3/12/2021

speaker
Patrick
Conference Call Operator

Hello and welcome to the Essilor Luxottica full year 2020 results call. My name is Patrick and I will be your coordinator for today's event. For the duration of the call, you will be on listen only. However, towards the end of the call, you will have the opportunity to ask questions. This can be done by pressing star 1 to register your question at any time. If at any point you require assistance, please press star zero on your telephone keypad and you will be connected to an operator. I am now handing over to your host, Paul de Ceylon, Deputy CEO of SLL Exotica, to begin today's conference. Thank you.

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Thank you, Patrick. Sorry for this little delay. We had a little technical issue. Good morning. I'm delighted to welcome you to our 2020 Earnings Conf Call, together with our co-CFO, Stefano Grassi, and David Hillemans, as well as our IR team. I'd like to start by paying a tribute to Bernard McNaz, a former chairman and CEO of Essilor, an inventor of the Varilux progressive lens, who recently passed away at the age of 94. He was an inventor, a true pioneer, and always curious. His achievements are a great symbol of the youth and potential of our industry, and this is what I would like you to keep as a symbol of Bernard. So, let's talk about Our topic of today, 2.20. 2.20, a pivotal year for Essilor Ducetica, during which we showed our resilience, our fighting spirit, the relevance of our combination, and our ability to build a strong group. Of course, we had to manage COVID-19. Francesco Milleri and I are extremely grateful to our employees and customers for their outstanding adaptability during this period. In H1, they displayed their resilience and agility. And in H2, they quickly moved back to reinvestment mode with a significant growth in revenue and results. Ultimately, COVID-19 has proven to be a clear catalyst for Estee Lauder Luxottica in terms of customer intimacy, supply chain flexibility, new consumer habits, and strict financial discipline. Our solid results and cash generation, especially in the second semester, demonstrate the strength of our company and business model. 2020 was a pivotal year in which we accelerated the building of Essilor Lipsetica. I would like for you to remember five key achievements. We outperformed our industry in lenses, optometry, optical frames, retail, and e-commerce. We have a great performance in strategic countries like the U.S., China, Australia, France. And despite the environment, products well aligned with consumer needs managed to grow. This is the case, for instance, of Aizen for connected life and glucose protection, which both grew double digits in 2020. Second, we have a solid pipeline of innovation and series of launches in major categories. Complete pairs with Ray-Ban Authentic, MyUK management with Stelest, precision optometry with the VR800 measuring instrument, and the AVA lens, smart glasses with our Facebook collaboration. Third, we accelerated our digitalization in all aspects of our business, the most visible one being our 40% increase in e-commerce, which represents now 1.2 billion euros and 8% of total group revenues in 2022. we deepened our integration and delivered the plant synergies. So we can confirm cumulative synergies of 300 to 350 million euros by the end of 2021, and 420 to 600 million euros by end of 2023. And finally, we did all this in full respect of our mission of sustainability and of our strong human values. For example, I can mention the success of our recent employee shareholding campaign. 44% of our employees worldwide are now shareholders. With all these achievements, Ethelon Luxottica is coming out of the crisis stronger and well-positioned to help perform and transform the eye care and eyewear industry. I will come back to this later, but first, I would like to hand over the call to Stefano and David for more details on our results.

speaker
Stefano Grassi
Co-CFO, EssilorLuxottica

Thank you, Paul, and good morning, everybody. Welcome to our earnings call. Let's start with a recap of our 2020 financial results that you see listed on this page, beginning with our top line. Our revenue for the full year of 2020 declined 17% on a current FX basis. On a constant FX, you're looking at revenue down approximately 15%. But we had a very different speed, as you will know, between the first and the second half of the year. The company in the first half of the year showed revenue declining on a constant FX basis at 29%, while on the second part of the year, our revenue were substantially flat to 2019 level. From a profitability standpoint, our adjusted operating profit is 9.5% from a margin rate standpoint, but again, very different speeds between the first and the second half of the year, where despite revenue declining 5% on a current effects basis, we were able to be margin accretive. We're leveraging the strong balance sheet, our net debt to EBITDA ratio is just above one, and our free cash flow generation has been at 1.8 billion for the full year 2020, just above 2019 level despite currency headwinds. So overall, we're pleased with the recovery pace that we've seen in the second half of the year, as well as our sound profitability and our strong free cash flow generation. But now let's start our journey beginning with our top line. And I will jump into page four of the presentation, focusing on the fourth quarter revenues, broken down by segments. And I will draw your attention on the bottom of the page, where you can see our top line growing 1.7% on a constant effect basis for the fourth quarter. If you look at our results on a current effect basis, you'll look at a negative 4.4% for the fourth quarter. From a currency standpoint, Clearly, you remember that during the first half of the year, currency fluctuations were substantially neutral in our top line, while we experienced a quite heavy currency headwind, I would say probably stronger in the fourth quarter, where the US dollar devaluated against Europe approximately 7%. If currency faces those levels, we do expect those headwinds to continue throughout the vast majority of 2021. But now let's look at our different segments, beginning with the biggest one, length and optical instruments, where revenue were up on the single-digit territory, 5.3%. All the regions posted positive sales growth during the course of the fourth quarter. North America and Latin America posted high single-digit growth rate in Q4 for the length and optical instruments. The sunglasses and reader division were negative 9%. The sunglasses part decelerated in FGX as well as the balloon business. The reader business in FGX further improved the performance compared to the third quarter one, although still on the negative territory, while the balloon business on the optical side posted the best quarter of the year in the fourth quarter with a double-digit pace. Moving to wholesale. Our revenue were down on a constant effect basis for Q4 4%. We were positive in North America, and you remember, we were very pleased with the third quarter result, and now we are still positive in the fourth quarter for North America. While in Europe, we felt the results and the confinement of the second wave of pandemic outbreak. From a price mix perspective, we were positive, and from the product mix standpoint, our prescription business was positive, while our sum business was on a negative territory. Retail number was up on a 3% during the course of the fourth quarter. All the regions we'd accept of Europe were positive. On the retail division, we experienced a strong growth driven by our e-commerce division. They grew in excess of 55% on account and effect basis during the course of the fourth quarter, while the retail brick and mortar was just slightly negative, with two different underlying trends, positive solid sales on the optical retail business, thanks to optical retail in North America, in Australia, as well as in Latin America. While on the other side, our sunglass business was more on the negative territory, very much due to the lack of tourist traffic in several locations. But now, I will start our journey across the different geographies, and I will begin with the biggest one, jumping up directly on page 8 of the presentation. So, I'm on page 8 of the presentation. Okay. Okay. North America revenue were up 4% during the fourth quarter. We are very pleased with this result. It's an accelerated result compared to the third quarter trend of 2.5%. Our Lens and Optical Instrument Division posted high single-digit growth rate in Q4. The ECP channel was very much the driver of the growth in the fourth quarter for North America, also thanks to the Axelor Expert Program. the program that saw, at the end of 2020, a rollout of approximately 7,800 doors, which represents over a 30% increase compared to the number of doors we had at the end of 2019. From a branded lens standpoint, all the key branded lenses were positive in North America, Transition, Crisel, and Varibus. We are on track with our Synergy Deliver, and one important pillar for that Synergy Deliver is represented by the first commercial offer that we undertook in North America, the program called EL360. EL360 represents very much the combination of the strengths from Epsilon and Luxottica coming together for our ETP. And just to give you an idea, that program, that commercial program, saw a rollout of already $1,200 at the end of 2020. From an e-commerce perspective, on the land side, we were very pleased with the double-digit delivery of our iBuyDirect.com business in North America, also thanks to an enhanced assortment of products like Ray-Ban and Oakley. Our wholesale division was solid positive during the course of the fourth quarter, The key drivers for that growth were the independent channel, the sports channel, as well as our third-party e-commerce partners. The optical part of the business was up on the double-digit place, while we experienced very favorable price mix on the course of the fourth quarter. And from a branding standpoint, I want to draw your attention on the picture that you see on the right-hand side of this page. That page very much, that picture very much celebrates the outstanding results that the Oakley brand delivered during the course of the fourth quarter with double digit pay and positive double digit on both optical as well as sunk. Our retail business now. Retail was up on the mid-single digit territory. Optical sales were positive on the high single digit territory in Q4. With all our optical retail chain, Lance Crafter, per vision, target optical, all strong positive during the fourth quarter. In particular, in Lenscraft, we are pleased to see calm sales on the positive territory, despite the lack, or let's say, the heavily reduced traffic in shopping mall location, despite the confinement and the restriction that we experience in Canada, as well as in California. But thanks to a stronger price mix, thanks to a strong conversion, and thanks to the performance of last-tracked allocation in known shopping malls, we were able to deliver positive comp sales for fourth quarter. The Sunglass App division was still on the challenging territory, very much due to challenge situation on international Sunglass App locations, while the Bass Pro location experienced a nice double-digit growth rate during the course of the fourth quarter. Last dash on e-commerce, e-commerce was up in excess of 50% during the fourth quarter, with all our branded eyewear propositions, Ray-Ban, Oakley, and Sunglass Up all double-digit during the course of Q4. But now let's switch continents. Let's get into, I would say, a more challenging territory, Europe. Clearly, the restriction that many of us experienced in the month of November and December had an impact in the region, in particular on our retail business. From a country mix standpoint, France, that is the biggest country in Europe, was likely positive, and this is obviously very pleasing for us, while Spain, Turkey, and Russia were on the negative double-digit territory. From a branded land standpoint, we were happy to see some of our branded lands like Aizen up double-digit, the transition business up on the single-digit territory, both sustaining a very good product mix for the land business.

speaker
Cedric LeCaspel
Equity Research Analyst, Stifel

No, no, I'm going to cut you off on my side.

speaker
Stefano Grassi
Co-CFO, EssilorLuxottica

Our wholesale division was negative, very much impacted by the Sun business that was down double digits, while the obstacle parts of the business proved to be more resilient once again, and sales were slightly positive. From a channel mix standpoint, the independent channel was very much the channel sustaining top line on a wholesale division, in particular in France, as well as in the DAC region. From a retail perspective, we do see top-line declining in retail, but with the underlying trend that is very different between the brick-and-mortar that was negative and the e-commerce business that was solid positive. Just to give you an idea about the challenge that we have to face in Europe from a retail perspective, I will share with you a couple of data points. The retail footprint in St. Glastat ran on about 95% of stores opened at the end of the third quarter, in September. If we look at our store footprint between November and December, we were running in about 70% of store open during that period. Another data point to share with you is the number of trading hours. Sunglass Stop was operating in the month of November as well as December with a decrease of 30% of the trading hours. Salmeraghi Viganò, our optical retail chain with 25% decrease in trading hours during again the month of November and December where there was a larger impact of those restrictions. But now let's move to another continent, let's move east and let's touch Asia, Oceania and Africa. A top line here was negative 1%. And I would say I'm fairly pleased with that performance, because you might remember, in the third quarter, Asia was negative 8%. So we have a pretty solid and strong rebound during the fourth quarter. Mainland China, as well as Australia, were double-digit pace, while Hong Kong, India, Southeast Asia were more on the challenging territory due to the restriction for the COVID-19 outbreak. The lens business in Asia was solid positive, close to mid-single digits. Thanks to the Stellis lens, the Myopia management lens, after initial rollout and test, is now progressively rolling out through the ECP to our retail partners and also in our own retail network with very encouraging results. The sunglasses and reader division is solid positive during the course of the fourth quarter. The Boulogne brand was up double digits on the optical side of a business in both retail as well as wholesale, more challenging probably on the Sun side, also due to a different timing of collection shiftment between this year and last year due to a different timing of the Chinese New Year in 2021 versus 2020. From a wholesale perspective, we see and observe a widespread negative trend due to the COVID restrictions, but on the positive side, Our mainland China was up double digits on both optical as well as sun. From a retail perspective, our revenue in Asia were a solid positive, and I have a great story to share here today. That story is optical retail Australia, where our revenue were up on the double-digit territory during the course of the fourth quarter. I would say that very much all the stars were aligned here. We have positive traffic trend. We experienced favorable price mix. We improved our conversion thanks to an enhanced training of our associates in the stores, thanks to an enhanced assortment of lenses in partnership with Epsilor, and thanks to very favourable volume that very much provided an outstanding result during the course of the fourth quarter. Our optical business in mainland China was slightly positive while we were still challenged on a Hong Kong site due to the COVID restrictions. And honestly, I couldn't finish in a better way our journey throughout the different geographies without closing with Latin America. And I'm very pleased about this number. You see on the top of the page, 7% top line increase on the fourth quarter. But I'm even more pleased remembering where we came from. In the third quarter, you might remember, we commenced with revenue decline approximately 22% in Q3. And now we have a strong rebound on the high single-digit territory. All the divisions improved versus the third quarter trend in Latin America. From a country standpoint, Brazil, as well as Argentina, stood out with double-digit growth rate. Our last business was solid positive on the high single-digit territory. Pretty much all the key countries were positive here. Brazil, Chile, Mexico, Argentina. They were also supported by a limited amount of foreclosure, very much helped the business to get traction. From a branded lens standpoint, we're happy to see good results. Thanks to the solid transition business, there was solid positive in the fourth quarter. The virulence business was solid on the high single-digit territory, and both Chrysal and Aizen lenses were both double-digit in Q4. From a wholesale perspective, our performance was slightly negative in Q4, but with a strong rebound from a double-digit negative that we had in the third quarter. The key driver for the recovery in the wholesale side division of Latin America was Brazil. That is actually the biggest country in the region. Brazil was up on the high single digit, while Mexico was actually decelerating due to the father restriction that we experienced during the course of the fourth quarter. Last fashion retail, retail solid positive in Q4 with GMO that was up double digits despite the severe traffic decline in our retail division, we were able to sustain solid growth thanks to a solid conversion as well as solid price mix. Now, let me hand it over to David that will give us more color on our consolidated results. David, please.

speaker
David Hillemans
CFO, EssilorLuxottica

Thank you, Stefano, and good morning, everyone. So from a PNL and free cash flow perspective, 2020 has been a year with two very different profiles. As we know, H1 heavily impacted by the COVID and very solid H2 as we will see on the next slide. Overall, on the full year, the gross profit decreased from 62.6% to 58.9%. This is driven mostly by a lower level of fixed cost absorption due to the lower volumes we had, especially in H1. It is also due to two negative mixed effects. One is the Sun category underperforming the Optical category, as well as the Wholesale Chanel overperforming the Retail Chanel. Those two headwinds have been partially compensated by a good product mix on value-added lenses, by manufacturing efficiencies programs, and by procurement synergies. The OPEX are $771 million below 2019 at constant FX, in reality thanks to a combination of COVID-related measures as well as structural integration and restructuring activities. COVID-related actions, as we know, were, for instance, the furlough measures implemented starting Q2, the store lease negotiations, the reduction of discretionary costs like consulting, travel, etc. Non-essential marketing expenses have been cancelled or postponed in H1 during the peak of the crisis. However, H2 was almost back to 2019 level on marketing spend as key product launches and key customer programs have been maintained. In terms of structural measures, we have executed several organization and transformation projects in the fields of distribution, fleet service, and sales force organization. We have also actively worked on G&A rationalization and procurement initiatives. All this led to an adjusting operating profit of almost 1.4 billion euros, or 9.5% of the revenues, negatively impacted by foreign currency translation effects for 74 million euros. The cost of debt increased by 10 million compared to 2019, and this is directly due to the two bonds we issued in November 2019 and in May 2020. Then the income tax decrease of 258 million is logically driven by the lower profit and the ETR increase is due to the geographical mix of the earnings of the group. All that gives us an adjusted net profit lending at 700 88 million euros, or 5.5% of the revenues, which includes also 46 million negative ethics impacts. If we move to the next slide, just to illustrate what we mentioned, as said, H2 P&L has been very, very solid. Sales and adjusted operating profits were above last year at constant ethics. The gap on gross profit narrowed in H2 at 60.4% compared to 62% in 2019, Even if it was in a lower extent, H2 was still affected by the volume and mix effect I previously covered. OPEX stayed very low, 237 million below 2019 at current FX and about 150 million down at constant FX. This thanks again to the containment and the efficiency measure put in place and, most importantly, without compromising the investment needed to fuse the rebounds. In percentage of revenue, the adjusted operating profit landed at 15.2% or 15.4% at constant rate compared to 15.1% in H2 2019, so respectively 10 and 30 basis points above last year. The adjusted net profit decrease of 6.5% at constant rate is driven by the income tax rate increase versus 2019 as mentioned on the previous slide. If we move to the next slide, looking at liquidity and debt, as I said, the free cash flow generation has been very high in H2, leading to a full-year free cash flow at the same level as 2019. This good result is due to three main factors. A good profitability in H2, as we just looked at, a prioritization of capex along the year, and a material decrease of the working capital, driven on one side by a time management of inventory, receivable and payable, but also driven by some increase of bad debt and inventory reserve, as well as impacted by the translation effect impact. The net debt landed at 3 billion euros, which is 1 billion lower than the end of 2019. The financial capability of the company stays strong with 8.9 billion cash and short-term investments and 5.1 billion euros of unruly credit facilities at the end of 2020. A dividend of 1.08 euros per share will be proposed at the AGM in May. It will come on top of the interim dividend paid in December 2020, leading to a total dividend of €2.23 per share. This dividend will be a script dividend, so it could be served in cash or in company shares to the shareholders. I'm handing over to Paul.

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Thank you, David. Thank you, Stefano. I would like now to take you through our momentum in terms of integration, innovation, digitalization, and sustainability. Francesco Milleri and I, with a strong management team around us, lead and decide together with clear goals. First, we are building Essilon Luxottica. The integration of the two operating companies has accelerated during the year 2020, as you understood. Today, 28 work streams are active, generating both revenue and cost synergies. Revenue synergies first. We launched Ray-Ban Authentic, a complete pair combining Ray-Ban frames and Estee Lauder lens. First in Italy, in July, and now in North America. We deployed the new Essilor Luxottica 360 program, our new ECP partnership program covering all the products of the boat. And we leverage cross-selling opportunities with increased penetration of Essilor lands in Luxottica retail and increased penetration of Luxottica frames at vision source members and on Essilor's frames ring platform. We are also structuring our supply chain with new labs in Columbus and Dallas, the deployment of the key technology of the group in Luxottica Labs, creating an integrated network, and the implementation of complete pair integrated manufacturing capabilities, and more insourcing. And last, we are building our infrastructure by starting the deployment of the single IT platform under SAP throughout the group, and progressively integrating our back-office and our procurement capabilities. Innovation. Innovation is at the heart of Etilor Luxottica DNA and continues decisively in several key areas. Disrupting innovation in new categories such as myopia management, where we are building a portfolio of very promising technologies with telest and cyclotations. This is a segment with significant potential, particularly among children. We successfully launched in China in July, and as of February, our Chinese teams changed the lives of 1,000 children per day with Teleslam. We also are embarking electronic capabilities into our product with the upcoming Facebook Ray-Ban smart glasses or the exciting electrochromic capability. Second, improved eye exam with teleoptometry and the deployment of 1400 eye precision VR800 measuring instrument already. Third, we continue to launch new generation of products in our flagship brands. For instance, Values Comfort Max, launched in China in Q1, in Brazil later in this year. Crystal Rock in the U.S. and China in Q2. The new transition extractive in North America in Q3. And the whole Aizen platform, Aizen Start, Aizen Kids in LATAM in Q1. So a very rich portfolio of products going to market. digitalization we accelerated our digitalization of the business in significant ways as you understood first our e-commerce revenues grew 40 percent as we said to 1.2 billion and is margin accretive this was driven by brands dot com platform and infrastructure in parallel we enhanced The digitalization of our entire business from consumer to production. Starting with the consumer journey, it leverages in-store digital tools like Smart Shopper and Frame Advisor, as well as strong omni-channel and CRM with appointment booking system and drive-to-store models. The patient journey benefits from tele-optometry and digital measurements. In B2B, we are adding selling digital platforms like Red Carpet and the One Sales Suite, as well as digital services like Virtual Tryon, Smart Shopper, Digital Windows. And in operation, we digitalize our supply chain with our platform, stars, and frame dream, and with digital product rendering. Finally, we digitalize the way our company functions. both internally with digital processors throughout the group, operating 150,000 people organization, and even more importantly, externally. For instance, at Transition Pulse last month, early February, we had 10,000 customers connected around the world. 10,000 people from customers connected around the world. So a totally transformed way of interacting with our consumers and customers. Social impact and sustainability. With Francesco, we are building a civil luxury car with a deep culture of responsibility and a clear commitment to sustainability. We are very proud to have a natural, intrinsic, and inspiring people see more, be more, and live life to its fullest. It gives everyone at Estée Lauder Bibliotheca a solid sense of purpose. It drives all the dimensions of our business and organization. It strengthens the ties within our group and with our stakeholders, giving vision of both. For example, what we did with the FIA, with the United Nations of Tencent in China. Despite COVID, The company has created sustainable access to vision care for 420 million people in developing communities since 2013. Second, I want to say a word about sustainability. Both Essilor and Luxotica have deep sustainability anchorings. So we are now combining them in a common sustainability roadmap encompassing key topics. climate change related initiative, environmental impact, sustainable offering and a simplified, efficient and responsible supply chain. Last, we have strong human values covering topics ranging from human rights to diversity. and a strong employee shareholding culture with now, as I said earlier, 44% of our employees being shareholders in 80 countries of the group. This creates strong alignment with all stakeholders. To conclude, as a result of all these initiatives, the company's ambition is to generate a performance comparable to pre-pandemic levels at constant exchange rates. This takes into account the uncertainties around COVID-19, the momentum already visible in Asia-Pacific, and the hopes that vaccination campaigns will gradually normalize the business environment in other regions from the second quarter onwards. Etilo Luxottica is well positioned to help perform and transform the IKEA and eyewear industry. as you understood. Our integrated model has proven to be resilient and a great asset in the face of an unprecedented sanitary and economic crisis. So we look at 2021 and the years ahead with great confidence. Thanks a lot, and with this, I am happy that Stefano, David, and I will take now your questions. Operator, back to you.

speaker
Patrick
Conference Call Operator

Hi, this is your operator. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. Please ensure that your line remains unmuted locally. You will then be prompted when to ask your question. And our first question comes from the line of Cedric LeCaspel from Stiefel. Cedric, you are now unmuted. Please go ahead.

speaker
Cedric LeCaspel
Equity Research Analyst, Stifel

Thank you, Operator. Thank you for taking my questions. Good morning, Paul, Stefano, and David. I have three, if I may. So first one on your 21 outlook, just to be sure. Should we understand that you consider 2019 sales level, you deflate for negative FX impact, and you consider a similar operating margin? Is it the way we should read it? The second question. is on the synergies reached. You are mentioning adjusted amounts of synergies. What are the adjustments and what are the associated costs to reach these synergies? And the last one is a typical one. It's about current trading in January and February. Thank you very much.

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

So, Stefano, if you are okay, you want to take the one and two questions.

speaker
Stefano Grassi
Co-CFO, EssilorLuxottica

Yes, sure, absolutely, Paul. So from an outlook standpoint, again, we clearly stated that the company's ambition is to deliver a performance that is comparable to pre-pandemic 2019 level with the hope, and this is an important variable, that the vaccination campaign that we've seen accelerating and hope to accelerate in the second quarter will normalize the business environment around the world. So if we take 2019 as a reference point, broadly speaking, from a top line perspective, and if we get there on a content effect basis, this implies that from a profitability standpoint as a base case, we do expect a broadly similar profitability to 2019 on an adjusted basis, obviously on a content effects. The other question with respect to synergies. Well, our synergies are very much the one that we deliver on our adjusted operating and net results. We respect January, February trend. I don't know, Paul, do you want to take it?

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

No, no, keep going.

speaker
Stefano Grassi
Co-CFO, EssilorLuxottica

So, January, February started on track. I mean, we've seen... Certain trends to continue, so an optical business more resilient than some business. We see a strong delivery of our e-commerce. Clearly, we were also impacted by further restrictions that we've seen and observing in Europe. And we're obviously observing very close the performance of what we've seen in Latin America as well. But again, overall, GenFab very much on track with our expectation.

speaker
Cedric LeCaspel
Equity Research Analyst, Stifel

If I may, just a position on your synergies, would it be possible to have the landing point at the end of 2020, probably COVID on some revenue synergies, put some headwinds? So maybe a little below plan and 2020, but you maintain the 21 targets. What are the main drivers to meet these targets, if I may?

speaker
Stefano Grassi
Co-CFO, EssilorLuxottica

Yeah, I mean, let me say the synergy for 2020, where will we expect them to be? And they're very much in line with our trajectory to deliver the first milestone of our synergy delivery that you might remember was shared at the Capital Market Days with 350 million of NAT synergies delivered on the adjusted EBITDA by 2021. So we are exactly on track with that. The mix is slightly changer. We accelerated certain initiatives on which we believe we had more track and life. For example, the EL360 was very much a joint decision between Paul, Francesco, and the rest of the team in North America to very much accelerate on the synergy delivery offer commercial proposition. Certain other activities from a cost point of view were accelerated. We further expanded boosted our procurement activity on the length side. As a matter of fact, we have pretty much all the length assortment provided today in length crafters that is a length assortment from Essilor. You've seen as a farther penetration of static frames. We did the .com proposition in some of the absolute websites, for example. iBuyDirect.com is a perfect example. And those are some of the things in which we gave a further acceleration with very encouraging results, I would say.

speaker
Cedric LeCaspel
Equity Research Analyst, Stifel

Very useful. Thank you.

speaker
Patrick
Conference Call Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Anne-Laure Bismuth from HSBC. Anne-Laure, you are now unmuted. Please go ahead.

speaker
Anne-Laure Bismuth
Equity Research Analyst, HSBC

Yes, hi, good morning. It's Anne-Laure from HSBC. Many thanks for taking my question. Actually, most of my questions are around Celeste. I'm just wondering if you can give us an indication of how fast do you plan to roll out Celeste in China, and how do you plan to roll it out to China second tier cities so cities three or four tier cities because I assume that in the first phase it would be mostly two first tier cities and my last question is about the rollout of this product that slowed down the progression of myopia in Europe and in the US when do you plan to do that? Thank you very much

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Thank you, Anne-Laure. So maybe this is Paul, maybe I will take that one. So the myopia management is, as we already talked in some of those calls, is a major pandemic that we are addressing and with a totally new approach with new kind of lens technology. But this is a journey that started, we pioneered in the 80s already with some first myopia control lenses. So we've been learning and progressively going through one generation, two generations, three generations. And STELES is a fourth generation, very disruptive approach, as you understood. In China, the myops, today you have 700 million myops, of which kids of 5 to 19 years old Mayoki Kids, 120 million. So we have started by China, as you pointed, to launch this new technology in July. And we have started with hospitals and added to that optical stores. And you have to see that this is a journey where you really have a totally new way of distancing or following the children as they wear this kind of lenses, which are very easy to adapt to. But the children are going to wear from the age of three, four years old until being a teenager. And it does slow drastically myopia. We have seen 67% slowdown of myopia progression by the wearing of those lenses through our children that we follow in China. So today, we have been rolling out very rapidly to a thousand hospitals. going inland progressively, and a few thousand optical stores. But what is very important is to do the proper training, the proper dispensing, and the proper follow-up with the children. As we do that, we are learning a lot. We are launching in other countries like Singapore currently, and we will progressively launch in the metro markets, We are working on that. As you have seen, we have also decided to JV with Cooper Vision to acquire another technology platform providing similar effect of myopia slowdown. which is called Sideline Vision. So we have now a complementary technology portfolio that will roll out progressively in 2021-22. In the US, of course, very key milestone will be the FDA approval, which we are already working on. So that's in a short few minutes, a few words on the whole myopia topic, which is One of the very big opportunities and challenges and responsibilities we have to address this myopia phenomenon that will be concerning 50% of the population by 2050. So 4 to 5 billion people on Earth will be myops. Major challenge. Thank you, Anne-Laure.

speaker
Anne-Laure Bismuth
Equity Research Analyst, HSBC

Thank you very much.

speaker
Patrick
Conference Call Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Veronica W. from Goldman Sachs. Veronica, you are now unmuted. Please go ahead.

speaker
Veronica W.
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi. Good morning, Paul, Stefano, David. Thank you for taking my questions. I have three, please, if that's okay. One, I just want to follow up on the guidance comments that you have made. If I'm understanding you correctly, it sounds like January and February are already largely trending in line with COVID. And so I'm just kind of curious what concerns you have looking through to the rest of the year that explain the relative degree of cautiousness that's embedded within the guidance. And is this just you taking a view today given the amount of uncertainty that is out there, but fundamentally you feel pretty confident that the market will recover and return back to growth at some point in time this year? If you can talk to that, that would be very helpful. And sort of related to that, Clearly, the margins will achieve a fairly sizable number this year. I appreciate there's a lot of reinvestment into the business, but also in that context, if you can give some color around the margin being the same as 2019 in spite of the big step-up in synergies. So that's my first question. My second question is just on the comp growth in LensCrafters. Big acceleration and congratulations on that. It's great to see that. Do you think this is sustainable, and are you now happy with how the franchise and the banner is positioned and looking forward, feeling more confident about your ability to maintain this outperformance versus the market? And then my third question is if you can share an update on where we are with Grand Vision and your commitment to the transaction. That would be very helpful. Thank you, guys.

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Thank you very much. So, Stefano, maybe you can take the guidance one, maybe, and the lens crafter one, maybe David Margin and tell us if you are connected to the Grand Vision.

speaker
Stefano Grassi
Co-CFO, EssilorLuxottica

Sure, absolutely. Absolutely. Perfect, Paul. I'll go ahead. So, with respect to lens crafters, you know, we... We are pleased to see this trend, this underlying trend, despite some quite big challenges that we face in the United States during the course of a fourth quarter. Is that sustainable? I think that some of the work that we have done in recent times in landscape are going into the direction of not necessarily get better in one single quarter, but to really elevate the quality and the consumer experience in LensCrafters. One example that I mentioned before is the further announcement of the lens assortment. Another important example is the renovation of our LensCrafters store footprint, that in particular in 2021 is going to go through an unprecedented effort to very much elevate the quality of the store that we have in North America. So some of those investments are very much structural to ensure the sustainability of that trend. And obviously it's going to go beyond, you know, deceleration due to COVID restriction and other things. So this is something of which I believe we have a degree of confidence. The market environment is very competitive in North America. I must say that. There is a strong competition, especially in pricing. But what we're trying to do with Lanscrafter is, you know, kind of stand separately from that kind of competition and focusing more on the things that we believe make us stronger compared to the rest of the competition. With respect to GenFab trend, what could derail? You can clearly see that there is an independent variable here that is the virus situation. we clearly need to look at very closely the rollout of the vaccination campaign across the different countries. And obviously, we see that wherever there are, let me say, safe pockets, countries where there is people that are de-confined, there are very limited amount of cases, our business is solid, our business is doing well. Like Optical Australia, it's a perfect example. We see that every now and then we suffer some local closure, but then as soon as there is a de-confinement of the population, the business starts up again with very positive results. So we have that as an independent variable, obviously, that we observe very closely. But again, we have a high degree of confidence in the initiatives that we undertake, including the synergies one. So I pass it over to Pierluigi for the GVI question.

speaker
Pierluigi Borgnini
Head of M&A, EssilorLuxottica

Thank you, Stefano. On the GVI, there is not much we can add on top of what we already disclosed in our press release. We are actively working in order to obtain all the relevant authorization from the Anticross authorities, which are still pending. So we are working with the Chilean, Turkish, and European authority. As you know, the European authority is planned and expected to release an opinion by middle of April, so in one month from now. On the other side, we are also working on the legal proceeding, which are ongoing.

speaker
Veronica W.
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

And so just as a follow-up on the synergy side, just want to make sure that doesn't get lost, how the synergies flow through to the margin and why the margin is the same as 2019 in spite of the synergies step up.

speaker
David Hillemans
CFO, EssilorLuxottica

Yes, Veronica, I can try to answer your question. Yes, you have seen the H2 20 was very solid in terms of margin above 2019. The question is, should we expect that to continue and to have a 21 above 19 as well? I would say yes, with two caveats here. One is the ethics. So when we talk comparability to 2019, we have to also keep in mind that at constant ethics, the performance is good, but we are still having headwinds with the currency effect. And for the time being, we should expect that to continue in 2021. But at constant effects, we have put in place, H2 was driven, as I explained, by one of, I would say, measures that we put in place for the COVID, but also by all the structural initiatives we have taken on integration, on procurement. And that, we should obviously expect that to continue to analyze and even to increase as we just discussed on the 21. So there is no... reason not to reach the level of 2019 in profitability once the business normalizes. And when I say the business normalizes, it's very important because we know, for instance, that on the Sun activity, the Sun activity will get back to the normal level once the COVID situation will normalize. The Sun activity is very much linked to the travel, etc., as Stefano already covered. So the normalization of the business is key, but once that's done, we should be confident on the margin that the company is able to deliver.

speaker
Veronica W.
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Understood. Thank you, guys.

speaker
Patrick
Conference Call Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Graham Renwick from Berenberg. Graham, you are now unmuted. Please go ahead.

speaker
Graham Renwick
Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

Good morning all, thanks for taking my questions. I just have two things. Just firstly on the strong ASP driven growth you're seeing, it's something we're also seeing across the industry more broadly. To what extent do you think that's been driven by consumers trading up for high value products just because they do have more money to spend, they're not spending on holidays and leisure and things like that? Is there a risk that some of that ASP driven growth sort of reverses a little bit in 2021, or do you think that the ASP growth is largely structural and something you can build on in 2021? And then secondly, just as we emerge from the pandemic, is there anything in your 2019 CMD strategy that you think now needs to change or be realigned in this post-pandemic world, whether that be sort of areas you're focusing on more or any new opportunities that have emerged? And could we actually expect another strategic update after the new board is confirmed? Thank you.

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Okay. Thank you, Graham. Maybe I will take the first one. On the CMD, we will see. If we plan one, we have to discuss that with Francesco and our IR team. At some point, we certainly want to do an update and give you the way forward, but nothing planned at this point. And if I stand the CMD of September 19, I think some of the key levels that we walked you through at that time, which were innovation, which were digitalization, which were the whole integration synergies, the whole integration of the supply chain, leveraging both company supply chain. I think everything that we walked you through at that time and the ambition in terms of growth and profitability that actually Stefano at the time shared with you are still the right ones. Now, I think 2.20 has accelerated some of those trends namely digitalization, the need for good vision and all the innovation that we put forward for addressing this need for good vision has been reinforced. I'll come back to it on your question on the mix. And the work on integration and synergies, if anything, in 2020 has been accelerated and deepened, like we have been sharing with you, despite the very, very complex environment in which we have to operate. these programs actually the teams have done an amazing job at working on the work streams opening new work streams and delivering on them of course the most top line related one in the first half were less impacting but then in the second half they they the the top line synergies uh got to work so now i go to your question on on the mix and the consumer of trading Some of the key learnings of the second half is the way the need for good vision has been strong at the consumer level and that some of our key categories, like I talked about earlier, the blue protection, the ISN, despite the pandemic, those categories, those products have been growing throughout the entire year. They are in double-digit growth. So there is a real consciousness at the consumer level everywhere in the world that has increased because we are all living completely through a connected life. So the strain on the eye, the solicitation on the eye is very strong. Second, our customers' partition chains or our own stores have been extremely reactive to adapt the consumer experience in the store and to provide them with better products, more adapted products. So actually, we have seen a good behavior of the mix, clearly in the second half, in the rebound, in the restart. So I think that these trends are strongly anchored in the sales channel and in the consumer being more aware. So we should, and the product portfolio of innovation that we're putting to market is clearly well aligned with that. So this would be my two comments on the mix. I don't know if Stefano or David, you want to add some color on it.

speaker
Stefano Grassi
Co-CFO, EssilorLuxottica

No, that's all, Paul.

speaker
Graham Renwick
Equity Research Analyst, Berenberg

That's very helpful. Thank you very much.

speaker
Patrick
Conference Call Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Susie Tibaldi from UBS. Susie, you are now unmuted. Please go ahead.

speaker
Susie Tibaldi
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Hi, thanks for taking my question. I'll ask three, please. So one follow-up on the synergies. When you discuss about the benefit from the synergies, You're often also talking about how at the same time there is a strong need to reinvest and to continue to develop the industry. So from a more, let's say, practical point of view, when we think about it, does it mean that thanks to these synergies, These synergies will enable you to continue to invest and reinvest more and therefore keeping your level of profitability or also slightly increasing it. But if these synergies were not there, then the underlying margins would be a little bit under pressure. Is this the right way to think about it? Second question on the store footprint. You state that you expect the online growth trajectory to remain strong. So I would like to ask you if this is making you rethink your store footprint. And if so, if there is any specific region that you are looking at. And then thirdly, on the lenses side, more specifically, if we look historically, SLO has been quite acquisitive in nature. And now we know that the Bolton acquisition has slowed down, given other priorities. But if we think longer term, should we expect this Bolton again to contribute 3-4% per annum on the SLO side? Thank you.

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Thank you, Suzy. So, David, do you want to take the question on the synergies? Maybe Stefano on the store footprint? And I would say a word on the M&A SELO side, Bolton.

speaker
David Hillemans
CFO, EssilorLuxottica

Yes, sure. Good morning, Suzie. David, here I will answer on your question on the synergy. Yes, of course. Yes, the synergies are enabling the group to invest and to invest on the future and invest on the building of Estee Lauder Luxottica, which we have established. done in 2020 already in a large extent. So, yes, it does. We have many funds here, investment on our brands. We have an IT also quite robust IT roadmap so that we work on the converging systems. We have many things around the operation and the supply chain that Paul already mentioned. on the introduction. So yes, there are a lot of things that are already ongoing and in the pipe to build the company and the synergies are helping on that. Would we be able to do those investments if we don't achieve the synergies We strongly believe we will achieve the synergy, so that's not the question we have so far discussed under management. We are achieving, and we will strongly believe that we'll continue to do to reach our target, so we don't see any, I would say, problem ahead here.

speaker
Stefano Grassi
Co-CFO, EssilorLuxottica

On the store footprint, I mean, we believe that good stores very much have a reason for existing and very much have a reason to support our business, our products, frames and lenses and our initiatives. We have a process that is very well structured to reassess continuously our store portfolio, understanding profitability, reviewing store by store the performance And that is a very diligent process that we undertake periodically. As a result of that, we closed certain stores in 2020. And we will be closing stores if we believe that is appropriate to do. But we also believe, at the same time, that it's important to invest in stores to make it up to the latest and greatest technology. And that's exactly what we're doing in LensCrafters. That's what we've done in optical retail in Australia. And you've seen the great results coming from that investment. And that's what we have done in San Glacier as well. I mean, in recent times, we, just to give an example, invested quite heavily to roll out across all the San Glacier locations in North America. the frame advisory technology. Now it's available in more than a thousand location in North America. So we believe that those father digital enhancements in our retail footprint will really allow us to elevate the consumer experience throughout the future months and years.

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Thank you, Stefano. So on the M&A, You are right to remind us, Susie, that it has been a core element of the Bolton so-called M&A acquisition at Essidor. There is still and there is always, we are, don't forget, in a fragmented industry in all of its different components, whether it's the labs, whether it's the retail, whether it is the online, whether it is some technology companies. It's a very fragmented industry. And so the company, our conglomerate, Luxe Tica, is well positioned vis-à-vis this M&A opportunities. And actually, Charity was connected and who leads the M&A program for the group is constantly monitoring the pipeline of opportunity. That's what I can say on it. It's part of the model.

speaker
Susie Tibaldi
Equity Research Analyst, UBS

Thank you. That's helpful.

speaker
Patrick
Conference Call Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Peral Dadania from RBC Capital Markets. Peral, you are now unmuted. Please go ahead.

speaker
Piral Dadania
Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thank you. Good morning, everybody. Two from me, please. If I could perhaps just start with the 2021 guidance in relation to gross margins, do you see any reasons why your gross margin can't return to 2019 levels or even slightly higher given some of the positive mix effects that are helping the business particularly in relation to channel mix. And then the second one is just around, it's around sort of the synergies again, I'm sorry. I still don't feel like I've got a clear answer as to why you wouldn't have a higher margin in 2021 on a similar revenue number to 2019 with the benefit of synergies. To Susie's earlier question, is there underlying pressure in the operational business that is partly offsetting that or is the synergy delivery of 300 to 350 million that you're guiding for to the end of 21 mostly being reinvested into the business. Because if we look at the synergy targets or expectations, you know, at the time they were struck, you guided the market to 300 to 350 million of adjusted EBIT synergies between 2019 and 2021. When we're looking at 2021 numbers, the 2021 EBIT number is pretty much in line with 19, which means that none of it's actually visible. So any further clarification there would be very helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Thank you, Piral. So, David, you take the questions?

speaker
David Hillemans
CFO, EssilorLuxottica

Yes, I can start to answer Piral, and Stefano, just you can step in and complete. On the gross margin question, there are a few things. Yes, again, to my previous comment, we should expect to have the gross margin to come back at the 2019 Nobel. We are still having some headwinds in terms of mixed effect. I mentioned already that retail activity is still below the wholesale activity, and we know that retail activity is relative to the gross margin rate. And same effect with the mix of the business line. The sunglass activity is still not back at the level. So today, it's underperforming the optical segment. And we have higher margin on the sunglass activity. So we should expect those. I would say, to normalize and go away once the COVID will normalize, I would say, and those mixed effects should disappear. But right now, it's impossible for us to have certainty on the timing of the way the COVID will be... will be solved. So that's really the point. I would add maybe one thing, that right now we see an increase of the distribution cost on all markets, that all the industries are impacted by that. Though that also maybe the price on the distribution cost, freight in and freight out, will normalize as well when the COVID will stop. But for the time being, that will also have a slight impact on the gross profit. To your second point, again, why should we not target 2021 to be higher with the equivalent number of sales? Because we have some investment that I was touching on in the previous question. So at this point, the synergies which are long-term, long-term benefits for the company are also used for the group to invest on the short-term things we need to execute in order to build Lusotica and to put in place our efficiency programs. So 2021 will continue to be a year of investment from that perspective on several activities that I quickly comment with Susie's questions. So that's why I think we should not over-target the 21 gross margin objective.

speaker
Piral Dadania
Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, thank you. That's very clear. If I could maybe just follow up and ask in a slightly different context. By the end of 21, do you think that the balance between revenue and cost synergies relative to what you've guided will be similar, or do you expect sort of an over-proportionate contribution from perhaps cost relative to revenue given the difficult or challenging trading environment that we're all facing today?

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

I think on that question, Pierre, we always said that the synergy will be pretty balanced in between the top line and the cost synergies. And so I think that is still overall the ambition that we have. And actually, I'm pretty pleased to see the result that we have had despite the COVID on some of our top line synergies. So it's good news because cost synergies are more easy to clearly identify. Top-line synergies often are more potential. And I think our teams are doing a very good job. For example, I mentioned earlier the cross-selling. That's quite impressive. The new programs like EM360 has been deploying very fast in the West. So we have some, I think, good programs that will progressively accelerate, amplify themselves while we work on the cost program, the back office, the integration, the lab, the IT, the simplification of the overall structure of the Essilor Luxutica company around the strengths of Essilor and Luxutica. So I think overall it's a balance synergy program that is on track, where the teams, despite COVID, work very efficiently together. And so for Francesco and I, it's very encouraging to see that going on, despite the complex environment.

speaker
Piral Dadania
Equity Research Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay. Perfect. Thank you, Paul. Thank you, everyone.

speaker
Patrick
Conference Call Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Julien Dormois from Exzane. Julien, you are now unmuted. Please go ahead.

speaker
Julien Dormois
Equity Research Analyst, Exane

Hi, good morning, Paul, Stefano, and David. Thanks for taking my questions. I have three. One relates to the guidance, but just trying to extend the scope to the next few years. You had indicated that the capital markets day in September 19, that you were expecting the margin to grow let's say probably to the tune of 10 to 30 bits per annum, that was implied in your financial guidance. So does that target, is that target still valid despite the more complex environment that you just alluded to? So that would be question number one. Question number two, this time coming back on Grand Vision, it seems that you could get the antitrust approval from the European Commission in the coming days. So I'm just wondering what the next key milestones are when it comes to closing the transaction. And more specifically, in case you get an unfavorable ruling on the appeal in early April, could that lead you not to close the transaction before the deadline of July 31st? And then the last one is a follow-up on myopia management. I'm just trying to understand how this five-glass activity is complementary to STELEST. I'm not quite sure I understand why it is a complement and not competition to STELEST. And your friends at Cooper have indicated that their myopia management contact lens is meant to generate sales of approximately $50 million in 2022, and this is up going to several hundreds of millions beyond 2025. So do you believe there's any chance that Stellas or maybe SideGlass could reach similar levels of sales, which are obviously pretty impressive in a nascent field like this?

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Thank you, Julien. So maybe, Stefano, do you want to take the capital market?

speaker
Cedric LeCaspel
Equity Research Analyst, Stifel

Yeah, yeah, absolutely.

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Absolutely. Obviously, I'll take the myopia one, and Pierogi, I can make one or two comments on condition, or you take it as you prefer. But Stefano, to you.

speaker
Stefano Grassi
Co-CFO, EssilorLuxottica

Okay. So for the guidance, we are confirming our outlook from the top line, mid-single digits, as well as from our profitability impact. You might remember it's anywhere between 1 to 1.4 times top line growth. Jeff, do you want to take the GDI?

speaker
Pierluigi Borgnini
Head of M&A, EssilorLuxottica

Yeah, on GDI, as we said earlier on, we have three outstanding authorizations in the PIPE, one from the European Authority in mid-April and then in Turkey and in Chile, on which timeline is less clear, but we are working hard in order to get those approvals by the long-stop date. With respect to the appeal, it's early to say what's gonna happen next, but we have to, let's say we are waiting for the court of Amsterdam to rule on our appeal, and then there is obviously the outcome of the arbitration proceeding.

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Thank you, Pier Luigi. So on my opinion, just to try to make it simple, What is very important is to make sure that we have the key solution to successfully slow down the myopia development for children. And the two technologies of SideGlass and the one of Stelest are two different approaches to create that effect. One which is through the defocus and one which is through contrast reduction. And the way you put those two effects and you create them are two different approaches on the land. And we thought, and Norbert Gorny who heads all of our R&D and innovation, thought that this is very key that we have a portfolio of solutions. And that is what we do through SideGlass with Cooper's vision. The lens approach, the contact lens approach, and clearly to slow down myopia, the whole platform of wearing eyeglasses for children has a very, very large potential and is already quite developed actually in China. So we have not yet given any outside number on the the potential uh that we see for it but of course we we have uh it's a way to characterize it it's as important of a breakthrough as progressive lens where uh 60 years ago when it was invented it's creating a totally new category platform and way to address myopia on, as you saw, hundreds of millions of people, starting by children, that are concerned with it. But I will not give you, Julien, any numbers yet.

speaker
Julien Dormois
Equity Research Analyst, Exane

Thank you for that. I had to try. Thank you very much, guys. Have a good day.

speaker
Patrick
Conference Call Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Luca Solka from Bernstein. Luca, you are now unmuted. Please go ahead.

speaker
Luca Solca
Equity Research Analyst, Bernstein

Yes, good morning. I have a question on your breakeven point. If we look at the second half numbers, we see that while, if we look at the constant exchange rates, while the revenue was flat, operating expenses were down 4% more or less. Is that a sign that you have implemented structural actions to reduce your operating expenses and that, therefore, you would be looking at operating profit margin expansion going forward? And do I understand correctly from what Stefano was saying before, that that is indeed the new guidance looking forward three or five years? You know, never mind the synergies, which may be relevant for you internally, but when we look at the things from the outside, we would just be interested in the dynamic of the CBIT margin performance metric. I would also wonder if the LensCrafters retail network rationalization and the removal of install laboratories, for example, as well as the rationalization of the laboratories network are already included in the synergies that you exposed or whether they would come on top as they would take significantly longer time, I would expect. to achieve. And then a third question about some of the technologies that you were explaining and that would potentially open the opportunity to diagnose eyesight remotely. Could that open the door to fiercer competition from digital players? And would you have a strong enough innovation pipeline within the company for the next three to five years to stand out and differentiate against the price-focused competitors. Thank you very much indeed. Oh, maybe just a last one, if I may. When would you pay €400 million to HAL, you know, relating to the contract that you have signed in relation to the potential acquisition of Grand Vision. Thank you very much indeed. What would be the deadline?

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Thank you. Do you want, Stefano, to take the first two questions?

speaker
Stefano Grassi
Co-CFO, EssilorLuxottica

Yeah. Let me say, Luca, good morning. We have, we acted from 2020 with several lessons learned and I believe with few certainties. One of them is that we have a pretty good cost control in place across the organization. So our exiting velocity implies a very good round control of our cost base for our for the month to come. And obviously, we can resume investment as needed and as we believe are necessary to sustain our growth and top line, not only in the short term, but more in the structural way. So from a longer term, what we can expect to see is still what we share with you at the capital market date. So the leverage and improvement of the gross margin with a top line that is in the mid single digit territory. That is our goal. That is our guidance over the longer run. And I don't think we have a reason for now to change that. For the other question.

speaker
Pierluigi Borgnini
Head of M&A, EssilorLuxottica

On the 400 million, it's related to the closing by the long stop date. So the long stop date is at the end of July 21, so two years from the signing of the contract. If we're not going to be able to sign to close by that day, there is the payment of the obligation to pay the 400 million. Obviously, there are a number of which might delay that, but for the time being, we do not have any visibility. So the contractual obligation is due on end of July.

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Thank you, Kaviji. There was a question, Stefano, on whether or not the in-store lab rationalization at Landscrafter was included in the synergies, and the answer is no, it's not included. It's not a work stream. uh that's that's correct yeah not just to to correct id so on your on your technology question on remote refraction i think to help you get a bit the the differentiation or the the the way we're approaching it it's not just a matter of having the instruments or the teleoptometry or capabilities So definitely, Acer Luxe Tica has an instrument suite with some very innovative instruments as part of it. I mentioned one was the VR800 that we are deploying in our own store and outside. Then you have to have the full digital suite to, in the store, interconnect all the instruments with the practice and then to remotely operate them so you can have this telemedicine of teleoptometric capability. And we have our own software platforms and integrating platforms to do so. Then you need third to have, and that's a great asset, you need to be able to do that for your own store in our case, which gives us a great platform to test, to pilot, to operate, and also for our customers, our independent practice, our SEO expert partners, we give them access progressively to those technologies. So I think the group is uniquely positioned to have the instrument, the software capability in an open model so we can offer them to our customers as well as deploy them into our own store or for some of those capabilities in our online channel. And I think that is differentiating us in this problematic, which is quite complicated to manage. I think the size of the group, our omnichannel positioning, and the fact that we have internal capabilities does give us a very good position to address this new tele-optometry and transformation of the eye exam that is going on. I hope I verified a bit the matter. Yes, indeed.

speaker
Luca Solca
Equity Research Analyst, Bernstein

Thank you very much indeed, Paul. Thank you all.

speaker
Patrick
Conference Call Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Domenico Gilotti from Equita. Domenico, you are now unmuted. Please go ahead.

speaker
Domenico Gilotti
Equity Research Analyst, Equita SIM

Hi, good afternoon. Three very quick questions. The first is on the current trading. I'm trying to understand how do you see Q1 compared to Q4? So overall from your speech, the feeling is that it's a bit more impacted by the pandemic compared to Q4, but I wanted to add your comments. and on this topic. Second question, very briefly on the level of CapEx that we should expect and the key drivers for the CapEx. And well, last question is on the Facebook partnership. When should we expect to have some updates in terms of timing and product?

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

So Stefano, do you want to take the two first?

speaker
Stefano Grassi
Co-CFO, EssilorLuxottica

Yeah, yeah, absolutely. So with respect to first quarter trading, a couple of, you know, Domenico, sorts of concerns represented by, for example, Europe, right? We operated January and February with our Sanglassat footprint at 50% of stores that were operating, and some of them with a reduced number of trading hours. So that's clearly something that is probably more deteriorated than what we've seen at the end of last year. The other item, the other, let's say, regions that is a source of concern at this stage is Brazil. We are observing the situation of the biggest country for us in Latin America, and obviously the news that we get there are quite concerning. Conversely, on the positive side, We continue to see that e-commerce being very strong. Australia is continuing that trend. And obviously, we are observing very closely the evolution of vaccination campaign that has been started by the new U.S. president. And obviously, we very much look forward to see the results of that campaign. But as we stated before, this is kind of an independent variable that we're closely looking at. From a capital standpoint, expenditure standpoint. We're looking at carefully resuming CAPEX to what we had in the past as a percentage of revenues. We know that we're going to undertake important investment on manufacturing, on the lab manufacturing to very much rationalize our footprint there. We know that we are taking an important investment on the retail side to further enhance our retail footprint in particular in landscrafters with over 100 stores that are going to be remodeled just in the course of 2021. So we could expect if we exit progressively from the pandemic outbreak to resume furthermore our investment than what we've seen in 2020, for example. Paul, do you want to take the third one?

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Or you can take it as you prefer.

speaker
Stefano Grassi
Co-CFO, EssilorLuxottica

Yeah, we're not at the stage of resuming days for the Facebook. We are actively working on the partnership. And obviously, as soon as we are in a position to share a timeline on launching a market, we'll definitely do so.

speaker
Patrick
Conference Call Operator

Okay, thank you. Our next question comes from the line of James Grishnick from Jefferies. James, you are now unmuted. Please go ahead.

speaker
James Grishnick
Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Yeah, thank you. Good morning, everybody, and thanks for taking my questions. I have two. The first one is, so you've completed your SAP rollout in Italy. Can you perhaps illustrate how that will be rolled out globally, what the timetable for that looks like? Because I presume it's a big underpin to a chunk of the future synergies. And secondly, Paul, you talked to market share growth pretty much across platforms and categories, product categories. Can you perhaps give us more details on that? I'm particularly interested in perhaps market share performance by regions and products where performance has been strongest and weakest. Thank you.

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

So on the SAP, David, you take it.

speaker
David Hillemans
CFO, EssilorLuxottica

Yes, of course, I can answer. Good morning, James. On SAP, so we have, as you know, started the SAP rollout with Italy successfully this year. Then we have a global roadmap in place, putting in front of the roadmap, I would say, the key entities of the group in the US and in Europe to start with, but after rolling out I would say, on the next couple of three years, the overall company, but already a very, I would say, tense roadmap to start with on the clear vision of the group and the team, as we speak, actively working on it everywhere. So that is really definitely at the top priority list of the group for this year and the next.

speaker
James Grishnick
Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you, David. Can I just follow up on that? So basically a three-year program front-end load in the U.S., and the U.S. rollout itself will be how long, two years?

speaker
David Hillemans
CFO, EssilorLuxottica

We expect that to be shorter than two years. I won't go into details here, but we are implementing also in different steps so that we can move already very quickly all the transactional and P2P functionalities and then take a bit more time for the for the the controlling and the more i would say business related functions but overall it should be it should be a it should be a max of two years we expect to do better but already with already some some implementation done even this year thank you then your question james on market share gains is a is one that

speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

you have to look at the way the group is positioned. We are acting in a given market with many different channels, products, categories, capabilities. So when we say together with Stefano and David today to you, for example, that we have a strong performance in the U.S., it means that we have, through the different channels, we consider that we are overall gaining market share with independents, with our position in the online, where we have some very powerful platforms, whether they are the sunglass.com or redband.com or ibuydirect.com. So we act in the market with many different levels. If I take you to China, We have a very strong performance in our lens activity, but at the same time, our brand Bolon, which is active in optical frame and sunglasses, is now the largest sunglasses and optical frame actor in China, doing very well, mid-tier position. Australia, you heard from Stefano the very good performance of our retail activity. If I take you to France in 2020, we had a very good performance of our land business through the different subsidiaries that we have in France that have been extremely well addressing the French market in the recovery. So it's a large question and what we look at with Francesco and our team when we look at a given country is how do we develop the market in all of the different channels, product categories, and that we are, by gaining market share, whether it is in length, in frame, in optical frame, in retail, partnering with independent, or in the online, if there is an online channel already developed. So it's a multidimensional thing, and that is what is so unique about Estee Lauder Luxottica, if you look at us, is that in this industry, we are positioned in a totally unique way with unique assets.

speaker
James Grishnick
Equity Research Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you, Paul.

speaker
Patrick
Conference Call Operator

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speaker
Paul de Ceylon
Deputy CEO, EssilorLuxottica

Okay, thank you, Patrick. Well, thank you very much for being on the call today with us. Always a pleasure. I hope we gave you good color on the result of 2020 and on our confidence looking forward. We look forward to see you for the Q1 call, which is on the 6th of May, and where we will update you further on how is the business doing. Thanks a lot, and see you soon. Have a good day. Bye-bye.

speaker
Patrick
Conference Call Operator

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