4/30/2026

speaker
Conference Operator

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Subsea 7 Q1 2026 results conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1 and 1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 and 1 again. Please be advised that this conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to the speaker today, Catherine Tong. Please go ahead. Welcome, everyone, and thank you for joining us.

speaker
Catherine Tong
Head of Investor Relations

With me on the call today are John Evans, our CEO, Mark Foley, our CFO, and Stuart Fitzgerald, currently CEO of Seaway7. The results press release is available to download on our website, along with the slides that we'll be using during today's call. Please note that some of the information discussed on the call today will include forward-looking statements that reflect our current views. These statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or trends to differ materially from our forecast. For more information, please refer to the risk factors discussed in Subsea 7's annual report or in today's quarterly press release. I'll now turn the call over to John.

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Catherine, and good morning, everyone. I will start with a summary of the first quarter before passing over to Mark for some more details. Turning to slide three, Subsea Sem delivered first quarter adjusted EBITDA of $385 million, representing over 60% growth year on year and a margin of 21%. We reported good operational and financial performance in both business units, and as a result, we have revised upwards our four-year guidance. Our order intake remains strong at $1.4 billion with a further $1.3 billion booked in early Q2. This gives us a robust backlog of $13.5 billion and a high visibility on the coming years. Our tendering teams remain busy and the fundamentals for our subsea and offshore wind industries continue to support our confidence in the outlook. Slide four shows growth in the backlogs of both subsea and conventional and renewables, which continue to increase in quality. We have a combined backlog for execution in the remainder of 2026 of $5.5 billion, giving us over 90% visibility on the remainder of the year. Since the year end, our backlog for 2027 has increased by 17% to $5 billion, and visibility on utilization of our global enabling vessels is strong through to 2029. The Middle East accounts for under 10% of our backlog, with most activities focused on engineering and procurement phases of CRPO 148. The offshore activity for this project is scheduled in 2028. In the meantime, we have a small amount of offshore work scheduled in the second half of 2026, with a chartered vessel that is already in the Persian Gulf. And now, I'll hand over to Mark to run through the financial results.

speaker
Mark Foley
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, John, and good morning, everyone. I'll start with a look at group and business unit performance in the first quarter before turning to our improved financial guidance for 2026. Slide five summarizes the group's revenue and adjusted EBITDA. In the first quarter, revenue was $1.8 billion, up 17% compared to the same quarter last year, driven by solid project progress in both the subsea and offshore wind portfolios. Adjusted EBITDA of $385 million was up 63% compared with the prior year period, and their margin expanded by six percentage points to 21%. The margin performance in the quarter reflects a more favourable than expected financial contribution from certain projects, progressing towards substantial completion. Other gains and losses were a negative $67 million, driven primarily by movements in embedded derivatives, reflecting the strengthening of the Brazilian real and the Norwegian krona against relevant currencies. As I've noted in prior calls, these embedded derivatives are non-cash accounting items and are expected to fully reverse in future periods. Our effective tax rate improved to 28% as higher profitability lessened the impact of recoverable withholding taxes on the effective tax rate. Overall, we reported net income of $97 million, a six-fold increase on the prior year. I'll discuss the performance of each business unit in the next few slides. Slide six presents the key metrics for sub-SIEM conventional. Revenue in the first quarter was $1.5 billion, up 17% year-on-year, underpinned by good progress at Sakeria 2 and 3 in Turkey, Buzios 9 and 11 in Brazil, and Ypres in Norway. Adjusted EBITDA was $356 million, equating to a margin of 24%. This represents an increase of over 6 percentage points from the prior year. reflecting the quality of our backlog and our predictable performance in executing complex deepwater projects. As mentioned earlier, the quarter also benefited from a favourable uplift from projects progressing towards substantial completion. Subsea and Conventional benefited from a $7 million net income contribution from OneSubsea in line with our expectations. Net operating income was $228 million more than double than $99 million reported in the prior year period. Selected renewables performance metrics are shown in the slide zero. Revenue in the first quarter was $282 million, up 15% year-on-year, reflected continued activity in the North Sea, where Seaway Ventus and Seaway Emery operated through the winter season. Adjusted EBITDA was $35 million, equating to a margin of 12% up from 10% in Q1 2025 and the net operating loss was $6 million. It is worth noting that the first quarter of 2026 marked the 12th successive quarter bar one of EBITDA margin greater than 10% in renewables. Slide 8 shows the cash bridge from first quarter. Net cash generated from operating activities was $256 million, which included an expected unfavourable movement in working capital of $54 million, as I alluded to in the fourth quarter of 2025 call. Such movements have been a recurring feature of the first quarter over the past couple of years. Within investing activities, capital expenditure was $53 million, mainly related to the class renewal of dry docks for three vessels. We also received a $7 million dividend from the One Subsea joint venture. Net cash used in financing activities was $128 million, which included lease payments of $64 million and a repayment of borrowings of $46 million, reflecting the amortization profile of our facilities. At the end of the quarter, Cash and cash equivalents increased by $104 million to $1.1 billion, which was underpinned by around $200 million generated through free cash flow. Net cash was $198 million, including lease liabilities of $337 million, up from $21 million at the end of 2025. The group had liquidity of $1.7 billion at quarter end, which included $600 million of committed and utilised borrowing facilities. To conclude the financials, we turn to slide 9. Following a strong financial performance in the first quarter, in terms of both revenue growth and margin expansion, and further increased clarity on the remainder of the year, we have revised upwards our guidance for the full year 2026. We now expect revenue of between and $7.8 billion from $77.4 billion previously. We anticipate adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 23% from approximately 22% previously. Our depreciation and amortization guidance has also increased slightly to be between $650 and $670 million from between $580 and $600 million driven by the reclassification of assets no longer held for sale and the addition of a new multi-partisan lease threshold. As a reminder, and as announced in February, the company intends to pay a dividend of £13 per share on 28 May, subject to shareholder approval and the annual general meeting to be held on 12 May. The total dividend payment amounts to approximately $400 million. I will pass you back to John.

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Mark. On slide 10, we have an update for one of our six strategic differentiators, collaboration and alliances, which has made more progress in 2026. The alliance structure allows us to work closely with our clients on their portfolios and developments, enabling a more holistic, longer-term view that ensures timely access to the right solutions and resources. In February, we signed a new five-year framework agreement with Warren VOR has a growing portfolio on the Norwegian continental shelf with around 30 projects in early phases, and Subsea 7 will provide the full surf EPCI scope for its reeling development portfolio, including six high-value prospects. In April, we announced the signing of a strategic collaboration agreement with Petronas. Alongside OneSubsea, we will provide integrated surf and SPS solutions for multiple prospective projects in Suriname. Through early engagement and integrated execution, the collaboration aims to simplify complex development processes, enhance project economics, and unlock opportunities along the portfolio of prospects in sewer now. Now onto a review of our prospects in subsea and offshore wind on slides 11 and 12. The conflict in the Middle East has underscored the importance of energy security, which should be supported for the long term dynamics of both subsea and offshore wind industries. In the meantime, our clients in both businesses continue to progress their tendering as normal based on their long term planning assumptions. In subsea, our focus on long cycle deepwater projects with an attractive economics dampens our exposure to volatile spot prices and our tendering pipeline remains valued at around $20 billion. such as Namibia, Suriname, Brazil, and parts of Asia give us confidence in the outlook for new awards. In the offshore wind industry, we have seen some encouraging developments in recent months. The UK remains one of the most closely watched and strategically important wind markets. Negotiations with clients continue regarding work associated with allocation round seven, with the process for allocation round eight has commenced. Our clients registered windows for AR8 is expected to open in July with CFD awards anticipated before year end. Although installation activities linked to AR7 and AR8 is likely to fall into 2029 and beyond, we're optimistic about securing EPCI scopes, which will sustain our engineering and procurement workload through 27 and 28. Elsewhere in Europe, we see progress in markets such as the Netherlands and Germany, where new subsidy frameworks to support future developments are expected to be introduced. To conclude our review of the results, we turn to slide 13. Subsea Sound finished the first quarter of 2026 with a strong backlog of firm orders valued at $13.5 billion. This gives us over 90% visibility on revenue in the remainder of 2026 and underpins high utilization of our global enablers. This, as well as our combined confidence in our execution performance, has enabled us to increase our guidance for revenue and margins in the full year 26. Our 10-room team in both sub-scene conventional and renewables remain busy, and our clients are keen to progress these long-cycle, strategically important developments. Finally, I'll close with some comments on the up-and-coming CEO transition. As announced in March, I will retire as CEO at the end of June, and Stuart is filming the role on the 1st of July. Stuart is well known to most of you, having spent nearly 30 years with Subsea 7 in senior positions across Norway, commercial, strategy, and most recently CEO of Seaway 7. He has also led our integration planning, placing him in an ideal position to guide the group through the upcoming merger. As Stuart steps up into the CEO role, he will be supported in the same strong leadership team that has delivered consistently robust operational and financial performance for the group. At the same time, Lloyd Duffy will take over the role of Seaway 7 CEO, following nine years leading the business across its largest market in the UK, Ireland and Asia as part of a 25-year career with Subsea 7. After 40 years with Subsea 7 and its predecessor companies, having joined as a graduate in 1986, this is the right moment to hand over to Stuart as we enter the next phase of the business with the completion of the merger with SiteM. It has been a privilege to lead the organisation over the last six and a half years as CEO and 14 years before that as COO. I have greatly valued the meetings with many of you on both the sell side and buy side as the company has grown into the one most successful in the offshore industry. I look forward to joining the board of Subsea 7 SA and continue to contribute to the group's future success. And with that, I'll be happy to take your questions.

speaker
Conference Operator

Thank you. To ask a question, you will need to press star 1 and 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 and 1 again. One moment for our first question. And our first question comes from the line of Victoria McCulloch from RBC. Please go ahead.

speaker
Victoria McCulloch
RBC Analyst

Morning. Thanks very much for your time this morning. And thanks again, John, for your comments. Just on the subsea and conventional margins to start with, can you give us some color? Obviously, we've seen higher utilization in that division on a Q1 basis in 2026 versus 2025. Should we see, as a result of that, and given you're only 1% group increase in margin, a flatter profile in EBITDA margin throughout 2026? And then secondly, on AR7, could you give us an idea of the timing in order to meet the deadline for, I guess, offshore installation in 2029, 2030, when sort of award timings you are expected to happen. Is it the second half of this year that we should see these being awarded to the industry? Thanks very much.

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Victoria. I'll take the sub-team conventional question and Stuart will take the AR7. We've had a good first quarter and the margins reflect that, as Mark touched upon in his prepared remarks. There's a couple of other factors going on there and some major projects coming to a close. which again allows us to settle the final positions on those projects and also as well we've had very good execution and all our ships the key neighbors are all in the right place at the right time we completed a huge amount of work in turkey in the first quarter and we have our pipeline ships working in brazil and in norway now as planned so a good first quarter i'm not going to give you quarter by quarter views because we generally don't do that but i think we're very comfortable that our 23% margin guidance is good for the rest of the year.

speaker
Stuart Fitzgerald
CEO of Seaway7

AR7, Stuart? Yeah, so thanks, Victoria. So as John said, we're engaged with a number of clients on the prospect list that goes with AR7. We think that the contractor selections for most of them will be through the second half of this year, but we don't necessarily think the backlog will come at that time. FIDs more likely into 27 and the first part of 27. So definitely contractor selections, some long lead items later this year, but final contracts more likely in the first half of 2027.

speaker
Victoria McCulloch
RBC Analyst

Thanks very much. Appreciate the color.

speaker
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question. comes from the line of Richard Dawson from Bernberg. Please go ahead.

speaker
Richard Dawson
Berenberg Analyst

Good morning, and thank you for taking my questions. I've got two, please. Firstly, on EBITDA margins, and just trying to think about margins beyond 2026, and I appreciate you haven't given any guidance on this, but is my logic right that if we assume project execution remains pretty solid, there are still several major projects left to complete from the 2022 group? that potentially gets replaced by better price contracts, so having a positive impact on margins. So when we look at this 23% for 2026, is that not a ceiling? Actually, we could see margins going higher. That's my first question. And then secondly, just on this reclassification of the held to sale assets, is the sales process for that now stopped or is it still ongoing? And with that special dividend, is that now going to come from cash rather than the sale of the assets? Thank you.

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Okay, I'll take the margin question again and then head over to Mark to discuss the assets held for sale. We haven't given guidance into 2027. I don't think we'll start now, but I think, you know, we have been very open about the fact that our business is a layer cake of different projects awarded at different times. Each project has a different margin and a profile that goes with it. But as we have guided to the market, the later work is very good quality and we're very to the work that we are getting. It's also a combination of asset utilization and project profitability leads to our final out-turn margin. At this stage, we've guided upwards this year to 23% and later in this year we'll give you guidance for 2027 onwards.

speaker
Mark Foley
Chief Financial Officer

Hi, Richard. In terms of the asset held for sale at the quarter end, it no longer met the criteria to be recognized as an asset held for sale. there was less certainty around the disposal process. Regarding the special dividend associated with the merger linked to the permitted transaction, and as a reminder, that is a 105 million euro dividend to some C7 shareholders, that would be paid the earlier of the disposal transaction or the effective date of the merger.

speaker
Richard Dawson
Berenberg Analyst

Okay, that's clear. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question.

speaker
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Sebastian Erskine from Rothschild.

speaker
Conference Operator

Please go ahead. Your line is open.

speaker
Sebastian Erskine
Rothschild Analyst

Hi, good morning, everyone. John, best wishes for your retirement. The first question on the sub-season slide deck, you kind of detail your partnerships with operators. I'm curious, are you seeing an increased appetite among your customer base to pursue integrated kind of surf and SBS work scopes instead of just a standalone that we've seen in several markets? And if so, is that motivated by cost or timelines? I'm just thinking about obviously your partnership with Equinor and then now Patronus in Suriname.

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

yeah we've always had a model uh uh working with our clients on whatever suits them uh and how they want to approach their projects uh we have a very large agreement with bt to work on integrated surf and sbs we also work with equinor on both system and data in that mode as well and that we just announced uh the provenance uh initiative in uh suriname as well so again different drivers for different clients And our model is to provide what we think the client wants. So it's a mixture. Sometimes the client wants a bit of a standalone serve. Sometimes the client wants a standalone T&I. And I would find them to like a full serve from SPS. So for us, it's our dialogue with clients and we try to identify where we believe this type of collaborative model would help. Similarly with Vore Energy. We've talked to Vore Energy over the last couple of years. They have very large ambitions to grow the business. they have a need for capacity in future years if they, again, seem to know it's a very interesting project for investment. And again, we put together a similar collaboration agreement which provides a look ahead for us as to what our clients' plans are, and similarly then for our clients the ability to understand where our assets are and when they're available, to make sure they have the capability to deliver their projects in a timely manner. So it's a horses for courses question. And it's all really done in a very plentiful way to understand it's just the right model for us and for our company.

speaker
Sebastian Erskine
Rothschild Analyst

That's very helpful, John. And then my second question is, you called it in the prepared remarks around the conflict in the Middle East. And I wonder, do you see scope for IOCs and NOCs to accelerate some capital flows kind of offshore and then potentially for some final investment decisions that might have been penciled in later to be brought forward? Is that something you're hearing from your customers? Any detail would be helpful.

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Well, the message I gave in the prepared remarks is we're not seeing much fundamental change. The business as usual, the clients are focused on what they are doing in terms of their current plans. So there's no disruption in those plans in terms of what we see. I've been in a couple of discussions where, again, We're not seeing it crystallize as yet, but again, it's certainly on people's minds that where you get your sources of energy matters as much as the cost of that energy going into the future as well. But we were very busy before this conflict started, and we continue to be very busy with our clients and dialogues since the events in the Middle East have commenced.

speaker
Sebastian Erskine
Rothschild Analyst

Thank you very much. I'll turn it back now. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator

Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Kevin Roger from Kepler Chevrolet. Please go ahead.

speaker
Kevin Roger
Kepler Cheuvreux Analyst

Yes, good afternoon. Frankly, the question has been answered, so just the opportunity to wish you all the best, John, and congrats for this last quarter as a CEO. But all the questions have been answered. Thanks.

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Kevin. Appreciate the support over the years.

speaker
Conference Operator

Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Mick Pick from Barclays. Please go ahead.

speaker
Mick Pick
Barclays Analyst

Good morning, everybody. Can I add my congrats, John, on retirement? I'm not sure that's a photograph of you in the presentation 40 years ago. Quick question there on that depreciation change, if it's possible. You said the depreciation's up because of the for-sale asset coming back in. the increase is about 50 million uh 90 million at the top end that seems a lot for an asset you were selling 105 and i think mark mentioned a new lease vessel can you just tell me what that new vessel is because i'm just looking at your fleet there seems to be less vessels now than there was at the end of the year oh that's right nick so uh in april we brought a new multi-purpose vessel to support us in brazil the

speaker
Mark Foley
Chief Financial Officer

that will provide a variety of ancillary support. And as you know, with a leaf vessel, if it's greater than a year, it's treated under IFRS 16, and as a result, that has an impact on the depreciation. So the entirety of the shift in guidance is down to those two elements, the reclassification of the asset held for sale and bringing the MV standard into the fleet for two years.

speaker
Mick Pick
Barclays Analyst

Thank you. And John, given it's your last outing here, obviously Petronas has come in now with a partnership. You've got pretty strong partnerships across the North Sea. If we look at some of the complaints in Brazil, it appears some of your peers like using other competitors of yours quite consistently. So putting your medium-term hat on, which you don't have to answer in five years' time, is somebody else's problem. Do you see this market going down the lines of very tight collaborations between the few operators and the few suppliers, so that we tend to be that you always do the work for PetroNAS, others do the work for Exxon. Is that the way it's going?

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Well, I think it has always been and will continue to be quite varied, to answer that question. People like Petrobras and Saviorenko have legal systems that insist that L1, the lowest price, wins the projects. We've seen people like Petromas that have followed those type of rules and systems in the past looking at more collaborative ways of working when they're in an area of new exposure to them and new opportunity for them as well. So we're seeing a mixture, Mick, and I think we will continue to see a mixture. Some of our clients want to work in a traditional manner, which suits them and suits us. Other clients see the value for working on the collaborative model. And as I mentioned before, our key has always been to offer the clients what they want rather than force fit something that doesn't feel right for us or doesn't feel right for them. So I think it's interesting to see how these relationships change over time. I think certain clients are definitely seeing the value out of them and it provides a way of working which is very efficient as an industry. The other piece we've discussed a lot is about we need to utilize the asset base that we've got more efficiently and to allow that to maximize what can be delivered over the coming years as well. And we find this model certainly helps streamline the relationships and how we plan ahead. So it's horses for courses, as I said earlier, and I think it will continue to be a mixture of L minus one, traditional TNI, traditional CIRC, as well as integrated projects. And I think what I enjoyed over all the years is we worked in many of those formats. And it continues to be a very interesting way to look at how to contract.

speaker
Mick Pick
Barclays Analyst

Thanks a lot, John.

speaker
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Lucas Doll from Arctic Securities. Please go ahead.

speaker
Lucas Doll
Arctic Securities Analyst

Thank you.

speaker
Richard Dawson
Berenberg Analyst

Good afternoon. John, I was just wondering on your new guidance, you talked previously about 7 billion roughly being the volume of what you can manage with the fleet that you have. Now we are at 7.6. So could you sort of maybe explain the moving parts of how do we get there because your fleet has been changing that much?

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I think for us it's a number of different elements. We did a lot of work with Petrobras at the end of last year to re-sequence the growth in the multiple projects we have to suit their FPSO arrivals, which helped us get clarity of a run of work, which is continuous, that allows one project to feed into the next and project teams to be optimized. So that's been very helpful for us. We have a full year of PLSVs coming in, which we knew, but we now have the benefit of a full year of PLSVs. And the PLSVs are working very, very well with a very high uptime in the first quarter. And lastly, our work in Turkey, which we said we did a lot of that in the first quarter, has gone well. And we've got the extra work from Wattepe, which was signed as a variation order in quarter one. But again, that will bring revenue and margin into this year. very fast track piece of work to bring four additional wells in to an adjacent field there as well so a number of moving parts i guess in terms of what's what's moving around but it allows us to have clarity over the revenue this year as well as what we believe the margin will be at the end and do you believe that you sort of still have some upside to that or is

speaker
Richard Dawson
Berenberg Analyst

the years to come, or would that further grow, basically, be subject to you adding additional capacity?

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Well, as Mark touched on, we brought an additional vessel into Brazil to help that streamlining of the workload. So, as much as we were releasing tonnage, some of the tonnage we released, we touched on that in the last quarter, the Jones Act assets. uh which were effectively non-construction assets and we found that we couldn't get the economics that more really worked very well for us so we returned a number of those type of irn assets out of the fleet but then with this new asset we bought in we increased the construction capability of the fleet as well so for us it's um it's around getting that blend of work that contributes to growing the business uh that's helped us get to where we are this year in terms of Could it go better? Well, ultimately now it's about performance and we have nine months ahead of us here to perform. We've had a very good first quarter. I touched on it previously that all the big pipeline ships and the key enablers are all in the right place at the right time for a good run this year. So again, as the quarter is developed, we will keep the market updated.

speaker
Richard Dawson
Berenberg Analyst

All right.

speaker
Conference Operator

Well, thank you and congrats.

speaker
Richard Dawson
Berenberg Analyst

Thank you very much.

speaker
Lucas Doll
Arctic Securities Analyst

Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator

Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of William Levi from Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

speaker
William Levi
Morgan Stanley Analyst

Hi, good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. Just wanted to wish both John and Stuart all the best in the new stages. By now, most of my questions have been answered. I wanted to ask about CAPEX deployment over the coming quarters. In one queue, that was a little bit slow, so I just wanted to pick the company's brain in terms of pace over the coming quarters. And then maybe secondly, just thinking about the current state of the industry, perhaps a more long-term question, but we have been in this upcycle now for four, five years, and new builds, they continue to be quite shy. How do you guys reflect about that over the coming years? What needs to happen for companies to perhaps start investing again, be more comfortable to build new units, particularly as we think about the repercussions and implications of the current developments in the Middle East? Thank you.

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Well, I'll take the first question, and then I'll ask Mark to hand over on the depreciation questions later. If we look at where we're at here, we have spent a lot of time on optimizing where the fleet is, minimizing transits, working in a manner with our clients where we can get the sequencing to it. For example, the discussions we had with Petrobras helps them and helps us, and it allows us then to have a very efficient delivery. So there is still capacity in the industry, I believe, in general for us to put more capability back in. And that's part of one of the main planks of the arguments for the merger with Saipem. And we've been very vocal about that from day one in the merger. And we continue to believe some of the analysis that we provided for the antitrust shows the transiting days for our assets over the last six years from both sides. And there are a lot of days there that these assets are just trundling around the world, going from one place to the other. similarly uh for us i think we we know that these assets can do many many tasks and we have spent a lot of time in the last six to nine months just using the global enables for exactly what they were designed for the very high end and then shedding work further down onto lower capacity tonnage and then making sure then that the right tonnage is performing the work you know we came from a downturn where you'd uh single put a single asset in and it would do everything But placing mattresses with a high-end pipeline chip is probably not the most efficient use of a pipeline chip in tough times. That's the use of an asset. In good days, you need to make sure that the pipeline chip is only doing the pipeline work. So there is capacity there. I think coming back to the more general question of investment, it's about return on capital employed. We are now seeing the return on capital employed our shareholders want, but it's been many years of pretty fallow returns in the industry. So again, I believe there needs to be a number of years of very good returns for our shareholders to make sure then that future investments don't end up in a place where, again, we go back to 1% or 0% return on capital employed. So there are some structural pieces that need to happen in the industry. But let's stand back and look at it. We have always talked about the attractiveness of deep water and the ability for our clients to We know a number of our major clients are looking at reserve replacements and deep water is a very attractive part of that. We know that the big LNG plants around the world will need feeding and more gas to be brought on there. as well as continued developments in places like Norway, which have had a new lease of life again, and off we go again with future expansion. Equinor shared with the market that they would like to bring 75 step-outs online in the next five years. So again, for us, we do see a lot of good opportunity, but we will do any investments in a very structured and methodical way to make sure that the investment is good for us, our shareholders, and our clients.

speaker
Mark Foley
Chief Financial Officer

And on your CapEx question, you will have noted we maintained our CapEx guidance over the year, that's between $350 and $380 million. Equally, you are correct to observe that the $53 million that we incurred in cash CapEx is linearly light in respect to the guidance that we have maintained. And I do expect a catch-up in the second offer but the key message here is it's won't be period on period within the year uh we do not have control over us this is the dependency of the contractors who have provided services to us but our capex guidance for the year remains between 350 and 380 million dollars perfect thank you thank you

speaker
Conference Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Eric Aspinifosa from SB1 Market. Please go ahead.

speaker
Eric Aspinifosa
SB1 Markets Analyst

Thank you. Afternoon. Congrats on the well-deserved retirement, John. I remember when I first met you in 2002, I got tasked with asking the question if you would ever be able to get an EBITDA of a billion dollars. Mark was a bit skeptical, but you thought, yeah, maybe, just maybe we can do it and look around today. So congrats on that. Well done. My question is on pricing and margins levels. I'm thinking if you could give us some clarity on how that has developed over the last one, two years, or maybe since 2024, it seems like There's been some crisis pressure in Brazil, but I guess the rest of the world made it stable, come down, or even increase. So I appreciate that you gave some call on that.

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you. Well, thank you, Erik, for reminding me of those discussions. I do remember them very well, and we had a belief. And it's great to be here today talking to you about what we've been able to develop as a company with a fantastic team of people that we have here. In terms of margins, as I said many times, every single bid that we put in and every single project that we win is an individual margin to suit that individual project in that individual client location opportunity window that we have. We get a lot of questions about Brazil and I've answered them a number of times. There are some projects in the sequence of Petrobras others and therefore our pricing and our costs vary quite a bit between projects. If I need to mobilize another pipeline ship from halfway around the world and re-qualify all the welding procedures and redo my supply chain, my cost into Petrobras is different. So we are busy in Brazil and we have a sequence of projects where resources in terms of vessels and people example, one of those projects which fit it. The previous one was one where Petrobras' windows were quite difficult. We did price it, but the windows were quite difficult for us to see. Equally, Brazil has always and will continue to be one of the most competitive markets that we are in, but we always put a price in Brazil or anywhere in the world that we would be comfortable to take the project at that price. So I think just taking a price per meter in Brazil is a relatively straightforward way of running numbers, but it doesn't really get to the crux of where we are in terms of our competitiveness and the profitability inherent in the project. So again, I'd just be careful taking the rough rule of thumb. I understand why people do it, but it's the sequencing of projects that matter mostly to us. If we can get a project which finishes One existing project finishing and another one starting. It is very important for us in terms of how competitive we can be on our costs and still protect margins that come with it. Margins vary around the globe, but at the moment we are comfortable with the margins that we are picking up. And, you know, we continue to be very acutely aware that there is competition in just about everywhere that we are working in. And one last item on margins. We picked up work in the Middle East for 153 and 1482 CRPOs recently. So we are reasonably comfortable with the workload that we need to keep that capability running. And as I mentioned in our prepared remarks, most of that work is in 2028 for us. So at the moment, we do not need to replenish that work very quickly. So margins vary, but direction of travel remains positive for us. And we don't see at the moment any major need to go back to where we were five or six years ago. And the market is behaving rationally. Our competitors are behaving rationally. And there is a lot of work out there and we expect to get our fair share of it.

speaker
Eric Aspinifosa
SB1 Markets Analyst

Thank you for that, John. Can I have a quick question to you, Mark, on lease payments? On the last call, I think, just looking at how depreciation were developing, I think it looked like lease payments had gone down by $100 million from 25 to 26. Now I'm not sure if that picture has changed. You talked about leasing another vessel. given up either on lease payments or kind of the net effect on depreciation effect on lease?

speaker
Mark Foley
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah I think you asked the same question at Q4 Eric if I remember correctly so we exited last year with lease payments of around 293 million dollars and how I answered this previously there would be a notable reduction this year yes bringing the MV snartener oximeter into the fleet will have a modest uptick, but even that being said, it's still a substantial reduction compared to the full year that we recorded in 2025. Thank you very much.

speaker
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Matt Smith from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Matt Smith
Bank of America Analyst

Hi there. Thanks for taking my questions. Only a couple of quick clarifications left from me, please. The first one would be around the Middle East. You know, clearly you've noted low disruption to the business at this point in time. I just wanted to clarify for the avoidance of doubt. you know, if the situation was to remain in a status quo for, you know, months to come, would that still be the case and your guidance sort of assumptions still hold? And then secondly, coming to working capital, once again, noting a working capital build expected this year. I just wondered if you could remind us of the drivers, speak to the quantum and how that might develop throughout the course of the year, please. Thank you.

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thanks, Matt. I think I've touched We have some actual work to execute at the end of this quarter, start of quarter three in Saudi under the LTA agreement 153. We have a chartered vessel working for us on that work and that vessel is already in the region working on another project at the moment. So we don't expect any disruption there and we are ready for that project in terms of materials and capability. The large piece of work we have is 148, which was our newest award under our Saudi Aramco LTA. And we're in the engineering and procurement phase, which is not interrupted by the work at the moment. Barring a major global recession that may come out of this, we don't see any major issue affecting Sub-27 here to answer your question. And Mark may be on the working capital.

speaker
Mark Foley
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, indeed, as I flagged in the Q4 call, we anticipated an unwinding of the favourable run that we have had on working capital. By that time in the first quarter, there was an unfavourable movement of $55 million. As I've shared before, we have grown the business and had a very good outcome. in terms of cash management by the focus that's been applied across the group now for several years. I do expect this year to be one where we have an annualised basis and unfavourable movement in working capital. The quantum, as I've shared before, will be something in the region of $100 million to $200 million. That needs to be set into the context of the very favourable performance that we've had in recent years. As I've said, we've grown the business substantially.

speaker
Matt Smith
Bank of America Analyst

Thank you very much for that, and all the best, John. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Alejandra Magana from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Alejandra Magana

Good morning. Thanks for taking my question, and I'd like to echo my best wishes to you in retirement, John. Next question goes back to vessel utilization. It stepped up to 79% versus 75 in 1Q last year and up six percentage points versus first quarter in 24. I appreciate that some of that may reflect lower weather downtime and you mentioned your optimization efforts, but what level of utilization should we think of as your new normal going forward? And my second question is, you mentioned some closeout effects on margin during the quarter, but more broadly, is there anything else in this quarter's margin besides continued improving mix shifts that you would call out as non-recurring?

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you very much, and thanks for your comments. The second question is, I don't think there's anything non-recurring in this, just business as usual and how the signal projects play out. The utilization figure is one that I know you guys keep a very careful eye on it. We try to time our maintenance and our activities. These vessels work very hard for us, so we do need to give them time for their maintenance and class dry docks and such like, which, as Mark said, is one is calendarized by our class societies. And secondly, then it's about the availability of yards and such like to do so. So Q1 was relatively light on that, although we got what we needed done. I don't intend to declare a number for utilization, but we've had a good first quarter. It shows in the figures. And again, for us, it's around getting the right assets in the right place. And I think I've said it a couple of times, we have for this season, got everything where they need to be. And that's important for us. So I think you can see from the workload that we have

speaker
Conference Operator

utilization quite high thank you thank you we are now going to take our last question and this question comes from the line of Kato Sullivan from CT please go ahead

speaker
Kato Sullivan
Analyst

Hi, thanks for taking my questions. Just some quick follow-ups, but firstly echoing also the congrats, John, and good luck to you in the future moves. So on the new guidance range, are you fairly confident that will carry you through the year now, obviously upgrading at 1Q? And what variables put you at the upper end of the guidance range? And then secondly, a quick one on order intake. So if you could just give an outlook on the shape of new awards for the remaining forwarders, maybe how you see escalations. Thanks very much.

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Guidance is very much about we have the confidence, otherwise we wouldn't have upgraded today. I think I've touched on it before. It's all about performance. We have nine months ahead of us in terms of performance to achieve it. And any upside of that will come out of performance and how we settle with our clients over time. There's very fine margins now, I think, in terms of where we're at here. The pieces are all clear to us that we need to bring together, and we have them all together now to execute this year. So we're comfortable with the guidance, and it's all about performance and execution. In terms of order and take, we are very – yeah, go ahead.

speaker
Kato Sullivan
Analyst

Sorry, my point on that is that you're confident that that guidance will get you through. You might not upgrade again because you do it later in the year. And what would get you at the upper end versus still kind of a broad range?

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Performance will get us to the higher end. And again, Stuart and Mark will come back to the market if they see fit to adjust and to change. But, you know, today we've done that review and we're comfortable with where we're at here. Order intake, we've discussed many times. We are very lumpy in terms of order intake. You'll see the Q2. We know the moving parts of this year in terms of water intake and how they fit together. So at the moment we feel comfortable that we will have another productive and good year. Stuart has touched on that renewables will probably be the area where we are clear of what we want, but we won't have it in the backlog. But we feel comfortable that the oil and gas side of the business will give us a very good footing for having another successful year this year. I think you can look at the map that we put on on page 11 of the slide deck in terms of what projects are out there and the timing of those are reasonably well known to the market. So again, we're lucky. I would again advise people not to try to model by quarter. We are pretty good at getting to where we want to be in the year. Quarters can vary quite a bit.

speaker
Kato Sullivan
Analyst

Okay. Thank you. Appreciate the call.

speaker
John Evans
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you. well thank you very much everybody um that is the end of the questions today uh thank you very much over the years for all your challenge and support for myself and subsidy seven uh next quarter it'll be uh it'll be stewart mark and catherine they'll answer your questions and i will have the luxury hopefully if the agm approves of sitting as a director to ask some difficult questions as well but uh look forward to supporting stewart in the transition and i look forward to meeting you again in due course thank you very much all the best bye

speaker
Conference Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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