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Scor Shs Prov Regpt
3/4/2026
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the SCORE Q4 2025 Results Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. There will be an opportunity to ask questions after the presentation. In order to give all participants a chance to ask questions, we kindly ask you to limit the number of your questions to two. At this time, I would now like to hand the call to Mr. Thomas Fossard. Please go ahead, sir.
Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to SCORE Q4 2025 Results Conference Call. I'm joined on the call today by Thierry Léger, Group CEO, and Francois De Varenne, Deputy CEO and Group CFO, as well as other COMEX members. As usual, can I please ask you to consider the disclaimer on page two of the presentation. And now I would like to hand over to Thierry.
Thank you, Thomas, and hello, everyone, also from my end. I hope you're doing well, and I thank you for joining SCORE's Q4 earnings call today. SCORE delivered another strong quarter, finishing 2025 on a high note. The group achieved a full-year net income of 846 million euros, the highest level in SCORE's history. The return on equity reached 19.1%. both clearly exceeding group targets. All three businesses contributed to these excellent results, P&C, Life & Health, and Investments, each one delivering quarter after quarter. Our employees executed in a disciplined way on the Forward26 strategic plan. We fully leveraged SCORE's Tier 1 franchise, seeking for every profitable business opportunity. We have continued to grow in a strategic and diversified way. The strong results are also supported by operational excellence and the rigorous cost discipline we established in Forward26. Accordingly, we achieved 170 million euros of savings already after two years, one year ahead of target, allowing us to keep management expenses flat compared to 2023. Let me turn to the 2025 dividend. At year end, our solvency ratio was 215%, an increase of five points compared to 2024 and at the higher end of our target range. The economic value grew by 13.7% at constant economic. outlook is positive for our three businesses, thanks to satisfactory 1-1 renewals and our diversified business model. On the basis of these strong results and confident business outlook, the Group's Executive Committee has decided to propose a dividend of €1.9 per share to the Board of Directors for the financial year 2025, up 5.6% from 1.8 euros per share the previous year. You may recall that the score introduced a new capital management framework in 2023, which includes a dividend ratchet policy. Accordingly, the proposed 1.9 euros dividend per share will set the new floor offering an attractive yield. This demonstrates our ability to create sustainable value and to offer a resilient and predictable dividend to our shareholders. As we are entering the final year of Forward 2026, I would like to take a moment to speak about the significant progress we have made in building a future-ready platform. We have evolved on all four pillars, and I'm confident that we will reach 100% completion rate by the end of 2026. We are already dynamically allocating capital to diversifying and profitable lines of business today, improving value creation and capital generation. In 2026, we will enhance our monitoring and decision-making platform further. We have expanded in-risk partnerships, supporting growth, helping manage the group's risk exposures, and generating additional fees. Future developments in this space will mainly depend on the P&C cycle and the attractiveness of new business. Our ALM has evolved from static to standardized, from fixed asset durations in the past to improve cash flow matching between assets and liabilities today. Improvements in 2026 will introduce a specific ALM data platform, allowing us to move to a dynamic ALM. And finally, in tech and data, we are on a good path to complete our six AI flagship projects. Already in 2026, we have begun applying AI to our core processes and our underwriting. This will be a major strategic area for us in the next strategic plan. And finally, as part of operational excellence, we are enhancing processes, data quality, and systems across the value chain. We expect significant simplifications and efficiency quality gains from this program. Let's turn to the renewals in a more competitive environment SCORE applied a disciplined underwriting approach to the January renewals. Our teams leveraged SCORE's Tier 1 franchise to seek every profitable and diversifying opportunity to be added to our portfolio. As a result, we have been able to grow our business at still attractive prices and terms overall. Growth has been achieved in our target markets and with some core clients where we profited from a flight to quality. We have faced headwinds in some specialty lines, but we remain confident in our ability to grow profitably in these lines of business in the mid and long term. To conclude, for 2026, I'm confident that we will continue to deliver a P&C combined ratio below 87% as per our three-year strategic plan forward 26. In addition, we should be able to continue to build buffers opportunistically. Before handing over to Francois, a few words on what is happening in the Middle East. First of all, our thoughts are with the populations in the impacted countries. We hope that the conflict can be resolved soon. For SCORE, the immediate impact in terms of claims is negligible at this point in time. War is in general excluded from our contracts and where war is covered, Our exposures are clearly limited, monitored, and priced for. Francois, over to you.
Thank you. Thank you very much, Thierry. Hello, everyone. I will now walk you through our Q4 results. I'm pleased to report that 2025 was an excellent year, supported by a strong performance under both IFRS and Solvency II, and the delivery one year ahead of our cash flow target. In Q4, SCORE reported a net income of $214 million, implying an annualized return on equity of 21.1%, supported by contribution of our three business activities. Now, I will go on with more details regarding our Q4 results. Let's look first at PNC. In Q4, PNC New Business ESM is positive, so modest versus the full year level, reflecting seasonality. First, Q4 New Business ESM is impacted by the low number of renewal, and then by the early recognition of retrocession contract, a large part of our proportional retrocession cover renewed at 1.1.2026. This shows a part-time consistent with last year. Maybe more relevant is to have a look at the full year 2025 new business growing by 9%, benefiting from growth in our preferred lines, dynamic retrocession buying with some offsets by a more competitive P&C pricing environment and some margin pressure in certain inward segments. The P&C insurance revenue is down by minus 1.6% for the quarter at constant FX, mainly driven by a single-digit decline recorded by SBS. On a full-year basis and adjusted for a large commutation, the full-year 2025 insurance revenue growth is flat, consistent with prior guidance provided in previous calls, with reinsurance up 2% and SBS down by 4%. Moving on to the underlying performance of our P&C book. P&C performance is excellent, again in Q4, as in Q1 and Q2, with a reported combined ratio well ahead of our forward 2026 assumption of below 87. NatCat ratios stand at 7.6% in Q4 and 6.8% year-to-date, well within the annual budget of 10%. The attritional loss ratio amounts to 74.7% in Q4, and, as a reminder, also includes the additional buffer that we put aside during this last quarter of the year. Year-to-date, the attritional loss ratio stands at 76.4%, showing a slight improvement from 2024 at 77%, a very strong achievement given the additional prudence built during the year. As Thierry mentioned it, overall this supports our confidence in delivering on our forward 2026 assumption with a PNC combined ratio below 87. The completion of the annual PNC year-end review confirms all lines are at best estimates and our reserve resilience has even increased. Now let's have a look at life and health. Life and health generated a new business ESM of 170 million in Q4. This is mainly driven by protection and longevity. This is higher than in the previous quarter of the year, but related to quarterly volatility. The full-year Lafayette New Business CSM stands at $464 million, well above our $0.4 billion New Business CSM annual assumption. Life & Health delivered an insurance service result of $150 million in Q4 and $450 million for the full year, comfortably ahead of our guidance of around $0.4 billion per annum. This performance highlights the resilience of the underlying business. On experience variance, we mentioned it in the past, it typically takes at least two years before trends can be properly assessed. With four quarters of data under IFRS, it remains premature to claim for any victory after the 2024 actuarial review, but the observed positive experience variance is very encouraging. The last component that you see this quarter relates to a limited number of existing underperforming contracts. After a slight deterioration observed over the first nine months of 2025, we have taken on this stock of contract prudent action, including strengthening reserves when appropriate. We remain comfortable with reserve levels at best estimate today. As such, this development is fully understood and not a concern for us. The life and health CSM is slightly down on a reporting basis at 4.9 billion, but up 6% at constant FX. Before moving to investments, let's have a look to our group reserve resilience. Throughout 2025, we increased PNC reserve prudence as part of our opportunistic buffer strategy, reaching a level above what we initially targeted by the end of 2026 when we presented for what 2026 in September 2023. This was enabled, of course, by strong underlying PNC performance. Combined with life and health, this increased group IFRS resilience translates into an increase in the group risk adjustment confidence level to 75.5 to 82.5%. As the chart shows, this is another area where SCORE has made significant progress since 2023. Going forward in 2026, We intend to maintain our opportunistic buffer strategy, mostly on PNC. On investments, performance remains strong. Return on invested assets is at 3.6% in the quarter, generating income of $209 million. This reflects a regular income yield of 3.8%, supported by dividends received from our private equity and infrastructure fund buckets. The credit portfolio remains very high quality and expected credit losses are broadly unchanged during the quarter. Turning to economic value. Economic value increased 13.7% at Constant Economics over the full year, reflecting the strong business performance across PNC and Life and Health and above the forward 2026 target of 9% per annum over the plan. Economic value per share stands at 48 euros, broadly stable versus last year. Financial leverage increased to 25.3% from 24.5% at the end of 2025, following the successful issuance of a new tier 2 debt tranche in September. As a reminder, we are proactively anticipating the refinancing of corporate debt, and we aim to provide credit investors with larger and more liquid tranches. Looking ahead to 2026, I would highlight the potential repayment of 283 million related to the remaining 600 million tier 2 note which has its first call date on the 8th of June 2026. Finally on solvency, the group solvency ratio stands at 215% up 5 percentage points versus 2024 and Q3 2025 reflecting satisfactory net operating capital generation during 2025. At the same time, during the year, we made further progress in terms of ALM, as mentioned by Thierry, which resulted in an improvement in the solvency ratio sensitivity. I'm personally proud of what we have accomplished over the past two years on this topic that is dear to me. Overall, based on the quality of our results over the full year, we remain confident about achieving our forward 2026 objectives in the final year of execution of this plan. With this, I will hand over to Thomas and we will start the Q&A session.
Thank you very much, François. On page 23, you will find the fourth common schedule events. With that, we can now move to the Q&A session. Can I remind you to please limit yourself to two questions each? Operator, we can take the first question.
Thank you, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time we'll begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star followed by one on their telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, then you may press star and two. Please use your handset when asking your question for better quality. Anyone who has a question may press star and one at this time. We do have our first question from the line of Michael Hartner with Bernberg. Please go ahead.
Fantastic. Thank you, Thierry, François, and Thomas. Thank you so much. It's a lovely result. So, growth and the legal case. So, growth. Can you say a little bit more? Because when I speak to Thomas, he always says Thierry thinks that score is underrepresented in the market in terms of share of what it is or whatever so any feel for how you picture the potential growth of a franchise would be hugely helpful because it's nice to have margins but growth is nice too and then on the legal case I think there's one with the I can't remember the name the arbitration And I just wondered what the status is, whether we could expect anything. And I know you can't talk too much, but maybe you've got something new. Thanks.
Michael, thank you. I will take your first question. François, I will take your second one. You're absolutely right. I think that the tier one franchises score together with the relatively smaller market share we have globally provides a score with an opportunity. And so the way we are looking at it is twofold. First of all, it allows us more than other companies to find opportunities that fit our target business. And target business for us must be the business that is profitable and diversifying. So that's critical for us. So we have more opportunities to grow into this or find opportunities in this segment. And as we have our teams out there every day, always leveraging this franchise, we think therefore it should not just be margins, it should also come with some growth. Now clearly the market is turning softer, And I just want to be clear with everyone, whilst I think we do have that competitive advantage and whilst I'm determined to leave no opportunity, no stone unturned, we will give quality, so underwriting, priority and therefore growth will be an outcome and not a target. I do believe, however, in the current environment, as we have demonstrated in January, we've been able to grow. And it shows exactly the point I'm trying to make, that we should have a bit more chances than others.
Thank you.
On your second question, Michael, I'm a little bit like you. I don't remember the name of the case. But I would say that the adaptation process now is closed. So we are waiting now the decision of the panel. which is expected to be due now, I would say, mid-2026 or by the summer. I just remind you on this topic that our provision on all major litigation and arbitration are at best estimate at the end of the year, both in our IFRS account and in the solvency ratio. Thank you.
Thank you, Michael. Can we take the next question, please?
The next question comes from the line of Andrew Baker with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Hi, thank you for taking my questions. First one on Sovereignty II. I guess if I look at the underlying capital generation, less the operating capital deployment and the proposed dividends, it was sort of eight points positive for 2025, which was quite a bit ahead of what you were guiding for. So I guess as we think about 2026, specifically how would you expect the underlying OCG and the operating capital deployment to play out? And then can you just remind me how we should be thinking about this between quarters, so seasonality between quarters if possible? And then secondly... Can you just help me understand? I think at the January news call you talked about a stable NatCat budget guidance for about 10 percentage points for the year. If I look at your, you grew premium in Cat in a softening market, so presumably your exposure growth was significantly higher than even the sort of double-digit premium growth you were showing. So how were you able to maintain that flat Cat budget in percentage terms? Thank you.
Thank you, Andrew. I will take the first question and Jean-Paul will take the second one. So on your first question on net operating capital generation, of course, we are pleased with the profitability of our business. It reflects, as we mentioned already by Thierry and I a few minutes ago, it reflects both the strong underlying performance of our PNC portfolio and further supported by, I would say, better than expected NATCAT claims during the year. and also a solid contribution from the invested assets portfolio. The good news this quarter and for 2025 is coming from capital deployment, as you saw it on the slide. As I explained during many roadshows, the operative capital deployment has two components. One is the capital needs on the Inforce portfolio, and then there is also the capital deployments on new business. So it's a complex mixture of the two effects. Capital needs usually on our Inforce portfolio depends mainly on, I would say, reserve development and how the business that we have written last year comes on the balance sheet. And capital deployment, that's the other leg on new business, depends of course on volume, but also on capital intensity, and diversification per line of business. What we see in 2025 is the effect of our diversified growth strategy in both business units, by the way, leading to a lower capital deployment than last year. On the life side, what we see mostly in 2025, that's the effect of the announcement of the new strategy that we updated in December 2024. with higher profitability on protection and diversifying in longevity. And on the PNC side, that's the other leg of the component, I would say, of the capital deployment that we see mostly this year. So on the PNC side, we see a bit of reduction in our capital, on our reserve capital, and overall also a better diversification. So now I'm going to answer more precisely to your question, what should we expect for 2026? We will revise today a little bit upward our expectation, but let's be precise on what we mean by net capital generation. So for 2026, our expectation is that what I call the double net, the net-net operating capital generation, so which means net of capital deployment and net of the dividend accrual, which mentioned by Thierry now as a ratchet at 1.9 euros, So this net-net operating capital generation is expected to be in a range of three to five points of solvency ratio.
And Andrew, I'll answer your second question on the CAT ratio. So you're correct that on a gross basis, we increased our exposures at 1-1. The way we manage our CAT ratio is through the optimization on the retro side. So, you know, our CAT ratio is on a net basis. We have a plan going into the renewals and able to deliver it on this plan. We buy our retrocession in accordance, and this is why we're so confident of staying within the CAT ratio budget of 10%. And as I mentioned during the renewals, You know, if you look at individual perils, for example, in the U.S., we expect the females to go up compared to last year. On a number of perils, we expect the females to go down compared to last year. But overall, the cat ratio will stay within the 10% budget. Great. Thank you very much.
Thank you, Andrew. Can we move to the next question, please?
The next question comes from the line of Santi Kang with Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Hi, afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. So just on the P&C opportunistic buffer building that you said will carry on in 2026, do you think you could give us a kind of quantum on how much more buffer building will take place? Do you think maybe year on year that will be higher or lower? And then perhaps linking into that, the direction of that risk adjustment percentile, the increased upper end to 82.5 is a good step. How are you thinking about the direction of that going forward? Should we expect that to increase further, for example? Thank you.
Thank you. Thank you, Shanti, for your two questions. So on the PNC buffer, so we mentioned, you remember, last year during the annual call that we were significantly above the initial target of 300 million. We mentioned in Q3 a quarter ago that we already put aside more in 2025 than in... in 2024, so you can imagine that we are above the double of the initial target today. Which means that we are really confident, that's what I mentioned in my speech at the beginning, we are really confident in the fact that we can really still continue, subject of course to potential claims in the future, but we can really still put aside in 2026 a significant amount of buffer. On a full year basis, you can understand it's a few points of the combined ratio. So despite what we said during the 1.1 PNC renewal call, which I would say an expected impact of two points on the loss ratio, We can absorb the impact over the next two years of this slight erosion of the margin by slightly reducing the buffer. But still, this should remain quite significant. So what can we imagine, that's your second question, the impact on the percentile? So you know that we publish only the group percentile. We don't give the split between PNC and Life and Health. I would say it's difficult to predict. It will depend a little bit on the amount of buffer. So it will depend on the cat ratio and the attritional loss ratio. And for me, it's difficult to make a bet, really, on what will happen. But if we can still put aside some buffer, it should increase a little bit. But again, take into account that at group level, so we could have also mixed effects coming from the rest of the group.
Cool. Thank you.
Thank you, Santi.
Can we move to the next question, please?
The next question comes from the line of Will Hartcastle with UBS. Please go ahead.
Afternoon. First of all, on the call option, can you give us an insight perhaps into what would make you use the option? I think you've got up until the summer, should you remain trading above the strike, and how can you help us think about this both tactically and strategically? Second of all, just thinking about the onerous contract in life and health, you talked about contracts, sorry. What exactly did these relate to? Which underperforming contracts? Is there a specific line or a specific region that these were impacting? Thank you.
I will. I will take your first questions on the call option. As we said already in the past, the option is considered in the money when the price reaches or exceeds 28 euros. The call option will expire in June this year. So we still have a bit of time ahead to take a decision. So I just wanted you to be aware, right, that obviously we are monitoring this, we are monitoring the group situation. Everything necessary will be taken into account, but we have more time for decision.
On your second question, Will, so... So again, I reiterate what I say. So that's really linked to the fact that we observe in Q1, minus 6 millions of lost components, minus 10 in Q2, minus 20 in Q3. So we decided to take action on this portfolio, which is non-performing. So the adjustment is really linked to the year-end review. Day one loss on new business remain really immaterial, non-material in Q4. So the 42 million is driven, I would say, by a combination of both volume updates and assumption refinements. We continue, of course, to monitor this portfolio very, very closely, and we will adjust a reserve when appropriate and if needed in the future. Today, we are at best estimate, so we are confident on the fact that this book should be okay in the future. On geography, I would say I will not surprise you. I would say significant part of the adjustment has been made on our Israeli portfolio, which is in runoff over many years, and that significantly impacted the book during the 2024 review.
Thank you, Will. Can we take the next question, please?
The next question comes from the line of Kamran Hossain with JP Morgan. Please go ahead.
Hi. Good afternoon. Two questions for me. The first one is just on dividend trajectory from here. Clearly a very welcome increase this year after a number of years of maybe keeping it flat. You've pointed to kind of better capital generation than you targeted when you set out the initial guidance. Do you think it's possible for the dividend to step up a little bit further as you get into the end of 26? And the second question is just from the Lifebook. It sounds like you're very pleased with the results you've seen in life. And, you know, fast forward kind of 15 months, things seem to be going pretty well there. At what stage do you think it will be possible to increase the 400 million insurance service result in life? Those would be my two. And just a really quick word to say, Francois, thanks for all your help over the years. Thanks.
Hi, Cameron. I take your first question on the dividend. So just want to remind everyone of a few things. So first of all, we, as you pointed out, with a good satisfactory solvency ratio in the upper end of our range at 215, plus the growth in in our economic value plus the positive outlook, actually we felt we are in a good position to increase the dividend. If we look ahead, I guess we have to maybe remember ourselves that this has been the first increase of several years of stability in the dividend where we haven't been able to increase it. I think this is an important first step for us, and I really have to defer to the future on the one side regarding 26, but in particular to the new strategic plan for better indications on where the dividend journey will go. Just so much, we have now for several months started to talk a lot about capital generation and how important It is to us, it's one of the core elements we are looking at as a team. And therefore, we are really satisfied with what we have seen so far. And we will put a lot of emphasis on capital generation in 26 and in the next strategic plan.
Thank you, Kamal, for your kind words. On the ISR, if I understand clearly, your question is What could be the guidance? We won't provide the guidance during this call on 2026. I would say if you look at the ISR outcome in 2022 on the life book, it's the combination of different items. We have a stronger than expected amortization of the CSM. We have a positive, I'm commenting on the full year basis, we have a positive expanse variance. We have this impact, negative impact on our contract mainly coming from our year-end review. on non-performing contract and consider today the portfolio is at best estimate. So we prefer to repeat again that only four quarters following our life and health review of 2024, we require at least four quarters in addition to what we see today to claim for the victory. Having said this, of course, Thierry and I and Philippe as well, we are very satisfied by the performance of the book which underscores the resilience and the robustness of underlying business. So we are really satisfied by Q4. Should give you an indication of what we have in mind. Thank you, François.
Thank you, Kamran.
Can we move to the next question, please?
The next question comes from the line of James Schack with Citi. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Good afternoon. I just had a couple of questions, please. Just on the capital generation again, I mean, obviously it was much stronger in 2025, and you've given some helpful guidance for 26 as well. I mean, that's looking like kind of 11, 16 points or so, 11 to 13 points of CapGen over the two years, 25 and 26, and that's all of the things that you mentioned earlier. I guess the CMD, you were indicating two to four points, so... My question is really kind of what has actually changed, and it's great to see the numbers come through. But is it, you know, increased use of retro? Is it slower growth, less capital deployment? Just kind of keen to understand, you know, why there's such a big delta to what you're indicating at CMD versus what we're looking at now. And then secondly, just on the risk of focusing on a negative thing, but I was just Interested to understand more about the high level of man-made losses in Q4. This is something that came through in Q3 as well. So just want to understand if there's any trend there at all. Thank you very much.
Yeah, the point on capital generation. I mean, you see here the capital deployment really consists of the components that Francois has elaborated. So first, it's really our development of the infos together with the new business of last year, how this comes on the balance sheet. And what we have seen in particular, the situation on the live side is quite stable. So we didn't use a lot of additional capital for the in-force combined. And on the P&C side, we saw even a slight drop of the capital consumption of the in-force. And together with the new business that we bring in the solvency ratio in the SCR for this year, which is really showing the diversified business strategy that we have outlined, We saw now a reduction of the capital deployment to 160 million. In this mix, you have a bit of diversification, also driven by the longevity that we have written in Q4.
I think, James, that our efforts to focus on capital generation, but also on capital deployment, we have always said diversifying lines to actually get a better mix, a better diversifying mix of new business on the book. that slowly also get on the books actually and create the reserves that we have, I think this is all going in the right direction. And we see it now in the numbers, slowly emerge.
Do you mind if I just quickly follow up on that? Because I can understand how the numbers work to get you to what the numbers are, but my question is really kind of, it's such a big difference from what you were indicating before. So you know, how was it different to what you were expecting at that time, is really my question.
Yes, I think, I mean, the underlying explanation, I mean, you have it, I mean, that's the dynamic on the release, on the enforce, or capital deployment on the enforce, and capital deployment on new business. When we say that we revise a little bit the net-net OCG expectation or assumption for 2026 to 3.5, The $160 million that you see on slide 21, which is the additional capital deployment through the SCR, it's mostly a good guy of four points versus 2024, and we just take the mean or the average of two points to lift a little bit upward our expectation.
Okay. All right. Thank you very much for that.
And James, I'll take your second question. I think you may have misunderstood. The Q4 environment was heavy manmade losses, but actually manmade losses to score remain normal. As you mentioned, Q3 was higher, but Q2 was lower. So you have this quarter volatility, which is normal. But if you look across the year, our manmade losses are, I'd say, within the normal expectation, and that's reflected in the quite good nutritional loss ratio we've produced for the year.
Got it. Okay. Thank you very much, and best of luck for the future, Francois.
Thank you very much. Thank you, James. Can we take the next question, please?
The next question comes from the line of Vinit Malhotra with Mediobanka. Mediobanka, please go ahead.
Yes, good afternoon all, thank you and congratulations Francois as well on your next and all the best for next endeavors. From my side, I mean, there's one topic on the PNC and, you know, apologies if it's really two sub-questions there, but if you think that the renewals last year were about seven percent or so growth you see you see four point something this year you see the uh the very strong alternative solutions i know the fps is a bit weaker but and i know you said growth is an outcome not a target but Would you say that the original 4% to 6% target, I think it was, would you say that you're going to be a little bit in the middle of that range? Or would you say, given the data we have and what you probably expect, what would you still indicate to us? And just quickly, just following up again, the... 74.7, which is a very strong nutritional level. In fact, do you think some exceptional things are happening? Is it because ENCs are still helping out? Or, you know, is it something that we can think of as, you know, likely the starting point? Some more commentary on that would be very useful. Thank you very much.
Thank you, Vineet. So, regarding your first question, It's still relatively early in the year, and the final outcome of the P&C ISR growth will largely depend on the upcoming renewals also later in 2026. As Thierry mentioned, our focus remains firmly on improving the profitability and quality of the portfolio rather than pursuing volume growth. And accordingly, insurance revenue growth this year will be driven by the availability of attractive and profitable opportunities in the market. So, you know, we're not going to provide any indication at this stage as I think it's a bit too early. You know, as you said, you know, the renewals of January 1st on the treaty side were quite positive. We're still earning through the portfolio of 2025 as well in the first and second quarter especially. And then SBS, the cycle on the insurance side is also quite difficult. So all these factors put together makes it a little bit too early to give you any indication. On your second question on traditional losses, I think, as I mentioned before, there's nothing, there's no exceptional item in this. It's really the strength of the underlying portfolio that's coming through. You know, you have, as usual, every quarter some volatility. But I would say the attritional that we're producing for the full year 2025 is pretty much in line with our expectation of the performance of the portfolio.
And we need just to remind everyone, of course, this attritional loss ratio is including the buffers. And it's also clear that if the renewals are done at slightly worsening trends, right, this will impact, as Francois said before, the buffers first, right? So that means that we are relatively confident still in being able to get the performance around this nutritional loss.
Thank you very much. Thank you, Vinit. Can we move to the next question, please?
The next question comes from the line of Ivan Bokhmat with Barclays. Please go ahead.
Hi, good afternoon. Thank you very much. I've got two relatively small questions, please. The first one, thinking into 2026 and 2027, there is a solvency reform ongoing. I was just wondering if you could give your expectations of what impact the score would see. And the second question, quite technical, As we look at the cash generation from your life business, it continued to be negative in the second half of 2025. So I was just wondering if you could maybe give some color, is it related to the business mix, like financial solutions growth, or is there anything that could help us? Thank you.
Yvan, I will take your first question. We don't change what we said on the impact of the EOPA reform to be implemented in 2027. We're waiting, by the way, the final guidelines for the implementation of the reform. For SCORE, we mentioned it. It's mostly an impact through the risk margin and the cost of capital. So we maintain what we said. We will provide, probably at the end of the year, with publication of a strategic plan, an update on this. But we maintain... that we expect a good guy of 10 to 15 points of solvency ratio, including the fact that we're going to lose the benefit of the contingent capital facility we've got in the balance sheet.
On the second question, Philippe? Yes, on the life and health cash flow. I mean, I think, you know, it's better to look at this on the full year basis rather than quarterly, and we remain committed with our goal for forward 2026, and we see improvements underlying it, but still quite some volatility.
Thank you. Thank you, Ivan. Can we move to the next question, please?
The next question comes from the line of Ian Pierce with BNP Paribas. Please go ahead.
Hi, afternoon everyone. Thanks for taking my questions. Just coming back to this capital generation point, I'm just trying to understand what you're assuming in the three to five percentage point guidance for next year, particularly around the operating capital deployment. Should we be using this level, the 2025 level of operating capital deployment as a relatively normal level of operating capital deployment? And just trying to understand, just clarify that move from the 24 capital deployment to the 25 level, is it effectively the difference being capital deployment on the Inforce was quite high last year and was relatively small this year? And if you're not deploying capital on the Inforce going forward, this level is a good level for the 2026 capital deployment. Thank you.
Thank you, Jan. Again, I mean, you remember, I mean, we mentioned initially in the plan that we had an ambition of, again, net-net operating capital generation of one to two points during the plan. So net-net means operating capital generation coming from the three business lines, so P&C, life and health, and investments, net of capital deployment, and net of the accrued dividend in the solvency ratio. So This revised expectation or assumption for 2026 to 5 points is mostly due to the fact that, again, this is the good guy that we see in Q4 on the operating capital deployment. We think, as explained a few minutes ago and reiterated by Fabian, we believe the observed impact in 2025 is 4 points of solvency ratio And we take, I would say, half of the good guy in our assumption for 2020 or 2026. So it's a little bit a new regime that we start to see here as developed by Keri, who have been working hard on diversifying the portfolio, growing on diversifying line of business in PNC. And we start to see the benefit of the updated life and strategy of December 2024. especially with longevity transaction. We mentioned in the past that we used to have a strong pipeline on longevity. Now we see the transaction.
Any follow-up, Yann? No, that's okay. Okay, good. Yann is already typing. Okay, thanks for your question. Can we move to the next one, please?
The next question comes from the line of Benoit Valo with OdoBHF. Please go ahead.
Yes, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my question. And first of all, I would like to warmly thank Francois for your strong support to investors, analysts, and the financial committee in general. I wish you all the best in your new life. I have two questions. Maybe the first one related to your rating. You have a better than expected solvency margin. capitalization strong underlying profitability notably in pnc so i know that rating is not in your end but my question is not to know that if your outlook turned positive for example this year and maybe with the potential rating upgrade next year will it have or not for you a positive impact in a soft market in terms of underwriting or if it has no impact really to to be expected on that front and my second question is regarding tax rate which has been slightly higher than expected in Q4, but still at a good level at 28% for full year 25. Just like to know if you maintain your 30% assumption for 26. And I know it may be a bit too early, but you made this announcement regarding your business in Ireland beginning of this year. So do you have a view on what will be a potential level of tax rate in 27? Thank you.
I don't know. I will take your first question. So regarding ratings, So it's, I guess, clear to everyone that we are not setting the rating. But we do note a few things still. So first of all, as you know, there is one out of four major rating companies who put us with a positive outlook, which we see as a positive sign for future development. When we look at, and we have been consistently looking Communicating on this, when we look at just the capital side with the different rating agencies, we have always been in a very good spot. So the issue we were facing or the challenges from the rating agencies was much more with regard to consistency of our results. Do we have the franchise? Can we actually turn this into profit and capital generation and so on? So that was the challenge we faced. It takes a moment to regain that confidence But again, one out of five has moved positive. And my personal expectation is that others will follow in the next 12, 18 months. But, you know, again, I do not set the agenda for this. Impact on business, when it went down, we were quite clear that this did not have an impact on our business. However, in going forward, I do actually expect this to have a positive impact because as we want to utilize our tier one franchise better, gain in market share, the clients will see a growing contribution from SCORE. And in that regard, an upgrade would actually really help us to gain additional market share tomorrow again if profitability permits that. This asymmetrical view, I hope I have been able to explain it to you. Again, when it went down, we didn't really lose business, but now on the way up, we will count on it to grow our market share.
Benoit, thank you very much for your words and thank you for the rich discussions we had together over the last few years, not only when I was CFO, but before as well. So on the tax strategy, I just remind you a little bit what we initiated with Thierry in 2023. Remember, we had a significant impairment of our stock of activated ETI on the balance sheet in 2022. So the first priority was to protect what is already activated on the balance sheet, to protect them against new and additional impairment in 2023 and after. So we initiated a strategy. The idea is really to relocate profits from the rest of the world in France. It took two years and a half to do this. It's done. So we had two waves in 2024 and 2025 of full restructuring of the internal retrocession structure of the group to move from stop loss to quota share, so to repatriate profit assets and cash as well in Paris. You saw it probably in January, we published a press release, so we re-domiciliated one of our two Irish platforms, internal retrocession platform from Dublin to Paris, and now this entity is French based in Paris and regulated by the ACPR. So which means that the profit of this entity is now consolidated in the French tax perimeter. So which means that I think it's protected now. I mean, what is activated is really protected against any potential impairment. And I think now the next step is to convince our auditor to activate What is not activated, and that's roughly 250 million, and I'm sure Philippe will convince the auditors to do it as quickly as possible. On your question on the 30%, so we had this, I would say, assumption of 30% during the plan to take into account that we could have some friction during the three years, I mean, with this strategy to re-domiciliate profit in France. You know that we change, that's something I mentioned in previous calls, but we change a little bit the way we compute the effective tax rate in Q1, Q2, and Q3, which is a little bit more normative compared to the previous year to avoid the volatility in Q1 and Q2 and Q3. And we adjust a lot to actuals in Q4. So don't look at the effective tax rate of Q4, but look at the effective tax rate over the full year. That's a good indication. 28%, I think it's a good indication for the future. Of course, everything is linked as well to the profitability of the business. So we have, as you see it and mentioned many times during this call, we have an excellent performance of the P&C book. So this performance everywhere in the world is in a way rapatriated in the French tax perimeter today. So it depends as well, of course, on the future profitability of the book.
Thank you very much.
Thank you, Bruno. Can we move to the next question and last question?
The next question comes from the line of Ben Cohen with RBC. Please go ahead.
Thanks very much. Good afternoon, everyone. I just had two smaller things. Apologies. I just wanted to ask, is there more to come through on the expense line in terms of savings in the future? in the P&C division after you're sort of ahead of targets. And the second question was just the run rate of claims discount benefits in the combined ratio. Is that a reasonable outlook for the full year 26? Thank you.
Thank you. Thank you, Ben. I will take this last question of my career as CFO. So just to remind you, We manage expenses at group level. Thierry commented in his introduction the delivery of a significant amount of savings since the beginning of the plan, so 170 million, and you know that we are committed to maintain stable expenses. That's the way we manage internal expenses. On P&C, it's a one-off. What you see in Q4 is really a one-off that reduces the expenses ratio to 6%. Again, if you look at 2025, the expense ratio stands at 7.4%, which remains slightly below management long-term expectation, and I prefer today to maintain the guidance of 7 to 8%.
Usually, this will be the moment where Thomas would thank everyone, but given the exceptional circumstances today around Francoise's departure by the end of this week, I thought I just want to add a few words before closing this call. So obviously, as I said it, as everyone knows, this is Francoise's last quarterly closing, and I wanted to express My sincere gratitude for his significant contribution over the past three years as Group CFO. François has been my CFO since my beginnings. We have gone through difficult times, good times as well, fortunately. François has played a pivotal role from the beginning in setting the Forward26 strategy but also in establishing a professional and strategic finance function. So, François, many thanks for all of this. Now, we all know in life, everything has an end, and therefore I'm also very pleased to have in Philippe, a successor, a talent who can ensure a seamless handover. So, Philippe, also to you, thanks for accepting such a challenging role, and I wish you all the best, and I look forward to working with you. I see that François is sitting like on needles. I'll still not close the call.
Thank you. There is a little bit of emotion, so thank you, Thierry, for this. Kind words which I really appreciate. It has been a real pleasure to work with you over the last three years. The score is in good hands with you and your comments. Philippe, a lot of success in your role. I'm sure you will deliver. Just a few final words for me when I accepted your offer, Thierry, three years ago in June 2023. I had four priorities in mind. First one was to strengthen the resilience of our balance sheet and reserves. The second priority for me was to identify your specific concern, you as investor and analyst on SCORE, so that we could take decisive action to reduce progressively or imply cost of equity. My third priority was to communicate with you as transparently as possible. And my last priority was to restore your trust in SCORE. I want to tell Thomas how much I enjoyed working with him. Thomas, you do a fabulous job. It was a pleasure as well to work with you every day. Your consistently positive energy fascinates me. and it was really a source of pleasure, even in a hard situation in 2020-2024. Learning and continuing to learn is one of the major driving forces in my life. Thanks to you, all analysts and all investors. Thanks to your questions. Thanks to your comments. I've learned a lot during the last three years. So thank you very much for the quality of our discussion, our relationship, and for your trust.
Thank you very much, everyone. And I think that on this good note, we can close definitely this call today. Thank you and speak to you soon.
This does conclude today's call. Thank you for your participation. Ladies and gentlemen, you may now disconnect.