11/26/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you for standing by and welcome to the Ryman Healthcare half-year results briefing. All participants are in listen-only mode. There will be a presentation followed by a question and answer session. If you wish to ask a question, you will need to press the star key followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. I would now like to hand the conference over to Ms. Naomi James, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, everyone. I'm Naomi James, Chief Executive Officer of Ryman Healthcare. Thank you for joining us for our half-year results for the six months to 30 September 2025. With me today is Matt Pryor, who commenced as Chief Financial Officer on the 31st of July, and Hayden Strickett, our Head of Investor Relations. We're going to be working to get through the presentation in around 30 minutes to allow time for Q&A before we wrap up at midday. Looking at the agenda, I'll provide an overview of sales, stock, operations and development before handing to Matt who will speak to the financials and capital management. And I'll then provide an update on outlook and strategic priorities before opening up for Q&A. Starting on slide four, as you'll see from today's results, we are well on our way to delivering better returns and are doing the things we said we would do when we raised capital at the start of the year. This is the first positive free cash flow result that Ryman has announced in more than a decade. We have made substantial progress towards achieving our cost reduction target in the first half and increased our target for the full year. Our refreshed sales strategy is rebuilding momentum with two quarters of sequential growth at our new 30% deferred management fee. Our balance sheet reset is now complete with the full bank refinancing we announced at the start of the week. And we have today announced that we will hold an investor day in February, which will cover our strategy refresh and new capital management framework. Let me start with the first half highlights on slide five. And starting with our sales performance, we've seen a rebuild in sales volume for the first half with total sales of 704. While down on the second half of last year, which was a record, this was up on the fourth quarter of last year and is at a significantly higher value with the new level of DMF. On the operating side, we've stepped up the level of cost out. To 30 September, this is now at $40 million annualised and we've uplifted the full year target to $50 to $60 million. This is reflected in our financial performance, with a significant improvement in operating EBITDAF and positive free cash flow for the half of $56.2 million, on total revenue up 13% on both pricing and occupancy growth, while total costs fell 2%. We've completed the refinancing of all banking facilities, significantly extending the average facility tenor to five years. As part of this refinancing, we also improved our pricing and have more resilient financial covenants. Through the half, we completed an ASX foreign exempt listing, which we committed to do at the time of the capital raise. This is a pivotal step in broadening Ryman's investor base while reinforcing our commitment to the Australian market. Finally, we've made good progress with the strategy and portfolio review, with additional land investments bringing total contracted sales to $110 million. We will be coming back to the market at an investor day in February with an update on our refresh strategy, and capital management framework going forward, including our dividend policy. Now jumping into the detail, starting with sales on slide eight. We've seen continued improvement in sales effectiveness and contract conversion driven by strong lead generation from village open days and targeted sales and marketing initiatives. Looking at the first quarter, we saw a 12% step up and another 9% step up in the second quarter in our occupied sales. As a reminder, these are RV unit sales only, and we do not include care RADs in our sales numbers. This year we introduced quarterly reporting, so you already have the sales figures you see on this slide. The new news is the update to our full year guidance to 1300 to 1400 units, which I'll speak to at the end in the outlook section. Moving now into pricing and the breakdown in sales mix. On slide nine, you can see the changes we made to the pricing model are now fully in place. As a reminder for those new to the Ryman story, our sales which are recognised at the point of occupancy typically lag contracting by six months on average. We made the shift to a standard 30% DMF on the 1st of October 2024, so contracts signed prior to that date have now been settled and the first half of this year reflects the pricing changes. You can see that three quarters of new residents are moving in on our standard 30% DMF, with the remaining quarter being a mix of DMF options. demonstrating the flexibility in our pricing framework across DMF and unit pricing to meet individual needs. Our contracts are long-dated and the benefit of these changes will build over time, with annual portfolio turnover currently at 12%. As well as the uplift in DMF, we're also seeing a significant step up in weekly fees, with an average 60% uplift in the level of weekly fees on rollover of units. Moving now to sales contracts on slide 10. You can see again the significant improvement half on half coming through in our forward contract book with both increased contracting levels and a reduction in cancellations. Market conditions are still mixed across the regions. We are seeing early signs of recovery in Victoria, while Auckland is yet to show meaningful improvement, which is significant for Ryman with around 30% of the portfolio in Auckland. Our contracted level of stock is lower, reflecting the recent completion and settlement of pre-sold units at Kevin Hackman and Nellie Melba. Stepping now into the breakdown between resales and new sales on slide 11. Our average resales pricing has been broadly stable on first half 2025, while slightly down half on half due to mixed impact. Independent units are down 2% year on year, while service units are up 1%. We've seen our gross resales margin, which reflects the cumulative capital gains on each unit, continue to moderate from historical highs. This reflects the flat housing market we've experienced in recent years. We've seen resales volumes increase across both independent and service departments compared to the prior half. But you will see there is still a gap between sales and turnover, 81 units for the half, which means as we signalled at our full year results, there is a working capital drag through the half with an increase in resale stock and the payout balance. Turnover is an important driver of cash generation in our model through both DMF and capital gains. With improving resales, we have a significant opportunity both to increase cash generation and to release cash from the $330 million of bought back resale stock we have today. Turning to new sales on slide 12. New sales have reduced, reflecting the planned ramp down in development in response to elevated industry stock in some locations. As a result, our level of new sales stock has remained broadly flat over the past six months. We do have elevated levels of service departments following the opening of five main buildings over the last 18 months. This is a key area of focus for us and we are considering a number of options to improve utilisation of this product. Average pricing remains strong, supported by a favourable mix with 45% of new sales coming from Australia. And importantly, our total new sales stock value of around $470 million at the end of the half represents a significant cash release opportunity going forward. As we open the operations section on slide 14, I'm pleased to share that Ryman has once again received significant external recognition. I know these award slides sound a bit repetitive given how many we've won over the years, but this is ongoing recognition across both the aged care and retirement living parts of our business, which truly reinforces the strength of Ryman's reputation. Importantly, our internal customer survey results have also continued to improve year on year across all parts of the village. It's been especially pleasing to see this progress in a year where we've undertaken a significant reset across many parts of the business. And I want to acknowledge the dedication and commitment of our Ryman team members who work every day to deliver great service for our residents and are working to make our business performance even more sustainable. Moving now to aged care performance on slide 15. Starting with pricing, we have seen significant period-on-period improvement in both room premiums in New Zealand, up 10% on PCP, and in average refundable accommodation deposits or RAD balances in Australia, up 5%. These gains are in addition to the base care funding uplifts implemented in both New Zealand and Australia. In New Zealand, a base care funding uplift of 4% took effect from 1 July. We have also successfully trialled a new product for residents transferring to care from within the village, which we're now rolling out across all of our New Zealand villages. This allows us to grow the level of resident capital in care in New Zealand and gives our residents more choice in how they fund the cost of their care. In August, we communicated the closure of our two oldest rest home level care centres in Christchurch. Time to align with the opening of the 80 bed new Kevin Heckman facility, every resident has been supported to find a new home that meets their needs. Moving on to slide 16 and the significant progress with aged care reforms across both Australia and New Zealand. In Australia, reforms have been enacted and are now moving into the implementation phase. Changes to allow a 2% annual retention of new RADs came into effect on 1 November With our average incoming new RAD in Australia currently exceeding $800,000, this is expected to deliver a meaningful increase in revenue from new RADs moving forward. Ryman is already well-progressed in meeting the new clinical care minute requirements which become mandatory with the new funding changes. We've also seen significant progress made in New Zealand with the government announcing the establishment of a ministerial advisory group. While it is lagging Australia in undertaking the necessary reforms, we expect New Zealand will benefit from being able to draw on lessons from the Australian reforms, taking the elements that have worked well and delivered meaningful benefits, while supporting the delivery of high-quality care without creating undue compliance burden. And the New Zealand Government has been specific on the timing it wants to achieve, advised by the middle of next year to enable it to enact changes to the funding model in 2027. This will provide time for all political parties to commit to funding reform ahead of the New Zealand election next year. And there's a big focus on the reforms gaining bipartisan support as occurred in Australia. Moving now on to development. I'm pleased to announce today the appointment of Richard Stevenson as Chief Development and Property Officer. Richard brings deep sector experience with more than 20 years working across the retirement living and aged care sectors in New Zealand and Australia. The addition of Richard to our senior executive team positions Ryman for a return to disciplined growth and supports the continued delivery of high quality communities for residents. Moving now to slide 18, which sets out the status of our program of works across our in-flight projects. We've made good progress in the last half with the completion of the final stage at Nellie Melba completing the village, the completion and opening of the Kevin Heckman main buildings, the commencement of the main building at Patrick Hogan, and progress of Keefe Park Stages 8 and 9, with these independent apartments forming the bulk of our second half build guidance. We expect updated plans for our Hubert Operman Village to be finalised and approved next calendar year, allowing for the commencement of construction, which will be the first project we deliver under the outsourced model. And we continue to have more than 300 RV units sitting in our land bank for future stages on these projects, which have planning approvals and are ready for development as and when market conditions support it. Jumping forward to our land bank on slide 20. In February, we announced that we were undertaking a comprehensive review of our land bank, which was independently valued at 376 million at 30 September. We have been exploring the best opportunities for growth in terms of both our existing villages and our greenfield sites, and are also determining which sites would deliver better value for shareholders through divestment. A number of sites were identified for potential divestment during the early stages of this review, and we're pleased to report the successful sale of Park Terrace in Christchurch for $42 million and Mount Eliza in Victoria for $35 million. This is in addition to the existing contracted sales at Karori and surplus land at Nellie Melba totalling $33 million. We will provide a further update on our land bank review at our investor day in February and expect to have identified sites to be retained for future development as well as additional sites for divestment. Now I'll hand over to Matt to run through the financials.

speaker
Matt Pryor
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Naomi. As my first half at Ryman, it has been fantastic getting to see the opportunity to unlock value in the business on a number of fronts, which I will touch on today. For the result, I'll talk to the financial highlights in our P&L, cash flow and valuations, as well as speak to the refinancing update, which we announced earlier in the week. Starting with slide 22. As Naomi has spoken to, we have made meaningful progress in the first half, which is reflected in these financial results. I'll call out four highlights on this slide. Firstly, we've seen a significant improvement in financial performance with losses before tax and fair value movements reducing 57.6 million year on year, underpinned by revenue growth of 13% and disciplined cost control. Next, free cash flow of $56.2 million was positive, underpinned by strong net development cash flows and lower finance costs. And thirdly, acknowledging the quality of our $1 billion of unrealised development assets, which represents a material cash opportunity. Lastly, the full refinancing of our bank debt, which has extended average tenner to five years, improved pricing and introduced a fit-for-purpose covenant structure. The refinancing completes our balance sheet reset and provides a robust foundation to grow earnings. Moving to slide 24. Strong revenue growth is a notable highlight for the half, driven by the benefit of both our growing resident base, up 4% year on year in volume terms, and stronger pricing in both aged care fees and retirement village fees. Year-on-year growth in DMF revenue includes a one-off adjustment for the prior year period relating to a historical GST issue which was disclosed at the full year result. Removing this impact, DMF was broadly flat year-on-year. There are a number of factors at play here including the changes to our pricing model as well as the accounting changes made in the prior year. If we look at independent units, we have moved from a 20% to a 30% DMF. but with revenue recognition period changing from seven years to nine years. Similarly, service departments have moved from the 20% to 30% DMF, with recognition changing from three years to four and a half years. This means that whilst the change in DMF contract terms is building a higher value contract book, it will take time to flow through to the P&L, and this is shown in revenue in advance. In simple terms, revenue in advance represents DMF, which has been contractually accrued but not yet recognised in the P&L. The balance will underpin future DMF revenue. I would stress that our front book revenue profile across both DMF and weekly fees is significantly greater than the revenue in place from our back book, which supports our growth in years to come. Slide 25 shows the significant progress we have made in our cost out programs over the past year. Non-village expenses reduced half on half by 27% to $54 million, with the majority of this improvement coming from last year's restructure to support services. Adding to this is also some reallocation of costs to villages following these operational changes. Village expenses increased 7%, reflecting additional capacity which has come online, noting that we have opened five main buildings in the past 18 months. While cost savings remains a key focus for the business, this is being approached in a considered way, given the importance of the Ryman brand and our strong resident proposition. Moving to slide 26. Combining the revenue and cost improvements I've talked to, we have seen a $26.4 million year-on-year lift in operating EBITDAF to $40.1 million, a key measure we focus on internally to track the core operating performance of our business. I would note that this does not include any realised capital gains on retirement village AURAs, which are reflected in other metrics such as cash flow from existing operations. The chart shown on this slide shows the improvement with non-village cost reduction and positive leverage in developing village growth providing the most benefit. Moving to slide 27. A key strategic priority for F26 has been segmenting our financials between aged care and the retirement village parts of the business, which we will report on going forward. I'd like to highlight that this is a non-GAAP disclosure which currently sits outside of our financial statements. Segmentation is based on property type with the aged care segment comprising our care centres and the retirement village segment comprising our independent living units, service departments as well as common areas and amenities. I should also make clear that home care services provided to a resident in RV are included in the retirement villages segment. Central to this analysis is the allocation of support services to each of the segments. A substantial amount of the support is provided through our office functions, such as operations, clinical, procurement and contracting. Allocating these costs to the segments provides a complete picture of our cost structure and business performance. The output of this work provides metrics such as EBITDAF per aged care bed of approximately $15,000 on an annualised basis. For a scale operator such as Ryman, this is significantly below the full potential of our portfolio and there are transformation projects underway to improve performance. It is also important to note that the figures shown on a per bed or unit metric are averages with variations seen throughout the portfolio. Our transformation progress will be reflected in these segment measures going forward. Slide 28 details our cash flow from existing operations, or CFEO for short, which is down year on year when excluding interest. Robust cash flow from village operations aligned with the improvement in operating EBITDAF has been offset by lower net cash flow from resales. Resales cash flow continued to be impacted by growth in our bought back stock, which grew 53 million and a half. Excluding this, our cash performance would have been meaningfully higher. I'd also highlight that we have made some refinements to our cash flow methodology. The most significant change is the allocation of interest on unsold new stock and land bank to development activities. Whilst much of this interest does not meet the criteria for capitalisation, functionally it still relates to our development business. Other changes include the allocation of sales and marketing costs between CFEO and CFDA, and similarly reallocating costs on land bank sites, such as rates or site security, to CFDA. The composition of CFEO shows the improvement in village operations, but this is held back by gross receipts from resales, compared with the previous half, which had the benefit of stronger sales. Totalled against lower non-village expenses and attributed interest costs, there was a slight improvement in overall CFEO. Turning to slide 29, We have seen strong net cash release from the development side of the business, with our project spend reducing significantly as we sell down existing stock. The opportunity to release cash from inventory is substantial, with approximately $470 million of new sales stock at 30 September. Consistent with my previous comments, the figures on this slide reflect our updated methodology with cost allocation to CFDA, including marketing and selling costs, as well as allocating notional interest on unsold new stock and our land bank. Slide 30 shows the positive free cash flow for the half, which was the first time in many years for Ryman. Free cash flow of $56 million was partly offset by a headwind of $42 million in other movements, primarily FX, with the 3% decline in the New Zealand dollar for the period. While this has had a negative impact on the Australian dollar debt, I'd note that our Australian dollar assets have also seen an FX uplift, which is an offsetting benefit to our balance sheet and our NTA. And as Naomi has already highlighted, there have been subsequent land bank sales that will benefit our second half cash position. Turning to asset valuations on slide 31. Independent valuations across our sites consider unit and pricing information, capital spend and site specific factors with further details in our presentation appendices. The half saw a positive fair value movement of $3.2 million, reflecting a number of changes, including price. But the outcome was broadly flat, taking into account FX and the previous result adjustment. There has also been a small impairment for three care centres as detailed in the financial statements, noting that the broader care portfolio is valued annually. The overall investment property carrying value and net tangible asset value remained broadly flat against the previous result. My final slide on financial performance provides a summary of our profit and loss with per share measures which I won't speak to in detail given most line items have already been covered. Earnings per share of negative 4.4 cents was down for the half with the improvement in operating earnings offset by lower fair value movements as well as the higher number of shares on issue following the February equity raise. Now on slide 34. As announced Earlier in the week, we have successfully completed a full refinancing of our syndicated loan facilities. This extends our weighted average maturity to nearly five years, with no maturities until FY31. To achieve this, we have received strong support from our lending group, who has recognised the turnaround that is underway at Ryman by providing funding out to seven years. Our new ICR covenant is 1.5 times adjusted EBITDA to interests, excluding interest on development debt. This designated development debt includes our committed developments that are in flight, as well as recently completed care centres in New Zealand. Importantly, our existing covenant waiver remains in place with first testing of the new covenant to apply from September 2026. Overall, this refinancing retains significant funding headroom of over $500 million and provides a strong foundation to support our strategy and long-term value creation. Finishing my sections, I'll talk to Treasury Management on slide 35. Since the equity raise earlier this year, we have delivered annualised interest savings of around $67 million, driven by lower debt following the February equity raise, positive free cash flow and a reduced cost of funds. With nearly 70% of drawn debt now on fixed rates and an average hedge tenner of three years, we have strong interest cost certainty. Combined with a lower debt profile post-equity raise, this positions us for substantially reduced interests going forward. Before I hand back to Naomi, I'd like to thank all the operational teams across Ryman's Villages, as well as the development and support teams in Christchurch, Auckland and Melbourne that helped deliver these results. I'll now hand back to Naomi to talk to her outlook.

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks Matt. On slide 37 we have our updated full year sales guidance to 1300 to 1400 RV units. This reflects expected broadly flat total sales half on half in a mixed market. with new stock delivery weighted to the first half and a lower level of new sales. In these numbers, we haven't assumed a recovery in the Auckland market, which makes up approximately 30% of our portfolio by number. We have increased our cost-saving target for the year to 50 to 60 million annualised. We have also confirmed the top end of our build rate guidance for the year at 330 units and beds. And we have moderated our CAPEX guidance, reflecting the release of contingency on a number of in-flight projects which have completed, as well as some cash timing impacts. And we take a more disciplined approach to sustaining CAPEX in the existing villages. Slide 38 gives you an update on the strategic priorities we announced at the time of the equity raise and what we said would be our focus in FY26. I won't step through the slide as we've already covered each of these points through the presentation, but I would say we have made meaningful progress in releasing cash from the business, improving our performance and resetting the business for a return to disciplined growth. Let me wrap up on slide 39. Our near-term focus continues to be on building our sales momentum, releasing cash from the balance sheet and driving operational efficiency across the business. Ryman is positioned for significant cash flow growth as the housing market recovers, aged care funding reforms are enacted, our ageing population grows strongly on both sides of the Tasman and aged care scarcity increases. And I'm looking forward to sharing more with you at our Investor Day in February on our refresh strategy, focused approach to growth and new capital management framework, including our new dividend policy. I will now open up for Q&A.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. If you would wish to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. If you wish to cancel your request, please press star 2. If you're on a speakerphone, please pick up the handset to ask your question. The first question comes from Bianca Murphy with UBS. Please go ahead.

speaker
Bianca Murphy
Analyst, UBS

My first question was on your commentary that you are signaling that you will be returning to disciplined growth again. But at the same time, we continue to see vacant stock increase as well as bought back stock. And I know it, of course, takes a few years to develop a village, but can you just touch on the confidence, I guess, that Ryman is ready to return to growth again, given where your stock levels are?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

Morning, Bianca. I think I caught all of that, but I guess just talking to, first of all, the stock levels, what we've seen half on half is obviously our build rate and our new sales stock sales rate much more closely match each other. And that's what we're wanting to achieve in terms of moderating the the rate of growth in our in-flight projects, which has seen us defer some of those later stages. We are intending to bring those stages forward as and when the market conditions support those developments and that will be done on a progressive basis. And in terms of our greenfield land bank and sort of future expansion around the existing villages, That's something that we're intending to come back and talk about further at the investor day in February.

speaker
Bianca Murphy
Analyst, UBS

Okay, thanks. That's helpful. And then I believe you previously mentioned that you expect until stock levels to peak in FY26. Do you still expect that to be the case? And if so, is your expectation that will be first half or second half?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

So in terms of the stock levels, we've obviously seen those increase through the first half with resales being at a slightly lower level compared to turnover. We are very actively working to get those to match each other with the range of sales effectiveness initiatives that we've got underway. We are also a little bit dependent on market conditions, particularly when it comes to the portfolio in Auckland, and ultimately that's going to determine the exact point in time that we reach that point and start to see that cash come back down and the buyback level come back down. Probably can't predict more precisely than that, Bianca, but we're certainly working very hard to get to that as soon as we can.

speaker
Bianca Murphy
Analyst, UBS

Okay. And then, yes, following up on that, could you just talk about what you're seeing in terms of market conditions in the first weeks of the second half?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

Sure. Do you want to talk to that, Matt?

speaker
Matt Pryor
Chief Financial Officer

Sure, thanks Naomi. So Bianca, in terms of what we're seeing so far in second half, before I do that just rewinding slightly to the first half, in the first half we did see higher volume of new sales and good movement on new stock deliveries with the rate of move-in probably a little bit faster than expected. In H2 I would say that we're optimistic given the recent cuts to the OCR, but it's really too early to say how those cuts will translate in terms of an uplift in current conditions. For October and November specifically, we've seen consistency with our first half sales performance, although we're entering this kind of quiet seasonal period of December and January with this mixed market conditions as a backdrop. And as I said, optimism around the OCR cut, but it's too early to say how that will play through in the second half.

speaker
Bianca Murphy
Analyst, UBS

Okay, thanks. That's all from me. Appreciate it.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from Ari Decker with Jordan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ari Decker
Analyst, Jarden

Good morning, and thanks for a very clear and granular presentation. First question just on new sales stock and the ILUs in particular. Just given the influence of Australia in the first half, Just keen to get a bit of an indication of how much of that nearly 300 ILUs in new stock sits in Australia versus New Zealand. And then just related to that also, what your expectations are for pricing in Australia, given the mix of stock that you have remaining there?

speaker
Matt Pryor
Chief Financial Officer

Well Ari, that's a very detailed question. We might have to come back to you offline as to the composition.

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

In the first half Ari, one thing we'd point to is with the Nellie Melba final stage completing, we have had a number of stales come through from that. We had 76 units added in Nellie Melba. We are seeing good trading and market conditions over there, and that's a relatively recent thing. But we haven't, I don't think, provided quite the level of split that you've just asked us for in terms of the split between New Zealand and Australia. So that's probably the further detail we can provide around that.

speaker
Ari Decker
Analyst, Jarden

OK, no, sure. Just in terms of cost-out expectations, which, you know, have increased, through the first half, which is clearly pleasing as you're spending more time in the business. I mean, could you just sort of characterize how far you've gone, I guess, and sort of peeling back the layers of the onion and whether your expectations would be that, based on what's still to go, that we could see further upsizing of that envelope through the balance of this year and into next year?

speaker
Matt Pryor
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks Ari. So in terms of what we've seen so far is obviously we had $23 million last year. We initially expected $23 million this year. At the half we've achieved $40 million. The current year savings are really across both non-village and village. I would say in emphasis areas it's around the support services as you would know, procurement as well, refurbishment capex and really village efficiency initiatives. It's really giving us the early gains that we're being able to talk to and now update and increase our guidance to the 50 to 60. As we do more work, we'll be able to give you more confidence around the timing of that, but at this stage not looking to change the original numbers in terms of total target.

speaker
Ari Decker
Analyst, Jarden

Oh no, and I wasn't expecting you to, but what you're suggesting there is more work to do in terms of looking across the business and certainly potential for that to be increased further.

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

Yes, you'll remember if you go back to the CAPRA's RE, we talked about a cash improvement target of $100 to $150 made up of a mix of cost and revenue. So that is still our overall target that we're working to. We've given you the cost indications to date and one of the things we're mindful of is being able to give a clearer view around timing of when the revenue improvements will flow through as well. So that's probably something we're going to come back on in the new year with some further detail around it.

speaker
Ari Decker
Analyst, Jarden

Great, and thanks. Yeah, that makes sense. And then just on the RAD retention benefit that's coming in in Australia, I mean, what's your – obviously too early to see on the evidence. I guess just some comments on your expectations with regards, you know, how it might change the mix and the skew of residents you see coming in on a DAP versus a RAD. Do you have any comments there?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

I don't think we'd expect to see it change the mix, Ari. We've certainly seen a little bit of benefit ahead of the 1 November commencement for residents looking to avoid that new regime. It applies to new RADs from the 1st of November. But typically it's driven based on the capital that individuals have access to. And it's also strongly linked with the tax and means testing settings in Australia. So it's fairly resident circumstance specific as to how those choices work rather than tied with that DMF retention.

speaker
Ari Decker
Analyst, Jarden

Okay, no, that's good. And then just, I guess, returning... And just asking a specific question back to the answer you've already given with regards that, you know, the resales and improving volumes there, you know, to bring it more in line with turnover, you know, and then, you know, clearly clear inventory as well. I guess just on the tools you're using, you know, I guess we can't sort of see it come through at an aggregate level, right? And then also there's obviously the phasing of it all and that in terms of settlements. But can you just talk to the extent to which you are using price as a tool in resales to increase volumes, whether you are doing that or not, and what sort of levels where it is being applied?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So we're using a range of initiatives, Ari, and price is really only one of those. I think we signalled at the full year that we would use pricing in a targeted way where we have building resale stock or where we have older new sales stock. I won't talk to sort of anything specific around discounting. It's obviously a competitive market. But price is certainly not the only thing we are doing. We have a range of other incentives and measures in place targeted at a village level. and also have invested quite a bit in the training of our sales staff to really make sure that they've got sort of the right toolkit, the right range of incentives, and are able to do a really great job at selling the new DMF offering, which they are really hitting their strides with. So it's a range of things with targeted pricing really just being one part of it.

speaker
Ari Decker
Analyst, Jarden

OK, and then just the last question for me, it's a quick one. Congratulations on the divestments of Mount Eliza and Park Terrace. I may have missed it, but could you just comment on where the value is achieved for those sat versus the FY25 book value?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

Yes, they're broadly in line with book.

speaker
Ari Decker
Analyst, Jarden

Great, congratulations. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Will Twist with Forsyth Bar. Please go ahead.

speaker
Will Twist
Analyst, Forsyth Barr

Morning, guys. Thanks for the extra disclosure on the village and the care earnings. If we think about that $15,000 per bed EBITDA in aggregate, can you give us an idea of what that looks like if we think about mature versus non-mature care centers? And then a follow-up to that, what is the split between what that looks like in Australia versus New Zealand?

speaker
Matt Pryor
Chief Financial Officer

Hi Will, it's Matt. I'll talk to the Australia and New Zealand piece. So care in Australia is more profitable. It reflects the funding reforms that have occurred in that market. And whilst we're not providing the $15,000 EBITDAF per bed split between the two markets, you can see from the country segment reporting in Note 2 that Australia has a higher margin at a country level and the bulk of the P&L is care. So hopefully that's helpful in terms of giving you an indication. And look, with the lower margin in New Zealand, it really is particularly as a result of the funding environment. So a scale operator like Ryman, we should be looking to get efficiencies from that scale and we will from our transformation programs to improve performance. But that said, lower earnings in New Zealand aged care is reflected in our valuations also and we do need to see meaningful improvement in funding to support investment in new capacity. And just on that, the same applies to obviously mature versus immature care centres. This is a high fixed cost business. They benefit from occupancy so you should expect obviously a lower margin in a more immature care centre.

speaker
Will Twist
Analyst, Forsyth Barr

Okay, great. But maybe if you could just give us a ballpark of where you think that Ibadab Herbed would be in a mature centre today.

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I think, Will, the complex thing there is obviously the premiums we're realising do vary quite a bit across the portfolio, so it's not a consistent position. It is region-specific. And I think in terms of perhaps that portfolio target in Australia and New Zealand, that's something we might come back in the new year and give you a further view on what we think – a fully optimised position might get to, including the benefit of the sorts of aged care reforms that are being looked at in New Zealand.

speaker
Will Twist
Analyst, Forsyth Barr

OK, no, that all makes sense. And then just moving to the village side, there's quite a big doubt there, sort of $50 million, $60 million between the village fees and the village OPEX. When can we sort of expect that delta to start closing materially? And then, I guess, following up from that, Is it still your expectation that over time you can get these two lines closer to break even?

speaker
Matt Pryor
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, good question, Will. So focusing on RV, not care, looking at the costs, I should point out the cost is a blend of independent and serviced, and the cost of delivering service is higher within that blend. You can see in the appendices that we've given the IA kind of unit fees of approximately $156 based on the current back book, if you can think about it this way, with the costs being at a current point in time. My observation coming in as a CFO is this is an industry issue. It's affecting a number of operators in this kind of high inflationary environment. A large part of the reason that Ryman has lifted its fees after many years of keeping them flat is to partly address this issue. So the front book, We'll address this in combination with some of the cost-out programs that we have underway, and that will close that gap on the RV side progressively over time. But it will take time.

speaker
Will Twist
Analyst, Forsyth Barr

Great. Thank you. And then just last one from me. If we think about the kind of step-down in maintenance capex in the first half, how should we be thinking about this as a base going forward?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

I think the step down, and it's not a significant step down, Will, in terms of FY25, it really just reflects a different level of cost discipline across the business and financial discipline across the business. want to invest in the existing villages but do that in a way that really is value oriented and so there will be some movement period to period based on opportunities particularly where we can create value through investing in the villages but in every dollar we're allocating we are really making sure it is well spent and that's reflected in the numbers.

speaker
Will Twist
Analyst, Forsyth Barr

Awesome, thanks guys.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Once again, if you wish to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. The next question comes from Stephen Ridgel with Craig's Investment Partners. Please go ahead.

speaker
Stephen Ridgel
Analyst, Craigs Investment Partners

Thank you, and good morning, and congratulations on the improved free cash flow results and progress on improved offering results. I just wanted to touch on the operating EBITDA result, which you called out. earlier Naomi was up to 200% or so off a low base. And then maybe also look at the resale gains, because if we include that to the operating EBITDAF, that number's down 3%, so given the cash resale gains, it's looked to be down about 34%. I just wanted to follow up on Ari's question on the decline in resale margins. Directionally, it's as expected, but the magnitude does perhaps look a little bit steeper, and I just wanted to see if there were any call-outs with regards to or other considerations, or does that kind of fairly reflect the level of discounting that Ryman's connected over the half to clear the resale stock?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

I think in terms of just what's driving that reduction, which is obviously not new to this half, Stephen, we see the HPI inflation in recent years as a significant factor. And remembering that in resales, you know, about half is service departments, which are turning over on average in four and a half years, and half is independent at about nine on average. And so particularly with, you know, service departments, you see that more recent lower level of house price inflation having an impact. And so that's sort of as significant a factor in terms of the resale margins. The pricing I think is more of a factor in terms of mix as well. And so as we see newer villages making up a larger proportion in the volumes and not necessarily having the same level of resale gains, just purely as a percentage in terms of house price inflation, that's also flowing through to sort of what you're printing in terms of that overall percentage margin change.

speaker
Stephen Ridgel
Analyst, Craigs Investment Partners

Okay, so you're calling out maybe a slightly younger average tenure potentially for those resales because just to – I guess we did see a 540-bip sequential decline in independent gross resale margins on slide 11 and a 350-bip sequential on service. So that, it would seem, is a bit steeper than what we're seeing across the rest of the sector and the housing market generally. So it's more – without that colour, it did really like more discounting. But you're suggesting it's more of a mixed shift. Is that right?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

Look, I think it's a combination of those things, Stephen, so rather than one of them and just to call out the, you know, we've obviously got the city villages as well as the regional ones. We've got the newer villages as well as the older ones and then we've got the service department and independence in the mix and all of that overlaid with broadly flat HPI over the last five years or so. Those factors are all playing into that resale trend but obviously pricing is a factor as well.

speaker
Stephen Ridgel
Analyst, Craigs Investment Partners

Okay, thanks. I guess if we look into that second half, I mean, are we going to see – should we be seeing some stabilisation in those, if you like, like-for-like resale margin trends? Or is this a fair read? Is this the new normal just given where the housing market is in this part of the cycle and what you need to do to get clear stock?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

Look, it's obviously fairly mixed dependent, Stephen, but I'd expect there's potential to further downward, but with perhaps a slower moderation in that in terms of where it trends, but very mixed dependent in terms of where the sales are coming from.

speaker
Stephen Ridgel
Analyst, Craigs Investment Partners

Okay, thanks. And then just maybe one on the CapEx. You know, I think it's been mentioned earlier that the CapEx guide was lowered a bit. Nomi, you sort of called out cost discipline. I was just wondering as well, though, does that pull down and, you know, what we're seeing is the build rates at the top end of the range, prior range, and the CapEx guidance is lowered. Does that reflect, you know, perhaps lower CapEx going into next year or lower build rate going into next year? I'm just trying to, you know, interpret the... the moving parts here, because typically if your build rate was at the top end, you'd expect your peaks to be a little bit higher from where I sit to try and stand there.

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

So the way I'd think about the build rate, Stephen, is really just that we're expecting to deliver in full to schedule, rather than any change in development activity. In terms of the CAPEX, there's a couple of things in that. One is that we have released meaningful contingency from some of the projects that we've completed, which is really pleasing. And then there is some timing in that. There's always a, you know, we're obviously completing Keith Park final, the current stages eight and nine near the year end. We're getting towards the end of northward around the year end. That just means you do sometimes have some timing impacts as to when that can flow through those projects. No change to schedule or delivery in any of that, impacting any of that.

speaker
Stephen Ridgel
Analyst, Craigs Investment Partners

Okay, thanks. And maybe just one last one from me. Just on the volume guidance upgrade, it's obviously good to see. Just maybe a question on the mix. And, Matt, you sort of called out earlier that perhaps you'd see some improvement and continued improvement in resales in the second half, but new sales... perhaps sort of dipping a wee bit, just given obviously the front books coming back. I mean, I just want to actually give us some indication of, you know, maybe how sharp that mix shift you might expect to see in the second half on the settlements. And I appreciate it's early days, but, you know, it's quite likely to be quite a different mix in the second half or, you know, incrementally different, if you like.

speaker
Matt Pryor
Chief Financial Officer

You had two kind of large tranches of stock come through in the first half in terms of Nellie Melba and Kevin Hickman. So those two definitely play a role in first half new sale performance. And you can see the mix from what we've disclosed in our trading updates and the result. So it probably is more of an even spread in H2 than what it was in H1, which had the benefit of those two large tranches. So I'm not going to give you specifics, Stephen, in terms of the combination of those factors into H2, but hopefully that's directionally helpful.

speaker
Stephen Ridgel
Analyst, Craigs Investment Partners

Yeah, it is helpful. Thanks, everyone. It's all for me.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Nick Marr with Macquarie. Please go ahead.

speaker
Nick Marr
Analyst, Macquarie

Just following on from that, just within the contracting rate, can you give us any idea of how that's looking on resales, just how close you're getting to the sort of termination run rate on a forward basis?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

So Nick, I think you were asking how close is the resale contracting rate to matching the turnover rate. Did I hear that correctly?

speaker
Nick Marr
Analyst, Macquarie

Yeah, so within that sort of 674 of new sales contracts in the first half and how close that is to the 619 of termination.

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

So we haven't given a specific split in terms of the guidance, but we are certainly seeing that gap narrow. And while resales is sort of below where we want it to be, we're chasing that hard to get back up to that turnover level. And that's a near-term focus for us. So that's a near-term goal we are working to chase down. We have indicated I think in the guidance that new sales are probably a bit lighter in the second half and so you'll factor that into sort of the re-sales rate through that period in how you read that.

speaker
Matt Pryor
Chief Financial Officer

Can Nick just add to that, not just for the target of achieving turnover but also to the extent there's $330 million of stock value attributed to that which is a large prize for us to get after in terms of cash release.

speaker
Nick Marr
Analyst, Macquarie

Yes, absolutely. And do you think that the current set of incentives, tools, pricing, everything like that is enough to get you to that, notwithstanding sort of a material change in market conditions? Or are you sort of needing to wait for the market to pick up and to be able to actually execute on that piece?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

I don't think we're waiting for the market to pick up, Nick. I think property is cyclical, we all know that, and we're chasing that down in the current market. It's just a little harder, particularly probably at the Auckland end, but certainly in lots of markets we're well exceeding that, and so our focus is on closing the gap.

speaker
Nick Marr
Analyst, Macquarie

Yes, so my question was, in order to do that sort of nearer term, do you need to run more discounting or bigger incentives to get the cadence up?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

Not necessarily. I think it's a matter of continuing what's occurring, which is really using the full range of sales initiatives and options we've got to drive near-term sales performance.

speaker
Matt Pryor
Chief Financial Officer

And I think you've seen, Nick, in the half that there's been a trend in sales effectiveness towards better conversion and that conversion rate of leads through to contracts, through to settlements has been one of the highlights of the half. So to the extent we can continue to build and develop those tools, it goes beyond price in terms of sales performance.

speaker
Nick Marr
Analyst, Macquarie

That's helpful. And then could you just talk through that resident funding trial that you've done with kind of transfers to care and any intentions of sort of going back and allowing floors across other care beds in your portfolio and trying to sell down that way?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

So I guess just starting with the resident, when it comes to care our residents are coming either from within the village or often coming from outside the village and so that resident fund product that we have trialled and are now rolling out is really about helping our residents transfer within the village and use the capital they have, whatever level of capital that might be, to fund their care. We do also provide care in certain cases into service departments and that's an ORA structure in terms of where that's used. But we also see daily accommodation premiums as a really important option because very often care residents are coming to us at a difficult time in life. There's a lot of uncertainty around how long they might require care for and what level of care. they might need and so we want to have the terms and offerings right to sort of match the residents' needs. High occupancy in care is key to profitability and so having a range of pricing options is what's going to support that and we think this new resident fund adds to the range of options that our residents have in coming into care.

speaker
Nick Marr
Analyst, Macquarie

Sorry, what specifically is the resident fund? And what's the mechanism?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

So it's effectively a capital amount that applies as a deposit to fund through both effectively the value on the capital as well as through drawdown of that amount to fund the care. So whatever level of capital an individual might have, they can use both the capital base and the drawdown from that to fund their care without needing to have separate funding or capital available to pay their room premiums. It effectively allows them to discount the room premium in using that capital in that way.

speaker
Nick Marr
Analyst, Macquarie

And in the last part of the question, are you considering sort of having AURAs available over the care portfolio in New Zealand?

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

We see that as one option and it's an option that's used today in service departments and care suites. As to the extent of broader use of it, that's something we'll keep considering. And in really matching the range of pricing options to what residents are are looking for, occupancy is critical in care. So we want to be able to maximise occupancy and realise the premium for the accommodation in a way that's aligned with how the resident is best able to fund that. And not everyone has a capital sum and not everyone is wanting to sign an ORA at a point where they are moving them or a family member into care.

speaker
Nick Marr
Analyst, Macquarie

Okay, that's great. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

There are no further questions from the phone lines at this time. I will now hand it to Hayden for that Q&A.

speaker
Hayden Strickett
Head of Investor Relations

Your first online question is from David Kingston. Well done on the overall progress and positive free cash flow. When are you expecting positive EPS?

speaker
Matt Pryor
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, thanks for the question, David. So EPS, as you'll see it in the face of the accounts, is driven pretty heavily by the fair value movements period to period. Now, these are independent, hard to pick. You'll see from our fair value change from last year to this year, it was a substantial difference. But going forward to the extent of build rate moderating and as well as valuation being stable, we wouldn't expect that to have the same degree of change. But that's the main factor affecting EPS beneath our operating performance.

speaker
Hayden Strickett
Head of Investor Relations

Your second online question comes from Francois de Canard. Sales application trends beyond the reporting period of September 2025 with a split of ILUs and care suites, please.

speaker
Matt Pryor
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Francois. We're not going to give the complete split, but I would say that it's continuing at a very similar level of contracting post 30 September. Again, we're coming to this quiet kind of December, January period. But what we're seeing to date across October and November is at a very similar level of contracting.

speaker
Hayden Strickett
Head of Investor Relations

There are no further online questions. I'll hand back to Naomi.

speaker
Naomi James
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Aidan. Thanks, everyone, for joining us today. Appreciate your time and look forward to giving you an update next year at Investor Day. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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