8/7/2025

speaker
Filip Lindvall
Vice President Group Strategy and Investor Relations

Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Scout24 second quarter and first half 2025 earnings call. My name is Filip Lindvall and I'm vice president group strategy and investor relations at Scout24. With me on the call today are Ralf Weitz, our chief executive officer, and Dirk Schmelzer, our chief financial officer. Ralf will start the presentation with key business highlights and Dirk will provide a detailed overview of our financial results. As always, we will conclude the call with a Q&A session. You can find today's presentation on our website under financial reports and presentations. This session will be recorded and a replay will be made available as quickly as possible after the event. Please take note of the disclaimer on page two. Ralf, now over to you.

speaker
Ralf Weitz
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Philipp, and welcome, everyone. Let's move to page four of our presentation and review the key highlights of the second quarter and first half. We are very pleased with our second quarter performance, which was strong across the board and continues to build on our excellent first quarter results. Second quarter revenue grew 15.1% with organic growth remaining strong at 11.1%. For the first half, we delivered total revenue growth of 15.5%. Revenue growth was driven by our two great core businesses, which continue to deliver impressive customer growth. Our B2B business is now approaching 26,000 customers. and our B2C segment surpassed the significant milestone of 500,000 subscribers in the second quarter. PPA Private was a bright spot in the quarter with 10.9% growth, driven by increased listing volumes and marketing activities. Transaction enablement showed more modest expansion in the second quarter due to lower transaction volumes. We continue to generate operating leverage as we drive interconnectivity and simplify our organization. Ordinary operating EBITDA grew 16.9%, marking another strong quarter. For the first half, we delivered one percentage point of margin expansion year on year, which is impressive as we are integrating several acquisitions with lower margin profiles. Adjusted EPS continued to grow impressively by 23.6% in Q2. The strength of our platform is becoming increasingly evident. The number of B2B customers using multiple products in our ecosystem grew 15% quarter on quarter. A healthy sign that our interconnectivity strategy is working. Listings increased by 12.8% and homeowner registrations grew by 57.7% in Q2. We are seeing deeper engagement across all market participants. This creates compounding value as more agents, property owners and home seekers connect through our ecosystem. We are creating value for all our stakeholders by integrating AI solutions across our entire enterprise. From consumer products and professional tools to internal operations. As I highlighted in the first quarter earnings call, innovation remains central to how we serve customers. I will provide details on this in the innovation update later. Based on the strong business performance during the first half of the year and the outlook of the remainder of the year, we upgraded our guidance for 2025, as you might have seen from Tuesday's ad hoc release. Our upgraded guidance reflects the strong business momentum we are seeing in our core operations. We now expect revenue growth of 14 to 15% and ordinary operating EBITDA margin expansion of up to 70 base points. Let's move to page five for an update on our customer base. In the first half of 2025, both our professional and private segments reached record customer numbers. Starting with professional. The professional segment accelerated from already fantastic Q1 levels while continuing to gain market share. We are approaching 26,000 customers with growth accelerating again to 6.1% in Q2, building on the already strong 5.9% growth in Q1. This was driven by continued robust performance in Germany, including Neubau Kompass. The Austrian real estate market has started to recover, and our customer base grew every month in the second quarter. Our customer growth in Germany stands out both domestically and globally within the classified sector. It is worth taking a moment to acknowledge where these customers are coming from. Firstly, we are gaining market share among smaller customers through our Bonds membership, an accessible entry-level product. Secondly, we are benefiting from new business formations, And thirdly, we are seeing our large customers expand their franchises. Our strong product offering and responsible approach to pricing are the reasons why we are winning in the market. Turning to the private segment, we sustained healthy expansion after last year's exceptional growth. We crossed the half million subscriber milestone in the second quarter, reaching 502,000 subscribers, a 15.3% year-on-year increase, so we achieved our capital markets day target of 500,000 subscribers significantly ahead of schedule. While growth has moderated from last year's exceptional levels, this represents healthy expansion on an increasingly large base and follows normal seasonal patterns. Regarding our consumer portfolio, we have rebranded TenantPlus and BuyerPlus into SearchPlus. LivingPlus remains unchanged. All consumer products continue to deliver strong growth and value to our users. SearchPlus for BUY is experiencing impressive year-on-year growth of 38%. LivingPlus has doubled its customer base compared to last year, showing how we can bring innovative new products to the rental market and create new addressable markets. Looking at page 6, I would like to share the German real estate market dynamics in the second quarter. The German residential real estate market continues to be healthy with strong underlying fundamentals. As mentioned in our Q1 earnings call, the sales market experienced a temporary slowdown in April and May following the German government's investment program announcement, which resulted in higher mortgage rates. This decline is reflected in our Scout24 transaction momentum index, which showed a slight downturn in Q2. Since then, mortgage rates have stabilized after recent volatility supporting buyer confidence and market activity. Demand for real estate purchases remains strong, with sellers willing to engage as prices remain high. The rental market continues to see robust interest, while contact requests stayed on high levels. The listings index continued to climb in Q2, with more new listings hitting the market and faster turnover times demonstrating robust selling interest and market activity. The German government's Bautour initiative and broader investment program send positive signals for the medium to long term. These measures will stimulate housing market activity and increase demand for our platform services. Moving to page seven, I would like to share with you how AI is transforming every part of our business. As we promised at our Capital Markets Day 2024, and as I emphasized in my first earnings call as CEO in May, We are committed to being the technology and product leader in our market. To achieve this, we continue to invest heavily in product innovation for our customers. We are now in a phase where we are integrating AI across all of our products. Let me give you a few examples. Moving to PropStack AI, one of our professional tools. This is transforming how our professional customers create property listings. Here's how powerful this is. Agents simply select a few photos and within seconds, PropStack AI automatically creates a professional property video, integrating compelling voice narratives and highlighting key selling points. This represents an enormous efficiency and cost advantage. Tasks that traditionally required expensive video production and hours of editing now happen instantly. Agents save significant time and money while ensuring consistent high quality listings across our platform. And the market response has been great so far. PropStack is growing over 40% year on year in customers and contributing 60% more listings to our platform compared to last year, while revenue is surging over 50%. In July, almost two thirds of our upsell revenue came from PropStack. we have been winning customers from competitors every single month for over a year now. Why? Because we have built the most intuitive and powerful and innovative agent CRM software in the market. We are now taking PropStack to the next level with AI, representing our commitment to innovation and our focus on delivering tools that truly transform how agents work. Now turning to the consumer side. Our Hey Immo feature represents the next evolution in property search. Users can prospectively search in a conversational manner. For example, simply asking for a three-bedroom apartment in Munich under 2500 Euro with good transport links or the best investment opportunities in Berlin. We are developing an AI search assistant that enhances the consumer search experience. Heyimo provides conversational search capabilities while leveraging our proprietary and exclusive data assets. This unique data integration creates a differentiated offering that positions the platform to deliver a superior real estate search experience compared to existing AI systems in the market. While traditional search will likely remain the primary access point for several years, we are launching the next level search now. This gives consumer choice and ensures we have the best product available during the transition period as consumer search expectations evolve with AI. Currently, conversational search is in beta. We will be rolling out fully on all devices in H2. We have also partnered with Entropic to integrate Cloud AI because we want to embrace AI productivity benefits internally throughout the organization. Every employee now has their own AI assistant to work with. This provides our teams with sophisticated support for everything from data analysis to content creation. We expect that over time, both employees and processes become more efficient, enhancing our internal operations and productivity. We are moving full steam ahead on these AI initiatives. It is still early days and we remain humble about the journey, but our goal is to provide choice for our customers and deliver the real benefits of AI and automation. Let me conclude with some key takeaways on page eight. Firstly, we delivered a strong financial performance that enabled us to upgrade our full year guidance. Revenue grew 15% with margin expansion, even while integrating acquisitions, proving we can execute growth and efficiency at the same time. Secondly, we are winning in the market with record customer metrics. We now approach 26,000 professional customers and have crossed 500,000 private subscribers. Our product-led strategy and responsible pricing is clearly resonating. We are taking share from competitors and expanding our reach into new customer segments. Thirdly, our AI transformation is accelerating. PubSec AI is already live. Hey Immo will be launched in H2 this year, and we have deployed Claude across the organization. We are not just experimenting with AI, we are implementing it at scale to drive real business results. And lastly, our platform is generating powerful network effects. Multi-product adoption increased while listing volumes are expanding and our interconnected ecosystem is creating compounding value. These results confirm that our strategy is working and we are well positioned for continued success. Now I will hand over to Dirk.

speaker
Dirk Schmelzer
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Ralf, and welcome, everyone. Let's move to the financial section of our presentation. On page 10, you will find our Q2 and first half financial highlights. Building on strong Q1 momentum, Q2 delivered another solid quarter, resulting in an impressive first half that reflects continued strength across our business. Group revenue in the second quarter reached 160.6 million euros, up 15.1% year on year, with organic growth contributing a healthy 11.1%. This performance reflects strengths across our core business. Subscription services maintained momentum while recent acquisitions are already contributing meaningfully. For the first half, revenue totaled 318.2 million euros, representing 15.5% growth with organic growth accelerating to 11.6%. Turning to profitability, second quarter ordinary operating EBITDA increased 16.9% to 101.7 million euros, marking the first time our quarterly ordinary operating EBITDA has reached nine digits, with margins expanding 90 base points to 63.3%. For the first half, ordinary operating EBITDA reached €195.4 million, up 17.3%, resulting in a margin of 61.4%. This margin expansion is particularly strong as we are integrating acquisitions that carry lower profitability profiles. Reported EPS increased by 15% to €0.54, while adjusted EPS showed even stronger growth of 23.6%, reaching 87 euro cents. Operating cash flow came in at 133.5 million euros, 11% higher year on year. Turning to page 11 for a closer look at our professional segment. Revenue in our professional segment grew by 14.5% in Q2, reaching 115.7 million euros, For the first half, we delivered strong growth of 15.3%, driven by robust performance across both subscriptions and transaction enablement. Our subscription business grew 14.8% to 84.2 million euros with double-digit organic growth of 11.7%. We are clearly winning in the market, capturing share from competitors, benefiting from healthy business formation, and expanding in the rural parts of Germany with accessible products like the Bronze Edition. Professional customers expanded 6.1% to nearly 26,000, with organic growth at 5.6% in Germany, excluding Neubau Kompass. APU grew 8.3% to 1,082 euros, driven by strong performance with our residential agents, offset by more moderate growth among our commercial customers. Transaction enablement grew 18.4% to 26.4 million euros driven by acquisitions and 4% organic growth. The lower organic growth reflects reduced transaction volumes and reduced capital allocation into our leads business as part of our interconnectivity strategy. Demand for data and valuation and agency RM products remains strong. Ordinary operating EBITDA grew by 14.3% to 73.1 million euros with a margin of 63.1%. Ordinary operating EBITDA increased by 14.3% to 73.1 million euro, achieving a 63.1% margin. The half percentage point year-on-year margin compression in half year one reflects the dilutive effect of recent acquisitions. Turning to the private segment on page 12, let's review the results for the second quarter of 2025. Private segment growth picked up momentum in Q2, accelerating to 16.8% revenue growth and 44.9 million euros. The stronger second quarter lifted first half revenues to 87.2 million euros, up 15.9% year on year. Performance was driven by our Plus subscription products, which delivered strong growth of 22.2% in the quarter, while PPA revenues also surprised on the upside with 10.9% growth. We reached 502,000 subscribers in Q2, up 15.3% year-on-year. This strength spans our entire portfolio. Search Plus Buy surged 38% driven by high purchase demand, living plus doubled its customer base creating new rental markets and search plus rent maintained consistent growth apu increased six percent to 17.7 euros driven by improved unit economics from our multi-vendor credit check strategy our ppa business grew 10.9 percent in q2 driven by strengths in both sale and rental listings improving market conditions and rate stabilization boosted sales while rental PPA remained robust. Our targeted marketing campaigns are resonating with sellers and landlords. Ordinary operating EBITDA surged 23.9% to 28.6 million euros in Q2, with margins expanding 370 base points to 63.7%. For the first half, ordinary operating EBITDA reached 53.5 million euros with margins at 61.4%, up 500 base points year on year. Turning to page 13, let's take a closer look at the main ordinary operating items in Q2. Own work capitalized decreased 9.4% to 4.9 million euros, reflecting the completion of various development and integration projects. As a percentage of revenue, this represents approximately 3.1%. Operating expenses increased 10.2% year on year, growing below our revenue growth rates. This reflects the positive impact of our interconnectivity strategy, efficient acquisition integration, and our continued efforts to simplify the organization. On an organic basis, operating expenses were up just 3.6%. Personal cost rose by 7.8% to 28 million euros, primarily driven by M&A integration and regular salary adjustments. On an organic basis, personal costs remain nearly flat. Marketing expenses increased marginally by 3.9% to 10.4 million euros as our interconnectivity strategy continues to enhance performance marketing efficiency. IT costs increased 19.4% to 5.6 million euros, primarily driven by higher AWS costs from migrating acquisitions to our cloud infrastructure and increased data lake volumes. Additional factors include ongoing AI investments and the integration of recent acquisitions. Selling costs increased 33.5% to 11.2 million euros, driven by stronger demand for data and valuation services. This increased activity led to higher third-party costs at Sprengnetter and Bulvingeser. Ordinary operating EBITDA grew strongly by 16.9% in Q2, with margins expanding 90 base points to 63.3%. For the first half, we achieved impressive results with 17.3% ordinary operating EBITDA growth and 100 base points of margin improvement. On an organic basis, margins would have reached 64.4% in Q2 and 62.8% for the first half, demonstrating our underlying operational strength. This strong performance demonstrates our ability to balance multiple priorities, investing into product and innovation, organizational simplification, integration of acquisitions, and investing in our people. Turning to page 14, where we show the items below ordinary operating EBITDA. Non-operating effects increased 78.8% in Q2 due to our strong share price and Sprengneter business performance. I will comment on these positions on the next page. For the first half, reported EBITDA increased 15% to 159.8 million euros. Along with the decrease in own-ware capitalized, D&A decreased 12.8% year-on-year in Q2, primarily driven by the completion of IT projects and platform developments. For the first half, D&A totaled 24.2 million euros, a flattish development of 2.8%. The mix has shifted, with PPA amortization from recent acquisitions increasing to 4.8 million euros in half-year one, while other scheduled depreciation remains stable. The financial result improved year on year to negative 6.1 million euros in Q2, a 28.5% improvement driven by lower one-off impacts compared to last year. We also incurred 1.4 million euros in foreign exchange losses. I will walk through more of the specifics on the following slide. Income taxes increased to 16.6 million euros in Q2, up 14% with an effective tax rate of approximately 30%. Despite all one-offs in Q2, we still managed to grow basic EPS by 15%, leading to strong growth in half year one 2025 of 22.3% to €1.23. Net income for the first half increased 20.5% to €89 million, a solid bottom line expansion despite Q2's temporary impacts. Adjusted EPS, which excludes all one-offs, was strong in both quarters. up 23.6% in Q2, leading to half year one 2025 growth of 20.8% to €1.65. The fact that we delivered over 20% growth in both reported and adjusted metrics for half year one 2025 truly demonstrates our underlying business momentum and margin expansion capabilities. Let's turn to page 15 for the bridge from reported net income to adjusted net income for Q2 2025. Non-operating effects increased by 78.8% year-on-year in Q2 of 2025 due to the following successful business outcomes. Share-based compensation increased significantly due to our share price overperformance up around 40% year-to-date compared to our mid-teens share price growth assumptions leading to higher provisions. Non-operating effects, excluding share-based compensation, came in at 9.8 million euros. Thereof, M&A-related costs totaled 8.2 million euros in Q2, driven by 8 million euro increased provision for Sprengnetter earn-out due to the strong EBITDA performance in 2024. The adjustment of the financial result included 4.9 million euros from purchase price liability remeasurements including 1.4 million euros for the remaining 25% Sprengnetter stake and 3.5 million euros for Neubau Kompass and Exploreal earnouts. These impacts were partially offset by favorable fair value adjustments on our venture capital investments of 700,000 euros. We do, however, not see a material cash impact from these non-operating costs in 2025. Turning to page 16 in cash flow. Free cash flow for the first half reached 118.1 million euros, up 15% year on year. The improvement was driven by our strong operating performance as well as positive working capital impact from the non-cash nature of the non-operating costs. Our conversion ratios remain excellent. Free cash flow representing 99% of adjusted net income and 60% of ordinary operating EBITDA, demonstrating strong cash generation. Turning to page 17 to leverage and capital allocation. Our leverage ratio increased to 0.53 times at the end of Q2 2025, up from 0.42 times in Q1 due to higher credit facility utilization and share buyback program commitments. This temporary increase reflects the typical seasonality of Q2 when we pay our annual dividend. In the second quarter, we allocated €14.8 million to share repurchases, bringing total buybacks for the first half of the year to €38.3 million. Total shareholder returns in Q2 amounted to €110.2 million, primarily driven by a dividend distribution of €95.4 million following the 10% increase in the annual dividend to €1.32 per share. Moving to the guidance on page 18. Based on our strong first half performance, we upgraded our full year guidance to 14 to 15% revenue growth, including approximately three percentage points of inorganic contribution and expansion of our ordinary operating EBITDA margin of up to 70 base points. We are well on track to deliver our fifth consecutive year of double-digit growth and third consecutive year of margin expansion. Let me provide some context around our guidance upgrade and outlook for the remainder of the year. The upgrade reflects our strong execution in the first half and confidence in the underlying business momentum in our core membership and private subscription businesses. Based on the second quarter revenue run rate for transaction enablement, we believe our upgraded revenue guidance range represents a good outcome for the full year and leaves us enough flexibility to balance between profitability and growth. In terms of quarterly cadence, I would like to remind you that the third quarter will likely show lower revenue growth and then accelerate again in the fourth quarter. We expect a similar trend for ordinary operating EBITDA growth and margin. Overall, we feel very good about the momentum in the business, which is reflected in our upgraded guidance. We will provide the next update during our Q3 nine months 2025 earnings call on October 30th, 2025. And with that, let's open the line for questions. We would appreciate if you could limit your questions to two per speaker. Operator, over to you.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and 1 on their touch-tone telephone. You will hear a tone to confirm that you have entered the queue. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star, then 2. Participants are requested to use only handsets while asking a question. Anyone who has a question may press star and 1 at this time. The first question from Craig Abbott, Kepler at Chevrolet. Please go ahead.

speaker
Craig Abbott
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Yes, good afternoon, everyone. Yeah, thank you for that. I have two questions for now, please. One is just some early thoughts on the run rate heading into 2026, and in particular, thinking about the components of that continued growth. I'm thinking about things like the new AI tools, of course, the continued trade-ups amongst your membership packages, scaling up at Neubau and Burgenwiese. If you could just maybe give us some early thoughts at this stage on how we should think about that going into 26, when you're going to be obviously going up against quite a high comparative base. And then I'll ask my second question. Thank you.

speaker
Dirk Schmelzer
Chief Financial Officer

Hi, Craig. It's me, Dirk. Maybe I start before I hand over to Ralph. Of course, you can see us preparing our growth levers for 2026 already. And as you rightly pointed out, it will be a mixture between continued growth in the professional membership, which is driven by APU increases based on our new acquisitions as well as our product rollouts that we're having. And secondly, of course, also by continued growth in our private segment with regards to subscriber growth. You might have seen that we are seeing a nice tick up in the byproduct as well, not only in the rental product. We are scaling beyond 500,000 as we speak. And we also believe that there is room to grow in the next year on private as well as professional. And you've also seen the nice tick up that we're having on our PPA business in private. And that will be by additional growth in the transaction enablement business because we think that the transactions in the German real estate market will start picking up again in 2026 as you might have read this morning the numbers in the German real estate market look quite quite good for the second half as well as for 2026 coming in. We're seeing a slight uptake in prices for houses. We're seeing a similar, but only half of that, roughly 1% quarter on quarter price uptake for apartments. So, all in all, we believe that the transaction environment overall for next year will light up. So, you can see us in Q1 with a good mix between professional growth, private growth, and transaction enablement growth.

speaker
Ralf Weitz
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, actually, not much to add, Dirk. Sorry. Hi, while speaking here. So, what I can add maybe is helpful that there's still room to grow in the the new membership editions, right? Just first 1,500 customers have migrated so far. So there's still a lot of potential. And as you know, we are not forcing customers into the new memberships. We are only bringing them in if they see the value, and also we do the price enforcement for the new memberships, and that's guaranteeing a uplift in terms of revenue if the customers are migrated in the new membership additions. That's all.

speaker
Craig Abbott
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay. Sorry, Ralph. I didn't quite get the number you said that had migrated. Sorry.

speaker
Ralf Weitz
Chief Executive Officer

5,500 customers are migrated in the new membership additions.

speaker
Craig Abbott
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay, thank you. Yeah, my second question, and I'll get back out. Dec, you mentioned the private PPA number having picked up quite strongly in Q2. I mean, obviously, you know, it's a high-margin product. So you talked about some targeted marketing measures having impacted that. A, could you maybe elaborate on that? And secondly, are you seeing this trend in PPA continue in Q3? Thank you.

speaker
Dirk Schmelzer
Chief Financial Officer

No, we didn't have specifically a large number of targeted campaigns around that. What you can see is what I mentioned when we come to transfer 2026 is that the transaction market is slightly picking up again. And that's also reflected in our private PPA numbers. On the professional side, you don't see those numbers picking up in the same order simply because of the fact that we are trying to get more and more customers into our starting edition, the bronze edition, and that is reflected in the more than 5% customer growth organically in the second quarter that you are seeing. So overall, I think the PBA business is also a testament to our product offering, which is right in time for a market uptick in the second quarter as well as in 2026.

speaker
Craig Abbott
Analyst, Kepler Cheuvreux

Okay, thank you both very much.

speaker
Operator

The next question from Ed Young. Morgan Stanley, please go ahead.

speaker
Ed Young
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you. My first one was just if you could give a bit more color on the sort of temporary impact you spoke about around transactional enablement in Q2 and how we should think about that in H2, as a broader commentary on the broader macro. And then the second question was around PropStack. It's very interesting you speaking about that. Can you give a bit more color around the upsell in terms of which packages it incorporates into? I think in Austria it's in all of them, but I might be mistaken. How do you think about the dynamics around upsell for that product? That would be interesting to hear. Thank you.

speaker
Ralf Weitz
Chief Executive Officer

Maybe we start with a PopSec question. Yeah, I mean, what we see in PopSec is that customers really appreciate the new features we built in, in particular the AI features are well perceived by the customers. And with the package we are offering to the market, I think we are winning at the moment market share. Why is it important for us? Because as you can see that with customers using PropStack, we can increase our listing share. against the competition. So we have an interest that more and more our customers are using PropStack. So therefore we are upselling actively PropStack to our membership customers and I think in the highest edition there's also a PropStack product included but not the full-fledged product. So that gives us actually also upsell potential. But as I said, the strategic interest is that our customers using PropSec, our CM solutions, and they benefit from additional features and also from better placements they get because the product, of course, PropSec, is better integrated than we could do with other external CM systems.

speaker
Dirk Schmelzer
Chief Financial Officer

Dirk? Your first question was with regards to transaction environment. I think I answered a part of that when... Craig was asking the same question, but let me repeat it here again. I think what we have seen in the first half was a modest growth. I mean, macro headwinds that we were seeing. Mortgage and relocation, and our media business was a bit weaker, but that was fully substituted by the homeowner needs business, and that was doing quite okay. And what we are seeing, and what is a testament to our strategy, I think, is that we are seeing a very strong demand for data evaluation and CRM services. And for the remainder of the year, I would expect similar trends. We are also expecting the leads business to pick up a bit again versus the first half. And we are seeing quite healthy incoming interest into our data evaluation business and as Ralph outlined on the CRM side. So overall, a moderate picture for transaction enablement for that first half. But the early signs we're seeing in the second quarter, I think we're going into a very good second half of the year with transaction enablement.

speaker
Ed Young
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. Thanks, Greg.

speaker
Operator

The next question from Andrew Ross, Barclays. Please go ahead.

speaker
Andrew Ross
Analyst, Barclays

Great. Good afternoon, everyone. I've got two on numbers. First one is on the share-based comp, which obviously was higher. in Q2, I think, largely because of the share price going up a lot. Can you just give us guidance as to what you expect for share-based comps over the rest of 2025 and also for 2026, I guess, on an assumption of kind of more normal share price appreciation? That's the first question. Then the second one is just to follow up on your comment, Commie Outlook, where you said you'd expect Q3 to be a bit slow and then to reaccelerate in Q4. And I was just kind of checking the transcript on the Q1 call, and I think you spoke about

speaker
Dirk Schmelzer
Chief Financial Officer

hustle comps in q2 and then in q4 back then and just kind of looking at it the comp actually looks a bit easier in q3 so just help us understand why growth is going to slow in q3 before it re-accelerates thanks andrew thanks uh let me start with uh share based compensation to give you a bit of more color around that so the programs we have out there are split into uh basically two two line items one is the executive board, and the second part is the leadership team. They both amount to an annual value of around about 9%, so slightly below 10% of our overall personal cost. Over the past four years, the performance period of our programs has basically been ramping up. So when you look at our balance sheet, what you see is a reflection of liabilities on the company towards employees, of around 54, 55 million euros. And that is due to the fact that, on the one hand, we have performed quite well versus our performance targets. And the second piece is, as Philip outlined already, that we have seen a pickup in the share price, so around about 30, 40 percent since beginning of the year. And those effects had to be reflected in share-based compensation. So, to do the math, if you, think about roughly a 40 million liability on our balance sheet and the share price increases by 30% based on constant performance metrics, you would need to increase that liability by 12 million per quarter. So that's the way the metrics work. If you look into the next year, you will see more of a normalization because next year payout periods are starting, so we are taking liabilities away with cash from the balance sheet And we are only adding additional liabilities to the new consecutive programs coming through. And we think about those programs in the area which I outlined in the beginning, so 8 to 9 million year on year. And that was also the basis which I gave you at the beginning or end of last year when it came to 2025, not having in mind that the share price would show such positive reactions. So I hope that helps a bit, Andrew, to give you a flavor and an idea on where this metric will develop in the next years. But it will, of course, be a tailwind for us that we start converting liabilities into cash. Second part of your question was around comps in Q3. You're absolutely right. When we were talking in the Q1 about Q2 and Q3, We actually haven't expected a very positive development in Q2 that was especially with regards to new customer acquisitions on the professional side as well as on the private side. And that was also the reason why we increased guidance, as you've seen. And against that guidance, I would think that the Q3 revenue growth will be slightly lower than in the first half. And what you have traditionally seen in our business is an acceleration in the fourth quarter. So transaction enablement, we see a slightly softer organic growth. Before it picks up in Q4, as I said, first numbers we are seeing at the end of Q2 are quite encouraging. Then we are starting to let APU benefit from our multi-vendor credit check strategy in private. And we expect transaction enablement to grow in Q4, as I just said, a bit quicker. So for EBITDA, we see basically the same trend, tough comp with the 63% we saw last year. But overall, I would reiterate that the fourth quarter is usually a strong one for us on profitability as well as on growth. So we expect the same for the Q4 2025. And that's why we felt quite optimistic with regards to our target for the second half. With the phasing, I just outlined between Q3 and Q4.

speaker
Andrew Ross
Analyst, Barclays

So if I could just follow up on the stock-based comp point, that was helpful, Kala. I guess to kind of summarize it, when we kind of think about the overall P&L charge that we should be putting into our numbers for the second half of 25 and 26, What would be a kind of sensible assumption? Are you kind of saying we're going back to mid-teens run rates annualized from here, or have I misunderstood that?

speaker
Dirk Schmelzer
Chief Financial Officer

I think in the future, what you will see is rather a range from us than anything else. I outlined that we will always be around 10% of our overall personal cost. And what you're currently seeing is around, I think, Philip, $30 million that we have for provision for share-based comp for this year versus the $15 million. I wouldn't think that we would materially go beyond $30 million for the full year 2025. Okay.

speaker
Andrew Ross
Analyst, Barclays

Thank you.

speaker
Operator

The next question from Will Packer, BNP Paris Bike Sun. Please go ahead.

speaker
Will Packer
Analyst, BNP Paribas

Hi, many thanks for taking my questions. Firstly, you're a very good customer, add numbers again. Could you help us think through the drivers of that, gaining share of small agents, new formation, market share gains versus peers? And should we think these positive trends could extend into 2026 and remain a growth driver? And then secondly, in the last 12 to 18 months, there's obviously been fair bit of change around your competitive environment in terms of ownership at the coalface are you seeing any evolution in pricing strategies marketing strategies and any potential new competition in areas like 10 plus thank you i am happy to take the first question um regarding customer numbers i think um

speaker
Ralf Weitz
Chief Executive Officer

What we see is that the structure of the market or the nature of the market is quite robust. What it means is that there is dynamic in the market, so there are new starters. There are also consolidations in the market. The franchise companies are also growing in terms of customer numbers, and we are benefiting from that. So market actually is quite healthy. And we believe we can, we will also see that in 2026. So there's no reason why there should be a change in the, let's say, in the nature of the market. So why we are benefiting is also because we have quite an effective product if it comes to smaller customers in particular. So we can actually offer new startups a really good package, not just a lifting product. Also, they get more. They get kind of CM systems from us. They get support if it comes to energy certificates, for instance. So for new startups in particular, It makes sense to start with us if you are new to the market. We also offer some trainings to new starters. We are building a kind of loyalty to new startups, and that helps us also to upgrading those customers later on from a Bronx addition into a higher membership tier. So therefore, we are starting quite early on the customer journey, and we are successful. That's also a bit different to competitors, where you have a hurdle price often, and you need to hit this hurdle first before you can get a member or a real customer of the of a platform business. So that's different to how we approach the market. And I think we are quite successful here. So therefore, we think this will remain a driver for next year, for sure. So second question, Dirk?

speaker
Dirk Schmelzer
Chief Financial Officer

I think the second question, well, thanks for that, was around the competitive environment. To be honest, we haven't seen so much difference in our competitive strategy over the past 12 months. And we continue to see very healthy metrics on our side. So when I look at, for example, listing development, we've been adding 13% listings to more than 560,000 listings on the platform as we speak in Q2. And overall, in the first half, listings were added by 11%. we see an uptake in objects. We see an uptake in homeowners that are registering objects on our platform. We have more than 3 million objects on the platform as we speak. So why do I mention those numbers? Because they give you a good indication on the relevance of our platform in the market. And how is that taken? Object uptake, customer uptake is obviously driven by the fact that a lot of our B2B customers take objects away from the market, from the competition to our platform. And a lot of the private customers are taking their objects on our platform because they see us as a clear market leader. So in total, I would think, yes, we're still heading for tough competition in the German market, as always. But the strategy that we are following and that interconnected strategy really helps us to gain value to customers, and that's been showing in the non-financial KPIs I just outlined to you.

speaker
Will Packer
Analyst, BNP Paribas

Thanks for the, Carla, very helpful. Just one minor follow-up. In terms of the underlying number of estate agent branches in Germany, does your 6% benefit from underlying growth in that number, or is it more just accessing some of these smaller agents, et cetera? What do you think the market growth in agency branches is? Thank you.

speaker
Dirk Schmelzer
Chief Financial Officer

I thought, I thought, um, we were just discussing a story. Well, uh, I start off with that. Uh, I think, um, and, and Ralph will, will answer the question, uh, more detailed, but I think, uh, what we have seen here is a growth in the bronze edition, which points you to, uh, the, uh, agents that are coming onto the platform, which are rather small agents. We don't see a huge uptick in the overall amount of agents. But on the other side, I think, Ralph, we're also seeing more agent conglomerates coming onto the platform with additional listings.

speaker
Ralf Weitz
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I mean, I think that what I outlined before, I think the dynamic is quite good in the market. The question is, how many agents do we need for such a dynamic? As you know, there are no barriers in Germany to become an agent. It's actually quite attractive at the moment to become an agent because there's some liquidity in the market if it comes to objects. Therefore, what we see is that our customers are growing, so the franchise groups are growing in terms of agents. And it's also more attractive to enter the market. So we see new starters. And we see that for agents who are just with the competition, it makes no sense because the dominance of Scout is we increased our dominance. So they have to move to us as well. So what we saw in the past that some of the agents in Germany, they they had one portal strategy, so either with us or with the competition, they also move over to us. And that's all supporting the customer number growth you can see. And we think that will continue. I mean, you see it also in the car-classified business at the moment in Germany. So the number one is eating market share from number two, and also partly from number three. So I think... We believe that's also true then for next year.

speaker
Giles Thorne
Analyst, Jefferies

Thanks very much.

speaker
Operator

The next question from Nisla Nezer, Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Niklas Nezer
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Hi, I have two questions as well. The first one is on the guidance for 2025. where you've now said that you're guiding for a 70 basis point margin improvement for the full year, but given margins already expanded by around 100 bps in H1, just curious to understand if there's some conservatism baked into H2, or is there some incremental investments you've specifically got in mind? Some color there would be great on the thinking. And second, on leverage being sort of 0.5 times, how are you thinking about future M&A as a use of cash as well, maybe beyond Germany, because there's been a lot of consolidation and activity in other markets as well. So just curious to see how you think of that opportunity for maybe more aggressive inorganic growth. Thank you.

speaker
Dirk Schmelzer
Chief Financial Officer

Niklas, thanks for the questions, to the point as always. So on your first question with regards to margin guidance, of course we want to leave a little bit headroom and flexibility for the remainder of the year. And if you followed our half year one guidance, or sorry, our half year one results, you can see that we still have to add more than 80 base points to come to the target margin until the end of the year. We feel comfortable around that, I have to say, but we also want to keep up flexibility and we want to keep our powder dry in order to support growth for the remainder of the year. That was the first part. And the second part is around M&A. I mean, we haven't materially changed and we won't materially change our capital allocation strategy. You know that we are paying and we continue to pay dividends. We are doing share buybacks and the remainder we are using for M&A all along the strategy which we laid out at the Capital Markets Day, which is around interconnectivity. So nothing to add to that and no changes around that.

speaker
Niklas Nezer
Analyst, Deutsche Bank

Understood. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

The next question is from Jais Thorne. Jeffery, please go ahead.

speaker
Giles Thorne
Analyst, Jefferies

Thank you. The first question is back on competition. It seems kind of like I can bring in a big new external hire to lead the property vertical back in April. He's been quite vocal on where he sees the opportunity, specifically in giving the market a consumer-centric platform rather than a professional-centric platform like ImmoScout and ImmoValve. And given Kleiner Zeigens is very big in C2C, that makes a lot of sense, but it would be useful to hear your thoughts on the direction Kleiner Zeigens is moving in and how you might respond if you need to respond at all. And then the second question was on the private business, and it would be useful to hear what plans you have to drive up the cross-sell rate from Search Plus Rent, as it's now known, to Living Plus. If I'm not getting it wrong, that cross-sell rate currently is very, very low. Thank you.

speaker
Ralf Weitz
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, maybe should I start with the first question? Okay, so I think you referred to the interview from the financing CEO. I mean, so far we haven't seen any activity in terms of that they – founded or that they started an own vertical for real estate. It might come. Who knows? I mean, it could be. What we are seeing at the moment is that the traction they get is not high and and they are mainly winning shares or market share from the number two. That's what I mentioned before, that Immovate is a bit in the middle here. So what I can say if it comes to consumers, I mean Kleinan saying of course it's quite attractive for consumers, but we are also attractive. Why? Because we try to position ourselves as a trusted platform out there, and there's a lot of fraud in the market. If you want to sell your property seriously, then I think we are the best place to go to. And that's what we are also communicating to the market. And you can see it in the private listing numbers that this strategy is working. If it comes to rent listings, there's still a way to go. But we are also investing heavily into our homeowner strategy. And homeowners are also landlords, as you know. And this is quite unique listing content for us. And by the way, it's quite hard to monetize on the listing side, at least the rent listings. So I mean, those listings are for free on Kleinan's side. So the economical impact will be the below here, but of course this content is quite effective. So therefore we are investing so heavily into our homeowner strategy. So, um, if it comes to cross selling, um, I mean, as you know, uh, our strategy is to, um, to expand the lifetime of, uh, plus subscriber, right? because that's also the value driver for us. So ideally, the consumers, they start with the plus subscription if it comes to search, and then they convert into our living plus. So we are experimenting still with living plus. You are right. I mean, the conversion could be higher, but we see progress in the product here. And so if you take the standalone growth numbers of living plus, and if you compare it with the growth numbers we had in search plus as we started, 10 years ago, I think we can be quite, um, we can be quite happy. Right. And, um, and the good thing here is that, um, that, um, the, um, the living plus, uh, subscribers, they are coming out of the product, right? So you have a clear funnel where we start on the, um, search plus products, and then we are going, uh, we are migrating those customers down to, um, to, uh, living plus. So, um, I would see it as a big opportunity and potential rather than that we are not successful here.

speaker
Dirk Schmelzer
Chief Financial Officer

And maybe complimenting on what Raft has said with a few numbers, Giles, what you need to keep in mind that the search plus customer base is roughly 6% of our overall rental search base, right? So there isn't much to cross that at the moment. Plus, if you look at the average customer lifetime, on the rental plus product, you can fish per month out of a pool of, say, 60,000, 70,000 customers. So that's all going to be more integrated, and there will be more cross-sell in the future. But at the moment, I would think that our full focus is on those customers that have a real search need for buying a real estate. And with 30,000 customers, we're really, really happy. Yeah.

speaker
Giles Thorne
Analyst, Jefferies

Understood. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator

That was the last question. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Lindvall for any closing remarks. Thank you.

speaker
Filip Lindvall
Vice President Group Strategy and Investor Relations

Thank you, everyone. This concludes today's call. Thank you for joining and your interest in Scout24.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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