8/29/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Good morning and welcome to the EuroCommercial Half-Year 2025 Results Conference. For the first part of this call, all participants will be in listen-only mode. And afterwards, there will be a question-and-answer session. If you wish to ask a question, please press pound key 5 on your telephone keypad. I would now like to hand to Ilaria Pitaloni, Investor Relations Officer of the company.

speaker
Ilaria Vitaloni
Investor Relations Officer

Good morning, everyone, and welcome. I am Ilaria Vitaloni, Euro Commercial Investor Relations Officer. We are very pleased to have you with us today. This call will be hosted by our CEO, Evert-Jan van Garderen, and our CFO, Roberto Fraticelli. Together, they will present the half-year results covering our operational performance, financial position, and strategic progresses. After the presentation, we will open the floor to your questions. With that, I hand over to our CEO, Evert-Jan van Garderen.

speaker
Evert-Jan van Garderen
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Ilaria. Ladies and gentlemen, good morning and welcome to our half-year 2025 results presentation. It's a pleasure to share with you the progress we have made in the first six months of this year. At your commercial, our strategy is clear and consistent. Create vibrant shopping destinations, deliver resilient growth, and generate long-term value for our shareholders, tenants and communities. Today, I will walk you through our operational highlights, leasing activity, re-merchandising projects and sustainability achievements. And afterwards, my colleague Roberto Fraticelli, CFO, will talk about the financial results and the guidance. Let me begin with our operational highlights. In the first half of 2025, we achieved like-for-like rental growth of 3%, supported by healthy leasing demand and resilient retail sales. We signed 296 lease transactions in the first half with an average uplift of 2.9% on renewals and re-lettings. Notably, our new lettings, 110 in total, achieved a much higher uplift of 6.6%. This reflects the strong demand from leading retailers to join our centers and expand their formats. As the press release highlights, nearly 20% of lettable units were either renewed or re-lett during the period, a remarkable level of activity. Let me be clear, this is not just about numbers. It's about strengthening the tenant mix, securing the most attractive brands, and ensuring our centers remain dominant in their catchments. Occupancy across our portfolio remains extremely high at 98.8%, with a collection rate of 99%, which figure you will find on the next slide, evidence of the strong fundamentals of our assets and the affordability of our rents. Retail sales increased by 2.6%. with notable strength in health and beauty, services, supermarkets, and books and toys. In July, retail sales increased by around 5%, confirming the positive trend already observed in June, with growth of 4.7%, led by outstanding results in Italy and Belgium. In July, all countries recorded further improvements, with the sole exception of Italy, where sales remained broadly in line with June's strong performance. Our OCR, or our Occupancy Cost Ratio, stands at 10%, which is both sustainable and competitive. This ensures our retailers are profitable and committed to our centers for the long term. We continue to work closely with some of the world's most attractive retailers. Inditex, Primark, MediaWorld, Rituals, Normal and many others. These partnerships are visible in the 296 deals signed, which included first-time entrants and new formats across Belgium, France, Italy and Sweden. For example, Skin's first store in Brussels and Sandro's first store in a Belgian shopping center, Besson's new format in Les Atlantes in Tours, France, Bershkar's new store in Milan and Univ extensions in Sweden, like the store for Hemtex. Here you see some examples of new arrivals in our shopping centers in Belgium and France. And this confirms that your commercial assets are top priorities for retailers expansion strategies. Our success also rests on being relentlessly customer centric. We're not just filling units, we are curating the right mix of fashion, food, health and beauty and services to meet evolving consumer expectations. As the chart on this slide seven shows, the deal signs span a broad range of categories. 23% in fashion, 18% in health and beauty, 16% in gifts and jewelry, and strong contributions from restaurants, sports, and services. At the same time, we are modernizing our centers, introducing full-format stores, introducing new brands, and redesigning layouts. This keeps our assets fresh, relevant and resilient. Our leasing results highlight the strength of demand for space in our centres. In Italy, renewals and re-lettings delivered an average rental uplift of 8.2%. Belgium achieved 1.9% uplift, while Sweden and France were relatively stable. Overall, the 296 transactions produce an uplift of 2.9%, with particularly strong results in new lettings, where the uplift reached 6.6%. This confirms the ability of our portfolio to capture rental reversion, securing both current income and future growth. Now let's move to our re-merchandising pipeline, which is a critical engine of long-term value creation. In 2025, we launched three major re-merchandising projects in Italy, Colostrada, IGLI and Cremonapo. We are reducing the hypermarket here and reconfiguring units to bring in MediaWorld, Zara, H&M, Primark and Tenzinis. And this is happening in four phases. With this phased plan stretching to late 2026, this will cement Colostrada as Umbria's leading retail destination. Its unique merchandising mix makes it bulletproof. Tuscany's most visited shopping center is undergoing another wave of re-merchandising. The reduction of the Palm Harbour market will result in expanding Zara into a flagship concept store and adding Kool & Bear. This will strengthen Igili's dominance and widen its catchment. We see growing visits from more distant areas. A brand new Primark is replacing Unioro, which we have successfully relocated to the adjoining Rito Park. Primark's arrival at Cremona Po will broaden the offer, extend the catchment to neighboring provinces, and appeal strongly to a younger customer base. These three projects built on the outstanding results we saw from Carozello and Waterway completed in 2024. It is the evidence that value is created. As a result of the re-merchandising project at Carozello, the retail sales increased by 14.9%, rental uplift reached 14.5% and occupancy stands at 100%. Zara, Stradivarius and Bershka all expanded, reinforcing Carosella's dominance in the eastern Milan region. On top of that, Zara closed stores in competing centers. The re-merchandising project has increased its catchment area and has diminished competition. Its activity towards the city of Milan has grown. At Waterway in Brussels, Retail sales rose by 9.8%, footfall increased by 13.8%, and occupancy is virtually full at 99.3%. The re-merchandising in Walloway introduced premium brands, the latest concept of Zara, Massimo Dutti and C&A, a refurbished Inno department store and a new Carrefour market, making Walloway a leading premium shopping destination. And these are all powerful examples of how re-merchandising creates both short-term growth and long-term competitive advantage. No less important is our commitment to sustainability, which remains central to our strategy. 100% of our centres are now brilliant in use and certified, either excellent or very good. We achieved a 62% increase in green loans, secured a five-star Grasby rating and improved our carbon disclosure project rating to B. In operational terms, solar production is up 41% year on year. 87% of landlord controlled electricity comes from renewable resources and carbon emissions are down 12% compared to 2023. Importantly, Green lease clauses are now included in about 60% of our leases, aligning our tenants with our sustainability objectives. This is not just ESG reporting. In our mind, it's a competitive edge, and more and more retailers and consumers demand sustainable environments, and your commercial is delivering. Now is the moment to hand over to Roberto Fraticelli to discuss our financial results.

speaker
Roberto Fraticelli
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you very much, Shevetian. And welcome, everybody, as always. Thank you for being here. Let's have a look at the financial highlights for today. So here what we do is we give an idea of the core highlights that we want to discuss, and then we'll go more into detail in the coming slides. So as you see, at the end, in H1, we refinanced loans for 415 million euros. which is a good result. And we are making further progress in the loans which are expiring then in the second half of 2026. The loan-to-value ratio is down to 40.5%, which is also a very nice result. And as I already mentioned, we sold the Grand Summer account for 158 million SEC, which is around 40 million euros, which is above the book value. Now, if you look at valuations, it's nice because what we see is that overall the values are increasing in all the portfolio. What's very interesting is that, of course, this is not coming from the fact that net initial yields are higher. Actually, net initial yields are flat, but it's really sustainable growth because it's growth of the NOI. It's growth of the ERV. the rental income is increasing, and that is the base for the increase in value of our shopping centers. So that's healthy growth in our portfolio in all the countries. If you look at the financial position, what we highlight is, of course, the lower LTV to 40.5%. That's down from the 41.3 we had in December. And that's due to two facts. First one is, of course, the increase in the value of the portfolio, and that increased, of course, the value of the loan-to-value. And the second one is the fact that the net borrowings basically stayed the same. So stable borrowings, higher value, lower LTV. Another thing that we need to highlight here is the long-term loans, which we extended. So we're talking about Fjord Aliso, which is a 200 million euros loan, which we extended for five years, and a portfolio for assets in Sweden, which was due to expire in 2027, but we already renewed it and extended. And actually, it went from 1.8 billion SEK to 2.4 billion SEK. which is roughly 250 million euros, and we extended that for three years. Good progress is being made on the remaining loans, so we're very positive on that, but we will come with further news once we have very good news to tell you about. If we then go to the next slide, we see, as always, our beautiful APRA-NTA bridge, So we started in December from 41.79. We add the indirect investment result. We add the indirect investment result, which is negative, and we'll see it in the next slide. Of course, we do the correction for the fair tax for the value, the market value of the financial instruments. And then we do have the impact on the dividend. So we distribute the dividend of 180, right? And, of course, part of this dividend was also done in stock. So this is the double effect. Then we have the positive effect of the foreign exchange. That's mainly the SEC being higher in value compared to the Euro. And the other is just a slight effect of the dividend distribution because, of course, not everybody took the 180, which we distributed. So you end up to the 41.46. Let's go now to the income statement. So, as you see, rental income increased, and that's also notwithstanding the fact that we, as Rebecca mentioned, we had all the re-merchandising projects going. So, there was an important impact, but, you know, rental income increased. What's also interesting to see is that the net interest expenses are also unchanged. That's thanks to our hedging policy, of course, because we are still at the 80% hedging policy that we have. We are actually at 81%, but that's around the 80% that we want to have. Then the negative indirect investment results, that's mainly due to the substitute tax that we paid in Italy. Once in a while, the Italian government is very kind and offers to um reduce the tax burden through the payment of some taxes at a discount rate and what we did in the past we had done some fiscal evaluation of the assets which i created reserves and now we're making this reserve distributable to the entire company to the entire group direct investment results it also increased out by slightly if we then go to the bridge, which we all like. We see that we start from the 66.28 in December. Then we add the rental income, which is 330. We have higher corporate income tax compared to last year, and that's mainly in Sweden and in Italy. That's also related to the increased rental income. We have lower net service charges, so that means that we invoiced our tenants less than what we used to invoice last year, but that's also due to the refurbishment and all the re-merchandising that I mentioned, because as you see, some units are empty when you're moving the different retailers. So that's different than company and other expenses. It's 47, but that's mainly related also because we are comparing it to last year. Last year, we had a positive effect of bad debts. And this positive effect, because we had booked too much, so we had to release part of the booking that we had done last year, and we do not have this effect this year. So we end up to the 66.88. Very important, of course, is the direct investment results guidance. and I and the whole company were very happy with the results. we are quite positive and we decided to upgrade the guidance that we gave in update to the guidance that we gave in march 2025 so we are now believe will be at the upper part of the range between 240 and 245 for shares and maybe one last slide just to recap on the core missions of eurocomperture as everything said we are customer-centric. Our growth is focused on our customer. We do a lot of work. Hilaria does a fantastic job in research and analysis of our customers. So what we do is we prepare our assets so that they can offer really the best possible services to our clients and our retailers. Value creation, and Etienne has given a lot of examples of value creations where we're focusing what we're doing. We are really trying to build the best assets that we can to make them bulletproof. It's always a strong word, not to make them very strong, also in light of the future. Sustainability, as I stressed, how important it is to have sustainability for us, and we really believe it builds a competitive advantage also for us. And then what's, of course, at my heart, which is the financial discipline and strength, you know, a nice loan-to-value, a nice NOI growth, good refinancing, a solid and stable financial platform. And last but not least, we're hoping to see most of you at the Capital Market Day on the 11th of September in 2025. And with this one, I'll hand back to you. Thank you again, and then I'll hand back to you. And thank you for all our guys, because they've done a fantastic job, and back to the operator.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we are now ready to take your questions. If you wish to ask a question, please press pound key five on your telephone keypad. You can also submit a question by typing it underneath the player. Our first question comes from Stefan Alfonso from Jefferies. Please go ahead.

speaker
Stefan Alfonso
Analyst, Jefferies

Yes, good morning, and thank you for taking my questions. I have three, if I may. Firstly, could you share the capex envelope for the merchandising projects and maybe share also the targeted kingdom costs? Regarding the guidance, I'm just trying to understand what is driving your decision to not target the operand of the range. And finally, on refinancing, what has been the average cost of debt achieved so far? Thank you.

speaker
Roberto Fraticelli
Chief Financial Officer

Maybe, Roberto, you want to start? I'll start with the silence, but I like it. Let's say the average cost of that, as you've seen, stayed the same, 3.2. Of course, let's say the margins, as you know, Stefan, we do not communicate anything on the margin because we have a confidentiality agreement with the banks, but they're really in line with the financing that we currently have. Of course, what we're monitoring is the long-term interest rate, where it moves. But, you know, so far the refinancing has been a good term. We have a lot of demand for all our shopping centers. So there was good competition among different banks. We always had at least three to four banks to select from. And that really gives a good impression of the value maybe of our assets, but also on the refinancing moment on the market. So we're very happy with the discussions that we're having with the banks. Does that answer your question, Stefano?

speaker
Stefan Alfonso
Analyst, Jefferies

Okay, okay.

speaker
Evert-Jan van Garderen
Chief Executive Officer

Okay. Yes? Yeah, maybe then a few words on the guidance and our update today that we expect to be at the upper end of the range, as indicated by Roberto. I think it's a combination of a couple of factors which we took into account. The first one is the Swedish krona, which is always volatile but sort of seemed to be a bit more stable and slightly stronger than we had in our budget. So that obviously always helps a bit. But we also saw the good progress in the projects. And next to that actually some vacancy reduction obviously again helping us in the forecast for the full year. So all in all, these are the sort of effects which we took into account to bring us to an update of the guidance. And then your last question on the CapEx involved in the re-merchandising, again I think it's These are projects which quite differ from case by case. Obviously, we have our building works, but, you know, we're working in an existing building, so that is not immediately trading a lot of capex, where we do have some Some capex is, for example, fit-out costs, which we have for the tenants. We create, of course, new units. And where we have costs which involve to make a unit relatable, not to this specific tenant, but to a tenant, then it's obviously our bill, our account. But don't see that we have to spend millions and millions to do the remodeling. But of course, there are some amounts involved and they are also spread over in some cases more than a financial year, of course. But particular disclosure per project, I cannot give, I'm afraid.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

All right. We will continue to... Stefan?

speaker
spk00

Yeah.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We will continue to our next question, which comes from Lynn from KBC. Please go ahead.

speaker
Lynn
Analyst, KBC

Hi, good morning, everyone. I have two questions. The first one is on Belgium. So, in whatever your rental uplifts on renewals and relaxings decelerated in the first half of 2025 versus 2024 from 6.6 to 1.9, And I was wondering if you could give some color on this, because I remember the uplift on new deals was around 60.6 in Belgium in the second half of 24 of your re-merchandising project. So I was wondering if you have a figure for this in the first half of 2025.

speaker
Evert-Jan van Garderen
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Leiden, and thank you very much for your question. I expected the question because you also mentioned it this morning in your report on our numbers. And to give a bit more color, what happened in Holloway is that actually we did 17 deals in the reporting period. As we always say, renewals, re-lettings is a matter of measuring what is happening 12 months. It's all over 12 months. So this is from the 30 June looking back. 12 months, one year, that is where you measure the renewals, re-lettings. And actually out of those 17 deals, we had only a few actually, if I look at the list, you could say that there were two deals which were negative, where we replaced a tenant which actually left the center. If I look here, It has to do with Desigual, Jot and Superdry. And we got back tenants in the units, which obviously strengthened the whole center. But these are really, yeah, one-off. So if I look back at the 6.6 percent, obviously there were some of the previous deals included and not these ones. a matter of you know just changing one or two tenants out of the 17 the rest is all plus but of course an average yeah in the end is an average so um these two and three deals in in a negative territory uh brings us to the two percent but don't uh again it's always difficult i i don't think we should read into this the trend that you know when when we do re-lettings and renewals in walloway that we do that at the lower um increase or uplift than in the past i mean we're still very pleased here's what we can do um and including the latest and the skins sandro these are really nice brands to have in in waterway and obviously we'll we'll dive a bit more deep into the bollyway uh tenant mix and what's happening there when we have our capital markets day on the 11th of september and and you're most welcome

speaker
Lynn
Analyst, KBC

I look forward to that. Lynn, you had one more question, I think. Yeah, yeah, I do, I do. I will ask my second question now. So you had 1.3% fair value uplift, and the main driver there is obviously the increase in your net operating income, but it was also mentioned somewhere that your exit yields were flat or actually went up. And I was wondering if you could explain the drivers behind the increase in those exit yields, and if it was maybe related to certain assets.

speaker
Roberto Fraticelli
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. Thank you so much, Lynn. You always have very good questions, unfortunately. No, I mean, as you say, the increase in value was the NOI, and that was, of course, different center by center. What we tried to do was to, you know, in discussion with the valuers, what they gave us was the impression on the market and the rest. And what they thought was that they did not see any particular transaction, which would actually change their mind in a dramatic way from the yields that they published, that they used until now. So it's really a minor, maybe for some smaller assets where they increase a little bit the net initial yields or sometimes just the net exit yield. It really depends on the valuers and on the way they value the asset, but really nothing significant in any of the shopping centers, to be fair.

speaker
Lynn
Analyst, KBC

Okay, clear. And then, yeah, maybe related to that, Could your risk premium go up in France in those exit deals given the political situation? Did you already discuss that or is it too early to tell?

speaker
Roberto Fraticelli
Chief Financial Officer

It's too early to tell because, you know, you've seen the movements in the markets, interest rates and property values as well. Sorry, the value of the shares of property. all the companies also investing in France. So I think it's a bit too early to tell, also because we do not know what the end result will be. At the moment, of course, there is a lot of turmoil, which is never good for the market. But I think we need to look at what actually is going to happen in France and see how they come out of it. For once, I can say that I'm happy with the Italian situation.

speaker
Lynn
Analyst, KBC

Okay, that's clear. Well, thanks for the explanation. See you on the 11th.

speaker
Roberto Fraticelli
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you so much, Lynn. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Valerie Jacob from Bernstein. Please go ahead.

speaker
Valerie Jacob
Analyst, Bernstein

Hello, good morning. Can you hear me? So I just have two follow-up questions from what I've been asked. The first one is, you know, on the projects, I understand that, you know, every project is different and that you cannot give the detail, but maybe if you could, you know, share the overall envelope, like are we talking like a few million? Are we talking tens of millions or, you know, like give us a range? and also give us a range on the returns you expect from these projects. I think that would be useful. That's my first question. Thank you.

speaker
Evert-Jan van Garderen
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thank you, Valerie, for the question. In terms of the envelope, what we have been doing is If you look at our overall direct result and the payout we use for the dividend, which is targeted at 75%, there's obviously an amount left, which is sort of our key envelope, which we think we could overall in the portfolio dedicate to capital expenditure. Obviously, there's a bit of ESG involved as well, but mostly the re-merchandising projects do tap out of that envelope. So, but of course, it's not only one or maybe we have a few of those. But overall, if you look per project, I think it's more a matter of some millions than really, you know, double-digit amounts. And there is a spread. At the moment, we're spending a bit more in Italy than in the other countries, as you can imagine. if you come to your next question what is the return I think short term what we see it is in most cases a flat operation but obviously it's very important for us to think about the medium and the long term where we do see the benefit obviously when we are stronger against our competitors when we have new tenants coming in where we can show that we have a bigger footfall, more turnovers, and therefore tenants are prepared to accept better conditions from our perspective. And on top of that, I think where we do see some further potential uplift is that with the big brands, there is a component, it's of course minimum guaranteed but on top of that the component of turnover rent and we do benefit from their success and I think our expectation is that for the years to come we will see probably the higher component of turnover rent in our overall rent roll. So that's basically the picture, Valerie.

speaker
Valerie Jacob
Analyst, Bernstein

Okay, thank you, that's very clear. And my second question is on relating and renewals. I mean, you've got some slight negative numbers in France and Sweden. You've just mentioned a couple of negative transactions in Belgium. So I was wondering, do you think all these deals were sort of, you know, one-off over the past six or 12 months, or do you see a trend that, you know, overall the market is a bit, you know, more difficult now and that your portfolio is you know, on average, probably fairly rented.

speaker
Evert-Jan van Garderen
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you. Well, Valerie, we just talked about Belgium, and I understand that we're always focusing on negatives or minuses. In Belgium, we had a few, as I said, three, four deals which were negative. I also have deals where we have an uplift of 32%, 33%, 12%, 22%. So it's really a case-by-case picture. in Belgium. France, I would say, there we obviously still have an effect and we're not alone there because it has an impact on all the landlords of some of the chains which have gone into bankruptcy. Recently, Claire, I think everybody, all peers have Claire, so do we. But also in the past, it all started a bit with Camargue, but we've seen recently NAFNAF again. So I think there's an impact of that kind of situation, which we don't have, at least not in our portfolio, let's say in Belgium or in Italy or in Sweden. So France is probably slightly different. And if you then have that situation, yeah, We think it's important that you get, if a unit becomes available, the good brands back and that means that in some cases you have to probably accept a lower end. Also given the fact that in some cases maybe the sector changes that, you know, you go to another sector where they cannot afford the rent level, you got out of that specific unit. I think that sometimes maybe an element being forgotten that if it's all, fashion again and you lease to fashion then you can probably maybe say okay there's a negative plan because of the the fashion sector but it's also sometimes the change which which is is by definition almost resulting into either a minus or a plus roberto anything thank you number means sweden of course as we mentioned in the

speaker
Roberto Fraticelli
Chief Financial Officer

in the press release as well. You know, we had a lot of inflation in the past year, so when you just look at the renewals and then, of course, they already absorbed over 23% of inflation in the past year, so that was also related to that. But in the renewals, you see that there is a strong increase at the plus 6.6%.

speaker
Steven Bauman
Analyst, ABN AMRO / BHF

Another question?

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

I don't think Valerie had any more questions. We will go over to our next question, Arianna Tarassi from Infesta San Paolo. Please go ahead.

speaker
Arianna Tarassi
Analyst, Intesa Sanpaolo

Good morning, everyone, from my side, too, and thanks for your presentation. I had a question on the return you expect from the projects in Colostrada, Egili, and Cremona-Port when they will come to completion. but I think you already covered this topic previously. Then I have another one on assets disposal. The transaction in Sweden was completed above latest evaluation. Should we expect further non-core assets disposal in the coming quarters? Thank you.

speaker
Evert-Jan van Garderen
Chief Executive Officer

Well, thank you, Arianna, for your questions, and indeed the disposal we made in the summer It was a small transaction but still relevant for us because we have created that megastore for ECO, leased it out on a 10-year lease, and it opened all very successfully. So that was for us a good timing to sell that asset. We do have another position in Sweden with similar big box. which we were absolutely investigating to see whether that could also be a good transaction to consider. The fact is that in Sweden at the moment the market is actually quite active for this kind of product. We also did these kind of sales in the past when we had retail boxes, as we call them, which of course are for us nice to have, but once you have got your tenants in there, you've got the long leases that not so much you can do, not so much value you can add. That was also in the case of the Samarkand deal. And then we know that we have that retailer anyhow on our retail zone. So it does create the traffic you want. And then we can focus on the gallery. That's really where we want to be. There we can add value. There we can work on the tenant mix. So we do hope to maybe see one more disposal in, let's say, the coming months. But it's the kind of product which, of course, we like to produce. But once it's there, then we could maybe better reinvest it in our galleries.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Steven Bauman from ABN Amro Odo BHF. Please go ahead.

speaker
Steven Bauman
Analyst, ABN AMRO / BHF

Good morning, and thank you for taking my questions, of course. I have three, maybe first also to clarify some earlier answers. I hope you can quantify the answers a bit better. So to start on the re-merchandising projects, what is the net annualized rental uplift that we can expect for the three projects combined? And also, as given you, say, Carosello led to 14.5% rent uplifts. What was that number for Woluwe?

speaker
Evert-Jan van Garderen
Chief Executive Officer

Let me see, Stefan. Yeah, I'm afraid that I'm, let's see, for otherwise we would have published it, Stefan, if we would have exactly the net annualized income for the next three years of each of our merchandising projects. So I'm afraid that I cannot comment more than what I said in the call earlier when other colleagues of you asked similar questions. If we look at... At Waterway, I think there we do also have a different situation than Carozello, where, of course, in the case of Carozello, we now have the new tenants also up and running. That was already the case a bit earlier in Waterway. So I think in 2025, we can probably be more precise on the numbers. But on one way, Stefan, I assume that you will also see us in the capital markets day soon. But if I look at renewals, re-lettings over the last periods, it was 16.6 in December, 10.8 in March, and now it's 4.1. So that's in the relatings the case. But the average, which we gave in Carosello, yeah, that's also depending on the deals we did there.

speaker
Roberto Fraticelli
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, maybe, yeah, Steven, those are always good questions, and it's always great to hear. I think what is important is, you know, some of our peers, they give their expected return. And they based it on a series of assumptions which is then not shared with everybody. I mean, we also have the expected yields, returns that we have on daily merchandising. And those, of course, are, let's say, at least in line with those of our peers. What is interesting for us is that, of course, there are several components of this increase in value. The first one, yeah, is when the contractor is signing, for example, with very big tenants, right? And so you have a component which is the MGR, but there's also the component on turnover rent, which is also a very important component. We all, as the retailers, have expectations on the turnovers that they're going to realize. And most times what we've seen, and then you've seen it with Carosello, you've seen it with Volovo, the actual turnovers that they realize are beyond their expectations. And we're very happy with that. On the second hand, there's also the renewals and relaxings because, of course, once you've made your center more attractive, then you also have an increase in the number of visitors and you have an increase in the spend. You know, that's the medium to long-term strategy that we discussed also several times. So what we see is a strong increase in what we expect. and we hope to see, is the strong increase in rental income and in visitors and the strong effect on the renewals are reluctant. So while others are telling you I'm going to have a yield of eight, nine, or 10%, we're saying we're doing this and we are confident it's a good investment, but please let us realize these expectations so that we can communicate them. what we did with Carousell and what we did with Volvo. We did the project, and now we're sharing with you the results that we're getting. So it's not that we want to be tricky or that we are expecting a cost return on investment of 2% of the country. We are expecting a good return on investment. It's just that we want to show you the real results and not what will be a fantastic expectation on this investment. Does that answer your question, Steven, or?

speaker
Steven Bauman
Analyst, ABN AMRO / BHF

Yeah, that provides a lot of clarity. So thank you for that background. If I may, I also have another question. Maybe you can quantify that a bit better. So total capex, what do you expect for the, let's say, 26 or the next years, and maybe categorize it broadly, and maybe also some color on which part is sustainable investments, for example, like solar and heating?

speaker
Evert-Jan van Garderen
Chief Executive Officer

Well, let's say, Stefan, there again we have our sort of rule of thumb that what we do not pay out is different, that that's obviously cash flow we can use for CapEx spread over the portfolio, but not more than that. Otherwise, you would also see gearing going up or whatever. That's sort of where you should put us. And this is, if I look for the next period, obviously the majority of that will be Italy. There will be, if I look at our internal tables, there's not that much happening in Sweden. There is maybe a bit more happening in France, depending on developments there. But that's, of course, something we realize ourselves. We can't do all those projects at the same time. It's not only about the capex and the availability of that, but it's also about income. And we have to accept that when you're, and that's why we deliberately put some of the photos in the presentation, that we're really doing a lot of work, and that means that you cannot, lease that space out so temporarily you have a revenue which you're missing and that you have to plan carefully through the portfolio to make sure overall at group level obviously our rental income is still steady or increasing with indexation and other matters and that's what we have to plan very carefully.

speaker
Roberto Fraticelli
Chief Financial Officer

Steven I mean to give you the as we always discuss the the capex side start out the 40 billion euros more or less of course we invested a lot capex in esg and that's also very important and because we want to keep on achieving our targets but we really did some major investments in the past so when we look at the future investment there is still a lot but there's also a lot of reserve which we can invest in this kind of projects that we're doing in carosello in volvo in ingenie so there's plenty of opportunities for us. It also depends, as you remember, from the contribution from the government, like in Italy, when we got the contribution if we invested in green refurbishments. But so far, as I said, this is what we're planning. Those are the resources that we would like to invest, being careful. Are we not doing too much? Are we not doing enough? So always trying to find the balance where we can add the best value to the portfolio. That is prioritized.

speaker
Steven Bauman
Analyst, ABN AMRO / BHF

Okay, very clear. Then my last question, a simpler one. Frequency is obviously low, but just to push you on the other country with some frequency being Sweden, you should provide some color here. So is that mainly from the former ICA in Ingolstadt? Any comments what we can expect from the vacancy in Sweden?

speaker
Evert-Jan van Garderen
Chief Executive Officer

Ja, Stefan, indeed, the vacancy in Sweden is mainly in Ingolstadt, Norsköping, where ICA Maxi moved over the road and built a new big hypermarket, and that space has been relayed to Coop and Normaal, and there's still a residual part, which we actually were in Sweden earlier this week, and also to discuss a number of deals which they have been on the table. They're all back in Sweden a bit earlier than in the other countries. And we do hope that we can fill that, or I should not say fill, but have a nice new tenant for the space. We have a few options, and we just have to see which one will fit the best. But it is, of course, a lot of space. It's quite deep. So it's not space which is, you know, available for a number of tenants. You need some specific tenants who can take up that kind of surface. But, no, we are positively looking at that. And if that is happening, the deal, then obviously Sweden is back on the levels where the rest of the countries are. In the other centers, we don't have a lot of vacancy. We're doing some nice lettings in Sweden to also a bit more in the service sector, healthcare sector. So in that respect, I think the market in Sweden looks quite nice for the second half of the year.

speaker
Steven Bauman
Analyst, ABN AMRO / BHF

Great. Thank you so much for the answers. Very helpful.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Alex Kosteren from . Please go ahead.

speaker
Alex Kosteren
Analyst

Hi, yes, good morning. Thank you for the presentation. Just one question remaining from my end. Hi, yeah, one question remaining. So if you look at some of your peers, they've been active on the transaction market, and I think investors are appreciative of that. And your LTVs are close to the 40%, your targets. So I'm just wondering what's your view on adding assets to the portfolio?

speaker
Evert-Jan van Garderen
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Alex, we do have on our agenda the items like indeed what about asset rotation, joint ventures, and we've seen some transactions by peers. At least we have now also done disposal, which I think if you talk about asset rotation is probably the first step you need to do in order to rotate. We're keeping an eye on the market. We do have some, if you look indeed at our balance sheet, it's stronger than it was, LTV down. So, you know, we are in a position where we can look at various options, but don't expect us to jump into any assets which is now coming to the market. I think we do want the good quality we have in the portfolio. Obviously, we're very much focusing on the re-merchandising projects. the kind of deal which we would like for our portfolio, we haven't seen, but maybe they're coming. I think more and more activity in Spain and maybe that flows over to Italy, who knows. And Sweden, I think there again, we see more activity. We were one of the deals, of course, which is the effect of lower interest rates. I mean, in Sweden, The STIBOR has come rapidly down, it's now 2%, maybe one more rate cut there, and therefore the fundability of assets is much better. We see a lot of appetite among the banks to finance property. We bump into that as well when we, of course, internally discuss it and have our conversation with the banks. So I think the lights are more green for transactions in the Nordics as well. Who knows?

speaker
Alex Kosteren
Analyst

Yeah. Okay, that's a very clear answer. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Michiel Verreken from ING. Please go ahead.

speaker
Michiel Verreken
Analyst, ING

Yes, good morning. Thank you for the presentation and taking my questions. I have two questions. So first one, there was a change in ownership of Carrefour in Italy. Could you maybe provide more color on any impact this might have on your Italian assets? And then the second question, coming back on the portfolio valuation, you already mentioned that the portfolio valuation is related to the operational performance and not the yield compression, but to what extent do you see the re-merchandising projects translating into the asset values? in Italy increased by more than 2%, but to what extent is this impacted by the re-merchandising of Carosello? And also, what impact would you expect on the valuation of Volevo as this was only slightly 0.7%? Thank you. Yeah.

speaker
Roberto Fraticelli
Chief Financial Officer

Michiel, very difficult question, the first one. Let's say, of course, it's, you know, third parties and, you know, Carrefour did this deal with New Princess, which is an Italian investor who has acquired plenty of companies in the past years. Let's say what is very interesting on his side is, of course, that he has all these products that he's now able to sell through the, Carrefour operations in Italy. So if you sell cheese, for example, and you only have a very limited amount of space in the supermarkets, well, if you can double it, of course, that's extremely interesting for your turnovers for the entire company. So they have reached that agreement. They haven't finalized the transaction yet, which is expected to happen at the end, before the end of the year, possibly mid-November. So we are, of course, in this session with Carrefour. We know New Princess, but we haven't got contact with them yet. But let's say with Carrefour, of course, we only have a mean one asset, which is Carrefour, which is Carosello. And in Carosello, we have done all this transaction, and of course, the aftermarket in Carosello is quite large, so it would be nice to reduce this could offer possibilities. Let us put it that way. For concerns, your second question on valuations and obviously taking into consideration the potential new value created by the re-merchandising prop efforts that we did. Well, it is in some form because, of course, Depending on the value and the way they do the valuation, you know, some of them use the discounted cash flow. If you use the discounted cash flow, of course, you already start taking into account the ERVs, so the expected rental value for the future. So in some cases, the value is already taken into consideration, the ERVs for the future, how they could change, how they could increase, how they could decrease. Those are all assumptions based on the feedback that we could get provide them, and that is mainly on the timing and when we think that an operation can be finalized, mainly on some of the contracts which have already been signed. And on that basis, then he can formulate or she can formulate her or his own hypothesis on what is the future rental income going to be. And on that base, then, They use the cash flow projections to determine the value that they expect the centers to be. And then, of course, they discount them. So it also depends a lot on the discount rate, which is still very high. So the effect that you have, of course, being discounted, it's lower and lower the further in the future you go. But that's the answer you're asking me here.

speaker
Michiel Verreken
Analyst, ING

Yeah, that's good. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from Kai Klose from Berenberg. Please go ahead.

speaker
Kai Klose
Analyst, Berenberg

Yes, good morning. I've got two quick questions. The first one, after you had a couple of refinancings in Italy and Sweden, could you indicate what the LTV on an asset basis is compared to the group level? Maybe just as an indication, is it marginally higher or lower? or significantly higher or lower, that would be helpful. And the second question, you mentioned that in terms of the company and other expenses, there were some passing effects in the first half, which explains the increase. I didn't get it in full. Maybe you could explain that again or give more details. Thank you.

speaker
Roberto Fraticelli
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, yeah, yeah. So let's see. For concerns, the refinancing in Sweden and Italy, the loan-to-values, it really depends on the banks. Usually, they're between the 40% to 50%, and that's the range that we usually have. We also have some existing financing, which are, of course, the lower loan-to-value, and that's because during the time, you know, the property increase in value and the loan stayed the same. We have a small amortization, so there's also where you create a gap. But when we refinance, that's what we're looking at, between 40 and 50 percent. That's where we aim.

speaker
Evert-Jan van Garderen
Chief Executive Officer

And I think, Kai, in the case of Sweden, because obviously the Swedish krona is a foreign currency to us, so if at asset level we could go to 50, 55, we would not mind, because that gives us a bit more natural hedging. So I think for Sweden, we are maybe quite keen on a slightly higher LTV at asset level. But, of course, we have to overall bear in mind that, you know, 40% LTV ratio is something where we feel comfortable so that it all adds up. But that's, I think, a bit where we are.

speaker
Roberto Fraticelli
Chief Financial Officer

Sorry. No, no, no, absolutely true. The last one is the bad debts. Let's say what we had last year, we had a crude debt. I'm just making up a number, 2 million euros for bed debts because there were several retailers which were facing difficulties. So we thought, you know, let's be prudent and accrue for this possible potential bed debts. After a year, we had to realize that actually the agreements that we had reached, some of those tenants then were perfectly fine. There was no need for the accrual. With some others, we actually agreed a bidet which was lower than the one we had provided for, so we had a correction. So instead of having a negative $2 million for the bidets, you had a plus $1 million for bidets because we actually had accrued too much. Does that help you?

speaker
Kai Klose
Analyst, Berenberg

Yeah, got it. I got it. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

I see that we have one written question. Hey, for John, do we still have time for that?

speaker
Evert-Jan van Garderen
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, no, sure. I can read out the question and then we will also provide an answer. And the question is, Please could you provide some color on why like for like sales for food and beverage and sport are negative, having been among the best categories in recent years? No, thank you for this question. I think the short answer is that in this case, these sectors were impacted by the works when we introduced the new operators. And it's, of course, just a temporary thing you measure against the previous, whether you measure against last year one month or three months or six months. You see it varying. And we expect this to improve again. So it's a temporary effect, but it all has to do with where the particular works in the moles are happening at the moment.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

All right, that was our last question, and I will hand the call back over to Mr. van Garderen for any closing remarks.

speaker
Evert-Jan van Garderen
Chief Executive Officer

Okay, well, thank you so much, all the participants today who listened in, and of course all the analysts who asked questions. Thank you for participating. for asking these questions, which makes it, of course, a very interactive and hopefully interesting conference call. We look forward to our Captain Marcus Day, mentioned before, in Brussels on the 11th of September, on a Thursday, where we will, of course, show Bollyway, what happened there, and also go into some more detail on this particular merchandising project. But for now, I would like to thank everybody for participating and, of course, not last but not least, all our colleagues who worked very hard behind the scenes to get all those numbers and presentations ready. And I wish you a pleasant Friday. Thank you so much.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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