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Mahindra & Mahindra 144A
11/7/2024
Every small and big change takes on a new shape by joining the assembly line of this futuristic plant. Powerful engine,
Good afternoon, everyone, and a very warm welcome to the quarter two analyst meet of Mahindra and Mahindra Limited. We have with us today our group CEO and MD, Dr. Anish Shah, ED and CEO of our auto and farm business, Mr. Rajesh J. Jodhikar, and our group CFO, Mr. Amarjyoti Barua. Once the presentation concludes, we will commence the Q&A session. Just as a reminder, this meeting is being recorded. For the purpose of completeness, I do wish to read this out. Just next slide. Just next slide, please. Thank you. Certain statements in this meeting with regard to our future growth prospects are forward-looking statements which involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to be materially different from those in such forward-looking statements. With that, I now hand over to Dr. Shah for his opening remarks.
Good afternoon, everyone. Good evening to folks who are joining online, or good morning as well. Before we start the presentation, I'd just like to say that this is one quarter where We've seen all our businesses come together. While we've always driven consistent operating performance, we've always had something not moving exactly as it needed to. But this is one time when we're starting to see everything move in the right direction. So very glad to start with that. Auto and farm with a very strong operating performance. Auto revenue market share is at 21.9%, up almost two percentage points versus last year. PBIT margin up significantly as well at 140 basis points versus the prior same quarter. Farm market share up almost one percentage point, fairly significant given that we are in the low 40s in terms of market share. And there again, margins up 150 basis points versus the same quarter last year. Services, an area that we have talked about a lot, has seen an 80% growth in profit after tax. That's driven by TechM, Mahindra Finance and our other growth gems. TechM has seen traction in BFSI. EBIT is up almost five percentage points, yes, from a low base. And there is more to do on that front. So we continue to drive margin expansion in TechMahindra. Mahendra Finance, while there's been a lot of commentary on it, this is a business that continues on the right track from a turnaround standpoint. Asset quality has been the most important thing. In fact, in 22, we had talked about getting to GS3 of less than 6%. We are less than 4% and continue to be. It's at 3.8 right now. We will see some variation between 3.6, 3.8, 4 in that sense. But that's part of the business itself. And the key is that is a very significant change in business model in terms of leaving out certain segments that contributed to higher volatility and getting to a much more stable ways. In addition to that, asset under management are up 20%. PAT is up 36%, actually, not 57% in this case. And GS3 is within range at 3.8%, with end losses down to about a percent or so. So overall, on a fairly strong trajectory, I'll talk about that a little more. Resulting in a consolidated PAT of 35% higher than where we were last year, same quarter, 3,171 crores. And ROE, we maintain 18% and we are at 18.9 in terms of this quarter. As you look at the numbers, revenue close to 38,000 crores, up 10%. Profit after tax up 35%, as I mentioned. That does include gain in terms of sale of land, which is not an operating income. And if you exclude that, it's up 22% from the same quarter last year. Key drivers on the consolidated pet, auto and farm up 23%. I talked about margins, market share. In addition, Rajesh will talk about the new launches and the success that we've seen there. Tech Mahindra, what you see here is a significant growth versus last year's same quarter. As I mentioned, last year's same quarter was muted. It had come down. And therefore, we're sort of getting back closer to where our normal would be and then go beyond that to increase the margin and close the gap further with our competitors. Mahindra Finance up 36%, Growth Gems. What you see here is a gain last year that included revaluation of TECO as Ontario teachers came in and took a stake in that. And excluding that revaluation gained last year, we are up 72% in terms of other Growth Gems. The growth gems, I will say that we are not as focused on the profit number every quarter. We are building these businesses for the long term. We want a 5x worth in these businesses long term. So we will see some volatility possibly in profit quarter to quarter. It's a good time for me to say it when we are up 72%, so I'm not saying it when we are down something. But that is something we keep in mind. We are building these for the long term, not for quarter to quarter profits at this point. The one thing I do want to mention on this page before I move forward is our renewables business, Susten, we had talked about five gigawatts in five years, so one gigawatt a year. In this last quarter, in one quarter alone, we got almost one gigawatt. And that's coming off two gigawatts last year. So this business is starting to move at a much faster pace than what we had planned for. Capitalizing on market leadership with auto and farm. I spoke earlier about a market share volumes up 18%, margins up. Capacity is at 54,000 now. We had talked about getting to 49 at the end of last year. We did. We had talked about getting to 54 now. We have. And we have spoken about adding capacity for electric, which is well underway in terms of plan and what we've said in line with it at this point in time. Farm, we're seeing an uptick in rural sentiment, and Rajesh, again, will talk about that. We are seeing some challenges in international businesses, and we'll talk more about that in the coming quarters, but a lot of it is driven by market outlook or what the market's been doing in the U.S., significantly downwards is where it has been, and hyperinflation in Turkey that we've seen, which does impact the accounting numbers. So we are... As we always do, and I'll preempt a question here, doing a detailed analysis of companies, especially under stress, does not mean we exit companies when they're under stress because many of these have a good, strong long-term potential and we've just got to work through that stress. We've got to make sure that we are certain that we can win. We are certain that we can get that long-term potential. And if at some point we feel we cannot in any company, then we will take action on it at that point in time. But we're not there as yet. Mind the finance, I will highlight the fact that disbursements were down 1% and that is something that we're really not concerned about because our focus has been on building the new model and growing the right way. Growth is there in this business in a significant manner. We tell the business, don't grow at all costs. Grow responsibly. And if that means slightly slower growth in a particular quarter, that's fine. But make sure that the asset quality stays strong. Make sure that we're doing everything from a technology and data standpoint that we said we will do. And more importantly, start the diversification process. That is one area we've been slower than what we have promised so far because we wanted to make sure controls were right And the business was set up well not to have surprises. And that's a process we are starting now with expansion into mortgage. And you will see more of that in the coming quarters. Tech Mahindra, from an industry standpoint, is seeing a mixed demand outlook, some positivity in certain areas. BFSI has been a good space for this business and something that has helped. help TechMinder diversify into new areas as well. And I talked about the focus on margins that we have here. In terms of three of our growth gems, logistics is starting to see some uptick in volume. It has been an industry that's seen somewhat muted volume for a few quarters and we're starting to see some of that come back. A lot of cost efficiency initiatives are underway and there is stronger execution that we are seeing. We still have some more work to do on that front with regard to the express business and the integration of Revigo, which has caused some of the profit impact in this business, but on balance, the business is in an industry with tremendous potential and has a very good set of customers, has a very good operating model and it's one that we feel very, very confident about. Hospitality is moving well. All parameters are looking good and we are exploring what are avenues for further expansion of this business and we'll come back once we've outlined some of those avenues. Real estate business is obviously operating in a very strong industry tailwind at this point in time and is doing very well, not just in terms of that tailwind, not just in terms of land acquisition, which you see on this page, but also in terms of profitability, in terms of executing very well on projects, delivering the profitability that we expect in those projects. And that's a significant change in terms of having this business move forward well and one that gives us more confidence around the the strength that we have in the business and the ability for it to grow further. So with that, the standard slide that I end with, which is a consistent delivery on commitments, we stay above 18% for ROE and on EPS growth as we look at F22 onwards, which is where we had made the commitment, we are at a 40% CAGR as we stand today. With that, let me invite Rajesh to take you through some of the details on the auto and farm businesses.
Hi. Greetings, everyone, depending on where you are. I'll quickly walk you through these slides. You've seen the numbers. I'm not going to belabor them. It gives us enough time for questions. So we've had a 4% growth in the quarter on the tractor side. Exports were up 27%. The key news here is the market share has continued to be very strong. And in fact, October was keeping up with that momentum of even going above the average that we've had year to date, taking our YTD October market share to 43.9%. few awards that we won. The farm machinery business has shown good growth, but we would expect it to do better. It's not done, you know, fully to the expectations that we would like and the set of things we're doing, there's a new upgraded Swaraj harvester which has just gone in this season. We've seen some good momentum on that and we do want to see the farm machinery business grow at rates higher than what you're seeing here. The farm consolidated numbers, we've got a 6% growth. Anish did talk about the effect of some of our international subsidiaries impacting this. And one of the key ones has been North America, where the market has shrunk significantly. So we've seen 11 quarters of industry degrowth there, which means that when you look at it on a point-to-point, three-year basis, an industry size of practice less than 100 horsepower, which was about 300,000 is now about 180,000. I mean, that's the kind of degrowth we've seen over the last one and a half, three years. We do expect this to come back as interest rates come down. Some of this was triggered by political uncertainty, a little bit of wait and watch. So we do think that this is going to revive and come back, but that is impacting our numbers. The Turkish inflation accounting is our hyperinflation as it's called. It's not a cash impact, it's an accounting impact, which we've been reckoning over the last few quarters. Turkey continues to have a huge amount of inflation. The farm margins, you know, just focus on the tractor margin to begin with, has come in at a good number of 18.7%. As you all know, quarter two is a low volume quarter. So in a low volume quarter and 18.7% margin, we believe is a good margin for us. This is a slide we often show you to show how we are able to deliver a consistent margin percentage irrespective of the industry growth percentages that are happening. We've seen some very good improvement in rural momentum over the last few weeks, maybe six, seven weeks if I would say, so starting mid to end September as we got into the season. We are revising our outlook for the year to between six to seven percent. which means the second half growth is expected to be between 13% to 15% for tractors. There are several factors here, and all of you studied this very closely, but we have seen, I'm sure you'll have more questions on this, but very good retail momentum on tractors through what we call the Navratra to Diwali period. very strong volume growth in SUVs, which has led to a revenue market share increase. And on the LCV side, you know, we've been talking about a difficult industry growth scenario over the last few quarters. We are finally in October seeing a positive turnaround on the industry growth. One of the parameters that we watch closely for pickups is the Monday arrivals because that We see demand getting linked to that and that in the second half of October has gone up by 20%. So this is the first time we are seeing a change in momentum and that's why the last 10-15 days of the festival season for multiple factors including some of the ones that I spoke about has seen a very good momentum on the tractor side. Three launches on the auto side in the last six months. Two, of course, have been there now for a while. Vero has just got into the market, but initial feedback has been very good. Just a quick look at the numbers for you by way of the way volumes and shares have grown in the SUV segment. The Thar did very well. 1.3 billion video views on the, and all of it organic, just multiple sets of people who put out videos, huge number of visits to our websites and, you know, of course you all know the booking number, but there is a huge amount of excitement and enthusiasm and passion around Thar Rocks as a brand. The LCV, of course, we've been strong on market share, and that's been growing. I just talked about the industry, which has been more subdued, but hopefully we should start seeing a turnaround there. This is on the VRO launch, which happened in September. We believe we have a very good product. Not only is it very capable from a commercial vehicle segment point of view, but it's the first real car-like product And we've actually seen in a category like this for the first time skew to the top version, which comes with the infotainment system and all of that, which is unlike what we've seen where we've tried to do things like this in a commercial vehicle in the past. Some awards on the auto side. This is out of the FADA survey that was done. It was a large sample size survey of 5,000 customers in which we ranked number two in customer after sales experience and number two in dealer satisfaction. The last mile mobility is a segment which is electrifying really fast. Last quarter saw 20% electrification in the segment. We continue to remain number one by way of market share, but we're seeing a very, very rapid pace of adoption of electric in the three-wheeler segment. We also launched an electric four-wheeler which we call Zio, which has just happened towards the end of September. Actually, early October. The autoconsolidated numbers are very strong, 36% PBIT growth and 15% revenue growth. The margin has been very strong at 9.5%. There was some conversation around whether the 700 price drop will affect our financials and our margins and so on and so forth. We were very sure of the impact that this was going to have and the reasons why we did it. We can talk more if any of you have questions, but you can clearly see that we have been able to get an absolute profit growth and a percentage margin in spite of the actions that we took. We believe that's actually been a good enabler because 700 volumes are very strong now and we have the mix back to the top end. I'll end with this slide which is, you know, we're finally ready to reveal the two, we're calling it now electric origin SUVs. We're naming them B6E and XEV90. So these two products will be revealed in November and will be in market in early part of 2025. More of that after 26th November, the event we have in Chennai. I'll just leave you with a teaser before Amar comes and takes over.
Thank you.
I hope you are as excited as I am about these launches. I know many of you will be joining us, so look forward to seeing you all there. I'll just wrap up with some key messages. You've already heard the numbers, so I'm not going to go too much into the numbers, but here are the key messages. When you look at our consolidated performance, as Anish mentioned, this is the one time where the entire group has come together really well, and this is what is a reflection of the strategy that we have been executing to. So in the consolidated revenues, you see a huge contribution of Okto, of course, at 15%, but matched as much by the services segment at around 12%. Farm is the one where we did see some stress, primarily driven not by domestic, but by international subs. And as we mentioned, that's something that that we are going to evaluate. Again, from a long-term lens, right? These are not short-term decisions anybody is going to take. These are from a long-term, what makes sense. When you think about the same on the profit side, very strong performance from Otto again. You saw the results, 36% up in PBIT. Farm was actually up, despite the challenge on the revenue side from international subs, was up around 6%. But what has also helped is tremendous growth and profitability on the services side. Mindra Finance and TechM, of course, you've heard enough of from Anish. I'd also like to call out that the growth gems, Axelo in particular, did well. Logistics had good revenue growth, even though profitability is something that we are continuing to work on. And so overall, the group really came together this quarter. I'll call out the gain on land sale as well. Without that, it would still be a very, very impressive 22% growth for the group. Key message here is you can see the services box is as big as the auto box, right? And that's the key thing that we want our strategy to be executing towards is every part of this group should be contributing to the profit growth. And we see this and hopefully with the outlook that Rajesh laid out for the second half for the farm business, we'll continue to see some of this come from the farm segment as well. Standalone, here's what it looks like. Again, calling out the gain on land sale, but I'll remind you that last year we did have the last mile mobility gain as well. So like to like basis, this has not really impacted much of the growth. So when you look at the standalone results, they were actually very strong. And this question comes up a lot, was there any unusual outside of this? I can only tell you, look at the other income and all that, they're pretty much flat year over year. So there wasn't anything unusual. It's really the strong segment performance that you saw in auto and farm that has helped these results. Now, when you look at all of this, you'll ask the very next question, which is how should we think about the rest of the year? So we don't give guidance for rates and all that, but I can at least tell you directionally how to think about things. As Rajesh mentioned on Otto, we are very committed to what we said, which is mid to high teens growth in volumes. So that will be the tailwind. What we have to work through is we do have a lot of launch expenses, especially in Q3. So there'll be some temporary... pressure on margins that you will see, but that's not a long-term thing, it's a temporary thing. On the farm side, with the tailwind of the domestic market, we should see growth in the second half of this year, and what we need to just make sure is that the international subs we are really looking at closely to make sure nothing is dragging us down too much. And when you look at the services franchise, that should see significant growth as well, simply because Mahindra Finance credit costs should come down, as Anish mentioned. The best way to think about a financial services business and the sustainability of the results beyond the top line growth is, are you going to see credit costs stable or coming down? And when you look at the end losses, which is where we are actually saying that somebody had taken a certain amount and we lost a certain amount of what we gave out, the end losses have continued to come down in Mahindra Finance. And so that's going to result in overall credit costs coming down in the second half, and Tech-M should continue on the improvement trajectory it is on. And growth gems generally do better in the second half anyway, so we should see that as well. So that's the way to think about the consolidated results in the second half. Strong auto... should be strong firm and we should see good strength in services with some blips as we have to deal with with launch costs and marketing expenses and all that which could be one quarter to another okay with that i'll wrap up and we'll open up for questions thank you
We'll just wait for a few minutes. Is the mic already there? Okay, we can start with the Q&A. Go ahead Kapil. Kapil from . Thank you.
Congratulations team. I think a very strong performance considering it was a tough quarter generally for the industry as a whole. I'll start from that only. What are you observing as far as demand conditions are concerned? Is it still that SUV demand is fairly good and it's the car segment which is slow or even SUV demand is slowing down? and within that context for M&M as a whole, should we expect that now since you're going to launch your electrics. But we see underlying momentum for ICE products also very strong. So how should we think or how are you thinking about your capacity on the ICE side? Because most of the incremental capacity seems to be coming on BEV side, right? So is there some rethink happening on ICE capacity and ICE growth as well?
Yeah, so Kapil, I think all OEMs had a very good festival season. Not everything translated for all OEMs by way of billing growth because many were working on downstocking more than some others. But I think the festival season was good for everybody. We had a very good festival season too. We do see our momentum sustain through the remaining part of the year on the back of some of the launches which have gone very well. I do think there is fundamental stress in urban India at the moment and I think that is going to be there for some time. We are not changing our projections, as Amar said, because we believe that the products that we've launched are going to keep that momentum going, and we should hence hit for the full year 15% to 18% growth for the SUV portfolio. To your point on capacities, so we had 49,000, and we said we'll add 5,000 of Thar, which has happened, so we are at 54,000. We do... The first step for Thar rocks is to increase the fungibility. So within the 9,500, we said there was some fungibility. Within two months, we'll build full fungibility in so that we can go into any mix. Right now, there is a mix of fungibility. But we'll make that fully fungible in the next two months. So by, say, Jan, we should be fully fungible. In the next six months, we'll then also move 9 1⁄2 to 11 1⁄2. So theoretically, 54 will become 56-odd. At this point of time, we don't have an additional capacity increase plan for ICE vehicles. We do feel a need to go back to the drawing board on that, given that some of the products have done better than what we thought, 3XO being one. it has done more than what we thought so some of our plants like nasik now is like completely because 3x0 comes out of there thar is coming out of there thar rocks is coming out of there scorpio classic continues to do well so you know so so we are we are capacity constrained right now uh on some of the ice models uh we're not sure exactly what we are going to do but we will be working on what we need to do by way of strengthening the ice manufacturing footprint as well uh the ev capacities of course will start kicking in as soon as we start production and that in phase one will be adding hundred thousand We do want to, obviously there will be some cannibalization, so we do want to wait and watch for what is the extent of cannibalization, though some of the products we are sure is not going to be, for example, 3XO is not going to have any cannibalization with the electric origins that we do. I don't think Thar will either. So I think we are in that stage of calibrating that we do need to do something on ice capacity. How much of it can be tweaked within the existing infrastructure and plants that we have is what is really the exercise on hand at the moment.
Just to add to that, as you're aware, on ice we've literally gone 3x in capacity in the last four years from 19 to 56 that Adish is talking about. And at 56, we hadn't expected to be capacity constrained, and that's a good problem to have. So that's something that we will work out in terms of what's required. And electric, as Rajesh said, 100,000 is an annual number, but that's something we will add. I just want to, in a sense... clarify that any new category will take some time so I just wouldn't new category in the sense of electric I wouldn't expect the same sort of enthusiasm that is there for ice products to happen in electric starting day one and I say day one because it's electric origin products that we are bringing in. And from a product standpoint, they're outstanding. You've seen them a few months ago. But as we've seen the performance over the last few months, we feel very confident in terms of the product itself. They will speak for themselves when you see them again later this month. But the products are outstanding. If it were ICE, it would have taken off at a very, very different level. New category will take a little longer, so I just want to make sure that we have that expectation setting, in a sense, in terms of electric.
The second question, I have to ask you about the price cut you took on 700. It seems to have played out well, but very well actually. But I would like you to talk a little bit more about it. How did it play out in terms of mix? We've literally not seen any impact on margin. So is it that there were some commodity benefits or the mix itself took care of the price cut?
So Kapil, the answer is a combination of both. So when we took the decision, we had said that we've seen benefits on commodities. But more importantly, on the market-driven pricing of chips that we were buying earlier, which had pushed costs up quite significantly in the shortage era. So we were in a situation when we took this call, and that's where we started flagging this off from February onwards, that we did feel that we have to make the brand more accessible. Making the brand more accessible, we did in two steps. The first one was to launch an AX5 Select, which kind of got into the 70-odd lakh kind of price point. But we knew that that's not going to be enough, and it would need a second stage of actually making the attractive part of our portfolio very accessible, which was the two top end versions, which is the AX7 and AX7L. AX7 and AX7L were always about 75% of the mix, which had come down to about 50% of the mix. So when we took this decision, it was a combination of costs have come down, We expect that if we make the top two versions very accessible on price, the mix will go up and the total volume will go up and all of this happened. So basically the total volume went up from an average of about six to eight and a half thousand and of course in the festival season it boomed way beyond that number or our imagination. And the mix has gone up back to the top two versions about 70%, 75%. So the mix has gone up. The total volume has gone up. And actually, the top two versions are back on waiting list.
All right. Congratulations on that decision. I think it was wonderful. Thank you.
Hi team, congratulations for a good set of numbers. So I'll focus a little bit about on the automotive margin and the tractor margin outlook. So when we look at the automotive side, we clearly have the rural segment surprising on positively, urban seeing a little bit of a slowdown. In that sort of an environment, do you anticipate more sales promotion expenditure in coming quarters? Similarly, if you could also comment a little bit about raw material pricing pressure. Like one of your competitors talked about 50 basis point pressure in last quarter. So anything that you anticipate in your thing. And lastly, as you look at auto margins in the future, you also have electric vehicles coming up. Could you share a little bit thoughts about how to think about that as a percentage of mix and its impact on the auto margin? Thanks.
Yeah, so... Actually, the stress, as I mentioned earlier, is going to be more urban than rural at this point of time. We're seeing rural ease on the tractor side, which will flow over into the SUVs. LCV was one we were very tentative on till now because we're not able to understand why it wasn't picking up. I think we have a deeper understanding of that and we believe that LCV is at a point where we will start seeing market growth. One of the key drivers of that, because we were seeing tractor beginning to pick momentum but LCV wasn't and the reasons for that was a lot of LCV is driven by what happens to fruits and vegetables and there was a lot of fruit and vegetable crop that had got destroyed even as the rains were very good. There was actually, because there was flooding and very heavy rains and late rains, and we had two or three crops of fruits and vegetables being destroyed, which was affecting Monday arrivals, which has an immediate impact on LCV demand. That has changed from October onwards. So that's a big change event. And that's possibly why we've seen a better LCV momentum than we've seen on many quarters. So we're not at this point of time attributing any of the future outlook to a negative rural scenario. Roughly right now in the CV side, about 65% of our mix is rural, 35% is urban. On the SUV side, it's roughly equal, a little bit more urban, something like 58-40, 52-48 kind of thing between urban and rural. So we have actually a good mix between urban and rural. On the question on commodities, by and large benign. The rubber has seen a spike, which has some impact on tractors, and something on base metals. But by and large, at this point of time, the outlook is reasonably benign. So we are not too worried about commodity, except on the tractor side because of the rubber. Of course, some of that will impact tires on the auto side, but that's a small percentage of total tractor cost. On the Born Electric, the EV portfolio that we launched, that's a separate company. As you all know, it's a separate subsidiary. The percentage margins are going to be significantly lower. because of the denominator effect. We will call that out separately so you can see the two margins separately. Initially, as Amar called out, there will be marketing costs. For example, we will have marketing costs in quarter three with no sale because we are starting the build-up. We will have some depreciation that will start to kick in in the quarter, against which there's going to be no revenue. So there is Some call out that we are doing on quarter three on electric as we are going into the build up. But that will show as part of the consolidated and subsidiary. That's not going to be a part of the standalone since that's a separate company. Over a period of time, we do expect the unit margin, which is the value based rupees per unit margin, to be similar to ICE as we get past the launch phase. But as a percentage, that's going to be definitely much lower than ICE because of the denominator effect. So we just need to keep that and we'll call that out separately so you can see the effect of that of ICE versus EV because of the GST difference.
And you will also be eligible for PLI like you'll go through that process?
Yeah, we hope to be eligible for PLI. So the process now, we will hopefully by end November, early December file the applications for a few of the variants. That is a 90-day process to get the approval, which is based on them validating the DVA and so on and so forth. So we will not be ready to submit all the variants at one time because it's a huge amount of documentation that needs to be done. So we will do that and we will have some production in this year which would not be PLI because You have a 90-day window to get the certification. And now anything that is produced before the certificate, you can't claim for PLI. So there's going to be some transition issue. But fundamentally, we expect to get PLI once we get the approvals done after the 90-day of submission, which will be for a few variants to begin with, and then we'll add some as we go. Thanks.
Just take a couple of questions online. Anish, this is for you from SBI Pension Fund. Anish has asked the question, are we looking at buying a stake in Volkswagen India? What are the synergies, if any?
Volkswagen. As I've said last time, we continue to have discussions across our group companies with various opportunities. And if we feel at any point in time that an opportunity makes sense, it's profitable for us, meets the conditions we've laid out, then we will have a further conversation and have the discussion with you as well.
There's another question from Bank of America, Gunjan. Among the unlisted subsidiaries such as Asilo and Last Mile, which ones are the ones which are most advanced in terms of scale and profitability? And also, which are the ones which could go public first?
Interesting question, Gunjan. I would say that all of our growth chips are actually firing on all cylinders right now. I talked about our renewables business sustained there. The Invit is already a listed entity. We've got a very good team in the Invit. The Invit's doing well. The core business is growing at a very, very rapid pace right now. Our aerospace business is seeing a lot of very strong tailwinds and strong partnerships with global OEMs. And that's one business which is a very solid business because once you have those partnerships and once the products are in place, it's really something that continues for a very long time because it takes sometimes even two years to get a new product or get a product approved by the OEMs and start to deliver it to them. So that's one business from an aerospace standpoint that can be very strong. Last mile mobility, we've seen significant growth that we've talked about, but the business continues to grow at a very rapid pace as well. And that's one that even after going from a 50 million valuation to an 800 million valuation, we are optimistic of that business growing from that base still 405X over the next few years. And therefore, that would be on a very strong trajectory. Real estate business, as I mentioned earlier, has seen the benefit of tailwinds. But beyond the tailwinds, it's being run very well. And it's been driving profitability, which is important from our standpoint. So we're seeing a lot of progress across many of the growth gems. And they're on the path that we had laid out for them. In terms of whether we go public or not, really not concerned about that a whole lot. We don't need the capital. So from that perspective, it doesn't really matter as much. We will find ways to unlock the gains in these as we have been doing and sometimes getting private equity firms in as well. There we've been doing that not as much for capital, but more around... expertise they can bring in, doors that they can open for us and helping us in some cases validate the fact that it makes sense for us to do a lot more in that space. So we will find ways to unlock profitability in those businesses and if that means we go public, we will at some point. But our focus right now is on building strong businesses for the long term and as we do that, we will see the benefits of that.
Please go ahead.
Hi, this is Aditya from Investec. Question on margins. This is from a slightly longer term perspective. So if you take a two to three perspective, how should we think about auto business margin? So clearly we are gaining market share. The mix is also changing favorably. And if you can throw some light on the profitability of LCVs versus autos, and incremental product launches, especially in the autos, you know, to address the white spaces, maybe at a lower price point than XQV700. How should we overall think about profitability from a two to three year perspective for the auto business?
So, what we've laid out before is, there is, we did have a F19 as a good benchmark, where the auto business was roughly at around 10% margin, right? PBIT. And that that remains, let's call it a medium-term goal for the business to first hit. And then, of course, we would like to go higher than that. But in terms of how to think about it with all those dynamics, I don't think we think about it like that, because it's not just that there are a lot more levers in that business. Scale brings you a lot of efficiency. The mix is a very big factor as you have seen in the last couple of quarters. So it's less driven by this mix has to be like this or LCV and this has to be. It's just a goal that we have set for ourselves so that we keep doing better quarter over quarter. That's the only guidance that we'd like to offer at this time is that our endeavor is to try and first hit the F19 levels and then try to go higher.
Did I just want to add to that and, you know, we... The one thing we are very mindful of is keeping the balance between growth and margin right. And that's a trade-off that we always at every stage have to be careful of. I mean Kapil just asked a lot of questions on 7.00 and obviously all of you were very apprehensive. But we believed that we had to take a call to get the price right so that we kept growth going. If we were over-obsessed with the impact that debt could have on margin as a percentage, it played out well. But if we were, we wouldn't have taken that call, which would have ultimately led to slower growth and ultimately led to lower margin. So I think we, our view will be or our input will be that trust us to make the right calls in a way that we are able to manage the trade-off between growth and margin. Because if growth slows, margin is definitely going to go down with time. So on a medium term basis, we have to make sure that we keep the growth momentum going, which means we have to take decisions which allow us to protect our volumes when they need to be protected. I mean, you know, you would have all read in the press that we did correct the Thar three-door price as soon as we launched Thar. And because there was, as soon as we launched ROX, we did not do a price drop, but we did do a scheme. And that suddenly got that brand into a totally different momentum, where we've now suddenly very attractive to people who are buying subcompact SUVs. So at the price point at which the three-door was going the last one and a half, two months, it just opened up a totally different market and we, you know, got into huge demand momentum on three-door in spite of the rocks. So, you know, there are times when we have to take these calls in the best interest of protecting long-term growth. And we are sure that as long as long-term growth is coming, margins will come and improve as Amar is saying. Margins are not going to come if we make the wrong choices or the wrong calls. They will come only when we are ensuring growth.
I'm just going to go back to Gunjan's question and talk about two more subsidiaries which I should have mentioned in the previous response. One is around classic legends. The business is starting to get on a very good track now. And we're starting to see some momentum that's built up and that will likely continue. And the second is hospitality. This is one space which is going to grow dramatically in India. And so is logistics. I'll mention that as well. But hospitality is one space where we've got a business that delivers very strong customer... We get very strong customer feedback whenever they go to resorts. So we have the ability to... deliver a very strong product to customers and this is one space where we feel that we want to invest more and we're waiting to see from the team a strong plan that delivers returns on that investment before we invest more but that's again a space that we were very bullish about.
Thanks a lot. Yeah. Just a clarification, the margin aspiration is for ICE or you're including EVs here? Because earlier we said no without EVs. The question was very specific to ICE. Just want to clarify. And Rajesh, question to you on the demand color. the stress was you're talking about is just a desperation the growth rate or you started seeing urban pockets seeing volume stagnation or decline because we need to be mindful that we've had a spectacular three four year run as a category passenger cars and suvs so is it just a breather what the segment is saying or the what the customer you're seeing or Are you genuinely seeing deceleration in inquiry rates? There's one thing that inquiries are good, conversion is slowed down because for whatever macroeconomic factors. Or one, there is a general slowdown even in the inquiry and the walk-ins and everything. So just some more color on that. And when you talk about urban, sorry, the rural bit doing better, it's just that rural growth rates are better than urban or rural is accelerating in a meaningful way for you because that has huge implications on the lower end of the SUV portfolio for you and even some bit of potential to uptrade on the replacement cycle from the traditional Boleros to the Scorpio ends and then henceforth. So if you can just provide more color on that, that would be very helpful.
Yeah. So firstly, just the long-term view on the passenger vehicle market in India, I think is going to be, we're very buoyant and positive about that because the pace at which the nation is getting connected with highways is going to be a big growth enabler to the category. That is, and we believe we'll be one of the key peoples to gain out of that because our vehicles are the kind of vehicles that people want to take and get away from. travel from city A to city B kind of thing because it's a part of fun, adventure, exploration and so on. So we believe overall the automotive passenger vehicle segment will have a very healthy CAGR. We are you know very under penetrated as a nation for passenger vehicles compared to many other parts of the world and the long-term story is robust. It's hard for us to say how the industry is on inquiry to conversion funnel because We've not seen stress either in the funnel or in the conversion by and large over the last few months. So I really can't comment on whether other OEMs are seeing a problem on the funnel. The sense that we have is out of the festival season, most OEMs have had a very, very good off-take. Obviously, November and December is going to be slow for the industry. That always is as you are changing the model code year and so on. We now have to see what happens Jan onwards. I think there were two key barriers to the slowdown that happened in the early part of this year, one of which was the elections, which led to a reduction in you know overall government spending and we've seen in businesses where we or products where we have government orders there's been like a complete literally it's now slowly inching back so wherever you know there was government buying of vehicles all of that for the last 4-5 months has been very, very, very slow. So anyone who had a business dependent on that segment has been slow. The heat waves across the country, you know, and then the flooding in many parts of the country, I think all of these were kind of climatic barriers in a manner of speaking. So hopefully I think some of these things are behind because That led to an inventory build-up because nobody saw that coming to the extent at which it happened, which led to an inventory build-up more than what was expected. I think most of the industries kind of cleared it off. And hopefully it will be a fresh start for most people post-January.
The rural up-trading.
Yeah. It's been many quarters of a slow rural growth, which is affecting us more on the LCV side because we haven't seen a slowdown on some of our rural products like Scorpio Classic or even Scorpio N is strong in rural. So we hadn't seen that. We had seen that in Bolero. So I would think the lower end, which is the minus 10 lakhs rural, was probably under a lot of stress because we were seeing that in Bolero. We were not seeing that in 3XO because maybe it was a new product and whatever. So for us on the passenger vehicle side, the slowdown that we had seen was really in Bolero, where it wasn't like we were de-growing, but we were not getting growth. That has been good in the festival season as well. Whether that will sustain or not is something that one needs to see. But I think you've heard some OEMs talk about the increase in number of marriages this year and so on, which are all trigger points to buying. So that's probably going to have an effect on rural demand as we go into the next few months as well.
Sounds good. Second question to Anush on the collaboration side. What are the top three to five things which you're seeking when you're looking at a partner or things which you should get those synergies? Otherwise, there's no point. So what are the top four or five things which you're looking at when you're thinking about synergies? And within that, does optionality of hybrid also feature in that list? Yeah.
So I'm glad you asked that because I don't think I fully answered the question from SBI pension fund. So this will help add to that question as well. So first is there has to be a strategic long term benefit that can be clearly articulated for us. That includes access to technology. That includes the potential for the partnership to do more potentially outside India longer term, even though it may not do something in the short term. The second aspect is that there has to be a true partnership where both partners are looking for each other to win in that partnership as well, not just for themselves to win. Because that's really what a true partnership would be. Third is obviously financial returns. So if you're going to put capital into anything we do, what do we get back from it? It's OK if we don't get back something in the next year or two or three. We are not looking at short term. We are not looking at quarter to quarter. And we will come and explain where certain quarters may be lower for whatever reason. But what we're looking at is building businesses for the long term that really makes sense. So if we do have to take a hit in the first year or two or three, why are we taking that hit? Is there a significant benefit in year four, five, and six that we see as a result of it? So these are the main sets of things that we would look at in terms of anything that we would do. And that's part of various discussions we have.
Anish, what will you not do? Because some global OEMs would definitely love to have you as a partner who will take over the India operation. sort of reduce their capital exposure to the business. So is there a thing that we will not take exposure in a legacy business? It has to be a clean start, new venture, new businesses, or it can be including the existing businesses which are probably not doing well or bleeding.
See, it has to make sense over time. It's not something that we're going to do if there's any opportunity. I'm not talking about this in auto only. If it's a short-term opportunity, what, two or three years, we're going to look at is it really worth our time? Is it meaningful? So for us, as I said, we want to build businesses for the long term. Now, I don't look at ice as a legacy thing in itself, because ice will have a runway for a long time at this point in time. And we will, to Kapil's question earlier as well, we will continue to invest in ice, because a lot of capacities are fungible as well between ice and electric. That part doesn't worry us a whole lot. The key is, is it set up as a true partnership where both partners win? Is there a real financial benefit from there? Are there potential other things you could do in the future that are not contemplated in the short run? If all of those things make sense, then yes, that's something that would make sense for us to do.
Thanks a lot.
Raghu, please go ahead.
Thank you, sir, for the opportunity and festive greetings. So firstly, on the festive side, on the UVs and tractors, if you can share some numbers, how was the growth, say, first 32 or 35 days? And post-festive, how is the inventory? And as of now, if you can also talk about what could be the pending order book for some of the key models. That's the first question.
Yeah, the first question had three questions . Okay, so we'll avoid getting into the specific retail growth, but it's been stronger than the billing growth by way, way, way more margin than the rate of growth that we had on the billings. The dealer stock is way below 30 days and we are at a very, very comfortable level of dealer stock as we ended October and gone into November. So we feel, I'm talking about the auto side, I'll come to tractors in a minute. So we feel very good about the way the off-takes have been in the season for across the portfolio. I don't think we'll get into more detail on the specific numbers, but that's on the auto side. On the tractor side, the retail off-take, like I said, during the season was a strong double digit. That means the retail momentum in the festival time. which is what gives us confidence that, and I'm talking like to like, so which is the start of Navratra to Diwali, so it's a comparable, the comparable festival time was a strong double digit, which is what gives us confidence that the second half will be very good. We do need to do some corrections still on tractor inventory, and we will do that over the next three, four, five months, but it's not a very significant amount and It's not something that we are very worried about, but we do need some further correction to be done on the tractor inventory.
Thanks, sir. Second, on the tractor side, wanted your thoughts on two aspects.
One is… Sir, you also asked about the waiting, booking numbers, which we said we are not going to share. So, we'll just stay away from that. Okay.
So on the tractor side, a couple of aspects where I wanted your thoughts. One is on the trim phi, has the date been confirmed? Is it for all vehicles below 50, or is there a range 25 to 50 HP? And say the La Nina was confirmed by IMD in September. Generally, historically, whenever Lanina is confirmed. It stays for 1 to 3 years. So ideally it means that the next year monsoon is also sorted. So given these two factors, how do you see FI26 panning out on the growth?
The date for Tram 5 as of now is April 26. It's still at a draft level and we would be very surprised if it happens in April 2026. It's for all the product, between 25 to 50 horsepower, which is really 90% of the industry, literally, right? Roughly 90% of the industry. We would be very surprised if that happens in April 2026. I would be less worried about the rainfall next year. We are hoping it will be good and like you are saying, it is expected to be good. The reason for that is the reservoir levels are very good, which is a very good indicator. This is among the best reservoir levels we have seen in many, many years. So it's way above the LPAs, which is a very good starting point for the agri-centre next year. This year what had happened is, the reservoir levels itself had gone down to very low levels. So you didn't have that effect going into the monsoon. And hence there was a negative effect of a poor monsoon or an average monsoon of last year, followed by a dropping reservoir level. But this time, we have the benefit of good monsoon, good reservoir levels. That will spill over into a positive sentiment into next year. So we would be, as things stand now, optimistic of a good F26.
Thanks, sir. We've run out of time. As closing remarks on behalf of Mahindra and Mahindra, I thank all of you.
Just one comment I want to make before we close is something that Amar mentioned on one of his charts, which I think is an important one to point out. Our services businesses have contributed more to M&M's profits than our tractor business has in this quarter. And while that has been the case sometimes in the past as well, we're starting to see that uptake again. So as we think about M&M, we think about it as a business that operates across multiple sectors in India and really can drive India's growth forward. And this is an important inflection point from a services standpoint as well. So with that, go ahead with the closing.
Thanks. Thanks, Anish. So thanks, all of you, for joining us today. And have a great evening and please join us for snacks. Thank you.