1/30/2023

speaker
Futoshi Kamiwaki
Representative Director and Senior Managing Executive Officer

I am Futoshi Kamiwaki, Representative Director and Senior Managing Executive Officer. Thank you for joining today. I will now start the presentation of Q3 financial results. On page 1, the internal assumptions for foreign exchange rates are shown. FX sensitivities are shown at the bottom. A 1 yen depreciation against the U.S. dollar has an impact of increasing annual operating profits by 500 million yen. Here are the results for the third quarter. Net sales were 304.5 billion yen. Operating profit was 22.1 billion yen. Ordinary profit was 19.5 billion yen and profit attributable to owners of parent was 13.7 billion yen. For the 9-month period, sales were ¥912.2 billion, operating profit ¥62.5 billion, ordinary profit ¥73.4 billion, and profit attributable to owners of parent was ¥52.8 billion. Both sales and operating profit increased in Q3, but ordinary and net profit decreased due to foreign exchange losses. sales and operating profit for the third quarter progressed slightly below the October plan. On a Q3 cumulative basis, net sales increased and profits increased at all levels. This page shows the results by segment for the third quarter. Although we were affected by another wave of COVID-19 in China in particular and a drop in demand due to inflation, We were able to increase sales through improvements in selling prices. We were also able to secure an increase in operating profit. HPP was affected by a drop in demand mainly in China and Europe and soaring raw material and fuel prices, but we were able to secure profits at the same level as the previous year by improving selling prices and engaging in cost reductions. In the housing business, despite a decrease in new housing orders and a surge in component costs, we were able to secure higher profits by increasing housing unit prices, leveling out sales, and focusing on the renovation business. In UIEP, urban infrastructure and environmental products, housing market conditions fell below expectations, but profit increased substantially. owing to expanded sales of prioritized products and maintaining margins. In the medical business, although affected by the lockdowns in China and delays in the authorization of COVID-19 diagnostic kits in the U.S., this was offset by an increase in diagnostics demand in Japan and overseas, together with a firm pharmaceutical sciences business. I forgot to mention, but the numbers shown here by segment are numbers prior to the business portfolio optimization of the HPP and UIEP portfolios conducted in October 2022. Here are the assumptions for market conditions. First, the automobile market in Q3 was essentially in line with the October forecast, and the market in Q4 is expected to remain close to the October forecast. On the other hand, smartphone shipments have been sluggish since Q2 because of inventory adjustments and are expected to remain below the October forecast in Q4. The number of visitors and housing on the top right is exhibiting a recovery trend overall. Fiscal year 2022 new housing starts are also expected to fall slightly below the previous year. On the other hand, the price of domestic naphtha has been lower than planned in October and we expect this to have a positive effect. This is the forecast by segment for the second half of the fiscal year. Group-wide second half net sales are projected to reach 654.7 billion yen, whilst operating profit is projected at 54.7 billion yen. This will be an increase in both net sales and profit on a group-wide basis. On the other hand, net sales and operating profit are expected to come in slightly below the October plan. In particular, operating profit has been revised down by 5 billion yen from the October plan. Even so, we expect to secure an increase in profit in each segment. This page breaks down Q3 and Q4. Although Q4 will continue to be affected by stagnant global demand for smartphones, etc., we expect to secure an increase in profit in Q4 as well by focusing on securing margins amid the peak out of soaring raw material prices. This page shows the factor analysis operating profit. Net sales were 654.7 billion yen. As shown in the factor analysis on the right, sales volume and product mix was plus 800 million, as it was affected by a large decrease in demand from the October forecast. On the other hand, selling price is broadly in line with the October plan. Raw materials was better compared to the October forecast. In addition, cost reduction, etc. includes utility costs, which were also better than the assumptions in October. We also saved fixed costs, but expect that this will not be enough to cover the decrease in sales volume and product mix, and we expect an increase in profit of 1.3 billion yen, which will be a downward revision of 5 billion yen from the October plan. Here is the forecast for the full year. Sales are expected to be 1 trillion 262.5 billion yen. Operating profit is forecasted to be 95 billion yen. Although each segment will see increases in both sales and profit, all except for the medical business are expected to fall slightly below the October plan. We also expect the UIEP and medical segments to record their highest profits for the fiscal year. This information is for your reference. It shows the figures after the portfolio optimization that took place in October. Please refer to the data as required. Here is the forecast of profits at each level for the full year. As you can see here, group-wide net sales and profits at all levels are expected to increase. Net sales, operating profit, and ordinary profit will be slightly below the October plan, but net profit is expected to be in line. Ordinary and net profit are expected to reach record highs. Regarding dividends, we plan to pay a year-end dividend of 30 yen per share for an annual dividend of 59 yen per share, an increase of 10 yen per share, in line with the October plan. The long-term trend of operating profits is shown here. In 2022, operating profits, which once decreased due to the impact of COVID-19, has recovered to the point where it can target a level close to record highs. Also, as you can see at the top where EBITDA trends are shown, the outlook for fiscal year 2022 is 145 billion yen, a record high. We view that our earnings power is strengthening as we move toward the next medium term plan. From this page, I will talk about each segment. First is the outlook for the HPP Divisional Company. Net sales on the left side are forecasted to increase by 20 billion yen, reaching 208.7 billion yen. The right-hand side shows the analysis of operating profit. Sales volumes and product mix are expected to weigh negatively on operating profit by 6.2 billion yen, owing to the spread of COVID-19 in China and the drop in demand in Europe, and are below expectations substantially. However, we are expecting selling price improvement to be greater than the October plan. The decline in raw materials prices is favorable, leading to a minus 8 billion yen impact, which is better than expected. Also, for cost reduction, etc., with the surge in energy prices moderating and by saving fixed cost, we are expecting the negative impact to be less than planned. However, the impact of the decrease in sales volume is not expected to be fully offset, resulting in a forecast of a 1.2 billion yen increase in operating profit from the previous year. Compared to the October plan, the outlook has been revised down by 2 billion yen. Let me explain the situation in the three strategic fields. In the electronics field in Q3, demand for both LCD and non-LCD has continued to be weak since Q2. It is not expected to recover in Q4, but capturing new opportunities especially in the non-LCD field are progressing steadily, which will enable us to be competitive when demand recovers. On the other hand, in the mobility field, progress is generally in line with plan. Sales prices are improving, especially for interlayer films. In addition, sales and profits increased on the back of expanded sales of high-performance interlayer films. Notably, head-up display interlayer films for the year are expected to grow by 15% year-on-year. We expect a certain degree of recovery in automobile production to continue in the fourth quarter as well. We will continue to focus on expanding sales of high-performance interlayer films and improving selling prices, while sales of heat release materials for EVs are also doing well. Regarding 6C Aerospace Corporation, demand is recovering due to a slight recovery in production rates at aircraft manufacturers. Business is trending slightly above plan. As for the building and infrastructure field, CPVC is performing well mainly in India. Sales of thermal insulation and non-combustible materials are also robust due to the development of new customers, but fire-resistant materials in particular are being affected by the slowdown in domestic non-housing demand. Here is the forecast for the housing divisional company's performance. Sales are expected to increase to 282.8 billion yen. The analysis of operating profit on the right side shows that the housing sub-segment operating profit in the second half is expected to decrease by $0.4 billion year-on-year. This is due to a decrease in the number of units sold. Marginal profit is expected to be strongly affected by the surge in component costs, but hedging through product mix and cost reduction is steadily underway. On the other hand, the renovation and other sub-segment, which includes the town and community development business, is expected to be brisk, with operating profits expected to increase by 1.3 billion yen and 0.8 billion yen respectively. As a result, operating profit in the second half of the year is expected to increase by 200 million yen year-on-year, which is a 1.5 billion yen downward revision from the October plan. As for the status of visitors, as I mentioned earlier, overall visitors were up by 4% in Q3 year-on-year and is on a recovery trend. As shown on the far right, orders in Q4 are expected to recover to 100% of the previous year's level owing to the recovery in visitors. For the second half of the year, we plan to achieve 95% of the previous year's level. As shown in the middle, we will strive for a recovery in orders in Q4, focusing on sales of subdivision housing and ready-built houses which we have put a lot of effort into. As for measures to acquire orders, as shown in the graph, the adoption rate of solar power and storage batteries is strong, and their competitiveness is also pushing up unit prices. As for our land strategy, subdivision and ready-built houses newly released in Q3 have exceeded the previous year's level, and we hope this will lead to orders in Q4. This page shows the second half forecast for the UIEP Divisional Company. sales are expected to increase to 122.4 billion yen. The analysis of operating profit shows that sales volume and product mix will have a minus 0.8 billion yen impact affected by housing market conditions that are weaker than assumed. On the other hand, selling price is expected to contribute by 7.5 billion yen and raw materials minus 3.2 billion yen. meaning that we should be able to maintain the margins throughout the second half of the fiscal year. All in all, operating profit is expected to increase by 600 million yen year-on-year in the second half, which is a 1 billion yen downward revision from the second half plan. Here is the situation in each of the three strategic fields. For piping and infrastructure, we are focusing on maintaining margins despite lower than expected housing market conditions. Plant business demand continues to be firm. In the building and living environment business, we are focusing on improving sales prices and expanding sales of prioritized products. In the advanced materials business, demand for sheets for aircraft applications is recovering. Orders for FFU, which is used for railway sleepers, are firm mainly in Europe and the US, but are affected by construction delays. In the molding business, demand for high-performance molded products has slightly declined due to the deteriorating electronics market. In the bottom right, you can see that sales of prioritized products and overseas sales remained firm. In the medical business, sales are expected to decrease to 47.1 billion yen. This is due to the impact of the sale of Xenotech shares, a drug development solutions company, in the first half of the fiscal year. As for the analysis of operating profit, The diagnostic business in Japan is expected to increase steadily by 0.6 billion yen, and the overseas diagnostics business is doing better than the October plan. Especially in Europe and the U.S., sales of diagnostic reagents for influenza are expanding. The impact from the lockdown in China was offset by demand in the U.S., resulting in a forecast expecting an increase of 0.3 billion yen. In addition, the pharmaceutical and science and others business is expected to decline by 0.4 billion yen, which is better than the October plan. All in all, we are aiming for an increase of 700 million yen, which is in line with the October plan. Here is the situation by business. In the top left, domestic demand for COVID-19 diagnostic kits is expanding and the domestic diagnostics business is expected to remain firm in Q4 due to continued demand for outpatient tests and sales expansion of COVID-19 diagnostics kits. The right side shows overseas demand for diagnostics, which was affected by a decrease in demand due to the lockdown in China in Q3. But this was offset by an increase in demand for influenza testing in the United States. The graph on the lower right shows the number of influenza cases in the U.S. The number of cases this fiscal year has increased considerably in the initial phases compared to the past two years, which is a tailwind for the business. And we expect the same trend to continue in Q4. In the pharmaceutical sciences field, new pharmaceutical ingredients have been steadily contributing to earnings since Q3. And in addition, we expect the drug development solutions business to grow firmly in Q4 as well. That is all I have to say. Thank you very much for your kind attention.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

-

-