3/13/2024

speaker
Dan Frumkin
Chief Executive Officer, Metro Bank

Good morning. Welcome to Metro Bank's Full Year Results 2023. I'm Dan Frumkin, the CEO of Metro Bank, which I hope you actually knew. I'm joined by Christina this morning, who is interim CFO and will walk through the financials. Christina was kind enough to join us and we were lucky enough to recruit her. She has lots of experience from her time at GE Capital. and then in Oak North. She'll make the handover to Mark Page, who we announced as our permanent CFO, who will be joining us late in the summer or early in the autumn. And we're excited Mark's joining us. His experience, both at Barclays, Lloyds, and Halifax, means he has a deep knowledge of the UK retail banking, which is where we are focused and going to stretch our legs. So with that, let me kick on with the presentation. I'm going to talk for a few minutes, then I'm going to turn it over to Christina. So listen, significant progress in 2023. 2023, from an operational perspective, was an excellent year. We delivered across almost every key KPI. The strategy is working. The results coming off the back of the strategy are self-evident in the numbers. Deposits grew in the second half of the year. They were up 1% half on half. They continued to grow into February. At the end of February, we had 16.5 billion pounds of deposits. That is within 100 million of the highest ever in the history of Metro Bank. Costs. We remain disciplined about cost. We remain disciplined about reducing cost. We guided initially $30 million of cost savings when we did the capital raise. We increased that to $50. That $50 million has been actioned and will be delivered by early April. In addition, we're increasing guidance from $50 million to $80 million by identifying another $30 million in cost savings on a run rate basis by the end of the year. we opened 246,000 PCA and BCA accounts. That is the most we've ever done in the history of the bank. In the second half of 2023, we opened the same number of PCA and BCA accounts that we did in the second half of 2022. We also solidified our capital position and have no debt maturities until 2028. And I want to make sure I take a moment right now to thank all of the support received, all of the folks who invested in the business, be they equity or debt, believe in the model. We were able to successfully reposition the capital stack because people believe in the path forward for Metro. They believe in our service-led, store-based proposition. And all of that was only possible because of all of the hard work and dedication of our colleagues. Everybody who invested has some experience with Metro. Every key stakeholder, be it a regulator or others, has interacted with Metro. They may walk into a store. They may have a cousin, an aunt, an uncle who banks with us. Every time we look after somebody at the tills, every time we have a conversation with a CSR, every time we answer the phones in a maze direct. All of that leads to the belief that Metro is special, different, and has a wonderful path forward. I think some people were expecting a different strategy to be announced today. I think people thought we would be somehow different. We're not. We still remain a people-people bank focused on our colleagues, our customers, and our communities. We're very much focused on being the number one community bank in the U.K., We will make a pivot to SME lending and commercial, but we already have it. We already have teams, we already have systems, we already have platforms, but we will continue to stretch our legs in that area. And we continue to give back in the communities we're a part of. And we continue to win awards. I think one of the things that I think everybody should be aware of is the resilience of Metro Bank's model. So if you look at the middle, upper chart, deposits grew half on half and they continued to grow as we got into 2024. They grew by almost a billion pounds year to date. I'm not sure anybody turning up today expected Metro to be talking about the fact that it has too much liquidity, that it actually has too much cash. But that's where we find ourselves today. because of the success of the deposit campaign we ran in quarter four. On the left-hand side, we continue to grow our lending yield, and we continue to be disciplined about cost of deposits, although cost of deposits will clearly be under pressure as we get into 24. But again, that creates opportunities for us to move forward. And I want to just spend a moment and highlight on the upper left, you'll notice we brought cost of deposits down and held it, to a large part of 20 and 21 into 22, before it started to grow during 2023, that discipline around cost of deposits is proof we will begin to bring down cost of deposits and improve NIM as we make our way through 24. And all of that growth was in a market that's under real pressure. So business current accounts, personal current accounts, Nibbles, non-interest bearing liabilities, as an industry, have been under real pressure. You can see that from the bottom graph. That dividend of COVID where people weren't doing anything, spending any money, the reality is this balance is built up in current accounts. Clearly, as the economy's picked up, activities increased, current account balances are drifting down. And on the right-hand side, Christina will talk about this more, but all of that is just opportunity. All of that is opportunity to expand NIM and grow Rhody. We have Too many deposits, too much liquidity, and we have a loan-to-deposit ratio that is significantly lower than our peer group. That mix will allow us to bring down cost of deposits and increase RODI. And with that, I'm going to turn it over to Christina, who will walk you through the financials. Thank you.

speaker
Cristina Albaochoa
Interim Chief Financial Officer, Metro Bank

Thank you, Dan. And good morning, everyone. As Dan said, I'm Cristina Albaochoa. I'm the interim CFO, and I'm going to be taking you through the financials today. Looking at the key performance indicators here in this slide, you can see the points that Dan has made are crystallized here. We've raised customer accounts to over $3 million. The customer deposit balances as we finished last year were at $15.6 billion, but as Dan anticipated a minute ago, we are already at $16.5 billion as we see here end of February. Liquidity coverage ratio is very strong, which demonstrates that we've been very successful raising those deposits. We are above 360% at the moment, and that is the highest we've ever had, which means an opportunity to optimize that. On the lower half of the page, we can see high level how margins progress and the improvement in the bottom line. As close as a year at 188%, reflecting the improved product mix with increased yields and the very active management cost of deposits that we're going to detail later in another slide. On the absolute numbers and net fees and other income, we have seen a very good evolution of these. And last year, they were up 12%. And they've been increasing year on year on the back of the transactional activity, FX, the offer service that we've got, the combination between stores and online. And this speaks to the benefits of our full service offering. All in all, this reflects the positive moments over the P&L. On a statutory basis, you can see we've turned a profit of 31 million, and that's coming on the back of the benefit of a one-off for refinancing the tier two debt. And the underlying loss has reduced to 17 million. This is significantly below last year, 51 million, and even lower what we saw at the levels of 2020. Talking about capital, that was a big topic during last year. You're aware, we have strengthened our capital position. We are now operating at 22% MREL, and that's above minimum requirements and buffers. And we've extended all our debt. MREL is going to be having a call date in 2028, and tier 2 debt as we move back to 2029. This gives us Very good, strong position, and the headroom that we need to optimize the portfolio. If we're looking at the composition of the liabilities and our deposits, we can see that 37%, as we close the year, are non-interest-based liabilities. And on the back of the tactical campaigns that we did to raise deposits on the fourth quarter, we've increased the fixed-term deposits up to 13%. Customer type, most of that decrease came from SMEs, but as we said now in February, of the total $16.5 billion we've got, the mix is shifting back to what we had in 2022. Looking at the right-hand side of this page, I think it's important that we take a moment to realize that the first half of last year, we had record openings and accounts, and then in the second half, we went back to the run rate of the prior years, even higher. And this is despite all the challenges that were faced during the fourth quarter. I like looking at the bottom right of the page where we can see that the peer analysis shows that Metro Bank model still proves very resilient and above average on the non-interest income liabilities with 37%, which is more than double the average market. If we look at the next slide, we've got on the assets, the shift on lending, it's a work in progress. We're going through transitional years. We finished last year with 63% mortgages because we were pushing initially this area at the beginning of last year. As we continue to evaluate A or B over the medium term, we're going to build our balance sheet more fit for a standardized model. as we transition our mortgage portfolio and will pivot more to specialized mortgages and commercial lending. We are starting to see very good signs on the SME lending in the first two months of 2024. We've already seen more approvals in these two months than what we did in the whole of 2023, proving that we have the resources and operational capabilities to do it. Commercial lending, you can see, stays in line at 11%, and the government-backed lending is running off following the natural attrition. If you look at the bottom of the page, you can see that there's a significant increase in yield over risk-weighted assets, and it's almost double what we had in 2020. This is not random. It's a deliberate focus on improving the product mix, also coupled with capital resources consumption. So our main goal is to drive towards sustainable profitability. If we look at the right-hand side of the slide, our fixed rate lending and treasury assets are going to be benefiting simply by repricing as the natural maturities are going to be running off and repricing. The quality of our lending has not decreased. We have very good credit streams and you can see The levels of our provisions remain very stable. We have good management of ECL. On the commercial side, even, you can see a small reduction in single-name exposure. That active management and focus on asset rotation of the balance sheet is obviously translating very positively onto the P&L. You can see here the improvements in the underlying net interest income. It has gone up to $860 million, again, demonstrating the shift into the mix with higher-yielding assets and benefiting from all the range of services of FX, safety deposit boxes, and again, the value of our stores and online products. NIM has remained broadly stable to the 188%, up from the 182% last year, benefiting from the asset rotation. But then you can see here we have an impact, a negative impact, from the cost of the very successful deposit campaign that we did in the fourth quarter. That increase in revenue is the biggest contributor to the improvement in cost-to-income ratio that, as you can see, over the last four years has come down significantly. Coupled with our actions at the margin level, we have been taking a very disciplined approach to cost. Dan has already mentioned that we had an initial commitment of 30 million round rate cost decrease, and we've raised that to 50 million, which is almost all action as we are sitting here, and it will be all action by mid-April. We are now increasing that target to achieve 30 million of annualised cost savings by the end of the fourth quarter and that's going to come through a mix of different initiatives from procurement negotiation to optimising the cost of third party suppliers. If you look at our treasury portfolio, which is sitting at 8.8 billion, you can see how it is progressing. We are going to be seeing here again the benefit of the running of lower yielding assets, and they're going to be replaced by higher yielding assets over the next three to four years. We are very actively going to be managing our LCR. Again, the success, we've been victims of the success of the deposit campaign that we launched at the end of last year. The February 2024 position, we are at record LCR and we are going to be very tactical on how we approach and optimize this deposit base so that the cost of deposit benefits going forward. we're going to be letting these deposits that were tactical raised, they're going to be running off and repriced at lower rates. So looking at all the 2023, the events of the year, the headwinds that we saw on the market with the lower rates, the headwinds that we saw, idiosyncratic events as well with our... speculative news that we had that led to a bit of pressure on our liquidity, you can see that we are very proud of what we achieved in 2023. Guidance in general has moved down in several of our peers because of that compressing margin and lower benchmarks and top rates. Our ambition for 2024 is going in line with what we said earlier. We are targeting long growth of mid-single digit over the next five years and focusing on optimizing our use of capital and deliver high return on risk-weighted assets. We are going to see over time that our asset density is shifting, which will support this higher yield and the NIM, and then as a result, our cost-to-income ratio is going to be benefiting very much from this change. This is not going to be compromising our risk appetite. We're going to be tailoring credit processes and the discipline around credit is going to continue. Ultimately, we're targeting to a cost-to-income ratio by 2028, close to 60%. And with regards to return on equity, we are aiming for low single digits by 2025, then upper single digits by 2026, and then move to a low mid-teens thereafter. With this, I'll thank you, and I'll hand back to Dan.

speaker
Dan Frumkin
Chief Executive Officer, Metro Bank

Thank you, Cristina. I'm really glad you're here. So let's just finish up with just a couple of slides about where we go from here. So we've talked about pivoting to SME and specialist mortgages. I think the slide draws you to the two boxes. Your eye just immediately goes to the two boxes. I just want to raise your eyes up just ever so slightly to look at the two bullets. So the turnaround plan we've already delivered has given us scalable asset generating platforms that are primed for growth. So we have been working for a few years to get to a position to be able to stretch our legs. And the second bullet point, I can only tell you how nice it is to have capital to allocate. So we are now in a position where we can unleash the embedded potential that we've built over the last few years. So in SME, commercial and corporate, we already have the people, the platforms, and the products to meaningfully grow that business. We have a strong relationship channel that is well-established, well-skilled, and well-positioned. We have a credit team that's independent of the line that is seasoned, knowledgeable, and happy to challenge. But we can still do more. There are more sectors. There's more process simplification we can do to free up more time, both on the credit teams and the relationship management teams, to give us more time to look after new customers and service existing. And we'll continue to expand in the regions. We already have local business managers, local directors, and regional commercial lenders in the north of England right now, before the stores. And in specialist mortgages, we have the people. We're really knowledgeable in the space. We have a great manual underwriting process. We have some work to do on platforms, and we have some work to do on products. Both of those things will let us stretch our legs and continue to deliver more growth. This slide's here for two reasons. I won't spend much time on it. But these have been the five pillars since the day I arrived. Our strategy is not changing. We will continue to deliver as we have up until this point. I will just drag your attention down to the very last bullet points on a few of the graphs, on a few of the boxes. So in revenue, we target a roadie of low to mid-teens by 2027. We're targeting 60% cost-to-income ratio by 2027. Those are outstanding numbers. And in balance sheet optimization, we say optimize for risk-adjusted return on capital. What does that mean? It means we will trade the balance sheet if the right opportunity comes up. We chose not to move forward with the mortgage sale because we didn't think it provided the right risk-adjusted return for ourselves. If an opportunity came up where we could trade part of the balance sheet, we would look at it. We will be as aggressive as we need to be to drive the overall profitability of the organization. So 2023 performance, repositioning the balance sheet for higher risk-adjusted return on regulatory capital and position us for growth. You'll see that we talk about SME commercial banking and specialists being where we're going to grow. We talk about growing low-cost, sticky deposits, current accounts, non-interest-bearing liabilities. Christina made it very clear that as we sit here today, our non-interest-bearing liabilities as a percentage of overall deposits are twice, twice what is in the market. The deposit franchise works. We have some elevated liquidity, which gives us some optionality. We can put it to work in higher-yielding assets. We can be more disciplined about pricing and deposits. It gives us optionality. And we do have a broadly naturally hedged balance sheet. And what does that mean? It means you need to be patient. We don't get the benefit of hedges that some of our competitors get. We actually need the assets to reprice. So in the upper right, we've shown this chart a few times. The dots keep moving a little bit, but broadly, Metro is still uniquely positioned where it has a low cost of deposits and a good risk-adjusted lending yield. We're committed to moving that dot to the right and not too far to the south. And listen, you say, how are you going to deliver low to mid-teens or OD in 2027? That seems like a pipe dream. It seems almost impossible from where you are. It's actually really a quite simple path. There is lots of execution that needs to occur, but by now I hope we've demonstrated our ability to deliver. So we need to be disciplined about cost. 24 costs will be lower than 23, and 25 costs will be lower than 24. I think given the fact that we've already delivered the 50 million savings we guided to in October... I think you can trust us that we will be disciplined about cost. Asset rotation. We need to grow commercial and corporate banking. Commercial lending decreased 14% last year because of the constraints that Metro was under. To date this year, we have already credit approved. So independent of the line, credit approved. enough lending that it equals 140% of all of the lending we did during 2023. So in 10 weeks, we've approved 140% of all of the lending we did last year. So I think the asset rotation, you can have confidence we're going to deliver. We can improve the cost of deposits. We've shown you how we can do it before. We will do it again. And again... In terms of asset repricing, we just need the earth to continue to rotate on its axis and continue to rotate around the sun. We just need time to pass. We have $2.6 billion of fixed-rate treasury investments that roll off between now and 2026 that earn us less than 90 basis points. That will create a huge uplift in NIM and a huge uplift in RODI. So you need to believe we can deliver costs, you need to believe we can rotate assets to higher yielding, better risk-adjusted returns, you need to believe we can bring down COD, and you need to just let time pass for assets to reprice. When we do all of that, we will quintuple profits between 2025 and 2028. There are not any other banks I'm aware of that are guiding a quintupling of profitability. Metro is uniquely positioned, finally in a place where it can stretch its legs. And I'm very confident in the growth from here. And with that, I'm happy to take your questions. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, please press star followed by two. When preparing to ask your question, please ensure your device is unmuted locally. Our first question today comes from Benjamin Toms with RBC. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Benjamin Toms
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Good morning, both. Thank you for taking my questions too, please. Firstly, on this morning's guidance, the cost story is clearly positive. However, your ROT guidance, broadly speaking, has been pushed out a year with today's results. I know, Dan, that you mentioned in the presentation that you're naturally hedged, but one of the key drivers in the change in your guidance looks like it's the change in market rate expectations. Can you just remind us of Metro's NII sensitivity to 100 base points parallel shift in rate expectations, please? And then secondly, on consolidation, we've had a number of announcements since you last reported on consolidation in the space. Most recently, that was nationwide and Virgin Money with a potential tie-up. Could you give us your thoughts on what impacts you think these transactions could have on competition and whether you expect that Metrobank will be part of that story over the medium term? Thank you.

speaker
Dan Frumkin
Chief Executive Officer, Metro Bank

Thanks, Ben. I'll turn it over to Christina for the 100 basis point move. We may need to get back to you on that. In terms of the cost story, you're right. I think delivering the $50 million by the beginning of April is a really strong story. In terms of guidance, inevitably, it has been pushed back a year, I think, by three really big drivers. One is macroeconomic environment. When we guided in October, rates are meaningfully different than they were. We used Moody's forecast. If you go back and look at Moody's forecast in October for base rate going forward, it was meaningfully higher than where they are today. So Moody's now expects base rate to decrease quicker. And also swap rates have moved meaningfully between October and today. So there's definitely the macro event. I do think there's a bit of industry specific. So I think deposit competition is greater than it's ever been. I think part of that is because TFSME needs to be repaid and other participants will be chasing liquidity to try to be able to repay their TFSME drawings. And then I think lastly, there's some idiosyncratic things with a bit of deposit flight caused by the noise for us. But also the capital constraints we had did mean that we constrained lending meaningfully during 2023, which does affect our NIM. So, again, you saw and I mentioned the commercial reduction. But even mortgages, I think, grew 2 percent year on year. Overall lending, I think, was down 6 percent year on year. The reality is, is we've had to constrain that. I'll come back to consolidation in terms of 100 basis point move.

speaker
Cristina Albaochoa
Interim Chief Financial Officer, Metro Bank

Well, as you know, we manage our interest rate risk quite conservatively, right? So we're naturally hedged. However, the fact that we've got current accounts at a very low interest paying already, so we are going to be impacted by a decrease in interest rates. But I don't have here the impact of the $100 billion. We'll have to come back to you.

speaker
Dan Frumkin
Chief Executive Officer, Metro Bank

And then in terms of the consolidation, the acquisition activity, Listen, I can't really comment on speculation. From our perspective, Nationwide's a good bank. Virgin's a good bank. We compete against them, and we beat them every day. So bringing them together doesn't change the competitive landscape for us. I'm very focused. There was an old – this isn't going to really sell to this audience, but there's an old college basketball coach in America by the name of John Wooden, one of the most successful coaches in history in any sport. And he always focused on his team. He just wanted his team to be the best version of themselves they could be. And he was confident if they did that, they would get great results. And I feel that way about Metro. I don't really worry about the competition. I just worry about being the best version of ourselves we can be. And in terms of whether we have a role to play in that consolidation, I would say we have a shareholder base that is much better positioned today than it was pre-October. to take advantage of opportunities if and when they arise. But mostly and almost exclusively, we're focused on the organic plan. Again, getting to a low to mid-teens roadie by 2027 is a really, really strong performance. Being able to quintuple profits over a few years is a really strong performance. We're very focused on the organic path forward. But again, we now do have a a capital base that makes conversations a bit easier to have if we choose to.

speaker
Benjamin Toms
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from Grace Dargan with Barclays. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Grace Dargan
Analyst, Barclays

Hi, morning. Thank you very much for taking my questions. So, firstly, maybe I can just kind of come a little bit back to that ROTE point, just thinking more near term in terms of profitability. And you've obviously given a steer on the shape, I guess, you're thinking for NIM. But maybe if I can push you for some commentary on profitability in 24, how you're thinking about that, kind of if there's a shape there, bearing in mind the headwinds you're kind of calling out in the first half of the year. And then secondly, just on the, I guess you were previously talking about that mortgage portfolio sale, just maybe to push a little bit more on why you decided to step back from that. And I guess your plans for that portfolio in the context of kind of shifting into that higher yielding lending, how you're thinking about that now. That would be very helpful. Thanks, both.

speaker
Dan Frumkin
Chief Executive Officer, Metro Bank

Yeah, thanks, Grace. As always, really thoughtful. So thank you so much. So listen, I think there's a couple of bets. So I think we just need to be direct. I mean, we've got it to low single-digit return on tangible equity for 2025, which I think implies pretty clearly that 2024 will most likely be a loss-making year. I mean, I think if it wasn't going to be, we would have got it to low single-digit return on tangible equity in 2024, and we didn't. I think the reality is your point is spot on, and that is the headwinds in the first half of the year. So I honestly expect that the fourth quarter of 2024 will be much stronger than the first quarter of 2024. I expect the second half of 2024 to be stronger than the first half of 2024. We need time to work through the excess liquidity. We need time to get lending out the door to be able to start to shift the lending mix and increase margin. We just need a bit of time to reposition it. But we are very confident that where we end up in quarter four, 24 positions does very well for the delivery next year. And I think those headwinds are well known. And by the way, they're not idiosyncratic. They're not just metro headwinds. I mean, there are truly macro headwinds and industry specific headwinds that are affecting 24 performance. In terms of the mortgage portfolio sale, to be honest, the counterparty we were working with was exceptional. They were diligent, knowledgeable, and we worked hard with them to try to get to a conclusion. We got to a point where actually the price just didn't work for us. And so, therefore, we decided to pull the portfolio back, and we think it gives us a better risk-adjusted return over time by owning the portfolio. Now, in terms of that portfolio specifically, it was a relatively short, derated portfolio. When we were dealing with the counterparty, they really wanted the underlying customers at the point where they would reprice potentially. And so they were really focused on retention as much as anything else. So in a lot of respects, you'll see in Christina's slides where we talk about the residential mortgage portfolio and how it rolls off and how it reprices, potentially reprices. A lot of what we were selling was the 24 and early 25 roll off. Ultimately, that book is already delivering increases in yields for us over time. However, in terms of mortgage sales overall, given the changes in swap rates, maybe there's something we would do there. I think we've proven that we will trade the balance sheet if it makes sense for all stakeholders.

speaker
Grace Dargan
Analyst, Barclays

That's very clear. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator

We now turn to Edward Firth with KBW. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Edward Firth
Analyst, KBW

Yeah, morning, everybody. Yeah, I just wanted to bring you back a little bit just to understand some of the drivers around the NIN. Because I get what you're saying about you can improve prices on deposits, and the mix shift is going towards higher risk areas, or higher margin areas, let's put it that way. But you're still guiding for the NIM to be down this year. So I'm just trying to understand what's actually driving the NIM down. I guess that's the first question. And then related to that, I think last time you said you expected sort of, you know, the longer term NIM, if you like, the sort of sustainable through the cycle NIM to be approaching 3%. Now, I'm not asking you to target anything like that, but is that still in the back of your mind as a sort of number that you think the sort of new-look business would make in a through-the-cycle gearing? And I guess the final point, which we always have to sort of think about, is any comments around TFSME? I saw you paid some of it early, but how much is outstanding? Are you expecting that to be a headwind or a tailwind in terms of paying that off over time? And then I guess on a separate question, I noticed that the regulators produce customer satisfaction scores on a half-year basis, and metros are falling quite rapidly at the moment. And I guess a lot of that is related to some publicity and press and stuff. But how comfortable are you that you are still seen by customers as a sort of customer champion? And if not, is that something that you can change over time, or does that require costs? Or are you comfortable that you can pick that up once the sort of the publicity around the capital rates have dissipated. Thanks very much.

speaker
Dan Frumkin
Chief Executive Officer, Metro Bank

Those are really great questions, actually. So, listen, I'm going to pick them up, and then I'll turn it over, Christina, a little bit more on NIM. But NIM and 24 will be under pressure. But the second half, 24 NIM will be better than the first half, 24 NIM. Because we do need to bring down cost of deposits. So if you look at the half-two NIM versus the full-year NIM, I don't have it in front of me, but from memory, I think our half-two NIM was like 129 or something, maybe 127. Whereas I think for the full year, we were at 97 BIPs or something like that. So you can already see that, sorry, cost of deposits. Yeah, not NIM. So cost of deposits. So the cost of deposits you can already see was already starting to creep up. And you can assume that trend will continue into the first half of 2024, which drives down NIM. I did mention that lending was down 6% year on year, which means our loan to deposit ratio is a bit lower than I think we would have liked it to be. So I think that confluence of events really leads you to a lower NIM than we would like. I'll let you, is there anything you want to add?

speaker
Cristina Albaochoa
Interim Chief Financial Officer, Metro Bank

Yeah, it's really a mathematical exercise, right? Dan was saying, you can see in the second half of 2023, cost of deposits is up to 126%. That is deposits that were tactically raised in the fourth quarter. So the full impact, we're going to see really, we're seeing it now as we sit here today in February. So as those deposits are going to be maturing, that heavier cost of deposits is going to be decreasing and the mix of our bigger non-bearing interest liabilities is going to, prevail again. But the first half is going to be one of transition, where those tactical deposits are going to be running off. And by that nature of that, then naturally the second half is going to be at the wrong rate that we expect to be exiting the year. On the upper side of the NIM, on the revenue, the yield of the loans, as Dan was saying earlier, we've had The shift of the portfolio has started. We have many approved new commercial loans. But as you know, commercial loans take a while between you approve them, they're approved, they're signed, they started to draw. So we're seeing that all that cycle is happening. By the end of the second quarter, we're going to have an optimal run rate of yielding commercial lending, but it's not going to be a more optimal yielding from an in point of view until the end of the year. The fourth quarter is we're going to be during the mathematical exercise of the more expensive deposits that we raised so and and that's it still on the long term to your question as well are we still targeting long-term three percent yes uh all the actions are happening the only thing that has changed is that because of those tactical deposits we have a lot effect of nine twelve months to achieve that three percent but all the actions are there The cost discipline is there. We've just proven we're in it. So we just have to continue doing that. And on the TFME question that you had, the next maturities are coming in the second quarter of 2025. We've got 480 million maturing. And on the third quarter of 2025, we've got 1.1 billion maturing. The remaining is for 2027.

speaker
Dan Frumkin
Chief Executive Officer, Metro Bank

And in terms of the cost to TFSME, again, we're paying base for it, right? So the reality is as long as we replace it with deposits below base, it's accretive, yeah? And I think there will be a mix of deposit gathering. And you know, because you know our balance sheet as well as I do, the reality is we have very little wholesale funding, right? We don't have any securitizations. I mean, it shouldn't cover bond. It would be hard for us. But the reality is we don't have any securitizations. And securitization will be swaps plus a number, which will probably get you base-ish, maybe base plus a little bit. So the reality is we're pretty confident in our ability to get at liquidity to be able to repay it without it being overly destructive to NIM and actually maybe slightly accretive to NIM. We've kept the TF-SME in place because it was excess liquidity, and that proved to be prudent. In terms of your question... In terms of your question around customer satisfaction, listen, it's a good observation. I do think there was a bit of noise, obviously, in the fourth quarter, but we still opened as many accounts in the second half of 2023 as we opened in the second half of 2022. We opened accounts over that weekend in October. So ultimately, the ultimate test for us is that we still see people choosing us every day, and we see people walking into stores as we're speaking, opening new accounts. So we think the model resonates. We're still really confident. The service measures are driven by a lot of noise, really. I mean, people get a phone call and are asked, how do you feel about or what is your perception of? And all of that is driven by what they've read and what they've seen. And it's not necessarily that they've actually walked into the store and had the actual experience. our net promoter scores for new account opens in-store is still in the upper 80s, low 90s, month in and month out. So we're really confident in the service we provide. Perfect.

speaker
Daniel Crow
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Okay, thanks.

speaker
Operator

As a reminder, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad now. We now turn to Corinne Cunningham with Autonomous. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Corinne Cunningham
Analyst, Autonomous Research

Good morning Dan and Christina and thanks for taking my questions. First one, can you just give us a bit of an idea where the staff have been cut and that's quite a big proportion of staff that have been reduced at a time when you're hoping to boost new business levels so perhaps if you can give us some guidance there. And then the second one is it sounds like your strategy is going to be capital consumptive in the sense that mortgages are running off and corporate lending is going up. If you're loss-making as well, does this imply that you're going to be going back into capital buffers? And particularly if you think about this on fully loaded ratios. Thank you.

speaker
Dan Frumkin
Chief Executive Officer, Metro Bank

Two really, really good questions. I'm not going to spend a lot of time on the staff stuff because it's a, listen, our colleagues are absolutely our secret sauce. It was really difficult to go through, I think, for everybody involved, including myself. But broadly, we did ring fence certain areas. So the private bank was ring fenced and didn't lose any colleagues. Our corporate bank didn't lose any colleagues. Our local business managers, you know, we have local business managers in every store, unlike all of our competitors. We have local directors. So we ring-fenced the areas where we think we're going to stretch our legs. We were very disciplined about making sure we looked through all cost cuts and any potential headcount reductions with a risk lens on. So, again, we ring-fenced certain areas that were important from a control perspective. So the board, the risk committee of the board, as well as the regulator, wanted from us assurances that the risk profile of the organization hadn't shifted due to the cost cuts. So Again, we looked at it through a bunch of different vectors and delivered accordingly. In terms of the capital consumption, you're right, actually. I mean, I think that's why Christina talked about risk-weighted density and the fact that risk-weighted density is going to gradually move up. Again, we have lots of capital plans and lots of different optionality. Corinne, we haven't decided whether we're going back in, not going back in. Are we selling portfolios, not selling portfolios? Are we going to try to access... debt capital markets sooner than our maturity in 28. Again, there's a whole menu of activities. We could slow growth in certain areas. We could exit portfolios. I think we have a broad array of activities we can consider and go from there. But, I mean, yeah, I think there's a broad array of things we would consider, and I'm not taking any of them off the table.

speaker
Cristina Albaochoa
Interim Chief Financial Officer, Metro Bank

I think it's about balance sheet optimization, right? It's about balance sheet management within our power. It's all within our control. We own this and we'll take the actions that make sense to make the best outcomes for all stakeholders. Compared to last year, we had more external factors that were influencing what was happening to your point, what happened to the balance sheet, to the capital strength, and now we are in much better positions.

speaker
Corinne Cunningham
Analyst, Autonomous Research

Thank you.

speaker
Dan Frumkin
Chief Executive Officer, Metro Bank

And the regulator would... Again, I can't really speak for them, but I have no sense that our relationship isn't as strong as it always was.

speaker
Operator

Okay, thank you. Our final question comes from Daniel Crow with Goldman Sachs. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Daniel Crow
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thanks for having me on the call. Just a very quick one. I just get the current cost of deposits. Obviously, the cost went up over the half to 1.26. If I could just get what the number is today. And then also, you're talking about pivoting to higher margin lending. When are we actually going to see that? Or, you know, when I look at the numbers, it looks like resi mortgages and everything else fell. Is there already a pivot within that mortgage book?

speaker
Dan Frumkin
Chief Executive Officer, Metro Bank

Okay, I'll do that, and then I'll let Christina come back to exit costs of deposits, which I don't think we've disclosed anywhere, but we can talk about it. So the pivot is sort of occurring as we speak. It's one of the reasons why I mentioned that we've credit approved 140% for commercial loans than all of the commercial lending we did all of last year. But it takes time to draw down. It's one of the reasons why the second half will be better than the first half. Again, the complexity of drawing down a commercial relationship is much different than doing a residential mortgage or anything like that. So that transition needs to occur. In terms of the specialist mortgage piece of our mortgage offering, it's getting there, but we still have new products to introduce. We have some new platforms to do. So we're still doing what I would call quasi-prime projects. residential mortgage lending, which doesn't have quite the same amount of margin in it. And, again, the loan and deposit ratio has been under pressure because we haven't been able to kind of leverage up the balance sheet sufficiently that would help improve. So, again, part of the reason we're guiding that the second half will be better than the first half in 24, the fourth quarter is better, is because it's going to take some time for the incremental lending at a higher yield to start to come through the balance sheet. And in terms of exit card? Do we want to see? You mean the exit? Yeah, cost of deposits in the month of December.

speaker
Cristina Albaochoa
Interim Chief Financial Officer, Metro Bank

So if you look at the second half, it was 1.29%, the total cost of deposits. If you compare to the first half that was around the 60 bps, 65 bps, so the exit one was around the 1.9%. It's where we were.

speaker
Dan Frumkin
Chief Executive Officer, Metro Bank

Yeah, exactly. So it's a little under 1.9% at December. But again, deposits continue to flow in in January and February. It was a ridiculously successful campaign, much more successful than we expected. So there will be a little bit more cost of deposit pressure coming through in January and February.

speaker
Operator

Okay, thank you. This concludes our Q&A. I'm going to hand back to Dan Frumkin, CEO, for final remarks.

speaker
Dan Frumkin
Chief Executive Officer, Metro Bank

So, listen, I just want to thank you all for taking the time. I really appreciate the effort you put in to understand Metro. For those investors on the call, I genuinely appreciate your support, and I look forward to delivering on the plans we outlined today. So thank you very much.

Disclaimer

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