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4/24/2026
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Tomra's first quarter result presentation for 2026. My name is Daniel Sundahl. I'm a head of investor relations in Tomra. We will, as usual, start today's presentation with CEO Tove Andersson giving you the highlights of the quarter, followed by a deep dive into the number from CFO Eva Sagamo. At the end of the presentation, we will take questions from participants in the team's webinar. A link to the webinar can be found in this morning's Stock Exchange release. But without further ado, I give the word to Bob Andersen.
Good morning, and welcome for me as well to our Q1 presentation 2026. We present today a quarter characterized by strong growth in food and collections. but with profitability impacted by short-term product mix effects in all segments and lower volumes in recycling. However, the underlying developments in the quarter in all segments gives us confidence going forward that we are on the right track. Collection delivered record revenues due to deliveries in Poland and Portugal and growth in existing markets. However, with lower margins due to the higher share of RBM sales and the product margins in Poland. In recycling, we continue to see low commercial activity, but progressing according to plan on the cost reduction program. In food, the high commercial activity is continuing, however, with short-term lower margins due to a larger than normal share of third-party peripheral equipment delivered. Let me then take you through the business update for divisions and horizons. The collection had a record quarterly revenues of €208 million, up 15% currency adjusted. Revenue in existing markets was €169 million in the quarter, which represents 5% growth, in line with our ambition. However, when comparing the revenue from existing markets with Q4 last year, it's important to remember the seasonal variations in our throughput volumes. New markets contributed with 49 million euros of revenues in the quarter. In Poland, which was the biggest contributor, installation speed has picked up and deliveries will continue in Q2. By end of Q1, we had more than 4,000 machines installed. As communicated earlier, the initial market in Poland is estimated to be 10,000 to 12,000 machines, with a tail which is difficult to estimate, but can be 5,000 machines or more coming over the next years as collection rates Portugal launched its deposit system on April 10th. It is always exciting when a new country goes live. The initial market is estimated to be 2,500 machines, and we estimate that two-thirds of that market is done. By end of Q1, we had more than 1,000 machines installed in Portugal. We also had Singapore going live in April, April 1st. where we have been awarded one of the three zones representing roughly 350 RVMs. It is a small market, but an important reference for RestorAsia, and we are committed to make it a success. We have a great team in Singapore, and you can see some of them in the picture below, together with the Senior Minister of State from the Ministry of Sustainability and Environment and the Ministry of Education. And talking about new DRS markets, let's look at the pipeline, which we have listed on the bottom right. I will only comment on UK, which is the next big market to go live. The process towards a launch in October next year is progressing as planned. We estimate the initial rollout to be 25,000 locations. Also in UK, there might be a tail of sales in the smaller independent stores. but difficult to estimate how large that market will be as they don't have an obligation to take back beverage containers. There is significant commercial activity ongoing in the UK. All of the large retailers are running or are about to run procurement processes for RBMs, and we expect most contracts to be signed this year, while the rollout will mainly take place as of next year. Based upon experience from the last DRS rollout, where we have achieved a share of the market in line with our ambitions, we feel we are well positioned to win our share of the UK market. Then to the last bullet on the slide, innovation. Innovation is key for us to ensure growth and to maintain our margins. In the quarter, we launched T100, the new version of our flagship model T9. T9 is by far our most sold machine. It's actually the world's most common RVM. So this is a big milestone. I'm confident that the T100 will be as successful in the future as the T9 has been for us in the past. Then over to recycling. In recycling, we had a significant drop in revenues in the quarter due to the weak market sentiment, which caused a decline in orders last year, and due to the lead times, this impacts the revenues in this quarter. As you will see from the bottom left graph, the order intake is also down compared to Q1 2025, but in line with second and third quarter last year. The market sentiment is stable, and it is as we have described in the previous quarters. We have a weak market in North America waste recovery and within plastic recycling due to tariffs, low plastic prices, and general macroeconomic uncertainty. The metal market has remained stable. As you will see from the PET graph below, the PET prices have had a sharp increase the last weeks due to the increased oil prices and blockage of honus. Increased inversion PET prices has also lifted the prices of recycled PET, but not to the same extent. This is positive for our customers, but the impact on investment sentiment will depend on whether high prices are perceived as sustainable. They need predictability of higher prices over time before the investment sentiment will improve. Key for us, given the challenging market, is to take action on the things we can control. The 16 million euro cost reduction program is progressing according to plan, and there will be a gradual effect on our costs during this year, and the full year effect will come next year. In food, we had revenue growth in all main markets, resulting in a revenue of 79 million euros, up 17% currency adjusted. We saw some decline in revenue from the potato segment, which has been our largest category. This was expected, and we have talked about this in previous quarters as well, as we are coming out of a strong investment cycle on potatoes. What is nice to see is that we are able to compensate this decline with growth in other segments. in other categories. Tetris has been particularly strong in the quarter and is now competing with potatoes and being our largest category. This confirms the robustness in our business model and the value of having a diversified portfolio in food. Order intake in the quarter was found on a strong comparison last year. There will always be quarterly variations in order intake. And if you look at the trailing 12 months, the order intake is up 7%. The market sentiment overall is good, and the underlying activity is strong. Innovation is also key in food, and it's nice to see the 4C, which we launched some months back, has been well received in the market for nuts. This was one of the key segments the 4C was developed for. A positive response has confirmed our position as a challenger, well equipped to increase our share of that segment. This is part of our strategy in food to outgrow the market by gaining share in selected segments. Then through Horizon, our portfolio on new businesses consisting today of Seapraise, Reuse and Facebook. After a period of investing into this portfolio, it's nice to see that the revenues are starting to build up. The Horizon portfolio delivered revenues of 10 million euro in the quarter. And looking at the graph, the decline from Q4 is due to the seasonality in sea trays, which typically has a significant portion of the revenue in the last quarter in the year. The business momentum in the market sea trays operate in, that is the smart waste management segment, is strong, and we expect the company to continue their profitable growth journey this year. Reuse is the least mature in our portfolio. For the city solution, the rollout in Lisbon is continuing, while the event solution is still in piloting phase, but with a good pipeline of opportunities. In feedstock, the focus is to ramp up the volumes as other områd plant. We increased the two shifts early this year, and target to be at two-thirds capacity utilization by the end of the year. So overall, continued good progress in all three businesses. That concludes the business update, and I will hand over to our CFO, Eva Sagbo.
Thank you for that, Torve. And let's dig into the figures, starting with the collection. Revenues came in at 208 million euros, up 12% compared to Q1 last year, and up 15% currency adjusted. The performance have been strong in the new markets, with revenues of 49 million euros, with strong contributions from Poland and Portugal. Our existing markets continue with solid performance with underlying growth of 5%, 2% up to currency-adjusted. And looking at the overview per region, North America is seasonally lower in the first quarter on the throughput sales. But also in the quarter, we have added in clink compared to Q1 last year. Our gross margins in collection ended at 39.5%. It's lower than our ambition of being more than 40%. However, explained by then business mix with higher share of RVM sales, of the total sales, and then as well as the lower product margin in Poland, also impacting the gross margin for collection. OPEX ended up compared to Q1 last year, now at 50 million euro in the quarter, explained by the high activity especially in Poland, but also ramping up in the UK. We have added in clink, and then we have also inflation in the period. This results then in an EBITDA in collection of 33 million euros, and it's up from 30 million euros compared to the same period last year. And then looking into the short-term outlook in 2026, and starting then with revenues. And for existing markets, we expect mid-single-digit growth here, according to or in line with our ambition for the existing markets. For new markets, the momentum in Poland continues strong next quarter, but the pace then in Portugal and Romania is then expected to slow down, but continue to contribute throughout the year. And for UK, there is currently high commercial activity, as Tove mentioned, and the deliveries to the UK retailers will start then in 2027. And for our profitability, our target is still to deliver a gross margin above 40% for the full year in 2026. Over to recycling. Recycling came in at 37 million euros, a decline of 19% compared to Q1 last year, following then a decline in orders in 2025. The combination of low revenue volumes, metal projects, and also our fixed cost base results then in a weak gross margin of 40.5% in the quarter. OPEX ended down compared to Q1 last year, now at 20 million euros, and we also added in restructuring costs of 13 million euros as a special item in the quarter. This results then in a negative EBITDA in the recycling of five million euros, then excluding those special items. And looking at the order intake in the quarter, it ended at 41 million euros, low, impacted then by the challenging market sentiment. The level is, however, in line with what we had in 2025, especially for Q2 and also Q3, but down compared to a strong Q1 last year. Order backlog ended at 98 million euros. And then also here, looking into 2026, the short-term outlook. We estimate a 50% conversion ratio of the Q1 order backlog as revenue in Q2. And based on the current market sentiment, we do not expect the revenue growth this year. The majority of the order backlog that we have currently is estimated to be delivered in 2026. And also given the current average lead time we have in production, we expect improved revenue visibility when we end Q2. And then gross margins will continue to be impacted by the low volumes, but we expect already in Q2 a more favorable product mix in recycling. And as we mentioned, the restructuring program is progressing according to plan, where we expect the 16 million gross savings to materialize gradually throughout the following quarters, and then with full effect in 2027. Then moving over to food, food revenues came in at 79 million euros, which is up 13% compared to Q1 last year, and up 17% currency-adjusted. Performance was up in all main markets, and also 4 million better than estimated conversion ratio, mainly due to timing of deliveries. Gross margins for the quarter came in at 40.8%, which is down below last year's strong performance. And this temporary decrease was mainly due to the product mix, with a higher proportion of third-party equipment sales, linked to then large packhouse projects that we had coming in as orders last year. OPEX ended up compared to Q1 last year, so slightly up, ending now at 28 million euros, and that is mainly due to inflation. And this results then in an EBITDA of four million euros, up from three million euros in the same quarter last year. And also here, looking at the order intake in the quarter, it ended at 80 million euros, a decrease from the same period last year, however, then on strong comparables. The underlying market activity is strong, and the trailing 12-month order intake is up 7%. And the order backlog ended strong at 137 million euros. And then looking into the 2026 outlook, we estimate... a 70% conversion ratio of the Q1 order backlog as revenues in Q2. And for the full year, revenues is estimated to grow mid to high single digit. And as we have seen in Q1, the product mix effect is expected to continue also in Q2, but then to return to mid 40s in the second half of the year. And then we have a look at Horizon. Revenues came in at 10 million euros, more than doubling from Q1 last year. We have a strong momentum in seed trades, but also here we see now the positive contribution from OMRO being now in production. Gross margins in the quarter are 48.4%. It's lower compared to Q1 last year, explained then by depreciations of our OMRO assets. OPEX flat compared to Q1 last year of 6 million euros. And that results in a negative EBITDA of 2 million euros, however, then with a positive EBITDA for OMRA. And then looking into the short-term outlook also for Horizon, C-Trade is expected to deliver double-digit revenue growth this year with an EBITDA of more than 20%. And for feedstock, as Omra is scaling up its production, which is then estimated to reach two-thirds of its full capacity this year, we expect a positive EBITDA contribution from the plant this year, and then going into 2027 with a positive EBITDA. And then if you look at the whole horizon activities, OPEX is expected to be around 30 to 35 million euros for the full year, and then capex of around 10 million euros for the full year. And then combining the results from all of our divisions, the group achieved total revenues of 334 million euros in the quarter. It's a 9% increase compared to Q1 last year, and 12% increase if you adjust for currency. The gross margin was 40.2% in the quarter. It's down compared to the same quarter last year, explained then by product, project, and business mix, where some of those are short-term in nature. OPEX standing at €108 million in the quarter is up compared to the same period last year, but that is mainly explained by then higher activity levels in new markets. We have added in clink, but also had inflation in the period. And this results then in EBITDA of €26 million for the group, in line with what we had in Q1 last year, adjusting then for those special one-offs. Cash flow and capital. Cash flow from operations of €60 million in the quarter. It's down from €65 million in the same quarter last year, on then lower results and a higher working capital. Looking at cash flow from investments, in the quarter, it's 25 million euros, trending in line with the estimated run rate for the full year, which we have communicated to be around 100 million euros, where most of those investments will be then into our core business divisions. Our working capital of 18% end of the quarter is up compared to same quarter last year, reflecting then the high activities in new DRS markets. But it's down compared to end of 2025, and we also expect that to come further down as orders are being delivered and payments being collected, and especially in collection. Our ROKI ended at 15% at the end of the quarter. It's down compared to same quarter last year. Then reflecting inorganic investments, but also the strategic business building that we're doing, and also the lower profitability in recycling. And also here, looking ahead, we anticipate an improvement in returns as we then get the positive impact from the investments that we have done, and we are also able to lift the profitability in recycling. Financing. Our average debt maturity end of the quarter is 4.2 years, with a liquidity buffer of around 100 million euros in undrawn facilities. And our equity ratio at the end of the quarter was 35%. It's down compared to the same quarter last year, but stable from end of 2025. And we still have a good headroom in the equity. Our gearing at the end of the quarter was 2.37 times up from same quarter last year and also up from end of 2025, which then reflects recent debt finance acquisitions. And then looking ahead, the equity ratio is expected to be impacted by the dividend payments, which is now planned for Q2 in May. However, we will still be covenant intact and then also expect improvement in the following quarters of 2026. And then for the gearing, it's expected to be gradually reduced with the earnings and cash flow from contributions also here in the following quarters. And then this slide brings the outlook together, both on the short-term outlook, but also on Toma's long-term drivers. And I will not go through this since I just covered it on the previous slides, but just want to emphasize the strong long-term drivers for Toma, being then decarbonization, regulation, modernization and optimization, but also demographics and resource scarcity. And with that, I will hand it back to you, Daniela.
Thank you, Eva, and thank you, Tove. We will now move over to the Q&A in Teams, and I see we have a few questions coming in already, and we will start with Mariah Adesina at Barclays. Please go ahead.
Mariah?
Hello? you there we go we hear you yes sorry about that all right thanks for taking my my question um just a couple from me so just wanted to understand a bit more about the lower um products margins in poland just wondering why um the margins are lower in this market is it something specific to poland yeah just wondering what the moving parts are um behind that and then just continuing on this um product mix subject obviously you've mentioned for recycling, expecting it to be a bit better in Q2 and continuing for food. So just wondering what the outlook is for collection, if you're expecting those product mix effects to continue. And then just a clarification question. So the machine estimates that you mentioned for some of the markets, are those for the total market or just for Tomro's share? So that's just on collection. And then on recycling, I'm just wondering what underpins the confidence with the 50% conversion ratio in Q2, given that the near-term challenges are still continued. Would that be seasonal effects or something else?
Yeah, I can start. So if we start on the margins in Poland, to approach this question is that it's important to remember that all the different markets that we operate in in collection is different. In Poland, we have talked about that we have had quite some price pressure, but nevertheless, given that situation, we are confident that we are going to deliver a more than 40% gross margin in collection for the full year. And then if you think about Q2 and the Poland impact, we are also going to deliver quite some machines into Poland in Q2, So this will also impact the margins in Q2 for collection. You had the question on the margins also in recycling and in food. And of course, in recycling, when you operate with lower volumes, you will have an impact on the margins and the product mix has also an impact on that. So with the visibility that we have in the order backlog, for example, we are going to deliver more waste orders into Q2, that would have a positive impact on the gross margins in recycling. And of course, with the market sentiment and the lower intake and the lower volume that we have been trending on, this impacts the gross margins. But as we go along and we take out the savings and go into 2027, we will see positive effects also here because part of the savings is impacting the gross margins. And then if I just take the visibility on the conversion ratio for it, For recycling of 50% into Q2, that is based on the orders that we have in the order backlog that we are working on delivering to our customers. So we have quite some visibility into that. But as we always say, some variations can happen. And we have seen that, for example, as a positive thing now in food in the quarter where we have delivered a bit higher than the conversion ratio. And that is really about the timing of the deliveries and nothing else than that. For food on the product margins, we see a decline now in Q1. Q1 is always a bit lower because of seasonality and what kind of orders you are delivering into the market. But we see a negative impact this quarter because of the third-party equipment. And for those following summer, they would remember that last year we had quite some larger orders coming in early in the year. which were to those large pack houses that we have talked about. And there also we are taking on the third-party equipment into our P&L, and that has an impact of the margin. Nevertheless, we're not going to say no to those orders because it's so important to deliver that to the customer according to what they need. And I think that was covering my part, right?
Yeah. Any other questions on market estimates linked to them? the indications that we were giving on Poland and Portugal. So we estimate the initial phase in Poland for the total market, not total share, to be 10,000 to 12,000 machines. This is then typically the larger retail chains that will be early investing. Then after that, there are thousands, tens of thousands of smaller stores in Poland, How many of those that they will decide to have RVMs is very difficult to estimate, but that part could represent a market opportunity of at least 5,000 machines. Then also what we expect is, and what we have seen in many markets, is that also the larger retailers will potentially underestimate the capacity that they need for collecting beverage containers. So also you will expect to see continued sales into those markets. So as we have communicated for Poland for quite some time is that we expect our roll-up here lasting at least two to three years. But the initial phase that is really happening now is then representing a total market of approximately 10,000 to 12,000 machines. And then for Portugal, the indication is that now in the initial phase is 2,500 installations. This is even publicly communicated in Portugal. And then we'll see over time if that, again, is an underestimation of the market. So there is also an opportunity for then additional sales there. And, of course, this is always the initial phase, and getting a large share in that initial phase is so important because then you will get the opportunities of replacements. Some of these retailers are growing. They're changing stores all the time. That will create opportunities for sales, and you are getting the service revenue that comes after.
Great. Thank you so much.
Thank you. And the next question is coming from Elliot Jones at Danske Bank. Please go ahead, Elliot.
Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. Just on collection first, I'm just kind of trying to get an understanding of the, I know we talked about it a bit, but the margins and the selling prices. So just kind of given the developments, is it fair to assume that whenever we have Poland as the majority contributor in a quarter, Will we likely have gross margins under 40% or was there, you know, a more special mix within Poland this quarter that's kind of abnormal?
Yeah, thank you for that question, Elliot. So when we have deliveries to Poland, we will have an impact on the margin around one percentage point, what we have seen now in Q1. But of course, the mix and the business mix in collection also plays a role here. So when we are now seeing volume from the throughput coming in later in the year, that will have a positive impact. But this is then specifically when we talk about the product margin that's specifically related to Poland.
Got it. And so just on that, like just linked to kind of selling prices in general. Given this, is it fair to assume that your selling prices have dropped across the board? I mean, just frankly, I think that's what the market could assume. Or is that potentially not the case? I know you mentioned that you hope to have gross margins for the four-year above 40%. I just want some clarity on that. That would be helpful.
Yeah. Our target is that we should have a gross margin in collection above 40%. And, of course, as Eva said, there is quite some variations within our portfolio. We knew that there would be tough competition in the new markets. We knew that there would be price pressure. It is important for us to get the large share initially at the same time as we want to maintain our margins. So this is a balance that we are playing when we are then deciding our commercial tactics in the different markets. This doesn't mean that the overall price level is going down. This doesn't mean that we expect the gross margins overall to go down over time. But we will see, you know, quarterly variations. Also, typically, you know, we have lower margins on RBM sales versus service. So when you also have higher shares of sales of equipment versus service, you will see lower margins in that quarter.
Really helpful. Thanks. And then just last quarter, you highlighted an order book of 100 million euros in collections of February. Can you provide any highlights as to how this has developed since then?
Yeah. So when we talked about that 100 million euros, that was firm orders that we were going to deliver into the year. And out of that, we have delivered... we would deliver more of what we have delivered in Q1 now going into Q2. So I think that's answering your question, Elliot. And then, of course, we expect also orders to come in throughout the year, but not necessarily linked to that 100 million euro that we talked about in Q1.
Got it. Sorry, two more questions. Just down the P&L for collection, I know it's about gross margins, but could you provide any kind of color in terms of OPEX development, just so we can get a link to EVTA margins? That is Q1, for example.
Yeah. So for Q1, we have seen, so first of all, we have added in clink. That has an impact on the cost side. We have had inflation in the period. but also that we are now, we have had quite some high activity in Poland. That also drives costs, and we are ramping up in the UK with all the activities that are ongoing there. We had €50 million objects in the quarter, and this is what we would assume would be the objects in collection, more or less, in the following quarters as well for 2026.
Really helpful. And last question, just in food, you mentioned the potato segment. Can you provide any kind of color as to how much the potato segment has been in terms of the last 12 months order intake for Tomra? Has it been a meaningful portion or is it more diversified now?
Yeah. Okay.
That's definitely been a meaningful position, but also what we have worked on is really diversifying our portfolio so that we are not so dependent on some few categories. And as I said now, Seacrest is more or less at the same level as the potato segment was in the past. And we are working very systematically now on really mapping the different categories that we are focusing on, mapping their investment cycles, so that also we can plan, you know, how do we allocate our resources into the different cycles, also then linked with our innovation pipeline.
Perfect. Thanks a lot. Thank you, Elliot. And the next question is coming from Daniel Vordal Haugland at ABG. Please go ahead, Daniel.
Yes. Thank you for taking my questions. I have a couple of questions. So just firstly, I'm Q1 in collections, so If you kind of think about it in terms of ramping production and collection, I'm just observing that the Q1 revenues was basically a flattish versus Q4. So can you comment a bit more on this? Because I think many had the impression that there would be a step up given the Poland rollout. So is there something that has happened here, or is this just more machines in Poland going to be rolled out in Q2? That's the first question.
Yeah.
So when we had the Q4 announcement, we talked about the weather situation in Poland. Quite some snow in the first month of the year made it difficult to go in and do the installation and also for our customers to prepare the sites. So we will see that. So we have the backlog for Poland. We are delivering according to what we are expecting. able to deliver so we're progressing very well and we will have a strong q2 on the poland poland uh deliveries as well so um i would say it's uh it's according to what we would expect given the challenges challenges that we had on the weather situation in poland in the first month of 2026. okay so it seems like it's more
to say one thing anyway when you compare revenue in q4 with revenue in q1 you have to remember the seasonality in our trip it will then take your circle yeah yes okay and then on uk uh is there anything you can kind of tell on uh when you expect any kind of conclusions on tenders we've already seen one of the competitors announced a couple of orders so um yeah on that and also can you maybe confirm whether you will announce orders in uk when you get them or is there kind of any dynamics with frame agreements etc that will make you not announce orders even though you're getting them yeah it's very exciting in the uk currently a lot of commercial activities a lot of tenders
tender processes are ongoing. We expect most of those to be concluded this year and to be signed this year, while most of the deliveries will happen next year. And then Eva can say a bit about our policy on announcing.
Yeah, so when it comes to announcing on the contracts, What we have done in the past and also we continue to do going forward is it's all about what is significant for Toma. And we have had kind of like that threshold of 1,500 machines, more or less. But, of course, we are evaluating this case by case if it's of importance for the market to know about contracts being signed. So that's also the way we will handle this also going forward for the U.K. market. assessment case by case. But think about the threshold and combination with importance for the market.
And on the kind of, can you confirm or disconfirm that you kind of have any big type of frame agreements that will be likely be thrown on versus kind of open markets, et cetera?
No, we have, of course, we have frame agreements with different large retailers in Europe. And in addition to that, typically we will set up kind of sub-agreements for the specific country.
And would you then kind of, if there's a big draw on a frame agreement, would that kind of go in under the policy of 15 other machines?
Yeah, typically, yeah.
Okay, okay, thank you. And then my last question. It's on recycling. So I see the orders are down again quite in Q1 versus Q, you had a boost in Q4. So can you give a little bit more flavor on this? Because is it such that the customers have been more kind of on the fence given the macro situation with the war, et cetera, towards the end of the quarter? Or is there kind of anything else in that number?
Yeah, I can say a bit generally, and then you can add there if there's some more details there. You know, when you look at the order intake, there will be quarterly variations. We believe on the line because we also look at the whole pipeline. So, you know, we have a visibility of all projects being discussed, evaluated to be the next one. And based on our total kind of pipeline, so not only the orders that have gone into the order backlog, we would say that the market sentiment is stable. So that decline that you see, doesn't they really represent the underlying market sentiment? And then you can have quarterly variations because you could have a, I don't know, a three, four million order or two of those coming, you know, in one quarter versus the other, which will create some of those jumps.
Yeah, nothing to add.
It's more about the time now.
Okay, thank you. That was all my questions.
Thank you, Daniel. And the next question will come from Marcus Heiberg at SED. Please go ahead, Marcus.
Thank you. So, I might have missed the first one, but how much of the backlog in collection have you delivered in Q1 out of the 100 million, and how much have you added to that backlog or intake in Q1? That's the first one. And the second one is how do you assess your market share in Q1 compared with your installations versus the market? Those are the two first questions, I think.
Yes. So I can do the orders, and then you can talk about market share, Tove. So we communicated the €100 million in Q4 going into 2026. And as you see from the presentation, we have had revenues of €49 million in new markets. So we have delivered from that €100 million into the Q1, but we will deliver more. of that 100 million euros into Q2. That's the status of the 100. And then we will probably not go in and communicate on what kind of will be added to that 100. I think we will stop that here now and more communicate on the progress in the market as the quarters develop. But we will deliver more into Q2 from that 100.
And then on market share, as I said, we estimate this initial rollout to represent 10,000 to 12,000 machines. We have 4,000 machines installed by end of Q1, and the momentum in Poland will continue in Q2 in line with what we have done in Q1.
And to follow up on that, do you expect still the first rollout to be done by Q2, or will it go into Q3, Q4?
It is sliding a bit. Eva talked about the snow, and that continued also into a bit earlier this year. And that's also, as Eva said, you know, out of the 100, we have delivered less than half of that in the quarter. So we see now, you know, things are pushing a bit out in time, but the majority will still be first half, and then we'll go into, you know, additional orders coming in. As I talked about, you know, at collection rates, are ramping up because when you launch a deposit initially, there will be very few containers coming back to the retailers. As that volume is ramping up, the retailers will assess the capacity they have, there will come new orders, and so forth. So, but, you know, this initial phase will mainly be done by end of Q2.
Thank you. And the final one for me is on other markets. So, the backlog that you communicated last quarter was related to three specific markets, but then you also mentioned that the other markets were sort of So that suggests to me, at least, that there are some revenues here from markets that was not in the backlog in the 49 million in new markets. So how much of the 49 million was related to the backlog and how much was related to the other markets?
I think, giving specifics on that, it's very sensitive for the different markets that we operate in, but we have delivered. less than half of that 100 million into Q1, and then we'll deliver more into Q2.
And you have contributions, for example, from Romania in the quarter. That is part of 49. And this is continuing delivering quite some time after their launch date.
Thank you. Thank you, Markus. Do we have another question from... We have one coming in from Adela Dashian at Jefferies. Please go ahead, Adela.
Thank you, and good morning, all. Just two questions from me. First, on tariffs, there was a change to Section 232 earlier in April. Do you see this impacting your affected blended tariff rate at all?
Yeah. We don't necessarily see that that will impact significantly on how we operate Adela. And then, of course, we are trying as much as possible to push the potential impact to our customers on the additional cost. But we will, of course, come back with details if it turns out to be significant for Tomla.
We don't have a significant impact. tariff cost in our P&L, but of course it's still impacting the investment sentiment.
Okay, I see. Do you know what your effective tariff rate was prior to this change? Because if I'm remembering correctly, 50% tariff on just the metals content and then there was an additional tariff on the remaining value. So I would assume that your blended rate would have been lower than 50%.
Yeah, and that's correct. And I'm happy to come back to you with further details on that after the call, Adela.
Great, thanks a lot. And then also, did you specify what percentage of your revenues in collection came from existing versus new markets in the quarter?
Yes, we did. So out of the 208 million euros that we have in collection, 49 million came from the new markets and the rest from existing.
Great. That's all for me. Thank you. Thank you.
I think that was Do we have another question from you, Mariah Adesina? I see your hand is raised, so please go ahead and ask it.
Hi, sorry, just two follow-ups. Just on the Middle East conflict, Tony, obviously you mentioned the impact it's been having on plastic prices. I'm just wondering if there are any other impacts that you're seeing in terms of your business or if it's not really relevant. And then secondly... Have you disclosed whether or not Poland is largely a throughput market versus sales and service in terms of the business model that's there?
Yeah, so Poland is mainly a sales and service market. On the Middle East situation, of course, this is impacting all businesses. We have done an assessment of both the direct impact and potentially indirect impact, which will be caused by higher inflation, energy prices increases, etc. and put in place mitigating actions to ensure that we are covering that risk but of course the main impact for us is linked to the investment sentiment and what will this do to the underlying GDP growth throughout the different countries and the general investment sentiment is both in food and in recycling a large portion of ourselves is into CapEx projects so currently we don't see any kind of large short-term impact but of course depending on how this develops there is you know significant risk now and it definitely is not you know helping to boost the recovery within recycling okay that's helpful thank you
And with that, I believe we have reached the end of today's presentation. Thank you everyone for tuning in. The next time we will be here is on the 17th of July with our Q2 results. Thank you very much and have a nice day. Goodbye.
