4/23/2024

speaker
Coruscant Conference Operator
Conference Operator

Good morning. This is the Coruscant Conference Operator. Welcome and thank you for joining the SIPEM first quarter 2024 results presentation. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Should anyone need assistance during the conference call, they may signal an operator by pressing star and zero on their telephone. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Alessandro Puliti, CEO and General Manager. Please go ahead, sir.

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

Good morning and welcome to the presentation of our first quarter 2024 results. I'm here with Paolo Calcagnini, our CFO, and with the rest of the top management team. I will start with the key highlights and then Paolo will cover the financial results in more details. I will then wrap up the presentation with some closing remarks before opening the Q&A session. Let's start with the highlights of the first quarter. I am pleased to report that in the first three months of the year, we have delivered strong growth and, most importantly, high cash flow conversion. Revenues stood at 3 billion euro, growing by 18% year on year, largely driven by the contribution of our offshore activity. EBITDA stood at 268 million euro, growing by 40% year on year. EBITDA margin stood at 8.8%, increasing both year-on-year and sequentially. The evolution of both revenue and EBITDA in the first quarter is in line with our overall targets for the full year. Most importantly, the first quarter saw a net cash flow generation of 68 million euro, which is fully in line with our target for the year of generating approximately 300 million euro of cash. The deleveraging of the company has continued also in the first quarter, with net debt decreasing both on pre- and post-IFRS basis. notwithstanding the net increase in lease liabilities of about €16 million. As already discussed on several occasions, the deleveraging of our capital structure is part of our overall de-risking strategy, and it is one of the also important factors behind the decision by Moody's to upgrade our credit rating a few days ago. The order intake in the first quarter was in line with our expectation at 2 billion euro. The backlog at the end of the first quarter stood at 29 billion euro and remains close to record levels. In summary, the first three months of 2024 have shown excellent operational delivery and financial growth consistent with our objectives and with the 2024 guidance published last February. Let me now give you an update on our commercial activity. We have received the authorization to proceed by Exxon on Whiptail in Guyana, a project that represents roughly half of the order intake of the first quarter. Our scope of work entails engineering, procurement, construction and installation of a subsea production facilities which will be placed at the water depth of around 2,000 meters. We will use our FDS-2, Castorone and Constellation vessels for the offshore campaign. We will also utilize our Guyana facility for the construction of part of the subsea infrastructures. Moreover, we are also signing a letter of intent with BP Equinor & Total in relation of the APC and installation of 145 km of offshore pipelines to transport CO2 from the T-side industrial cluster in the UK to a subsea storage site. Once past the FID stage, this project should increase our backlog by more than half a billion euro. The offshore pipeline operation will be performed by Saipem's vessel Castorone, and the near-shore operations will be performed by our shallow-water vessel Castoro 10. It is very encouraging to see momentum in the CCUS sector picking up. As a reminder, we already announced in July last year a letter of intent for a carbon capture project in Sweden for Stockholm Exergy. And we also are in advanced discussion for another project in the Far East, where we would combine gas production with CO2 reinjection. We believe the outlook for CCUS is very promising, and Saipem can be a key enabler of this energy transition opportunity. In CCUS, we can cover several steps of the value chain, from capturing the CO2 to the transportation phase by laying dedicated pipelines to the final sequestration site. A significant part of the CCUS value chain is expected to relate to offshore APC activity, which, as you all know, is where we are able to extract very good margins. It is also worth noting that our historical oil and gas clients are also the main customer for CCUS projects. which means that we can leverage on established track record to expand our activity towards the energy transition. In addition, We are in advanced discussion on two sizable opportunities in West Africa, which related the first one to a deep water offshore project where we would install both rigid pipeline and flexible flow line, and the second, a sizable FPSO and surf integrated project. Lastly, let me mention that we see the oil and gas clients securing capacity for contractors well in advance of their own final investment decision. This is a further proof of the positive tension that is characterizing our sector. And now let me hand over to Paolo to cover the financials in more details.

speaker
Paolo Calcagnini
CFO

Thank you, Sandro, and good morning, everyone. We'll start from slide six. Our revenue grew by 18% year on year, and our EBDA grew by 40%, mainly due to the performance of our offshore businesses, both E&C and drilling. In the first quarter, we also saw a significant improvement in the EBDA margin, which reached 8.8%, increasing by 1.4 percentage points compared to the first quarter of 2023. and by 0.7 percentage points compared to the fourth quarter of 2024. The higher EBDA margin is the result of a positive contribution of each of our divisions and of a more favorable mix given the increasing relevance of our offshore ENC business. The net result was 57 million euro compared to a breakeven result in the first quarter of 2023. Most importantly, the operating cash flow was positive for 221 million euros, showing the strong progress in cash flow conversion, as well as a significantly lower impact from the legacy projects. Let's now look at the different businesses. We will begin with the asset-based services on page 7. Revenues were 1.6 billion euros in the first quarter of this year, a 38% increase from last year, driven by the contribution of conventional oil and gas projects, which more than compensated for the reduction in wind offshore activity and the associated backlog. The EBITDA was of €180 million, this is a 55% increase from last year, with an EBITDA margin reaching 11%, rising by 1.2 percentage points from last year and 0.7 percentage points from the fourth quarter of 2023. The higher EBITDA margin is mainly due to the higher share of projects acquired in the last two years and the higher operating leverage. For the whole 2024, we anticipate revenues and EBDA for the division to grow significantly from 2023 with a substantial margin improvement. With the results of the first quarter, we have also revised upwards our revenues and EBDA assumptions for the division compared to our initial budget for the year. Let's now move to the drilling offshore on page eight. The division had quarterly revenues of 210 million euros, which was 17% more than the same period last year, while EBDA rose by 18% to 80 million euros, and EBDA margin grew by 0.3 percentage points to 38.1. The main factors behind the first quarter performance were the growth of the fleet and the higher average day rates. In particular, growth was underfinned by the start of the operations of the new drill ship DVD, which began operating in Ivory Coast in the fourth quarter of the last year, of the Perro Negro 12, which started operations in January, and by the higher number of operating days for the Perro Negro 11 compared to the Q1 2023, when the rig was under preparation. The solid operating performance was partially upset by the cyclical maintenance of the semi-sub Scarabeo 9, which lasted for most of the first quarter of 2024, and by the startup costs related to the J-CAP Ferro Negro 13. For the whole year 2024, we expect revenues and the BDA for the division to grow compared to 2023. Now, in relation to Saudi Arabia, The temporary suspensions on Saipem affect three jackups in 2024. For the first jackup, our budget for 2024 already incorporated the assumptions of delivering it back to the owner around the middle of this year. For the second jackup, we will cover most of the suspension in 2024 with planned maintenance works. While for the third jackup, we will most likely redeploy it in a different geographical area, in substitution for another rented unit that will be delivered back to the owner. In conclusion, the flexibility provided by our asset-light strategy, coupled with the good market conditions for premium jackups, will substantially mitigate the impact of the temporary suspension from Saudi Aramco in 2024. Let's now look at energy carriers on page 9. Revenues in the BDA remain broadly flat year-on-year at €1.2 billion and €8 million respectively. The Division's main priority is to finish the outstanding legacy backlog that still waits for more than 35% of our revenues, while we are very selective about accepting new projects. The delivery of the old projects is a key condition for the start of our gradual recovery path for the Division. For the whole year 2024, our target remains to demonstrate a gradual recovery in margins in line with our business plan targets. We can see the complete income statement for the group on page 10, especially the items below a BDA. DNA has grown year-on-year by 45 million euros, as it partly includes also the leases paid on the vessels that have recently joined our fleet on a capital life basis, as well as the depreciation of the CAPEX of 2023. Financial expenses dropped year-on-year by 12 million, mainly due to the lower amounts of traded derivatives and lower hedging costs, while financing costs, including net interest expenses and leases, were stable year on year. Income taxes slightly dropped year on year by 3 million euros to 34 million, reflecting an implied tax rate of 37%, which is consistent with our expectations of moving towards a normalized level of between 30% and 35%. As a result, the net result was positive for 57 million euros from a breakeven result in the Q1 2023. Moving to the net debt evolution on page 11, we remain extremely focused on cash generation with the aim of further deleveraging the company and sustaining future dividend distribution to shareholders. In the first quarter of 2024, Cypem has generated €221 million of operating cash flow or €174 after lease payments, €135 million of free cash flow or €88 million after lease repayments and €68 million of net cash flow. The cash flow generation of the quarter has led to a further improvement in our net financial position by 68 million euros on a pre-IFRS basis and 52 million euros on a post-IFRS basis. At the end of March, we had a consolidated net cash position of 284 million euros on a pre-IFRS 16 basis and a consolidated net debt position of 209 million euros on a post-IFRS basis. On page 12, you can see the breakdown of our net financial positions. We still have a comfortable level of liquidity on our balance sheet, which was 2.9 billion euros at the end of March, with 470 million euros of unused RCF. In the first quarter, we spent some of the liquidity to pay back the remaining amount of the sachet term loan for €237 million, so the level of liquidity went down slightly by €218 million. These payments, along with the payback of other credit lines, resulted in a decrease in the nominal value of our gross debt by €280 million in the first quarter of this year. Lowering gross debt and extending maturities are still a key priority for CYPEN. We are also very pleased to report that Moody's has raised our credit rating by one notch to BA2 and maintained the positive outlook. This upgrade is a further confirmation of our de-risking strategy. I will now pass it on to Sandro for some final comments.

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

Thank you, Paolo. Now to wrap up our presentation. We are very satisfied with our results for the first quarter, which are in line with our business plan. Our entire organization is fully focused on project delivery, execution excellence, and cash flow generation. with the aim of further deleveraging our capital structure and support our first dividend payment in 2025. We are pleased with the picking up of the CCUS market, which is emerging as a concrete opportunity for Saipem in the energy transition space. Our commercial activity is strong and in the coming months we will increase the level of visibility of our strategic plan. Lastly, the results of the first quarter 2004 are in line with our expectation and coherent with our 2024 guidance, which we fully confirm today. Thank you for your attention and we can now move on to the Q&A session.

speaker
Coruscant Conference Operator
Conference Operator

This is the conference operator. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch-tone telephone. To remove yourself from the question queue, please press star and two. Please pick up the receiver when asking questions. Anyone who has a question may press star and one at this time. The first question is from Mick Pickup of Barclays. Please go ahead.

speaker
Mick Pickup
Analyst, Barclays

Good morning, gentlemen. Thank you for the call. A couple of questions, if I may. Can I just look at your E&C opportunities? I know you mentioned West Africa in particular. You highlighted that in your prepared remarks. If I'm looking at the chart in the appendix, it looks like Africa has grown quite strongly over the quarter, but Middle East remains stable despite the Saudi cancellations for opportunities. So So what else is popping in and what are the moving parts in that pipeline, please, is the first question.

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

Okay. As you rightly pointed out, we see opportunities coming in West Africa, certainly picking up. We are expecting two important projects in the next weeks. Today we are not yet in the position to disclose that, but we are in a very advanced state of negotiation. So certainly West Africa is picking up. And regarding Middle East, we expect again the second part of the year, starting from the summer, that we will see movement also in that area. As Paolo explained already, we see a bit of a reduction in the J-CAP activity in Saudi Arabia. That is well mitigated by our SLI strategy. They give us much flexibility. But for the rest, We don't see any additional signals there. We are expecting also very important development in the Far East. That is another important area where again we are expecting that in the second quarter we will be able to announce new contracts also in that area. South America, as you see, as you saw from the presentation, we already acquired another contract in Guyana. So it's well spread around the world, our pipeline of opportunities.

speaker
Mick Pickup
Analyst, Barclays

Thank you. Secondly, on carbon capture, obviously you've been selected as one of the contractors on Teesside. but that's subject to FID. So can you talk about the hurdles there? And obviously you're going for the pipelines on this one across the value chain. I'm assuming pipelines is lower risk because it's your assets. So are there any parts of the pipeline for carbon capture that you would prefer to be involved in?

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

So as we said, clearly we like very much being involved in pipeline for the carbon capture. because this is the part of the activity of the entire carbon capture value chain in which we can make the higher margins, because this is enticed to our offshore ENC, I would say bread and butter activity. So therefore we like very much to be involved in that activity. As I said before, we are expecting also in the Far East to be involved in pipeline and offshore infrastructure for carbon capture soon. So that the activity, but certainly we do not neglect also the actual capture. We are doing activities, as I reminded, in Sweden for Stockholm Exergy for a carbon capture plant there. And we have also our Blue Enzyme 200 system for middle, and small kind of industries for capturing that this is our trademark. So I believe that we have a very wide offer in this sector. But what it is most importantly, to be stressed today, is the fact that on carbon capture, we are moving from wishes, we are moving from projects to actual contracts. And this is what it is most importantly for us.

speaker
Kate O'Sullivan
Analyst, CTE

Thank you very much.

speaker
Coruscant Conference Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Alessandro Pozzi of Mediobanca. Please go ahead.

speaker
Alessandro Pozzi
Analyst, Mediobanca

Good afternoon. The first – good morning, sorry. The first question is on the guidance which you have confirmed for 2024. Clearly, there are three jackups which are coming off in Saudi Arabia, and I suspect this is probably putting some pressure on the EBITDA in the division, but probably this is more than offset, and correct me if I'm wrong, more than offset by a stronger performance in the offshore EMC, which I believe you mentioned you are revising the estimates that you had from

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

From the start of the year giving the strength that you've seen in the in the business and I was wondering if you can Perhaps give us more more color there Okay, first of all, let me let me go back for the sake of clarity on on the three jackups Yes We have the program is affecting three jackups, but I The first jack-up, as it was highlighted by Paolo, was in our budget, prudentially already considered without an extension beyond the middle of the year, middle of 2024, where its rental period from the owner was expiring. So this jack-up has no material impact on our financials. The second check-up, as Paolo was explaining, will see a reduction of the time of utilization in 2024 that's substantially covered by our planned maintenance and recertification activity that we are planning for 2024. So, again, this reduction was substantially covered in our budgeting plan. The third check-up that basically by May will be suspended, as Paolo said, will be most likely redeployed in another geography in substitution to another rental unit. Therefore, at the end of the day, the impact is very much mitigated by our asset-lie strategy. So that's the situation. The outlook for ENC offshore is definitely positive, as Paolo was explaining before. And I may leave to Paolo to give a bit more color on this.

speaker
Paolo Calcagnini
CFO

Yeah, Alessandro, if you look from a wider perspective, and we do a couple of steps back, we had, like, two checkups two years ago, and now we have seven. So, yes, we will go down to six, because one was a lease that will be will not exercise the purchase option and will deliver it back to the owner. But it's still a street which is growing. Possibly not growing at the pace everyone could be wishing for, but it's precisely why we decided to grow on a lease basis rather than acquiring assets. But at the end of the day, the business is growing. This year, the overall... building offshore will grow both in terms of revenues and margins. So we remain positive, and we also see commercial opportunities elsewhere that we may decide to capture in the near future.

speaker
Alessandro Pozzi
Analyst, Mediobanca

And do you see a stronger performance in the offshore ENC for 2024?

speaker
Paolo Calcagnini
CFO

Say that again, sorry?

speaker
Alessandro Pozzi
Analyst, Mediobanca

Do you see a stronger performance for the offshore ENC this year?

speaker
Paolo Calcagnini
CFO

The offshore E&C is going even better than expectations. And so, yes, we think we can do even better than what was inside our budget.

speaker
Alessandro Pozzi
Analyst, Mediobanca

Okay. And also, as a follow-up on the guidance, can you provide any indication of what could be the full year DDNA and finance charge?

speaker
Paolo Calcagnini
CFO

Yeah, just give me just a second. Okay, so the DNA for the entire year should stand at somewhere around 460 million. and which not including the lease vessels, including the lease vessels will be $689, while the financials will be somewhere around $200, including lease payments. Interest payments on these contracts, to be precise.

speaker
Alessandro Pozzi
Analyst, Mediobanca

Yeah, okay.

speaker
Paolo Calcagnini
CFO

Back numbers.

speaker
Alessandro Pozzi
Analyst, Mediobanca

Yeah, that's very helpful. Thank you very much.

speaker
Paolo Calcagnini
CFO

You're welcome.

speaker
Coruscant Conference Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Guilherme Levi of Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

speaker
Guilherme Levi
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Hi, good morning, everyone. Thank you for taking my questions. I have two, please. On the jackups issue, can you provide us any indication in terms of expected day rates over the coming months? So you mentioned that the third rig will be redeployed at another geography. I was just wondering what type of day rate is the company negotiating at the moment in this new geography, considering what happened? And then the second question, if I may, if you could provide us an update on the timeline for the last of the offshore wind projects, we saw there were some delays recently to bring the equipment from Scotland to France. So I was just wondering if you could say a few words on when the project is now expected to be concluded and if you expect any type of financial impact on the back of this. Thank you.

speaker
Kate O'Sullivan
Analyst, CTE

Sure.

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

To be honest, we never disclose precisely daily rates, but what I can assure is that The JGAP that is suspended is the JGAP with the lowest rate, daily rate, we have in Saudi Arabia. So it is most likely that in the new location we gain a higher rate than the one that is currently paid. This is the situation. So we're not going to miss even one penny on daily rate. we may incur in some transportation cost. Yes, that. But in terms of daily rate, we do not see any downsides. On the contrary, I would say an opportunity for an upside. Regarding the Kimenton-Kurseile, in this very moment, the entire drilling machine has been mechanically completed. in the yard in the Port of Blight nearby Newcastle. And it is alongside the vessel and is doing commissioning activities prior being loaded. And in the next days, we do expect the sail away to the location in Corsair. So we do not expect any variation in our plant. And this is the situation of Corsair, so we are really looking forward to start drilling in the coming weeks.

speaker
Paolo Calcagnini
CFO

And when it comes to the financials, all the costs for the project have been already included in our numbers. as we typically do when we do the accounting for projects. So all the costs that we will bear for completing the campaign are already included in our projections.

speaker
Guilherme Levi
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay, thank you. And just for clarity, just a follow-up on the jackups. You mentioned that the third jackup would be redeployed at another geography, substituting another rental unit. This another rental unit, this is from other player, right? It's not that Saipan is substituting something that it has in Mexico or Egypt with this third jackup.

speaker
Paolo Calcagnini
CFO

I think we will find out in the near future. We can disclose the discussions with the clients. Sorry about that. Thank you.

speaker
Coruscant Conference Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Kate O'Sullivan of CTE. Please go ahead.

speaker
Kate O'Sullivan
Analyst, CTE

Hi. Thanks for taking my questions. Another Saudi follow-up, if that's all right. Just the assumption in the business plan is that these come back into operation in Saudi next year since their temporary suspensions. And are you able to give any color on what fields in Saudi these were operating, these three? Secondly, just on an update on Mozambique, has anything changed again lately? And could you just remind me what was in the backlog for 2024 on Mozambique? Thank you.

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

So let's start from Mozambique. Really, we don't have any news while comparing notes from what we presented back in the end of February. So we're still exactly in the same picture. Regarding the jack-up, We are, as you said, as we said before, since we are taking a unit out of the market, this doesn't have any impact on how long is the suspension because we will, anyway, we are releasing the G-CAP from our fleet. The other unit will be redeployed, so we really do not expect much further impact or any further impact from what we are presenting today, to be honest.

speaker
Kate O'Sullivan
Analyst, CTE

And are you able to say just which fields in Saudi these were operating? And just on the Mozambique backlog point as well. Thank you.

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

The Mozambique backlog? Can you repeat the question? Sorry. Sorry.

speaker
Kate O'Sullivan
Analyst, CTE

Just the amount of backlog you have for Mozambique in your 2024 backlog.

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

The amount of backlog in Mozambique that we did have is around 300 million, as we said back in February, and 3 billion in the total backlog, and in 2024 is 300. Great.

speaker
Kate O'Sullivan
Analyst, CTE

Thank you.

speaker
Coruscant Conference Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Victoria McCulloch of RBC. Please go ahead.

speaker
Victoria McCulloch
Analyst, RBC

Good morning. Thanks for your time. Just some small remaining questions for me. Just following up on Curse Oustermare and the remaining legacy projects, could you remind us where we are with cash costs remaining on these and what we should expect in 2024 for the remaining three quarters? And secondly, on the offshore EMC market, Are you able to give us some color about what the current competitive environment is like? Are you continuing to see strong margin increases on the work you're bidding for? Thanks very much.

speaker
Paolo Calcagnini
CFO

On Courcelles, or generally speaking, on the legacy projects, we expect that the cash out this year would be around 100 million euros. This is a number that we have shared a few times and we can confirm it, so. So, which, I mean, the legacy portfolio includes Courcelles and some other projects onshore, but the total cash out this year would be around 100 million, which compares to almost 900 million euros already spent in the previous two years. So it's a small piece compared to the total. And then in 2025, it would be almost zero.

speaker
Victoria McCulloch
Analyst, RBC

Sorry, just on that point quickly, is that 100 million across the following three quarters? We shouldn't see, you know, that's not really declined in the first quarter, has it?

speaker
Paolo Calcagnini
CFO

You mean in terms of cash out? Yes. Well, spending will go through the year depending on the different pages which we deliver on the projects. So saying that it's going to be 25 million per quarter is kind of a rough assumption. It's probably not too far from reality.

speaker
Kate O'Sullivan
Analyst, CTE

Thanks, that's helpful.

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

Regarding the offshore ENC market, what we see, what we are seeing is a continuous interest from the client in offering new opportunities. So this is the situation. And I believe that there is also a good discipline in the offer from the contractors. So this means that the market will remain for us certainly attractive and we will continue, I believe, to make good margins as we are doing now.

speaker
Coruscant Conference Operator
Conference Operator

Thanks very much. The next question is from Richard Dawson of Burenburg. Please go ahead.

speaker
Richard Dawson
Analyst, Berenberg

Hi. Good morning and thank you for taking my questions. Just a follow-up on the legacy projects. Could you just remind us how much of the backlog is still accounted for by those legacy projects? I believe it was about €2 billion at year-end. So just interested to see how that develops across the quarter, given energy carriers had another quarter where it was essentially break-even margins. And secondly, just going back to the carbon capture project, the East Coast cluster, do you see any difference in margins between a carbon capture pipeline project compared to a conventional oil and gas one? And also just in terms of how contracts are structured, do you have any differences in the level of risk sharing you have between the customer and CIPA, for example? Thank you.

speaker
Paolo Calcagnini
CFO

So I'll take the question on the legacy backlog. It's down to 1.4 billion as a total backlog. And that was the number as of end of March. And it will be very close to zero by year end. Obviously, the 1.4 is mostly made by the onshore projects, vis-a-vis the only offshore project remaining, which is Courcelles. And yes, on the onshore numbers, the legacy portfolio still accounts for roughly 35% of the total revenues, possibly a bit more. That explains why the margins in the foreshore are still struggling. Those projects come with a zero ABDA margin and they still wait a lot on the total volumes of activity. On the CCOS, On the margins, I mean the margins when you do pipeline are very similar to the margins that we normally do also for oil and gas because the vessels we use are the same and the complexity of the operations are very similar. So it came, I mean those jobs come with a similar pricing scheme. And the risk profile is very similar to the oil and gas. As Alessandro said a few times, it's our bread and butter, and it doesn't look too different from a traditional pie-playing activity. So it comes with a very similar profile, both financially and from a risk standpoint. That's very helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Coruscant Conference Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Kate Somerville of JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Kate Somerville
Analyst, JP Morgan

Good morning, everyone, and thanks so much for taking my questions. My question is just on order intake. Obviously, it's a touch lighter this quarter, but clearly after a very, very strong 2023. I'm just curious to hear about what you're thinking for the rest of the year. Is there still strong demand? Is there any sort of rollover and potential activity? Just any color on that would be incredibly helpful. And then also just following up on the energy carriers, even excluding the legacy contracts, margins are still pretty low here. It'd be really helpful just to understand when we're likely to see an inflection in those margins. Is this a case of moving through projects and getting more profit recognition? Just a bit of color around that would also be really helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

Okay, so... for how we do see the future order intake, I believe that what we presented today, together with the opportunities that we are already in our target and in advanced stage of negotiation, I believe that there are good chances that we will close the second quarter well ahead on our plan of water intake for the entire 2024. So it means that we see achieving the target, we pose ourselves really to our end. As I said before, opportunities in West Africa are coming. We hope in the next few weeks to be announced. We have opportunities in the Far East and they certainly will be announced within the second quarter. And as I said before, in the second part of the year, starting from the summer, We believe we will see also activity for order intake in the Middle East picking up again. So this is the outlook. Regarding energy carrier, I will give you a brief, let's say, overview, and then Paolo will go more into details. Certainly what we see is that the new project acquired basically starting from the second half of 2022 under let's say our new strategy of being selective and protecting projects also as much as we can from possible cost escalation is paying out. The new projects are running with margins that are in line with our expectation. And so this is really substantiating our strategy to be selective and to be very much focused on execution and cost control. Regarding legacy projects, Our strategy is to really deliver, deliver, deliver, so that we can close the books as quick as we can.

speaker
Paolo Calcagnini
CFO

Now I give the word to Paolo to give you... So when it comes to the margins and what you can expect going forward, so we... So last year, the average margin for ENCA was, for energy carriers, was 0.2%, if I remember correctly. The target for this year is that we are working to bring it significantly higher. So we are targeting a margin that should get this year somewhere close to 1%. And then from 2025, you will see the benefits of the new strategy. So we will see the old projects leaving our portfolio and the new ones kicking in with healthier margins compared to the legacy. As we said a few times, it takes time, and the path for the recovery can be, when it comes to the EBITDA margin, a bit bumpy for a technical reason, which is that it depends on how much revenues you do on these or that project, because those are big projects, and if you make more revenues one quarter on a bad one, obviously that dilutes the entire margins. If you make more progress on a good one, it goes the other way around. So what we can share is that we think that you will see the inflection in the margins already this year, even though you cannot expect the margins to go all the way up to, say, 5% in two quarters. This is not going to happen, but you will see an inflection going forward already in 2024.

speaker
Kate Somerville
Analyst, JP Morgan

Incredibly helpful. Thank you guys so much.

speaker
Coruscant Conference Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Massimo Bonisoli of Equita. Please go ahead.

speaker
Massimo Bonisoli
Analyst, Equita

Good morning. Just a follow up on the offshore ENC outlook. Since you published your 2024 outlook less than two months ago, I would like to understand if the improvement in the outlook of this division Is it driven more by the current execution of the project or more by the contingencies you had in your budget? And a second question, just a comment on the general trend of the day rates of the jack-up market following the broad cancellation in Saudi Arabia. Thank you.

speaker
Paolo Calcagnini
CFO

Okay, so first question on the jack-ups. It's not a cancellation. Actually, it's a suspension, which is something a bit different. Suspension means that the client is not terminating the contract. It's just suspending the activity for a few months. And so chances are that the overall fleet will increase in the area in the future. Otherwise, that would have been cancellation and not suspensions. This said, the jack-up market worldwide remains tight, and margins and rates remain very healthy. So we, as we said before, we will reduce the 3x1 that was already included in our budget, and we will redeploy one of the rigs possibly elsewhere, as long as the suspension remains in place. And when it comes to the margins in ENC offshore, I think it's a combination of different factors. The operations are going very smoothly and it comes obviously with good margins and not using the contingencies that we normally have on each project we acquire. And it's also a matter of leverage. The idleness of our fleet remains very low compared to the historical levels. And with more operational leverage comes higher margins, obviously. So it's a combination of different factors, which I guess is why on our business plan we put the operational excellence as the first pillar of the strategy. because it's very much about delivering the 30 billion backlog as best as we can. So it's a mix of different factors.

speaker
Coruscant Conference Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Kevin Roger of Kepler Chevreux. Please go ahead.

speaker
Kevin Roger
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yeah, thanks a lot. Majority of the question I've been already answered, but just one quick follow-up just to be sure I well understood what you said. So on Kursal, the offshore wind project, compared to what you told us at the Q4 earnings, the execution is something like one month delay, but it doesn't have any impact on your profitability on this project because you had booked already everything. Just to be sure that I well understood this statement on Courcelles.

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

Just to have a clarification on Courcelles. We got some delays because of the weather condition in... in the Port of Light in several situations didn't allow us to utilize cranes and doing work at height because of very heavy wind we were experienced in the last months there. But it's not true that we said that we are losing one month entirely because we did carry out several other activities that were supposed to be carried out at sea once the unit has left the port of light. So we will move almost one month later than expected, but this will be partially recovered with a quicker pickup of activity when arriving in location because much commissioning activity that was supposed to be done at sea, we took occasion to do it on land while basically waiting on weather for certain operations. So this is the reason why you do not see a significant financial impact.

speaker
Kevin Roger
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay, thanks for that.

speaker
Coruscant Conference Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Guillaume Delaby of Bernstein. Please go ahead.

speaker
Guillaume Delaby
Analyst, Bernstein

Yes, good morning, Alexandro. Good morning, Paolo. Two questions, if I may. First, I just wanted to be sure that I have understood correctly that you said that you expect a full year order intake target to be reached in Q2 2024. Can you confirm?

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

It's not that we will reach the full year in 2024. You will see in the middle of the year. What I said is that by mid of the year, we should be well ahead in the track of reaching our final target of 2024. So because I see, let's say, commercial activity in the last mile for deliverings. very encouraging also for the second part of the year so this is why i'm confident we will reach our target for ordering 2024 but we will soon we will soon see signs of this uh of this activity that's clear

speaker
Guillaume Delaby
Analyst, Bernstein

So I was right to ask for this clarification. My second question is I understand that on CCUS you want to capitalize on your pipeline capabilities. My question is regarding your agreement that you signed one year ago with Mitsubishi, who in my view is probably the world leader for CCUS technologies. So my question is how things are working with Mitsubishi, how this partnership is working, and if you can provide some color about it. Thank you.

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

Okay, clearly the agreement we had for the utilization of Mitsubishi technology in carbon capturing, has a very important place in our ability to make a very wide offer when it comes to carbon capture. Because we have our own technology, the Blue Enzyme 200, that entices really with small and medium-scale emitters, while with the Mitsubishi technology, we can cover the big-scale emitters. So we... This allows us to have a complete offer for all kinds of solutions for carbon capture at the chimneys of our plant. So, really, this gives us power in this sector. And, you know, the fact that the pipelines for CO2 transportation are moving, then, will drag also, we think, the market for carbon capture. Because clearly no one will invest on carbon capture unless there is the opportunity to put the CO2 in a pipeline and deliver to a storage site. So my opinion, Pipelines for CO2, they are acting the same role of drilling in the traditional oil and gas. Drilling comes first, and then development follows. And this is pipe, in the case of CCUS, pipelines comes first, and then the carbon capture plants, they do follow.

speaker
Guillaume Delaby
Analyst, Bernstein

Thank you very much, Alessandro.

speaker
Coruscant Conference Operator
Conference Operator

The next question is from Francesco Sala of Banca Acros. Please go ahead.

speaker
Francesco Sala
Analyst, Banca Akros

Yes. Good morning. Thank you for taking my question and congratulations for your results. Just one question. I wonder whether given the current market scenario and your pipeline, is there any chance you are going to expand your current fleet to maybe seize more opportunities down the road? Thank you.

speaker
Alessandro Puliti
CEO and General Manager

So we are expanding the fleet. It is a very interesting question. So for the time being, you know, we are already expanding the fleet because this year the JSD 6,000 new pipe lay and multi-purpose vessel will join our fleet on rental basis because again, it's part of our last light strategy. It will become available to us around mid of the year. So we are already expanding and we are constantly looking at the market for opportunistic situation because if there is a vessel and we do have work and job for that vessel, I would say why not? But what I can assure you, we will never ever again build a single vessel on speculation. So only if there is a clear pipeline of jobs.

speaker
Coruscant Conference Operator
Conference Operator

Concludes our Q&A session and our call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.

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