5/9/2025

speaker
Operator

Good morning and welcome to the NEO Performance Materials first quarter 2025 earnings conference call. For opening remarks and introductions, let me turn the call over to Irina Kuznetsova, Director of Investor Relations for NEO. Irina, please proceed.

speaker
Irina Kuznetsova
Director of Investor Relations

Thank you, operator, and good day, everyone. Today's call is being recorded. A replay will be available starting tomorrow in the Investor Center on our website at neomaterials.com. Starting this quarter, our call will be accompanied by a live webinar presentation. If you are joining us online, the slides will advance automatically as a request through the discussion. You can also download the copy of the presentation from our website to follow along or reference afterward. On today's call, Arahim Salama, NIA's President and Chief Executive Officer, and Jonathan Baksh, NIA's Chief Financial Officer, Please note that some of the information you will hear during today's presentation and discussion will consist of forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, bills regarding revenue, EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, product volumes, product pricing, other income and expense matters, cash returns, operational changes, and future business outlook, including potential expansion plans and contracts. Actual results or trends could differ materially from those discussed today. For more information, please refer to the risk factors discussed in NEO's most recent financial filings, which were filed on CDR earlier today and also available on our website. NEO assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements or information, which stick as of their respective dates. Financial amounts presented today will be in U.S. dollars. Non-IFRS financial measures will be used during this conference call, and information regarding reconciliation to the IFRS measures is set out in the financial statement and in DNA. I will now turn the call over to Raheem.

speaker
Raheem Salama
President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. And today we will start on slide four. We are pleased to share NIO's Q1 2025 results, a quarter that once again highlights the strength, resilience, and strategic importance of our business within global supply chains. While the broader macroeconomic environment remains complex, with new tariffs and export restrictions reshaping worldwide trade flows, NIO continues to deliver. Our performance this quarter reinforces a few key themes. First, our financial results were ahead of expectations. showcasing NEO's ability to navigate volatility while remaining focused on execution. Second, we've made meaningful progress on our most important growth projects, including continued success in ramping up our rare earth permanent magnet production capabilities in Europe. And third, among a changing geopolitical landscape, NEO continues to demonstrate our thought leadership as a reliable partner in the global effort to localize rare earth supply chains. We are building a stronger, more diversified platform, one that is designed not just to respond to geopolitical shifts, but to lead through them. Before turning to our quarterly results, I would like to address our ongoing strategic review process. And as we have previously discussed, we are conducting a comprehensive strategic asset review across our geographic footprint, to consider strategic alternatives and opportunities to maximize value for our shareholders. The process remains active and is being managed under the leadership of NEO's Special Committee and financial advisors. While the review continues, we have continued to take steps to optimize NEO's business, including the divestment of non-core assets, executing improvements in operational performance, and progressing with major capital programs. There can be no assurance that the strategic review process will result in any transaction or any alternative, nor any assurance as to its outcome or timing. NEO does not intend to comment further unless it determines that further disclosure is necessary or appropriate. Okay, so moving to our first quarter results, let's turn to slide five. NEO delivered another strong performance during the first quarter, generating adjusted EBITDA of approximately $17 million, an increase of approximately 60% year-over-year and ahead of expectations. This is a direct result of solid execution throughout our business and a reflection of resilient demand for our products. Though macroeconomic uncertainties persist, I am pleased to report that at this time, we remain on track to achieve our full year guidance. Taking a closer look at our segments, our chemicals and oxide segment delivered its strongest EBITDA performance in recent quarters, with adjusted EBITDA of $7 million, an increase of $7 million year over year. MagnaQuence continued to perform, delivering strong EBITDA of approximately $7 million, up 9% compared to Q1 2024. And Rare Metals posted approximately $9 million in adjusted EBITDA, reflecting an anticipated step down in the exceptional results that we saw over the last two quarters. Jonathan will elaborate on the details of each BU in a few minutes. In addition to adjusted EBITDA growth, NEO amplified its financial strength. by completing the Jammer and Zammer divestitures with approximately $28 million in gross proceeds. Importantly, the company remains in a net cash position with ample liquidity. Our capital structure supports further growth, enabling disciplined investment in high-return transformational projects that will drive Neal's long-term shareholder value. Let's move to slide six. Building on this foundation, we are advancing strategic capital projects that strengthen our position as a critical supplier to the automotive, energy, and electronic sectors. Within the automotive sector, for example, we are innovating across both legacy and next-generation vehicle programs, and these initiatives support near-term cash flow as well as long-term growth. Our NAMCO Emissions Catalyst Control Plant is now fully commissioned and we've achieved full run rate capacity for re-qualified products. This highly automated, cost-efficient manufacturing facility enhances our competitiveness in the global auto catalyst market, where demand remains strong amid tightening emissions regulations. You can see some pictures of the NAMCO facility here, showcasing the control room and samples of automation in the facility. NAMCO is delivering meaningful EBITDA for our C&O segment, with production volumes showing growth and multiple new customer programs secured since launch. We are efficiently scaling the facility where we target double-digit annual growth while driving high cash flow conversion. Let's move to slide seven. NEO's permanent magnet facility in Europe remains firmly on track both on time and on budget as we progress from commissioning into early production milestones. You can see some pictures of the equipment and the facility here. As we've talked about previously, the building is essentially complete, and over 90% of the equipment is now installed and commissioned. Let's move to slide 8. Just a few weeks ago, we successfully produced and shipped 18,000 assembled sintered magnet pieces as pre-production samples for a Tier 1 traction motor customer. marking a critical step toward commercial scale production. This is a remarkable achievement as we only started commissioning equipment earlier this year. The extended and global team at Neo Magnet Clutch seamlessly executed a highly complex multi-stage production process from raw materials to final assembly, delivering a high performance magnet tailored to a specific traction motor platform. This marks a breakthrough achievement, and exemplifies NEO's advanced technical and operational capabilities. These are the fruits of a highly dedicated team in Estonia and globally, leveraging MagnaQuentia's 30 years of rare earth magnetics experience and some of the world's most advanced magnetics lab capabilities. Our team is driven and committed to delivering on this project's one of the most important critical materials projects for rare earth magnets in Europe and indeed the world. There is still much to be done in getting to PPAP, bringing it to mass production, servicing more customers and programs, but the accomplishment achieved a few weeks ago really can't be understated. The progress in our permanent magnet facility in Europe is merely one phase of a multi-phase growth strategy. that will see us expand our magnet manufacturing in Europe with phase two and then add phase three and eventually phase four elsewhere. This plan ultimately ties to one of the core investment drivers of NEO to provide global and parallel supply chains for rare earth magnetics and other critical materials for these rapidly growing and exciting end markets. Let's move to slide nine. The need for these parallel supply and local supply chains has never been more evident than now with recent geopolitical developments. As you are most likely aware, two major events are affecting our industry. One, the introduction of higher tariffs in the U.S., particularly with respect to China, and two, the recent announcement placing selected heavy rare earth elements under China's export control regime aimed at regulating dual-use applications. These additions to the export control list include the heavy rare earths needed for centered magnet manufacturing, as well as the permanent magnets themselves. Amid this evolving landscape, NEO is strategically positioned to win. Our vertically integrated, regionally diversified model allows us to remain flexible and resilient in the face of geopolitical uncertainty. And today, we are seeing the results of this strategy. While the full economic impact from geopolitical uncertainty and the new regulatory regime is still to be determined, NIO believes we will be a long-term beneficiary of these changing global dynamics. First, we'll talk about the impact of tariffs, and second, the impact of these heavy rare earth export restrictions. We evaluate tariffs through two lenses. First, our comparative advantage under relative tariff regimes between U.S., China, and Europe, And second, the extent of domestic capacity in the US. I will comment specifically on some of the larger impacts of tariffs on NIO's business. Our largest US-bound product is hafnium, which we recycle and refine in Europe. Hafnium represented about two-thirds of our total imports into the US last year. Tariffs on hafnium for Europe are significantly less than the tariffs on hafnium from China, which is where our largest competition would be. For hafnium, There is a little U.S. domestic capacity in the area of the supply chain where NEO fits. Our second largest import into the U.S. is for our emissions catalyst business. For these, we manufacture products both in Europe and in China. There has been a tariff on mixed oxides for catalysts from China for a number of years now, although current tariffs are clearly of a different scale. Our largest competitors have plants in China, but also have production capabilities in Europe, Japan, and some U.S. production. NIO is working closely with our customers to rebalance some of our US-destined products to come from Europe, although this will take some time as products have to be requalified and tested. These are all part of global programs for global customers, and the same programs will continue in China, in Europe, and in other parts of the world. The US-bound sales of catalysts from China represent less than 5% of NIO's consolidated sales. In Gallium, NIO is the only recycler and upgrader of semiconductor-grade gallium material in North America. Following China's 2024 dual-control export regulation, our Canadian refinery has become even more critical to the Western semiconductor ecosystem. NIO's exposure to U.S. tariffs on magnetic products remains minimal, as we currently ship almost no magnet volumes from China to the United States. Most non-China motor manufacturing today is concentrated in Europe, Japan, Korea, and Southeast Asia. Looking forward, with significantly higher tariffs on Chinese rare earth magnets than those produced in Europe, NIO's European permanent magnet facility offers a clear competitive advantage for customers seeking tariff-optimized solutions, and probably more importantly, a diversified supply base. This is not an exhaustive list, but it does represent the vast majority of our imports to the U.S., and as you can see, tariffs do not have a direct material negative impact on NIO and in fact may yield some benefits to NIO due to our globally distributed manufacturing footprint. What this doesn't speak directly to is what happens to our customer's customer as our products are ultimately consumed throughout the world. This dynamic is harder to quantify but remains top of mind for all as we watch the impacts of the economies of the world in general. Moving to slide 10, In response to U.S. tariffs, China has instituted new export controls from China on heavy rare earth elements, which have drawn renewed attention to the potential supply chain disruption. As noted earlier, these export controls not only apply to the heavy rare earths themselves, but to the permanent magnets that use them. This has become a key concern of all governments, OEMs, and motor manufacturers, as China is essentially the only meaningful source of heavy rare earths today. These concerns are real. and it is yet to be determined exactly how these export control restrictions will be applied. 99% of NIO's bonded magnet portfolio is heavy rare earth-free, a key differentiator from sintered magnets generally. NIO is continuing to ship its bonded magnets globally, albeit additional testing reviews from customs in China, as might be expected. And notably, NIO is the only company globally with a heavy rare earth-free magnet for automotive traction motors already in production, now on the road through programs with Honda and Dido. This forward-thinking product is a direct result of Honda, Dido, and NIO's long-term planning and technical depth. NIO owned and operated a heavy rare earth separator in China, JMR, that we sold earlier this year. This entity does ship heavy rare earth specialty products, to numerous international customers that are now subject to review by these export control groups. NIO's ownership is now 9% of this facility, but this also affects the international distribution agreement that we have in place with our partners. Our products do not go into restricted end products, and we hope to receive approval to ship these products in due course. NIO's team has a long history of operating in China, and is highly experienced in navigating complex export license processes, a capability we've proven during recent gallium restrictions. That experience, combined with our healthy inventory and long-standing customer relationships, gives us a practical edge in maintaining operational continuity. Looking ahead, NIO is uniquely positioned to address one of the most critical structural gaps in the global rare earth supply chain, the absence of heavy-rarer separation capacity outside of China. So let's move to slide 11. Prior to these announcements, NIO had already begun the engineering and design work for a pilot-scale heavy-rarer separation line in Estonia as a first strategic step building on our operational light-rarer separation base already in the same facility. NIO has 30 years of operational engineering experience with specialty heavy rare earth products in Singapore from our time operating JMR. The transfer of heavy rare earth separation technology outside of China is illegal, and NIO respects and obeys the laws of the regions in which we operate. Accordingly, NIO has not and cannot use rare earth separation technology from JMR. However, NIO has been supporting our customers globally with advanced and specialty heavy rare earth products which gives us unique exposure to the products and their characteristics. To support future scale-up, NEO is actively working with a growing pipeline of emerging rare earth mining projects across North America, Australia, Brazil, and Southeast Asia, many with a focus on heavy rare earths. Several of these projects already rely on NEO's in-house laboratory and engineering teams to help optimize their flow sheets, reinforcing our role as the preferred downstream partner and offtake counterparty as new supply comes online. We are also happy to see partners like Linus make tremendous steps in their journey towards separating heavy rarers, building on their vast experience and expertise in lighting and separating light rarers. It is critical that the industry works together to address the needs for more localized and parallel supply chains. We have been customers and partners with Linus for many years, and are impressed with the progress that they are making in this area. These efforts are increasingly important as recent trade policies and export controls reshape the industry, reinforcing the urgency of localized, rarer supply chains. Moving to slide 12. Once again, these trends validate the three pillars of NIO's investment thesis. End markets with tremendous growth opportunities, the need for localized and parallel supply chains, and NEO's unique and long history and expertise in rare earth magnetics and critical materials. We tie this together with a company that drives positive EBITDA, has an excellent record of executing on projects, and remains financially strong with a healthy balance sheet and cash flow profile. With that, I'd now like to turn the call over to Jonathan for a summary of our financial results for the quarter.

speaker
Jonathan Baksh
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Rahim, and good morning, everyone. As Rahim noted earlier, our first quarter results reflect our strong start to the year, driven by solid performance across all segments and sustained demand in high-value automotive, industrial, and aerospace applications. Moving to slide 14, we reported revenue of $121.6 million for the quarter, which was relatively flat year-over-year as lower pricing in rare metals and magnet quench segments was largely offset by improved realized prices in the C&O segment. Despite mixed market dynamics, Neva delivered a solid adjusted EBITDA margin supported by a more favorable product mix and improved operational execution, including meaningful improvements in conversion costs and SG&A discipline across the organization. These factors contributed to a year-over-year margin expansion of approximately 500 basis points, reflecting our continued focus on driving improved profitability. Moving to slide 50. Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 increased meaningfully to $17 million, up from $11 million in Q1 2024. The most significant year-over-year uplift came from the chemicals and oxide segment where we delivered a multi-year high in quarterly earnings, primarily driven by strong recovery in our auto catalyst business. This translated into net contribution increase of over $7 million, accounting for 31% of total consolidated adjusted EBITDA in the quarter. MagnetQuench delivered another quarter of stable profitability with adjusted EBITDA up half a million dollars year over year, supported by continued growth in bonded magnets and bonded powders and traction motor applications. Rare metals performance remained consistent with expectations as normalized hafnium pricing was balanced by sustained demand in aerospace and high-tech end markets. As a result, we saw a more balanced distribution of segment-level adjusted EBITDA contribution with MagnaQuench, chemicals and oxides, and rare metals representing 30%, 31%, and 39% of the total, respectively. Importantly, we delivered $3.6 million of adjusted net income for the quarter, translating to adjusted earnings per share of $0.09. Moving to slide 16, our MagnaQuench business continued to deliver strong volume growth in the first quarter, with shipments up 7.3% year-over-year. Bonded magnet volumes reached a new quarterly record, increasing 53% compared to Q1 2024 and up 17% sequentially. This growth reflects our strategic shift to products further up the value chain as the team successfully expands from bonded powders into bonded magnet production, leveraging decades of process and application expertise. Commercial momentum remains strong, supported by continued customer wins and growing adoption across both automotive platforms and high-performance cooling applications for AI servers and data centers. As Rahim noted, our heavy rare earth-free magnet for traction motors presents an increasingly compelling value proposition, particularly as OEMs reassess sourcing strategies in light of recent Chinese export restrictions. This dynamic creates a clear opportunity for MagnetQuench to further differentiate and grow. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter increased 9% year-over-year, with EBITDA margins expanding by 160 basis points, reflecting the high value-add content of our product mix and the business's ability to sustain strong profitability even amid soft, rare-earth pricing. Following this slide 17, chemicals and oxides results came in ahead of expectations, signaling a clear turnaround after a challenging 2024 shaped by market headwinds and transformative actions that are now positioning the business for more resilient growth. With a successful ramp-up of our new emission control catalyst facility and the completion of the Chinese separation asset divestitures, the segment is now firmly focused on execution and margin accretive growth. The state-of-the-art NAMCO plant is already delivering operational and financial benefits with sequential volume growth of 21% and a year-over-year increase of 4%, supported by improved automation process layout and environmental controls. Our wastewater treatment business also delivered strong results, with volumes up 25% from prior year, reflecting both continued demand from existing accounts and new customer wins. With over 90% customer retention and U.S. market penetration still under 5%, this business offers a significant runway and high-margin recurring revenue market. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $7 million compared to Q1 2024, our strongest quarterly results for C&O since Q3 2023. This result was achieved through increased volumes and significant reductions in conversion costs. This quarter reflects an exceptionally strong result, and while we anticipate moderation in the coming quarters, performance is expected to remain robust and supportive of our full-year outlook. Moving to slide 18 and turning to our rub-pedal segment, Q1 marked another solid quarter with consistent operational and financial execution across all facilities. supported by ongoing strength in end-market demand and emerging geopolitical tailwinds. Hafnium pricing has now normalized as anticipated, resulting in lower year-over-year margins relative to the elevated level seen in the second half of 2024. That said, fundamentals remain supportive, particularly with the implementation of new U.S. tariffs on Chinese hafnium. As the largest hafnium recycler in Europe, NIO continues to secure both long-term contracts and opportunistic spot sales at attractive margins. In Gallium, we saw continued strength with robust demand and favorable pricing dynamics, driven in part by regulatory constraints on Chinese exports, contributing to meaningful margin expansion. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $9 million, slightly lower than the prior year period, due to the expected normalization of Hathnian pricing. However, our gross margin expanded by 190 basis points, underscoring Rare Metal's ability to navigate price cycles, maintain commercial discipline, and deliver strong performance. Looking ahead, we remain focused on reinforcing this position through the long-term supply chain security. As part of that effort, NIO recently signed a memorandum of understanding with Globe Metals and Mining Limited for a potential offtake of up to 150 metric tons per year of niobium pentoxide from the Kanika project in Malawi. Beginning in 2027, an important step towards securing future inputs to support our growth strategy. Moving to slide 19 on cash flow. NEO's financial position remained sound, with a continued ability to generate cash over both the short and long term. As of March 31, 2025, NEO held cash and cash equivalents of $77 million. During the quarter, NEO paid approximately $3 million in dividends to shareholders. Cash from operating activities was negative $18 million, primarily reflecting the $13 million settlement of the European Patent Litigation Claim, as well as $15 million net increase in working capital. Working capital changes were driven by higher accounts receivable due to the timing of customer sales, as well as elevated inventory levels as we began to hold strategic stock in select jurisdictions amid rising geopolitical uncertainty. We will continue to actively manage inventories to ensure operational continuity and uninterrupted customer supply. In the first quarter, we invested $4.3 million in the Namco Emission Control Catalyst Facility and $5.2 million in the European Center Banking Facility. alongside additional capital upgrades at SILMET. As Rahim mentioned earlier, we also received approximately $28 million in cash proceeds from the sale of Chinese separation assets, $26 million in net cash, which was completed in the first quarter. Sustaining capital expenditures was low at $1 million for the quarter, and we remain well-positioned to continue generating strong free cash flow moving forward. Moving to slide 20, our liquidity position remains sound, with cash on hand of $77 million, an undrawn $25 million credit facility from EDC, additional revolving and other loan capacity of $41 million, and access to up to $10 million in government grants support from Europe. We continue to operate with a strong balance sheet, ending the quarter in a net cash position of $6 million, providing both financial stability and flexibility. This foundation enables us to fund strategic growth initiatives without relying on external equity financing for current projects. while maintaining disciplined capital allocation and enhancing long-term shareholder value. Moving to slide 21 and turning back to our financial performance, our strong EBITDA this quarter underscores the strength of our global diversification strategy and operational execution. Amid heightened geopolitical volatility and supply chain disruption, NIO continues to perform with resilience and consistency, reinforcing our leadership in enabling secure, localized rare earth supply chains outside of China. At present, we are restating our guidance of 55 to 60 million in adjusted EBITDA for 2025. We will continue to monitor the global economic situation while remaining focused on disciplined execution and capital allocation. With that, I'll turn the call back to Rahim for closing remarks.

speaker
Raheem Salama
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Jonathan. Moving to slide 23. In summary, Q1 was another strong quarter for NIO. We delivered solid financial results, advanced critical growth initiatives, and continue to navigate global complexity with confidence. These results underscore the value of our diversified program and the adaptability of our business. As we look ahead, our team remains focused on three key priorities. Maintaining financial strength and resilience, driving our long-term growth strategy with discipline, and continuing to increase shareholder value through strong execution. New is well-equipped not to just respond to the changes happening in the market, but to lead through them. Our investments today are building the foundation for tomorrow's outperformance, and we're both excited and ready to confidently navigate the path ahead. Thank you for your time today and for your continued support. And with that, I'd like to open up the call for questions.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. Should you have a question, please press the star followed by the one on your touchtone phone. you will hear a prompt that your hand has been raised. Should you wish to decline from the polling process, please press star followed by the two. And if you are using a speakerphone, please lift the handset before pressing any keys. First question comes from David Ocampo at Cormark Securities. Please go ahead.

speaker
David Ocampo
Analyst at Cormark Securities

Thanks. Good morning, everyone.

speaker
Raheem Salama
President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, David.

speaker
David Ocampo
Analyst at Cormark Securities

This is either for Reem or Jonathan, or maybe both of you could take a stab at it. But you guys called out that Namco has, I think, 50% additional capacity. And it does sound like you guys are expecting double-digit growth as you kind of secure new customers in China and elsewhere. And I think if you take a look at prior commentary, you guys have been alluding to a $55 to $60 million EBITDA target through the cycle, depending on where it's at or in the stable market. Does that number change now with the growth that you're expecting from NAMCO?

speaker
Raheem Salama
President and Chief Executive Officer

Look, I think that the growth for NAMCO in terms of double-digit growth this year was embedded in our original thought process, and it's offsetting kind of the happening of normalization margins. I just think it speaks to further long-term opportunities and for the long-term growth. Okay, gotcha.

speaker
David Ocampo
Analyst at Cormark Securities

And then for Sintered Magnets, the Estonia opportunity, It's mainly been focused on EV, maybe a little bit on wind turbines as the potential head markets. Everything that we read out there, I mean, it does seem like the focus, at least as it relates to the trade banter, is related to defense-oriented products, whether it's aircraft or missiles. Have you guys had any ongoing discussions with government bodies about your facility in Estonia, just given the importance of friendshoring?

speaker
Raheem Salama
President and Chief Executive Officer

Sure. I think, frankly, we're very popular right now among all sorts of different entities, and that's governments, OEMs, tier ones and the like, inside automotive, outside automotive. So I think that there's a wide variety of interest in terms of what we're doing here. I think that, you know, we talk about Wind farms, we talk about traction motors because they drive, you know, traction motors are some of the highest forms of magnetic specifications. And once you get to being able to deliver that, frankly, you can deliver most other types of specifications out there. So we're open to all kinds of business. But I think when we were launching the plant, we wanted to launch with anchor tenants that are, you know, fairly large programs, defense and other types of programs that we don't participate in today anymore. tend to be really small in volume. And I think that's fine. It's a different business model. It's one that we can certainly adapt to over time. But on the launch, we wanted fewer programs with volume. But the world is changing and we will change with it.

speaker
David Ocampo
Analyst at Cormark Securities

Does that force you guys to keep some of the capacity, at least for phase one, open in the event that some of these newer type customers that might be higher margin come to the table?

speaker
Raheem Salama
President and Chief Executive Officer

I think that we'll let that play out as it plays out. I think, again, we have more of an adequate demand and it is just about executing the right launch path with the right number of programs. So, you know, a lot of it depends on the specific magnet specifications and this and that. So I think we're open to be agile to manage the right way. So I don't think we close any doors to opportunities here.

speaker
David Ocampo
Analyst at Cormark Securities

That sounds good. And maybe a lot of something that maybe you probably can't answer at this time, but we've all seen the export restrictions on heavy rare earths. Is there any speculation out there in the marketplace that this will eventually be applied to NDPR in general?

speaker
Raheem Salama
President and Chief Executive Officer

Look, so this is, I can say a non-Neo comment, but just a general industry comment. I think that that can happen, but frankly, there's a lot of NDPR available outside of outside of china today right so linus is a massive producer of ndpr and he's going to continue with their growth plan and produce more ndpr over time both of them are expanding we are in touch with you know numerous other upstream providers some of which we believe have a real path to get there so i i think that there becomes additional supply of ndpr i think it's the largest call it leverage point was probably heavies But, you know, it could be a next step. I'm just not sure that it's as impactful as the heavy step.

speaker
David Ocampo
Analyst at Cormark Securities

Okay. That's perfect. I'll hop back in the queue. Thanks, Ryan. Thank you, sir.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, should you have any questions, please press star 1 now. Next question comes from Ian Gillis at Stifel. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ian Gillis
Analyst at Stifel

Good morning, everyone. Can you talk a little bit about how you're thinking about maybe timing and sanctioning for the next phases of Estonia at this point? Just given some of the, I guess, changes in the broader marketplace over the last number of months.

speaker
Raheem Salama
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, look, I think it's probably early days to be talking about timelines for when we would really start phase two and phase three in earnest at this point. There's obviously a lot going on. Our issue, as we've talked about in the past, has never been our belief in demand. So we've always believed that demand was there. and it's the supply of qualified magnet manufacturers and separation, frankly, that is the limiting factor. So, current events don't necessarily change our view on that from a demand perspective. Clearly, the amount of demand requests and nature programs is, as I said, through the roof. But I'm not sure that, you know, it's just a little bit early days to start picking dates for phase two. But certainly it's on our time horizon. People are thinking about it. We're thinking about what other regions, because it is a very supportive environment from a demand perspective and frankly from a government perspective. But we need to execute. And you've heard that theme from me all the time. We need to execute and we need to prove that we need to get the right most cost effective process in place and running a few parts is helpful. So I think it's top of mind for all of us, but we are still thoughtful with our overall launch strategies.

speaker
Ian Gillis
Analyst at Stifel

Understood. The other thing, I guess, a few weeks ago, I guess you could softly call them one of your competitors launched a rare earth separation plant. They announced their intention to build one in Europe. If you've had a chance to look through that or do any diligence on it, can you maybe talk a little bit about what your competitive advantages may be versus that plant and how you're thinking about some of those developments in Europe as a whole?

speaker
Raheem Salama
President and Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So I guess, first of all, you'll forgive me if I don't comment specifically about other participants in the industry. But overall, I would actually say it's a good thing. We are always happy to see more upstream operations come into place, more separation operations come into place. and in fact a larger ecosystem even further downstream than that. So although in some industries additional competition might be viewed as challenging to one's ability to capture the demand base, but we don't see that at all. We see a larger ecosystem giving confidence to the demand base that the supply base will be ready. And I say will be ready because the demand so far exceeds supply. That, you know, the more institutional capability we have in supply, the better this industry will be, the more confidence will come across all dynamics. So we are happy to see other people make progress. There's a limited amount of separation capabilities. As you know, from a mining perspective, 60% of rare earth mining is in China and 40% is outside of China, but only 15% of the separation capacity exists outside of China. So we need more capacity outside of China and we need more magnet capacity outside of China. Because outside of China, it's only 7%. China's 93% and the rest of the world is 7%. So the more capacity we build downstream and in all midstream assets, I think the better for the industry in the long run. And I think the industry is so large, like we're talking about $10 billion type numbers here in a decade. We need an industry that's strong and we're supportive of that.

speaker
Ian Gillis
Analyst at Stifel

Understood. That's helpful. I'll turn it back over. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from Marvin Wolf at Paradigm. Please go ahead.

speaker
Marvin Wolf
Analyst at Paradigm

Good morning, guys, and congratulations on a strong quarter there. I was wondering if you could give us a little more color on sort of the timelines on PPAP, when you expect it to be finished. When do you see that turning into what I would call normal everyday production and deliveries to this OEM or all the tier one and then the OEM that will use it on the centered magnet side from the Estonia point of view.

speaker
Raheem Salama
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so I think we've talked about PPAP in 2026 and mass production starting in 2026 as well. Now that'll be mass production from our side. Technically the OEM is launching that program in 2027, but you know, the products obviously got to go through got to go through the supply chain in order to meet the OEM's expectations and being on time. And that all remains on track. If anything, I think we're seeing more pull to do more things faster and we're responding to our customers and multiple inquiries to do more things faster, but that program continues to remain on track and we anticipate that that will continue. We do anticipate there'll be more kind of dual source programs that will come up as well. So kind of interim changeover sourcing of programs. So I think there's a lot of moving parts in terms of new opportunities. So we just can continue to focus on executing with confidence so that we can preserve these customers and launch successfully, again, for beyond phase one, because this business to us is phase one, phase two, phase three, phase four, right? We're not in this for just phase one. So that's why we've preached this response launch, safe launch concept and do it responsibly because the market is just massive.

speaker
Marvin Wolf
Analyst at Paradigm

Okay, that's great. Sort of along that line as well, Will additional OEMs be able to use the same magnets that are currently being PPAPed from the Tier 1, or will there have to be modifications in the specs for those magnets, both in terms of physical specs and chemical specs?

speaker
Raheem Salama
President and Chief Executive Officer

So they're generally larger programs, but the larger program tends to be consistent set of specs, and then other programs have different specs. Having said that, you know, we got to commissioning here in the early part of this year and produced samples just a couple of months later. Our ability to do this quickly is being evidenced in real life, right? So this isn't stuff that we need to talk about. Like I talk a lot about safe launch and responsible launch, but if you actually just look at the facts on how fast the facility was able to execute on getting these ready to go. Making modifications for other customer requirements, whether they're dimensional or magnetic spec requirements, we have increasingly increased confidence in our ability to do those things quickly. So, you know, you'll hear me talk about responsible launch and safe launch, but shouldn't be confused with our capacity to execute things fast. And that's what, you know, we will again continue to shift our priorities, continue to shift to do things quicker as we gain more confidence in our ability to execute. But certainly executing these samples within two to three months, frankly, was beyond my expectations. I think it was just an incredible achievement. And the team continues to make advancements in the number of alloys and the number of different programs that we will be capable of serving. um and i continue to think good things will happen and i think that things will happen quickly but the specific programs do take different types of magnets but i don't think that that is a whole different process for us it's largely all the same equipment um but you're just putting different alloys and then different dimensions and other different magnetic properties but it's 95 the exact same equipment super sounds like you've got a real tiger by the tail there We are fired up and we're just balancing, frankly, we're just balancing the number of opportunities that are banging at the door right now.

speaker
Marvin Wolf
Analyst at Paradigm

That's great. Okay. That's all for now. Thank you very much. Very good. Thanks, Mark.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. We have no further questions. This will conclude your conference call for today. We thank you for participating. And at this time, we ask that you can please disconnect your links.

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