9/10/2025

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our half-year results for the period ended that year, June 2025. I am Langa Mangaila, the Head of Investor Relations for the Oil Mutual Group. Today we will be taking through our presentation by our new group CEO, Yuri Stradom, and he will be joined on stage by our group CFO, Kas Patrosky, to present the results. As a reminder, Yuri served in the OML board as an independent non-executive director prior to joining the group. We are pleased to have Yuri on board. As you can see on the screen right now, Our results can be accessed directly on our website using the QR code that is presented, and we are pleased to also announce that we have added some additional disclosures on segmental CSM and EV. Turning into the agenda for today, Yuri will kick us off with a CEO update followed by the highlights, which will also include the segmental overviews. Kasper will then take over from there to provide the financial review. after which he will hand over to Yuri, who will come back on stage to cover the outlook and the concluding message. I will then take over from there to facilitate the questions and answer sessions. And at that point, I will ask the operator to just remind everyone about the procedure for asking questions over the chorus call as per the norm, as well as for submitting written questions over the webcast. And with that, I'd like to hand over to Yuri. Thank you.

speaker
Joeri Strodum
Group Chief Executive Officer, Old Mutual Group

Good morning, everyone. It's great to be with you. My name is Joeri Strodum. My first set of interim results. I've been in the job for just about 100 days. We're talking the proverbial 100 days just over. But what a privilege for me to be here and delighted to present these to you. I think we thought that given the fact that it's 100 days, we would start with just doing a little bit of a CEO update, giving some clarity on some of the things that we've been talking about internally and that we've aligned upon internally from a strategic point of view and to give you a sense of where we're going before we move to the financial highlights. I think first just to give a real credit and thanks to the old mutual team internally and externally, external stakeholders, staff, leaders, just for the warmth that I've received in coming into the group role, and particularly Ian Williamson. I think just thanking Ian. Ian, thank you for all those coffees and handover conversations and transitions. So I think because we've had a smooth and effective transition, I think we are in a position relatively quickly to give you some clarity on really what are the key focus areas for us as a group going forward and what are the significant shifts that we're making. I think the first thing to highlight is a shift towards really understanding what we mean by creating shield of value. and the focus on creating shareholder value. You will see that we are moving towards a pivot to group equity value, return on group equity value, and cash generation as our strategic KPIs. And we will give you more detail on those at the Capital Markets Day. We are prioritizing a Capital Markets Day for quarter four, and we will firm out the date for that shortly. I think if you start to think about the shareholder value creation, there are a couple of things that immediately stand out. I think earning the right to deploy capital for us as a group is key, and I think you'll see later on when I get to that slide, you'll see a reference to our multiple three-year Capital Horizon framework that will give you a good sense of how we think about earning the right to deploy capital. I think the second key element is is demonstrating resolve on cost. I think as you'll see also in our results that there's a real focus on generating margins as a key driver of returns going forward. Now, as we move into that, a key element of course is in sharpening execution. And you will see already from the 1st of August that we've made some significant operating model changes. Now, these operating model changes are really designed to create a sense of clarity on the role of the group as capital allocator and looking after the deployment of capital and governance. And as a result of that, moving towards a leaner corporate center. But at the same time, moving towards the creation of clusters that are able to operate independently in their different segments in an empowered and accountable way. We want to create end-to-end value change to enable the achievement of group targets to be cascaded down into clusters. We believe that the simplification of the structure for the group is going to go a long way to enable us to be competing better in each of our segments through the clusters. So you'll see the watchwords of accountability, execution, delivery. I mean, these are the things that we're talking about internally and that you'll see that coming through very strongly, I think, in the conversations we have. Just to confirm then the changes we've made in the operating model from the 1st of August, you'll see the appointment of Prabhashini Moodley as the CEO of Mutual Life and Savings. Mutual Life and Savings is the cluster of four of our largest businesses that are at scale in the South African market, the Masson Foundation, Personal Finance, Wealth Management and Corporate. And that really signaling a need for us to simplify our structures and to, within life and savings, really double down on the scale that we've got in those businesses. And we'll talk more about that in a moment. And then Clarence de Tengui, of course, the CEO of OM Bank, being given executive oversight of what mutual finance and our mutual transaction services. So those are the initial moves. And I think the implementation of that is running over the course of this year. And I do believe that being able to move quickly with a smooth and effective transition and to be able to align around these issues, is enabling us to actually catch our planning cycle, which of course kicks off in Q3 and Q4 and puts us in a position, gives us a bit of a head start in terms of mapping out what we want to do for 2026 and beyond. I think these four key focus areas really capture, I suppose, our priority from a competitive and from a capital allocation point of view. As we think about value creation, I mentioned earlier that we really are focused on what value creation means for us. We see it for Old Mutual in two areas. two buckets, the one is a value unlock bucket and the second one is in generating growth. They are to some extent overlapping but there's also an extent to which it's sequential. And so our first focus here is driving competitiveness of our South African business. There it's really about improving margins delivering efficiencies, executing the basics well, do you believe that creating intern accountability and a cascading of targets clearly and simply down into the businesses is going to make a big difference, going to be able to both improve margins and also drive market share recovery? I think when we look at our Omar region, the Africa regions, we're drawing a distinction between our southern African businesses where we have been present for a long time, market like Malawi we've been in for 70 years. There we see ourselves building scale in those markets, really being able to extract value and margin from our key positions and our brand positions in those markets. So we see that as a particular area for the future. And then as we move, and we do think that there's a value unlock opportunity there as well. We do think that we can improve the margins and the returns in those southern African markets. Then as we move into the space of generating growth, OM Bank is, of course, a key initiative for us. One of the big pivots you've seen, will have seen from 1 August, is an acceleration of moving towards leveraging our group assets in this space. And I'll talk more about that when I get to that section. And then finally, I think looking at our growth markets, we acknowledge that getting into growth markets is tough. It hasn't always been easy for us. You've got to break new ground. You've got to establish yourself in a new market. And so we're calling out the kind of evaluating and pivoting in those growth markets. That's, of course, referring to East Africa, West Africa. And China and what we focused on there is really a turnaround in margins and in returns in those spaces in order to justify allocating more capital. So again, earning the right to deploy capital is the key phrase there. I think in terms of capital allocation, I referred to this earlier as giving you clarity around how we think about our capital allocation framework. And we've broken it up into three horizons. And those are really driven by where our returns are relative to targets. So you'll see they're relative to the 15% to the 17% target range, whilst in this half we have achieved 15%. 15.5% return, of course, that has been buoyed by returns in equity markets. If you normalize for that or allow for that, then actually that return is below the target range. And so our aspiration is to move through these horizons into horizon two and ultimately horizon three, where we really are in value-accretive territory from a return point of view. And so our capital decisions will be guided by where we are and which horizon we're in. You will see this morning that we announced a $3 billion capital share buyback So that is a demonstration of confidence that we have both in our own balance sheet as well as in our business. And I think you'll see us being determined to be really clear as we deploy capital in terms of how tightly coupled any opportunity is to our full focus areas as well as the economics of each opportunity. Turning then towards the highlights, I think just a reference to the macro environment first. We of course have mentioned the role that equity markets have played, most notably the market in Malawi, and of course there is an inflationary element to that. But I think if you look through to South Africa and you look at the local environment, we do see what we call a constructive outlook. We think it's constructive in the cycle. There's been an improvement in consumer confidence and also an easing of interest rates. And so that's constructive. I think we would point, though, that particularly in the value unlock phase in Old Mutual, we do think that we are not necessarily reliant on macro tailwinds to implement some of the things, some of the strategies that we're talking about. And so I think our outlook on growth in South Africa, of course, is like everyone else. We are concerned about growth and lifting growth levels. we will continue to play our role as Old Mutual with our partners in what we can do to alleviate the impediments to growth in South Africa. I think the highlights themselves, a few key points to make here. I think the first is a strong earnings story, 19% growth in RFO per share, 31% adjusted headlines in earnings per share. Both of those numbers strongly supported by equity markets and the turnaround at Old Mutual Insure. Turnaround in the margin there, which I'll talk about in a second. Supporting also a 9% growth in our dividend to 37 cents per share. You'll see reference there to 18.40 as our group equity value per share. Just to call out that with the return on group equity value being a really important metric for us going forward, our primary value creation metric along with cash generation, we really are now focused on that as a base for us to generate returns. Ultimately, our ambition is to achieve a return on group equity value that is value accretive in the sense of above our cost of equity. So calling out again the capital market stay in quarter four, we will be giving more detail on targets. and more substance to this conversation. But I think to focus on the 1840, there have been some assumption and methodology changes that have come through in that, the most notable of which is the adjustment to the assumptions for MFC persistency. Now, the pressure on persistency has been present for a number of years. We have been – we've taken a look at this half at the extent to which we think there's a structural change in the market. We do think that there's some significant structural change. And so the lion's share of that negative variance has been brought in to our assumptions. And that then, if I go to competitiveness and efficiency, you'll see is the biggest impact in taking value of new business margin down to 1.3 percent. I think at that level, two stories. On the one hand, in the life and savings world, life APE only have 1%. I think we've had pressure on that along with many of our peers, particularly a pullback in guaranteed annuity sales in South Africa, which have been strong for the last couple of years. But it's really that margin that is the thing that we're focused on and on returning that margin from 1.3% back into the range of acceptable range of 2% to 3%. And again, further detail to follow on that. I think the positive story for us in these results is the OM insurer outcome, and you can see there's significant improvement in underwriting margin from 0.9% last year in the half to 9.7%. And I think that whilst we acknowledge that there's a a market element to this, and you will see that in our peer group, of course, significant also improvements to the cycle, and we think we are in a good place in the underwriting cycle. We do want to call out the operational improvements that have happened in our business that we believe gives us sustainability to our position. So just spending a moment then on each of the clusters. This is the life and savings cluster, the first time I think that we really are presenting it as a business cluster in this form. Just to point out the scale of this business, the largest umbrella fund in South Africa, $187 billion, the second largest in-force book by a number of policies, and a very large wealth management business, often an underappreciated scale of that business at $442 billion, assets under management and administration. There has been pressure here, as I've said, on new business and in a persistency environment that has been particularly difficult in the mass and foundation cluster. So that's where that margin you see for the cluster margin coming in, V&B margin coming in at 1.4%, but you'll see there, the real focus here is to be decisive on implementing our new operating model, driving through cost efficiencies as a first lever. Remember, when it comes to V&B margin, there's sort of three levers we think about. The one is a cost efficiency, the second is persistency, and the third is sales growth. And I think it's almost in that order in the near term and in the medium term that one can drive action. And so a lot of action in that space, and we will be giving further detail on that in due course. I think in the banking space, we really just want to point out the considerable group assets that we've got in banking in South Africa. We've got a 15.5 billion profitable loan book in mutual finance, a branch footprint of 346 branches through which we are originating credit. We've got 1.5 billion in money account deposits and almost 400,000 money market account customers. So if I look at the banking strategy and the milestones, you'll see there in H1 of this year, we have gone live to staff. In H2, what we're doing is going, we've been going live to, going through our branches and gone live to the public through that process. What we're essentially doing is activating our branch network, targeting our money account customers, and in the process also have gone live to the public and so are able to also onboard mutual customers. And so our focus here really is for the balance of H2 and also into 2026. acquiring customers and demonstrating traction in this space. We have talked about a guidance of $1.1 billion to $1.3 billion last for next year and setting aside capital of $1.6 billion for the bank. So that's the guidance that we've given. We will certainly be giving much more detail on the banking strategy at the Capital Markets Day. But suffice to say for now that the pivot to leveraging our group assets and cross-sell is a key part of our positioning that we believe is vital to our success in what is a competitive market. Old Mutual Insurer is a great positive story in these results. You can see there the margin which we've alluded to. I think we would just point out to you, I've had the benefit of being on the board actually as a non-executive Old Mutual Insurer for the last 18 months. And I think the fixing of business fundamentals, the operational turnaround is something that we would point to you. as well as obviously the benefit from the market. And also the successful acquisition and integration of a number of strong businesses that have diversified our income streams in this business. And what we will be looking for going forward is the sustainability of these earnings. Old Mutual Investments, I think, a credible 9% growth in RFO. The big standout here is the performance of the alternatives business, 3.4 billion alternatives capital raise, 33% growth in alternatives revenue. So very strong and a market-leading business. We, in fact, have a portfolio of excellent businesses in Old Mutual Investments. We are well aware of the OMEG fundamental SA equity performance challenge and track record performance. And so this is a real focus for the team in OMIG in implementing their turnaround plan. But besides that, also a focus on delivering on the strong credit origination pipeline that we've got. Omidjo Africa regions, I think again just drawing a distinction between the Southern Africa, strategically between Southern Africa and East and West Africa, but really just pointing out whilst there's been a 13% growth in RFO and a lot of work has gone into optimising the balance sheet and the repatriation of cash, cash remittances from these businesses that has improved significantly. there has been significant pressure on top line and on margins. So muted growth in life AP and on the short-term side, V&B in Namibia has had a difficult time in this half of its changes in that market and also medical insurance in East Africa. So focus really here on cost containment, addressing pricing and underwriting and optimisation on the balance sheet. So finally, I think just to highlight our commitment to sustainability has been recognized, and we recognize the leader in the space, MSCI, just to call out, has improved our rating from a AA to AAA, and also to celebrate our Moneyversity Plus platform, our online education platform has won the Tech Impact Award at the Africa Tech Week Awards. So with that, I'm going to hand over to Kasper to give us a more detailed financial review, and then I'll be back a few moments after that.

speaker
Kas Patrosky
Group Chief Financial Officer, Old Mutual Group

Good morning. Yuri, thank you for guiding us through the highlights with such clarity and insight. I will now take us into the financial review where we will go through our performance through the lenses of value, capital and earnings. And starting with value, as Yuri mentioned, we are pivoting to return on Group Equity Value or GEV as our key value metric. We are currently reviewing and refining our methodologies, given the focus on return on GEV, ensuring that we have a robust foundation from which to drive growth. In the current period, the change in GEV was driven by both business impacts and methodology changes. Business impacts included an increase in property and casualty valuations, following sustained improvement in O'Mitchell Insure performance. and a decrease in embedded value following the persistency change in mass and foundation cluster. Valuation and methodology changes included a reallocation of $3.1 billion in OMAR from covered to non-covered business. This did not have an impact on overall DEV, but changed values across the lines of business. A change in the valuation of OM Bank, where we have adjusted the valuation methodology to reflect the unlock of value as we meet critical rollout milestones. And embedded value assumption and model changes, which I will discuss later. Total embedded value decreased due to high capital and dividend outflows of $7.7 billion. And assumption and model changes amounting to $3.7 billion. Dividend and capital outflows included strong cash remittances from Omlaxa to the group, which totalled R4 billion, as well as the OMAR reallocations mentioned previously. Assumptions and model changes included a methodology change of an increase in the non-hedgeable risk capital charged from 2% to 3.5% across the business, and a business change following a comprehensive review of persistency experience, which identified systemic shifts in the funeral market in recent years. This has led to an updated long-term persistency basis, negatively impacting financial results for the period. The annualised return on embedded value was 6.9%, supported by profitable new business, positive experience experiences, and partially offset by assumption and model changes. As Yuri already mentions, our South Africa life and savings business was the primary driver beyond the decline in the Group's value of new business this period, resulting from assumption and model changes I just described. Recovering our VNB and our VNB margin is a central focus area for us and this is clearly reflected in our group's strategic priorities moving forward. Moving to the Contractual Service Margin or CSM, this represents the store of future life profits for the bulk of our life business. Despite the reduction caused by significant assumption and model changes, the CSM store increase driven by new business value and interest and positive experience variances. Our analysed allocation to profit was at the upper end of the range at 11.6%. Turning to capital, we remain committed to our capital management framework consisting of considered capital deployment, balance sheet efficiency and balance sheet strength as a means of enhancing value and returns for shareholders. Our capital deployment decisions will be guided by horizons linked to our RONAV trajectory, as Yuri described earlier. We expect cash remitted to be between 70% and 80% of adjusted headline earnings before optimizations and special dividends. Ongoing optimizations drive strong growth in cash remitted from subsidiaries, representing 115% of adjusted headline earnings. Our South Africa life and savings segment continues to be the leading contributor to cash generation for the group. while OM Mutual insurers turnaround in sustainable earnings also resulted in a healthy contribution. Discretionary capital increased by 2.5 billion after paying ordinary dividends of 2.3 billion rand. This then brings us to our discretionary capital balance. We are expecting to capitalise OM Bank to the amount of 1.6 billion which represents their capital needs for 2026. The OMLAXA special dividend of one billion was approved by the Prudential Authority in August and will increase our discretionary capital balance in the second half of the year. Three billion rand of discretionary capital is committed for the share buyback approved by the Board and the Prudential Authority. Our current year RONAV of 15.5% is within our target range, supported by earnings and ongoing balance sheet optimizations. Excluding higher than expected market returns, return on net asset value would have been 170 basis points below the target. Our RONAV excluding the bank was 18.7%. Moving on to earnings, AHE was up 29%, driven mainly by shareholder investment returns, where equity market performance in South Africa and Malawi was substantially above expected returns. This was further supported by strong operating earnings growth. Despite the increase in AHE, IFRS profits and headline earnings decreased significantly due to reduced profits from the Zimbabwean business after the transition of its functional currency from suborbital gold to the US dollar. The impact on net asset value was limited as a result of lower currency translation losses reported in equity. We have seen a continued upward trend in RFO over the last few years, even after our ongoing investment in OM Bank, with the following being noteworthy. The turnaround in our mutual insurer, which has seen significant earnings growth, was material contributions to group earnings from OMAR over the last three years. And we have seen increased performance from our life and savings and investment businesses. Turning to segment-specific RFO performance and starting with the life and savings segment, Bassan Foundation declined by 15% as a result of the change to the persistency basis, partly offset by favourable economic variances and the one-off impairment on the O-Metro Finance secured lending book in the previous year. Personal finance RFO increased by 40% off a low base in half on 2024, impacted by poor mortality experience, and was further bolstered by positive economic variances. Wealth management profits increased by 19%, reflecting the continued growth in average asset levels and positive economic variances. And our mutual corporate RFO increased by 8%, Off a high base, following a once-off provision release in half-on 2024, a modeling change in our risk book and positive economic variances. Omichil insurers RFO saw excellent growth of 71%. The segment is now sustainably contributing to group RFO and supported by good top line growth and outstanding margin improvement. Whilst recent acquisitions have performed well, continued focus remains on expense management. We continue to see the benefits of our diversified all-neutral investments business, with consistent strong growth in alternatives, supporting our diversified revenue stream and profit outcomes, with RFO increasing by 9%. Non-ineutry revenue remains a major differentiator from our peer group. This revenue is more volatile but provides substantial economic values through the investment cycle. Despite the pressure on VNB in our Omar business, we continue to see a strong contribution from the southern region. This was across all lines of business except property and casualty, where elevated weather claims impacted earnings. The increase in the southern region is partially attributable to the inflationary conditions in Malawi. The losses in our banking and lending businesses in East Africa reduced significantly as we saw the impact of the 2024 restructuring exercise in Faulu contribute to lower interest and operating expenses. Although we continue to see headwinds in our property and casualty portfolio across the regions, we are seeing the benefit from exiting our loss-making Nigeria businesses. Net results from group activities no longer includes investment in OM Bank, which is now reported under the OM Mutual Banking segment. Shareholder operational costs includes a restructuring provision of $440 million which has been incurred to reduce future spending. Excluding the restructuring provision, shareholder operational costs decreased by 6% in line with our previous commitment. Interest and other income increased due to elevated cash balances and favorable fair value movements on financial instruments. We have delivered a positive set of results and in particular continued excellent results in Omnichill Insure. Excluding higher than expected market returns, return on net asset value would have been below the target range. Improving our value and efficiency metrics remains our top priority, including improving group RONAV and VMB margins to be sustainably within our target levels, and improving our ROGIF consistently over the medium term. Our capital deployment strategy remains focused on short to medium value enhancement, thereby maximizing returns on net asset value, And investments will be carefully targeted to growth opportunities that directly support our strategic priority areas. With that, over to you, Yuri.

speaker
Joeri Strodum
Group Chief Executive Officer, Old Mutual Group

Thanks, Kasper. Thank you for going through those financial results in more detail. We just thought we would spend just a minute recapping on some of the key messages. I think, in essence, it's been a very positive period with a smooth CEO transition. I think it's been smooth and effective. I think it's fair to say we've been able to move quickly on getting clarity and alignment as a senior team and at board level and also increasingly in the business around the changes we want you to drive. I think to summarize those sort of key changes – The one is a clear articulation around what it means to create shareholder value and a pivot to return on group equity value and cash generation as our key metrics. We are clear on earning the right to deploy capital, which is linked to return on net asset value, and also demonstrating resolve on cost where improvement in margin is required. I think we've made significant progress in implementing our new operating model that simplifies the group, that creates over time a leaner corporate center and more empowered clusters to be able to cascade in a simple, understandable way the key targets that we're driving as a business. And, of course, we have our four focus areas that we've spoken about. I think just to point out to the capital markets day in quarter four, we will be firming up that date shortly, and there you will see more detail on our financial metrics as well as the targets that we're linking to those metrics. Just to point out again, return on group equity value and cash generation really being our key value creation metrics, and then what we call in our efficiency and competitiveness metrics, which is new business volumes, value of new business margin, and net underwriting margin, and return on net asset value. And I think highlighting, of course, in this set of results, the key role that the value of new business margin will play going forward for us to enable us to be able to move into the aspiration of achieving a return on group equity value that is above our cost of equity. So more detail on that to come. I think with that, Langa, I'm going to move to you so we can move to questions. Thank you.

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Thank you very much, Yuri, and thanks to you, Kasper, for covering those two sections. We will now turn over to the question and answers. As a paranormal, I would like to start by just saying I will take the questions from the chorus calls. The questions will then be fed into the room by those who are already QR on the call. I'll then move on to take the questions submitted to us via the webcast. At this stage, I would like just to ask the operator to please remind us of the procedure for putting through the questions. Over to you, operator.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, just a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star and then 1 now. If you would like to remove yourself from the question queue, please press star and then 2. Again, if you would like to ask a question, please press star and then 1 now. The first question we have comes from Andrew Sinclair of Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Andrew Sinclair
Analyst, Bank of America

Thank you very much, Siobhan. Just a couple for me, thanks. First, thank you very much for the CSM splits. Very helpful. If I just look at the organic CSM growth, so new business plus interest accretion minus a CSM release, it looks like there's really very little growth other than massive foundation. There's barely anything in national finance and wealth, despite that being the biggest portion of the CSM, and corporate not much higher. Just really, what's the scope to accelerate those numbers? What do you see as sustainable levels of growth over the medium term? That's my first question. And then the second is just great to hear a focus on expenses and efficiency. Just wanted to know, Yuri, how do you think about expenses and efficiency? I personally like to think about cost-income ratios, but how do you think about measuring it? We've had a lot of cost-safe targets in the past, but sometimes it's hard to see objectively from the outside that improvement in efficiency. Thank you very much.

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Thank you, Andrew. You were not as clear. I will start with Yuri's question, and then I'll ask Kaspar to just comment on the CSM growth, and if Ranen, you can also please add.

speaker
Joeri Strodum
Group Chief Executive Officer, Old Mutual Group

Remember a couple of comments. I think that there has been pressure on the guaranteed annuity sales in South Africa, which I think you've seen has created pressure across the market, and some of that money then flows into linked investments, but that has spread over a wider group of competitors. I think on your point on targets, I would point you to – obviously the capital markets day is a key moment where we're going to be putting down targets. And I think we will also there talk about growth targets and in particular in a low growth environment, what are our aspirations around growing market share for old mutual, which I think is a – I think one has to assume that South Africa is not going to become a high growth environment. And so – So that'll be key. I think from an expense point of view, cost ratios are difficult for a group like us. I think what we're likely to show you at the Capital Markets Day is more cluster level KPIs for expenses. But what I will say to you is that our North Star is getting return on group equity value into value of creative range, which is above cost of equity. And with that, likely to achieve that, you obviously have to get your experience variances contributing, and you've obviously got to get your value of new business margin into the range of 2% to 3%. And so when we think about expenses, that's a significant way in which we frame it. Value of new business margin, of course, it's not only expenses, but it is the most direct short-term controllable lever. Cass, I don't know if you want to add to that.

speaker
Kas Patrosky
Group Chief Financial Officer, Old Mutual Group

No, I think, Hugh, you've covered the three important areas that I would have mentioned, which is increasing our value of new business through both volume and expense management, looking at improving our variances and making sure that we can improve those. I think it's also important, again, not to just look at the CSM because we have just a lot more... We've put more disclosure into our booklet so you can look at what the growth of our non-E417 business is also bringing through. So you get a complete picture of the growth in value.

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Thank you. The next question, please.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. The next question we have comes from Francois Dutoy of Anchor. Please go ahead.

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Hi guys, can you hear me?

speaker
Francois Dutoy
Analyst, Anchor

Yes, we can, just go ahead. Excellent, thank you. Your life embedded value statement shows that economic variances added 1.7 billion rands after tax to earnings in the period. In the past you've given us the split, a recon between how much of that was operational and how much of that's investment return and capital. and also how much of that is contributed by markets and how much of that was contributed by economic basis changes, in other words, interest rate changes. Can I ask for you to... Do you please provide that recon for us in the future and for this opportunity, for this question, just if you can split it roughly for me, just give me a sense of how much of that, and that's a two billion round swing on the base period, how much of that swing was operational and how much of that came through the industry term on the capital line or can we use the The IFRS investment return on capital is a proxy for that. Just trying to get a sense of how much, how repeatable this life earnings level is, how much of it came from the trough of markets. That's the first question. Second question relates to the positive experience variances. You've made big basis changes. And also it looks like the unwind and the basis changes reflect The unwanted experience variances reflect the basis changes that's taken place already. Is that the case or is the experience variances on actual assumptions that existed at the start of the year? Just can you clarify that for me? Is it experience variances on the changed basis or on the year-end basis?

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

That's the second question. Thanks, Francois. Will you please just hold it there on those two? I'll ask Nico to just walk us a high level through. We do add on the disclosures and on the one-on-ones we'll go through too much detail, but if Nico could please just cover it at the high level. Thank you.

speaker
Nico

Francia, you can definitely use the IFRS investment information that gets given as an indication of what's happening to shareholder investment returns, so there is disclosure on that. The embedded value was a bit more complicated this time around because there were a couple of method change type items in there too, so not as material as the ones that have already been mentioned. So you can see that information in the system if you look at ANW versus VIF. Then the question on basis changes, they're all on the opening basis, but remember that the opening basis already for MFC had a material reserve against weaker persistency in 2025. And so that's why you're not seeing as big a negative variance. Effectively, the basis change that's been spoken about has a lot more to do with assuming ongoing weaker persistency beyond the first couple of years for the systemic parts of weaker persistency rather than cyclical parts of weaker persistency.

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Thank you, Nico. Operator, the next question, please. Just as a reminder, two questions per person.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

At this stage, there are no further questions on the conference.

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Thank you. I will now just turn over to some of the questions that were submitted. The first one came from a from JP Morgan. Please elaborate on the structural change in the market which you believe is driving persistency. That's the first question. The second one, please explain the material decrease in the rest of Africa embedded value, which contrasts with the positive CSM growth. Yuri, I would like you to just maybe comment briefly on the first part.

speaker
Joeri Strodum
Group Chief Executive Officer, Old Mutual Group

So I think that there's greater competition in the funeral market. I mean, that's certainly the case. I do think that there's macro headwinds in South Africa, but I wouldn't overemphasize that. I think actually there's been a big competitive shift And I think if you think about the overlaps between banks and insurance companies, I think that there's a blurring of the lines. There's a moving of banks into insurance and likewise insurance moving into banking. And I think whilst we certainly have management actions to improve persistency and there are things that we can and are continuing to do, we do believe those will bear fruit. we do think it's wise to recognize the structural change of higher churn of funeral business than perhaps we had before. And our business must adapt to that.

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Thank you very much, Yuri. I will hand over to Clement, our MD for all Mushehal Africa regions, to cover the question on EV and CSM growth.

speaker
Clement
Managing Director, Old Mutual Africa Regions

Okay, thank you. The CSM growth is mainly driven by investment returns largely in Malawi. And also changes that we had in the fees on the guaranteed fund in that market as well. Then the embedded value reduction, there are two things. The first thing is there was a reallocation of the adjusted net worth between the various lines of business. So it took quite some, about three billion rand from live to non-covered business. So that's one thing. And then the next one was and allowance for expected currency devaluation in Malawi. So there is a haircut that we put through there.

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Thank you very much, Herr Clement. I will proceed with the next question from Michael from UBS. The first question from Michael is can you explain what have you provided for in the $440 million? corporate center expense provision. It doesn't look like for your FY26 guidance that has changed. It remains for FY22 plus inflation. I'll ask Kasper to take that one. But the second one, also from my calculations, is what level of price to give are you prepared to continue buying the share buyback? I will also ask Kaspar to comment on that with Yuri adding a level. Kaspar.

speaker
Kas Patrosky
Group Chief Financial Officer, Old Mutual Group

Michael, so on the price to give, we're not disclosing that externally. We don't want people trading against us. So I think that's important to understand that we get confidential. The first question on the restructuring provision, those relate to two components. Those relate to... Headcount reductions that we finalised where we had a constructive obligation, so we finalised them by 30 June, where we had one of costs that will reduce future expenditure and this is a cancellation of one of our IT contracts where we have an upfront settlement which will reduce future expenditure. Those are the two components.

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Thank you very much, Kaspar. Operator, I would like to come back to the chorus call and check if we have a question there.

speaker
Kas Patrosky
Group Chief Financial Officer, Old Mutual Group

Sorry. Just to add, Michael, we won't. We will obviously continue doing buybacks where we feel it's creative and stop if we feel we have a pain on the buyback.

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Thank you very much, Kaspar. Question from the chorus call.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you, sir. We have a follow-up question from Francois. Please go ahead.

speaker
Francois Dutoy
Analyst, Anchor

Hi, guys. Maybe if you can give us a bit of color on the reduction in the regulatory solvency ratio from 180 to 170%, and how does that gel with the strong cash generation? and the increased excess capital that you disclosed as well. And just around that, maybe just discuss whether there's been a reduction, therefore, in your targeted solvency ratio for the long term as well. And the second question is just on all mutual insurer. I think last time I asked this question, you suggested that 5% is unlikely to be exceeded this year in terms of underwriting. Maybe if you can give us a sense of how long you think the strong cycle will be with us and whether you are considering changing your band, your target band long-term for Alt-Mutual Insure.

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Thank you very much. I will ask Yuri to take the OM in short and ask Kasper to just comment on your first question, Franca. If there is a need, Nico, you may just overlay your run-in there. Thank you. Yuri, over to you.

speaker
Joeri Strodum
Group Chief Executive Officer, Old Mutual Group

Franca, hi. Yeah, I think we will at the Capital Markets Day. In those targets, we talk about underwriting margin as one of our key targets going forward, so we will update. that for our medium-term target. I think we do all recognise that we are in a good position in the cycle, and so it's very hard to call exactly where that cycle goes, but I would point you to the capital markets there probably for more detail in that conversation. Thank you.

speaker
Kas Patrosky
Group Chief Financial Officer, Old Mutual Group

Professor, just to remind you that we have to accrue for our dividends and the actual buyback in our capital ratio at the period end, if we've announced that, because it's a firm commitment. We also saw quite a big increase in markets during the period, so what that does is it increases the prescribed equity shock that we're required to hold, so that would not just impact on equities that we held, it would also impact any subsidiaries the shock that we apply to the net asset values of those subsidiaries where they're not regulated in terms of either where they fall outside of the sort of normal insurance solvency provisions.

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Thank you very much. There are no more questions from the chorus call. I will just maybe read two more questions and then bring it all to a close. From RMB Morgan Stanley, that's Warwick Bam. Warwick asks, improving the performance of MFC looks like one of the biggest opportunities for the group. What needs to happen in the core insurance business of MFC and what timeline are you looking to achieve that? I will ask our CEO for the cluster, Prabhasini, to take that question.

speaker
Prabhashini Moodley
CEO, Mutual Life and Savings Cluster, Old Mutual Group

Thanks, Vanga. Thanks, Warwick, for the question. So in our MFC business, we continue to take action on persistency. We've taken some management actions this year already to make it easier for customers to actually pay any missed premiums, and that's already giving us some very early green shoots. Then when it comes to the market and addressing the shift in the market, I think from a proposition perspective, there is some work that we can do. And we do have building blocks within the Masson Foundation business where we can put together, for example, through our Two Mountains acquisition and improve the differentiation of the proposition that we take out. Productivity and the management of our distribution channels remain really, really good. And it's just giving those advisors the right solutions to take out and improving our premium collections. And I think we will see improvements. Thanks.

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Thank you very much. I think just to close off, there is two set of questions. I'll sort of combine them if Kasper you could just address these two. They are related to costs. The first one is from Alan Gray. Yash asks, may you please give us more color around the $540 million restructuring provision What was allocated to that and how will it fall away going forward? There's also another similar question from Bertilio that is asking, where do you see the biggest opportunity to reduce costs across the group? And can you talk around the cadence of cost reductions going forward?

speaker
Kas Patrosky
Group Chief Financial Officer, Old Mutual Group

So just going back to the 440 restructuring provision, as I said earlier, this relates to headcount exits that were finalised at 30 June, so where you have upfront costs. So the future salary costs we won't be carrying, so that will be a reduction in costs. And as I said, the software costs that we accrued for stopping that software agreement, there will be no future payments, so you have upfront costs in that. So that will also reduce our expense payments going forward. We communicated to you over the last few years that a number of areas, certainly in the central functions where we are looking at cost reductions, we communicated that we're running elevated costs in the centre and that we're targeting to get back to 2022 plus inflation on the centre line. I think the further cost reduction opportunities comes through the fact that we've rearranged our operating model, as Yuri took you through, as well as the fact that we'll be running a leaner centre function. So those are the biggest opportunities. Thanks.

speaker
Langa Mangaila
Head of Investor Relations, Old Mutual Group

Thank you very much, Kasper, and thanks, Yuri, for all the clarification as well as to the MDs for helping us conclude the Q&A. So that concludes our Q&A session. We look forward to engaging you at our upcoming CaviMarkets day, as Yuri has already mentioned, where we'll give you more color on our strategic priorities as well as targets. Once again, on behalf of our board and the management team, I would like to thank you all for joining us. Have a good day further. Thank you.

Disclaimer

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