speaker
Coral Skull Conference Operator
Operator

Good afternoon. This is the Coral Skull Conference operator. Welcome and thank you for joining the D'Amico International Shipping second quarter 2022 results. As a reminder, all participants are on listen-only mode. After the presentation, there will be a Q&A session. For operator assistance via web call, please press the headset icon on the bottom left side of your screen. For conference call assistance, please press star and zero on your telephone. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Paolo D'Amico, Chairman and CEO. Please go ahead, sir.

speaker
Paolo D'Amico
Chairman and CEO

Thank you. Good afternoon, everybody. Thank you for joining us at our usual call. We'll go straight to business. If you don't mind, I would skip the executive summary because we are going to repeat during the presentation, and I leave the floor to Carlos for the BIS overview.

speaker
Carlos
Chief Financial Officer

Carlos. Thank you, Paolo. Good afternoon to everyone. Yeah, as usual, we start with the fleet overview. This hasn't changed much since our last presentation. We finalized the sale of the high priority in the quarter, so now instead of 36 vessels, we have 35. We have six cellar ones and six handies. And of course, our core fleet is composed of MRs with 23 vessels. The 17 are owned, eight are on bare boat chartered and 10 are time chartered, which one short term and the remaining long term. So a young fleet, as you know, and we have mentioned several times and increasingly an eco fleet thanks to the important fleet renewal program we undertook starting in 2012. Here we show our CAPEX commitments and These haven't changed much since last time also. They have been on a declining trend. We only have maintenance capex left, but also the maintenance capex has been falling. And for the second half of 2022, it's only around $3 million, and it stays at around $4 million for the following two years. In terms of bank debt repayments here, the good news is that, and as you probably saw with our press releases, after having refinanced all the debt maturing in 2022 at the end of last year, beginning of this year, we have now also refinanced almost all the debt maturing in 2023, with the exception of one vessel, which we are going to be signing most likely around September and drawing down around September this year. So then after that, we will only have one vessel to be refinanced in 2024. It's the Channel de Londra, another one vessel. So it means that we will have a very good runway without having to be concerned about refinancing. In terms of repayments, there is a slight, we have benefited from this trend of falling repayments. The refinancing that we closed this year meant that we drew down slightly more than we reimbursed on some facilities. And therefore, that explains also why the repayments increased slightly in 2023. But thereafter, they should continue on the following trend. And going on to the next page, we show here the purchase options on our lease vessels. We, as you know, we exercised the purchase option on the high priority that we then sold and delivered to the new buyers in Q2 this year. But we also have exercised the purchase options on the high fidelity and high discovery, which we have refinanced with new leasing arrangements with very similar terms to the previous leasing arrangements in terms of flexibility, of exercising the purchase options on these new contracts, but that's at a substantially lower cost. So through these transactions, we reduced our break even significantly on these two vessels. And yeah, we still have the flexibility to exercise them eventually in a few years time. refinance them with traditional bank debt. On the remaining six options on these vessels, we will monitor them closely and we are very likely to exercise them gradually over the coming quarters to further lower our break even as part of our deleveraging strategy. Going on, to the following slide. This is a new slide we added to our presentation. We previously did not mention these in our presentations because they were all well out of the money. However, the increase in asset, recent increase in asset prices coupled with the very strong depreciation of the yen relative to the dollar, meant that two of these options are now in the money. And because on only two of these six contracts, we had options which were priced in yen. And therefore, now the purchase options on these two vessels are around 10% below the estimated market value of the vessels. That means that we are likely to exercise these options in the near future, which will allow us to further reduce our breakeven and hold on to these two vessels, which we know are good vessels built at very good shipyards in Japan. And, you know, so we expect that something will happen most likely in relation to at least one, if not two of these options, which are already in the money in the coming months. Going on to the following page, we show here our... average employment rates for the vessels which are fixed through contracts at fixed rates, mostly time charters, but also one bare boat contract. The blue line shows the blended average of both type of contracts. And the good news is that, of course, the average rates are increasing on these contracts. As we move forward, but more importantly, the contract coverage is falling quite rapidly. And for once, we see this as very good news. And it is intentional. We have refrained from extending, renewing some of these time charters as they were terminating. because we were very positive on the outlook for the market in the coming quarters and years. Of course, as we expected over the course of the last few months, time charter rates have been moving up. So eventually they will arrive at a level which we deem attractive and we will then probably start covering again part of our fleet through such contracts. but over the last few months, our preference was really to stay as much exposed as possible on the spot market. On the graph below, we see that the rapid increase in the percentage of athletes, which is echo, which is expected to continue rising over the coming years. And here we show our... the evolution of our fleet and also the sensitivity of our fleet to every $1,000 per day and $3,000 per day change in the TCA equivalent rate. So for every $1,000 per day change in the TCA equivalent rate, in the second half of 22, our sensitivity just drops. just lower than $5 million and it's around $11 million in 2023 and 2024. And in terms of costs, the situation is also under control. In the first half of this year, daily operating costs were only slightly higher than in the first half of last year, an increase of around 2%, which given the inflationary pressures that the economy is facing, most economies worldwide are facing, we believe this is quite a satisfactory result. In terms of G&A, we actually saw a decrease in the first half of this year relative to the first half. of last year of almost 3%. And there, the currency effects played a big role, in particular, the appreciation of the dollar relative to the Euro, since 75% of our G&E expenses are in currencies other than the U.S. dollar. and the large majority of these expenses are in euros. So we expect to continue benefiting from that in the second half of this year and in 2023, also through forward hedges that we already have in place to cover for this FX exposure. here we instead show some key highlights of our balance sheet and in particular the important ratio of net financial position to fleet market value which since December last year decreased from just over 60% to 52.5% which is a very healthy ratio. This improvement is mostly attributable to the increase in asset values. In particular, in the second quarter of this year, only in the second quarter, our fleet, the average value of our fleet increased by 9%. And what you would probably also notice is that the cash and cash equivalents hasn't increased much since the end of December, and that is surprising given the strong results that we achieved and that we will discuss briefly. And the reason for this is negative working capital movements, in particular, we had an increasing number of vessels which moved from time charter contracts to operating on the spot market. When that happens, you have to, upon re-delivery of the vessel at the end of the time charter contracts, buy the bunkers from the charterer. And as you can imagine, bunker prices are very high today. So that tends to be quite a big investment there. And then after that, you then receive your freight income only after discharge. Usual practice in the market is for the freight to be paid around three days after discharge. But what we have experienced recently are some important delays in this with freight being paid one week or 10 days after discharge. And also we have seen a lengthening of the voyages, which we have discussed already in our last call, which is one of the reasons why the market is so strong. And that is, of course, related to the war in Ukraine and the disruption to the traditional trade flows. Nonetheless, we want to reassure you in this respect that the delayed freight payments are coming in. And so during July, our cash position has already improved significantly. And we expect to end July with a cash position of almost $17 million. So much better than the 46 million at the end of June. Here instead the main line items of our P&L. And as you see, we recorded a profit of almost $26 million in the second quarter. and of 19 million dollars in the first half and excluding non-recurring items uh the profit was of 36 and a half in the second quarter and 22.4 in in in the first half um also worth of notice that the also within the second quarter we have experienced an improving trend throughout the quarter. So April, we were only marginally profitable. We were much more profitable already in May and even more profitable in June. And in July, we are trading at around the same levels that we were trading at in June so far. So if the markets remain At these levels, for the rest of the quarter, our expectation is that Q3 22 could be even stronger than Q2 22. Going forward, here we look at the average daily rates achieved for our vessels operating on the spot and time charted and the blended results and on Q2. average daily rate on the spot was of almost 28,700, including the TC contracts, the blended rate was of almost 33,400. In the first half, the average spot rate was of around 21,000 and including the TC contracts of almost 18,600. I pass it over to Paolo for the market overview.

speaker
Paolo D'Amico
Chairman and CEO

Thank you, Carlos. Here is our usual slide that has the trend on asset value of the MO and on the time chart and spot rates. So you can see the improvement and the fact that we are not far away from where we were in 2006, but we still have some room to go. The Ukrainian war and the trade flows, it happened two things. Number one, the Russian crude and products had to travel more because we've basically Europe not buying or trying to avoid to buy. anymore the crude and the products from Russia, even if they're still buying something. But the Russians are forced to sell it to the countries that were remaining. These countries are China and India. So they have to carry these products by far for a longer distance than before. And this is absorbing a certain number of ships, even if we are talking mostly of Russians and Chinese ships, because not all the independents like us are trading with Russian counterparts. We avoid that. In the meantime, Europe has to buy his own crude and his products far away. So they are buying mostly from the Middle East and the United States. Sorry. And also this element is increasing the ton mile, and so is creating more and more demand for tankers. On the supply side, we expect, I mean, the International Energy Agency is expecting an increase of supply from the non-open countries, excluding, of course, Russia. And we, as you know, Biden released the part of the strategic reserve in the United States. A good part of these reserves are gone for export and They didn't stay in the States. Going ahead, the COVID is still with us, but it's not effective. It's not as negative as it used to be in the beginning, thanks to vaccination. The only country who is suffering, I would say, heavily from COVID today is China. The rest of the world is, let's say, business as usual. The demand, oil demand is increasing. The market is still very strong. And the refining throughputs are, let's say, at maximum levels. We have a little bit of, not a little bit, we have a bottleneck here because, a lot of refining capacity before COVID and during COVID is being shut down. And new refining is coming in, but it's not matching the reduction, let's say, on a timely basis. China is not using the full capacity of their refinery because they they claim that they are consuming less due to COVID and they are not increasing the use of their own refineries. So we have a bottleneck in the refining system, but this tells us also that the demand keeps being very strong. And I will say the demand, as you remember in the past, We always say that the fundamentals were there. Of course, the Ukrainian war accelerated the system. The inventories, product inventories are very low. We are under the five-year average. So we, even if we have a little bit of a slowdown at a certain point, In the market, you have the restocking effect, which should supply, should increase the demand anyhow. The vehicles, they hit the road again. We are still in a very strong driving season in U.S. and in Europe. Of course, the U.S. is driving more gasoline demand. Europe is driving more diesel demand. Jet fuel is rising. We have a cap on the jet fuel due to more operational problems than real lack of demand because, as you know, we have a total chaos in the European skies. And this is limiting the number of flights which they could fly today. And we have a lot of also strikes going on. The long-term demand is there. And the participation of refinery products The share of it to the total oil seaborne trade, it increased a lot over the last decades. And the change in the refinery landscape is basically most of it happening far away from the consuming markets. So it means this is a stronger demand effect on tankers, on our tankers, on product carriers. The US Shell Oil is coming back slowly because it's mostly in the hands of private companies, but it's coming back and it will be the share of the future increase. of oil production would be mostly out of U.S. Talking about demolition, we have a lot of, say, forces pushing possible increase of demolition of ships. Next year, we have two indexes coming out to rate our shares on the emissions that they emit. And this is going to create, one, of course, a reduction of speed, which, of course, creates a reduction of supply. And second, a lot of older shares will be non-economic to run, and I think we will go for a scrapyard. The pool of demolition candidates is growing. The yellow line are the 15 years old ship. 15 years is a commercial limit. It's not a technical one, but it's a commercial limit where the first class oil companies, they do not charter ships anymore. And 20 years, of course, are the ages where you start thinking of scrapping your fleet, your ship. Of course, the demolition grew a lot recently because due to COVID, all the shipyards were closed, so they are restarting, and they have quite a number of ships in the backlog to scrap. The new building orders are highly limited. I would say close to nil. This is due, number one, the fact that shipyards are full up to 2025, and this is mostly due to container vessels and energy carriers, which have been filling the yards everywhere. Secondly, today we have a problem to understand the future fuels for our ships. So the technology, even if there are various type of technology there, but we still do not know which is going to be the most common one, the most manageable, I would say, one in the future. So ship owners are reluctant to order new vessels. due to this technology limit. And on top of that, the new building prices are by far more expensive than the secondhand ones, of course, on a parity. And then you have a lot of secondhand activity, but not on the new building one. And all this is, is creating a very low growth, close to nil. Maybe we, in 23, we think of a net fleet growth, which is not even touching 1%, when the demand will be by far high. Say that, I leave it to Carlos for the NAD. Thank you, Pablo.

speaker
Carlos
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so as usual, we also covered this slide here where we showed the energy evolution. And it did increase quite a bit since the end of the year. We are at above $400 million now, $120 million. And it's important to highlight here that we slightly changed the methodology with which we calculate our NAV. In the past, the impact of the net working capital on the NAV calculation was not that significant, so we decided to leave it out. However, for the reasons I previously mentioned, it became much more important at this year, in particular at the end of the second quarter, where we ended with 54 million in net working capital, so an increase of 33 million relative to December 21. And that is the reason also why our cash and cash equivalents, as we saw before, did not increase by more. So we felt that it was important to take that into account in our calculations. I would like also to stress that the calculations here, however, are not taken into account, for example, the vessels which are TC but which are in the money. So the value of those options are not being taken into account in our NAV calculation here. But nonetheless, yeah, we saw this important improvement in the overall NAV and, of course, also in the NAV per share, which is now of $0.34 per share, which means that we are still trading at the very big discount to NAV despite the very strong share price performance that we experienced this year. We are still at around 40% discount to NAV. And even more positive is the outlook going forward because of course, with the cash generation that we expect in Q3 and in the rest of this year, and the trend of increasing asset values, which we expect to continue. We expect this NAV to continue rising throughout the course of 2022. And we hope that as investors gain more conviction on the sustainability of the recovery, this discount will fall as it has already in the past. So we still see quite a lot of upside to our share price, despite the very strong share price performance already recorded here today. That's it, I would say, in terms of presentation. So we pass it over to you for the Q&A.

speaker
Coral Skull Conference Operator
Operator

Excuse me. This is the course call conference operator. We will now begin the question and answer session. To enter the queue for questions, please click on the Q&A icon on the left side of your screen and then press the raise your hand button. Please do not mute your microphone locally and then when prompted, make sure you turn on your webcam in the pop-up window. If you are on the phone instead, please press star and one on your keypad. The first question is from Daniele Alibrandi of Stifel. Please go ahead.

speaker
Daniele Alibrandi
Analyst, Stifel

Hello, gentlemen. Thanks for taking my questions. Today I have a few, so if you don't mind, I'll proceed step by step. So the first one is on spot rates. In July, MR rates have been comfortably above 30,000, which is above 30%. The already very strong average of Q2, and we all know that Q3 is historically a low seasonal quarter. So what are your expectations for rates for the remainder of the year? Do you expect an acceleration in Q3 and a re-acceleration in Q4, or the other way around? Just to understand what are your expectations on this front. This is my first question.

speaker
Carlos
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks for the question. Look, what we can say is that Q3 has started off on a very strong note. You're very right to point out that it is usually a softer quarter, especially September tends to be a bit softer because you start, the market is generally affected by the maintenance of refineries before the winter season in that month. But the very strong start to July, which already involves fixtures which go well into August, means that we have quite high expectations for a very strong Q3 that should be higher than, stronger than Q2. And what we can tell you is that on the days fixed for, on the spot days fixed for our vessels in Q3, we are well above $30,000 per day. And that is including both, that is including the handys, the MRs and the LL1s. And the spot day is fixed well above $30,000 per day.

speaker
Daniele Alibrandi
Analyst, Stifel

Okay, thank you. You just mentioned the handy size vessel spot rate. So when I look at the Clarkson data, I noted that there was an improvement since the beginning of the year and they reached basically a level of 50, 70 Ks above MR in some cases. I guess this is because some of these average numbers include some routes from the Black Sea and the Baltics, which are above 100 Ks. And clearly, if you don't trade those markets, your levels are clearly lower. So I was curious to hear which kind of spot rates you saw in Q2 for ND-sized vessels and what... What level are you seeing now?

speaker
Carlos
Chief Financial Officer

We saw a lot of volatility on the handy-sized vessels. I mean, we saw rates that during a few weeks were well above $50,000 per day. And then we saw rates come down to mid-teen levels. So there is a lot of volatility in that market. We are seeing that Some of these handy-sized vessels are now also being fixed on longer voyages. We recently fixed one of our handy-sized vessels on a transatlantic voyage, which is not that common. So they are, because of the very tight markets for DMRs, they are now also performing voyages which would typically be performed by the But generally speaking, what we are seeing, excluding, not referring only to the handy-sized vessels, but also to the other vessel segments, is that there is a lot of volatility in different regions. And you can see rates drop to low 20s usually, I mean, mid-teens, we only saw on handies, but not on EMRs, really. And then we can see the rates go up to $50,000 or more within a few days. I mean, the market moves very, very fast, and there is a lot of trading activity. whereby the vessels are chartered and with a lot of options for discharge. And the traders, sometimes they slow down and they wait for the right window to open before selling the cargo and sending it to its final destination. So that creates further inefficiencies. And it means also that when you're going to fix a vessel, You don't know which vessels are going to be open where until the very last minute. And this uncertainty on the fleet, which is available for fixture, plays in our favor very much because then the charterers, sometimes they have a program that they have to respect. and they need to send some cargo out. And so if you happen to have a vessel open where you can guarantee a firm date at that, then you can get a very, very, very, very attractive rates. We fixed on some. We also saw on some short voyages fixtures of $100,000 per day on some of our vessels. Okay.

speaker
Daniele Alibrandi
Analyst, Stifel

Very, very helpful. Maybe another one, before leaving the floor to others, and then maybe I jump in again. The question would be on the capital allocation. Basically, how the cash that you are producing will be used going forward? Will you prioritize the increase of the ship is owned, like you maybe mentioned before, reduce the leverage or there is space for return cash to shareholder. I mean, the last time you paid the dividend, if I remember correctly, it was 2015, 16. Your net debt to fleet market value was around 50%. So we are close to that level. What should we expect on this front?

speaker
Carlos
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, our priority is still to continue the leveraging, as we mentioned several times. As I went through the presentation, I touched upon the vessels which are currently leased where we have purchase options and the vessels which are time chartered in. So those could be potential uses of funds. going forward, which will help us lower our breakeven and be more competitive going forward, also after this upcycle ends. Of course, we will also look eventually at other uses for our cash, which might entail also dividends. But Our priority is still to now to deliver, to continue the leveraging process.

speaker
Daniele Alibrandi
Analyst, Stifel

Okay, thank you. Maybe I'll jump in later.

speaker
Coral Skull Conference Operator
Operator

The next question is from Matteo Bonizzoni of Kepler Chevrolet. Please go ahead. Excuse me, Mr. Bonizzoni, your line is open.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

The next question is from Andrea Bonfav, Banca Acros.

speaker
Andrea Bonfav
Analyst, Banca Acros

Hello, good afternoon to everybody. My question is related more to from a macroeconomic perspective, in the sense that you were in a, let's say, weak period trade environment until the first quarter of this year, until, let's say, the Ukrainian war. But the dramatic shift in your freight rate, according to your opinion, is that more related to the geopolitical event or to a sharp increase in demand? And if that is the second case, we all see the increase in jet fuel and so on and so forth. how much that demand increased sequentially from the second quarter versus the first one.

speaker
Paolo D'Amico
Chairman and CEO

Thank you very much. Sorry, can you repeat the question? Because we have a very bad line.

speaker
Andrea Bonfav
Analyst, Banca Acros

No, no, sorry. The question is more from, let's say, a macroeconomic nature in the sense that your first quarter was still in a depressed environment with freight rates. And then you had a dramatic shift in the value of freight rates from March onward or something like that. Was it that related to the geopolitical war, specifically the Ukrainian war, or was it more related to the sharp increase in demand for refined or non-refined products? And if that's the case, how much of this demand has increased sequentially, Q2 versus Q1?

speaker
Paolo D'Amico
Chairman and CEO

Look, if you take the... this overview basically to the last page page 16 and you will see q1 2021 the daily time charter equivalent spot is 9 900 this is first quarter last year if you take the first quarter this year It's gone up to 12,800. Now, what I want to say with this, that the first quarter 2022 was not yet affected by Ukraine. So it's not the war. This is proving you see a $3,000 per day increase. It's only due to strong fundamentals who are coming in. Then, of course, the war came in and mixed up the whole thing. But we were prepared for a by far better performance this year on the fleet. Of course, the war exaggerated the thing, and this demand is due mostly for dislocation of the origin of the cargos, because they are far away, and we need more chefs to serve the same quantity. I don't know if that is answering to your question.

speaker
Andrea Bonfav
Analyst, Banca Acros

Yes, yes, yes.

speaker
Carlos
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I mean, just to add on to what Paolo said, I mean, the fundamentals were very strong, and it is a bit of both. I mean, we... If you see, we are benefiting for sure from, you know, all the increase in demand, which is related to the reduction of the COVID lockdowns, the reopening of the economies. And already last year, we saw a big increase in the use of fuels for driving and And this year, the most important, let's say, factor driving the market instead is jet fuel. And as Paolo mentioned, there are some bottlenecks there because otherwise the demand would have been even higher. There are logistical problems in airports, logistical problems because of a lack of pilots. But otherwise, we feel that this demand would have been even higher. And that is demand that we are going to continue benefiting from an increase in demand in jet fuel also in the coming years, quite a strong increase. And, of course, the higher oil price is impacting a bit the demand for driving, but otherwise, demand for driving would have been even higher than what we are experiencing. But generally speaking, we are seeing a high increase in demand and a very high increase also in refining tools. And this is very important for the market. And this is a trend which is actually going to continue in the second half of this year. I mean, we are going to continue seeing an increase, quite a sharp increase in refining throughputs and in oil demand, despite the headwinds, microeconomic headwinds and the high oil price. And so that could happen. provide further support to our market, especially in Q4, maybe. And of course, that goes without saying that the Ukrainian war also played an important role, as Pavel was saying, because of the increase in the saving distances. So I believe that Clarkson was estimating that the demand increased this year, volume-wise, is going to be of around 7%. And the demand increased this year on a ton mile basis. So taking into account also the average distances sailed is around 13 to 14%. So I mean, there's an ongoing positive ton-mile effect because of this dislocation of refineries. But a lot of this difference this year in particular is related to the Ukrainian war. So you could probably say that, you know, this 6% additional demand increase, that difference between the ton-mile and the volume demand increase, is a large part can be attributed to the Ukrainian war.

speaker
Andrea Bonfav
Analyst, Banca Acros

Thank you very much, very useful.

speaker
Coral Skull Conference Operator
Operator

The next question is from Massimo Bonissoli of Equita. Please go ahead.

speaker
Massimo Bonissoli
Analyst, Equita

Hello, good afternoon. I have two questions. The first, I'm curious to hear your opinion on the proposal to put a cap on Russian cruise and refining products, allowing traders maybe to buy Russian products on the market. Is that feasible, in your opinion, and may it reduce the ton-mile effect on the market? And the second question, if you can better explain the new regulation measuring the emission per vessel on page 29.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Yes.

speaker
Paolo D'Amico
Chairman and CEO

I pick up the first one. I mean, I am not convinced that the cap on oil will work. I'm convinced that the cap on gas will work because gas has a more rigid need of infrastructure. I mean, you cannot move gas the same way you are moving oil. Of course, you can move it, but the Russians are not that equipped. Instead, you can move oil in a more easy way, let's put it this way. So I think that the Russians, they will cheat a little bit on the story of the cap on the oil price. So this how much is going to affect us, but it's affecting us already because most of the fleet is avoiding the Russian trade. And more we go to the end of the year when the new sanctions on the insurance side will come in. As you know, the new sanctions are saying that if you load Russian oil or Russian product, you cannot be insured in Europe, which means you cannot be insured at all because All the insurance, most of the insurance and the reinsurance industry is sitting in Europe. So at that point, certainly was battle. They have to go on different type of ships. And I'm thinking about the fleet, which Iranian and Venezuelan have been using the last years to move oil around. And at this point, they will serve also the Russians. So, but our market, I don't think, will be too much affected by this. The second one or two?

speaker
Carlos
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, no, the second one, so the, well, we mentioned on that page two indicators which are being, going to be introduced, which measure the efficiency of ships, the EEXI and the CII. So the EXI stands for the Energy Efficiency Existing Ship Index, and the CII stands for the Carbon Intensity Indicator. So the first is an index which measures the vessel from a technical standpoint from how it is built. So if it is a vessel which is efficient from a construction perspective. it has no relation to how the vessel is operated. So a young ecovessel will score very well in terms of its energy efficiency existing ship index, whilst older vessels which are built with old technology specifications will achieve a bad score in this respect. So the fact that we have So mostly EcoFleet means that we are not too concerned about this particular indicator. The second indicator is a bit more challenging because it relates to how you operate your vessel, and it links the CO2 emissions of the vessel during the year to the deadweight ton of the vessel and the distance which the vessel has sailed. It is not a perfect indicator because vessels, when, for example, they sail in ballast, they emit less. But it's, of course, very inefficient because if you spend more days sailing in ballast, you are not transporting cargo during that time, and therefore you are emitting CO2 without providing a benefit of the cargo transportation. But if you spend, according to this index, if you spend more days sitting in ballast, you probably would have a better indicator because you would have lower CO2 emissions since your vessel is lighter when it is imbalanced and therefore it will emit less for any given speed at which it is sailing. But it is an indicator which is used and will be used to measure the efficiency of vessels. And the vessels which fall in the lowest two categories, D and E, for three consecutive years will have to take corrective actions to move to a higher category. That means that those corrective actions might mean derating the engine of a vessel, for example, so that it can go at, it limits the power at which the engine can function. and therefore also the CO2 emissions of the vessel. And it should affect us only very marginally because from our forecasts that we have made based on the past trading patterns of our vessels, we have only a few vessels which could be at risk of eventually falling into one of these lower categories. If you look at it from a market perspective, it could actually be a positive because it might lead to some of the older vessels saving at slightly lower speeds to be able to to avoid falling in these lower categories and that and that of course will reduce the productivity of the fleet and it also might encourage further demolition of vessels of all the vessels so these are going to be coming into force next year what could be more disruptive for the sector instead is the European Emissions Trading Scheme, which was also supposed to come into force next year, but which has been delayed and is now going to come into force, apparently starting in 2024. But we still don't know how that will come into force because initially, the initial plan was for there to be a phase-in where in the first year you were supposed to surrender allowances equivalent to only 20% of the emissions that you generated. And then we have an increasing percentage surrendered every year. And right now there is talk of already from the first year having to surrender 100% of the allowances. So that of course would be, have a significant impact on the net earnings of the older vessels, which once again could be positive for the sector because it could encourage the demolition of older vessels. And by doing so, make a market which is already expected to be very tight because of the very low deliveries over the next two years, even tighter.

speaker
Massimo Bonissoli
Analyst, Equita

Very clear. And if I may squeeze in a very quick one. In your NAV calculation, the working capital per vessel is about 3 million euros, or 3 million dollars, if I calculated correctly, per ship, on a per ship basis.

speaker
Carlos
Chief Financial Officer

On a ship operating on the spot market?

speaker
Massimo Bonissoli
Analyst, Equita

Yes.

speaker
Carlos
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, I would say that maybe that maybe is not a bad estimate. Maybe slightly less, but yes, it could be at around those levels.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you very much.

speaker
Coral Skull Conference Operator
Operator

The next question is from Matteo Bonizzoni of Kepler Showroom. Please go ahead. Excuse me, Mr. Bonizzoni, we cannot hear you from your line. The next question is from Daniele Alibrandi of Stifel.

speaker
Daniele Alibrandi
Analyst, Stifel

Yes, maybe just a follow-up. You mentioned before that you were refraining to renew some expiring TC contracts to benefit from the strong spot market. Is that right? And if so, how many ships we are talking about? And I mean, is there a possibility for you to move in? 100% of your fleet into the spot market like some of your peers did? Is that a possibility?

speaker
Paolo D'Amico
Chairman and CEO

I think we are increasing the share of the fleet exposed to the spot. But at a certain point, and I think that certain point should start around the next fall, we will start rebuilding our cart. Because the rates on the time chart that are following up spot rates, of course, they will be lower anyhow, but we start securing the cash flow in a way to secure our future. So I don't think we will end up with 100, total 100% of the fleet on the spot. But certainly we are going to increase it a lot.

speaker
Daniele Alibrandi
Analyst, Stifel

Okay, maybe just a very quick technical question for you, Carlos. You basically exercise the purchase option on two of your lead vessels, which are now under your ownership. Can you please give us an idea, more or less, how much would be the impact on the direct operating cost line and on the other side, the benefit in terms of the lower charges? This should help us to...

speaker
Carlos
Chief Financial Officer

I can be more precise. Maybe we can talk later. I don't have the exact figures here, Daniela. But it's, yeah, I mean, we are talking about reductions in the bare boat rates of around... $1,000 per day. On one, it's less. On one of the deals, the reduction is less important. On the other one, it's a bit more. It depends on the amortization profile, let's say, of the of the deals. In terms of cost of funds, for the new deals, they are at around, it varies on when you assume you're going to be exercising the purchase options, but it is between five and 5.4%, depending on when the options are exercised all in. So it's very competitive, as I was saying, because if you look at where the swap rates today are for such long periods, it implies a margin, if this was a, if this step was linked to the US solar LIBOR, it would imply a margin of around 200, 220 basis points. which is very competitive with bank financing for deals which, however, are at a higher LTV. So the reason we have such good pricing on these deals is that they were negotiated at the beginning of the year before the increase in the forward interest rates. Yeah.

speaker
Daniele Alibrandi
Analyst, Stifel

And sorry, really, the last one, did I got it right that the cash absorption from the working capital will be reabsorbed in Q2? How should we think about the level for the full year? Thank you.

speaker
Carlos
Chief Financial Officer

The working capital in Q2, We don't expect any major deterioration going forward, I think. But I'm not sure we can expect this to be reabsorbed because if we expect markets to stay strong and the trading patterns to continue being the same, we think that it is most likely and we also have actually more vessels which are going to be moving into the spot market most likely over the coming quarters, it is unlikely that we will experience an improvement in the working capital before the end of the year. We might experience a further small deterioration or a flat dynamic, I would say.

speaker
Daniele Alibrandi
Analyst, Stifel

Okay, thank you very much and good luck for the remainder of the year.

speaker
Coral Skull Conference Operator
Operator

As a reminder, if you wish to register for a question, please press Q&A on the left bar and raise your hand or press star and one on your telephone. Once again, if you wish to register for questions, please press Q&A on the left bar and raise your hand or press star and one on your telephone. For any further questions, please press Q&A on the left bar and raise your hand or star one on your telephone. The next question is from Matteo Bonizzoni of Kepler. Please go ahead.

speaker
Matteo Bonizzoni
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Buongiorno, mi sentite? Sì. Ok, mi sono connesso col telefono, mi dispiace per prima. Allora, una domanda è riguardo alla vostra strategia sulla copertura. Dalla presentazione emerge che le coperture sul 2023 e il 2024 sono, direi in questa congiuntura, fortunatamente molto vaste. I wanted to know if you could give us an indication of your coverage strategy in relation to this market strength, so how do you intend to use it for the next few months? The second question I wanted to ask is, there was recently an interview with your executive regarding a greater involvement of the group in the LNG business. It seemed to me to understand that it would not involve the listed company.

speaker
Paolo D'Amico
Chairman and CEO

You could give a little bit of color on this aspect. Thank you. Let's start with the last one. I'll answer you in English, if that's okay with you. We start from the last one. The LNG project is not in DIS. It's on the private side of the company. And so it will not affect because our idea is to keep DIS involving in the clean products trade and not mix it up, at least not for the moment we are finished. As far as the coverage, that is voluntarily done because we are, of course, exposing more and more ships to the spot market because, of course, the spot market is paying by far better. But as I said, next fall we will restart thinking about our coverage and recreating our coverage, of course, at a very much higher level. so i think at the next quarter call the situation will be slightly different okay thank you gentlemen there are no more questions registered at this time

speaker
Coral Skull Conference Operator
Operator

I'll turn the call back to you for your closing remarks.

speaker
Paolo D'Amico
Chairman and CEO

Thank you very much. So thank you to everybody. Finally, we had by far nicer meeting this time. And I hope the next will be even better. So thank you very much. And let's see each other see. I mean, in theory, but let's listen each other at the next quarter. Thank you.

speaker
Carlos
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Disclaimer

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