Gestamp Automocion S A

Good evening and thank you very much for taking the time to attend the first quarter results of Gestamp. I am Ana Fuentes, the money and IR director. Before we begin, let me refer you to the disclaimer on slide number two of this presentation, which has been posted on our website and sets out the legal framework under which this presentation must be considered. The conference call will be led by our executive chairman, Mr. Francisco Rivera, and our CFO, Mr. Ignacio Mosquera. As usual, at the end of the conference call, we will open the floor for Q&A session. Now let me hand the call, let me hand the call over to our executive chair.

Good afternoon and thanks for attending our call. In Q1, 2026, the key highlights for us is in terms of revenues. We have a 2.8 billion revenues, which is flat compared with Q1, 2025, at effects constant and clearly outperforming the market. In this period, we had a solid EBITDA in this first quarter of 307 million euros, which is 10.8% margin in the quarter, which means 52 basic points better than Q1 2025. And of course, in this quarter also, keep on delivering on Phoenix Plan, which is clearly giving us the message that we are right on track, and even if the market in North America remains lower, Referring to the market, global vehicle manufacturing in Q1 has been weak, reaching 21.5 million units, which is 3.4% below volumes in Q1 2025, but similar to the volumes in Q1 2024. Even if vehicle manufacturing in this quarter has been reduced in North America and also in Western Europe by 2%, This quarter shows a very significant drop in China, of close to 10%, which is driven mainly by lower domestic sales in that market. This quarter, the stamp sales have outperformed the market by 2.3%, as far as the market in our footprint has gone down by 2.6%, while the stamp sales at the fixed cost stamp has been almost flat compared with Q1 2025. by different geographies in Europe. Our solid sales in Eastern Europe has offset and slight underperformance in Western Europe. We have done a slight outperformance in North America. In Mercosur, our sales have underperformed the market due to lower volumes in some of our projects. And in Asia, we have done better than the market which has been a little bit behind. If we go to slide number 7, in terms of our reported revenues in Q1 2026, we have reached 2,834 million euros, which means a decrease of 5% compared with Q1 2025. Most of this decrease is due to a negative forex impact of 137 million, which is due to the revaluation of euro versus our main currency in Q1 2026 versus Q1 2025. with a slight negative impact coming from the scrap prices, which is leading to this minus 0.3% organic growth in the quarter, despite clearly outperforming the market. Even if sales are down, and stand out of business profitability has increased. In fact, with 5% less sales in the quarter, our EBITDA margin has grown from 10.4% in Q1, 2025, to 11% in Q126. We have been able to achieve this improvement in a declining market due to an implementation of many flexibility and efficiency measures, and also thanks to the large improvement coming from the Phoenix Clan in North America. So following a positive quarter, we are now fully committed to achieve a full year 26 EBITDA margin of more than 11.9% in our auto business, which was the guidance that we provided some months ago. As already mentioned, we keep delivering on the Phoenix plan as a key priority for our staff. Even if the vehicle manufacturing volumes in this quarter, both in US and in Mexico, have been below expectations, the editor margin of our operations in North America has increased from 6.4% in Q125 to 7.1% in Q1, 2026. Each quarter, we are improving and consolidating a positive trend that is gonna lead us to achieve the commitment for full year 2026 of more than 10% EBITDA match. In the slide 10 of the scrap, following a negative trend in scrap prices during 2025, in Q1, 2026, scrap prices and mainly Europe, have increased. Comparing with Q4, 2025, the revenues of the stamp in Q1, 2026 has increased by close to 12%, and our EBIT margin has improved from 3.9% to 6.4%. We expect an increasing trend on the scrap prices during 2026, which should help scrap profitability for the year. And now with this, I hand it over to Ignacio Mosquera.

Thank you, Kako, and good evening to everyone. Moving on to slide 12. Let's have a closer look to our financial performance in the first quarter of 2026. We have reached revenues of $2,834,000,000, which entails a 5% decrease when compared to the $2,983,000,000 from Q1 2025. Revenues continue to be strongly impacted by forest impact in most of our geographies, while organic growth has been almost flat. In terms of EBITDA, we have generated $303 million in Q1, 2026, meaning a 10.7% margin. Excluding Phoenix Impact, EBITDA in absolute terms would amount to $307 million, therefore an EBITDA margin of 10.8%. We have achieved a margin expansion of 60 basis points, quarter on quarter, or 50 basis points excluding Phoenix Impact. Imported EBIT decreased by 5% year-on-year to $114 million, with an EBIT margin flat year-on-year of 4%, as a result of higher one-off amortizations in the period, which I will explain in the following slide. Net income in the quarter has been $49 million that compares to the $27 million reported in the first quarter of 2025, driven mostly by a strong EBITDA, one-off financial income, and lower exchange losses. As for free cash flow, we have a negative free cash flow generation in the quarter versus last year due to the normal seasonality and less factoring intensity. Net debt has closed the quarter in 1,977,000,000, reducing net debt in 242,000,000 compared to the first quarter of 2025. To sum up, we continue to demonstrate our ability to perform strongly and improve our profitability while retaining balance sheet discipline in difficult and market conditions. If we now move to slide 13, we will detail the one-off impacts that have led to a strong net income improvement. On a like-for-like basis, net income has improved by 62% year-on-year from 27 to 43 million euros. In addition, net income has experienced a total of positive 6 million one-offs, which entail a 15 million euro write-down linked to our electric vehicle programs, more than offset with a 23 million financial income accounting impact from the syndicated facility agreement amend and extend, which we announced in Q4 and have closed in Q1 2026. As a result, there is an 8 million positive impact, which results in a net of 6 million euros impact after tax. If we now move to slide number 14, we can see the performance by region on a year-on-year basis. Looking at each region in detail, revenues in Western Europe have decreased by 4% year-on-year in 2026 to around 1 billion. Performance in the region has been affected mainly by volume pressure in the period. In terms of EBITDA, it reached 98 million, and an EBITDA margin stood at 9.6% in the period, improving by 90 basis points from the 8.7 reported in 2025. Improvement in the period is derived from flexibility measures that we're applying, as well as one-off restructuring costs that we had in Q1 2025. In Eastern Europe, the performance in Q1 2026 has been very solid, proving again our strong positioning in the region. On a reported basis, during Q1 2026, revenues have decreased year-on-year by 2.8%, up to levels of $494 million, and the beta levels have decreased in $5 million to $75 million, in a context where the region has been strongly impacted by Forex this year. The beta margin stood at a solid top 15.2%, in line with the profitability reported for full year 2025 and being our strongest region. The profitability continues to reflect the project mix, highlighting the strong project ramp-ups in Turkey and the good evolution of the business in the remaining countries. In Europe overall, considering both regions as a whole, we continue to improve our profitability, partly due to the shift in the mix to Eastern Europe. In North America, Phoenix's plan continues to show signs of improvements in the underlying operations, with a good EBITDA margin evolution in Q1 2026, despite underlying end-market conditions and debt tax impact. Our revenues have decreased by 5.7% year-on-year, while EBITDA has increased by 4% if we exclude Phoenix's impact of 3.4 million in Q1, 2026. This higher EBITDA in absolute terms leads to an EBITDA margin of 7.1%, improving last year's profitability by 70 basis points. As you all know, turning around the operations in North America to improve our market position and profitability is at the top of our priorities, and these results set the path to achieve the target of a 10% margin by end of the year. In Mercosur, revenues have decreased by 4.4% due to customer and project needs. While EBITDA has increased by 13.4% year on year, leading to 11.5% EBITDA margin versus 9.6% last year. We have been able to improve profitability in 240 basis points thanks to the flexibility measures we're implementing in the region, as well as restructuring costs that we experienced in Q1 2025. In Asia, reported revenues have decreased by 9.5% year-on-year in Q1 2026 to 424 million, within a complex and very competitive market environment. However, our performance continues to evolve positively in these market conditions, being able to improve a slightly profitability year-on-year. Our approach continues to be focusing on premium products in the region, and we keep on working to gain positioning in this region, maintaining strong levels of profitability. Asia region remains a great opportunity for us, not only China, where we continue to develop high-value-added products, but also India, where we have undertaken new projects with a strong performance. Finally, Hescraft has seen revenues decreasing by 2.5% year-on-year to $157 million, as a result of a comparable relatively strong quarter in Q1 2025. The bid-time absolute terms have increased by $1 million, reaching $30 million in the period. As Pat explained earlier, improving market conditions show the path to achieve your end targets for the scrap. Overall, this quarter, we have seen once again that our unique business model and geographic diversification has supported and driven our performance in a period marked by volume volatility and lack of growth. Turning to slide 15, we see where we started 2026 with a net debt of $1,177,000,000. which is $156 million above the $1,821,000 reported in December 2025. This $156 million increase includes a dividend payment of $31 million and a positive $18 million impact of Forex in the quarter. The company has generated a negative free cash flow of $142 million, excluding extraordinary Phoenix costs in the first quarter. being negatively impacted by our traditional business seasonality and less factor in intensity. As mentioned in our Q4 results call this year, we have tried to achieve a group operating cash flow conversion of 35%. For Q1, the reported net rate is 33%. Therefore, reiterating our commitment to achieve the target at the end of the year. Moving to slide 16, we ended March 2025 with a net financial debt of $1 billion which implies a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.5 times. This is the lowest debt level and leverage radius since the IPO of the company for the first quarter of the year, showing our strong commitment to be on our 1 to 1.5 net debt to EBITDA target. Our priority is to preserve our financial strength, and we remain disciplined over leverage in absolute and relative terms. Finally, in slide 17, we show our dividend payment in 2026 against 2025 full year net income. A total of $0.08 per share will be distributed in two payments, an interim dividend that we have already paid in January 2026, and a complementary dividend approved at today's general shareholders meeting that will be paid next July. The standard maintains a clear shareholder remuneration policy within a stable dividend payout of 30% of reported net profit in line with the target that was announced on 2023 Capital Markets Day for the period 2023 to 2027. Our long-term strategy is focused on generating value for shareholders. Thank you all, and now I hand over the presentation to Paco for the outlook and final remarks.

Thank you, Nacho. So, moving to slide 19, for the auto market in 2026, we have just seen a downgrade from the volumes expected in the beginning of the year. Of course, the main reason behind this downgrade is the uncertainty created by the person-golf conflict, which fears around the potential supply chain problems and also around the potential problems around cost inflation damaging global demand. This current forecast could reverse, of course, like it happened last year after Deliberation Day, but it's the best estimate we have today. And now for 2026, the volume suspected is 91.4 million vehicles, which means minus 1.8% with respect to 2025 volumes. Again this year, with reductions in markets like Western Europe and North America, and for the first time in years, we suspected a very important decline in Asia, mainly due to China, as we have already seen in the first quarter. So far, for the stamp, we have not experienced a meaningful impact from the conflict on our results. However, we have prepared our resilience plans just in case things get worse. In case of potential supply chain disruptions, basically we have no suppliers, no suppliers coming from the area of conflict. Most of our purchasing are local, and in the case we have a limited exposure, we are already creating an alternative source and solutions. In the case of potential cost inflation, I think for us the most important input is the raw material, basically steel. So basically what we have here is the pass-through system, and also most of our purchasing for this year are already closed. In terms of volume and risk, it's still difficult to handle, but we have our flexibility plans in place, and of course open communication, open talks with customers in order to react as soon as possible. In this case, I think I will remain focused in everything which is under control and keep delivering in efficiency, trying to control our fixed costs, trying to keep on working in flexibility, trying to be able to right-size our operations and try to be able to have a clear evaluation of our capacities and of course, preserving our balance sheet. So with this, Regarding the guidance that we provided some months ago for 2026, we clearly reiterate our guidance for 2026. In terms of the margin of EBITDA, we are committed to have an EBITDA margin of more than 11.7% for the year 2026, and increasing also the margin in each of our businesses. In auto, we have an EBITDA margin of more than 11.9%, and in the case of scrap, we generate an EBITDA margin of more than 7.4%. In the case of the group operating cash flow conversion, we reiterate our commitment to have our conversion in around 35% range for the full year 2026. As far as we have seen that we are very close already in the first quarter, which is always the most difficult. So with this, that's to end up. My closing remarks is that we have had a solid start in 2026. So that is providing us a good visibility for the full year 26 around the guidance. In terms of earnings, clearly it's a priority. We are on track, and we have also a very good possibility to reach 10% EBITDA margin that we have also promised. And in the case of what could happen if anything gets worse, we are prepared to react if any unpredictable change in the market happens. So prepare, good visibility, and prepare to react. And with this now, I think now we are open to all your questions.

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the Q&A session. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star 5 on your telephone keypad. If you change your mind, please press star 5 again. Please ensure that your devices are muted locally before proceeding with your question. Our first question comes from Christoph Laskawi from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

Good evening. Thank you for taking my questions. You already highlighted that you didn't see material impact so far of the Middle East situation. I'm still interested if the call of volatility or the discussions with the customers have in any way changed a bit in tone or slightly in volumes in Q2 over Q1. And then what we see in the past from oil price shocks is that not necessarily there's a significant volume impact in the US, but there could be trade downs from bigger cars to smaller ones. Do you see this in the customer schedules and would it have any meaningful impact for you with current customer exposure? And then another question would be, obviously you're well hedged with regards to raw materials for 26, but could you just remind us again how the lag effect from spots to actually hitting the PML works and what the lag between the cost impact and then the pass on to the customers would be? And the last one you highlighted, obviously, that you are very cost-focused in the current environment, and you've shown in the past that in volatile times you can quite well flex the costs. Is there anything above the Phoenix plan which you are considering and the current situation actually might provide an opportunity to do more that would be appreciated too? Thank you.

Okay. Thank you for your questions. Starting with your first question around whether we see an additional further impact coming out from the conflict in the Gulf. So far, we are in close contact with all our customers, and we do see a kind of a big problem with them. It did not happen in the first quarter, and we are not expecting that to happen also in the second quarter. So right now, There is no issue right now for the volumes, for the Q2. And again, for the rest of the year, we have not seen any change in the EDIs coming out from the different customers. So, so far, quite stable. Everybody very much concerned, trying to have a lot of questions whether we have some potential suppliers for us, which could be in danger, but we have been already checking with them all the potential problems. So everything is more or less under control in terms of that. Let's see what happens with the volumes. You give a specific question around what could happen in the case of US. I think it's still very early to consider whether the impact coming out from the Gulf could be a structural topic or is going to be something which is going to affect several months. The decisions in order to buy new kind of cars are of course related to a kind of perception that that could be a structural topic. So we don't see today a big change on that, even though it's true that in the U.S. right now, for consumers, the increase of the prices of the oil is starting to be a real problem in terms of consumption. It could be that they could go for EVs. It could be that they would go for smaller SUVs or smaller cars. It's true that the Asian cars, Japanese and Koreans, have been very successful in the last months and years. So let's see what happens. So far, I have not seen a clear change, a structural change in the trend in terms of consumption in the U.S., Around raw material and special steel for us, I would say that we have in the market two different kinds of negotiations and prices. One is regarding the spot, which is not basically related to automotive, which is moving prices of spot prices every day. And these spot prices have been increasing a lot already for months. In the case of the automotive prices, we do negotiations and our customers do negotiations once a year. So basically what has happened this year is that it's been a slight increase compared with previous year. And in this case, what we have is a mechanism in place with our customers to do the pass-through. In some cases, it's a kind of automatic pass-through. It's a resale system. And in other cases, it's an agreement that we do. We do with most of our customers, and we do it always retroactively from the beginning of the year. And in the case of what kind of things we are doing more in terms of flexibility, as part of what we are doing already for Phoenix, I can tell you that we are doing a bunch of things, not only this year, but also previous years. In fact, as you could imagine, we have seen volumes in Europe going down already for months and years, and we have been able to preserve profitability, basically because we have implemented quite important flexibility measures in the different plants in Europe, not only in Europe, in other areas in the world.

Thanks, Alain. Ladies and gentlemen, please be reminded that if you'd like to ask a question, you must press star 5 on your telephone keypad. There are no further questions at this time. I will now hand it back to the management group. We do have a question. Our next question comes from Anthony Dick from Oddo VHF. Please go ahead.

Yes, hello, good evening. Thanks for letting me in. Just one on the raw materials topic also. I understand you've got a pretty good pass-through mechanism in place. However, you know, there's still some impact on the top line and maybe a bit of dilution on... the bottom line in terms of percentage margins. I mean, do you expect this to be significant at all at some point in the year? Did it already contribute in or have an effect in Q1? Just wanted to have your view on that one. Thank you.

Thank you for your question. Yes, we do have a mechanism of pass-through, but it's true that in terms of mathematics, it could be some kind, in fact, of in terms of pollution. But we are committed. We know that that is going to happen. We are already working on that, and we are going to be able to commit to all that we are intending to do in order to preserve our margins, even though this is going to be this kind of increase in terms of our revenues. So, yes, it's an impact, but it's not significant, and it's already considered in our commitments.

Okay, perfect. Thank you.

Good, thank you. Our next question comes from Robert Jackson from Banco Santander. Please go ahead.

Good evening, Michael. I just have a question regarding your thoughts on the numerous announcements which are being made related to the partnerships between European OEMs and US OEMs and even Chinese OEMs. So there's a lot of talk, a lot going on. So what do you think or what are the thoughts on how it can probably affect a stamp in the medium to longer term?

But it's still difficult to understand, Robert, what is going to happen. It's clear that the trend of some of the Japanese big OEMs is that they will expand globally, and in order to do so, the possibility to do just export and not to localize is, of course, not an option. So they are all intending to localize. And this is something, of course, that is happening with different employers in Europe, also the ones that we have seen announced in Spain and in other areas. And, of course, yeah, I'm referring to the Chinese, not the Japanese. And, of course, the market is a little bit more closed today in the U.S. for them. So they have been trying to do something in Mexico. But now we will have the USMCA, which is starting to be renegotiated now. So it's not going to be easy to see what is going to happen. But of course, the negotiations between Chinese OEMs and American OEMs should have a kind of impact. We still don't know what is going to be this impact. We see also these OEMs, these Chinese OEMs being very active for areas like Brazil. So everything is still moving. But so far today, in this first quarter, 2026, most of the manufacturing of the Chinese OEMs is happening right now in China. a little bit in some countries like Thailand, and very limited outside from China. So we are probably going to see very soon some localization in different areas, like for instance in Europe, but still we are waiting for that.

My second question is related to the increase in volumes in North America, so that 1% outperformance in North America. Are you starting to maybe increase your exposure to the U.S. OEMs?

Could that affect at all?

Well, it's a kind of mix of the different programs that we have over there. It's true that some programs, especially around combustion in the urban north, are doing well for us. It's true that there are some other programs, and basically some European, some of them are running not so bad and others are running bad. So it's a kind of mixed impact.

Okay. Thank you very much.

There are no further questions at this time. I will now hand it back to the management team. Go ahead.

So thank you very much for your time today. We hope the call has been useful. And for any further questions, you have the IR team at your disposal. And we wish you all a very good evening.

Thank you. Thank you very much.