2020 Bulkers Ltd

Welcome to 2020 Bolgers Q3 2025 financial presentation. Today's call is being recorded. All participants will be in a listen-only mode throughout the presentation and afterwards there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question please press five star on your telephone keypad. I would now like to introduce CEO Lars Christian Svendsen. Please begin.

Thank you, operator. Welcome to the Q3 2025 conference call for 2020 Bulkers. My name is Lars Christian Svensson, and I'm joined here today by our CFO, Vilar Hasun. Before we begin the presentation, I would like to remind you that we'll be discussing matters that are forward-looking. These statements reflect the company's current views regarding future events and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results may materially differ from those anticipated. I will now proceed with the highlights of the quarter. We reported a net profit of 9.8 million and an EBITDA of 14.2 million. The gross TCE earnings for the quarter were approximately $35,100 per day. We declared a total dividends of 54 cents per share for the months of July, August, and September, and the company used FFA to hedge two vessels at $33,700 per day from the 1st of August until 31st December. The company also signed agreements to sell vessels Bolk Sonnefjord, Bolk Santiago and Bolk Schensen for a total consideration of $209 million with an agreed delivery to the new owners in Q1 2026. In subsequent events, we signed an agreement to sell the vessel Bolk Sao Paulo for a total consideration of $72.75 million with Q1 2026 delivery for this unit as well. For October, we achieved a time chart equivalent of about $36,000 per day and a dividend payout of 19 cents per share for the month. And with that, I will now pass the floor to Vidar.

Thank you, Lars Christian. 2020 Bulkers reports a net profit of $9.8 million and earnings per share of 43 cents for the third quarter of 2025. Operating profit was $11.7 million and EBITDA was $14.2 million for the quarter. Operating revenues and other income were $19.3 million for the third quarter. The average time chart equivalent rate was approximately $35,100 per day gross. Vessel operating expenses were $3.7 million, and the average operating expenses per ship per day were approximately $6,600 in the third quarter. G&A for the third quarter was $1.2 million. 2020 bulkers recognized approximately $0.5 million in management fee as other operating income in the financial statements. Interest expense were $1.9 million for the quarter. Shareholders' equity was $148 million at the end of the quarter. Interest-bearing debt was $112.5 million at the end of the third quarter and is non-amortizing until maturity in April 2029. Cash flow from operations was $12.2 million for the quarter. Cash and cash equivalents were $15.2 million at the end of the quarter. The company declared total dividends to shareholders of 54 cents per share for the months of July, August and September 2025. That completes the financial section. And now back to you, Lars Christian.

Thank you, Vidar. 2020 bulkers still have six scrub-defeated Newcastle maxes with an average age of about five years. all vessels are time charted out on index link period contracts to solid counterparts. At each given time, we have the option to convert the vessels from index link to fixed rates using the forward FFA curve as a price metric if we see value in the forward curve. This structure has been an integral part of the company's commercial strategy, which has led us to net profit every quarter since inception in 2019. Not only have we been positive, but we also paid out dividends to the shareholders in 65 consecutive months, which equals 163% of the total paid-in capital. The company has an industry-low cash break-even of $11,500 per day for the entire fleet. Due to our vessel's superior intake and speed design compared to a standard cape-sized vessel, we only need the Baltic Cape Size Index to be above $7,500 per day to make money. As you can see from the historical market graph, with the current company structure, 2020 bulkers will generate a profit and healthy dividend capacity in almost any market. We take pride in our low cash break even, but even more pride with our structure linking it with a healthy dividend capacity. If the Baltic Cape Size Index is $20,000 per day, we will yield 12%. If the index is $30,000 per day, we'll yield about 20%. And when the Baltic Cape Size Index hits $40,000 per day, 2020 bulkers will yield about 30%. Now let's move on to the market section. The Baltic Cape Size Index is currently higher than the average from 2015 to 2024, and also higher than in 2023 and 2024, respectively. The largest drivers have been increased bauxite exports from West Africa to China, but also strong iron ore exports from Brazil to China. Both legs are long-haul routes, which has provided a healthy market level and increased tonn-miles. The ton-mile story continues to move in the right direction after a significant drop at the end of Q4-24. Ton-mile for Q3 for Cape size was up 2% year-over-year, driven by long-haul trades from the Atlantic to Asia. Oxide from Guinea has surpassed positive expectations every month and is up 28% year-over-year and 15% in Q3 alone. Iron ore exports are continuing its positive trajectory, with increased exports from both Brazil and Australia, and coal remains subdued and is currently down 15% in Q3 year-over-year. In Q4 2024, we saw a decline in coal transported on Cape size and Newcastle max, which led to weaker freight rates. We're still not close to transport the pre-Q4 24 coal volumes on the larger sizes, but we are seeing more coal back on the Capes and Newcastle maxes in the last two quarters. This is due to more activity on the grain trade for the Panamaxes, which has left more coal for our segments. We also see in 2025 that for the first time in history, more bauxite is transported on the larger sizes than coal, which marks an important shift in trade dynamics. Bauxite is now responsible for 16% of the total cape size in Newcastle-Max volumes. China's appetite for high-grade iron ore has exceeded even last year's record import numbers with a 4% increase year over year. As you can see from the left graph, the domestic Chinese iron ore production is trending down. Domestic iron ore production was down 3% year over year in 24 and down 1% to date in 2025. This may be another signal that Chinese domestic iron ore production is becoming less economical due to its low FE content estimated around 20%. On the right graph, you can see that import volumes are on the rise with higher grade iron ore from the Atlantic being the main driver. With Chinese iron ore inventories down approximately 10% year over year, this indicates a healthy iron ore demand scenario as we soon wrapping up 2025. The first volumes from the Simandou mine in Guinea are currently being loaded, according to our sources. This milestone represents another strong frontal leg from the Atlantic, which will continue to boost the tonne mile story. Over a 24-month ramp-up phase, the mine is targeting 120 million tonnes of high-grade iron ore per annum for the market. With the additional valley capacity increase by 2026, we expect a total of 170 million tons of high-grade iron ore from the Atlantic, most of which will be exported to China. As shown on the right graph, comparing these volumes to the record-low order book, the supply story strengthens further. The bauxite volumes have exceeded forecasted volumes by a landslide this year, a 28% increase in ton-mile-year-over-year, and the world's seaborne bauxite has had a 15% increase in Q3 2025. As the rain season is coming to an end in Guinea, we're positive to the bauxite story as we're entering the high season for this commodity in the coming quarter. Before we end today's presentation, we continue to highlight the historically low order book. We are at a 25-year record low, standing at 9.3% of the total existing Cape size fleet. Active shipyards are down 60% from the peak in 2008, making it challenging to build any meaningful capacity that could disrupt the favorable supply dynamics for the next few years. The visibility of additional capacity remains and we continue to thank other shipping segments for their continued new building additions. I will now pass the word back to the operator and welcome any questions you might have.

Thank you. If you do wish to ask a question, please press 5 star on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, you may do so by pressing 5 star again. The first question is from the line of Patrick Telger from ABG. Please go ahead. Your line will now be unmuted.

Good afternoon. A quick question in sort of the prospect after the four ships now is delivered to its new owners in Q1. Two ships left. What should you say about what is the likely employment if any, for those two. And in the event of the four being sold and the two remaining, what is your current plans for deploying those dollars coming from the ship sales? Buying new ships, everything else in dividends, or anything else? Thank you.

Thank you for the question. We are, though, four to five months away from the transaction being closed and money in the account. So it's a bit too early to announce what we're going to do going forward when we have four or five months of business as usual here. We're trying to optimize as much as we can, make as much money as we can in the meantime. We take quite a lot of pride in being transparent and being shareholder-friendly, and we will naturally strive to continue that going forward as well. I do understand the question, but as always, we will notify the market if and when we buy or sell new ships.

Understood. Thank you. Looking further into 2026, do you... I remember, if you go back to, I think it was in Q4 2023, you said that the first quarter in 2024 would be not as weak as the market seemed to expect. And at the time, that was a very accurate prediction. In terms of Q1 2026, do you think the Borg site volumes, in combination with the Simundu volumes, will counteract the normal, very weak seasonality, particularly in February, or will it be more or less the same as we saw in Q1 this year?

Whoever had a crystal ball, but I'll try. I think Q1 is more interesting now than it's been... for many, many years. Because the bauxite volumes are up high season, as you know, out of Guinea, you'll expect a lot of volumes going from there into China. And in the Simandou mine as well, we will experience more volumes in that particular window than we have done in the past. What's also quite alluring is that There is fairly dry in West Africa at that time of year, so we expect the volumes to keep on flowing. You obviously have the X factor from Brazil. Is it going to be a wet season? Is it going to be dry? But all in all, I think the historical Q1 dundrums will not have as much impact going forward and see a little bit more stable market across the quarters. I'm quite confident that Q1 will remain stronger in the years to come than what they've been in the past because of these new volumes and the ton mile intensity of it all.

Thank you so much. Thank you.

Thank you. Let me just remind you, if you wish to ask a question, please press five star on your telephone keypad now. It does not look like we have any further questions from the telephone call, so I'll hand it back to the speakers.

Thank you very much for listening in, and we look forward to speaking to you next quarter as well. Thank you very much. Thank you.