2023 was mainly due to the Net acquisitions, that's the net of disposals for €120 million, including investments in joint ventures by BKD Com, acquisitions by Colas, and the buyback of TF1 shares. But also due to the variation of share capital or shareholders' equity for €50 million, a cost of €50 million, with a view to the cancellation, the exercising stock options, and the liquidity contract. The distribution of the dividend for 811 million euros, including 718 million euros paid to weak shareholders, the remainder being paid to minority shareholders in TF1 and weak telecom. Finally, operations totaled a cost of 1.5 billion euros. Let's now take a close look at the variation in this operations. This is page 30. Beginning with net cash flow, including the repayment of lease obligations, total 1.3 billion euro. This is a 200 million euro increase by comparison with the first half of 2023. Net capex, that's not including frequencies, total 1.1 billion, which is identical to the amount of capex last year. Six million were also booked for frequencies in the first half year. Free cash flow before working capital requirements amounted to 205 million euro. This is a big improvement. over the first half of 2023, when the figure was €11 million. The change in operating working capital requirements and others, as every year, affected by the seasonal effects on our operations. Variation booked at the end of the first half year was €1.7 billion, which is considerably lower than the variation at the same time last year, which was almost €2.2 billion. Let's now look at the Group's financial structure on page 31. Group's liquidity totaled €13.6 billion at the end of June, which is a very high level indeed. This amount is comprised of €2.4 billion in cash, that's the Group's cash, and €11.1 billion in medium and long-term facilities that have not been drawn down. Part of this was set up for the purposes of acquiring La Poste Mobile. Need I remind you that the acquisition price was assessed at €950 million. On the right-hand side, you see the chart that's the scheduling of payments, which is very balanced over time. Based 32, you'll see that net debt has improved substantially by comparison to the situation at June 30th of last year. By comparison with the year end 2023, the variation is because of the seasonality of our business. The gearing was 65% at the end of June 2024, up 13, at an improvement of 13 percentage points over the last 12 months. Finally, let me remind you that the rating agencies have given good ratings to the group. Saladin Poor's, we have given us an A- with the negative outlook, and Moody's have given us, and confirmed in June 2024, an A3 rating with stable outlook. This is the end of my presentation of the accounts. Thank you for your attention. Olivier, I give you back the floor.
All right. Well, let's look at the outlook for the group for 2024. This year, Equance will keep improving its performance in line with the performed strategic plan. Bouygues Immobilier will still be in a challenging market with little visibility for any time of pickup. And in an uncertain economic and geopolitical environment after a year of growth, BRIC is looking at revenue and ROCA slightly up compared to 2023. And now we are here to take your questions together with Pascal and the heads of the business units. So if you wish to put a question, please press star 1 on your keyboards. We'll start off with a question from Nicolas from HSBC. Nicolas. Yes, good morning. I have a first question regarding the macroeconomic and political context in France. I mean, we may end up with a business that is just running current affairs, but with that, might this have a consequence on public orders, procurement for construction? What about the UK? And finally, Colas has seen a number of major projects not renewed. What's the outlook? Regarding Brick Telecom EBITDA, I heard your comments about the acquisition costs for new customers in the fixed line business, which is driving down or pulling down EBITDA growth. Is it that the leases that are going up, or are we talking about the acquisition costs such as promotion? I'm trying to see. There's a growth of 8 percent EBITDA, but only 3 percent growth in EBITDA. Well, I'll take your question. Benoit will take the other half of the question. First question about the political environment in France. and indeed the UK political environment, you saw that the backlog that we have regarding roads or the construction business, we have good backlogs with good visibility. We don't see much coming in the way of that. We have, if we look at the depth of the backlogs, part of 2025 is already inside our books. And so we are not really concerned about that. We're looking at infrastructure projects where this is unlikely to be a concern. On the property market, that's another issue. It's pretty much it's down. We feel that we've hit rock bottom. So the question is, there will be stimulus measures for that business. We assume that the market is down, but of course, if the market picks up, that's fine. But if not, we can live with that low level of business. Of the countries where there's non-renewal contracts, mostly North America, that for Colas, the major products were not renewed. Sorry, there was a question about the UK. UK, we have nothing to say. The business there on the road business in UK is pretty low, so we're not particularly concerned with developments in the UK. On rail, we have contracts that have already been renewed, so there again, we're not particularly concerned. Neither are we about developments in the U.S. And, of course, overall, our level of business has been pretty stable, irrespective of policies in that country. Benoit, about Bouygues Télécom, maybe? Yes, good morning. So you were asking about the low growth of EBITDA compared to growth in revenue. Well, there are two phenomena here, to understand the whole point. Number one, as you point out, growth in sales is driven by the fixed-line business. Now, in that business, we rent out infrastructure, so these are variable costs, and so the variable margin of the fixed line is lower than in the mobile business. Then there's another point in Q2. Sorry, in Q3. In Q2, we have different developments between Q1 and Q2. We had a revamping on all our offers, so there were costs associated with these new launches. Then as a technical point, you may know that the former workshops are written off as a loss in EBITDA in Q2. We had the, we had, I'm talking, sorry, about the treatment of unpaid invoices. We had the opposite phenomenon last year. Yes, we're all on different sides. The reason we give the floor to, I say who will be speaking next because there are two of us in the same room, all the others are in separate sites. So this is why I have to tell you who will take the answer, who will take the question, sorry. If you have a question, press star one on your phones. The next question comes from Lamar from Morgan Stanley. You have the floor. Yes, good morning. I have a question about Brick Telecom. You published the objectives for BRIC Telecom at Capital Markets Day in 2021. A lot of things have changed since then, in particular on the price environment, the cost environment also has changed with the cost of energy. Do we need to revisit the guidance? Because of that, the second question on the energy costs, it seems to me that the expected increase for 2024 is 80 million euros. Will you be able to pass on part of these costs to your customers? Because you said that you were trying to cut down on costs. And then will you be able to tell us more about the – the acquisition of the La Poste business. What visibility have you got on that, about that transaction? All right. Benoit will take the first two questions, and I can answer about this post office business. As things stand, we did early in April 24, we signed a the deal. We had to see employee representatives. We had to go ahead. And LaPoste asked SFR if they wanted to preempt the offer. They didn't. But we just learned that there was a difference between LaPoste and SFR on the terms and conditions of their contract. So they have an FPA that has to be revisited, or at least that has to be put on hold until such time as SFR and La Post resolve their differences. We don't know how long it will take, but we have submitted our offer to the Competition Authority on the 12th of July. As to the actual timetable, I cannot tell you more because I'm not privy to information about a deal between APOS and SFR. Benoit, about energy costs, we had hedged for that until end 2024. So as of 2025, we will feel the impact of higher energy costs. Plus, we've been using more energy, powered more energy, because we're developing our network. there will be an 80 million impact in 2025 compared to 2023. We're working on costs for operations, but also capital expenditure. You know that we have transferred some operations to Morocco to absorb some of the costs. On the guidance for 2026, we're looking at 600 million euros for 2026 and 2.5 billion euros EBITDA in 2026. That was an objective, but we stand with that figure. That meant that the model for a fixed line would remain the same. At this point, we are renting facilities. We might eventually acquire them, so that might cause an adjustment. We see no further questions for the time being. On the French side of questions, I'll leave the floor to the operator for questions in English.
Thank you very much. Our first question will be coming from Jacob Lewstone of BSP Paribas. Please go ahead.
Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. I had a few questions, actually. Firstly, just on equants specifically, you talked about data centers. In fact, you show it in your images as well. I'm just interested in understanding a little bit better how significant a driver are data centers in terms of the overall revenue mix of equants. It's obviously a very high growth area, but I'm just not sure how big is your exposure to that. Secondly, could you maybe just give us your latest thoughts on how you see margins evolving in the various construction segments? And then I guess just thirdly, on the competitive environment in French mobile, just interested in understanding from your point of view, what are your expectations from here? Do you sort of think things have recovered a little bit? It looks like July was a little bit better than June. What's your sort of analysis of what's the outlook from here on mobile? Is it just going to stay more difficult going forward? Thank you.
So, Jérôme, on data centers, Jérôme on data centers, the data center market for equines, would you like to take that? Well, the data centers market is a high-growth segment in Europe. It's lower than in North America, but our exposure to the data center market is mainly in three countries in Europe, in France, England, France, and Italy, and to a lesser extent, Germany. I'm not going to give you the figure for sales and backlog, but it's quite a significant figure in terms of backlog, which enables us to foresee a good percentage of our future growth. Data centers are increasingly important. and we are producing them in stages. So it depends on the speed at which we can produce these data centers. There's also the synergy with weak construction. We are organized in the form of consortiums for the building of these data centers, which I think reassure our clients and enable us to complete our projects at the earliest possible date. Thank you, Jerome. Benoit, would you like to answer the question about telecoms, the competitiveness in mobile phones? Well, in mobile phones, as Olivier said during the presentation, there are two things to mention. First of all, the overall growth of the number of subscriptions in France, which has tailed off since the start of the year. So a competitive environment which has become more increasingly competitive, particularly since May, June, or Q2, if you prefer, and that situation has continued into Q3. Even by adapting our offers, which we did adapt in the end of April onwards, but I think we're going to have to continue to adapt our offerings regularly, which will probably lead to a decline in ABPU by comparison with the situation of a year ago. It had been stable for the last three quarters, but it's nonetheless the highest ABPU in the market, higher than our competitors. Now, Pascal, would you like to take the question on the margins in construction? Well, business by business, at reconstruction, we see that normalized margins would be in the region of 3%, 3.5%. And we're very close to that level at the moment. With the COLAS, given the business mix, it's not just public works, but also industrial activities. Because of that, we feel that the normalized margin should be in the region of 4%. And to arrive at 4%, we believe that our growth will be gradual and phased over several years. It would be in a very particular situation. Given the context that Olivier Roussat has commented, the first half year, had a very, very difficult COPPA because we've had to adjust a number of things. We've had to renounce a number of contracts. We've had to book costs to adjust the structure. All this should bring us back to a break-even in time. Certainly not this year. I think we'll be close to break-even next year. but I'm not sure at what stage of next year. Then hopefully we will gradually get back to the sector margins of 5% to 6%. So very clearly we have no visibility as to when the real estate market will pick up. This is not a guidance, by the way, given the incertitudes in the market.
Thank you very much, sir. We do not have any further questions on the English call. We will pass it now back to the French call where we have a couple more questions. Thank you.
Any other questions?
There are no further English questions.
Maybe people are already heading off for the opening ceremony of the Olympic Games, though it's only at, I think, 7 o'clock. Paris is empty at the moment. No more questions in either English or French? No. If I could come back for a second to the contracting at Colas. Could you tell us a few words about what's happening In terms of order intake, the level of activity, we see that the backlog is down 9% year-on-year. I know you've been taking a more selective approach, but you also mentioned downsizing in certain countries. Could you elaborate on that and tell us what you're doing to manage the margins and volumes of business? Secondly, with equans, We're currently downsizing in the UK. Could you help us assess the impact of downsizing activity on the group's growth within the first quarter or the second quarter? Okay, let's begin with Pierre in the order of the questions. Pierre. Okay, for COOLAS, well, the backlog is up by about 6% in France. The downturns of backlog are mainly in North America. The downturn is in the region of 19% in the USA, This is mainly because in 2022 and 2023, we had a number of major contracts under the Biden Infrastructure Act. But these are contracts that were not renewed in the first half of 2024, Wednesday downturn in the backlog. That said, rail is booming in pretty much all countries where we operate. A number of major contracts in the first half year in particular. In Egypt, there's the Aboukir metro line. And, of course, Le Grand Paris, Line 15, for about 15 million euros. The downturn is especially in North America, to a lesser extent, Canada. Here again, a number of maintenance contracts that were not renewed earlier in the year. Jerome, would you like to answer equants in the U.K. and how the U.K. has developed? Well, the exit from this business is in the region of €115 million over a full year. New build in the Basin community in 2024, we are looking at some €300 million. 2025, the figure will be an additional €100 million or thereabouts. A word about new build. We haven't taken on any new contracts, so we're just carrying out the backlog that we have. So this is business that will be phased out as we complete these contracts. We've decided not to take on any new-built business. If I could, if I may, please do, please be my guest. Concerning equans, we're improving our margin by 50, 60 basis points a quarter. Is that a trend that you can continue or to extrapolate? Well, we've given you guidance already. Joram, I'm answering for you. But the guidance we gave you was that the first milestone was the end of 23. The second milestone, the end of 25, there's nothing in between. So it's a straight line, is it? No, no, no. We're somewhere in the middle, in between the two. It's a little disappointing, but that's the way it is. somewhere into close to four that we expect the end of 25 and the 290 that we had at the end of 23. thank you i know it's not very kind of us but that's what we said that's the information we gave you before no please go ahead next question comes from nicola from hsbc nicola you have the floor Brief question. Just like a clarification because I'm in Greek telecom. I know you're moving from acid-base to fixed in France. What are the conditions required for you to consider what you're planning in the joint venture? Benoit, would you like to take that? This is something we analyze regularly. There are windows that open. There's an option that we can exercise in 2526 in a company called Dalish. There are two or three windows on another. What we review frequently, depending on the volume of clients we have in certain zones. So at a certain point in time, if the volume of clients is sufficient, we can consider this. So potentially this could be as early as 2025, and nefast could be when? Nefast may be 2031. That's further down the road. But every quarter we review the situation, every quarter. Thank you.
The next question from Eric Avaris. Eric, you have the floor. Yes, hello. I'm with CIC. I have two remaining questions. Number one, on CODAS, you mentioned structure changes, adaptations in certain countries. Could you tell us what the countries are, what has been decided, and why? And then a second question, just to clarify the point about BitTelecom's guidance on EBITDA, you say upwards of $2 billion over the year. Is this still valid? I mean, should there be a decline in mobile ABPU in H2? Pierre, regarding POLAS, I mentioned a geographic repositioning, in other words, but maybe, Pierre, we can clarify this. Yes, well, we are reducing our exposure to Africa, Especially sub-Saharan Africa, we have cut back on the number of countries in a number of countries. Likewise, Britain, our activity was running at a loss structurally, and so we are cutting back in England as well to pull out of what is a non-profitable market. So, small projects outside big cities. Regarding WIC Telecom, we've just confirmed the guidance for 2024. So, we're looking at EBITDA after these up higher than 2 billion euros. That was slide 26. Thank you. If you have any question, please, Press star 1 on your keyboard. We have a question from Matthew from Barclays. Matthew, good morning and thank you for this presentation. I have three questions. First, on COPPA, I find that losses of and others are less in H1 2024 than H1 2023. Is that something new, a new trend, or is that one-off that occurred either last year or this year to account for this variation? And what are the expectations for the rest of the year? Second question about the equants. Could you I was trying to understand this, the revenue trend at Equant. Is this now in line with expectations, slightly better or not quite as good? This is a new business after all. You're renegotiating many contracts. You are turning down contracts when the margin is too low. But is the trend in line with expectations is the question. And then finally a question on the mobile. business why is it you need to respond to SFRs lower prices because your NPS your your branding position is is pretty good why Were you concerned when SFR reduced their prices, this lead to customers moving away from you to SFR? What prompted you to adjust your prices? People in general, yes, they may have an emotional attachment to their operator, but they also look at the cost. Benoit, about special developments, no, we are pretty much in line with our expectations. On equants, let me just give you details about the acquisition of equants. At CMD, we said, capital markets say we want to improve profit margins and to focus on profit margins. We said that the priority is to give, is profitability rather than volume. And so initially, we might see low development, low growth in revenue because of that choice. But maybe... Yes. Well, overall growth stands at about 2%. But in view of the disposals and low revenue on communities, we are slightly above planned. So as things stand, we remain very selective. on any business we take up. We have decided to cut down on some market segments. I cannot give you specific examples because we're talking about a large number of small segments, but we are being more selective, and that was already part of the plan, and we are ahead of the plan. So as things stand, we find that revenue is slightly higher than expected. Thank you, Benoit. Yes, on the mobile market, if you look at the various factors, all our competitors have been cutting down on prices. Sorry, we've been cut off. No, no, you're still there. You're still there. Sorry. Yes, we can hear you loud and clear. All right. So the competitors have been reducing prices. Orange with its brand, Soch. They cut down prices at the end of last year, beginning of this year. And so that was even lower than B and U and red. So we have to adjust to that. If we look at our prices, we are still above SFR. And indeed, B and U is higher than red. So we have to strike the right balance between price and value. But we stick to value and we're coming out ahead at this point. Very good. At this point, we see no further questions. I will give the floor to Olivier Roussard, who will speak the closing words. Well, if there are no further questions, I wish you a happy holiday and an enjoyable opening ceremony for the Olympics. But we will see you again in November for the Q3 results. Thank you.