2/6/2026

speaker
Natalia Valtasari
Head of Investor Relations, KONE

Good morning and welcome to KONE's fourth quarter results call. My name is Natalia Valtasari. I'm head of investor relations here at KONE. I'm joined today by Filip Delorme, our president and CEO, and our CFO Ilkka Hara. So as usual, Filip will start by talking about the highlights of the quarter of the year, particularly focusing on what's going on in terms of strategy execution and our progress there. Ilkka will then continue by running through the financials and the outlook, both market and business outlook for the full year. And then Filip will wrap up and we'll be ready for your questions. So in the Q&A, just a reminder for me at this point, please do limit yourself to one question, one follow-up. Hopefully we'll get very active dialogue and that will enable as many people as possible to participate. With that, Filip, please.

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

thank you Natalia and good morning everyone i'm very pleased to be here today presenting our full year results let me start by saying that our success in 2025 was a result of determined and disciplined strategy execution order growth was one of the key highlights of the year our ability to capture the modernization opportunity together with our focused efforts to grow in the residential space were important contributors. We also delivered consistently on our profitable growth ambition. Central to this was the continuous strength and improved performance of our service business. This year, service became our largest business at over 40% of sales, making KONE more resilient than ever. Supported by our solid operational performance and strong cash generation, the board is proposing a dividend of 1.80 euro per Class B share, which represents a dividend yield of nearly 3%. Last but not least, I'm very pleased to report tangible results of our work in all our strategy shifts. I will share some more concrete examples in a moment, but let's first look at our financial performance in more detail. Let's start with orders. So I said growth momentum was strong throughout the year and Q4 was no exception. Comparable growth of 12% is a very good outcome. I'd like also to take a moment to highlight Asia Pacific, more specifically India and the Middle East. The team has done an excellent job positioning KONE as the leader in these markets, capturing growth opportunities while also driving meaningful operational improvements. Turning to sales, we grew just over 4% at comparable currencies, supported by roughly 10% combined growth in service and modernization. Modernization continued its strong trajectory with growth of around 15%. Service growth was somewhat moderated by the action we are taking to strengthen performance and margin in China. And with that in mind, 6% growth is a good outcome. Our adjusted EBIT margin expanded by 60 basis points thanks to a richer sales mix. And finally, cash generation in the fourth quarter was solid, though lower than the exceptionally strong comparison period in 2024. So all in all, we had a good finish to the year, very much in line with our expectations. Let's now look at our strategy execution as progress this year. First, I want to highlight the excellent progress we've made in accelerating our digital transformation. The share of connected units in our maintenance base now exceeds 40%, up 7 percentage points from the previous year. For me, this step change in pace reflects our ability to better articulate the value of transparency and real-time data to our customers and their growing recognition of the benefits. We also significantly expanded the reach of our productivity enhancing tools. With the US about to go live, dynamic maintenance planning is effectively covering two-thirds of our install base. This is starting to deliver measurable improvements in field efficiency, which can be seen in the expansion of our service margin. It has also supported service growth, particularly through increased repair sales. Moving now to modernization, I'm really pleased with a great customer response to our partial modernization offering. This is clearly visible in its rapid growth, now making it the largest part of our modernization portfolio. The modular concept resonates strongly with customers because it directly addresses their biggest concern, minimizing disruption to daily life during the elevator upgrade. Commercial traction in the residential market has also been very strong this year, and this reflects the success of our efforts to improve offering competitiveness, especially from a cost perspective. Achieving double-digit residential order growth in all regions except China, where market challenges are well known, is a very strong accomplishment. And we all know why this matters. Strong residential orders today secure future service business, and residential is a highly attractive service market for us. Now let's take some examples of our strategy in action with customers. Let's start with China, where we are providing a full scope of digital service solution to Nanjing Golden Eagle World, a landmark multi-use complex in East China. Transparency, actionable insights, and the ability to elevate tenant experience with proactive communication were cited by the customer as a key benefit. Turning to the Americas, we have recently won a partial modernization project for 22 units at the American Airlines Center, a premier sports and entertainment arena in Dallas, Texas. Our ability to adapt the installation work to minimize disruption during the busy game season was key in the world. So staying with modernization and turning to Europe, where we have a great example of our sustainability influencing customer decision. In this project, the original plan was a full-scale modernization. However, by highlighting the opportunity to reduce emissions and energy use by grading only the outdated components, the customer chose a partial modernization instead. And last but not the least, India, where, as mentioned, the team has delivered an outstanding quarter, very much supported by our focus on driving growth in residential. We have one particular prestigious win with the order to supply a wide range of equipment to DLF Premium Residential Development, Privana, under construction in Gorgon, near New Delhi. Let's now turn to sustainability, where we have a lot to be proud of. As you know, we track our performance with a sustainability index, and I'm happy to share that we exceeded our targets in 2025. A key driver was a stronger-than-anticipated increase in regenerative drive sales, which contributed to a reduction of nearly 13% in scope 3 emissions from the previous year. Another important contributor was a step up in cybersecurity performance, a core strategic priority as digitalization accelerates across our products and services. One measure of our progress is our BitSight rating, which this year placed us in the top 1% of our global engineering peer group of over 24,000 companies. This is a fantastic achievement and testament to the dedicated work of our cybersecurity team. I'm also very pleased with the external recognition we have received, most notably our inclusion in the corporate night ranking of the world's most sustainable companies. I want to highlight that sustainability is not just a set of commitments for KONE, it directly drives our business performance. Our impact revenue grew over 20% last year, and today it represents over half of our overall sales. This is an excellent indicator of how our strategy is progressing. Digital service solutions, partial modernization and regenerative drives all contribute to climate impact mitigation and thereby to our impact revenue. So I said we have a lot of great examples of strategy progress from 2025. And now, of course, our focus is on maintaining this momentum. Let me next hand over to Ilka, who will go through the market development and financials.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

Thank you, Philip, and also a warm welcome on my behalf to this fourth quarter result webcast. Let's start by taking a look at how our markets have developed during the past few months. The elevator and escalator markets were again resilient in the fourth quarter. In services and modernization, the market environment was very positive and we saw growth in all areas. In new building solutions, the picture is more polarized. The well-known challenges in China construction once again drove significant decline in elevator and escalator market activity. In contrast, activity increased in all other regions. Looking at the chart, America's growth stands out. This is largely due to last year's relatively low comparison point. What is more relevant is the sequential trend, which remained quite stable, a solid outcome given the broader geopolitical environment. Let me next go through our financials in more detail, starting as usual with our orders receipt. As Filip highlighted, the positive momentum seen in previous quarters continued in the fourth quarter. Overall, the orders receipt increased by 12.2% at the comparable currencies, and growth was broad-based across the portfolio. With the exception of new building solutions in China, all business lines and regions contributed. We also had a very strong quarter in major projects across several geographies. From a geographical perspective, growth was strong in Asia-Pacific, Middle East and Africa, The over 20% growth in both modernization and NBS in this area highlights our ability to effectively capture opportunities in this rapidly expanding market. From business line perspective, modernization continued to grow at the healthy double digit rate. New building solutions followed the market trends with pressure in China and growth elsewhere. Our orders receipt margin remained stable year on year. Pricing conditions in China continued to be challenging, but this was offset by more stable orders margin in other regions and our product cost reductions. In terms of sales, we had a good end to the year with a 4.3% comparable growth in the fourth quarter. Looking at the development by business, continued good order book rotation in modernization was the highlight. This delivered 15% sales growth in the quarter. In new billing solutions, China remained a drag, although this was partly offset by growth in other regions. Service sales grew by 6%. Outside of China, growth was in line with our targets. While in China, sales were slightly below last year. We also saw some negative impact from separation of our doors business. Shortly on China. As discussed in previous quarter, our priority there is to safeguard margin and cash flow across all of our businesses. In service, this has meant reassessing our contract base and taking targeted actions to strengthen the performance. I'm pleased that these actions have delivered the intended results. Looking at growth tailwinds, our maintenance base continued to expand and pricing developed favorably. Here we saw support from sales and operational excellence performance initiative, where we have focused on professionalizing our pricing and driving repair sales. This is closely linked to our digital transformation. As Filip explained, by improving field efficiency, we free up time that can be proactively directed towards repairs. For me, this is an excellent example of tangible benefits of digitalization. Then moving to adjusted EBIT and profitability. Let me start by saying that I'm pleased that we have continued to consistently deliver profitability improvement. moving steadily toward our mid-term target of 13 to 14% adjusted EBIT margin. Our margin expanded by 60 basis points in the quarter, taking adjusted EBIT to 402 million euros. Looking into details, our biggest headwind continued to be margin pressure in China. On the positive side, the business mix continued to be favorable. What I'm happy about is that service margins continue to improve, supported by repairs growth and our efforts to take more strategic approach to pricing. Product cost reductions has also contributed to profitability and will continue to be supportive in the coming year. Then turning finally to cash flow. We had a strong year in terms of cash generation, supported by growth in operating income and changes in working capital. For the full year, cash flow from operations rose to nearly 1.8 billion, with a solid quarter by quarter development. Looking at the working capital in more detail, FX swings had a bigger than normal impact to this year. If we adjust for negative currency impact of approximately 60 million, working capital improved moderately. A key driver was the increase in advances, and I'm also pleased with the work the teams have done in driving collections. Then let's look at how we're thinking about 26, starting with market environment. Our outlook for the year is very consistent with how activity developed in 25. We see attractive opportunities in all parts of the world, This is particularly true in modernization and services, where we expect markets to remain very active in every region. In new billing solutions, we expect the decline to continue in China. The lower rate of decline is mainly due to the comparison period, rather than the meaningful easing of the underlying pressures. Outside of China, we expect growth slight in Europe and North America, and clearly stronger in Asia-Pacific, Middle East and Africa. So overall, operating environment looks to be favorable this year. Of course, the geopolitical environment continues to be a risk, and we're keeping a close eye on how this could be reflected into market activity and potentially our financial performance. That's a good bridge to our business outlook for the year. Let's start by going through the headwinds and tailwinds. As mentioned, the market conditions in China remain under pressure, so this is burdening our performance, as is the wage inflation. At the same time, our order book, combined with a strong outlook for service and modernization, provides a healthy foundation for growth. Beyond the resulting positive mix effect, we also expect tailwinds from increased contribution from our performance initiatives and from the product cost reductions achieved during 25. So with all this in mind, our guidance for 26 is for the sales to grow 2 to 6% at the comparable currencies and adjust the debit margin to be in range of 12.3 to 13%. This keeps us firmly on track towards achieving our mid-term financial targets. With that, let me hand back to Filip to close the presentation and open the Q&A.

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

Thank you, Ilka. So before I move to the summary, let me take a few moments to highlight our priority for 2026. First, we will continue driving the excellent progress we've made in digital. will push for even higher maintenance-based connectivity and focus on further leveraging the productivity game we are seeing in the field. In modernization, it will be important to build on this year's strong momentum in partial modernizations with a particular emphasis on reducing installation time. We've made very good progress in our initiative to drive performance through sales and operational excellence and improved procurement efficiency. The first results are already visible in our financial, as you heard from Ilka. Now we must maintain and in some areas accelerate this momentum to ensure we deliver the intended bottom line. And finally, to support all of these priorities, we will continue to strengthen a high performance culture across the organization. This will help us drive greater precision and discipline as we drive our business transformation forward. So to wrap up, we can be pleased with what we achieved in 2025. For me, most important was the great progress we've made in strategy execution. This was especially visible in the acceleration of our transformation to an even more service and modernization driven KONE, supporting our performance and further strengthening our resilience. Finally, both last year's results and our guidance for 2026 show that we are advancing well towards our mid-term financial targets. So a big thank you to all KONE teams for an outstanding commitment once again. Thank you all for your attention and I suggest we now move on to your questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. And please limit yourselves to only one question and one follow-up to allow everyone the opportunity to ask a question. Thank you. I will now take our first question from Daniela Costa of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

speaker
Daniela Costa
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi, good morning. Thank you for taking my question and the follow-up. But maybe we can start. You talked about the tailwinds from the operational actions that you are doing. Can you help us out thinking in 2026 the balance between how much should we expect in savings versus what we will have in, for example, raw materials? Will that be a headwind? How should we think about that balance? That's the first one, and then I'll ask a quick one afterwards.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

Okay, maybe I'll take at least the start of it, and Filip is quite excited about this, so I think you will add. So we are expecting a slight headwind from raw materials in 26, and then separately, so we have, as we said, been pleased how we've been able to now get both the performance initiatives ongoing. So the focus on purchasing as well as on the sales and operational excellence. And actually in 2025, we did see both contributing positively. But like we said already, when we started the new strategy, that we expect the increasing impact from the performance initiatives through 2025, 2026 and 2027, contributing increasingly in those years. And we are guiding for improvement in profitability, so it's also visible in our guidance.

speaker
Daniela Costa
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, so we will exceed any revenue. And then the second question is why haven't you increased the dividend this year given you obviously have earnings growth, you have strong balance sheets. Can you elaborate a bit on how you're thinking about the shareholder payback and priorities there?

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

Well, first, it is, in my mind, a strong dividend that the board decided for the year or a suggestion for dividend for the AGM. And we've had a strong performance and we also do value a strong balance sheet. So at the end, this was a decision this year. And I think it's a strong dividend and a good yield as a dividend yield as well.

speaker
Daniela Costa
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Nick, your line is open.

speaker
Nick
Analyst

Oh, yes. Hi. Thank you for taking my question. The first one is just some clarification on the guidance. I mean, the low end of the growth guidance is at 2%, and we had 4% growth in 2025. And this year, it feels like you've got some very good growth tailwinds. You know, mod is very strong in a bigger share of sales. NBS outside of China looks good. NBS in China is, you know, an ever declining share of sales. Service growth is strong. So, you know, it just seems very unlikely that you would kind of end up anywhere near that 2% growth number. So, I was just hoping you could maybe get some, you know, comments and some sensitivity around the growth guidance there, please.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

So, of course, like I said already in my remarks on the guidance that the uncertainty in geopolitics continues to be high. Then if I look at Kone business, we have a good order book in our NBS business, like you said. Uncertainty is more around how our customers are taking the projects forward. And it's good to note that one part of the good growth in 25 was related to major projects, which clearly have a lower order book rotation than the volume business. In modernization, we still are accumulating orders throughout the first half that we will deliver in the year. So it's more a question of how good are we executing against our target of more than 10% growth in modernization. And indeed, in services, it's a more of a consistent, good growth business. So those are the moving parts in the guidance as we see it. It's early in the year and... we see that this is a good range of outcomes for the business.

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

And it's aligned with our long-term targets. Or mid-term targets.

speaker
Nick
Analyst

Great. And then just a related follow-up regarding service growth. So 6% in the quarter is still a solid number, but a little bit slower than the dynamics that we've been seeing before. So I was hoping you could a just comment on you know what you're seeing in the quarter and b um yeah obviously um you've done a really good job over the past couple of years of uh aligning uh pricing with you know the customer value that you've been delivering so i'm just curious to hear your thoughts about how you see this pricing dynamic going forward and whether there was almost a one-off element in the past couple of years as you sort of raised prices on existing contracts and whether it might be a little bit less of a tailwind over the next two to three years.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

Thanks. I'll try to comment on all of the components, but first on the growth of services. So we target to close to 10% growth in services business. And if you look at the full year, we're actually quite well in line what we have guided. Then in the fourth quarter and maybe also in the second half, we had an impact from actions we took in China, as I said, We are prioritizing all of the businesses around cash flow profitability, and we reassessed our service base based on those priorities, and that's something where we saw good impact to our performance, but it did slow our service growth as an overall down. And we also have been very explicit that we want to separate our doors business to a separate business. And as that separates, doors business is reported under the services. And during the separation, of course, it takes some management bandwidth as well as system changes, which impacted the growth as well. So all in all, I think it's quite in line what we targeted, excluding these two actions we've taken. Then on pricing, so I'm actually very pleased that we've now been able to take much more strategic, much more analytical approach to pricing. And we've seen both pricing as well as our repair volumes growing very nicely as a result. And I don't see that this work has been done yet. I think there's further opportunities going forward. I don't know if you want to comment on services more.

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

would say more broadly on services there is no reason for us to change the the strategic direction we're having which is we want to differentiate with digital both on the efficiency side and the customer value we see it working very well we were planning we are growing very well in three of our four areas we made a choice in 25 to prioritize differently in china to privilege cash margin and then picking the right customers. We've done exactly what we wanted. We were expecting this pruning of the portfolio and therefore the impact on the top line. We see a very strong momentum in the four other areas. Now we are back in China, much more on the growth side, but growth and profit. And we've delivered better profit in China in service. So we are sticking to the plan and we are very confident in where we want to go. Great. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And we'll now take our next question from Vivek Mida of Citi. Please go ahead.

speaker
Vivek Mida
Analyst, Citi

Thanks very much, everyone. Good morning. Hope you can hear me well. My question is raised following up on the China service story. Within the slight decline you have in the fourth quarter in China, would you be able to indicate whether you saw units under service still growing in the quarter with the decline driven by price mix, or did you see a decline in the quarter in units under service? And the follow-up is you commented that the actions in China have seen the intended results I'm curious to understand, should that effect then not continue in 2026 and onwards, or given that you took the actions in the second half, should we expect some carryover effect on the China's surdice growth rates in the first half of 2026 before the comps ease up a bit again? Thank you.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

I can start. So in services in China, so there's two things that you need to take into account. One, yes, there is still an add-on. The market is growing as there are NBS units being installed, and that's adding to the maintenance base. And we take a fair share of that with our good NBS business there. At the same time, we really took these targeted actions to look at our customer base with these two targets. And we continue to do so, but I don't expect a similar one-off impact going forward. It is more about working with each other customer like we've done in other regions. to find the right strategic pricing approach, drive repairs and so forth. So it is more of a one-off impact. But then as we see the market in NBS declining, so that is having an impact on the growth rate of the service unit base in the market.

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

And just to complement, every time you think about our service business, it's not as simple as number of LIS, time, the price. So that's one part of the business. The other part is really the repair business everywhere, including in China. And we believe that in China specifically, we can do much better when it comes to our spare and our repair business. And we are working on packaging, repair, that will feed the customer demand, plug this with much more digital marketing to be responding to our customer requests. And we see actually very good traction here. So it's a... And for the rest, I would not repeat what Ilka said on doing one year of really pruning our portfolio, which was much needed and which we believe has been largely done.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

One more addition. So if I still take a larger context, and it's also true in China, the modernization as a source of new elevators, the maintenance base, is increasing its impact. So the more we go, especially on the partial modernization, modernized equipment, which is not in our elevator base, it is maintained by somebody else, those units actually then convert to our maintenance space with a very high conversion as a result. And as we grow the modernization business, this will be more and more important source of new elevators to the maintenance space compared to the NBS business.

speaker
Vivek Mida
Analyst, Citi

I don't know whether I might be able to do a quick follow-up on that, but just on that last point, we know that there's been some pressure on conversion rates in China given the competitiveness of the market. Within the modernization business that you had in China and the growth there, is the conversion rate on those modernizations still holding up relatively well? Thank you.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

Yes. Yes. Simple answer. That's it. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And we'll now take our next question from Vlad Sergievski. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Vlad Sergievski
Analyst

Yes, good morning, and thank you very much for taking my question. If I can follow up on service growth, would you be able to give us some idea what your 2026 growth guidance implies in terms of service growth? Does it imply an acceleration versus 7.6% growth here? you did last year? And also, how should we think about this 10% or close to 10% growth over the strategy period? Does it mean that to achieve this growth you would need to go to low double-digit growth in 2027? Thank you very much.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

Sorry, Vlad, can you repeat the last sentence? I failed to capture that.

speaker
Vlad Sergievski
Analyst

Absolutely. In terms of your target for the strategy to grow that close to 10% your service business, does it imply that in 2027 number should then be low double digits to achieve this close to 10% growth?

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

Got it. So first, I think this close to 8% rate that we got for the 25 year is actually a good number. We took some targeted actions, but in other areas, we actually saw the growth to be very much in line with targets. then going forward we don't give guidance by business line but we repeat what we've said we target to grow on close to 10 rate in services and for example this china action we don't expect that to continue as one of impact so maybe that's a implicit answer to your question the best answer we have thank you very much

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And we'll now take our next question from Andre of UBS. Please go ahead.

speaker
Andre
Analyst, UBS

Good morning. Thank you for taking my question. Can we start with just helping us to size the China business in terms of profit contribution? Could you give us some idea where it sits overall now versus the group or where the kind of margin level is for China? And within that, clearly, new building solutions margin has declined are we kind of still positive over around mid-single digits if you could help with that that would be great so indeed

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

I think the first comment is that the contribution of China is declining as the revenue has declined last year and also margin declined slightly last year, declined further slightly in last year. And our NBS business in China continues to be profitable. and we aim to continue that. At the same time, we see the movement to services and modernization, which is now 40% of the business continuing to happen, and the target is to get to 50-50 as soon as possible. And both services and modernization are with a higher profitability than NBS in China. And that's why the move, strategically, that's a growing market, but also it has a positive impact to our profitability mix.

speaker
Andre
Analyst, UBS

Sorry, okay, thank you. But is that service and modernization of China has a positive mix effect to the group?

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

So I was talking, you asked about China, I answered about China. So in China, profitability, the move to services and modernization has a mix, positive profitability mix impact for China.

speaker
Andre
Analyst, UBS

Got it. Thank you. And if I may just follow up on the pricing questions that have been asked. Specifically for the, I think, price increases that you're seeing from suppliers that are based on copper and silver and a few other components, inflation. Do you have price escalation clauses that you can action to pass that through on the new equipment? Or does that require specific kind of pricing action one by one with the customers?

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

So now we see a slight headwind in our raw materials, and it's those base metal copper being the number one for the year 26. And it's not a bigger headwind, and that's why I'm not calling out the number. It's a slight, some tens of millions of headwind. And then it is of course relevant information when we price our new orders for our customers and we take it into account. And with some of the contracts we have escalation clauses for bigger raw material swings. I would not say that in a grand scheme of things this is a bigger swing and would trigger those clauses. And a material part of our orders that we have booked don't have those clauses in place, but right now I think the mix between product cost actions as well as the raw material impacts is something that is still a positive, so we're able to see more product cost reductions than the raw material increases. And I said orders that we booked in fourth quarter had stable margins, more because of the price impact in China versus the product cost. In other places, it was more neutral.

speaker
Andre
Analyst, UBS

Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And we'll now take our next question from Delphine Brault of OdoB HF. Please go ahead.

speaker
Delphine Brault
Analyst, ODDO BHF

So, yes. Good morning, all. Thanks for taking my questions. We'll go one by one. First, in your comment, you said that partial modernization now represents the majority of your modernization activity and that it grew twice the rate of full replacement. Can you help us understanding by how much this mix contributed to your margin improvement? And are we right in assuming that the modernization margin is not that far away from the group margin?

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

Before I let you go on partial modernization, just on the facts. So, yes, the movement to partial modernization has a positive impact to our profitability within modernization. And the aim for modernization is to continue improving its profitability. And as I said in the strategy, the aim is that it's not dilutive to our profitability. margins while it grows and becomes a bigger and bigger business. But do you want to comment the partial modernization?

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

I mean, I'm somewhat new to this industry. I've been only two years in this industry, but I'm fascinated to see that actually the industry was not responding to the customer needs, which is when you have a running building, the first point that matters is time. And what we are doing is just responding to customer needs and say, you know what, instead of having this project in three months, we're going to make that project in one to two weeks. We're not going to do everything, but we're going to do what matters. And once that work is done, the elevator is connected and we can actually guide for the coming five years what really will be essential for you, Mr. and Mrs. Customers. This value proposition is working very well. By the way, from a financial standpoint, the other benefit is is that it brings a very good order book rotation, fast order book rotation, and the conversion rate to service is very good. So from a model standpoint, it's a great business. And what I like is that it's a business that corresponds to what our customers are asking for. So we are pushing as fast as we can. to really organize ourselves to be extremely efficient in delivering this so that we success drives success and we really make our name, and this has been working very well in the past two years, as being the best company to drive fast and partial modernization.

speaker
Delphine Brault
Analyst, ODDO BHF

Thank you. And then it's now, no, coming back on your margin guidance, What do you need to reach the upper end of your range this year? What are the main assumptions between your 12.3% and your 13%?

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

Of course, a big part of the margin is related to the revenue guidance as well. more we are able to deliver the revenue on the top end, the more we will get also leverage on the profitability part. Then second part is around the revenue mix. So again, the more services contribute, the higher end we are at the guidance and modernization will help. And of course, if the mix is more on NBS, then it is something we need to tackle. And that's number one. Number two is really related to our performance initiatives that are, of course, contributing positively to our margins. And I would want to emphasize the fact that in sales and operational excellence, really what we're looking for is the lowest level, the branch, the region that is close to our customer, how they're able to deliver to our customer needs and how are they able to manage the business to produce profitability pricing going forward. And I think there we are seeing very good, the best branches that have really adopted it first, very good outcomes. So that's naturally contributing to the profitability positively. Maybe those are the key variables, I would say.

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

So the question is how fast we can strike on all these cylinders to make them all align and contribute to the upper part of our guidance.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Thank you. And we'll now take our next question from James Moore of Rochdale & Co. in Richmond. Please go ahead.

speaker
James Moore
Analyst, Rochdale & Co

Yes, morning everyone and thanks for the time. I wondered if I could circle back to Andre's question about Chinese profitability. Would it be possible to quantify where we really are on the overall Chinese margin now or the difference versus the group? and to try to quantify the difference between NBS and service and maintenance numerically, so we can think about A, the effect to the group that is now less as China declines, and B, the impact of the positive mix within China. That's really the first question.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

Well, first, over 90% of our profits are services and modernization. So if we look at the profitability of the company, it is how we are able to grow and manage those businesses. And that's really why we talk so much about services and modernization. So that's a big change in the last years. In China, now the share of the revenue has declined for the total company, and its profitability is below the group average. And I said already that it declined further in 2025. And the more we can make services and modernization be a bigger part of the revenue in China, that's the way for us to then turn the margin also towards stable and growing again going forward. And we don't do segment reporting, so it's more the qualitative comments we're giving, but it's clearly below and below. NBS is the lowest margin business we have in China, and service and monetization are not that different in margin in China.

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

And the last point I would compliment is our cash generation in China is extremely healthy, which is a point where we think we really stand out from competition, which is a point that actually leads us to move away from customers. But in the end, we believe cash is key. And we want to make sure that we translate all the hard work we are doing on the ground to money in the bank or in our bank. And we are actually on that side looking at profitability in EBIT level, but also in cash generation. And that part is actually very, very healthy.

speaker
James Moore
Analyst, Rochdale & Co

Thanks, Philippe. Maybe I could just get back to the service growth of SICK. I didn't really understand the answer you gave earlier about the pruning being a single quarter impact. Having covered companies for 30 years, typically when revenues drop on pruning, you've got four quarters of impact before it comps out. Can you help me understand why that's not the case and is it possible to talk about what the speed of asset under management percentage growth in units was in the course of this.

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

That's not what I said. So I said, so I think Ilka and I said that we worked in 2025 on pruning our portfolio, but we worked on the full year 2025. So we started in Q1 and we've seen the impact coming as we were working on it but and we think we've done the essential work to move away from customer either would have low profitability or negative profitability or customers where we believe we had no chance to be paid so we think we've done the biggest chunk of the work that's needed. Then we've worked within our pricing priorities everywhere in the company or looking at our lower profit margin, risk profile on cash. But we think that the biggest chunk of the cleaning work that needs to be done in China has been done.

speaker
James Moore
Analyst, Rochdale & Co

That's great. And anything on the asset unit growth speed and maintenance?

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

So we see in maintenance the growth. So I've said it earlier. So we have three components when we look at the growth. First is really the repair volumes. How can we continue to drive repair volumes? And that's why the digital part is so important that we can free up capacity to drive that repair volumes to be both sold and installed. Second is related to pricing and value. And value to me is including the digital offering we have facing our customers. So how do we differentiate to get the maximum price and actions we take? And the third one is the units. In units last year, we had lower growth, mainly due to China. In other regions, we've actually seen quite a good development. And we don't see that our strategic direction in terms of unit growth is changing.

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

The only thing we could say as a change is stronger contribution coming from mode and partial mode and a bit less coming from NBS. So in that regard, the whole model of our business, which was a lot of selling elevators and driving the service, is changing a bit to actually trying to get a better retention with digital. and moving actually a part of our modernization business towards lifting service and expanding our service base.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

And then lastly, I just wanted to comment because we started with China. You see that China service market is growing at a low single digit speed. It is also a good signal that we are seeing and are expecting going forward that our service growth is higher in the three other areas as a result. And yes, we will grow in China as well, but really the growth rate is higher in the three others, given the dynamics. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And we'll now take our next question from Tommy Raylow of D&B Carnegie. Please go ahead.

speaker
Tommy Raylow
Analyst, D&B Carnegie

Hi all, this is Tome from BNP Carnegie. Two questions, if I may. Coming back to the NBS profit contribution, you mentioned over 90%. Any further comment? This is 95%, or is NBS contribution how much less than 10%? If I can formulate it that way.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

It's less than 10%. I won't go into more details, but it's less than 10% and it's, the organization service is more than 90%.

speaker
Tommy Raylow
Analyst, D&B Carnegie

Thank you. And then another follow-up, if you could just still state clearly if China NBS is lower than global or above than elsewhere.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

It's slightly above elsewhere.

speaker
Tommy Raylow
Analyst, D&B Carnegie

Okay, thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

And we'll now take our next question from Aaron of Bank of America. Please go ahead, your line is open.

speaker
Aaron
Analyst, Bank of America

Hello, hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my question, my follow-up. I have a question on modernization, specifically in Europe. At your CMD in 2024, you highlighted the European market for modernization to be probably the largest opportunity in terms of units. And I think today you're guiding for slower growth compared to other regions. I was wondering why that, and also if you can discuss a little bit the role of subcontractors in modernization business as the modular strategies speeds up would be useful. And we'll go with the follow-up after your answer. Thank you.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

I just clarify before you take the modernization so we said the market is expected to be growing at five to ten percent it does not mean that we could not grow faster than that and that's what and then I mean we are in Europe as everywhere we are ramping up

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

our actions on modernization we we are doing actually pretty well on at this point full modernization and partial modernization our own install base and now we need to do better on partial modernization on our not on our install base so the market we have a lot of questions like where is the limit of the modernization market and my answer is always the same there is frankly at this point it's such a big ocean That there is very little limit. Now, on your point about subcontractors slash ISPs... independent service providers we see them frankly as much as competitors are in some case partners because actually they cover markets that we don't always very well covered so we actually see an opportunity to work with them in a targeted manner in places where we don't have the geographic coverage to actually bring our technology very often these companies are not very good in digital where actually we bring the whole digital gear very well. So we still see an opportunity of plenty of new business model leveraging more companies that are not strictly KONE to address much better this very vast market.

speaker
Aaron
Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you. And my follow-up would be on your cost structure. Clearly, when I look at one of your competitors, have done a very remarkable job on cutting costs. And I believe you have a fairly new head of procurement. And when I look at your SG&A, on the other hand, you also have high SG&A as percentage of sales compared to other P's. I was wondering, could you perhaps provide a little bit more granularity on what you can actually do on the procurement side now and what opportunities are on SG&A as well? Thank you.

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

Well, I think on procurement, indeed, we have a new, not so new, Michel has been with us now for six months, but clearly what we see is we have an opportunity to professionalize our teams, upskill our team, and put purchasing at the right level level of attention within the company, which is exactly what we are doing. We actually started this work like before Michel came in, but we see now an acceleration and therefore there is an opportunity to drive better purchasing productivity. On SG&A, you're right, we have more costs relative to sale than many of our competitors and we have to do a stronger job of driving efficiency and we are working on it.

speaker
Aaron
Analyst, Bank of America

Excellent. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And we'll now take our next question from Antti Kantanen of SEB. Please go ahead.

speaker
Antti Kantanen
Analyst, SEB

Hi, guys. It's Antti from SEB. I have two questions, both on the service growth. So I'll start with the mention that the modernization, partial modernization, is emerging as a driver to the maintenance-based growth taking over from the NBS. Is this something that you have already been eating on a significant manner in let's say 24 25 or was this a question more going forward that it will start to accelerate as an impact and and how does it work is it elevators that are too old to be relevant in your maintenance space or are you converting non-conne brands through this modernization

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

so just correction i've not said that partial mod is taking over nbs i'm saying i love competition and i'm telling to the modernization team raise the bar so that you become a stronger contributor to service now in size today this is already significant to very significant now are we at the level of what's coming from an nbs business no but when when you look at the the big parameters If we keep doing the good job we are doing on partial modernization, this indeed will become very mainstream into driving more LIS. And on your question, is it more KONE units, not KONE units? My assessment today that we do a decent job on our KONE units. Are we perfect? No. So it's okay to be perfect and raise the bar. On non-KONE units, we can really do much better. And by the way, I don't think the industry is very good overall. So the point about responding with time to do the job and really compress the time by being very optimized is one thing where the industry is average. And it's up for us to be very good.

speaker
Antti Kantanen
Analyst, SEB

Would you guys say that in the past few years, which of the contribution has been, let's say, more relevant on offsetting the decline impact from MBS, your increased acquisitions or conversions from the modernization side?

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

So we'll come back to this partial modernization in more detail, but it is starting to be more and more relevant. And of course, for us, it is very compelling. So we don't put capital in play and actually get a modernized, modern digital elevator as a result of the partial modernization. And actually, it's quite a fast turnaround business. So from that perspective, return on capital is very good.

speaker
Antti Kantanen
Analyst, SEB

Okay. And then the second was just a clarification on the pruning work you talked about in China having been over. So do I understand correctly that starting from Q1 this year, there will not be any more negative sales growth headwind in terms of the actions have done and the impacts have already been seen on the P&L?

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

So we took the actions throughout the year and I said it was more visible and that's why I call it out in second half of last year. And we expect now a more normal business. Doesn't mean that we would not be focused on profitability and cash flow going forward as well. But I think this was more of a targeted action.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And we'll now take our next question from Rizk Mehdi of Jefferies. Please go ahead.

speaker
Rizk Mehdi
Analyst, Jefferies

Well, good morning. Thanks for your time. I just want to go back to this modernization conversion into sort of new installed base, I think, was the previous question. I was wondering if you could – I thought this was a 27, 28 sort of impact, but you start to see it in China, if I heard you correctly – maybe can you help us sort of quantify this perhaps in the last few quarters when you look at your modernization sort of growth how much was it on coney units on non-coney service units uh or perhaps even on the installed base growth whether you could actually you know have a contribution from modernization conversion, if I could call it this way.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

So first, the conversion rate of modernization is actually very high. So that's why it's such a compelling place.

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

And maybe to explain why, because when you sell a new construction elevators, you sell it to the contractor and then the building goes on. There are all kinds of things that can happen up to someone who is now in charge of dealing with the elevator, which is very often not the contractor. When you deal with a modernization and even more a partial modernization, the person who is buying the partial modernization is a person very often who will operate the service. So if you do a good job and actually if you really go beyond what's possible in terms of time and customer satisfaction, There is little reason that that customer is not going to stay with you for service, especially when we at KONE bring in the package the connectivity that gives transparency, predictive, remote capabilities. So, sorry, close the bracket, but I think it's important for all of us to really understand what's going on here. Sorry.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

That's fine. And then we've increased our modernization business, grown it. We've also increased the proportion of partial modernization. So it's in China, but also outside of China, more and more meaningful contributor. But still, NBS is a bigger contributor, but in the future, it could be the other way around.

speaker
Rizk Mehdi
Analyst, Jefferies

But at this stage, you're not willing to quantify how much of your mode growth is on KONE units versus... No.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

Most of them are still KONE units at this stage.

speaker
Rizk Mehdi
Analyst, Jefferies

Perfect, thank you very much.

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

I'm repeating on modernization, it's a blue ocean. So it's a place where, I mean, there are 10 million units in front of us and the industry is modernizing a fraction of this, a real fraction. If we look at the number of, I think we've released that figures, a couple tens of thousands of units every year. So we are, every time the team is coming, saying, oh, we're so happy we did that growth, say, yeah, you can, I mean, we can do better. And it starts by listening to our customers and responding to their needs.

speaker
Rizk Mehdi
Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you. The second one is we've seen, if you think about connectivity, it started quite slow, I think, back in 2015, 2016. Then you ramped it up quite quickly. I think the number this morning was above 40% of the installed base being connected, and you improved that by 7 percentage points. Just thinking, what's the blue sky here? How should we think about this improvement over the coming years? The installed base is still quite old. And my understanding, if you want to have good readership or good value from connectivity, you have to force modernization or partial modernization. Just thinking about the blue sky here, basically. Thank you. And the benefits as well to your business.

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

That's one of my favorite topics. But when you say, okay, we started, we increased, and then we plateaued, and now we are re-increasing. What has been the difference? Focus and leadership. And very easy to say, very hard to do. And I think where I'm very happy with the team is we've managed to mobilize the company. and make it clear for everyone in a company that this thing is a game changer and therefore a sense of urgency. It's very hard to copy. And I think we've managed to bring that focus in mind. So what is our ambition? To have all our elevators and escalators connected. So is it possible tomorrow, next quarter? No. But I think everyone at KONE understands that this becomes the norm. that we want to be digitally enabled on the field with apps that make us more efficient, and that once an elevator is connected, it brings transparency, meaning everyone knows and is on equal base to understand what's going on. We get predictive, we get 800,000 elevators connected where our AI is scrolling and sending service needs to our field technician to correct the problem before they would happen. We think we can filter up to 80% of the issues before they would happen. And then when the code allows us, we can actually remote rescue people who are being entrapped, which is a big difference. So where is the limit? At 100%. Are we going there next quarter? No. Is it hard to do? Absolutely yes, because it touches the DNA and the culture of the company. But I'm really happy to see that step up, and we are very committed to that transformation.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. And we'll now take our next question from Martin Flickiger of Kappa Shuru. Please go ahead.

speaker
Martin Flickiger
Analyst, Kappa Shuru

Yeah, morning, gentlemen. Thanks for taking my questions. I've got two, and I'll start off with the U.S. According to your assessment, the market in the Americas was up significantly in Q4, which seems counterintuitive given the fact that we had the longest U.S. government shutdown in history. But also, you know, if you look at indicators like ABI and so on, Just wondering, you know, and also, by the way, your outlook for 2026 is, you know, still positive, but clearly much slower than it was in Q4. Just wondering what the issue was or, you know, what the narrative was for the strength in Q4. That's my first question. I'll come back with a second one.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

Yeah, so as I said, Q4 market in the US was impacted by the low comparison point the previous year. If you look at it sequentially, it's more stable and the full year is slight growth for the market. We're expecting similar environment to continue in 26. And yes, there are many uncertainties also in US, also outside of US, but that's our best forecast for the market activity.

speaker
Martin Flickiger
Analyst, Kappa Shuru

Great, thanks. And then my second question is on some of the financials, I guess that's for you, Ilko. I was just wondering, you know, net financial results in the weaker than expected, is that FX related? And what is the reason for what seems to be a higher than expected income tax provision in Q4? Yeah.

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

Thanks for asking. So we actually had a one-off item in taxes in the fourth quarter related to our intercompany legal structuring. And we don't expect that to repeat. So the expected tax rate is fairly similar, this 23.5 going forward. So it is a one-off impact that caused it.

speaker
Martin Flickiger
Analyst, Kappa Shuru

Okay. And in the net financial result, how large was the FX impact?

speaker
Ilkka Hara
Chief Financial Officer, KONE

The FX impact, let Natalia come back to you on that. I think we have it also behind the deck, so I don't say incorrectly.

speaker
Martin Flickiger
Analyst, Kappa Shuru

Sure, thanks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. That's all the time we have for Q&A. I will now hand it back to the host for closing remarks.

speaker
Natalia Valtasari
Head of Investor Relations, KONE

Excellent. So thank you, Philippe. Thank you, Ilka. Special thanks to everybody who followed us online. Great questions. Lots of interaction there. So we appreciate that, your interest and your time. And if there are follow-ups, I'm happy to answer them. I will certainly come back to you, Martin. And with that, yeah, have a great rest of the day and weekend ahead.

speaker
Filip Delorme
President and CEO, KONE

Thank you, everyone. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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