8/8/2024

speaker
Therese Skurdal
Communication Director & Moderator

Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today, and welcome to Kongsberg Automotive's Q2 2024 earnings call. My name is Therese Skurdal, Communication Director, and I will be the moderator for today's session. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that you can raise questions in the webcast tool. Joining us today as presenters are President and CEO Linda Nykvist-Evenru and CFO Christian Johansson. On the right hand side of the slide, you will see the topics that they will present today. Now I will give the word over to our president and CEO Linda Nykvist Evenru. So Linda, please begin when you are ready.

speaker
Linda Nykvist-Evenru
President and CEO

Thank you, Therese. And good morning and once again, welcome to this Q2 earnings call. Christian and I will take you through our Q2 results. So let's move to the next slide and the executive summary. I am happy to report improved results in the currently challenging automotive market. Even though the result of Q2 2023 was impacted by negative one-time effects, our efforts to reduce the cost base in both manufacturing as well as administration are yielding positive results. The improvement in our operational KPIs compared to last year is also encouraging. I attribute our success to the efforts of our employees who are committed to delivering quality products to our customers and working together to better position KA as a competitive company. So if we take a closer look at some of the key numbers, starting with EBIT, in Q2 it amounted to 6.4 million euros, an improvement of 18.9 million euro versus negative 12.5 million euro last year. despite declining volumes due to the challenging market environment. Our revenues in Q2 came in 15.2 million euro lower than Q2 last year, and ended at 209.3 million euros. A reduction equal to 6.8%, driven primarily by the declining commercial vehicle market in Europe, partially mitigated by the solid growth in the commercial vehicle market in the Americas. In addition, last year's revenue was boosted by program ramp up and post-COVID effects still impacting our customer base, such as supply chain issues and maintained high backlog levels at their side. This situation has improved since last year and first half this year is reflecting a more normalized situation within both the commercial vehicle segment as well as the European markets. Despite the challenging market conditions, our book-to-bill increased to a record high of 2.1. New business wins in the quarter amounted to 695 million euros, totaling 1.1 billion euros in the first half year, compared to a total of 369 million euros in first half of 2023. Free cash flow was negative 4.4 million euros in the quarter, Having adjusted for accelerated payments of outstanding interest on the old Euro bond, free cash flow was positive in the second quarter. We continue to have a strong focus on delivering positive free cash flow for the full year. We are delivering on the cost optimization program that we launched in 2023. These sustainable cost savings are valuable contributions in the presently weaker market situation. And at the end of the second quarter of 2024, net interest bearing debt amounted to 116.5 million euros, an increase of 16.3 million euro compared to year-end 2023. This is primarily driven by the negative free cash flow in Q1 and the payment for interest on all bond notes accelerated in Q2 this year. Christian will come back more on this as well as on leverage ratio later on in the presentation. Moving on to the next slide, you can see the numbers reflected on the previous slide linked to core and non-core business, as well as the development over the past quarters. As already highlighted, our core business revenues in Q2 last year represented exceptionally high revenues in Europe, driven by programme ramp-up, as well as post-COVID and supply chain effects. While Q2 this year is representing a more normalised level. All in all, comparing year over year, we increased our operating profitability on our lower revenue. The non-core business declined in terms of year over year revenues, a result of the program slowdown addressed in our Q4 earnings call back in March this year. EBIT for our non-core business amounted to €0.9 million, an improvement year-over-year of €13.6 million, benefiting from one-time effects as well as the impaired assets and onerous contracts provisions of 2023. So let's take a look into the business areas, starting with the drive control systems. We can see a revenue reduction of €10.3 million compared to Q2 last year. Once again, first half last year represented exceptionally high revenues related to the commercial vehicle market and the European region. Additionally, our off-highway business was impacted by the softening in the market. The impact of declining volumes was offset by operational improvements in variable costs and other operational costs, as well as a favourable product mix and lower warranty expenses than in Q2 last year. New business wins amounted to 624.5 million euros of lifetime revenues for DCS in the second quarter. And this was driven by one major win for a gear control unit that was announced on April 26th. And I will share some more details in a few minutes. Moving on to the business area flow control systems. Q2 ended up with revenues of 79.7 million euros, meaning 0.6 million euros higher year-over-year. As mentioned a couple of times already, the strong sales related to commercial vehicle market and the European region in first half 2023 also had a positive impact on the FCS business last year. This is the background for the decline in the coupling's revenues of 2 million euros comparing year-over-year. EBIT came in on 5.3 million euro or 6.6%. And last year's Q2 EBIT was positively impacted by the one-time customer reimbursement, while the operational improvements in Q2 this year were partially offset by unfavorable product mix. New business wins amounted to 70.3 million euro of lifetime revenues for FCS in the second quarter. And the main driver of this result was a large contract with a global power technology manufacturer for several technical hose assemblies used with coolant fuel and oil transfer applications. So if you move on to the next slide and our new business wins chapter, starting with book to bill. As I mentioned in the start of this call, our book to bill increased to a record high level in Q2, reaching a level of 2.1. And new business wins in the quarter amounted to 695 million euros, totaling then the 1.1 billion euro I mentioned in the first half of this year. And that in comparison with first half last year, that resulted in 369 million euros. This confirms the improved guidance from our Q1 reporting back in May of new business wins above 1.2 billion euros or above 1.2 in book to bill for the full year. We have announced several significant contracts now in 2024, confirming that we are progressing well and that we continue to build a strong base for KA's future growth with new customer programs coming into production. We have a sizable and secured order book, including 85% of our anticipated revenues in 2026, already booked or awarded, and 70% of 2028 anticipated revenues. Let's move into the next slide to see how the wins are divided per segment and per area. So on the left-hand side, you can see the lifetime revenues already mentioned per business area amounted to an all-time high total lifetime revenue of 695 million euros. As you can see from the illustration on the right-hand side, more than 90% of the booked business in Q2 is linked to commercial vehicles. Within the industrial segment, their awards include new products such as Ultipure and Ultiflex, and their awards are shared regionally between North America and EMEA. Our agriculture and construction and new growth markets won close to 22 million euros in the quarter. A great start to 2024, with significant wins across all our segments, with the most dominant market area being the truck, trailer, bus and coach markets, which, as we have stated previously, is of major strategic importance and a clear priority for us. And before we move into the market update, I would like to put some light on a couple of announcements that we have made throughout Q2. And the first one we reported on April 26th. a major contract extension worth €523 million in estimated lifetime revenues for our Gear Control Unit or GCU with integrated clutch actuator. The GCU is a valve-based device designed for manual transmission trucks, allowing them to be driven as an automatic transmission truck if desired. And this innovative technology enhances operator convenience by eliminating the needs to switch gears while preserving the fuel efficiency, typically of a manual transmission. And we have been producing the GCU product for over seven years, and the contract renewal is awarded by a major global manufacturer of transmissions for heavy-duty trucks. And this five-year contract is a continuation of our existing business that will extend until 2028. Our plants in Nuevo Laredo, Mexico, and Wuxi, China, will produce and deliver the products. The GCU with integrated clutch actuation is a world-class product that allows for easy service with rapid and precise clutch actuation. Securing such a significant contract for us and this extension is the ideal building block for the ambitions that we have within the actuation area, and it confirms our competitive position in both North America as well as in Asia. The second highlight from our Q2 New Business Wins reporting is a new contract worth over 55 million euros of lifetime revenues for our Dog Clutch Actuator, or DCA. The DCA is developed by KA, and it's designed for gear shifting and decoupling applications for multi-speed transmissions, either electric axles or central drive for hybrid battery electric and fuel cell vehicle applications. And it's ranging from passenger cars to heavy-duty commercial vehicles. The production for this five-year contract starts in 2025 with our Wuxi China plant producing and supplying the product to one of the leading original equipment manufacturers based in China for electric commercial vehicle markets. And KA's DCA represents the future of gear shifting technology tailored to a wide range of electric vehicles, as well as light and heavy-duty vehicles, providing technical benefits and lifetime value for our customers. So, moving into the chapter market update, where we start with a well-known page describing how the global production for both commercial vehicles and passenger cars is developing. And as you can see, the global commercial vehicle market is showing a growth development year-over-year of 2.4%, including China, driven by higher production volumes in China as well as in South America. If we exclude China, the year-over-year development is turning negative to minus 2.7%, driven by the reductions in Europe as well as in North America. And this is per my previous comments. If we take the first half of this year, commercial vehicle production outside of China lowered by around 4% versus last year. Comparing 2024 with full year 2023, we see a negative development, both including and excluding China, and once again driven by the negative development in Europe and North America, as well as in the APAC without China. The global passenger car production shows a slight positive of 0.5% year over year, including China, while excluding China is resulting in the same negative minus 2.7% as we saw for commercial vehicles. Main drivers for the decline are the negative trends in Europe, South America and APAC without China. While China and North America is contributing with an increase, though not enough to offset the negatives. And comparing the full year, we see a negative production development, both including and excluding China. For completeness, we are also including a market forecast. And from the more long-range perspective, we see moderate to strong market growth in the commercial vehicle segment. The LMC June 2024 report indicate a growth rate of 19%, including China, for the timeframe 2024 to 2028. Excluding China for the same time frame, it indicates plus 15%. In terms of the global passenger car market, we see a low to modest market growth. IHS June 2024 report indicate a global production growth of 7%, including China, for the same time frame, 2024 to 2028. And 6% growth if we would exclude China for the same time frame. Looking into the Q2 performance within the different segments and regions, we can see that we have outperformed the growth in the commercial vehicle market in the Americas, mainly due to the sales growth of our clutch actuation systems and gear shift systems. In China, we have the continuous ramp up of the new customer programs related to gear shift systems, though reduction in sales linked to our couplings products resulted in an overall sales reduction of 0.8 million euro year over year. As already mentioned a couple of times, Europe sales was relatively low also in Q2, driven by the exceptionally high sales in first half 2023 related to program ramp-up and post-COVID effects still impacting our customer base. Our sales to the passenger vehicle market declined in Q2, in line with the negative performance of the market itself and our declining non-core business. However, revenues in the Americas remained stable year over year, while the market in this region shrank with 0.6%. And this was driven by increased revenues in North America related to our FCS business. Moving on to the next page and the development of the global market situation within the automotive industry. As reflected also in the subtitle, we see further improvements in the supply markets, Labour cost is related to increases in best-cost countries, such as Mexico, coming from a low base. Energy prices are flattering and have been stable over the last quarters. Raw materials, such as steel, copper and aluminium, have shown an increased price trend driven by the geopolitical risks. In terms of our customer demands, it is worthwhile to reiterate that we have limited ability to influence the short-term demand, and we are highly dependent on our larger customer programs. We see a reduction in customer demands for the second half of this year, both in Europe as well as in North America. North America being impacted by the election uncertainty dampening the demand. And with that, we conclude the executive summary. And I leave the word over to you, Christian, to take the team through their financial updates.

speaker
Christian Johansson
CFO

Thank you, Linda. First of all, it's a pleasure to be in this call. I'm the CFO of Kongsberg Automotive Group since two months. Before that, I've, during more than 30 years, worked in international companies in the industrial and automotive sphere. in different managerial roles, including several CFO roles, among them as CFO in Volvo Trucks and Group CFO in SKF, both companies operating in the automotive industry. My previous relation to Kongsberg Automotive is in the first hand for my Volvo Trucks years, where KA is a very important supplier with a long history. So I'm really happy for the opportunity to join Linda's team. Next slide, please. So revenues by quarter, you've already heard about our sales development, and revenues in the second quarter was 209.3 million euro, a decline by 15.2 million versus last year, a reduction in percentage by 6.8. Sales in commercial vehicle market was 108.9, a decline by 8.5 million euro, 7.3% versus last year. And you've heard that Europe revenues declined, By 10 million, 15.5%. And as Linda has mentioned, in addition to a soft market this year, sales in the second quarter last year was strong due to ramp up of a new customer program as well as stock fill up by our customers after COVID supply chain disturbances. Revenues in America grew 2.4 million euro, 6.2%, mainly related to positive development in the drive control system. on highway business. In Asia, including China, commercial vehicle sales declined slightly 0.8% or 6.3%. Passenger car market sales was 67.2 million euro in the second quarter, declined by 3.6% or 5.1%, reflecting the decision to wind down the driveline business. In Europe, passenger car revenues was down by 1.7. Americas remained stable, while Asia decreased 1.9 million euro versus last year. Finally, then, revenues in other markets, mainly off-highway, for various industrial businesses, such as construction, equipment and agriculture, was 33.2 million euro, and declined by 4.3 in line with softening markets. Next slide, please. EBIT by the quarter that has also been commented already. We delivered €6.4 million in the second quarter compared to a loss of €12.5 million last year. So significant improvement of €18.9 million despite low revenues. We could also add on the first quarter. So the first half of the year we delivered an EBIT of €16.5 million versus a loss last year of €8.9 million. So more than €25 million improvement. So if you stay on the second quarter, even though last year was negatively impacted by impairment of non-current assets and provisions for onerous contracts in the driveline business, as well as other one-timers, we do see the cost reduction program that was initiated last year is yielding positive results and compensate for low revenues. Next slide, please. The EBIT bridge between the year between last and this year. We see that the largest year-over-year improvement is in our other operations, the non-core business with 13.6 million euro, where of 10.6 was the negative one-time effects from impairment and onerous contracts last year. In addition, we had in the quarter, a 3 million euro operational improvement benefiting from write-downs made and from cost reductions despite lower revenues of 6.2 million euro. In DCS, EBIT improved year-over-year by 4.8 million euro, despite lower sales of 10.3, thanks to favorable product mix, cost improvements in the variable cost and other operational costs, as well as lower warranty expenses than last year. In FCS, EBIT declined by 1.5 million euro on flat revenues versus last year, And you almost heard that last year, FCS got a customer reimbursement with retroactive effect, which impacted positively while operating improvements in this quarter was offset by a negative product mix. The EBIT from foreign exchange rate and other is positive year over year by 2 million Euro and is in effect from cost savings in corporate functions. So next slide, please. The net income bridge, second quarter improved by 25.4 million euro versus last year. We have already commented the improvement of EBIT of 18.9. In addition to that, our net interest expenses are relatively unchanged versus last year. We have other financial items which are negative by 1.4 million euro. where of 1 million is the remaining amortized arrangement fee on the old bond that we now have repaid and therefore had to expense that arrangement fee in the quarter. Currency was positive by 7 million euro, which is a currency gain largely unrealized this quarter of 3.5 million euro. versus realized exchange rate losses last year in the same range, three and a half, so in total plus positive seven. Taxes are lower than last year by 0.7 million euro, despite that we this year have paid a withholding tax related to a dividend from a group company of 1.3 million euro that we did not have last year. Second quarter last year, we had deferred tax assets losses that we could not recognise of 3.7 million euro. So next slide, please. So the free cash flow, second quarter ended at negative 4.4 million euro. And as you've heard, it includes 4.5 million interest payment on the old bond notes, which was paid in June due to the repayment of the bond. In previous years, the interest payments on the bond was done in the third quarter. So if we would consider this, we would have a positive cash flow, a free cash flow in the second quarter. And we want to assure you that we have a very strong focus on delivering positive free cash flow for the full year. We are working hard on that, including optimizing our working capital. Next slide, please. Then we come to the liquidity development. Our liquidity by end of the second quarter was €108 million, and that consisted of €85.8 million cash and cash equivalent, and the rollover credit facility of €50 million. At the end of the first quarter, the liquidity was €202.7 billion, which means that we have a reduction during the quarter of some €102 million. And the bridge shows this development in detail. And the big change is the repayment of the old bond notes, 190.2, which has been replaced by the new Nordic bond notes of 108 million euro net of fees. So if you walk through from left to right, we have firstly the breakup of the operating cash flow with positive EBITDA of 13.5 million euro, We have changed the net working capital that was negative in the quarter of €7.2 million, primarily related to an increase of accounts payable. Tax payments was negative €4.4 million, which includes and is withholding tax payments on intercompany dividend that I mentioned before. And we have other operating items which are positive €6.8 million, which are cash flow positive changes in other balance sheet items. Cash flow from investments was negative €4.1 million in the quarter. If you look at the cash flow from financing activities, it's been a busy period, a busy quarter. We have drawn €25 million on our account receivable securitization facility. We have the bond replacement, as I just mentioned before. We have interest on the old bond that also have been mentioned that was repaid €4.5 million. and we have interest and repayment of lease liabilities of €3 million. Currency and translation effects on cash flow was negative €1.2 million. Our external credit facilities have also been reduced, as you see in the second last column, by that we have drawn on the ARS with €25 million, and that the credit facility has been reduced from €30 million to €50 million. However, it's completely undrawn at the end of the quarter. And I would also add that the available liquidity is satisfying for the present business needs. And as we will see on the next page, some of our financial ratios have clearly improved with the actions taken during the quarter. So next slide, please. So financial ratios, we have the leverage, net interest in bear and debt, So our loans less our cash in relation to EBITDA results for the last 12 months. And you can say this is a way to express how long it would take us to repay our debt. And 1.7 is it takes 1.7 years with the earnings we have. And compared to last year's second quarter, the net interest in debt has increased due to negative cash flow during the last 12 months. while the EBITDA results has improved. The equity ratio has improved quite strongly, 3.4% to 34.3%, by the fact that our balance sheet is reduced by the refinancing done in the quarter. And finally, the return on capital employed, that is then the EBIT for the last 12 months in relation to the average capital employed, That is 1.7%, which is a weak number, impacted by a weak result during the second half of 2023. And if you look at the capital employed, it is stable during the period. So with that, I leave over to Jolinda.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-

Investor presentation