5/13/2026

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Welcome to the RWE Conference Call. Michael Mueller, CFO of RWE AG, will inform you about the developments in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026. I will now hand over to Thomas Denney. Please go ahead.

speaker
Thomas Denney
Head of Investor Relations

Good afternoon from Essen and thank you for joining the RWE Q1 Investor and Analyst Conference Call today. Our CFO, Michael Müller, will guide you through our key highlights and the financial performance of the first quarter, as well as the outlook for the current year. And with this, let me hand over to you, Michael.

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

Thanks, Thomas, and good afternoon to all of you. We had a good start into 2026. Adjusted EBITDA stood at 1.6 billion euros and adjusted net income at 600 million euros on the back of a strong financial performance. Earnings per share was 0.85 euros, 25% up year on year. We have already achieved 33% of our full-year adjusted EPS guidance, and thus we confirm our guidance, and we are now even more confident of achieving our targets. All of our offshore wind projects under construction are on budget and on schedule to achieve our planned CODs. Furthermore, We have reached key milestones at our Danish, Thor and British Sophia projects. Both projects generated first power in Q1 of this year. We've also secured further long-term earnings. We were awarded 6.4 gigawatts in the UK T-4 capacity auction for delivery in 2029 and 2030. In total, 39 of our assets across gas, hydro, wind, and battery storage were successful. Out of those, four assets secured three-year agreements. Following the annual general meeting in May, we paid out a dividend of 1.2 euros per share to our shareholders. And our 1.5 billion euro share buyback program will be concluded by May 2026 as planned. Let's now take a closer look at the Q1 2026 financials. Despite a weak trading result, we achieved a strong earnings. Adjusted EBITDA was up 25% year on year. In offshore wind, adjusted EBITDA was 570 million euros. Earnings were significantly higher than last year, mainly due to normalized wind conditions in the current year. Onshore wind and solar recorded an EBITDA of 507 million euros. The results mainly increased on the back of organic growth, primarily in the U.S., and better wind conditions in Europe compared to last year. This was partially offset by lower hedge prices in Europe and the U.S. after particularly strong hedge results in last year's Q1. In addition, we had a negative FX effect in the U.S. Adjusted EBITDA in the flexible generation business was 657 million euros. Earnings are significantly up on the back of a €332 million compensation payment for production restrictions of our EMSA power plant in the Netherlands in 2022. The compensation has now been approved by the EU Commission. Our supply and trading business had a weak start to 2026. The Q1 result was minus €84 million. However, despite a weak Q1, we continue to be confident that we will achieve our guidance for the full year. Other consolidation was minus 19 million euros. This is in line with our expectation and based on the timing effect at Ampere. In total, adjusted EBITDA came in at 1.6 billion euros. Adjusted depreciation was higher compared to last year's Q1 due to organic growth. The year-on-year adjusted financial results improved due to an increase of capitalized interest. For adjusted tax, we applied the general tax rate of 20% for the RWE Group. Adjusted minority interest increased due to our partner's share in capitalized interest and Apollo's share in our participation in UMPGIRL. Adjusted net income stood at €608 million, resulting in in adjusted earnings per share of €0.85. The adjusted operating cash flow was minus €2.3 billion at the end of Q1, driven by seasonal effects in operating working capital as well as changes in provisions and non-cash items. Changes in operating working capital were marked by the seasonal purchase of CO2 certificates and an increase in accounts payable. Changes in provision and non-cash items were also driven by seasonal effects in the utilization of provisions. It also includes the cash flow of our phase-out technologies. Net debt increased to 15.6 billion euros due to investments and the seasonal effects in our adjusted operating cash flow. In total, we invested 2.3 billion euros net, mainly in the growth of our offshore wind, onshore wind and solar businesses. At the end of the year, we expect net debt to be at our three times leverage target. For 26, we confirm our outlook. In the first quarter of the year, we delivered a strong financial performance, reaching 30% of our EBITDA guidance and 33% of our adjusted EPS guidance for the full year. We are therefore even more confident of achieving our full year target. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be between 5.2 and 5.8 billion euros. Adjusted net income will range from 1.5 to 2.05 billion euros and adjusted earnings per share between 2.2 and 2.9 euros. The dividend target is 1.32 euros per share for this year and reflects our annual 10% dividend growth targets. And now, let me hand back to Thomas for Q&A.

speaker
Thomas Denney
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you, Michael. We'll now start the Q&A session. Operator, please begin.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. And if you wish to withdraw your question, you may press star 2. We'll pause for just a moment while waiting for them to queue in for questions. Thank you. We will now take our first question from Ahmed Farman of Stratafrice. Your line is open, please go ahead.

speaker
Ahmed Farman
Analyst at Stratafrice

Yes, hi Michael, hi Thomas. Thank you for taking my questions. I have two just on the guidance and the first quarter results. Firstly, I'd like to confirm if the $322 million that you show in the FlexGen, was that sort of originally included or excluded from the March guidance? And whether today's confirmation is on the same underlying basis as originally outlined back in March. And then secondly, since you're sort of maintaining the range for the supply and trading despite the first Q loss, I'd be interested to see what you're seeing so far in 2Q, and if the overall range from today's perspective is still relevant, or would you sort of steer us in a certain direction given the first quarter results? Thank you.

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

Yeah, Ahmed, thanks for the question. First of all, I can confirm that the 332 were not included in the guidance, so that comes on top. And on trading, I can confirm that the guidance range is still valid, as I said, and you know that we typically don't comment on inter-quarter performances.

speaker
Ahmed Farman
Analyst at Stratafrice

Also, Michael, just to confirm, so the confirmation comments around the guidance is on an underlying basis. Can I just clarify that?

speaker
Thomas Denney
Head of Investor Relations

It's a question, Ahmed, whether our views on an underlying basis have changed since mid-March. Yes, correct.

speaker
RWE IR Team Member
Investor Relations

Yeah, exactly. So it has not changed.

speaker
Ahmed Farman
Analyst at Stratafrice

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And we'll now move on to our next question from Deepa of Bernstein. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Deepa
Analyst at Bernstein

Thank you for taking my questions. I had two. First one on the German capacity market auctions. I think now we have some firm dates like September 1 and 8th of December. So I was just wondering, what's the difference between these two auctions? And at this minute, are you aware of you know, what might be the pricing mechanism, you know, or anything around the rules. So if you could talk about that. And second question, sorry, a bit boring in terms of an accounting question. It's on the interest capitalized accounts. in your accounts. So last year, you had around $800 million for the full year. Before that, in 2024, it was just around $200 million. This year, already in Q1, there's $250 million that is capitalized. I think this is all coming from the offshore wind projects under construction. So I was just wondering, obviously for the full year, probably this is around $750, $800. But going forward, as you're focusing more on U.S., which will be much more shorter-term projects, gestation period projects plus for offshore you're shifting to project finance, et cetera. I was just wondering more medium term, what is this cadence? Like when do we go from like this 800 million down to 200 million or so, which used to be kind of like, you know, more in the past. So that was the question. Yeah.

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

Yeah, Dietmar, let's first start with a German capacity auction. So you're right. The current plan is that beginning of September and in December, there should be two auctions. Actually, it's today in the cabinet of the German government. So we hope to pass it and then to be handed over to the parliament. to then take the decision quickly before the summer break so that we also will have the first auction in September. If I'm not completely wrong, the idea is to split the 9 gigawatts into two. So there's one auction taking, so one auction is then 4.5, and the other one is also 4.5. That is the idea behind it. And the pricing mechanism is it's an auction, and it's pay as bid, yeah, So that's actually, I mean, we would have wished for a pay as clear because we believe that's the best or better market mechanism, but it's currently a pay as clear design, which is also fine for us. Second question on the capitalized interest. Yeah, you are right in your observation. So what is happening in the course of the year is we only capitalized interest in offshore on a turbine basis. So the moment a turbine comes into operation, we don't capitalize anymore. And therefore, as we have, you know, Sophia and Thor and also North Sea Cluster currently in the commissioning or construction commissioning, that will lead to a certain phase out of the capitalized interest. And kind of going forward to this year, you're right, it's roughly 800. And then going forward, we'll come down 27 to roughly 600 and then 28 slightly lower than that.

speaker
RWE IR Team Member
Investor Relations

But obviously, there's always the offsetting effect and in terms of cost.

speaker
Deepa
Analyst at Bernstein

Okay, thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And we'll now take our next question from Alberto Gandolfi of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

speaker
Alberto Gandolfi
Analyst at Goldman Sachs

Thank you. Good afternoon, Michael and Thomas, and thank you for taking my questions. The first one is on the outlook on page eight. I was wondering if you could talk potentially commented by division, if you see EBITDA for the year in light of Q1, which is always a larger share of the full year, if you see that at the low end, midpoint or top end, and maybe if you could specifically on trading, elaborate a little bit more what happened in Q1 and what's happening now. I mean, I heard from other companies in similar activities talking about pretty aggressive degrossing following the start of the conflict. And I was wondering if this is still the case or if you have grossed up your trading books and actually now you've been making money in the division. Again, I'm not asking for quarterly development. I'm asking to see what's going on in the division. The second one is a bit broader picture. And I was wondering, this is the second energy crisis in four years. And I was going to ask your opinion. Do you think you learned its lesson or you see signals that suggest Europe is learning the lesson and countries are learning the lesson? We saw an EC paper on April 22nd. asking for faster electrification but do you think really they're going there's going to be like 200 billion euros deployed against this do you really think we're going to see heat pumps acceleration ev acceleration electric boilers and if so how is this going to impact your business thank you so much yeah i mean on your first question i would refer to that back to ahmed's question uh where i said that the uh one of the fact was not included

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

in the guidance and the underlying view on the business hasn't changed. So, therefore, in short, you can expect that obviously the guidance of the flexible generation business is then probably more conservative as we now have the one-off in the numbers and that wasn't included in the initial guidance. Then on trading, I mean, look. We don't talk about specific position, but it's a little bit more complex. I mean, clearly what you see currently is that we have much higher volatility in the market than we used to have. So if you look at this, I mean, we see our business, apart from other KPIs, also on value at risk. And with higher volatility, it means that even with small positions, you have still a sizable value at risk. So effectively, volatility is higher the positions are typically smaller, but it means kind of the value at risk or the risk you have in the position is about similar. So from that perspective, I would say, yeah, the traders kind of obviously adjust their position to the volatility that fits. And obviously we also, you can assume that also we as management have a very close view After the week Q1 on the performance discussion about major positions, that's obviously something you have. So you can imagine that positions we have on the books are those where we really have a high confidence of the return tradeoff. Concerning the energy crisis, I mean, look, I wouldn't look too much into the direction of the EU. I think that the good thing is what we see is that Brussels clearly has learned the lessons from the last energy crisis, meaning if you look at the discussions around maintaining the energy-only market design, meaning maintaining the EU ETS trading system, what they have communicated so far is a confirmation of the existing systems. and just some kind of optimization within the existing system, which I think is exactly the right thing. So they realized that if you have a supply crisis, the markets are the best ones to bring the markets back into balance. And they also acknowledged that the CO2 trading system is ultimately working and leading clearly to a decarbonization of the energy system. So that's, I would say, good news. for us, because it provides stability of the market design going forward. Honestly, the rest you see from the EU is, from my point of view, rather weak. So I would rather expect that here it's more about the member states to really take action to drive forward. And what I would put forward is that clearly governments have understood that resilience and independence, you can only get in Europe via building out more renewables. That obviously means it needs to be a stable system, so there needs to be some complementation with flexible energy. But it's clearly more renewables, and it's also clearly more electrification. So therefore, I do expect to see more momentum, both on the renewable side, but also on the electrification side, and at the same time also in firming up the power generation by flexible generation batteries or gas assets.

speaker
Alberto Gandolfi
Analyst at Goldman Sachs

Michael, if you allow me, sorry, this is all very clear. Just one small, small clarification. When you talked about volatility earlier has gone up, so smaller position, value at risk is the same. Historically, high volatility has been a positive for trading. So can we assume the same correlation, i.e. good backdrop for trading going forward? Thank you.

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

You know... You now want to get me a comment through the back door on the actual performance. No, but I mean, I would say the following. In principle, your rule is right. I think the key question is where does volatility come from? If volatility comes from rumors or noises over X, that's not necessarily what our traders like. And that was actually also the situation we saw in Q1. where announcements around the EU trading system and also the start of the war and some other rumors led to volatility, but volatility that was not driven by fundamentals, and that also led to the negative impact we saw in Q1.

speaker
RWE IR Team Member
Investor Relations

Thank you. Thank you for the kind replies.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And we'll now take our next question from J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.

speaker
J.P. Morgan Analyst
Analyst at J.P. Morgan

Hi team, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my questions. Firstly, it would be great to get an update on your side on how you're seeing the demand for your products in the US developing in terms of solar, wind, batteries. Are you seeing strong demand? Do you feel more confident in your outlook versus where we were in March or are things relatively unchanged? And my second question is on the UK. I mean, it feels like we're entering a period now of political uncertainty. How are you thinking about that as it relates to your investments in the UK and particularly around your AR7 projects? Would you consider slowing down or delaying FIDs until there was visibility? Or, you know, it would be great to get your thoughts on that. Thank you.

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

Yeah, it starts with the U.S. So our view on the demand in the U.S. on wind and solar is clearly unchanged. But adding to that, it's unchanged on a very high level. So I reported previously that we see strong interest in PPAs, assigning PPAs if you have projects ready to be built. So with a clear COD date, and that hasn't changed. With respect to the UK, I mean, look, when we discuss internally the attractiveness of countries, for us it's not so much looking at the current regulatory regime, but more looking what are the fundamentals of the market. So is there a demand for our product? And when I look at the UK, I mean, what we learned from AR7 was that apparently the government did an investigation to see at which price offshore wind is competitive relative to other technologies and they cleared the projects that were below their threshold which means that offshore wind at the prices we secured our CFDs is attractive for the UK macroeconomic and that is for me a strong confirmation and that also gives me confidence that those projects can successfully be delivered yeah and therefore I mean obviously At the point of FID, you will take a close look at what is the current regulatory regime, for sure. But you see me very confident on those projects that will bring them forward and also take the investment decision on those projects.

speaker
J.P. Morgan Analyst
Analyst at J.P. Morgan

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And we'll now move on to our next question from Harry Webber of BNP Paribas. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Harry Webber
Analyst at BNP Paribas

Hi, Michael. Hi, Thomas. Hi, everyone. So two for me. So firstly, I'm sorry, Michael, I'm going to come back to the guidance. So sorry to infuriate you by asking about this again. But I think so far you've been very confident that you're happy with where you are on an underlying basis. So fully noted. Also fully noted you don't want to talk about trading. But is there – can you just give us some colour on what makes you confident? Is there something else in another division that you expect to go better in the last three quarters? I think we're just looking for something – to add a bit of weight to your confidence on the remainder of the year. And then the second one's on the German capacity market. So pay as bid, am I not wrong that given, if we start with the supposition that you have a cost advantage because you lock your turbine build slots early, Isn't pay as bid kind of worse than pay as clear? Because doesn't that mean you don't benefit from another bidder without the turbine build slot pushing the price up? And is pay as bid actually compatible with the EU rules? Because I thought that the EU rules sort of enforce pay as clear. So just, you know, has the IRR outlook for that gone down as a result of pay as bid? Thank you.

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

Yeah, Harry, I mean, it starts with the guidance. So if I look at the current year, the segment where the first quarter was poor is trading. And as I said, we are confident that throughout the year, we will recover that and therefore also confirmed the full year guidance as we put it forward. So that is clearly the segment which now in the course of the remaining three quarters should outperform compared to the others. The rest is pretty much in line. So that's So that comes back to Amit's question. So that's, for me, business as usual. So if we deliver business as usual, we are fine within the guidance. And then, obviously, on top comes the one-off from FlexTran. Concerning capacity markets in Germany, I mean, first let's come from the last question. I think our return expectations will be met, to be very clear. I also wouldn't bid into the auction option. with two low ones, so no change here. So what's the topic with pay-as-bid? I mean, in principle, pay-as-bid is not necessarily negative. I think the big risk with pay-as-bid is that you get a winner's curse. Of course, that some people kind of, I don't know, bid in here for tactics and then later on lose out. So it's more how it's kind of the competitive landscape. So therefore for me, yeah, I think we do have competitive projects at hand and we also will fit them with the right return expectations. And that also should bring us ultimately into the right position. Yeah. So from that perspective, no concerns pay us, As I said, it avoids winners' costs, so I would clearly have preferred that. The EU put that forward as a recommendation if you want to get that quicker proposal. Yeah.

speaker
RWE IR Team Member
Investor Relations

Okay. But it doesn't change the big plan, yeah.

speaker
Harry Webber
Analyst at BNP Paribas

All right. Thanks, Michael. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. We'll now move on to our next question from Wanda of UBS. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Wanda Serwinowska
Analyst at UBS

Hi, Wanda Serwinowska, UBS. Two questions from me and one clarification, if I may. Can you talk, Michael, a bit about CCGTs, profitability of CCGTs, especially in the UK and the Netherlands in Q1? Because when we look at the volumes that you produce from CCGTs in Q1, volumes went down and you mentioned unfavorable power price, if I'm not mistaken. So that would be question number one. Question number two is around the general capacities in Germany for new existing assets. I'm talking about T-2 and T-4. Is it something before WE? And just on Harry's question, you said that your return expectations will be met on new CCGCs, but what they are, can you quantify them? Thank you.

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

So let's start with the CCGD profitability. So In Q1, it was more, I mean, obviously, it's a year-on-year comparison you're looking at. And what we saw last year was, especially the UK, as we said, it was a low wind year. And therefore, we had a much higher utilization of the gas fleet. And this year, we see normalized winds. And therefore, also, the effect on the CCGTs is the opposite. So, it's more a volume effect that we're seeing. And that is also, to some degree, impacting the Netherlands. So no negative pricing effect here. So that's a volume effect. Second one, on the return expectations, we haven't guided on the return expectations of the project. Look, in the end, you know, the way how we kind of stagger it, I mean, clearly, I think we said earlier, The range is roughly between, I think it's like 8.5 and 12.5. That was the range we previously guided for FlexGen and for batteries and for flexible generation. Now you can say, look, this is Germany, so therefore it should come with a lower WEC. And then the decisive factor is what do you assume, how much of the income of that asset is driven by regulated income and how much is merchant. And as I always stated, given the uncertainty, I would rather see a higher share of capacity payments in the business case. That should also lead to a higher regulated share, which probably also then leads to kind of something more in the lower half of that range that I guided. But that's just kind of a rough indication.

speaker
Wanda Serwinowska
Analyst at UBS

And if I may, but when you issued the guidance back in 2023, interest rates were different, right? So there should be some, so your 8.5 should be a bit higher these days.

speaker
Thomas Denney
Head of Investor Relations

I fully understand, you know, that you're very interested to get a clear answer from us. But, you know, you also need to understand that this is one of the decisive factors for our bidding strategy. So I think the key element, you know, is what Michael has said, that there are drivers, you know, which are very similar across all projects that we do, which is the the base rate in the country, which is the technological risk, which is the market risk. And those are the factors which we consider in setting the return requirements and ultimately placing our bid in the auction.

speaker
Wanda Serwinowska
Analyst at UBS

Okay, thank you. And just on CCGT's apologies, how do you compare the current profitability in the current energy crisis to the one in 2022-2023? How are they different? Because you are not printing hundreds of millions of euros, right? Any comments?

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

I think there are two fundamental differences between the current energy crisis and the energy crisis we saw in 2022. One is, I mean, the volume that is missing to the gas market is about the same magnitude. You can argue this time since it comes on top. But the big difference is in 2022, it was volumes into Europe that were missing. And since we didn't have in Europe sufficient import capacity, we had to balance the market within Europe. This time, it's volumes or molecules missing in the global markets, and you also have global markets to rebalance, and what we currently see is that the major part of the rebalancing or demand reduction is done in Asia by fuel switching or by shutting down demand. And therefore, the impact on gas prices is significantly lower than we saw in the crisis in 2012. If you recall, in the energy crisis of 2022, it was not only gas, but it also was French nuclear availability that was very low. And we don't have that issue this time. Yeah. So it is different.

speaker
Wanda Serwinowska
Analyst at UBS

Thanks a lot.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And we'll now move on to our next question from Peter Bistiga of Bank of America. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Peter Bistiga
Analyst at Bank of America

Yeah, good afternoon. Two quick ones from me, please. First one, just wondering, are you in any conversations or are you planning on being in any conversations with the US administration vis-a-vis exiting your US offshore wind leases? And then the second question, actually on your Lignite business, just interested to hear how the day-to-day sort of profitability of that business looks now versus your expectations kind of back in March given, you know, given the commodity and power price environment that we're in? Thank you.

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

Yeah. I mean, first on the U.S., I mean, we always said that if we're not allowed to build the offshore assets and we pay for the leases, there should be some form of compensation in the long run. And that position still holds, and the rest I can't comment on. On Lignite, you're right. I mean, on Lignite, you have obviously in the front positions are hedged. But what you see currently with elevated power prices and lower CO2 prices, you see additional hours in the year coming into the money. And these positions we also do hedge. And that also provides upside to the earnings of our Lignite business. Yeah. Great. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And we'll now take our next question from Rob Blaine of Mormon Friendly. Please go ahead.

speaker
Rob Blaine
Analyst at Mormon Friendly

Hi, good afternoon. Thanks for taking more questions. So may I ask on data center exposure, if there's any update on these other deals that you've been working for or any you can share from PPA negotiations with hyperscalers and other data center offtakers? Secondly, I know there was a comment or question on market intervention earlier. We've spoken a lot about the UK. From your perspective, do you see any risk of power market intervention in Germany? And lastly, if I can stretch it slightly, we noticed the offshore CEO of Sven said is looking to not extend his contract come September. If you could just talk about the succession and the transition plans there. Thank you very much.

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

Yeah. So, data center, I think, Rob, your question, it refers to Europe, because on the U.S., I already answered to that question previously. So, yes, no, we are making good progress there. And we also see a continued good interest for offtake by data center companies. But as always, we would only communicate once the deals are done. I mean, you saw a PPA that we signed with Amazon at the beginning of the year, and I would expect also more to come there. Market intervention in Germany, I don't foresee. Also because, I mean, we discussed that just in the context of Wanda's question. I mean, if you look at power prices, they haven't risen so significantly in the latest months simply because, yes, you saw an uplift on the gas side, but there was also an offsetting effect on the CO2 side. So effectively prices have gone up, but so far to a limited extent. So therefore, we don't see that currently. Last one, offshore wind. Yeah, I mean, first of all, Sven decided to not prolong his contract. We agreed with him that he would keep an advisory contract for us. And so we still continue to benefit from his deep expertise. So transition will happen in autumn. And, I mean, you know that we have a very strong team in offshore wind. So Gunnar as the CFO, Tobias Keitel will take over the CEO role, and Thomas, who's leading the operation, and Julian will step up into the function that Tobias has done so far. Julian is actually the one who ran all the big offshore projects very successfully on time and on budget. And so he just moves up in hierarchy, but I think he stays in kind of his area of responsibilities, and we are very happy with his performance. And finally, Tobias. Tobias joined, I think it was a year ago. He previously has been CEO of Poise Hydro. So a very experienced manager in the energy area, so on the supplier side. And, yeah, we believe that this is a very strong team that definitely will continue the good delivery and performance of the offshore segments going forward. So we are – even though we're – some there, some there. some tears with sweat leaving, yeah, but there's lots of confidence in the new team going forward.

speaker
Rob Blaine
Analyst at Mormon Friendly

All right. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And we'll now take our next question from Louis Briard of OdoBHS. The line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Louis Briard
Analyst at OdoBHS

Yes, hi. Thank you for the presentation. Maybe we are going a bit more into a detailed question. I apologize for that. Just regarding the the economic of the long-term installation vessel chart that you mentioned into the offshore wind performance as a positive effect. Could you just provide a bit more granularity on what it is, what volume are we talking about, and is there any offsetting element that should be taken into consideration from this specific line? And also, Steve, on the offshore wind market, if you could provide your assumption, which are embedded for the full year 2016, regarding the commissioning timing and including a lot of factors of the North Sea cluster and SOFIA that is going to fuel by the end of the year. Next question would be on the flexible generation. 332 million positive M7 compensation, which is good, but the underlying is not that bad neither. Notably, the hedge and the capacity market is quite good as well. How shall we think about the evolution of this performance in the rest of the year and maybe also regarding 26, 27 winter considering the current market situation? Thank you very much.

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

Yeah, I just realized one thing when I talked about the management team, I missed on Ulf Kerstin, so both the chief commercial officer who is in both boards in trading and in offshore, obviously he's also staying and providing continuity on that topic. To your question leasing, that's obviously a detailed IFRS question, so what happens here, that's the ships, the construction ships, they are activated in the balance sheet and then are depreciated over the lifetime of the contract. So that's the negative effect in depreciation. The positive effect comes either if we use the shifts for our own projects, because then we book an earnings, but at the same time, we then activate that or we capitalize it in the projects. and that is leading them to a positive EBITDA contribution offset by the depreciation I just mentioned. Or if the ship is not used by ourselves, but we rent it to somebody external, obviously, you would have the income from the renting to somebody external, which would show up in EBITDA and then would be offset by the leasing. So, effectively, it nets out in EBITDA to zero, and it's just an accounting treatment. Regarding projects, North Sea Cluster, Thor and Sophia, yes, you're right. So we will see a ramp up both in capacity and also load factors as we go through the year. Quicker now on Sophia and then Thor and North Sea Cluster is a little later because turbine installation is only set to start now in summer. Last one on flexible generation, I would say no news on the rest of the year, so pretty much in line. And then for the later years, what you see is obviously we will see, especially end of 27, 28, we will see commissioning of new batteries that will contribute to more earnings, and we also see a ramp up in the capacity payments in the UK that also will lead to additional income. Okay, thank you very much. You're all included in the guidance as we have given so far.

speaker
Louis Briard
Analyst at OdoBHS

Yeah, yeah, I can imagine. My question was more if there is any change into the merchant aspect of the profitability, but you clearly answered that partly, not necessarily. So thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. We'll now take our next question from Olly Jeffery of Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Olly Jeffery
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Two questions, please. The first one is on credit rating agencies and the leverage that you seek to target the three to three and a half times. Have you started to have more contracted revenues and in the UK where potentially we'll be having voluntary CFDs, even further contracted revenues. Do you think that there's a stronger and stronger argument for the leverage factor that our degree needs to target to maintain its credit rating could be increased and therefore you could have higher balance sheet headroom by 2030? And then the second question, really short, would the German gas auction, would the result of that be immediately following when the auctions are held? Is that the intention?

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

So, let's start with the last one, the German auction results. I have to admit, I don't know. But Thomas or the team can clearly follow up on this one. But I would expect them, I mean, it should be pretty quickly. I mean, definitely before the second auction. So, you know, if you have been successful. But we need to follow up on this one. Second one on the rating, yes, I mean... We guide 3.0 to 3.5, and you can imagine that we have discussions with rating agencies along the similar lines. Clearly, with further decarbonization, our risk profile is improving from an ESG perspective with more contracted income. We are also further de-risking our cash flows going forward. and also a more diversified portfolio should help there. So there is a strong argument from our point of view that over time we should be allowed for the same rating to increase our leverage. But at the same time, these are obviously the conversations with the rating agencies, and as I clearly stated, my clear target is to keep our current rating, so the strong investment grade rating. I would always wait for those conversations with the rating agencies before we go for significant higher numbers. And that's why also when we laid out the plan, we positioned ourselves at the more conservative lower side. Secondly, I would also argue, I think in the current situation, it also has proof that it's good to have a solid balance sheet. And therefore, actually, I'm also pretty happy with the current setup, having said that, if you talk especially in the later years, 2030, yeah, that would be a good argument if we can increase that. But first, we need to convince the rating agencies, and then we'll also try to use the rating .

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And we'll now take our next question from Peter of Citi. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

speaker
Peter
Analyst at Citi

Ah, yes. Good afternoon, everybody. So I have two questions, please. So the first one I wanted to go back to a question about the data centers where you said you're making a progress. Can you give us a bit of indication of what you see for the side values on the comparable basis with the DITCOD. So if you were to sell and negotiate the side sale of a similar size today, would the price be higher or lower? And what would be a lot higher? Or can you maybe give us a small indication where the values of such assets are? And the second question, maybe I'm completely wrong, but going into the gas capacity auction in Germany, Is the design preferred for a CCGT, or do you think we could be surprised by a more project from the open cycle gas turbines? And, you know, I understand you have a CCGT slot, and therefore somebody with a much slower capex could come ahead of you, or maybe could change the way the auction is, kind of the outcome of the auction. What's your understanding on CCGT versus CGT into this auction?

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

Yeah, so, you know, First question, you asked for a small indication, but I can't give you any indication because, I mean, clearly these are negotiations and I can't reveal numbers on this one.

speaker
Peter
Analyst at Citi

I'm asking more about where the market is, you know, like is it hotter or less hot?

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

Yeah, but that's the thing. Yeah. Ultimately, this is not a liquid market where you can look at the screen. That is individual negotiations, and I can't reveal numbers on individual conversations we're having. Second one on the capacity auction. Well, first of all, the 3.0 of capacity that we want to build is both. So it's inclusive. reserve capacities for 2.4 gigawatt of CCGTs, but also 0.3 gigawatt of OCGTs. And therefore, I would also expect those technologies to be in the auction. In the end, it's a question of the business case, yeah? So, what is the relative capex of the two of them? And then you need to look at what do you assume as merchant income? I mean, clearly a CCGT will have higher merchant income in the front of the period because you will see more hours of them operating. OCGTs will have less hours because they have higher dispatching costs, but that then ultimately goes back to what are your assumptions on future prices? And again, that is also something which is competitive information revealed before the auction.

speaker
Peter
Analyst at Citi

Understand. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you and we'll now take a follow-up question from Alberto Gandolfi. Please go ahead.

speaker
Alberto Gandolfi
Analyst at Goldman Sachs

Thank you for your patience. It's basically two parts follow-up on organic growth. The first one is that looking at offshore, you seemed to have in the first quarter nearly achieved the year-on-year growth in million euros that you have for the year so about 300 million and load factors April May seems to have been all right can we conclude therefore that offshore guidance is conservative you perhaps should be more towards the top end and the second part is just a clarification I understand you saying in the past that the first six months of last year you didn't take much FID in onshore in the United States because of what was happening on tariffs and the IRA. Does it mean we should expect very H2 or maybe Q4 skewed onshore additions for this year, which may perhaps mostly contribute to 27? So there may be a blip in 26, but no change to 27. Is that the right way to think about it? Thank you.

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

So I'm looking for Thomas confirm that, but definitely the FID, the CODs will be tilted towards the end of 2026. So effectively, you see that in the first quarter, we only had a low number of new commission assets, so more to come as we progress through the year, very clearly. And the dip out of stopped FIDs last year between April and October shouldn't have an impact so that's the 26th effect you might refer to. And Thomas is nodding, so I was right in my answer, so that's good. Secondly, on offshore, look, I mean, I explained to you that we are confident with the guidance that nothing has changed here, so I would also leave that with the comments for offshore.

speaker
Olly Jeffery
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. And we'll now take the next follow-up question from Peter of Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Peter Bistiga
Analyst at Bank of America

Yeah, hi. So maybe you had another guidance-related question for looking at your FlexGen business, I guess, kind of in contrast to offshore. If you strip out the gain, it was a pretty weak quarter, you know, because of low rate factors we discussed earlier. But in your slide pack you kind of talk about higher hedged prices for the rest of the year so I guess first of all was there any impact from having to sell out of hedged positions at a loss in the first quarter and secondly are those better hedged prices kind of evenly spread through the rest of the year or are they kind that would be helpful, please.

speaker
RWE IR Team Member
Investor Relations

Yeah. No, so it's correct that there are higher hedge prices compared to previous year, but there's no specific pattern.

speaker
Michael Müller
CFO of RWE AG

I mean, you see in general that typically the Q2 and Q3 results are slightly lower than Q1 and Q4. simply because you have less solar production in those months, but no specific pattern here.

speaker
Thomas Denney
Head of Investor Relations

Okay, thank you. And nothing that is strange compared to when we spoke about it in March.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions in queue. I will now hand it back to Thomas for closing remarks.

speaker
Thomas Denney
Head of Investor Relations

Great. Thank you, Laura, and thank you, everyone, for dialing into our call today. If there are any follow-up questions, you know, feel free to reach out to any person of the IR team. And apart from that, looking forward to see you at conferences, roadshows, reverse roadshows, and latest with our half-bond results in August. Have a great rest of the day. Bye-bye.

Disclaimer

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