7/26/2024

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the H1 Results 2024 Analyst Conference Call. I would like to remind you that all participants will be listened on in mode and the conference is being recorded. The presentation will be followed by a Q&A session. You can register for questions at any time by pressing star and 1 on your telephone. For operator assistance, please press star and 0. The conference must not be recorded for publication or broadcast. At this time, it's my pleasure to hand over to Veronica Andres, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

speaker
Veronika Engris
Head of Investor Relations, Hensoldt

Good afternoon, everybody, and welcome to Henshaw's H1 2024 results call, which we are holding at our ESG site in Fispenbrook today. Thank you for joining us. I'm Veronika Engris, Head of Investor Relations at Henshaw, and with me are our CEO, Oliver Dörbe, and our CFO, Christian Nadona. Oliver and Christian will guide you through this presentation today, which will be followed by Q&A sessions. And with that, I hand over to you, Oliver.

speaker
Oliver Dörbe
Chief Executive Officer, Hensoldt

Thank you very much, Veronika, and a cordial welcome from my side as well. I'm very excited to lead you into today's presentation after having passed the 100-day mark as CEO and the 200-day mark as a Hensoldtian two weeks ago. When I briefly summarize the first half year at Hensoldt, I can say with conviction that this company excels in many areas. My three key observations are firstly, our technology is really impressive. For example, we receive high praise from the air defenders in Ukraine, where our TML4D show outstanding detection, performance and high reliability. Secondly, the entire Hensol team is extremely motivated and determined to provide our customers with much needed capabilities. And thirdly, we enjoy A very solid support by our anchor shareholder, the German government, and our stakeholders in the political domain. To drive our company from great to excellent, I have already outlined my three focus areas for the medium term, operational excellence, digitalization, and internationalization, in our 3M call. We have defined clear and tangible action plans, which we are now implementing, with rigor. So let me outline a few of the measures we are putting in place. In operational excellence, we are focusing on delivery capability in both quantity and quality. We are taking care of the expansion and stabilization of the supply chain, initiating a transformation in engineering and optimizing our approach to bits and project management. Further synchronization of the ongoing transformational programs is another focus. We are also assessing our international presence with the intent to better align market potential and resource investment. Our clear goal is to do around 50% of our business in Germany, around 30% in Europe and with NATO partners and beyond that 20% in deliberately selected markets. We will also develop a consistent approach when it comes to sensitive countries and a standardized framework for export regulations, keeping the government-to-government agenda of the German ANCOR shareholder in mind. We are also developing a conscious focus on establishing our industrial presence internationally. A first step is an improved governance to better integrate our national entities, South Africa, France, and the UK. And last, but certainly not least, we will make sure that our portfolio will become smarter, more digital, and software-enabled. Connectivity, system-of-system architectures, networking, and AI are elements that will support the transformation of hands-on from a hardware-based to a software-defined provider of integrated sensor solutions. All these measures serve as a means to an end. and I will outline our path towards the Henselt 2.0 at the end of today's presentation. It was a very rewarding experience for me to meet some of you, our investors, at our US and Canada Roadshow in June. The most frequently asked question at all meetings addressed in defence is the defence spending in Germany. So let me give you some colour on this topic. The Special Fund introduced in 2022 mainly served as start-up financing for several important and strategic defence procurement projects. This trend now stabilises and is reflected in the mid-term budget planning of the German government. With a mix of budget increases, finance authorisations and the Special Fund, the German government has sent a clear signal for its commitment to spend 2% GDP for defence, reaching approximately 80 billion in 2028. And this commitment is underpinned by very concrete procurement plans, for example, the order of 20 additional Eurofighters that Chancellor Scholz announced at the Berlin Airshow, or two additional F-126 frigates that have recently approved by the Parliament, as well as 105 additional Leopard tanks also already approved by the Parliament. I mentioned this in our 3M analyst call, and I can only repeat, defence procurement in Germany is no longer a question of if, but how. Naturally, breaking up the long-established mechanics of the communalistic system take some time, and yet I am confident that we see a continuation of the current dynamics in German defence procurement. And let us not forget that the European market remains favourable as well. Clear shift against Europe. European NATO members plus Austria and Switzerland will spend an additional 700 to 800 billion Euro on defence by 2028. and 23 of the 32 NATO nations have reached the 2% GDP defense spend target this year. The Alliance reconfirmed its commitment to Ukraine and its recent summit in Washington, authorizing a $40 billion support package and pledging strongly for enhanced air defense capabilities in Ukraine. Let me now have a look at some business highlights. Order remained strong in the second quarter, driving our total order intake for the half-year 2024 to more than €1.3 billion and our order backlog to almost €6.6 billion. We reinforced our excellent position both in the ground-based and naval radar segment with orders for further TML-4Ds within the EFI initiative, SPEXA radar for Skyranger 30, self-propelled anti-aircraft gun and the additional two F126 frigates for the German Navy. ESG also contributed to our strong Q2 order intake with a contract for A400M material management worth €45 million. In the second half of this year, we expect further dynamics in the armoured vehicle segment, benefiting our optronics division. Our German customer is preparing to order Boxer infantry fighting vehicles that will be equipped with a Puma turret featuring Hensolt optronics and self-protection as well as also the already mentioned 105 additional Leopard 2 tanks, of course also featuring Hensolt digital optronics. The Eurofighter business once again proves to be a solid contributor to our order intake. with another capability enhancement of the Mark 1 contract worth almost 300 million Euro. ESG has very recently signed the already eighth installment of its contract to operate the Central German Armed Forces spare parts logistics at least at 2028 called Säbel. Talking about ESG, let's have a look at the status of the post-merger integration. I can make this quite short. The PMI is a resounding success and I see a lot of potential. We have achieved all day 100 milestones and will even advance the integration of central functions from end of the year to October 1st. It is important that our central functions form a strong supportive backbone for the new divisional setup that we communicated a few days ago. As mentioned, I see a huge potential in the integration of ESG and I'd like to have a quick look at the unique capabilities of ESG that will contribute strongly to our multi-domain solution offering. ESG supports the German Armed Forces helicopters from introduction into service to phase out, offering full product lifecycle support. The portfolio includes the CH-53, NH-90, Tiger, Sealing, Seaking and the future CH-47 Chinook. In 2023, Germany has ordered 60 CH-47F Chinook helicopters, which will form the heavy-lift rotorcraft backbone for the Bundeswehr from 27 onwards. In partnership with Boeing, ESG is in charge for several integration services, around these helicopters, guaranteeing their seamless integration into the infrastructure of the German Armed Forces. And let's not forget, this is only the first phase where a new platform is introduced into service with the Armed Forces. With a lifespan of at least 30 years for a platform like the Chinook or the F-35, system support and service business provide us with enormous potential and high visibility of revenues. The strong partnership of ESG with US primes like Boeing, Lockheed Martin is a strong asset for ESG and for Hensoldt, opening new business potential on different platforms. And with that, I hand over to Christian to guide us through the financials.

speaker
Christian Nadona
Chief Financial Officer, Hensoldt

Thank you very much, Oliver, and a very warm welcome also from my side. I'm happy to provide you now with our financials for the first six months of 2024. To begin with, I'm pleased with our financial performance. The first half year has been very strong and is totally in line with our expectations. As you know, we have successfully closed the acquisition of ESG beginning of April and I'm happy to report that ESG contributed as planned to our group performance. Group water intake developed strongly, with orders summing up to more than 1.3 billion Euro, an increase of 27%. As mentioned by Oliver, main drivers were the NBS air defense system, TLM4D and SPEXA radars, and as part of the European SkyShield Initiative, as well as our TRS-4D radars for the F-126 frigates. Also, ESG contributed strongly to our order book, for example, with the material management contract for the A400M. Overall, the distribution of incoming orders was again well balanced between our home market Germany and Europe. Revenue reached €849 million in H1, marking an increase of 17%. This development was driven by sensors and especially our TLM40 radar. ESG delivered as planned too, with a contribution of €82 million. The level of partial revenue further declined by 26%, resulting in an improved quality of revenue. With a figure close to €6.6 billion, our order backlog again reached a new record level in our history. This continues to provide us with an excellent business visibility. The strong performance of our top line is also reflected in our profitability. Adjusted EBITDA increased to €103 million, leading to an improvement of the adjusted EBITDA margin of 1% to 12.2%. Our core margin, excluding past revenues, further improved to 13.2%. The increase was driven by the accelerated production in our radar business, leading to further economies of scale. This was partly offset by investments in our growth and into our product portfolio of the optronics business. Adjusted EBIT also benefited from the increased volume and subbed up to €52 million with an adjusted EBIT margin of 6.1%, respectively 6.6% excluding pass-through business. This increase was partly offset by a hammer cessation of capitalized R&D expenses. Cash generation in the first half of 2024 was fully in line with our plan and following our usual CECL profile. With an adjusted free cash flow of minus 145 million euros. Despite the growing business volume, we were able to realize a year-on-year improvement. And as already teased in our last analyst call, we have received first repayments of our German custom in April and we expect more to come. To sum it up, our bottom line further increased and develops as planned. Let's now have a look at our segments. In the center segment, the strong momentum in order intake continued in the second quarter, with orders summing up to nearly €1.3 billion, exceeding the previous year's figures by 53%. Organically, the year-on-year increase amounted to 33%, driven by TLM4D and SPEXA radars within EFI, as well as our radars for the F126 free gates. As previously mentioned, the contribution from ESG was strong as well with €166 million, which corresponds to a book-to-bill of two times for ESG. Revenue in the sensor segment increased significantly by 23% to €745 million. And again, I want to highlight that due to the declining share of parcel revenue, core revenue increased even stronger by 16%. Key growth drivers were the accelerating dynamics in air defense and our strong baseline business. Revenue of ESG developers planned and contributed 82 million euros to group sales. The margin performance of the sensor segment was again excellent, with an increase in adjusted EBITDA of 36% to 117 million euros. The uplift in absolute margin of 150 basis points was driven by further economies of scale in our radar business, in particular for TLM4D and the decline of pass-through revenue. In the electronics segment, order intake developed in line with our expectations and amounted to €139 million. As a reminder, previously included major contracts for armoured vehicles, as well as for periscopes and optical mask systems for the Norwegian ULA-class submarines. In terms of order intake, we expect to put several key orders for the Leopard and Boxer RCT-30 in the second half of the year, as outlined by Oliver. Sales came at €108 million. Main revenue drivers were ground-based systems business and high-precision optics FSM in Germany. This was offset by the South African entity where we are currently conducting a technology change and a realignment of its market strategy. Adjusted EBITDA electronics summed up to minus 15 million Euro. This development was driven by lower volumes in the South African entity. Let us be clear. We are not yet there where we wanted to be. We have a strong backlog and further orders are expected to come. Nevertheless, in terms of execution we have to improve And therefore, we have full management attention on that. First, we are running a monthly COCO with the Optronics Leadership Team to monitor the progress closely. Second, we are in close communication with our OEMs and the end customer to align on development and production plans. And third, we lay the foundations with our investment in the digitalization of the products, as well as internal logistics and site for further ramp-ups. We now see first movements in the right direction and I will give you some color on this, now backed with concrete facts and figures. We are building the basis for transforming the record order backlog of 900 million Euro into sustainable growth. The production plans are set up, approved and closely monitored. On this slide you can see the planned increase in production units in our ground-based systems business in Germany for this year. And these are only three examples of many. As mentioned, the business is already growing year on year per H1. However, the seasonal profile is rather weighted to the second half of the year, where we will see accelerating growth of the German business. For the full year, we expect a double-digit production increase of our land vehicle size, as well as for the M1 Abrams Laser Rangefinder. And as you can see in the middle chart, We will also produce and deliver the first batch of our see-through armor system to our launching customer, KNDS, for the remote control howitzer. With the initial integration, we are equipping our first customer with this revolutionary sensor solution, which provides a 360-degree situator awareness picture for every crew member inside the vehicle. My key message on this slide is, Our existing order book, paired with the current ramp-up of our production capacity in Germany, give us visibility and thus a high competence in the business development. And on top of that, the move to the new electronics side in Oberkochen early next year will further support and accelerate the growth from 2025 onwards. Let's now have a brief look at our NetDev development. Reflecting the partial funding of the ESG acquisition by new debt of €450 million, net leverage increased to 2.8 times in H1 2024 as expected. Excluding the new debt for the acquisition, net leverage would be at 1.5 times. This shows that we are operationally on track and that we will further the leverage to around 2 times by year end 2024 as outlined in our guidance. Let me now come to our guidance for 2024, including the contribution of ESG, as introduced in April. First and foremost, we are fully on track to meet our targets and therefore confirm our guidance for this year, as well as our guidance for the mid-term for all KPIs. For 2024, we expect a book to build between 1.1 and 1.2, revenue to grow around 2.3 billion euro, And please be reminded with a continued stronger growth in core revenue and a smaller share in pass-through sales than in years before. Adjusted EBITDA margin before pass-through between 18 to 19 times. And let it be more specific in this regard. We expect the margin to be at the mid to upper end of the guidance range. For adjusted free cash flow, we see a cash conversion of around 50%. net leverage at a level of two times, and dividend payout ratio between 30% to 40% of adjusted net income. Coming to a conclusion, let me mention the following key financial takeaways. Our impressive order intake of over 1.3 billion euro leads to an order backlog at an all-time record level of 6.6 billion. This provides us with an excellent revenue visibility for the years to come. Our efficient project execution supports our excellent profitability. We have received first prepayments from our German customer in April and there will be more to come. The integration of ESG is fully on track and we are very pleased with the contribution to our group performance. Therefore, we confirm our guidance for all our KPIs as explained with adjusted APTA margins before pass-through expected to be at the mid to upper end of our guidance range. Our outlook remains promising and we are strongly positioned for the upcoming growth. We expect further major contracts to be booked in H2 2024 as explained. We have set a strong basis in good visibility in optronics to execute the order book. And last but not least, all planned synergies for 2024 with ESG have been confirmed. This and the large scale increase of defense budgets globally will generate long-term sustainable growth for Hensel. Thank you very much and I will now hand back to Oliver to give an update how we move forward to Hensel 2.0.

speaker
Oliver Dörbe
Chief Executive Officer, Hensoldt

Thanks Christian. Dear audience, I mentioned in my introduction that my three mid-term priorities are first stepping stones in a comprehensive strategic and organizational transformation that will safeguard and prepare our future towards the Hensolt 2.0. The mid-term priorities lay the foundation for us to deliver capabilities at our customers fast and at scale and develop modular cost-effective products and more integrated and software-defined solutions. Together with our leadership team, we decided to use the addition of ESG to the Hensolt family as an opportunity to also evolve our divisional setup. In the future, we will have four divisions focused on our different types of businesses, radar, optronics, multi-domain solutions and services and training. Our core product divisions, radar and optronics, will bundle our entire product business, including electromagnetic warfare, and continue to focus on developing innovative defense electronic products and drive synergies through optimized cross-project operations. The services and training division will mainly maintain its current structure for stability and growth beyond maintenance, repair and overall. For example, including training and simulation as well as new service business models. we will create a new division to scale solution capabilities as the growth engine, the new growth engine for our company. This clearly signals to our customers the required separation of our product and the manufacturer and platform independent solution business. This multi-domain solutions division will be a docking point for our customers who think across domains And we will combine the strength of our spectrum dominance and airborne solutions with ESG. All in all, the changes and challenges in our business environment are nothing but fundamental. And we have launched a project under the name of NorthStar to develop a vision for Hensoldt beyond 2030 to support our next strategy cycle. As the name suggests, Northstar will guide us in an increasingly volatile market environment and will prepare us for the next steps in European consolidation that we will continue to actively drive from a position of strength. Dear ladies and gentlemen, our customers expect us to remain reliable partners delivering much needed capabilities. Our political stakeholders expect us to become an even stronger player in the dynamic European defence and security landscape and the capital market expects us to continue and even accelerate our growth. I am confident that the steps I have outlined today will serve as a transformational roadmap for a trip from which we will all emerge even stronger, more agile and better equipped to face these diverse challenges and sees the manifold and huge opportunities ahead. Thank you very much for your attention. We will now gladly take your questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

We now begin the question and answer session. Anyone wish to ask a question may press star and 1 on their telephone. You will later on to confirm that you have entered the queue. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and 2. Anyone with a question may press star and 1 at this time. The first question is from Ross Lowe with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ross Lowe
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi, afternoon, everyone, and thanks for taking my questions. A couple for me, please. The first, just on the German defense budget assumption and your confidence in that base budget going from around 50 to 80 over the medium term. And then secondly, on orders, you flagged some key orders in the pipeline for the second half worth almost $700 million. What's the progress on these? And are awards likely to be front or back-end loaded this year? And then lastly, on optronics, you provided some information about issues in South Africa. Can you just give some more color around what the facility does exactly and what these issues have been? Thank you.

speaker
Oliver Dörbe
Chief Executive Officer, Hensoldt

Okay, thanks, Rox. Of course, glad to answer. So we will share the answers. Let me start with the German defense budget. So as a matter of fact, as I showed on the slide, I think we're pretty confident going forward because first, we definitely see that until 2027, where still the extraordinary budget is phasing in, we are on the level of 2% GDP. And coming back to many engagements I have currently with politicians, I'm absolutely confident, as I said before, that it's not about the if, that we will then switch to sustaining these level of 70 to 80 million over the time. What makes me confident, and I think that is actually what is also resonating with you, is first of all, We see and that is given also my long experience in the German market that is really a paradigm shift. We see that recently the German parliament has approved new programs and they're about to run for 100 decisions this year where we don't see actually the budget lines in the plan but they are willing to really feed the demand that is clearly articulated from the Minister of Defence on behalf of all the stakeholders of the Bundeswehr. So the clear evidence is the F-126 additional two frigates, which we hadn't planned for this year, but which now came up, also with the option deadlines running out. Second evidence is the Eurofighter, which is not yet in the Parliament, but with a clear commitment of Chancellor Scholz at the ILA exhibition to buy 20 additional one. And we have more coming up as far as the vehicles are concerned. And I will come to that with regards to your questions on the orders. The second topic that fuses my confidence is that, of course, many of the programs that we address, I mean, talking air defense, talking the vehicles for the German armed forces, are clearly priorities where I would say the main direction has been set with some of the programs looking at NNBS in Germany, where we have more batches to come in the next years. So, I mean, there's no way back on these ones. As a matter of fact, the customer said A, so we will have to say B, C, D as well. So, in that regard, I think the decisions that have been taken entering prioritized into air defense, into vehicles, with regards to ship submarines, that the decisions that were taken in the past are normative also on the midterm to walk the talk they are doing. And last is what we should not forget probably, and I introduced that, our clear ambition of internationalization. So we have concluded phase one of our internationalization midterm priority initiative. Entering phase two now, where also we are more systematically, with an account management, shifting focus to Europe, also selling B2B, B2C, and secondly, have selected targets in global campaigns where we look for a strong alignment, looking at Singapore, looking at India, looking at the Middle East, looking at Taiwan, for example, where we can secure from the beginning, in line with G2G agendas, that export issues will not be the case in these ones. So that's my take on the question one, looking more on the orders. So coming to the land market very clearly, we are in very close discussions with KMDS and of course also Rheinmetall But, I mean, looking at Leopard, looking at Puma, what I've outlined, the infantry fighting vehicles, we definitely see the 105 Leopards as the first instance. We have the next to come, the Puma Boxer, where we're pretty advanced approaching the decision-making. We have additional batch of Puma, where we have aligned already the schedule of deliveries. We aligned on the specifications. We have taken, which of course we see, our initial preparations in the team on the operational excellence, and I'm pretty sure that in the second half, and that is the progress, the maturity of the discussions, we will have the orders coming in, and probably with that also some first cash milestones, advanced payments. And same applies for the C. We recently heard on the orders submarines, Minister Petouras demanding four additional submarines. We have pretty mature discussions now where we leverage on a good relation of ESG, looking at the F-127, where we expect also decisions this year, early next year, where hand soils with the support of ESG could play a major role. And last but not least, also on cyber, maturing, progressing on our deliveries on the Pegasus program. We have started also with a backup, and that started at ILA exhibition as well, together with the chief of the Air Force, looking at G2G agendas, and we have three customers identified, where with one of them we're already in the RFI stage. So that means also we see that we can multiply the Pegasus on the midterms.

speaker
Christian Nadona
Chief Financial Officer, Hensoldt

Yeah, last but not least, Ross, thank you for a question. So first, maybe in terms of structure, we have to understand when you take the electronics segment, it's 80% Germany and 20% South Africa. And in South Africa, we currently see two topics. We have a technology change, so the gimbal technology changes in a generation. That means we cannot now do some revenues until the gimbal is fully developed. And the second one, and we've wrote it and commented, we are currently re-aligning market strategy. That means we are much more thoroughly than the years before in which countries we export the gimbals, and this is how it behaves in South Africa. Nevertheless, I have to say, when you look at the H1 business and the Optronics German business, and this is a clear driver, and Oliver was mentioning the orders which have come in, they relate to Optronics Germany. We see now the first growth and going forward with 80% of German electronics business, we will see growth from a segment point of view.

speaker
Ross Lowe
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thanks very much both right there.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Carly Ranso of Paris with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Carly Ranso
Analyst, Bank of America

hey guys good afternoon and thanks for taking my questions i actually have two if i may um the first one um on cash flow and pdp so how should we think about pdps from germany in the second half of the year um and then the second one if you could please remind us the growth outlook for esg and the mid 10 margin profile thank you

speaker
Christian Nadona
Chief Financial Officer, Hensoldt

Hello, Carlos. So, first of all, cash flow second half. So, you know that in H1, we are at the deepest level of our cash. So, we have guided for 50% cash conversion. So, this is quite good in line. So, and we expect, of course, more advanced payment. There should be in a region of we have seen in H1. So, this continues. But with that, of course, we invest further in working capital to prepare now for the orders we have done. So the conversion of the profit into the cash is in the range of the guidance. So this is well going. ESG for this year, we see 300 million for nine months. That means that with the 82, with also a very strong Q4, very good in line. And going forward, we see these 10% on ESG quite similar to our organic business. And when then you recalculate from nine months to 12 months and plus the 10%, we see next year around 400, which we have guided also for next year. So this is on a very good track and well in shape.

speaker
Carly Ranso
Analyst, Bank of America

Perfect. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Eric Poulin with Kepler Chevron. Please go ahead.

speaker
Eric Poulin
Analyst, Kepler Chevron

Yeah, good afternoon. I just wanted to go back on the German budget initial question and your forecast for 2025, which suggests slight increase compared to the $80 billion. And I suppose in early July, there were a series of articles suggesting that the budget could be cut, especially the Ukraine part of it, the $8 billion could be cut by half. I just wanted to have your take on that and is there some offset that you see that were not necessarily put in the draft budget? And indeed, if the Ukraine help is cut, what would be the consequence for the radar business in particular and the margin? Is there a sensitivity analysis you could give for this type of scenario? That would be the first question. And the second question, I think you gave the sales number for ESG, but you didn't give the EBDA contribution for the quarter. Would it be possible to have that? And looking at the new structure, the four divisions that you plan to have, When do you think you'll be able to provide a pro forma? And indeed, what benefits should we assume from this new structure? Is it a commercial clarity benefit? Are there some specific costs to add to build this type of new infrastructure? Just clarify the rationale for the new division plan. Thank you.

speaker
Christian Nadona
Chief Financial Officer, Hensoldt

So first question. Hello, I'm Rick. First question on the budget. So we have outlined next year 2025. We still see the 8 billion for Ukraine military support. And when you look at page four, the four are then coming from Germany and the rest of the four shall be funded by the EU or the G7. There were also some discussions on that, that it would be funded from the frozen funds of Russia. So this, we still see the 8 billion as quite stable, and I do not see now any impact on air defense. This is still vital, and I also expect further batches from the Ukraine in this regard. With that, we are on a good track with the margin. You have seen it now. Last year, we did around 19.9%. We are now one percentage ahead, and this is why we're quite confident that we are at the mid to upper a range of the guidance. So this develops further and we will see how this outlines. So the contribution of ESG for one quarter was nine million euro EBITDA. So this was fairly in line with our margin. Normally you see around 14% EBITDA margin. So this is how you should model the ESG business. And last but not least, I think I've understood it right that you asked if the new divisional structure will have some additional costs, but this is not the case. It's just how we approach the markets and how we organize ourselves internally in order to create value out of the multi-domain solution, what is mainly also customer-driven with the new focus also on these topics.

speaker
Eric Poulin
Analyst, Kepler Chevron

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Saj Tuzavid, Agency Partners. Please go ahead.

speaker
Saj Tuzavid
Analyst, Agency Partners

Thank you very much indeed. Good afternoon. Really a follow-up to Emeric's question, I think. I don't think I quite understand the new divisional structure and specifically the multi-domain part of it. Should we expect a program like Pegasus to be in this and so separate it out from the core radar business?

speaker
Oliver Dörbe
Chief Executive Officer, Hensoldt

Okay, maybe this is Oliver speaking again, and great to have you here, Sascha. I will give you a bit more insight on the new divisional setup, and then Christian will focus a bit more on the reporting segments and all of that. So, yes, indeed, as you rightfully say, the multi-domain solutions division, I would say, at that stage, and please, maybe as an upfront disclaimer, we're in the middle of sorting that out. That is rather giving the guidelines or guardrails for the future setup and we actually have kicked that off with our senior leadership meeting which took place one week ago. We're working now with the division head as very clearly this new setup is following three priorities. First thing is looking at our customers to be closer linked and looking at B2B, B2C customers to have a clear match. And as I outlined already, that is, of course, also reflecting the request of some of the partners of ESG, also growing in solutions where we have to have a stronger interdependency, independency, sorry, between the product and the solution business. So customer is one thing. Second thing is, of course, the business. And that has, again, two elements, business continuity. Of course, we want to sustain the strong business that we have today. But we also want to open the door strategically to develop the business and agilely answer the dynamics that we see on the market. And last, of course, I mean, looking bottom line, it's also about cost efficiency. And that are the guiding principles together with this four divisional framework. setup that we have shared with our experts and we are running that exercise now with the top leadership team in the next week with the ambition to rather start in that direction in next year. So coming back to multi-domain solutions, as you rightfully said, there will be, I would say, two sub-pillars in that. One is really looking at the customer where we want to leverage on the very strong conceptual and also system integration-wise capability that we have with ESG in the land, in the air, in the sea, in the cyber and the space domain. So that is also the divisional in our nomenclature, it will be rather the business unit structure that ESG has today. And that is what we want to bring in the ESG business units with all their know-how into Ensold. That is what we have in this one pillar, a very customer-oriented structure where we look at solutions in the domains. And of course, there will be a bracket around that. Also, how do we work multi-domain to get the understanding to interconnect with all the products that we deliver for the various domains. And indeed, as you say, there will be a second pillar where we would bundle our large programs together with some transversal elements that we have today, which we will further cultivate on airworthiness, on cyber, on cloud and IT technologies and all of that. So that we kind of encapsulate that know-how in a very strong structure with, of course, operational mindset on one hand, but also the conceptual and customer mindset in order to deliver solutions in the future effectively.

speaker
Christian Nadona
Chief Financial Officer, Hensoldt

Yeah. Hello. First of all, no question on the reporting. So currently we have two segments and you know, the electronic segments, we were discussing about that. And in the census segment, we have today the radar business and the S-DAS business, spectrum dominance, where Pegasus is a part of it and the respective service. And ESG is now part of the census segment. So going forward for this year, we will not change anything on the segments. With the discussions, what Oliver has outlined, we will also do a review regarding segments, technology-wise, and if we do an adaption. For the time being, it will stay constant, so Pegasus as well as ESG will be part of the census segment. If there are any changes, we will inform end of this early next year, if there is a change.

speaker
Saj Tuzavid
Analyst, Agency Partners

Great. Thank you very much indeed.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Christophe Menard with Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Christophe Menard
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Yes, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my question. I had actually, I think, two left. The first one is on the operating leverage in sensors, I was positively surprised by the good margin performance. And the incremental margin or the, I think we call it the drop-through margin, on your new business is 27%. Is it something that is only deriving from TRML 4D? And what does it correspond to? I mean, you're not finished in the ramp up. So should we expect more of that operating leverage? That's the question. And what is the impact on the midterm guidance? And the second question is on the optronics. I mean, thanks for the detail, the color you provided about the rising volumes. Does it mean that those electronic systems, you actually build them when you deliver them? Or is there any progress payment? Because H1 was actually not great in terms of sales. So should we expect just a bump in revenues as you deliver them? Because you're going to build them as you deliver them. Thank you.

speaker
Christian Nadona
Chief Financial Officer, Hensoldt

Hi, Christophe. Thanks for the question. So in terms of operating leverage, yeah. It's nice when we surprise you in terms of profitability. So I have to say we are good on track in this regard. And it's also, it remains mainly on air defense and also in GLM4D, but also in SPEX and other products in this regard where we see good margins and we are on a very good track in this regard. So, but you also know that Q4 is our heaviest quarter and we will see how this develops, but I'm very confident that we do a good margin also this year. Going forward, there is potential. We discussed it already several times. For the time being, I stay with that because, and Oliver has outlined that we are a high technology company. I can only reinforce this day by day. We have to take thoroughly investments in order to cope with this high technology and stay at the edge. But in terms of operating leverage, we see going forward, of course, opportunities. Let's see how we reinvest this and what is the impact on the market. In terms of Optronics, yeah, you're right. The revenue is strongly connected to the deliveries. The deliveries now will ramp up in the second half here. So it's Q4 is also here the business is Q4 loaded because in terms of deliveries, also the customer is still very focused on Q4. And with that, we will see a growth in Q4, especially in the electronics German business. And this will offset then the reductions of Africa.

speaker
Christophe Menard
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Simon Keller with HAAB. Please go ahead.

speaker
Simon Keller
Analyst, HAAB

Hi, everyone. Thanks for taking my questions. I have two, and they are both on the air defense industry. area firstly in the news i read that there are a couple of trms for these orders pending in h2 for example by lithuania but i think also switzerland and austria seem to be likely candidates yet you did not put them on the expected order slide for h2 am i wrong in assuming that they are likely to come or is there any other reason and secondly on the spexar or skyranger opportunity I was wondering, is your radar always implemented on the platform or what's the likelihood that the customer chooses your radar? And maybe can you give some mid-term potential like you did in the last calls for the TRML4D, i.e. how many customers are expected to choose the SpecStar radar and also how many would they then need? Thank you.

speaker
Oliver Dörbe
Chief Executive Officer, Hensoldt

Okay, as a former air defender, Simon, I will try to answer your questions. This is Oliver speaking again. So first on the TML4D, I think as we had clearly outlined in the introduction, we have today the German customer, of course, with NNBS, where now after the developments we have major batches coming in. And, of course, based on also the first batch, which is rather dedicated to surveillance, part of an urgent operational requirement, we also see more possibilities. Then we have Ukraine, as you also know. And, yes, indeed, currently we see that the first customers are moving in on the SE. So this is Latvia, it's Slovenia, it's Romania we're discussing, Estonia. Indeed, also Switzerland has started a tender on a new air defense system, which is, I would rather say, orientating in the sense of ESSI. And despite that there is competition out there on the market, I'm proud to claim that our radar is the only one really, despite probably U.S. technology, European radar in strong operations day by day, also looking at the quantities we have contracted and deployed to Ukraine. And in that regard, I'm really confident, and I explained that in one of the previous calls, that we see only in the medium segment a rather 2 billion potential to be addressed. We are currently doing the math on our future planning. where we more detailed as now the various nations are dropping in. We had many discussions at Euro Satori, at Berlin Airshow, where now we are consolidating this picture and see it moving in. And a very clear reference for our confidence is also that we are continuing, despite that we have increased from three radars to 15, we are continuing to put efforts and how could we scale? also strong discussion with UK, which also raised a strong interest in the medium segment on TML4D, and I think that's just a couple of nations where we are in mature discussions, and on top of that, I think it's a market that is just about to open. Second question on SPEXA, here at least on the first part, this is linked to the vehicle, and as a matter of fact, as time to market is very decisive today, and we're pretty advanced on the Sky Ranger, integrating it with Rheinmetall, we saw also in the recent orders that we have announced in the presentation, that yes, there has been a discussion, would we choose the Henshort radar, or are there other options? but when it came to looking at integration risks at time to market, the Hensolt radar was a natural choice because it's very well integrated in the conceptual setup that we see today, and that is what we want to leverage on. In order to secure that for the future, we have, I would say, a very advanced concept that we can have a full antenna, half antenna, a quarter antenna, so that also with that looking at different vehicles, different setups, We are very flexible to integrate our SPEXA technology into this short-range air defense environment, which I think is a very unique and strong selling point going forward. And for the last part of the question, I'm sorry, I can't give an answer at that time, but we will keep that topic and probably address it also to Ada.

speaker
Simon Keller
Analyst, HAAB

Great. That's helpful. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Jan Derokles with Oddo BHF. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jan Derokles
Analyst, Oddo BHF

Yeah, good afternoon, everyone. So maybe three left. One, maybe on your priority internationalization, because if we analyze your order book, we do not have the full details, but I believe that Europe and Germany account for more than 80% of the total order book. I wanted to know whether M&A will be in the future the focus, I would say, to improve the non-European position. So you are targeting 20% of your turnover mid-term, and I was wondering if M&A was the option to improve this part of your business. Then a question on ESE, can you remind me when the earn out will be paid and what are the main underlying assumptions for this 55 million euros payment? And maybe the last one for Oliver, we've seen that Leonardo was, I would say, talking with about an alliance in land armaments. And I was wondering if this initiative was changing anything in your relationship with Leonardo Enna and Cingolani. Thank you.

speaker
Oliver Dörbe
Chief Executive Officer, Hensoldt

Okay, so let me take the first one, internationalization, also to put a little bit more meat to the bone. Indeed, you rightfully described the dependencies, I would call it, and its positive dependencies. on the German and probably Europe now with ESSI moving in as I have explained that indeed also ESG now with a very high part of the business being related to Germany. I think with Germany we are at roughly two-thirds almost 70% of our business today and the majority of the business despite a couple of customers globally is then in Europe. So when I introduce in my presentation the 50-30-20, that is, of course, a kind of guidance, which I would see on the midterm, also to guide my international business development team, which so far successfully, but so far has been acting rather opportunistic. So how do we want to do that going forward? I think first thing is more focus. So part of the internationalization initiative that we're also doing with a consultant at the moment is to provide, I would call it a clear matrix where we outline to our teams what are the countries that we want to address and what are the solutions that we want to address which again so far has been very opportunistic and I think if we apply more focus and that is somebody who has been quite successfully, I would quote and claim a VP Sales and Marketing in Thales for five years. I think it's all about focus, really tailoring your efforts, which will help us in the very strong pipeline. As a matter of fact, we just had our order intake review, the first initial kickoff two days ago. And I think if we really focus on our strength and the strong leads that we have, we will be far more successful than only diluting across a manifold, a multitude of customers. Second thing is looking at the how do we sell. And I think also coming from Thales but also with Frequentis before and working a lot in sales and business development, I was very much used to account management. And here is it really about strategic accounts where we go B to C, where we would rather systematically sell and interfacing between a central sales force and divisional sales leads, which naturally have to be with the product and the solutions. But I think to bring more efficiency in that cycle and a clear strategy leading our activities will not only give us efficiency, but also help us to be more successful. And talking key accounts, I think... As a product house with two divisions and strong product business today and still core business of products in the future, it's more important to systematically address the OEM, selling B2B. And I think here we can do better addressing shipyards. I think with the vehicle manufacturers, Rheinmetall, KMW have been mentioned, KNDS. where also general dynamics. So many of them, we have good relations, but I think we can more institutionalize those relations to bring the scale to the sales of our products, especially as also on the product portfolio with Quadom. You saw our recent success in UK. We are also entering new products, cost performance, not only addressing the high end where definitely we can sell by volume, if we really systematically develop our channels. And last but not least, yes, indeed, once we have recovered our leverage and everything, it remains that technology and internationalization remain our criteria for M&A.

speaker
Christian Nadona
Chief Financial Officer, Hensoldt

Hello, Jan. Your question on earn-out. So there will be a second earn-out component. It relates to the order intake of the ESG business 2024 and will then be paid if they reach a certain amount of orders by 2025 as opposed to the first quarter.

speaker
Oliver Dörbe
Chief Executive Officer, Hensoldt

So on the last question, I mean, very clearly, it's probably too early to state. We're following the media and definitely, I mean, considering that Leonardo is our shareholder, but also a very good partner since many years, you know, Eurofighter, all of that. We are, of course, in close contact, close relation. As a matter I can say, I had a good alignment with the management a couple of days ago. So we are, and I think I have stated that in one of the previous calls, We are continuously evaluating what could be the cooperation because it's my true belief, and I said that we want to actively steer the European consolidation. So it's my true belief that consolidation should be a means to an end. So it's all about cooperation, bringing Europe closer, bringing standardization on the market, making it more modular. And in that regard, I mean, looking at more than 100 tanks that will be delivered to Italy, which are now, of course, driven by Rheinmetall, let's make sure, as we're the incumbent and the major technology provider for the Leopards, that we also engage with Leonardo, again, as a shareholder, our strong partner, to make sure that we support Leonardo in bringing the best tanks to Italy. And that is the discussions we're having, of course, not concluded. That is very clearly to say at that stage as a disclaimer.

speaker
Jan Derokles
Analyst, Oddo BHF

Very clear. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Christian Kors with Warburg Research. Please go ahead.

speaker
Christian Kors
Analyst, Warburg Research

Yes, hello. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. You're striving for an organizational transformation. You are in the midst of a major integration task with ESG. You are wrapping up your business and preparing for future growth. And then your COO resigns a couple of weeks ago, and I assume that the COO is the key management position in the operational phase you are currently in. So this, of course, can be a coincidence, but I think it also raises questions, and I think it also needs to be addressed. And again, maybe you can shed some light on that. Thank you.

speaker
Oliver Dörbe
Chief Executive Officer, Hensoldt

Yes, of course, Christian. So, first of all, and maybe just to repeat what I explained on the divisional setup. So, the organizational transformation and the ESG integration is, I would say, a seamless transformation that we're doing at the moment. So that is actually why we're doing it. So I would not see, I would say, separate building lines for that. Second part of your question was, how does that interfere with the operational excellence with scaling our business in quantity and quality? And again, also here, I would say, It is a means to an end. I mean, the operational transformation that we are doing is actually to catalyze many of the efforts that the team before I joined Hensol took with Hensol Go, which we kind of put in a broader framework now, and we're running that in the direction. So coming back to the COO, I think we put a press release on this one, so I would just refrain from entering those speculations which were also in the media that these things are together. Maybe it's just worth to note that the COO position that Celia Pelas took was newly funded. So that means the interaction, as you say, your concern that now putting this function out could put a threat to the system in the sense of discontinuation is not the case because it was newly funded. We're running a couple of activities in operational excellence which I think will initiate also on my behalf and I can just assure you that especially with a very strong alignment between me and Christian, we will sustain these efforts that are ongoing and I don't see any disruption on the case. It's rather a personal decision of Celia looking and we have full and great respect of her achievements within Hensort, the successes really that the Hensort as we see today takes her handwriting in many cases as she was the the chief strategy officer, chief sales officer. But again, now a new setup, a very highly motivated team, which we could see at our recent sales leadership team. And I think a very united board here. So in that regard, no worries. We walk the talk. We run our way. And I definitely think in line with the guidance we have provided, Henshaw will continue on the success street.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Okay, thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question. I would now like to turn the conference over to Veronica Enders for any closing remarks.

speaker
Veronika Engris
Head of Investor Relations, Hensoldt

Thank you all for listening today. As always, should you have any further questions, the IR team is happy to follow up. And with that, have a lovely weekend. Thank you and goodbye.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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