8/27/2025

speaker
Lars
CEO

Before we dive into the numbers, I would like to briefly draw your attention to the standard disclaimer on slide number two. As always, it contains important information about forward-looking statements, assumptions, and uncertainties that may impact our outlook and performance. With that said, let's move on to the business strategy highlights on slide number three. Let's start with a look at our strategic progress in the first half of 25. We delivered strong revenue and EBIT growth, outperforming our European peers, a clear sign that our growth framework is working. We are executing with precision across our markets where we are fueling momentum in our growth markets, which is international, Italy and France, and we are building traction in the new markets like Norway, the Netherlands and Belux. In the developed markets or the Old Roy Unibrew multi-beverage markets, so that would be Denmark, Finland and the Baltics, we are focused on identifying pockets of growth, improving efficiency and exiting low margin segments. Importantly, our long-term financial ambitions remain unchanged. We continue to target 6-8% organic EBIT growth, double-digit earnings per share growth and improving our return on invested capital. This consistent delivery is a testament to the strength of our strategy and the dedication of our teams. And now please move to slide number four. We're pleased to report a solid first half performance, which follows our internal plans. Reported EBIT was up 11%, and the organic growth was 9%, and we delivered a margin expansion of 80 basis points. Organic volume growth came in at 4%, and organic net revenue growth was 3%. This was achieved despite headwind in one of our main markets, Finland, where cold weather during May and June impacted performance negatively. On a positive note, a warmer July in Finland closed part of the volume shortfall in Q2. Our international and Western Europe segments continue to outperform, and especially Italy and France. This demonstrates the strength of our geographical diversification in the recent years. Our cash flow and balance sheets are robust, and today we are launching a 300 million Danish kroner share buyback program to be completed before the end of 2025. And then we adjust or fine tune our full year guidance range. We are now expecting net revenue growth of 5% to 6% and an EBIT growth of 8% to 12%. First, let's move to our business segments on the next slide, which is number five. Starting in Northern Europe, which is our largest segment, In the first half, volume in the segment declined organically by 3% and revenue was down by 1%. EBIT in Northern Europe totaled 632 million and was on the level with last year. We estimate that we have maintained or gained market share across most categories and geographies. The main driver behind the first half decline in volume and revenue was Finland, where both May and June were significantly colder than average, impacting the entire beverage market and especially weather-sensitive categories like water, long drinks and ready-to-drinks. The total beverage market in Finland was down mid-single-digit measured on volume in the first half of 2025, and our performance was in line with that. As already mentioned, better weather in Finland in July helped recover part of the lost volume in Q2, and in July, the market is down low single digits. The Mintu acquisition in Finland was formally integrated in Q1. We're seeing good traction with the brands, and the business is already contributing positively. In Denmark, we saw good momentum in carbonated soft drinks, in particular with Faxicondi, while Pepsi is still gaining share in colas, but cola is declining as a category. Our beer brands, especially Royal, are gaining momentum, and we continue to perform well in energy drinks, with Faxicondi Booster leading the growth in the category. In Norway, we completed the SAP integration, and we are now in the optimization phase, streamlining workflows and processes. Commercially, we make good progress in the broader RTD space with Greons, Hansa and Smirnoff Ice. We have also announced the closure of the Sarpsberg Brewery by the end of the year. This is part of our long-term optimization strategy. And while it led to one-off costs in H1, we are on track to deliver 10% cash work in Norway by 2026. In the Baltics, we achieved market share gains in Latvia and Estonia while we maintained our shares in Lithuania. We see solid growth in energy drinks and ready-to-drink in the Baltics, which is newer categories with higher profit per litre than, as an example, the carbonated soft drink space or the mainstream beer. In total, we achieved growth in both revenue and EBIT in the Baltics in the first half. Now please move to slide number six. Western Europe delivered a strong performance in the first half. Organic volume growth was 15% and revenue growth was 16% organically, with the new activities in big looks as the main growth driver. EBIT increased by 34% to 218 million, with a margin improvement of 150 basis points. Italy delivered a very strong performance in the first half of the year, both on the top line and on the EBIT level. Our branded portfolio, particularly the Cheddar Strong Ale and the Croto range, achieved double-digit growth and captured market shares. To prioritize capacity for our own brands, we deliberately scaled down private label production on the beer. This strategic shift supported a more favorable price mix in the first half. However, it also meant that total reported volume growth in Italy was flat for the period. France continued to gain market share in soft drinks, with both Lorena and Crazy Tiger performing well. We have focused on SKU optimization and price pack architecture, which is supporting the margin expansion. In the Netherlands, we are seeing encouraging progress as the commercial agenda that we set in 2024 begins to deliver tangible results. With a strengthened off-trade sales force and a solid brand portfolio, Ramona achieved growth in both volume and revenue during the first half. We are also expanding our category reach as we have entered the RTD segment through the acquisition of GEEK, making our first steps into alcohol-based beverages in the Dutch market. The new PepsiCo activities in Belux that we took over 1st of October last year accounted for most of the growth in Western Europe in the first half, 13% of the volume growth and 12% of revenue growth. We have maintained market share in Belux and are progressing in line with the plans. Still, Belux is in the early stage of the turnaround, and as a consequence of that, it is a loss-making business in the first half of the year. For Benelux as a whole, we are on track to deliver 10% cash rock by 2026. Now, please move to slide number seven. Our international segment maintained strong momentum with 16% organic volume growth and 9% revenue growth in the first half. EBIT in international rose 55% to 122 million and the margin improved to 15.5%. That is reflecting both cost discipline and the operational leverage embedded in our business model. Volume growth in Q2 was notably strong at 20%, and as highlighted before, quarterly growth in this segment can be volatile and influenced by timing effect and particular changes in consumer inventories. While current sales outtrend among our customers have accelerated to low double-digit growth, the remaining volume uplift in Q2 particularly reflects the inventory build-up in Americas and a slight increase in the inventories in Africa due to the growth levels. This was a proactive move by our partners in Americas to reduce the short-term impact of the increased tariffs. The price mix in international was negatively impacted by the unfavorable currency developments and by country mix effects. It is important to understand that our business in international is based on different go-to-market models. As an example, in Africa, we sell to distributors that manage the selling and logistics in the market. This means that revenue per liter is lower than in the markets where we are responsible for these costs, like in Canada. It does not mean that we make less money on a per liter basis, but price mix effects can be impacted by this. And therefore, this business should be evaluated on an EBIT per liter as that takes the go-to-market model into account. And now I will hand over to Lars, who will go into the details with the financial numbers and our full year outlook.

speaker
Lars
CFO

Thank you, Lars. Please go to slide number eight. Let's take a closer look at the P&L in the first half of 2025. Volume and revenue growth were higher in Q2 than in Q1. This is primarily due to the timing of Easter, which fell in Q2 this year. Furthermore, a strike in Finland shifted some revenue from Q1 to Q2. This had no effect on the half-year numbers. Net revenue grew 4% to 7,644,000,000 in the first half, with 3% organic growth. The new business activities in Belgium and Luxembourg are treated as organic. If you exclude these, the organic growth rate in the first half was just below 1%. Gross profit increased 5% to 3,275,000,000. and the gross margin improved to 42.8%, despite some country-mixed changes in Q2. EBIT rose 11% to 959 million, and the EBIT margin expanded to 12.5%. In the first half, the cost base increased by 2%, which includes the impact from our new activities in Belgium and Luxembourg and recent M&As. This development reflects our continued focus on operational efficiencies and disciplined cost control. And a quick note on terminology. Cost base in this overview refers to the combined sales, distribution and admin expenses. The team has gotten a great job in the first half improving the business, despite cold weather in one of our larger markets and the ongoing integration work related to both B-Logs and Minto. Earnings per share increased 18% to 12.2% in the first half, reflecting stronger profitability. Tax and net financial costs are at the expected level in the first half. It should be noted that in the first half of 2025, we benefited from a one-off income of 18 million under income from associates related to the liquidation of a subsidiary in Greenland. Please move to slide number nine. Cash flow in the first half tracked our plans, which this is reflected in the new share buyback program of 300 million that we launched yesterday evening. Operating cash flow was DKK 933 million, supported by higher net profit. Free cash flow came in at 458 million, down from 560 million last year, primarily due to higher CapEx. CapEx is at the expected level, and we expect the full year to be around 7% of net revenue, reflecting our current investment program. Net interest-bearing debt increased to 6,374,000,000 by the end of the first half. This increase was primarily due to the share buyback program and dividend payment. You may recall that in 2024 the dividend was postponed to Q4. Our net interest-bearing debt to EBITDA ratio is around 2.3% in line with our target. The 250 million share buyback program started in February, was completed in August. Lastly, ROIC was at the level with last year, and we have a clear target of delivering higher ROIC going forward. We remain on track to deliver 10% cash ROIC in Norway and BLOX by the end of 2026. And just to make definitions clear, cash rog is calculated as the net operating results before amortization and after tax, expressed as a percentage of the net cash paid for the acquired companies. Please move to slide number 10. Turning to our updated outlook for 2025, we've narrowed our guidance ranges to reflect greater visibility by the end of August. Net revenue is now expected to be 5-6% versus 5-7% previously, and EBIT is expected to grow by 8-12% versus 7-13% previously. These adjustments reflect a few key factors. First, summer weather across our markets have been broadly normal. without additional impact on activity levels. Finland weather had a slight negative impact on the full year, even though it improved after the first half. But in general, the weather impact will be small for the full year. Secondly, revenue is impacted by a reduction in private label production and negative FX impact compared to our original assumptions. The consumer environment remains challenging, but we have not seen a material versioning compared to that we set by the end of 2024. So our assumptions on that front remain unchanged. We continue to expect net financial expenses around 250 million, a tax rate of 22% and capex of around 7% of net revenue. And with that, the word is back to you, Lars.

speaker
Lars
CEO

Thank you, Lars. And now please move to the next slide, slide 11. A few words on what we in the management team have on our agenda. We will continue executing our growth strategy with tailored efforts across growth markets, new markets and developed markets. We aim to ensure that we maximize our opportunities across the markets. Efficiency and cost control remain top priorities. We are optimizing resource use and driving operational excellence across the business. We have not talked too much about ESG today, but I can rest assured that this remains high on our agenda. We are making good progress in several areas, and let me just mention improved CO2 intensity in our production and improved safety performance with fewer incidents. You can read more about that in the first half report. And finally, we remain fully committed to deliver on our long-term financial targets, including EBIT growth, EPS expansion, and improved return on invested capital. When we move to the next slide, which is slide number 12, I'd like to wrap things a bit up. We delivered a solid performance in our first half with EBIT growth and margin expansion in line with our plans. Our geographical diversification pays off with particularly strong contribution from Western Europe and our international segment. In Finland, performance was impacted by unusual cold weather in Q2, but a better July helped recover parts of the shortfall. Our balance sheet remains robust, giving us the flexibility to return value to shareholders while continuing to invest in strategic initiatives. And we remain firmly on track to deliver on a fine-tuned full-year guidance. And with that, please go to questions. Operator, please go ahead.

speaker
Operator
Operator

Thank you. To ask a question, please press star, one, one on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star, one and one again. Please stand by, we will compile the Q&A roster. We will now take the first question. From the line of Matthew Ford from BNP, please go ahead.

speaker
Matthew Ford
Analyst, BNP Paribas

Morning all, and just two questions from me, please. The first one's on the guidance. So you mentioned, obviously, we're eight months through the year now with much of the kind of profitability already generated. Just be interested to kind of, if you could walk through your assumptions embedded within the sort of the 8% to 12% EBIT growth range. You know, what assumptions are you baking in to get to the top and the bottom of that range over the next kind of four months? That's the first question. And then the second one, just on current trading, you mentioned on Finland an improved weather picture in July. I'm just wondering if you could give some more color across some of your major markets, how July and I suppose August have been trending. Thank you.

speaker
Lars
CEO

Yeah. So if I take the 8% to 12%, I would call out the consumer potential changes in terms of ups and downs. So it's not that we see something specifically, as Lars mentioned. This is in line with what we guided when we started the year, the dynamics. But the history has shown over the last three years that sometimes something happens. And then that might turn out either to the positive or the negative side of things. So that is, I think, the single biggest factor in the span here. We are past the summer. It was a normal summer. And normally, that might... lead you to being in the top range. But as this is normal, then that's not going to happen. And then just maybe on the revenue guidance, just to clear that out, as we also mentioned in the first half, we are doing some structural changes that which is deliberate choices to take some business out. That was business that we thought we would have when we started the year, but we decided to take it out as the private label in Italy, which is a better deal for us as a company. And when you put those, I would say, structural pieces together, then the underlying growth is slightly higher than the 1% that Lars talks about for the first half year. and then it accounts, I would say, for most of the difference between the 5% to 6% and the 5% to 7% of guidance. On your questions in terms of trading so far, it's a good July, as we have mentioned, in particular, I would say, in Finland and also in Norway, where we had quite good weather, and for both countries compensate for... for colder weather in May and June. And I would say for the rest of it, we are following the plan. So that's the essence, I would say. No major swings in any countries.

speaker
Matthew Ford
Analyst, BNP Paribas

Brilliant. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question. from the line of Andrea Pistacchi from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Andrea Pistacchi
Analyst, Bank of America

Yeah. Morning, Lars and Lars. With the first question, I just wanted to go back to the sales guidance a minute. Your updated five to six implies an improvement in the second half, I think to around six to eight percent reported. And you did, I think, in H1 about three and a half reported. So what in your expectation will drive this acceleration? Clearly, you won't have the weather drag that you had, which was quite significant, you said, in H1 in Finland. But at the same time, in Q4, I think you'll be lapping the benefit of the inclusion of BELUX. The second question is on COG. So when you strip out the various perimeter effects, could you give a sense, please, of what the level of organic COGS inflation that you faced in H1 was? On my estimates, it was probably slightly, slightly negative. And with the hedging that you likely already have in place or some hedging for next year, is the outlook for COGS still favorable looking into 2026? Thank you.

speaker
Lars
CEO

Yeah, if I go with the sales guidance and then maybe last you take the Cox question. So, yes, we do anticipate that the second half is going to be more favorable than the first half on the revenue side of things. And the July numbers is a part of that math, obviously, as it compensates both in, I would say, in two of our large revenue markets. And then when you look at our flight attitude, and I think if you point to Western Europe and international, we are super happy about the flight attitude that we have been able to establish. And our core assumption is that we will keep benefiting from that. And that is why we do see both Belux and also the Netherlands picking up. So if you look at months by months growth rates from them, then you would see that the development in the second quarter is stronger than it was in the first quarter. So an acceleration due to all the initiatives that we take in those countries. So, yeah, all in all, I would say on our own performance, we are a bit more optimistic on the second half. We know the weather. We know until now how it looks like. So it's not a market issue. I would say assumption that has changed in terms of how much the consumers are going to drink and how they're going to drink. It's more our flight attitude and the seven weeks that we know of by now.

speaker
Lars
CFO

And on the Cox piece, we are very much focused on taking cost out of our business and we've done a number of initiatives to reduce Cox and we're seeing some improvements in Cox related to complexity reductions and other initiatives. So there's a slight improvement on the Cox line compared to our initial assumptions. If you then, and it's very early days, if you look into next year, so far it looks like there's going to be a slight increase in Cox. But this is not something that will play the same story as we've seen in previous years. I would say from a commodity price point of view, the trend is a little bit up, but we need to offset that with efficiency initiatives. So not a big story to tell around Cox.

speaker
Andrea Pistacchi
Analyst, Bank of America

What drives the slight increase? Is it energy mainly, something else?

speaker
Lars
CFO

So there's some impact from energy. And then you see aluminum is up a little bit. You see sugar in Europe is down this year, but it's expected to be up next year. So I would say there's a lot of moving parts in this space. But nothing is dramatic. So I don't think you can read a lot into it.

speaker
Lars
CEO

And then you see a few, Andrea, you also see a few legislative things here in terms of the op-eds that needs to go to certain levels because of regulation from EU and everybody needs to do the same at the same time. And that generates some inflation in some categories. But as this is something that hits everybody, then it shouldn't impact Roy Unibrew, you know, individually.

speaker
Andrea Pistacchi
Analyst, Bank of America

Perfect. Cleo, thank you.

speaker
Operator
Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question. From the line of Aaron Adamski from Goldman Sachs, please go ahead.

speaker
Aaron Adamski
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Good morning, Lars, Lars and Flemming. Thanks for taking my questions. I have two. My first question is on your efficiency agenda in Netherlands. Can you please give us an update on what you have achieved there yet today? And what impact did it have on profitability in H1? And I guess what are the remaining areas of focus for that business? And when do you expect to see further improvement in margins? The second question is on something that you mentioned, the inventory buildup in the U.S. related to tariffs. I was wondering, based on the current depletion trends, how long is it going to take your partners to clear that excess stock? And should we expect that build-up will fully reverse in Q3? Thank you.

speaker
Lars
CEO

Yeah, on the Netherlands, it's impressive how many changes that we are actually making in a fairly short period of time. And it's really impressive to see the team changing the business from being... You know, I would say to become much more active in the market and really to play the game of being a challenger. We have in the first half, we have been building our field muscle in off trade and we have proof of concept to that. That means that we deliver value and a good payback. So this is about scaling it up over time. which is the plan that we laid out when we bought the business. We have bought this RCD business gig which enters into a new and fast-growing category, and the team has taken that on board. We have put in a new line. We have taken out one line, and we have been upgrading the glass line while introducing and starting to insource, because of that production, and to get new price pack architecture into the markets. And then on top of that, we have also taken some brands out that is not going to make a difference or have been where the investments have been made and where it didn't get traction. So we have taken out a kombucha brand as an example, and we have exited the energy drinks category. in collaboration with PepsiCo after having tried for three years to make Rockstar, I would say, sizable in the country has decided to take that out. So on one hand side, we are streamlining the business. And on the other hand side, trying to implement the growth framework that we have for the group, which is working well in the other countries. And that also means that as we are past, I'm not saying all of these changes, but many of these changes, we would anticipate that our margins would be going up already in the second half of the year. And that is in line with the plan that the team built for the year. So we are pretty optimistic on the Dutch business, and I would say the journey in Belux is fairly similar. We are now implementing SAP and will be up and running during Q4. And then on the back of that, of course, we can start streamlining both on the back end, on the supply chain, and play a more, I would say, commercial role in the Belux market. also by introducing some of our own brands into the portfolio like Crazy Tiger and Lemon Soda. So this is all in all why we are confident that we are on the right track to deliver the 10% cash rank fairly soon. On the terrorist question, you should count a couple of percent of the growth relating to the inventory build-up. So this is not... It's not a big thing, and it's not something that I would urge you to take into any spreadsheets. It's just for us to give an explanation for the difference between low double digits and the growth that we deliver. And then, of course, send a signal that it's fantastic that we have customers that are thinking commercially and smart so that you postponed the effect from the tariffs.

speaker
Aaron Adamski
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question. From the line of Richard Witteken from Capri Chevrolet, please go ahead.

speaker
Richard Witteken
Analyst, Capri Chevrolet

Yeah, good morning all. Two questions from me, please. First of all, on Finland, now following the change in regulation to allow 8% ABV products to be sold in retail. I mean, the competitive pressure seems to have increased quite a bit. So how has Royal Unibrew reacted to this and how do you assess your execution in Finland in the first half? And then the second question is on Italy. The Italian business continues to do really well. So perhaps you could discuss, you know, what the next growth step will be that the company could make in Italy. as the basis still seems fairly limited and the local team executes very well.

speaker
Lars
CEO

Yeah. Yeah, so in Finland it is correct that the 8% regulation change that came into place beginning of Q4 last year, and now we are close to being circling that effect, has increased competition in the alcohol space and the shelf has basically expanded in the stores. and also at price points that are fairly attractive for the alcohol that you buy. So the dynamics that we see and have seen since the 1st of October is that the long drinks category has been hit, which includes our original long drink. And I would say on the flavor side, not the grapefruit version, which is the old heritage version. So the whole flavor range is being challenged because you have alternatives also with high alcohol for a cheaper buy. And then you have seen the hard seltzer category. Continuing to expand and also, I would say, RTD in all shapes and forms is gaining traction. So what you see is a dilution of, I would say, it's a gain for the consumers that move from beer into this broader industry. I would say non-beer alcohol space with low alcohol content. So that's a gain. But then for the long drinks or the heritage categories that used to be there, it's a bit of a drain. So what we have done to address this is make sure that the base of original long drinks stays intact and we continue to develop that. So that's the grapefruit. And then we are... putting a lot of innovation into the game, both on the flavors of original long drink to continue to play the game as we have done over the last years with orange pineapple and blueberries and whatever. And then on top of that, we have introduced hard seltzers and we have introduced RCD brands with Hardwell, mostly Hardwell, I would say, as the endorser for the brand. We have also introduced Shaker, which is the Danish RCD brand, because you need to be extremely innovative in this market to capture as much as possible. And then the last thing that we have done is that we have introduced more and more I say competitive variants in this 8% space, mostly with wine as a base. So we are growing our share in that category ongoingly because of the offering and I would say the hardware trade business that supports that part of it. Yeah, so we take a lot of initiatives and we do see some improvements. And then we will circle that from the 1st of October. We will circle a year into this dynamics. So on one hand side, you know, positives because it moves consumption away from beer, which is not where we are earning most of our money. And then it moves into the broader RCD space where we historically have been extremely strong and is still the biggest player. Yeah, so that's the dynamics. Any follow-up on Finland, Richard?

speaker
Richard Witteken
Analyst, Capri Chevrolet

Maybe just when did you start introducing those hard shelters, those RTDs? That was in the first half of the year then, I guess.

speaker
Lars
CEO

No, we have had versions, but we have been putting more effort into it over time because the category is expanding, the flavor territory is expanding and so on. So we are doing more and more. So, yeah.

speaker
Richard Witteken
Analyst, Capri Chevrolet

Anything on price? I mean, are you changing price points?

speaker
Lars
CEO

I would say on the hard seltzer RTD, no. We are running some tests on the price elasticity on original long drink, both for the flavor part, but also for the grapefruit part. So we are testing that. No conclusions made yet.

speaker
Richard Witteken
Analyst, Capri Chevrolet

And that may be the Italy question.

speaker
Lars
CEO

Yeah, Italy. Yeah, so our performance is super strong, organic drive, stronger distribution, stronger execution, more field performance. field people that drives the growth further on and in a market I would say from the beer point of view where you see that strong lagers is the place to be From a category standpoint, a lot of it is driven by introduction of new packs, so cans, which has never been a part of the gameplay, but is now, both for us and for our competitors. And on the soft drink side, we see a bit of the same trend as I commented on in the Danish market for for for colas. And that is that all growth By now, that sits in CSD. In most markets, we see that in the flavor territory. And this is where the lemon soda range also with the new SKUs that we're bringing in, the zero versions. It's just building and building and building. And we are building in the small pack sizes, so to a lesser extent on the large PET bottles, but more in cans. And we have introduced mini cans as an example, which is a new occasion. So we are building, you know, as... with multiple angles, but with the same toolbox as we have in the other countries. So we are not in an urgency, I would say, to put new elements into the business, you know, new categories. We are launching a local beer around the brewery. But that is a local initiative. And then we have launched the Cheddar's Lager, which has been launched in the south. But it is in the same space as where we are today. Yeah. So that would be my comments on Italy.

speaker
Richard Witteken
Analyst, Capri Chevrolet

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question. from the line of Andre Tormund from Danske Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Andre Tormund
Analyst, Danske Bank

Yes, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Just two, please. First on Norway, can you maybe give some comments on the progress you're making and maybe also add what is remaining to do here in the Hans & Solera business? And then second of all, just coming back to Netherlands, to be sure, did EBIT grow in the first half of 25 compared to first half of 24? That's my question.

speaker
Lars
CFO

So if we start with Norway, I think we are pleased with what happens in Norway at this point in time. We have launched a number of good innovations in beer that seems to stabilize the beer market share and get some momentum into that piece as well. And then on CIDR RTD, we continue to grow our share and grow the category. So that looks really promising. And then, of course, we are now starting to cross-sell the Solera and Enhancer portfolio. So that gives some momentum in particular in on-trade. So on the top line, we are pretty happy with what goes on. Of course, we are spending an awful lot of time internally focused in Norway to get the structure and the IT platform right. So we're closing the Sapsborg site later this year, upgrading the facility in Bergen with some minor investments there. We have rolled out SAP. We have merged a lot of order-to-cash processes, which is a pretty big change. and so i would say there's a lot of moving parts in in norway the good thing is that the commercial part is is doing well and we can see that that is working and then we have a lot of very clear building blocks into next year on on the cost side where it will be easier to operate and a lot of complexity will be taken out of the business so so i would say i think the the road map for norway is pretty clear And then on Netherlands, there's sort of like a flat movement year on year in terms of EBIT. Remember that a lot of the things Lars mentioned have been executed in the first half. So more people on the streets, close down of some brands. And then we've had two big CapEx programs that have been finalized in the first half and should start to pay off now. So... So I would say an awful lot of activity happening and a business that's more fit for the opportunities that lies ahead.

speaker
Andre Tormund
Analyst, Danske Bank

All right. Thank you so much.

speaker
Lars
CFO

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Soren Samse from SCB. Please go ahead.

speaker
Soren Samse
Analyst, SCB

Yes, good morning, Lars and Flemming. So I have three questions. Firstly, a question on the business in France, which is starting to show better and more consistent performance. Can you talk about what is driving the stronger performance and what you have done to achieve this? Second question is on the Benelux business. How will this contribute in the coming years? And what is the market potential of the business and how sizable do you think it could be And then finally, on the cash flow, it was declining in first half. Can we expect to see positive development in second half? And if yes, what will be the drivers of that?

speaker
Lars
CEO

Thank you. On France, we have been through, I would say, a focus process together with the team, which we ignited in the beginning of last year. So that means, I would say, a continued focus for Lurina on driving value and driving single serve, which is not the standard, I would say, occasion for a lemonade in the past. And we are getting very good traction on that. Now, this is an initiative that has been... Yeah, in the market for the last four years, we are gaining quite a lot of distribution in convenience, so the boulangeries. So, again, a new occasion for us, for the Lurina brand, and that obviously comes at higher net revenue than it does in the retail business. And then for Crazy Tiger, we keep pushing the 1 litre, which is the core of the brand. But the introduction of the small 35-centilitre PET bottle at a sharp price point, still profitable for us, but at a sharp price point is... It seems to be something that can move the needle also going forward for the brand and move it into the more single serve occasion. So I would say a very strong focus on a few things. And then managing the business without any interruptions, so to speak, on the supply chain side, logistics side, being sharp on your forecasting and these kind of things. So it's a well-run machine and with margins by now that are... EBIT margins that are higher than the average of the group. So we're pretty satisfied with what we see in France, although that is still fairly small in our Unibrew perspective. So what do you ask questions? What's the prospects for Belux? I think we see a lot of opportunities in Belux, but we also reckon that this is not something that is going to happen very fast. It's the same toolbox as we have used in the Nordic countries, but also the same toolbox as we're using in the Dutch market. So a lot of price pack architecture. is what we are going to do. And then we have some insourcing of production and we have the SAP up and running and so forth. So a lot of initiatives, but at the end of the day, it's the commercial side of the coin that will have to make the difference.

speaker
Lars
CFO

And if we run through the cash flow, so if you look at the absolute level of working capital at half year, it is lower than it was at the same period last year. We don't see any changes to anything structurally. At the full year, we are expecting to get a positive contribution from working capital in the cash flow statement. There's a lot of opportunities to optimize, amongst other, the inventory, as we don't need as much inventory with the CapEx that we have deployed in the last couple of years. So expect strong cash flow for the full year with positive contribution from working capital. We've given you the 7% on CapEx. uh tax 22 percent uh and then uh profit this is is something that you have to estimate so i think cash flow is looks pretty good for for the full year which is also driving the share buyback that we have thanks and can i just one one small question on uh crazy tiger i i think you uh introduced it into i think it was italy a while ago and and have gained some market share do you continue to see

speaker
Soren Samse
Analyst, SCB

growth with Crazy Tiger there.

speaker
Lars
CEO

Yeah, we do. Yeah, so we're not putting marketing money behind it, so to speak. So this is a distribution game, and we're building distribution with a solid rotation. So, yeah. So that's still in the making.

speaker
Mitch Collett
Analyst, Deutsche Bank UK

Great. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question From the line of Thomas Lind Peterson from Nordea, please go ahead.

speaker
Thomas Lind Peterson
Analyst, Nordea

Hi, good morning everyone. Also a few questions from my side. The first one is regarding your sales distribution expenses. They are just up 1% year-on-year. Very impressive. I think you're citing or saying that it's due to lower logistic costs. was just wondering if you could elaborate a little bit on these efficiency initiatives that you have ongoing and how we should also look at that a bit going forward. Is that all the CAPEX projects, production lines that you are getting up and running? And then a second question, also perhaps a bit the same ballpark. In Italy here, you're saying that you're taking out the private label so you can... You can push your own brands. Is that also because you're running at 100% capacity in Italy? And is there still room to grow in Italy, at least from a capacity point of view? Those would be my questions. Thanks.

speaker
Lars
CEO

If I take the capacity question first, we have been upgrading... During the first half, quite a bit of equipment, I would say, into the facility, both in terms of the brewing capacity expansions and on the glass line, where we have added elements to the line. And that short term, of course, means that we do not have access to the same amount of capacity. Now we have all of that up and running and we can see that the capacities are coming through. And then, you know, let's judge what we do for 26, but we are not sold out on capacities yet. But we need to get a reasonable, I would say, profitability out of the private label, because if not, then it's better to keep that flexibility for ourselves to support either Italy or international from a network perspective.

speaker
Lars
CFO

And then, well spotted on the distribution side, as you may recall, we have moved a lot of the production for beer to Italy. We moved that production from Denmark to Italy, and that saves quite a big chunk of distribution charges. And international freight rates are also coming down, so that is also supporting a little bit on that line.

speaker
Thomas Lind Peterson
Analyst, Nordea

So just thinking a bit further here, is this the level then that we should expect going forward also? Is that what you're saying?

speaker
Lars
CFO

I think you'll see that there's a lot of moving parts in this in the coming years. This is permanent, but we have moved to Italy, so that saving we should see going forward. But we have a number of initiatives going on in the distribution area in Denmark. We're building a big warehouse, so we're also trying to capture some efficiencies in Denmark going forward. But But that's a story for a later day.

speaker
Thomas Lind Peterson
Analyst, Nordea

Okay, thank you.

speaker
Operator
Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question from the line of Mitch Collett from Deutsche Bank UK. Please go ahead.

speaker
Mitch Collett
Analyst, Deutsche Bank UK

Morning, Lars and Lars. You had a negative price mix in March. northern europe and i think you say in the release that it's primarily driven by country mix so can you give price mix for your key geographies in northern europe denmark finland norway and the baltics um are you seeing any signs of increased price aggression from any of your peers and how should we think about price mix growth for the remainder of the year for northern europe and i guess for the group of

speaker
Lars
CEO

I think when you look at the first half country mix, it's the same as what we said in Q1, I would say, and that is that it's the Finnish business that is slightly down, right? And then we see a growth in other countries where you have a lower net revenue per volume. So that's what is driving the mix. So if you look at the countries individually, then that is a more positive story. And that goes a bit for Roy Unibrew as a whole. When you put it into segments, then you might have one country that outgrows the other, and then that makes a mix either good or bad. But so the way that we're looking at it is much more country-driven and category-driven. And then ultimately we manage our business on an EBIT level because there's also various cost levels depending on markets, as we said in the speak. So there's no major movements in the Nordic countries apart from Finland being revenue-wise lower and the other ones being more positive.

speaker
Mitch Collett
Analyst, Deutsche Bank UK

And then how should we think about it for the balance of the year?

speaker
Lars
CFO

I think what we have already expressed is that Finland was down in the first half. Finland came a little bit back in July. So Q3 started out positively in terms of mix. So I think the rest of the year, it's all going to be down to how the country mix moves forward. As Lars mentioned, this is not due to increased competition, it is more based on mix between categories and countries, so what moves and what doesn't move.

speaker
Thomas Lind Peterson
Analyst, Nordea

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Operator

Thank you. We will now take the next question. From the line of Aron Adamski from Goldman Sachs, please go ahead.

speaker
Aaron Adamski
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my follow-up. I had a quick question about the new warehousing fax that I think is now operational. Can you just give us some color on what new capabilities does that give you and how it helps drive better efficiency for the business overall? And is that something that will start to benefit you in the second half of the year, or is it more likely in 2026? Thank you.

speaker
Lars
CFO

I simply didn't hear what you mentioned. You said some CapEx in Faxe. Which one did you mention?

speaker
Aaron Adamski
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Yeah, I think a new warehouse in Faxe that he opened or is now operational.

speaker
Lars
CFO

So yes, well spotted. We are investing a sizable chunk in Faxe in two parts. One is... The low bay warehouse, where we have a picking area, that is now operational. And then we're also investing in an expanded high bay warehouse that will only be operational in Q1 next year. When those are operational, we can, what do you say, eliminate a lot of movements from our production sites to external warehousing and back again. So that is something where we will capture the benefits immediately. primarily from Q1 and onwards next year. From Q2? At the end of Q1 and then after Q1 you will see the benefits. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I would like to hand back over to the speakers for closing remarks.

speaker
Lars
CEO

Thank you very much for your participation and a lot of good questions. And as I would always say, you know where we are if you need us. So thanks and enjoy the day.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-