8/15/2020

speaker
Bruno Jardim
Investor Relations Director

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for waiting. Welcome to Cogna Educação's second quarter 2020 earnings conference call. We would like to inform you that this event is being recorded and that all participants will be in listen-only mode during the company's presentation. After the company's remarks are complete, there will be a question and answer session for analysts and investors. At that time, further instructions will be given. Should any participant need assistance during this call, please press star zero to reach the operator. Also, today's live webcast, both audio and slideshow, may be accessed through Cogna Educação Investor Relations website at ir.cogna.com.br by clicking on the banner 2Q Webcast. The following presentation is also available to download on the company's website. The following information is available in Brazilian reais in accordance with Brazilian corporate law and Generally Accepted Accounting Principles, BRGAP, which now conform with International Financial Reporting Standards, IFRS, except where otherwise indicated. Before proceeding, let me mention that forward-looking statements are based on the beliefs and assumptions of Cogna Management and on information currently available to the company. They involve risks. uncertainties and assumptions because they relate to future events and therefore depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Investors should understand that general economic conditions, industry conditions and other operating factors could also affect the future results of the company and could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Now I'll turn the conference over to Cognizant's CEO, Mr. Rodrigo Galindo, who will begin the presentation. You may proceed, Mr. Galindo.

speaker
Rodrigo Galindo
Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, everyone. Thank you for participating in today's call to discuss the second quarter 2020. With me, Bruno Jardino, our IR director, Jamil Marques, our finance VP, and the managing directors of each unit, Roberto Valério Croton, Paulo de Tarsio Pleitos, Paulo Serino Saber, and Mario Guilho Vasta. I'd like to begin today's presentation from slide four with an overview about the first half of 2020, where we see a neutralization of quarterly seasonal effects, recurring EBITDA growing except for graduation, CROTN. So Vasta, Saber, and Platus had a good performance, even with the impact of COVID. But Croton was pressured by COVID and the graduation of Fies. Now here we see a positive post-CAPEX revenue in the second quarter 2020. It's a relevant positive performance considering all the pressure on operating results. Solid cash position, adding $3.7 billion in the second quarter 2020 with a long-term debt profile. we will provide further details during the presentation. These 3.7 billion do not yet include the IPO proceeds concluded early this month. In the central portion of slide four, we have a table with net revenue evolution and recurring EBITDA in each unit, plus the behavior of the recurrent EBITDA margin, considering the pro forma view on Croton and Vasta. In Croton, we had a relevant volume impact with the graduation of FIES students. We also had new enrollments and renewals strongly impacted by COVID. And we had to reinforce our provisioning also because of COVID-19. So we had a 25% reduction in net revenue and 43% in recurring EBITDA with a drop in EBITDA margin for Croton. The negative impact of Croton was concentrated in in-person education. And during the presentation, we will talk about the future and how to improve this performance in in-person programs. All the units have had a good performance. We had 23% saber going up, 12% in net revenue, and 23% in recurring EBITDA. Cogna had a drop of 19% because of the impact of Croton and a drop in margins because Croton has a great weight, has a lot of weight. So this is the analysis of the first half of 2020. Three units did very well, but Croton had a negative performance, concentrated in in-person programs. In slide five, I'd like to show you perhaps the most important moment in the digital transformation of the company. So let's focus on this slide showing the company's strategy for the next quarters. For a few years, we have been very clear and transparent in our perception But we are going through a strong digital transformation since 2017. We needed a cultural change, first of all, so that we would have a deeper change in business. In 2017 and 2018 were important years for us to build this new frame of mind. We implemented a cultural change, including technology and business. We provided more agility to our operations and this was essential for us to enter new segments. So we were able to acquire Somus working on K12 and B2C and B2B. So between 2019 and 2020, we came to a second phase of the digital transformation, which was on K12 digitalization, creating the platform concept and working on B2B in K12. What was the result? We were able to build a platform as a service, with a strong demand, and we will talk about this demand, but regardless of the result we had from the IPO or the proceeds of the IPO, the fact is that we now have a platform which helps us provide services to third-party units, help them in their digital transformation, and we have a huge growth potential in K-12. This year, we have a new phase, which is the digitalization of post-secondary. We see a migration of demand towards digital, and this was accelerated by the pandemic. We believe that the changes brought about by the quarantine will not be only circumstantial, but structural. We have overcome the cultural barrier of digital post-secondary studies. Students now see the value, the quality, and the benefits of lower cost and flexibility in digital programs. So that will help us start a new journey of transformation in the company. which would happen naturally, slowly. However, it's been accelerated because of the pandemic. We now view post-secondary in two clear segments that have very different opportunities for us. The digital platform of post-secondary education, and let me talk about that first. So it includes all offers of distance learning for end consumers. So B2C with or without in-person activities using third party centers or our own units. In addition to solutions that provide content and technology to other users. institutions of higher education. We have high operating margins in this operation, low use of fixed assets, low use of working capital. So a strong cash generation and high growth prospects because of the moment we live in digital programs in the country. Our focus here is growth. On the other hand, we have the second segment, which is Krotten in-person programs, including all in-person graduation programs, which will require restructuring. This restructuring has started to adapt to the new market reality. The number of students already show a migration from in-person to digital, and this will be accelerated by the pandemic. The change will be quicker, so we will be even more agile to restructure our operations for this new reality. That will include a reduction in the size of operations, renegotiation of contracts, reduction of units, repositioning our portfolio, focusing on premium programs. focusing on these premium products product programs so in person programs will be these premium um courses so that we will have more cash generation and stronger margins this is a very relevant moment of reorganization in the company and we will provide more information in the future. Now moving on to slide six, we provide some additional details. On the left side of the slide, you can see the digital platform for Undergraduate and graduate programs, including B2C distance learning degrees, that is the offer to our students directly to end consumers in third party centres and also in crotons in person. And this platform also provides B2B2C distance learning degrees and digital services in B2B and B2C models. That is, in addition to digital B2C digital programs, this is a complete service platform for B2B and B2B2C. Now, these services have a growing participation in our net revenue. Last year, 26%, and now this year, 32%. And we believe this growth trend will continue. We'll see more digital in our net revenue. The tickets are smaller, but the share is growing because this platform is growing much faster than in-person activities. And we believe the pandemic will only accelerate this process. Now, we see two great opportunities. So the first one is distance learning. learning degrees B2C, that is our direct offer to end consumers, but we will also accelerate our growth on two fronts. First, the organic growth of our current centres. Since we are migrating students to digital, we will no longer provide all programs in in-person education because students are choosing to migrate to digital. So this is an opportunity for organic growth. The second growth front is the maturation of centers that were implemented a few years ago. So this is already contracted growth. It's natural maturity. And a third lever or front of growth will be new distance learning centres. We now have seven work fronts open to ensure that we will grow in the number of centres. But we also have a second opportunity of growth, which is to strengthen the concept of platform as a service, which was successfully implemented. How do we do that? Offering complete access offering the complete end-to-end solution, distance learning undergraduate and graduate programs to support smaller institutions and also K-12 schools in their digital transformation. Now on the right side, we talk about in-presence activities at Croton. But Croton will also become a distance learning center. And what are the services provided? Groton has a smaller share of the net revenue because the digital platform is growing. So it was 74% in 2019 and it came down to 68% in the first half of 2020. And the trend is that this share will be further reduced because digital is growing faster. Now, here we have some important opportunities. We will restructure our in-person camping, renegotiating contracts, restructuring and unifying units, and also provide more distance learning opportunities. a broader distance learning offer because the digital platform is growing and its revenue share is also growing. The other relevant movement we see is repositioning our in-person portfolio, focusing on premium programs. So in-person activities will be the place for premium programs, more basic programs where we have a reduced demand. We will see this migration towards the digital platform, keeping at Croton the more premium programs. So it makes sense for the company to study potential acquisitions of in-person educational institutions, provided they have premium programs such as medicine. Our goal is to have a premium portfolio for in-person education that is profitable and can generate cash. Today, we see hybrid programs. But the pandemic has actually changed this scenario. We had a positive growth and going from cash consumption to neutrality and with a prospect to have positive cash generation in 2021. Smaller units also suffered because of the reduction of FIES students, but the trend was positive for 2021. However, the pandemic changed the scenario. So students who used to resist digital programs, they now prefer distance learning. That is, the barriers that students had are no longer there. So today it makes more sense to... take these students to help them migrate to digital. So at higher education, we have the digital platform plus in-person premium programs. And these will be working together with a different focus on the digital platform. Growth is the name of the game. And in-person, Croton, we will need to refocus on premium programs. But some of the assumptions will be protected. We shall not lose synergies in the process. Secondly, we will keep the operating capacity using the omni-channel concept that is for customers. It will be transparent, no matter what channels they use. All in-person Croton Kempe will start working as distance learning centres. we are taking advantage of this change to make the most impactful change in higher education, preparing our higher education for this new phase. Slide seven now. we have some news about our operation. Let's go back to the concept of PEP. It was the Special Private Installment Program we set up in 2015 to provide credit, student credit, because FIES had a smaller offer. So that was a transition product from FIES, Public Financing Program of High Volume, And FIAS had that drop, so we needed PEP for this transition because there was a demand for those in-person programs. However, the market has evolved. and commercial processes have also evolved and PEP became less relevant. As you can see on the chart, it came down from 29% of new renewals to estimated 6% in the second half of 2020. So at the moment when PEP was created, it was the only way to provide credit to in-person programs. Today, our portfolio or practically all of the portfolio is also provided as distance learning. So it makes more sense to provide a lower tuition that students can pay for. And for the company, it's also better because although the average ticket is smaller, we have higher margins and we have a reduction in accounts receivable. So facing this scenario, we decided to close down PEP in new enrollments as of 2021. But the students who are currently using PEP will continue to have the product until they graduate. So these two factors have led to discontinue PEP as of 2021. We have an equivalent portfolio in distance learning that we can offer to students so we will not lose these students and also Today, there is a clear acceptance of digital programs by students. And so PEP lost relevance. For this reason, we decided to discontinue PEP as of 2021. Now, slide eight. Let us talk about the IPO, VASTA IPO, which was successfully concluded after one year of intense dedication. We listed 24.9% of the company at NASDAQ. for US$405 million, the largest IPO of a Brazilian education company. The price was $19 above the indicated range between 15.5 and 17.5. And we've had 15 times higher volume than what was offered with 280 orders, generating cash and working as a complete platform of products and services. positioned to support the digital transformation of Brazilian schools. With that, I'll close the first post and give the floor to Bruno Jardim, our IR Director, to talk about finance in the second quarter of 2020.

speaker
Bruno Jardim
Investor Relations Director

Thank you, Rodrigo. I would like to turn now to slide 10, where I will present the results of articles Croton and Plantes. Starting with Croton, in line with what we did in the previous quarter and also for comparison purposes, we excluded from two Q20 results the deferred revenue of $35 million from the late re-enrollment curve, besides the complementation for out-of-pocket PDA and PPPMT of the pandemic, $93 million and $229 million, respectively. In this context, net revenue saw a reduction of 27% owing to decrease in the student base and lower on-campus ticket, reflecting FIAS students' graduations and the impact of the pandemic in new enrollments. These effects were partially offset by the increase in the digital students' base, following the re-acceleration of new enrollments. Recurring EBITDA for Croton dropped 36% as a result of the reduction in revenue and dilution of fixed costs and expenses resulting from the substantial reduction in operating and corporate expenses resulting from the company's pandemic emergency plan and savings in marketing expenses. It's important to note that no adjustments to the faculty costs were made in the first half of 2020 in view of the loss of revenue caused by the pandemic. Moving on to Platos, net revenue followed the positive trend shown in 1Q20, growing 8.5%, reflecting the increase in the average ticket and new enrollments, whereas... Recurring EBITDA dropped 3%, impacted by the seasonality of expenses, especially marketing, as we had anticipated last quarter. However, we saw an increase of 23% in recurring EBITDA in the semester with a gain of 4 percentage points. Moving on to slide 11. Let's look at the numbers related to our K-12 operations. Starting with VASA on the top side of the slide, there was a reduction of 24% in net revenue because the billing cycle was moved forward to initial months of the commercial cycle. Additionally, there was a reduction in orders placed by partner schools that had higher dropout rates, mostly in early childhood programs because of the temporary lockdown of schools and also because of the sales lowdown in Liverpool's physical stores. In the semester, Vasta posted growth of 9% in line with what was indicated in Vasta's IPO prospectus. As for subscription revenue, it increased 16% in line with ACB growth for 2020, discounting the 40 million that were announced as a material fact. Similarly, as in the last call, we showed the numbers of 2019, considering editorial expenses and COGS. And we also excluded the provisions for variable compensation in relation to the numbers of 2020. We excluded some extraordinary impacts. such as the investments to face the current moment, the INSS expenses, and the adjustment relating to our e-commerce. So in the pro forma basis, there was an increase of 10% in recurring EBITDA. And moving to page 38, we see a comparison of the numbers shown with the VASTA numbers and... In the second quarter 2020, Saber posted a decrease of 12% in its net revenue coming from the impacts of the pandemic, especially in freshman years in the counter shift. And also there was the renewal, non-renewal of two contracts besides the revenue reversal. There was an increase of 34% in recurring EBITDA and the reduction of costs and the emergency measures taken during the quarter. Finally, moving to slide 12, let's analyze the results of other businesses and consolidated Cogna results. In the segment of others, we classify editorial expenses as cost of goods sold the absence of revenues coming from the national textbook program also was detrimental to the comparison. Considering all the effects, For Cogna consolidated results, we see a decline of net revenue in EBITDA in this quarter. This was the impact of the Croton vertical and also the seasonality that's different in VASA. Year-to-date, we saw a reduction of 19% in net revenue and 33% in recurring EBITDA. With this, I close this session. I invite our CFO, Jamil Marques, to continue. Thank you. Moving on to slide 14, I would like to give you some details on accounts receivable coverage ratio and the average term of receivables of our companies together with Cogna consolidated results. As we can see, we have adequate coverage ratios and average term of receivables under control for each operation. The increase of eight days that we see in Cogna in Cogna Consolidated comes from Croton, and this is something I would like to detail in slide 15. Moving on to slide 15 to the left side of the slide, we've broken down the numbers between payment plans out of pocket and FIES students, making it clear that all products had an increase in coverage ratio in the annual comparison. During this quarter, we observed a slight improvement in timely payments, which generated cash in the quarter. However, late payments deteriorated significantly, leading to a need to make a disproportionate increase of out-of-pocket PDA. also to face the aging of the receivables portfolio because the older the debt, the higher need for coverage for losses. So if we make a comparison, The PDA for out-of-pocket jumped from 16.1 in first quarter 2020 to 24.4 into Q20. And in the annual comparison, the increase was also significant. However, it's important to note that the reduction was above 20% in net revenue. And this, of course, impacts this indicator. If we look at the coverage ratio in counts receivables for out-of-pocket, this indicator reached 32.2% in 2Q20, a slight increase in comparison to 31.6% in the first quarter 20. And more relevant increase in relation to Q19 with 17.1%. Considering the payment plan students, the worsening of the payment in delay and also the increase in dropout rates considered also in the framework of a long recovery period after the pandemic, led us to revise the premises for the coverage for PPP and PMT, anticipating a higher participation of dropouts and also deterioration in the recovery of those dropout students. As a result, we increased PDA for those products to 58% over the receivables balance. or over the total revenue adjusted to net present value. And this created an impact in accounting of around 229 million. And finally, to the right of the side, we see that the payment plans average time of receivables follows the expected maturity with a reduction of 6% in the annual comparison, reflecting the increase in provisioning. Now, turning to slide 16, we take a look at the evolution of CAPEX investments and cash generation. Starting with the left side of the slide, CAPEX and investments in expansion totaled $89 million in the quarter, representing 6.5% of net revenue with a reduction of 3.4 percentage points in the annual comparison since the company closed the project for opening new units. And now all that's needed is to expand new units. It's important to remember that these results also had the impact of the action plan because of the pandemic that led us to revise some of the investments that were not considered sustainable for the business. Now, going to the analysis of cash generation and not considering the receivables of the amounts from the escrow account related to the national textbook program of 2Q20. We had cash generation after CAPEX and investments of 57 million in 2Q20. This is a very relevant and positive result considering the drop in EBITDA that reflects a lower consumption of working capital. Finally, let's turn to indebtedness in the quarter, moving to slide 17. On the left side of the slide, we show our solid cash position and leverage in the quarter with 3.7 billion in cash as a benefit of the closing of the three-fourths of the escrow account of Somos in June. But still, we are not considering the... remainder of this escrow account. To the right side of the slide, we see the amortization schedule and our next disbursement will be due only in 2021 August. With this, I close this part of the presentation. I invite Rodrigo for his final considerations.

speaker
Rodrigo Galindo
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Jamil. I have some final considerations in each business unit on slide 19. Beginning from Croton, new enrollments for 2020 second half is 100% digital. We see the same trends we saw in the first half of 2020, the first half of this year, more pressure on in-person programs and growth on digital programs. Renewals, we may have an impact because of more restrictive negotiation policies. to be able to protect our PDA and average days of accounts receivable. We had this policy of clusters established in 2018, and we see a clear trend towards more flexibility for students that have capacity to pay and less flexible with students that have less capacity to pay because they generate less cash. So we prefer to be less flexible with these students they will not be able to afford continuing with those with their studies and so it helps us be more flexible with other students that have this capacity to pay in terms of croton i think we spoke about our digital transformation already i mean today but we will provide more details about this because i believe this may be the most important initiative we have in the company, and we'll talk about that in the next Cogna Day, which will be announced soon. We saw a relevant migration of students to digital, also in Plato's, not only in undergraduate, but also in graduate programs. We had a growth of 23% in new enrollments in the second half of 2020, and we believe the trend will continue. Now, Plato's X-Crot and client space expansion. We already have contracts with third parties in advanced negotiations planned to start in 2021. Now, Saber, despite the isolated dropout we saw in 2020, freshman years in in-person activities, out-of-school hours, the digital school has ensured the continuity of our operations in our own schools. And the process of synergy and efficiencies capturing is evolving as expected, even considering the effects of the pandemic. At Vasta, we believe the dropout in the first years is also an isolated effect. and students will be coming back to school as their parents go back to work in person. So that is included in the 2021 ACV. Also about the 2021 ACV, we have exceeded our target in the first half of 2020, and our digital platform that has today more than 50% of the web traffic of K-12 education in Brazil, and it has become an essential tool competitive advantage for us. Now, considering the IPO proceeds, we will be able to accelerate organic and inorganic growth, contributing for this positive moment we expect for VASTA in the next few years. Finally, other business processes for the National Textbook Program 2021 are evolving as expected. My final message? I believe it's important that three units are performing very well, three units of the group out of four. We do have a performance problem with CROTM, especially within person programs. And this is because of a combination of a reduction in FIES students plus the impact of COVID. We will accelerate the digitalization of post-secondary and higher education programs. And we will have an offer of premium programs for in-person programs and also the digital complete offer. We're going through a turnaround resizing initiative, which will result in more growth on the digital platform. This is a very important moment that will take the company to a higher level. We will talk about this on Cogna Day. We are prepared for all the changes that is necessary to resume growth in graduate programs. With that, I'll close, and thank you for participating. We'll now invite you for a Q&A session. Thank you very much.

speaker
Bruno Jardim
Investor Relations Director

Thank you, Mr. Galindo. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now initiate the questions and answers session. If you would like to ask a question, please dial star 1. Our first question is from Susana Salaro Itao.

speaker
Susana Salaro Itao
Analyst

You may proceed. Good morning. Thank you for taking our question.

speaker
Bruno Jardim
Investor Relations Director

First of all, I would like to ask about the end of PEP and also distance learning in digital.

speaker
Susana Salaro Itao
Analyst

Are you feeling confident about the enrollments of 2021?

speaker
Bruno Jardim
Investor Relations Director

What is going to happen, for example, if the student cannot afford the on-campus program, they will go to distance learning?

speaker
Susana Salaro Itao
Analyst

And many times the programs are not as premium.

speaker
Bruno Jardim
Investor Relations Director

So what is the tool for attraction that you're going to use?

speaker
Susana Salaro Itao
Analyst

for distance learning? This is the first question. And the second question, well, is about the shift in portfolio to something more premium. And what verticals could be approached as premium? Are you focusing on what programs exactly?

speaker
Bruno Jardim
Investor Relations Director

Hello, Susano, here's Rodrigo. I will start answering and then, well, in relation to PEP, this is something that's a natural movement. In some cases, it's far more encompassing than just taking the sales people to sell. We will discontinue some programs. the more basic programs on campus. And with this, there is a natural migration to DL. And we believe that there is, of course, a small loss of demand in this process because there are some students who prefer on campus. But we believe that with the pandemic, the number of students refusing DL is declining. And since, of course, there is less working capital and the margins are higher, In DL, even if the ticket is lower, it's something that's really worthwhile for the company. So naturally, you know, our sales force was not driven to drop. And this is already at 6% of the enrollment. So it's a natural process that is in place. There is a smaller portfolio of on-campus programs where PEP can be offered as well by our sales representatives. There are very few courses that we don't have available in DL. When students realize that we have the two options both on campus and DL. If they cannot afford a program that's over 700 reais on campus, instead of offering 350 reais in tuition with 250 in the payment plan, they will start to sell a DL premium program with a tuition fee of 250 reais, which is something that they can afford fully. So this is part of our strategy, and we believe that we'll be losing minimum demand because of this, because it's a different era now. And what has changed when we considered, for example, that we had 30% of PEP before? Today, we have an equivalent DL portfolio to offer to our students, and students are showing less resistance. So all of this justifies this. the end of PEP without any risks. And I'll turn it over to Roberto to answer the second part of your question. Thank you, Susana, for your question. In relation to PEP, in fact, For almost three cycles, we have been working with our sales representatives so that this enrollment tool becomes less relevant. And we see this being shown in the numbers. Secondly, our sales representatives uses a model that is more proactive rather than passive. So in the example you gave us, we had this idea of a student that comes to us because they want to take a program in odontology, but it's too expensive and they can't afford it. But this is an unlikely scenario because we use several actions in clusters, in companies, and in schools who have a profile of students that can afford an odontology program like that. We are acting more proactively. Also, our marketing team has been leading several initiatives digitally, including to focus on students who have the payment means available for our programs. And we have used dropout information to identify any regions and hotspots where with creditworthy conditions to afford for these programs. And I think it's important to say that we are acting less reactively and more actively with a focus on actions. And going back to your second question in relation to premium programs, of course, medicine, medical programs are extremely premium programs. But we have around 15 programs that we consider premium on campus. Here we're talking about the medical school, odontology, veterinary science. It's a roster of programs that are mostly on campus with higher tickets, higher margins. and with a percentage of students both in our base that is still very relevant on campus.

speaker
Susana Salaro Itao
Analyst

Thank you for the answers.

speaker
Rodrigo Galindo
Chief Executive Officer

Next question from Samuel Alves B.T.G. Pactual. Good morning everyone. Good morning Galindo, Jamil, Bruno, all directors. I have two questions. First, about your restructuring process about which you will provide more details on Cogna Day. But now for new enrollments in the second half of 2020 and first half of 2021, is this ready? I mean, for the new enrollments, is the company already working with this new operational model, which will probably make changes to the CAMPI, will reposition some units? This is my first question. And my second question is about The Cognizant, I believe that you have, sometimes in EBITDA, you have a class of debentures. But I mean, when I look at this, you have a difference. It's succeeded by three times. So can you explain that to us? I mean, what kind of adjustments will I have to make here? Hello, Samuel. This is Galindo. Thank you for the question. I will answer the first question, then Jamil will answer the second. But no, there was no such break, and Jamil will explain to you about the numbers we delivered. The first question about the restructuring, yes. We are already working to make the portfolio leaner and working on this migration towards digital. So we have been studying this restructuring for the first half of 2020. A good portion will be implemented. So for the first half of 2021, the restructuring will be partially implemented and the implementation will continue in the first half of 2021. I mean, the pandemic caused a quick and big change and we have to react as quickly. Thank you, Samuel, for the question. This is Shamil. We closed the net debt in 2.96%. and basically adjusted a bit down by some effects in the net debt, including financial debt and M&A debt. Let me highlight, I think it's important, Our cash position is sound. We have a long-term profile of the debt. We are generating cash. The operation is healthy. And we continue with the view that we will not exceed the covenants. We will not break any covenants in the next few months. We closed the first quarter about three times, but we would need two more. Quarters in a row so as to break the covenant. So we do see a challenge in the debt because we had a reduction in EBITDA because of temporary seasonal effects, basically. But because of the expansion we will see in VASTA, we do not expect to exceed this limit of three times in the next quarter. Perfect. Thank you.

speaker
Susana Salaro Itao
Analyst

Our next question is from Mauricio Cepeda, Credit Suisse. You may proceed.

speaker
Bruno Jardim
Investor Relations Director

Kalindo, Jamil, Bruno, thank you for taking our questions. I would like to speak about the turnaround. I know that you don't have the details now because we still have the Cogna Day coming, but... In the last slide, you talk about digital transformation, but what are the other building blocks that you are going to attack in this turnaround and that are more traditional in a process like this? And also, do you envisage any other changes, anything else you have been changing besides digital? And two questions, I'll try to be quick. Speaking about the medical programs, the market is starting to look a little busy. How do you view the activities of other players? And what about your capital increase? Why did you go in that direction? Hi, I'm Auriem Galindo. I'll start and then my colleagues will complete. Well, basically, I think that's the turnaround plan. There are two major things in it. First of all, let's talk about digital transformation. What does it mean for us? It's much more... than just working with distance learning or accelerating our activities in this area. It's a new way of thinking about the company and working on other segments, integrating technology to our business. It's a change in mindset that started in 2017. And that enabled us to build Vasta. To give an example, in Vasta, we acquired a company or part of a company became Vasta. And it was... the best-in-class producer of K-12 materials in Brazil. It was a company that produced excellent learning materials. And based on this company, we developed a platform as a service, providing services and products related to content and digital solutions. With this, we intend... to work on the K-12 distribution channel in Brazil, creating such a complete offering that whatever company that wants to distribute products or services to K-12 schools in Brazil can use this platform because it's easier than trying to reach 6,000 to 7,000 schools. This is digital transformation for us. It's a new way of doing business. And what do we intend to do now in post-secondary? Today, we know that we have B2C in undergraduate, and we are building the platform to deliver the other services, B2B and B2B2C. Platus began this process. And they are growing B2B2C in undergraduate programs and starting to sign the first contracts in B2B2C with smaller institutions that don't have scale to go through the digital transformation. providing to them everything they need to become digital. And this is a process that doesn't impact Croton alone. It empires the entire industry, but Croton has the scale to promote digital transformation and the necessary investments. And we want to become the provider of choice for the smaller educational institutions that cannot fund their own digital transformation systems. And, of course, this is a huge change in perspective, and it could really overhaul the face of education in coming years. The support that VASTA gives to digital transformation of private schools in Brazil and the post-secondary education, platform wants to give to private post-secondary institutions in Brazil. And this is, of course, our B2B platform. So let's understand the digital platform as two deliverables. First of all, Grow B2C, undergraduate programs that are currently being offered and that will grow because there is this migration going on. And the second block is a platform of digital services that will support schools in and post-secondary schools of small and medium size to complete their digital transformation, just like Vasta does with K-12 in Brazil. And, of course, here we're speaking about the digital world. And on campus, it's a totally different story. We have turnaround repositioning. It's a game that we have developed. played before in capturing synergies from acquisitions, renegotiating agreements, condensing CAMPI. And as I said, with the pandemic, this need has become more pressing and we'll try to obtain the results as quickly as possible. In relation to medical programs, yes, we are considering going into this market. In fact, we are currently... evaluating potential assets. We have four schools of medicine that are excellent in their regions with a few hundred openings in programs. And so for us, it's not only medical, but it's a group of 15 programs in all, but certainly medicine is one of them. So we'll be analyzing potential acquisitions in this area. Thank you. Going back to your last question, Amodi, about the authorized increase of capital after the follow-on, what we want is to give more flexibility to some of our strategic products. Okay, very well. And what about the turnaround, considering your experience? What do you think is a viable horizon? for any change of direction in the earnings results? Well, we started planning the turnaround three months ago. We have been dedicated to this. But we believe that the execution will start in the fourth quarter 2020 and first quarter 21. So there are some activities that will take longer to be implemented, but most of the actions may be implemented in one single shot. And whatever we can do with one stroke to accelerate the capture of benefits is what we'll do. And this is something that we have been doing in the different integration processes. And we'll be using the resizing and turnaround competencies we have to turn around our own operations from on campus that has been impacted by something that is external to our will, the pandemic. Thank you very much, Jamil and Galindo.

speaker
Rodrigo Galindo
Chief Executive Officer

Our next question comes from Marcelo Santos, the JP Morgan. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for taking my questions. I have two questions. First, I'd like to speak about M&A and your strategy, given your change. especially the change towards more premium programs on campus. What has changed compared to the strategy you announced early this year when you said that the better the assets and you had that focus on growing margins and trying to focus more on premium programs? So what has changed in that strategy? And my second question, I'd like you to speak a bit more about Groton, what happens to the image outlook? I mean, not only guidance, but what happens to margins, thinking about perhaps a more complicated situation on new enrollments and renewals, but you already know the results from the first half. You had a stronger performance on digital programs, so I'd like you to give us some more color on Croton. Hello, Marcelo. How are you? I'll begin and then Jamil and Roberto will also add. First, about M&A. Look, the company was set up and generated a lot of value through M&A. So we are always looking at M&A. However, today we have a clear movement of having more premium programs provided on campus. So this is our focus. Of course, we do not ignore other possibilities, but everything that is more premium will deserve more attention right now. Okay, Marcelo, I'll begin talking about expenses, and then Roberto will talk about revenue. But we will have our margins pressured because of PDA, but We still have an important offer of programs in the second half. That is, we had a temporary impact because of infrastructure costs. Part of that was captured in the second and third quarters. Also workload. Now, for the second half of the year, and because of the pandemic, we were able to optimize workload and then corporate expenses. We are already preparing to have lower expenses. We will see that already in the third quarter. Now, for next year, we will have the reorganization of Carleton, which will certainly bring a positive impact. And then... Well, PDA will continue to exercise pressure. Although we have a good portion of payments on due date, we have some default backlog, which will still have an impact. And Rodrigo mentioned that, especially for students that have a lower cash generation and a high debt. So that will continue to exercise pressure on our margin. Now, Roberto will speak about dropout and a few other issues. Hello, Marcelo. Now, let me add, talking about revenue, we have those effects that we mentioned. We have more enrollments for distance learning programs. all the enrollments are now 100% online, but premium programs are also growing. In distance learning, we continue to work very strongly. We are no longer providing a discount. We are not engaging in the price war. We know some competitors are, but there will be an impact on volume, especially in on-campus programs for the second half of the year. Now, renewals, as I told you earlier, out-of-pocket students have a high rate of renewals, actually above expectation, but those that had problems of payment or default the performance is not so good. So although we have pressure on the revenue, the cash generation in the midterm will be benefited, as Jamil mentioned. Now, Marcelo, this is Rodrigo again. Let me add that we must keep in mind, you know, about the second half of this year at Grotton, The turnaround movement will generate impact and that will be seen in the numbers. So if we change the address of a campus, you have acceleration of that real estate depreciation. So the restructuring will certainly create impact. and it will certainly not add value. But we will have to conduct these initiatives that will generate cash in the midterm and in the long term, even though we may have a negative impact in the short term. My message to you is that we're doing things we are certain are the right things for the company at this time. We are less flexible with students that generate less cash, and we take on the risk of perhaps having more provisions and having perhaps a higher dropout rate. We are taking on this responsibility of reducing on-campus programs because the pandemic will do that anyway, and we want to anticipate this movement. so that we will conduct this restructuring in the swiftest possible way. And we will focus on digital platform and distance learning because we believe at the end of the day, these initiatives will help us generate more cash. So this is our strategy. This is what we believe will generate cash in the mid and long terms for the company. Thank you very much.

speaker
Bruno Jardim
Investor Relations Director

We continue with Tiago Bortolussi, Goldman Sachs. Hello, good morning. Thank you for answering my questions. I have three of them. In relation to PDA, our understanding is that in comparison to PMTPP, should have a higher limit because of the fact that it's a long-term loan. but the ratio of PMT increased much more than PEP. So if my understanding is correct, we need to understand if this PMT-disproportional increase could represent also an increase in PEP along the second half. And the second question is in relation to distance learning. With the establishment of the legal framework, we have seen an increase of hubs, especially in your direct competitors. companies that are well-structured to compete in this segment. And considering the leadership you have in distance learning, what is the management strategy to hold on to its market share? And what could be the impact of this on return tickets? And now we have a technical point related to VASTA. We would like to ask whether there would be a discount of recognition of revenue between VASTA and Cogna. Well, thank you, Tiago. Jamil, Roberto, and Bruno will be answering your question. Good morning, Tiago. I am Jamil. To speak about PCLD, the answer is no. Basically, what we do with the PMT that we have is We use the best estimates we had available about PEP, 58%, for both sides. You probably have seen that a long time. The coverage of PEP PMT showed a different perspective, and now we're putting both of them at 58%. But this is not any indication that we'll be changing the PEP. What we saw is a deterioration of dropout, and since we have some delayed payments, there was a significant increase in the PDA for dropout students. This is what led us to put those at the 58% ratio. Thank you, Tiago, for the question. In relation to DL and our competitors and our strategy to increase market share, I have a few relevant points to share with you. First of all, In relation to the increase of hubs with the new regulation, the competitor's ability to grow was natural because it's several players against one. So we'll continue to grow our points of sales. And as such, we'll be able to capture more market share in locations where we don't operate yet. And secondly... with the volume strategy for 100% online programs, as we saw in the enrollment cycle of the beginning of the year, with an increase of 25% in distance learning. This creates, of course, an important weight for 100% online. There was also an increase in the online premium programs, engineering, medical education, In the hubs, we know that there is a limitation because of the number of labs. And we're working very hard to be sure that the centers can have more laboratories. And we want to create also some virtual labs so that we can increase the offering available. Secondly, we give unconditional support to our network of centers. I think that they went through the worst of the crisis. They had to face many simultaneous competitors all at once, starting in 2017. And our network of hubs is feeling very excited now that they've left the market. And this is the basis of our growth, to grow through this network that's strong now. Hello, Tiago. Here is Bruno. Good morning. Thank you for your question. It's important to remember that that the financial statements of Cogna and Vasta are done by different reviewers, and they were done in different times as well. This creates some changes in terms of the timing for recognition of revenues, considering quarters and sometimes even semesters. But if you observe the Cogna release, page 37 and 38, there is a conciliation there explaining the differences. And when you look to the first half of the year, you see that there are no longer differences in the consolidated results between Cogna and VASA. And this is how it should continue in the future, because now the audits will be taking place on the same date. There will be a residual difference, which is the surplus of... stocks that's still seen as a cost in Vasta, but this will no longer exist in 2021. So we'll see a convergence in the numbers from now on.

speaker
Susana Salaro Itao
Analyst

Thank you very much. And now, Felipe Pascovich from Merai.

speaker
Rodrigo Galindo
Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, gentlemen. Thank you for this opportunity. Two questions. First, about Croton. So this strategy for Croton, this restructuring, so migrating from on campus to digital and keeping premium programs on campus, I'd like to understand, I mean, I can imagine there must be a breakeven. I mean, reducing the size of your on-campus portfolio and increasing your digital portfolio. Can you give us an idea in terms of numbers of students so we can understand this movement? Because I believe you will be losing top line, but you will gain margin. So there must be a breakeven point to reach a balance there. About VASTA... I'd like to understand, I mean, looking at Bloomberg's numbers, we can see that the holders of Vasta, we have two big holders of Vasta. Apparently, the stock, I mean, Since it was listed, it has never had a very good performance. Now, do you think, do you know why? I mean, I know that's something recent, but I mean, the liquidity of Vasta today is quite low. So I'd like to hear your views about this. Thank you. Hello, Filipe, this is Galindo. I will answer your first question, then Bruno will make comments about the second. Yes, you're right. I think, you know, there are some very detailed analysis to try and understand when it would be worth, you know, for each portfolio. So to have only distance learning and then close our on-campus portfolio. But this analysis cannot be done looking at each program. You have to look at the overall geographic offer. So that's why we've been planning on this for three months. We have to prepare 176 strategic plans for each location. And in each location, the premium portfolio may differ from that of another city. Like, for instance, in Cuiabá, overhead... or the business program may have a high demand. So in that marketplace, this program has a high demand, so it has a premium price. However, let's look at another marketplace, Belo Horizonte. Well, there may be the business program has a lower demand. And so in that location, we may shut down the on-campus program, although we may lose a bit of demand, and then migrate to digital because that's where we will have high margins and high cash generation to offset the loss we might have in on-campus programs. So it's quite complex. That's why we've been dedicating to that for the last three months. It's 176 different business plans. But the assumption is one and the same. That is, we will keep on campus those that add value and we will migrate to distance learning those programs that can add more value as a distance learning programs. So this is the assumption for all the 176 strategic business plans. And now Bruno will make comments about your second question. Hello, good morning. Now about VASTA, our base is highly concentrated in long-term programs. So maybe this brings an impact on these talk programs. But as time goes by, the market will become more familiar with the case, with this case. And so I believe that will improve, especially with hidden debentures. Right. This is what I wanted to hear. Thank you very much for the answers.

speaker
Susana Salaro Itao
Analyst

We would like to remind you that to ask questions, all you have to do is to press start. Once again, to ask any questions, please press Start 1.

speaker
Bruno Jardim
Investor Relations Director

If there are no more questions, we'll hand it over Two cognizant final considerations. Ladies and gentlemen, I would like to finish the call saying that the company is being very transparent in this time in our strategic positioning, and I think that we can ensure that we'll put all of our energy in being agile, efficient, and Like all companies in Brazil and the world, we were caught by surprise by the new behavior in students, and this accelerated several of our decisions. And what we hope to do is to respond very quickly to this new behavior, to this brand new world that's being born after the pandemic. And very soon we'll be announcing the day for Cogna Day, in which we'll give you many more details about the restructuring of post-secondary. We believe that this is the right move for us right now. Thank you very much and have a great day. The earnings conference call for Cogna Educação is now closed. We thank you all for participating and wish you a very good day.

Disclaimer

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