10/25/2024

speaker
Melissa
Conference Coordinator

Hello and welcome to Coca-Cola FEMSA third quarter 2024 conference call. My name is Melissa and I will be your coordinator for today's event. Please note this conference is being recorded and for the duration of the call, your lines will be on listen only. If you require assistance at any point, you may press star zero to be connected to an operator. I'll now turn the call over to Jorge Creasso, Investor Relations Director. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jorge Creasso
Director of Investor Relations

Thank you, Melissa. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to this webcast and conference call to review our third quarter 2024 results. Joining me this morning are Ian Craig, our Chief Executive Officer, and Gerardo Cruz, our Chief Financial Officer. As usual, after prepared remarks, we will open the call for a question and answer session. Before we proceed, Please allow me to remind all participants that this conference call may include forward-looking statements and should be considered as good faith estimates made by the company. These forward-looking statements reflect management's expectations and are based upon currently available data. Actual results are subject to future events and uncertainties that can materially impact the company's performance. For more details on this, please refer to the disclaimer in the earnings release that went out earlier this morning. With that, let me turn the call over to our Chief Executive Officer to begin our presentation. Ian, please go ahead.

speaker
Ian Craig
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Jorge. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. Our third quarter results reflect the resilience of our business and the ability of our team to execute our strategy with local focus. Despite facing unfavorable weather in Mexico and the tough comparison base from the previous year, Our revenues and operating income grew double digits year on year. Strategically, we continue implementing initiatives to grow our core business and improve our service levels. In digital, we continue progressing with Juntos Plus, reaching 1.2 million active users, while enhancing our user experience with the development of new features. By the end of the quarter, 56% of our customer base were digital buyers, six percentage points ahead of the previous quarter. We are also encouraged with the rapid adoption of Premia Juntos Plus, our loyalty program, which reached more than 920,000 enrolled clients, a 21% increase versus the prior quarter. Aligned with our strategic priorities, we remain committed to removing infrastructure bottlenecks to enable sustainable long-term growth. To this end, we are not only increasing CAPEX investments, but also improving the efficiency of our bottling lines and optimizing the layout and density of our warehouses across our territories. As with other parts of the world, weather events have increased in frequency and strength. In less than a year, the state of Guerrero in southern Mexico is once again facing the consequences of a strong hurricane. With this in mind, we want to express our sincere support to all the people affected by Hurricane John. As part of our protocols, we have taken action to ensure the well-being of our collaborators and their families, as well as community actions undertaken together with PHMSA and our partners at the Coca-Cola Company. As we usually do, I will begin this call by summarizing our consolidated results for the quarter. Then, I will take a moment to dive deeper into key developments and highlights from our territories. At the close, I will hand over the call to Jerry, who will walk you through our division's performance. Now, moving on to review our consolidated results for the third quarter. Despite double-digit volume growth in the previous year, we increased our consolidated volumes by 0.8% to reach 1.04 billion unit cases. This growth was driven mainly by Brazil, Guatemala, and our Central America territories. offsetting volume declines in Mexico, Colombia, and Uruguay. Sparkling beverage volumes outperformed, driven mainly by brand Coca-Cola's 2.8% growth. Still beverages grew 4.9%, and bottled water remained flat, offsetting mid-single-digit declines in flavors and bulk water. Despite the moderation in the pace of volume growth, total revenues for the quarter grew 10.7%, reaching 69.6 billion pesos, driven mainly by our revenue management initiatives and favorable mixed effects. Unlike previous quarters, this quarter saw a more neutral currency translation impact, with currency neutral revenues increasing 11.3%. The positive translation effects from most operating currencies into Mexican pesos were balanced out by the depreciation of the Brazilian Real and the Argentine Peso. Gross profit increased 11.3% to reach 32.1 billion pesos, leading to a margin expansion of 20 basis points to reach 46.1%. This increase was driven mainly by top-line growth, easing raw material costs, and favorable hedging strategies. However, these effects were partially offset by an increase in purchases of finished products in Brazil, higher fixed costs, and the depreciation of the Argentine pesos. Operating income increased 13.9% to reach 9.6 billion pesos, with operating margin expanding 30 basis points to reach 13.8%. The positive effects from top-line growth and favorable mix coupled with cost and expense efficiencies, continues to mitigate margin pressures from higher operating expenses such as labor, marketing, freight, and maintenance. Importantly, our operating income for the quarter includes a favorable effect of approximately 340 million pesos driven by the recovery of insurance claims in Mexico related to the impact of Hurricane Otis in Guerrero. which affected the region in October last year. Excluding this effect, our operating margin would have contracted 10 basis points to 13.4%. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter increased 18.4% to reach 14 billion pesos, and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 130 basis points to 20.1%. Finally, our majority net income increased 8.9% to reach 5.9 billion pesos, This increase was driven mainly by operating income growth, which was partially offset by an increase in our comprehensive financial results and in income taxes. Now, expanding into our operations highlights. In Mexico, our volumes declined 1.5% compared to double-digit growth last year. This quarter's performance was affected by 50% more rainfall and lower temperatures than the previous year. Additionally, consumption patterns during the quarter moderated, driven by a deceleration in private consumption growth and overall economic activity. Against this backdrop, we continued implementing initiatives aligned with our priority to grow our core business. For instance, the implementation of our revamped portfolio architecture enabled brand Coca-Cola volumes to remain stable year-on-year. driven by 6% growth in multi-serve one-way presentations and 7% growth in zero sugar. In steels, growth was driven mainly by strong performance in brands Powerade, Fuse, and Monster, as well as our Santa Clara dairy portfolio. In line with this initiative and our commercial prowess, our team has focused on expanding our customer base, successfully adding 70,000 new customers in Mexico year-to-date. Furthermore, we continued advancing our digital transformation with Juntos Plus. This quarter, we added approximately 70,000 monthly active buyers to our app, reaching 405,000. Today, in Mexico, digital orders represent more than 40% of our total, supported by the rollout of our loyalty program with more than 260,000 customers redeeming points. Looking ahead, we are confident in the prospects for growth in our Mexico territory, driven by the continuation of consumption drivers, such as increases in disposable income from real wage growth, social programs, infrastructure projects, and nearshoring trends. Consequently, we remain committed to expanding our manufacturing capacity by 4% in 2024, including a third new bottling line that is expected to begin production next month. In terms of our workhouse capacity, we are expanding pallet positions by more than 25% as compared to 2023, adding four new distribution centers coupled with layout optimizations and increased productivity. Notably, we have expanded our primary distribution fleet by 13% and secondary distribution fleet by 6%, strengthening our ability to meet growing demand in Mexico. Moving on to Central America, volumes in Guatemala increased 7.5%. Our initiatives to grow the core business continue driving outstanding results in a market that enjoys a young and growing population where consumers are moving from rural to urban areas. Guatemalan consumers are looking for convenience and affordability while rapidly increasing digital adoption. All these factors are tailwinds for long-term growth. To maintain this rapid volume pace, we are focusing on capturing white spaces in the market and improving our service levels. For instance, in 2024, we have increased our total customer base by 7% year-on-year, adding 9,000 customers, while our digital line base doubled as compared to the previous year. As we have mentioned in previous calls, Guatemala has doubled its volume since 2017. Therefore, we need to increase production, warehouse, and route-to-market capacity to enable future growth. To this end, we have added two production lines in 2024, and we expect to add two more next year. Alongside these efforts, our supply chain team is increasing the number of routes by 17% in 2024 as compared to 2023. Now, moving on to our markets in South America. In Brazil, despite the suspension of our plant in Porto Alegre, we continue to deliver consistent volume growth of 6.3% year-on-year on the back of favorable weather and improving macro fundamentals supported by positive consumption patterns. We have continued to improve our service levels versus the prior year, reducing unavailability as well as increasing our client count and visits. which have supported our positive results. Additionally, our robust 360-degree plans, together with a Coca-Cola company for Coca-Cola Zero Sugar, have continued to accelerate its volume growth to reach 59% year-over-year. Regarding sports and energy drinks, brands Powerade and Monsters have achieved double-digit volume growth of 52% and 15% respectively. leveraging the Olympics, Copa America, and Copa Libertadores, as well as capitalizing on other market opportunities. Year-to-date, our multi-category revenues, excluding beer, grew 24%, This growth led our multi-category revenue mix without beer to reach 2% during the quarter, aligned with our ambition to reach 5% of revenues in the coming years. In digital, half of our clients are placing orders on a weekly basis with Juntos Plus. Additionally, our loyalty plan continues to gain traction with more than 100,000 clients redeeming points year-to-date. We have also launched a pilot of our new Salesforce Automation Tool, Juntos Plus Advisors, which has already delivered promising results. Powered by advanced AI models, Juntos Plus Advisors enhances our Salesforce capabilities, enabling us to support our clients to reach their full potential. This tool significantly complements our customers' omnichannel experience, offering a more seamless and personalized interaction across all touchpoints. We expect to gather learnings from this initiative and expand the rollout to the rest of Brazil and other markets in 2025. Finally, our recovery plan to reopen our facility in Porto Alegre is moving according to expectations. We have now resumed operations in our distribution center, initially at partial capacity, while bottling of production is expected to resume gradually in the upcoming month. We expect to operate at full plant capacity during the first half of 2025. In Colombia, as was the case during the second quarter, we continue to see a decline in consumer confidence and household expenditures. Consequently, our volumes for the quarter contracted 4% year on year. In this environment, Our team implemented initiatives to provide affordability to our consumers in both single-serve and multi-serve refillable bottles. As a result, we have increased our refillable coverage, driving 6% volume growth in these presentations year over year. Additionally, our team in Colombia remains focused on expanding our customer base. As a result, we have added more than 22,000 customers, 6% ahead of year-end 2023. Despite softer top-line growth in Colombia, our team's effort in driving cost and expense efficiencies is driving profitability improvements. Finally, our quarterly performance in Argentina. Although the impact on consumption during the year was worse than expected, macro indicators such as monthly inflation have continued to largely improve, piercing the 4% monthly inflation figure. To best navigate this environment, our strategy is focused on maintaining our customer base and household penetration to be well positioned for the eventual economic recovery. This strategy has allowed us to maintain attractive price points as we offer convenience and promotions to our consumers. So far, this approach is working, as we have been gradually recovering volumes throughout the year. Consequently, we are reporting stable volumes for the third quarter compared to the previous year. At the same time, our team continues leveraging rigorous cost and expense controls while accelerating digital as a labor. Year-to-date, our digital client base has doubled, and digital orders represent 30% of our total orders in the traditional trade. As we have mentioned in previous calls, we anticipate a gradual recovery in Argentina as our team continues executing a playbook that is allowing us to outperform and emerge stronger. Reflecting on the first nine months of the year, we have progressed along the three key drivers that have been a priority for the year. Build on the growth momentum of our core business. Take Juntos Plus version 4.0 to the next level with the deployment of advanced AI capabilities. And three, continue fostering a customer-centric and psychologically safe culture for Coca-Cola FEMSA. As we enter the final stretch of the year, we remain committed to our strategy and the implementation of our sustainable long-term growth model. With that, I will hand the call over to Jerry.

speaker
Gerardo Cruz
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Ian. Good morning, everyone. Summarizing our division's results for the third quarter. In Mexico and Central America, volumes declined 0.7% of each 629 million unit cases. Volume growth in Guatemala and our Central America territories was offset by volume declines in Mexico. Revenues increased 9.6% to 42.5 billion pesos, driven mainly by our revenue management initiatives and favorable currency translation into Mexican pesos. Gross profit increased 10.7% to reach 20.7 billion pesos, resulting in a gross margin of 48.6%, expanding 70 basis points year-on-year. Our top-line growth, favorable hedging initiatives, and improving sweetener and packaging costs were partially offset by higher fixed costs. Operating income increased 11.3% to 6.7 billion pesos, driven mainly by gross profit growth. Our operating margin expanded 30 basis points to 15.8%. As Ian mentioned, during the quarter, we recognized insurance claim payments in Mexico of approximately 340 million pesos related to the impact from Hurricane Otis during the previous year. These effects offset an operating foreign exchange loss and higher expenses such as labor, marketing, and freight. Finally, our adjusted EBITDA in Mexico and Central America grew 15%, leading to a 110 basis point margin expansion to 22.1%. Moving on to the South America division. Volumes increased 3.1% to 412.1 million unit cases. This increase was driven by the 6.3% growth achieved in Brazil and stable performance in Argentina, which offset volume contractions in Colombia and Uruguay. Our revenues in South America increased 13.6% to 27.1 billion pesos, driven mainly by volume growth and favorable mix. These effects were partially offset by unfavorable currency translation effects into Mexican pesos, driven by the depreciation of the Argentine peso and the Brazilian real. On a currency-neutral basis, total revenues in South America increased 19.5%. Gross profit in South America increased 12.2%, leading to a margin contraction of 60 basis points to 42.1%. This margin contraction was driven mainly by higher sweetener costs, purchases of finished product, and currency depreciation from most of our operating currencies as compared to the U.S. dollar. These effects were partially offset by declining packaging costs and favorable hedging initiatives. Operating income for the division increased 20.6% to 2.9 billion pesos, and operating margin expanded 60 basis points to 10.8%. This margin expansion was driven mainly by operating leverage coupled with cost and expense controls across our operations. These effects were partially offset by margin pressures in Argentina, coupled with higher fixed costs and expenses such as freight and labor. On a currency neutral basis, operating income increased 25.7%. Finally, adjusted EBITDA in South America increased 25.8% to 4.6 billion pesos, and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 170 basis points to 17%. Moving on to our comprehensive financial results, which recorded an expense of 823 million pesos as compared to an expense of 552 million pesos during the same period of the previous year. In the third quarter, we registered an increase in our comprehensive financial results driven mainly by a lower foreign exchange gain as compared to the previous year, coupled with an increase in our interest expense net, partially offset by a higher gain in inflationary subsidiaries as compared to the same period of 2023. Finally, before opening the call to your questions, I want to take a moment to recognize our team's effort across all of Coca-Cola FEMSA to achieve the sustainability performance target related to our sustainability-linked bonds in Mexico. As we announced last September, because of our investments in water efficiency programs, we achieved a water use efficiency ratio of 1.36 liters per liter of beverage produced. a benchmark for the Coca-Cola system. This is a 21% improvement in water efficiency as compared to 2016. Thank you all for joining us in today's calls. Operator, we are ready to open the call for questions.

speaker
Melissa
Conference Coordinator

Thank you very much. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question on today's call, you may press star 1 on your telephone keypad to register your question. To remove your question for any reason, you may press star 2, and you will be advised when to ask your question. Our first question is from Felipe Ugros with Scotiabank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Felipe Ugros
Analyst, Scotiabank

Thanks, operator. Good morning, Ian, Jerry, and Jean. Thanks for the space. First, a question on Brazil. COST has been posting very solid results there. But in recent conversations, you have mentioned that, you know, even with the help of enabling butlers, you're still not being able to fully meet demand, from what I understand. And of course, it's costly getting products from third parties and further regions. In my mind, that kind of means that you have easy comps in southern Brazil next year as your plant ramps up, you kind of meet the demand fully and your unit cost starts going down. Am I thinking of this correctly? And then my second question is about pilots and multi-category. Just wondering if you can give us an update on how the pilots are going and their expectations for the next few quarters. Thank you.

speaker
Ian Craig
Chief Executive Officer

Hello, Felipe. How are you? Yes, I think you would be correct. The impact on Brazil, you know, this plant, It was about 10% of our capacity there. So in this low season, we have been able to be sourcing probably around 10 million unit cases from other bottlers. So it's a lot of volume that we have been sourcing from other bottlers, and we have been shipping from other regions in Coca-Cola, and this has helped in the volumes, but these cases are not really profitable cases at all. They're intended just to maintain our competitive position. So you're right that as our capacity comes back online, then there will be more favorable comps just because those cases will have much less freight and cost attached to them. Also in line with that, obviously in the fourth quarter, we're in Brazil's high season. it's going to be a lot more difficult to be sourcing those cases from other bottlers in the southern territories because everyone is usually up to capacity. So that's going to have an impact there. In terms of pilots and multi-category, I think we're moving along well. We're around 1.6%, I guess. At 1.6%, we have markets such as Brazil at 2%. We have smaller markets such as Uruguay and Panama around 10%, Costa Rica almost reaching 3%. So I think we're comfortable with our guidance that our ambition is to reach 5% of revenues, excluding beer. It's going to be a long journey, though. As you know, it's not easy for our partners to unwind or include us as part of their distribution structure, but everything is progressing according to our ambition. Okay?

speaker
Felipe Ugros
Analyst, Scotiabank

Very clear. Thanks a lot for the call, and congrats on the results again.

speaker
Salesforce

Thank you very much.

speaker
Melissa
Conference Coordinator

Thank you. Our next question is from Alejandro Fuchs with Itao. Please go ahead.

speaker
Alejandro Fuchs
Analyst, Itaú

Thank you. Hello, Ian, Gerardo, and team. Thank you for the space for questions. Congratulations on the results. I have very two quick ones, if I may. First for Gerardo. On gross market in South America, I wanted to see if you could give us a little more color in how to think about it going forward. I was a little bit surprised to see gross margin contraction year-over-year in South America while Mexico expanded materially. So maybe if you could give us some color there, it would be helpful. And then the second, very quickly, on Juntos Plus advisors, I understand maybe it's a little bit soon to tell right now, but I wanted to see if you have any initial findings that you think are worth sharing, maybe in terms of frequency or average ticket that would help us. Thank you.

speaker
Gerardo Cruz
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Alejandro. First on the gross margin question in South America, we saw pressure mainly coming from increasing sweeteners versus the previous year in gross margin. We also had some promotional activity in Colombia. As Ian mentioned in the prepared remarks, Colombia has been facing a tougher consumer environment driven by disposable income contraction. So we have done a lot of work in terms of promotional activity to position ourselves better. I think those are the main explanations that we have affecting gross margin, also the effect of Argentina and the depreciation of the Argentine peso. versus the dollar has put some pressure in gross margin. We think that the three effects that we're seeing in South America this quarter are short-term effects, and we expect a more benign raw material environment and stabler currency in Argentina as we move forward. So we would expect that gross margin would improve as we move forward.

speaker
Ian Craig
Chief Executive Officer

Also, Alex, just moving on to the second point, I mean, Juntos Plus Advisor, just think of it this way. We have advanced very rapidly on the app and the WhatsApp bot and advanced very rapidly on our AI analytics. And what happened is both our bot and our app, With our AI analytics, we could do customized promotions by client. And our Salesforce tool, we were still on our legacy technology. So all of the activities and initiatives that we were filtering down via our salesperson had to be done by segments, not by client. So we were not utilizing the full potential of our AI tools. So what we're being able to do now with Fundus Plus Advisors is we leverage our analytics to the fullest. So all of the promotions and the guided missions go all the way down to the client level. And all of these are done by AI analytics. The feedback from our Salesforce has been just phenomenal. They're very excited. They're accelerating the rollout. We're finding out very good things on the ground. For example, we were curious visiting a client on why, even though it was one of our key initiatives previously, We were not promoting. I think it was a Coke 2 liter promotion. And our team went there and visited that client, and it had enough stocks of Coke 2 liter. So the way these models work and they take into account the particular situation of each client with its history and their surrounding area is nothing short of amazing. They are also helping them, you know, the sales team has goals on combined coverages, many other initiatives, and they have total visibility on a client-per-client level without having to, you know, carry around three or four sheets of paper to see how things are going. We're very excited. We just think about it as putting our sales force on the same footing in terms of AI and the tools that they need as the clients that order digitally. Does that help, Alejandro?

speaker
Salesforce

Yes, it was very good. Thank you, Ian, and thank you, Gerardo, as well.

speaker
Melissa
Conference Coordinator

Thank you very much. Our next question is from Lucas Ferreria with J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Lucas Ferreira
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Hi. Hi, guys. I hope you can hear me. My first question is on Brazil, the Porto Alegre plant's closure. Last quarter, you gave the guidance of 130 million pesos impact on the results. I'm wondering if you have some visibility of how much it was this quarter, and if you have any sort of expectations for the full year, assuming you restart the plant fully, right, like I mentioned in the first. We're restarting now, but we'll be fully operating that plant next year. and how much you expect insurance to cover these losses. I believe it won't be fully covering, but I wanted to have an expectation of how much that could cover. And second question, if you can dive a bit deeper into Colombia, what's the outlook there after this quarter, which was more turbulent, if you expect... you know, a rebound soon in terms of readjusting, you know, go to market and pricing eventually and, you know, get Colombia back on track, can you put it this way? So how to think about the numbers for Colombia in the next few quarters? Thank you.

speaker
Gerardo Cruz
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Lucas. I'll start with the first one regarding a plant in Brazil. The impact that we recorded this quarter was for 200 million pesos, mainly for incremental freight, expenses, maintenance, all the cleaning process and labor expenses. We expect that the toughest impact we will face on additional expenses will be on the fourth quarter, mainly because of the higher volume that we have in high season that quarter. The insurance claim process, as you know, is a long one. We just talked about just having recorded the insurance claim payments this quarter from the old peace hurricane in Mexico that happened last year. Gladly, the process has been working quite well. The coverages that we have and the relationship that we have with the insurance company works very, very well, a very positive dialogue, and we expect that we should be covering most of these expenses as we move forward.

speaker
Ian Craig
Chief Executive Officer

In the case of Colombia, Luca, I think the third quarter was our most challenging one. You've seen year-over-year growth in Colombia and, you know, started very strong, almost 10%, then 1% the second quarter, then minus 4%. And I think given the comps in the fourth quarter where we have – the effects of the tax comparable from November and December. And just looking at that two-year trend in Colombia, it's a lot more stable. So we will definitely expect a sequential improvement from the third quarter in the fourth quarter in Colombia, and in terms of profitability as well. So it will be, let's say, a stabilization. So it will be an – we do expect – sorry, it's an expectation. We do expect a sequential improvement from the third quarter, which I think was a low point for Colombia for us. and we're no longer going to be cycling negative comps from the tax point of view. Perfect. Thank you very much.

speaker
Lucas Ferreira
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Thank you.

speaker
Melissa
Conference Coordinator

Thank you. Our next question is from Ben Thur with Barclays. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ben Thur
Analyst, Barclays

Yeah, good morning, Ian, Jerry. Thanks for taking my question. I wanted to follow up a little bit on the digital platform and how it helps you maybe on pricing of products versus promotioning, et cetera, because it feels like you had a very successful pricing kind of success in the quarter, right? Volumes in Mexico down, but revenue is actually nicely up. So just help us understand that. how the tools help you on your pricing architecture and your price policies within your different regions, uh, to deliver pricing that at least on paper looks like it was once again, um, above like general inflation level. So really just around how you use tools. That would be my, my first question, um, as it relates to pricing. And I have a quick followup.

speaker
Ian Craig
Chief Executive Officer

Hi, sure. Uh, hi Ben. So, uh, Just taking a step back, the general way that we think of pricing is we want to make sure we grow our relative competitive position in the market in terms of share revenues. And the pricing that we can get is really a solver to that as long as we continue improving even marginally, but we want to keep improving our relative competitive position. And really price is a function of what we can do within that context and also taking into account, you know, particularities in areas that have been impacted by weather events or something like that, we want to make sure we maintain our affordability. That's like the general overall strategy framework then. And really what we have is the analytics team has developed very advanced RGM tools and price optimizer tools that let us do, like I mentioned earlier, Before, we would have to review these monthly or quarterly, segmented, and now it's done by customer just with a lot more higher uplift in all of these strategies, much more targeted. So I credit this not with the front-end digital tools, but really the back-end AI advanced AutoML models that we have developed both on the pricing optimizer and RGM tools.

speaker
Ben Thur
Analyst, Barclays

Okay, perfect. And then as you think about rolling out the technology, and we've talked a lot in the past about version 4.0 and the different iterations as it goes beyond the What is your thinking as well of rolling out these initiatives in some of the other markets, particularly Central America, as it relates to just the digital platforms to really drive growth there as well?

speaker
Ian Craig
Chief Executive Officer

Well, I mean, we're going faster than we had planned at the start of the year. So the only two countries that we will have left is Argentina and Uruguay, which will be rolled out in the first quarter. So version 4.0 will be available in all of KOF. I mean, the results are very good in Central America as well. The feedback is very positive. It's stable. It's growing quickly. So we have nothing to add on that. It's faster than scheduled and will be done by the first quarter. And I come back to then what I mentioned to Alejandro from Itaú, which is the advisor. That's something that, you know, going to give us a big boost. Juntos Plus Advisor, just think of it, we still have a large proportion of our sales that go to our pre-seller. And even as sales from our pre-seller mix increase, go down in mix towards our digital channels, we're still going to keep our feet on the street. And this tool allows it, you know, to drive all of these guided initiatives, guided missions that include execution missions, you know, new product introduction missions. So it's just going to be a big boost to the other, you know, 70% of our sales that went to other channels. So I think that's going to be a big uplift that we didn't have, you know, visibility on, and it's surprising us to the upside in what we're running out in Brazil. Perfect. Congrats. Thank you very much.

speaker
Salesforce

Thank you.

speaker
Melissa
Conference Coordinator

Thank you. Our next question is from Fernando Olvera with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Fernando Olvera
Analyst, Bank of America

Hi. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for taking my questions. The first one is related to Mexico. if you can comment more about the volume decline that you registered during the quarter, and mainly in joke water. And it would be great to hear your thoughts about consumption, about consumption environment going forward. And my second question is related to Argentina. If you can expand on the recovery that you are seeing, because it seems that it's going faster than expected. And what is your outlook for coming quarters?

speaker
Salesforce

Thank you. Hi, Felipe. How are you?

speaker
Ian Craig
Chief Executive Officer

I think in Mexico, you have to think of it in two main drivers that it's very hard for us to... quantify what comes from which of these two variables. But the first one is I think our region in Mexico had a huge increase in rainfall and precipitation. So it was 50% higher than the same quarter of last year. you know, total precipitation as of September of 2024 was already 6% higher than precipitation for the full year of 2023. So I think we're very grateful that we received all of this rain because it solved all of the water reservoir levels, which were low, and now they're all above 60-plus percent. So we have very good water levels in the reservoirs in our region. But the downside of it is that it did have an impact on consumption. As you know, our consumption relates to precipitation very directly, and we had a lot of rainfall, and it also complicated our Acapulco plant as well. and our logistics in general. So that was one cause there, and that's probably going to be maybe a recurrent weather pattern with this new climate reality, these more extreme, you know, heat and rainfalls. And then on the other part, you have a decrease in economic activity. So I think there were quite a bit of payments and helps that might have been advanced before elections, and we enjoyed the benefits of that in consumption. But when you look at gross disposable income, the monthly economic activity indicator for August and September, and you see a sequential decline versus what we had at the June level. So it is true that Mexico has been slower, and we see this across categories. I think beverages is probably more impacted in our part of the country because of these hurricanes and tropical rains. So those are the two effects that we see. Like we mentioned in the call, I think we're very positive in Mexico in general, in the medium term, Fernando, because... You know, we're going to be having many infrastructure projects in our corner of Mexico. Now it's going to be the Querétaro-Mexico City train line. The other projects continue on track with expansions as well. Then we have announced, the government has announced new also social programs, and all of these translate directly to increasing disposable income and consumption of our category. So I think our view on Mexico is positive on wages and positive on consumption for us. So that should be good in the medium term. And then we have Argentina, which I think we developed a good playbook there with the local team. We went in there knowing that it was going to be a very acute crisis. and we had to maintain or we wanted to maintain household penetration on customer base. And we took affordability very seriously, expanded it, reduced our gap, competitive gap versus... the other competitors that were out there and I think the playbook played out very nicely where we have flat volumes for this quarter and hopefully we can have positive volumes for the fourth quarter. It's going to be a very slow and gradual recovery because the crisis has been sharp, but I think the government is taking many right actions and gradually we're recovering, and the playbook that was laid out is working very, very well. So I think we're positive on Argentina, but we want to be cautious that it's not – I don't think it's going to be a V-shaped recovery, but a gradual recovery there, and that's what we're seeing so far so good.

speaker
Fernando Olvera
Analyst, Bank of America

Great. Thank you so much.

speaker
Ian Craig
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Per.

speaker
Melissa
Conference Coordinator

Thank you. Our next question is from Lucas Murphy with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

speaker
Lucas Murphy
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi, everyone. Thanks for taking my question. I have one on Mexico, particularly on margins. We finally started to see sugar prices behaving a little bit better on the margin and translating into a better gross margin environment for Mexico. So I wanted to hear our latest thoughts thinking about next year. How comfortable are you that sugar in Mexico could continue to be a tailwind for your margins, for your costs? We know that the Mexican prices are not necessarily correlated to international quotes, but You know, there was a relevant recent uptick on international sugar prices. We also have a weaker Mexican peso. So just wanted to hear our latest thoughts on how sustainable you think this tailwind can be for the Mexican division coming into 2025. and that's my first question. My second question is also in Argentina, but if you could elaborate a little bit better as it pertains to your strategy, I think that it is safe to say that today you have a strategy that is looking more tilted towards volume performance, maintaining volumes, and I think that the Flattish performance is actually quite impressive, especially compared to other players today. that have operations in the region. But I wanted to know what about your margin perspective? Are you guys being able to perhaps offset a more conservative pricing environment with more efficiencies? We just wanted to hear your thoughts on margins in Argentina. That's it. Thanks for the time, guys.

speaker
Gerardo Cruz
Chief Financial Officer

Hi, Lucas, and thank you for your question. I'll start with Mexico. Gross margin, we saw margins expanding this quarter, mainly on the back of things that you mentioned, better outlook or better situation in the sweeteners cost as well as packaging, and also revenue management initiatives that allowed us to perform better in gross margin this quarter. As we move forward and looking at the general raw material environment, we do expect stability. We do expect sugar to continue to be a tailwind locally in the Mexican market. But in general, we don't expect to see pressure. So that should continue to be something that will help the performance as we move on. In terms of Argentina, General strategy has been, as you mentioned, to favor volumes, to gain relative scale. We have learned in many years that during tougher situations, We usually come out stronger at the other end, so this is what we're favoring, trying to position ourselves better in terms of affordability, understanding that consumers are in a complicated situation, and that has proven to be a good position for us. I think...

speaker
Ian Craig
Chief Executive Officer

If you think of it in terms of margins, we did have a contraction this year, both of the overall EBIT as well as, you know, in terms of margins. So this double-digit contraction in EBIT, and I think we contracted 200-plus basis points on margins. I think on next year, for example, we should see the reverse of that. I mean, high double-digit growth on EBIT, maybe, you know, 100 plus points on margin so but but it's you know a gradual recovery that that's going to take its its time lucas that is very clear thanks thank you our next question is from antonio hernandez with act invest please go ahead hi good morning thanks for taking our question converts on the results

speaker
Antonio Hernandez
Analyst, Act Invest

I just wanted to understand regarding you expanded both operating margin, gross margin, and EBITDA margin, but looking at the difference between the EBIT margin expansion and the EBITDA margin expansion and seeing that VMA and non-operating non-cash charges go higher than sales and higher than other metrics year over year, could you elaborate a little bit more on that

speaker
Gerardo Cruz
Chief Financial Officer

the drivers of that uh close of the media auto operating one cash charges thanks thank you antonio uh we we would have had a better performance in in ebit margins uh similar to what we saw in ebitda margins but we had two uh virtual effects two two main virtual effects that affected uh ebit margins uh more The first one is the one that we've been talking about for the past few months, which is a depreciation of the Mexican peso and the non-cash effect that that has on dollar-denominated accounts payable. The second effect was a reclassification of guaranteed deposits that should have been in the balance sheet as accounts receivable. and had been registered in the P&L. So we corrected that effect, but in terms of the full year, this effect is neutralized in full year numbers. This was for an amount of about 220 million pesos.

speaker
Antonio Hernandez
Analyst, Act Invest

Okay, thanks for that, Kolo. And just a quick follow-up on What you mentioned were the headwinds and a lot of different challenges in internal volumes in Mexico. But if there was anything of that volume performance here by stock-ups. Thanks.

speaker
Jorge Creasso
Director of Investor Relations

Hello, Antonio. It's Jorge here. Yes, actually, we did have also an effect of stock-outs in Mexico, mainly at the beginning. So it's something that, as you know, we have been seeing in Mexico, and that's one thing that we think we're going to take advantage of next year, because as Ian mentioned, we have been expanding capacity in Mexico. If you look at his prepared remarks, he expanded a lot, not only on the bottling facilities that we are expanding on the capacity, but also in warehouse capacity, in route to market, in trucks, also in the primary distribution, secondary distribution. So we don't see that as a big of an impact going forward, but still in the third quarter at the beginning, we did see a little bit of an impact there from stockouts. And I think it also explains, and I will connect a little bit of the question from Fer, because if you look at category performance in Mexico, actually brand Coca-Cola outperformed, but because of stockouts, we did have an impact on flavors sparkling. So it explains that, the stock out sometimes.

speaker
Antonio Hernandez
Analyst, Act Invest

Perfect. Thanks a lot, Jorge. Thank you.

speaker
Melissa
Conference Coordinator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Tiago Hardium with Citi. Please go ahead.

speaker
Tiago Hardium
Analyst, Citi

Yes. Hello. Hello, Ian, Gerardo, and Jorge. First, congrats on the results, and thank you for taking my questions. I'd like to explore two topics here. The first one is focusing a bit more on Brazil. So just wondering here what you're seeing for the region, specifically in terms of profitability for next year. We understand here that there could be positive impacts, first from operating leverage, right, as the Porto Alegre plant gets back online. And hopefully we have some product mix from the Coca-Cola Zero, right? And my second question would be, so continuing here with the Coca-Cola Zero, I understand it has a lot of potential. We've seen very good acceptance of the product here in Brazil. So just wondering, maybe not specifically for Brazil, but for all the regions, what's the potential you're seeing here for this product in terms of market, penetration, and specifically also profitability? So whatever information you can share with us, we'll appreciate it here. Thank you.

speaker
Gerardo Cruz
Chief Financial Officer

I'll start with the first one, Tiago. Good morning. Regarding profitability in Brazil, as I mentioned, I think in one of the previous questions, fourth quarter in Brazil, we do expect to see higher pressure from the Porto Alegre deficit incapacity. As you know, we will be recovering that capacity mainly during the first quarter of next year. So we do expect the high season in Brazil to have a higher impact in freight and whatever we're being able to buy from other franchises, both from Coca-Cola FEMSA and other butlers. Obviously, you know, we sell at zero profit to maintain a position in the region. So that will present a challenge in terms of profitability. We do expect demand to continue to perform, but in terms of supply, we will be limited, so that will pose some pressure. As we move forward to next year, and I think we talked a little bit about this as well, next year with the plant coming back online and all of the things that we're doing there as a result of the disaster that we had, we do expect that that will be a tailwind for 2025.

speaker
Ian Craig
Chief Executive Officer

Also, I think that in terms of Coke No Sugar, Brazil has been an inspiration for all of the markets. It's doing very, very well, growing very high double digits. And the good thing that I can say is probably Mexico was the one market where we have been having a tougher time with Coke Zero. a very small proportion of the mix, almost 3% compared to 20% in Brazil in color. But what we have been seeing now in Mexico is it's finally starting to accelerate. So in this third quarter, we have high single-digit growth in Mexico. We're trying to emulate the Brazilian playbook, which is a 360-degree playbook with entry price points, the right packages, influencers, a 360-degree plan, properties such as music, festivals, soccer, and also in and outs for the brand like Oreo and other flavor varieties. The one bright spot that I would say outside is it's starting to accelerate in Mexico. It's too early to say that this is sustainable, but if we can keep this up and emulate what we have done in Brazil in this other very large market, could get very, very positive results.

speaker
Salesforce

Fantastic. Thank you very much.

speaker
Melissa
Conference Coordinator

Thank you very much. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question on today's call, you may press star 1 on your telephone keypad to register your question. Our next question is from Ulysses Argote with Santander. Please go ahead. Apologies, Mr. Agote, your line is a little bit, we cannot hear you. Apologies to our host. We cannot hear Mr. Agote's line. Perhaps he could submit his question offline.

speaker
Jorge Creasso
Director of Investor Relations

Yeah, maybe Ulysses.

speaker
Salesforce

Hello, Ulysses?

speaker
Melissa
Conference Coordinator

Mr. Argote, if you'd like to try one more time.

speaker
Ulysses Argote
Analyst, Santander

Is it better now?

speaker
Melissa
Conference Coordinator

Oh, yes, it is. Thank you. So please go ahead.

speaker
Ulysses Argote
Analyst, Santander

Oh, thank you very much. Apologies there. So the question was more around market share dynamics in Mexico. I was wondering if you could provide in color on how this has been evolving more recently, particularly given that the volumes that we saw in Mexico are kind of declining for the third quarter. And in this sense, maybe how you're kind of tying this on your pricing versus volume strategy heading into next year. Thank you, guys.

speaker
Jorge Creasso
Director of Investor Relations

Yes. Hello, Ulises. I'm glad you managed to sort that out there with the audio. Yeah, regarding market share in Mexico, I think what we have seen is a little bit of a mixed performance, because what we have been focusing on with the strategy, as you know, we have been discussing is reversing the trend that we had in brand Coca-Cola. So with the current environment where we are in, we have been protecting share in brand Coca-Cola. But in hindsight, and connecting that with stockouts as well, as we mentioned in a previous question, we have had some share erosion in flavors. And as a result, there is a little bit of loss of share in this part. Colas being slightly, just slightly down.

speaker
Ian Craig
Chief Executive Officer

I would say, you know, this has not been a sustainable growth strategy. But this year, Mexico has not been a bright spot in share. And I attribute most of that to our underperformance in supplying our customers.

speaker
Salesforce

Perfect.

speaker
Ulysses Argote
Analyst, Santander

That's very clear. And any comments into how you're thinking on pricing volumes maybe on this backdrop into next year?

speaker
Ian Craig
Chief Executive Officer

Like I think I mentioned beforehand, we want to make sure we recover.

speaker
Jorge Creasso
Director of Investor Relations

Well, thank you, everyone, for your interest in today's call, for joining us today. And as always, myself, the rest of the investor relations team, we are available for any remaining of your questions. And we look forward to seeing you very soon. Thank you.

speaker
Melissa
Conference Coordinator

Thank you very much. That concludes today's conference. We appreciate your participation. Have a wonderful weekend.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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