7/28/2023

speaker
Xavier Huillard
Chairman & CEO

Good morning to you all. Thanks for joining us for the presentation of our first half results. So a few pictures to start with on the cover of the booklet. You no doubt have before you this inartist view of the future. Saint-Cloud station of the mega contract of Line 15 West that we won recently. And this is a first with the Grand Paris company. Design and build five stations, 14 kilometers of tunnels, 2.71 billion of revenue to be delivered in Paris. 20, 30, 31. The Grand Paris Express is truly becoming a reality and it's without doubt going to boost the economic activity of the Paris region. Next, we often talk to you about decarbonizing the road and in particular the auto route that's imperative and urgent. And we're going to be testing two technologies allowing all e-vehicles, in particular trucks, to charge as they roll. It's a big advantage because you can reduce the power and weight of onboard batteries. Tests will take place over two years, 23 to 26, on two two-kilometer stretches near Saint-Arnaud, the aim being to certify the technologies that could then be deployed on very busy Next, a photograph here that shows one of the platforms of the Cape Verde Islands. We completed and closed the financing of this 40-year concession whose aim is to support, stimulate economic growth through the development of tourist potential of these islands. And of course, in our program, we've planned to make major initiatives for the environment and the production of renewable energy. It symbolizes the fact that we continue to grow in the airports sector. We're consolidating through these Cape Verde airports our leadership as the leading global private operator operating 17 airports across 13 countries. We've also strengthened our stake in VIA40, and Colombia work is progressing at pace. Next slide is the image of a project won by Vinci Energy and Vinci Construction have won about 300 million euros for the two conversion ACDC stations as part of the power interconnection between France and Spain in the Bay of Biscay and then a shot of the PV farm connected to the Brazilian grid, the Belmonte farm, 570 megawatts peak power, the shot of a construction project achieved by Vinci Construction and Consortium, the Sydney Gateway in Australia, 900 million euros to Build refurbished five kilometers of road, 19 bridges and cycle lanes to illustrate the fine breakthrough by Vinci Construction over the past 10 years in Australia, in New Zealand. And lastly, the signing off plan of the first co-living project developed by Vinci Construction. real estate in the Paris region. This is part of a broader operation of urban regeneration on a former waste line where we're developing the co-living, many homes, a nursery. with a rewilding project. So, just to show you that, as on previous occasions, we're seeing that the world is brimming with projects, and this allows us to be extremely selective as we move forward. Next, to say that H1 Performance at Vinci was very solid. Vinci Airport's a spectacular turnaround, a traffic that has returned to its pre-COVID levels. If we don't take into account the part of the world that's lagging slightly behind Asia, Vinci auto routes traffic is trending well. Strong growth of activity and operating margins at Vinci Energy and Cobra. Good selectivity at Vinci Construction also improving its operating margin. All this on slide 12. sees H1 revenue to grow by 13% versus last year, whereas, as you can see, EBIT grows from $724 million over a year. You'll have noted the free cash flow of the H1 that doesn't, of course, represent annual free cash flow. As you know, a great deal of seasonality in our business. This SCF, what's interesting is that it's positive. up 542 million euros as compared to where it stood last year. And lastly, order intake being renewed very satisfactorily both in volume and quality. That's important. We can remain confident which is the best way of winning attractive projects with a good level of margin. If we now turn to the geographical split, you see that all our major areas are up, often very significantly, as the case in Central and Eastern Europe, Western Europe, excluding France. France is up 7%, also the case in the Americas broadly and in Asia, Oceania. It's worth noting that international business now represents 56% of our total activity. Diving deeper into the various businesses, Vinci Auto Roots, light vehicle traffic is up, benefiting of a number of effects. A base effect, first of all, due to the fact that last year in January 2022, there was still a residual COVID effect. So we're benefiting from that this year in terms of the base effect, number of calendar effects. Also, there were... more business, open travel days for cars, visiting friends and relatives, FVR over last year. So the numbers growth of light vehicles is very useful, 2.8% even if it's somewhat boosted by the effect that I mentioned earlier. Truck traffic is down slightly, 1.2% for calendar effects, that is the number of opening days during which trucks can travel. But it's quite likely that this slight dip also reflects economic growth, which, as we all know, is not particularly buoyant at the present time. So I won't deliver the usual speech about the auto route decarbonization. You've heard it a number of times, but we're going to trial the two engineering operations of dynamic recharging that I mentioned at the outset and to say that all our service areas, our 180 service areas are now equipped with charging points with 1,326 as we speak, 1,500 by the end of the year, and it's important on the auto route, 70 ultra-fast charging points of at least 150 kilowatts. It's important to add that we're gearing up to equip not just our service areas but our rest areas with a program to equip some 50. Airports, as I said, traffic is recovering. June traffic levels was only down 6% versus the pre-COVID situation, excluding Asia. As I said, we're at the pre-COVID traffic levels with very solid performance levels in Portugal, Serbia, Dominican Republic, or more recently in Mexico. We acquired the cluster of airports around Monterey at the right time because since the acquisition, traffic's holding up very well. Traffic continued to grow in the U.K., driven in courage by a strong increase in flights in Japan. An interesting point, international regional traffic. Singapore, Korea, Taiwan has strongly accelerated of late, whereas traffic with China is being reestablished gradually. Vinci Airport, very good containment of operating costs in spite of cost inflation, not just energy and all this, leads to the performance shown here, and in particular, a fine increase in prices the operating margin. Of course, we continue to roll out our environmental policy across our 72 assets. Other concessions? Slide 16, as I said, we've strengthened our stake in the VIA 40 in Colombia that we now fully consolidate. We included Antrevias In Brazil, a concession of 570 kilometers in the state of Sao Paulo. Just after the two slides I've shown you, I'd like to indicate that the strategy incepted in 2006 aimed at diversifying infrastructure concessions projects. by growing Vinci airports allow us to post these significant figures. You can see that excluding French Orta routes today in concession, we're achieving 2 billion euros in business and 1.2 billion in EBITDA on the half as against, as you saw previously, 3 billion in business, 2.3 billion EBITDA for Vinci Orta. progressing, we're beginning to reap the benefits of the strategy that was initiated back in 2006. Works, look at the order intake, excellent level, as you can see on slide 17, both at Vinci Energy, COBRA, as well as Vinci Construction, and also the three segments, geography, France, Europe, excluding France, and international are all up with particularly strong growth as regards international. Diving deeper, Vinci Energy is in great shape, well-established across the four major dynamic trends, energy efficiency, the energy transition, and its adjunct, the energy electricity development that is growing in the energy mix and also the digital revolution with its huge need for data capture, retrieval, data storage, data operations and management that accounts for the sharp increase in the business, 18% on the harvest this last year, 13% in France and 21% outside France. and international where we've now gone flat out for a while represents 56% of the total. Vinci Energy, what's more, is improving its EBIT margin 6.8% on the half as against 5%, 65% in 22 and in accordance with their corporate culture continuous flow. of small to medium deals, 14 since the beginning of the year, to complete our geographical coverage and expertise. So Vinci Energy is proving to be an extraordinary machine that has a key role to play in the energy and digital transitions underway. posting the same momentum both in terms of flow business and the major ramp-up in EPC projects linked to the energy transitions with new ACDC conversion stations for offshore wind farms in the North Sea with, of course, high power transmission projects, high voltage in Brazil or Australia, also a good crop of PV farms, be it in the Iberian Peninsula or Brazil. The Belmonte power plant in Brazil was, as planned, connected to the Brazilian grid and put into production the day before yesterday. It's a major milestone for us because it's the first renewables project fully developed by Cobra and that we're going to keep in our portfolio. So since yesterday, we can consider that we're producing green power big time. Others in Brazil, Portugal, Spain, total power of 1.4 gigawatts to be constructed before the end of the year. The performance shown here are being delivered both in terms of energy development, order intake, and EBIT margin. Vinci Construction, we're also seeing a very good half. Revenue up 11%, 7% in France, 15% internationally. The activity is comprised of many local projects, buildings, civil engineering projects, the flow business as we call it, but activities particularly buoyant in major mobility infrastructure in France, the Grand Paris Express, line HS2 in the U.K., several auto routes, rail links in Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and the fixed link, the undersea fixed link, pretty extraordinary between Germany and Denmark. Let's dive deeper on the order intake. Very good progress of small projects below 5 million euros represent just over 60% of the order intake. It's important for us because it generates a great deal of resilience. And that's not always how we're perceived because we communicate a lot on the major projects that allow us to show you some fine pictures. But you need to know that 60% of the business logged over half projects lower than 5 million euros. It's very important to track that because that's what allows us to maintain the resilience of Vinci Construction. At the same time, we're seeing an increase in projects between 5 and 50 million euros, and this is something we've seen for a while now, an increase in the elementary size of projects, which is pretty much a good news because very often these are more technical projects in which we we can better showcase our ability to deliver value added. You're seeing that Vinci Construction is now achieving 55% of its business internationally in accordance with our strategy and the EBIT margin continues to grow but of course as you know that this margin is in no way a reflection of the full year because of the high seasonality of a number of sectors, notably road construction. Lastly, Vinci Immobilier, real estate that doesn't escape the deep crisis. Reservations are down 36 percent, revenue down 23 percent. It's obviously not very good news, but for us, as you know, it's a very modest activity. We can also note that two segments are performing better, that of hotels and what we call managed residences, either for seniors or students. This is a sector that is still faring quite well. We have 38 residences in service and nine new managed residents to be commissioned by the end of the year. That's what we can say now. Over to Christian Laberry, who will reflect that in the figures.

speaker
Christian Labeyrie
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Xavier. Slide 24. Slide 24 compares changes in revenue for H-123 relative to H-122, raising a 13 percent increase in revenue, including 12 percent organic growth. And this reflects the good momentum in our businesses in line with the previous fiscal years. The change is homogeneous between the three main branches between 12 and 13 percent organic growth. Plus 13% in concessions. The rebound in air traffic continues. Good traffic on highways. 13% for energy, 14% for COBRA, 12% for construction. The only caveat, as we said, is real estate. There's a 23% drop in revenue. Scope effects are relatively limited this year. To date, a growth contribution of 2.6 percent. Additional growth, which comes in addition to organic growth, with the consolidation of OMA, which accounts for about $300 million revenue over the half year. Forty acquisitions between last year and this year, which provides additional revenue of about $380 million. Euros, the main two segments are ICT by Contran in Europe and Otera in Norway. We're talking electricity infrastructure. Sephora is slightly negative, minus 0.6 percent. That is the impact of the euro rising against sterling. Next slide. France versus international, strong Boeing business in international operations of 20%. This gives us organic growth of 16%. But France has nothing to be ashamed of with strong growth of about 7%, which is slightly higher, more much higher than inflation. So we're talking 56 percent of the total increasing year-on-year. This is one of the main thrusts of our strategy. It has been for years. We want to increase the share of international operations in our revenue and profit. Now, operating income, 3.5 billion euros, i.e. 11 percent of revenue, an increase of 724 million. A strong increase in Vinci airports, EBIT reached 780 million. And half of that is due to the consolidation of OMA EBIT for Vinci. Auto route exceeds 1.6 billion. It's an improvement of over 150 million euros. We're also seeing improvements in Vinci Energy, Scopro IS, and Vinci Construction, both in quantum terms and in terms of the margin rate. As we said before, the only caveat, as I said before, is real estate. We're seeing a slight loss of 16 million in the first half versus a profit of 28 million last year. Now, our operating income, slide 27. We are seeing a strong increase of the IFRS 2 expense, which is mostly explained by the increase in the expense related to the group savings plan due to strong subscription. Initially, we have created 5.9 million new shares in the first four-month period of the year. We're working on the basis of four month periods but there's also been a change in method which has currently been implemented in France following recommendations from accounting authorities and this means a lower discount linked to the mobilization of shares. Other aspects, we're seeing an improvement in equity accounted associates. And this can be explained by the better performance of airports in Japan, which have now broken even though traffic has not returned to its 2019 level. Very few non-recurring items, as you can see. We're seeing an increase in cost of debt and financial interest. It should have been higher than what we're seeing on the screen because out of the 340 million in net financial expenses, we're taking into account the one-off impact of 170 million euros linked to the restructuring of the debt incurred to acquire London Gatwick. So this impact, unfortunately, will not repeat itself every single half year. But we managed to cut our losses. caused by the impact of interest rates hikes. We're seeing an increase in the tax liability and a stronger negative contribution of non-controlling interest, which represent the share of our partners in Gatwick Airport. They own less than 50 percent, and the share of OMA shareholders, which exceeds 70 percent of the share capital. So a net profit of about 2.1 billion sharply increasing over last year. And this is reflected in the EPS of 3.65 euros per share. Next slide, please. Number 28, we're seeing changes in debt over the half year. Next year, we can do a comparison over a 12-month trailing basis, which is probably more relevant considering the seasonal variations in our businesses. However, we are seeing an increase, which makes sense. This half year, despite a strong increase In EBITDA, 5.3 billion versus 4.5 billion in the first half of last year. Vinci Autoroute accounts for over 40 percent of EBITDA. And energy, in the broad sense of the word, plus Vinci Airports account for about 20 percent of EBITDA for the half year, respectively. WCR is shifting negatively. It has increased over the first half of the year, but to a lesser extent than last year, thanks to COBRA IS and Vinci Construction. Financial interest is up. Taxes are up. That makes sense. We've already analyzed that. CapEx is also strongly up, about 500 million euros. And this mostly relates to Vinci Airports. You probably remember that it strongly reduces investments during COVID, particularly with regard to Gatwick. And Cobra IS is investing into its public-private partnership projects, electricity infrastructure projects in Brazil. and renewable energy projects, particularly Belmonte. We're seeing a number of disposals and an impact of dividends and share buybacks, which is slightly higher than what it was last year. So by and large, debt is less than 21 million euros. And it breaks down between gross debt, about 28 billion euros, and cash to the extent of 800 million euros. Next slide, please. This reminds us that, yes, we are happy that we are in positive cash flow generation territory. It hasn't happened very often, only four times. But let's stay humble because the bulk of that cash flow is generated in the second half of the year. We could even say in the very last months or even weeks of the year due to significant inflows in the fall. However, This is still a source of satisfaction. The free cash flow in H-1 is improving relative to H-1 last year. We are in positive territory. Next slide, please. The consolidated balance sheet. Our capital employed accounts for over $56 billion. Out of the $56 billion, we have $44 billion in concessions broken down as follows. $20 billion for Vinci Autoroute, $20 billion for Vinci Airports, and about $3 billion for the other concessions, mostly Vinci Highways. The rest of the 23 billion euro in the, we have about 10 billion, 13 billion WCO. So Vinci Energies, Cobra, so the energy branch accounts for a little over 10 billion euros. So much for our balance sheet. Now, our financial policy, I keep saying the same thing. But it makes sense, so I don't see why I should change my tune. Liquidity is high. It's important to us. It's important to have liquidity, to have cash when you have gross debt that you need to manage. And at the same time, you need to grow in order to maintain our elbow room so we can make the right investment choices when we need to make them, as opposed to based on financial constraints. that come from markets. At the end of June, we have 18.5 million in liquidity, including a billion in cash. The 10.5 billion in credit lines will be brought down to eight. We decided not to renew the 2.5 billion credit lines set up in July last year for one year, but that could have been extendable. So what's the point of continuing to pay fees? when we don't absolutely need to. So $8 billion in cash broken down as follows between the holding company and our subsidiaries. So in total, $8 billion, which is still a pretty good level of cash. Our rating, both for S&P and Moody's, has been confirmed. The level is good, A minus, A3, depending on S&P or Moody's, with outlook stable in both cases. This means we will continue to issue bonds, as you can see in the lower right-hand corner. We have issued bonds for 1.3 billion euros between ASF and Vinci SA in over a 12-month trading basis. We're doing pretty well. Yes. Credit terms are more expensive than in previous years, but we're still doing pretty well, over 3 percent for the annual coupons. Last slide, the change in gross cost of debt. It's relatively limited, 3% of the average cost over the first half compared with 2.5 in H1 2022. In actual fact, the 3% takes into account the one-off item that I talked about before with regard to the debt incurred to finance the acquisition of London Gatwick. Otherwise, we have about 4%, a little over 4% in cost of debt, which is more than previous years. And on the right-hand side, you see the explanations, shifts in the different currencies. We're about 4 percent, slightly under 4 percent, but considering yesterday's ECB announcement, it could be higher in the next few months. We're hoping this will stabilize, and we expect the trend will go down. Sterling, close to 5 percent. Dollars, higher than 5 percent. On the left-hand side, the pie chart shows that a significant share of our debt is no longer Euro-denominated, and this shows our growth. For a number of years now, we've grown our business in the UK, but also in the dollar zone in Latin America, and these currencies are costing us more than the euro, obviously. Thank you very much, Christian. I'll go quickly before Q&A. This is our outlook for 2023. For the most part, we are reiterating our guidance. I will point out the slight changes when it comes to French auto routes. As usual, Much will be decided this summer, and it is premature to revise our guidance of a stable traffic mix for the year as a whole. With regard to Vinci Airport, clearly we are on the right track, but we are not expected yet to fully return to 2019 levels. due to the delay in Asia, including Japan and Cambodia. Regarding our construction businesses, we need to look at our order book. On slide 36, we can see that our order book is both at an all-time high and of excellent quality. Vinci Energies, well, what's the outcome? 2023, we'll see growth. Vinci Energy is expected to maintain at the very least a high level of operating margin recording in 2022. Cobra has a record order book and is expected to record sales growth of at least 10% while remaining among the best in the industry in terms of operating margin. For keen observers, you will have noticed two changes compared with our previous guidance. First of all, with regard to venture construction, venture construction is expected to post slight sales growth and improve its operating margin. And free cash flow, as we said six months ago, free cash flow should range between 4 and 4.5 billion euros throughout the year. Now, we'd like to add that we should be closer to the top end of that guidance range. So for Vinci as a whole, we expect further growth in sales and operating income, but to a lesser extent than in 2022. And our net income should be slightly higher than 2022, despite the increase in borrowing costs. That's all we can say. So we would like to reiterate that Vinci is a solid company. We're extremely diversified in terms of business lines and increasingly so in terms of geographies. Our group is well positioned on the underlying trends of the environmental transition and the energy transition. We are highly agile organizationally. We are poised to weather crises. We've shown that throughout the COVID pandemic. We're also feisty when it comes to securing contracts where we can fully show value added. And this means we are well equipped and we're particularly confident in our ability to pursue our virtues and sustainable growth trajectory over the years to come. I'd like to wrap up by saying that in view of all these factors, the Board of Directors, which met yesterday, has decided to pay an interim dividend of 1.05 euros per share. And of course, this does not prejudge the outcome for the full year. Page 38 shows the sequence of dividend payouts over the past 10 years. Our EXCOMM members are also here or have logged in remotely. And we're standing by to answer any questions you may have. Ladies and gentlemen, if you'd like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your keyboard. We will let you know when to ask your question. Question 1, Jean-Christophe Lefebvre-Moulinck, CIC. You have the floor. Hello. Hello to the entire team. Can you hear me? We can hear you, Jean-Christophe. Wonderful. I have a couple of questions on my end. I have a general question regarding the risk equation for projects, particularly COBRA IS projects in renewables. There are a number of important contracts for third parties. Could we have more color regarding the breakdown of risks? Are you bearing all of the risks, particularly when it comes to commodity supplies? Are you sharing risks with the customer? Same thing for the Grand Paris, the Greater Paris contract. design-build contracts riskier. Could we have additional explanations on that? In addition, and I'm happy about that, Vinci Auto Roots is improving its EBITDA by over 160 million. What is the highest contributor to that growth in EBITDA? Thank you very much. I don't know how you do it. whether in person or virtually. It's always Jean-Christophe who gets to ask the first question. I don't know how he does it. Congratulations. Regarding COBRA more specifically, but of course, this applies to all of our Vinci energies and Vinci construction businesses. Obviously, don't take this verbatim, but we are moving into a phase where the ability to do things ourselves is absolutely key. And this gives us good pressing power relative to our customers, because there's a growing number of geographic areas where our customers have a lot of projects, but they don't necessarily know how to go about it, and they don't have a lot of providers that can help them. And this means we are well poised to maintain our selective policy. We only took an interest in projects where we can truly provide value added, but also we get to be a little more ambitious when it comes to profit margin. So that's an underlying trend. Of course, needless to say, Cobra, this applies to Cobra as well. When it comes to the breakdown of risks, how we wish to break down risks between us and our customers, Pierre Anjolras can answer that question. You can take the question regarding inflation and how we pass on our higher cost on to customers. And also, with regard to DB contracts and the Greater Paris project, as Xavier rightly said, the ability to do things and get things done is more and more a prerequisite. And that's what our customers care about. When it comes to DB contracts, there's a long, months-long, sometimes years-long phase. marked by workshops, and through those workshops with the customers and other candidates, you get to fine-tune the project, the shape of it, and the contract terms and conditions. More specifically, you get to fine-tune a transparent allocation of risks between the customers and the consortium of contractors. The customer should bear the risk that he knows how to manage. That way they understand that it's better for them to bear those costs themselves rather than to assign them to the contractors. So joint preparation for the contract is absolutely key. It's a long process, but this is how you ensure proper risk breakdown. It's important, particularly when it comes to inflation, a growing number of customers prefer to bear that risk, particularly including in sectors where they were not used to doing that, the construction sector in particular. So those risks have been successfully transferred to the customer.

speaker
Xavier Huillard
Chairman & CEO

What I'd also add is the diversity of skills in Vinci Group in each of the divisions whilst coming together with varying sets of expertise on the multi-business contracts. It's the case for the Grand Paris project where we have underground work experience on the conventional contracts, rail experience, experience from the energy world and this ability we have to work together across the various groups' skill sets is a real value. So each can manage these technical and organizational risks, plus the ability with our grant project entities we have to federate all that and provide project governance and leadership. So we're fully confident in our ability to have correctly read the risks on these big projects. Well, I didn't quite understand the last question on the EBITDA Avinci auto routes, but maybe Pierre Copé can provide you an answer with that. On the EBITDA Avinci auto routes, it's up significantly. There are three packs, productivity, volume, and a base effect of the TP09 index on calculate the provision for major repairs last year, and that accounts for the spectacular leap this year. Ladies and gentlemen, if you'd like to ask a question during today's call, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. Next question comes from Elodie Hall, JP Morton.

speaker
Elodie Hall
Analyst, JP Morgan

You have the floor.

speaker
Xavier Huillard
Chairman & CEO

Yes, hi, everyone. My first question is What concerns the hot topic regarding the auto routes and the government's proposal to tax all the French concessions or auto routes will be the major contribution for that. Could you perhaps give us an update on where we're at, current state of play on your view? Do you think that this project is likely to pass? To what extent are the motorway operators mobilizing? And if it goes through, could it herald further changes in contracts going forward? That's my first question. Second question on airports. We saw that traffic has returned to 2019 levels. But as of now, aren't you fearing that we've kind of reached a peak on growth where we see a lot of fair amount of disruption this summer? June traffic levels were already slightly impacted by major, many strikes in airlines that are reducing capacities and being highly focused on yield. So I'd like to have your view on that. And thirdly, Minor, more technical question on Lisbon in particular, Lisbon Airport, Montijo. Have discussions... have progressed on the expansion. When do you think we can start the works and what about the CAPEX? Thank you. Thanks Elodie for that. I'm going to hand over to Pierre to talk about the auto routes, Nicolas on the next two. Yes, on the taxation of the plan to tax the auto routes, you need to recall here that this idea stemmed from the erroneous idea that there's over profitability of the auto route concessions. This idea was countered by a number of arguments but I would note how it went unnoticed that following the statements made by the government, the finance committee on the 22nd of March, the ART, the transport regulator redid a focus on the profitability of concessions. that came after its report back in January this year and its report in January 21 there confirms that there's no significant gap between the project IRR rate of return of concessions as planned and as noted in the calculation to date done by the regulator. Then the government had pledged through Minister Bond to give the view of the council estate on the two questions put to it. To what is it possible to change the duration of concessions and is it possible to tax auto route concessions? And to date, we have not. obtain the publication of this opinion. I think it would be good for the contractual stability and, of course, the contractual loyalty that this opinion be published. So we continue to ask for the publication of that opinion. It would allow us to know what legal framework we are because we now know what economic framework we are now that the ART has published its focus. Nicola. Yes. Hello. So in terms of growth recovery, you'll have noted that a few years back it was envisaged that return to previous growth levels would be later, 24, 25, excluding Asia. We're now back to pre-19 levels. So as we... put in the document, we're seeing major variances. We see that our geographic mix is ensuring growth drivers that are set to continue wide. Asia, Japan, Cambodia were well below 2019 traffic levels, so this recovery of Chinese traffic that hasn't really taken place guarantees steady progress. In H2 and going forward, probably through to a return to normal, that's what's missing. Chinese traffic, Japanese outbound, Japanese travelers, that's still lacking in our mix. And then about your question on Europe, well, Europe today currently we're pretty much on a 2019 level. There are the difficulties of European air traffic control, both social and technical difficulties and problems that you flagged. But to date, they're not leading to a reduction in travel demand. We're seeing that bookings, reservations this summer is very buoyant, notably intra-European traffic and tourism and VFR have recovered very well. way above 2019 levels, not the case for business travel. So our geographic mix and diversity is such that growth drivers that haven't yet recovered will guarantee an uptick. That's why we're pretty confident for the coming months. Turning to Lisbon now, we're resuming CAPEX. We did some qualitative investments on the current site. We have regular extension plans. We're seeing that Lisbon traffic, you've seen our figures at the end of June, is very good. Portugal generally is one of the three European countries with the strongest growth in The first half growing strongly versus 19. There's a national public debate and that due date has been postponed to the end of the early next year. On the next steps is to the countries, the grantors to decide on their choice, so we're confidently awaiting on the decision for the future capabilities of Lisbon that will be decided. But we're investing in Lisbon airports that are port-owned, ensuring strong traffic, both in Portugal. Thank you. Our final question on the French call comes from Nicolas Mora, Morgan Stanley. Over to you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Nicolas?

speaker
Nicolas Mora
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Nicolas?

speaker
Christian Labeyrie
Chief Financial Officer

Yes. Did you say something? You spoke, but we did not hear you. I think that Elodie wanted to go back to the issue of our roots. I understand Mr. Croupet's point of view, but I think that... The question has more to do with your discussions with the government. Is there a dialogue going on? Is there the possibility of dialogue on taxes, but also in the broader sense on contracts? That's my first question. Secondly, one thing is sure. When it comes to Vinci Energies and Cobra, we're seeing a slight slowdown. In Q2, what kind of expectations are you seeing in the field from industry players? Are they looking for dreamy projects such as data centers, or are you seeing a lack of steam there? When it comes to airports, Gatwick in particular, maybe we're biased because we're based out of London, but Gatwick doesn't have a good reputation. Quality of service is still bad. What are your intentions? Are you going to invest more, invest more OPEX into Gatwick to secure medium-term growth, improve quality of service at Gatwick? And one last question, if I may, regarding the capex level. Could you give us more color on COBRA's capex? What's breakdown between renewable energies, PPPs, the non-concession capex profile for the first part of the year, which is significant. Okay, so obviously there's a lot of questions coming in both from Nicolas and Elodie. Pierre, did you have an opportunity to talk to the government about all of that? We talk to the government on a regular basis whenever they ask us to help improve purchasing power of French residents. We believe that it is not legitimate to levy additional taxes on highway concession companies. We challenge those plans and we request transparency when it comes to the Conseil d'Etat's opinion. In addition, based on the work that we've been doing both at a local level with local authorities and also the work we're doing on decarbonization, investment needs are huge. And it is urgent that we address them. This is more urgent than levying a tax which is not legally sound. Okay, just pass things up. Hello? No. In the field, we're not seeing any kind of slowdown. Well, yes, growth is showing a slowdown, but we're still double-digit growth, so it's still handsome growth. The month of May had a lot of bank holidays, and that slowed down production. And generally speaking, as Pierrot Jolras was saying, our customers have a lot of projects. Some of those projects are big. So the main problem is having the capacities to roll out those projects over the long term in satisfactory fashion. So we don't have any concerns at this point when it comes to your ability to grow your business. On the contrary, that slowdown to reasonable levels is a good thing. And we're still very much focused on controlling our profit margins, managing our risks well. And as Pierre was saying, it is important to negotiate and to make sure the negotiations cover our contractual breakdown of risk between us and our customers so that we can complete the projects of the long term. But we're not seeing any kind of slowdown in the field. On the contrary. There's a whole raft of projects coming our way and a lot of contracts that will soon expire. Now, the problem is not finding contracts and signing the contracts. It's finding teams that will develop the passion that we want to implement those projects. Hello, Nicolas. Now, perception of Gatwick has nothing to do with Gatwick's operating costs. The teams there, the teams there, particularly when it comes to the safety controls and security controls, those are responsible for less than 5 percent of the delays. We restaffed that airport in time. There are no headcount problems there. There are multiple factors involved. As I said before, air control at the EU level, both technically and workforce-wise, things are not up to scratch yet. And so when you are unable to travel to Spain or Portugal or you're unable to transit through France because of workforce or strike action, obviously flights are delayed. And there's a lot of the joint activity at the airport level that is not being handled well. Ground handling, for example, is not outsourced to the airport. It's done by airline company contractors, and the airline companies themselves don't necessarily have the spare capabilities or headcount to address those operational difficulties. So like I said, this airport comes under constraints. But as far as we're concerned, there are absolutely no operating savings that are designed to to limit the freedom and joy of our passengers. And that's the reason why, when it comes to Gatwick, we filed the DCO. And we're expecting this to come through in January 2025, and this will help us improve resilience at Gatwick, particularly the Northern Runway in Gatwick. We want to be able to use that runway by January 2025. And for that, this means more capex so we can increase the capabilities of the London airports. There's a lot of uncertainty when it comes to Heathrow as well. So as a concession company, we're doing our part to prepare, to gear up to developing advanced solutions to ensure the future of those airports. So this has been broadly investigated. When it comes to COBRA IS's capex, microphone please, there are about 200 million euros in capex, in operating capex. The distinction between operating and concession-related capex is sometimes artificial. So we have 200 for operations and 75 for concessions and PPPs. So in total, 275 million. But the other way around is true as well. So in net terms, slightly under $200 million. So we have $125 million in net investments, net investments into renewables, including $100 million for Belmonte. And then we have investments into Brazilian PPPs for power, transport. but COBRA does not carry the projects beyond the design phase. I hope you understand. I may have mis-expressed myself, but I hope you understand. Thank you. Next question.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The star and then the number one on your telephone CPAT. We'll pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Mr. Luis Prieto from Kepler. Please go ahead.

speaker
Luis Prieto
Analyst, Kepler

Good morning. Luis Prieto here. Thanks a lot for taking my questions. I have three, if possible. The first one is regarding the U.S. concession market. The I-10 finally went to the CCRX on a plenary consortium. Where does this leave you in terms of future positioning in the country? Are you looking at other potential projects now that the managed links pipeline seems to be springing back to life? The second question is that for a good while you've been talking about a selective approach to order intake on the construction front and how the focus should always be on profitability, but you continue to organically grow the divisions top line handsomely and margin does not suffer. Is this because most of that top line growth is being driven by inflation or is it because the underlying demand environment makes top line and margin expansion compatible in construction? And the third and final question is regarding potential M&A in the energy space. What should we expect? Are there any particular areas or regions you would like to strengthen?

speaker
Nicolas Mora
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you.

speaker
Christian Labeyrie
Chief Financial Officer

I'll answer in French. In a minute, I'll hand over to Nicolas Nodbar with regard to growth in concession contracts in the U.S., particularly the I-10 project. I'll take the next two questions.

speaker
Xavier Huillard
Chairman & CEO

Well, what you need to realize is the following. It may seem strange, but in fact, it's the reality of our business, both in construction as well as electrical engineering and communication. You've got two major metrics, volume and margin. If you decide to focus on volume, you can get there. It's not very difficult, but you can be pretty much certain that you're going to deteriorate your margins. But if you decide to focus on the margin... by being ready to absorb a loss in market share on the volumes, at that point what happens is generally speaking you can indeed boost your margin, which was the case of our three major activities, but cherry on the cake is very often in doing so you have as a bonus volume. It's not that you've sought volume. It's been the upshot of your very rigorous discipline policy and picking jobs. for the margin. That's precisely what's happened at Vinci Construction. That's why at the start of the year, having decided to focus on the margin of Vinci Construct, we had a guidance, a guidance which was volume stability. We implemented that strategy as we did in previous years. We're seeing a margin improvement as a bonus cherry on the cake. have volume growth that's above inflation. So once again, growth is coming, but as the byproduct of a product seeking to improve margin. I'm sorry, it's a little complicated. It may seem magical, but that's precisely how it works in our businesses. On M&A. in the energy world. I'll let Arnaud Grison answer that while saying that regarding COBRA, COBRA does practically no M&A. Historically, culturally, COBRA is focused on organic growth and not external growth. M&A happens centrally at Vinci Energy, Arnaud. Yeah, so growth of Vinci Energy rests on two legs, organic growth but also external growth. do that regularly, we'll continue to do so. We don't seek to expand into new geographies. We're present in 57 countries. We're really set to consolidate our geographies and grow in our four business lines. What we see today is we're looking for small-size deals to integrate them in our network, transmit our values and the complement. We're very vigilant, watchful on the valuations. We try and answer issues of succession of people who want to have a long-term perspective and join our model. So each and every year we do a number of deals. There are a number that have taken place so far and will continue in HD across our business lines, as Xavier said earlier, be it geographical strengthening or some strengthening on skills, business, niches, industry, information technology and building. So it's a highly fragmented market. We can still do loads of deals, but as always, the limiting factor is HR because for us to We have to recruit. We have to acquire the talent. It takes time and onboard the people so that we can successfully roll out our model. I'd like to add a point before handing over to Nicola Naba regarding ambitions. What we're doing in the U.S. on the concessions front is on the segment of renewables. Our model is first and foremost to develop ourselves renewables farms similar to Belmonte that we do not exclude rollout if it's a useful price to buy projects that are already producing renewable power when it will allow us to enter a new geography. We can accelerate our penetration. We do the effort. We buy an existing asset as well as developing from scratch. But the key of our strategy in renewables is not to buy existing capacities but rather to develop them ourselves like Belmont and Nicola. So for the U.S., it's a country where there are fewer concessions as compared to Europe or Latin America. But we have some positions in the airport, the Orlando Sanford Airport, and some management contracts such as Hollywood Burbank or a few terminals of Atlanta Airport in Georgia. On the highways, we acquired a company. We now have a position called Viya Plus. It allows us to do tolling in Texas and California. So that's a tech dimension that's quite attractive. We're, of course, seeking to... pitch in calls for tenders, a collective effort. Xavier, we analyze a construction offer at the right price, taking into account inflation and traffic and financing outlook. We won't win every time, but we'll continue to participate, to pitch searching for construction and joint concessions and greenfield projects. But we could... We're not ruling out brownfield. There needs to be some market depth and a size of construction projects that fits our competitiveness and our interests. There are a few projects in the U.S., but we'll look each geography, each project site that may meet that ambition, but possibly also there'll be some brownfield possibilities. We look at those systematically, but they're too few as compared to the size of the country today. So we look at them without any certainty. And on strategy, we're looking throughout the world, and we're difficult to talk beforehand, save that when it's made public, was made public, we had an offer on the Athens ring road as a runaway concession. Thank you. Next question.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Gregor Gogolitsch from UBS. Please go ahead.

speaker
Gregor Gogolitsch
Analyst, UBS

Hi, good morning. I hope you can hear me. A few questions, maybe firstly on contracting margins. So in the three different contracting segments, margins stepped up by varying degrees in the first half. I want to understand if you think that is kind of the trend that we should be expecting. And then maybe related to that, now that you've owned Cobra for, you know, I think 18 months, can you give us sort of an updated view what you think the margin potential in this business is, considering especially the large EPC contracts? I don't think you've ever really quantified. The second question is on airport OPEX. I want to understand... to what extent you think OPEX sort of on the whole will step up, perhaps in the second half. I guess it will do compared to the first half. But if you can give us a little bit of a sense how we should be thinking about OPEX. And then maybe a brief update on the oil and gas assets in Brazil that you kind of inherited, if you've made a strategic decision on those, please. Thank you.

speaker
Xavier Huillard
Chairman & CEO

On the margins, Contracting margins. Well, let's not dream. Trees don't reach the sky. Vinci and Cobra, Vinci Energy, they're at margin levels that make them European champions without a doubt. probability you'll have seen that for a few years now this margin has improved slowly but gradually. Our intention is to of course continue that but let's not dream here at one point. It's going to stabilize. We can't be out in front and lead the pack of competitors. The contracting margin is not yet at the level where we'd like it to be. And in fact, for that matter, it was a level that we reached a few years back. So the strategy entails what I said earlier. That's to say to work on selectivity. and seeking to improve margins, even if it's at the detriment of volume. And in fact, we're seeing that it's not detrimental to volume. So there's still some scope to improve EBIT margin and Vinci construction going forward. All this very gradually. Airport OPEX, Nicolas, anything to say? No worries on OPEX for H2. Most of the contracts are annual contracts, be it in terms of employees, for our headcount, energy. So there's no kind of unpredictability or concern in H2 on airport OPEX. I don't think I recall. I think you had a third question. It seems to have forgotten it.

speaker
Gregor Gogolitsch
Analyst, UBS

The oil and gas assets in Brazil, and sorry, to push back on the margins, sort of to come back on the margins, do you have any comment where you think COBRA could go, or is that something for the CMD in December?

speaker
Nicolas Mora
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

No, but... The CMD, what is that? Well, yeah, well, thank you for giving me that opportunity.

speaker
Xavier Huillard
Chairman & CEO

We'll do a fuller update on COBRA and in particular on renewable energy during the CMD set to be held at the end of the year, December of this year. So I would refer you to what we might be able to say and discuss on that occasion in far greater detail than today for Cobra regarding its overall margin. I'll give the same answer that was already given that covered both Vinci Energy and Cobra. Cobra is henceforth above 7% margin. like Vinci Energy, indeed, is the best in the European, indeed, possibly global industry. So it would be very good if COBRA could generate organic growth for us whilst maintaining this very good margin level.

speaker
Nicolas Mora
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Thank you.

speaker
Christian Labeyrie
Chief Financial Officer

Next question.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jose Royal from Fernando. Please go ahead.

speaker
Elodie Hall
Analyst, JP Morgan

Yes, thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Good morning.

speaker
Elodie Hall
Analyst, JP Morgan

Just a couple. On the Belmonte Solar TV plant, what revenues do you expect this plant to generate on a full year basis? And secondly, on interest expenses, excluding the Gatwick project, debt refinancing interest expenses rose by about 90% year-on-year, and we can all see that about 60% of Vinci's gross debt is floating. Is Vinci considering adding more fixed debt at some point? Thank you.

speaker
Nicolas Mora
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay, regarding Belmonté, my answer is simple.

speaker
Christian Labeyrie
Chief Financial Officer

We will give you more detailed information on CMD in December. Now, with regard to the structure of our data, I understand the question has to do with Financial interest. Financial interest was higher because there was a one-off profit of 170 million euros, and that's not going to happen again. So it was as much over the full year, except for maybe that one-off profit. which is what we factored into our initial budget for 2023. But we were maybe a little too circumspect. Obviously, we don't rule out doing better. With regard to the 400 million euro increase in H1, half of that is financial interest for debt that we are consolidating for the first time. With regard to OMA and VIA 40, when it comes to variable rate versus fixed rate debt, our strategy has not changed. The impact of our strategy has been very positive for a long time. It does sound counterintuitive. We find ourselves in unusual circumstances when it comes to fixed rate and variable rate levels. But we're not going to change our strategy because the variable rate debt should match our surplus cash. And for about a year, we have seen an improvement. It makes sense. An improvement in our cash yield and part of our variable rate debt. matches our EBITDA for airports in particular, which is broadly inflation indexed. So we're basing ourselves on the improvement in our EBITDA. So fixed rates, that would happen. Fixed rate debt, that would have to be long term, but we are seeking 2D leverage. we would find ourselves over-hedged. This does not mean we can't have one-off hedges, punctual hedges over the next one or two years. If in 2024 we are seeing a drop in short-term rates, we may plan to fix our three- or six-month URI bore rates. But now is not the time.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

from the line of Ashish Kidan with CIPI Group. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ashish Kidan
Analyst, Citigroup

Hi, this is Ashish from Citigroup. I just wanted to check on airport segment. So you recently acquired seven new airports. When do these start contributing to the revenues? That is my first question. And second is with regards to the margin. We saw good improvement in margin from airport segment. Do we expect that to continue? what would be the normal range of margin for the airport segment. Thank you.

speaker
Christian Labeyrie
Chief Financial Officer

Okay. I'm going to let Nicolas collect his thoughts. In the meantime, by definition, an airport is usually yellow-filled. It's an already existing asset. And throughout the concession contract, we will do work to improve the airport's environment, but also we will improve airport capacity. So assuming we consolidate that asset, as soon as we buy it, it will start generating revenue in EBITDA. So there's no ramp up. the kind of ramp up we see for pure greenfield projects, which sometimes happens for highways, but rarely for airports. So the second you buy the asset, it starts to contribute to both EBITDA and revenue. When it comes to profit margin, I'm going to let Nicolas explain to you that all airports look alike. Or rather, no two airports are the same. Okay, one pressing example would be consolidation of our 29.99% stake in OMA. That is a company that started performing immediately, and its performance level actually exceeded our hopes. That portfolio of airports in northern Mexico benefits from different things, strong domestic growth in Mexico, but also what we call nearshoring. In other words, the U.S. is transferring a lot of its contracting work from Asia to Mexico. There's going to be a Tesla gigafactory in Mexico. So pro rata, this has an impact on EBIT and EBITDA. So we invest in two companies which do not have a normative EBITDA or EBIT, of course, that are differences in price. So gradually, we... acquire levels of margin and concession contract lengths that are very different. And, of course, this has an impact on price. As Xavier was saying, there are very few cases where, and I have no example in mind, except for maybe Belgrade or Santiago where the work is underway, where traffic already exists. There are very few pure greenfield projects in our current airport portfolio. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Yes, good morning ladies and gentlemen.

speaker
Jose Royal
Analyst, Fernando

Thanks for taking my questions. Two questions if I may and one remark. Number one, just following up on Cobra. I mean, the order book looks amazing, the order intake even better, but your output growth is slowing and I understand the issue here, labor. But as we look forward into Q3, it seems to me that the growth will once again, like for like four below zero. 10%. So is your 10% growth target somewhat at risk as we look forward? That's one angle to the question. And the other angle to the question is, given that significant shortage in labor to fill all these orders, could your margins come under pressure at some time, at one point? That's the one question. The second question relates to your cash flow and, you know, great job, well done. But like You know, children before Christmas, we have to wait until the end of the year as analysts to see what sort of cash you generate. And I understand the nature of the business and that's the way it's done. But are there no other ways to smoothen that cash flow to an extent somehow? That's the second question. And the third point is more of a remark following up on Nicolas. Like him, I travel through Gatwick. I've also traveled through Fumicino and also Copenhagen. I mean, I'm afraid I have to say it's like day and night when you go to the other airports and you come back to Gatwick or you leave from Gatwick. And The point of making that remark is that it's frustrating because it's a freehold asset. And, you know, in Copenhagen, you can't sit down yet. It's basically a shopping mall as an airport. And there you are in Gatwick, you know, missing a trick in a way. So I just wanted to make that point and see whether that's going to change. Thank you.

speaker
Xavier Huillard
Chairman & CEO

Well, I'm going to let Nicolas answer the second question. I'm going to begin by answering your first question. The very significant increase in COBRA's order book you'll have seen is in large part brought about by the securing of major projects as part of the energy transition, notably the ACDC conversion stations in the North Sea for German utilities. So these are issues that instantaneously flatter the order intake, but whose rollout is over a very long period. Just to give you an order of magnitude. We got three yards where we're building these ACDC conversion stations. One is in Spain, the two others in Mexico. These three yards currently are saturated in terms of output capacity through the years 2031-32. So the big order of Flatter the order book, but in terms of activity will be rolled out very gradually over the long term between now and 2030. There's no exact correlation between the order book at a given moment in time and the activities as it's rolled out subsequently. That's the first point. If we weren't reasonably certain that Cobra could boost its revenue by 10% in 2023, we would not have restated it in our guidance that I set out half an hour ago. So, yes, Cobra is on a... essentially growth trajectory at least equal to 10%. That doesn't pose a problem. Then you had a somewhat additional question on talents. And if I heard you right, your question was the difficulty in having sufficient employees was likely to negative impact margin. I'd say it's the reverse. It's the opposite. That's to say we don't take a deal if we're not reasonably confident in our ability to deliver it for previously stated reasons. Increasingly, what makes the difference between the various competitors is their ability to deliver. In doing so, we can continue to be selective. We pick deals that we're interested on the basis of our ability to deliver them if we win them, but also in our ability to bring to these the value added. So the consequence of all that is that setting our order intake on our output level and taking advantage of the fact of being more exacting on our margin, the talent war that we're in globally has as a consequence that it allows us to rather improve our margins on Gatwick's second piece of flak, Nicola. Yeah, it's actually very different from earlier. Earlier we were talking about ARPEX. I said it's less than 1% in the recognized stats linked to the actual own emissions. We're doing our job on the ARPEX. It's a highly constrained airport, so no one would understand. before the extension plan that I mentioned earlier that we'd sacrifice operational surface area because the airport isn't just a shopping mall with a given surface to install even more stores as we saw. We need to leave space so that the airport can operate for the airlines and the ground handlers. So we've identified on the basis of our own experience, Fargrado and other parts of the network in terms of retail and the extension plans I mentioned earlier will incorporate more attractive commercial propositions to date. There are two factors that are boosted, the proceeds from car parks and food and beverage. In terms of the past situation, what works well in airports is car parks and food and beverage. Duty-free was already at a higher level, slightly less Gatwick because we've invested in a highly constrained airport. We knew it's going to improve, but when we have the ability to extend that I referred to earlier. Thank you. On WCR? All right. Yeah, cash flow. There's a question, why can't we smooth? Well, why can't we smooth? We can smooth a great many things, but cash flow, it's a bit difficult to smooth the cash flow. Maybe we can talk to our clients about that. We've got the seasonality of our businesses, including concessions that are kind of steadier than contracting, more regular evening concessions. The cash-in depends on traffic, and traffic isn't smooth. We're going to have significant cash-in of Vinci airports and autoroutes this summer and the beginning of the year. It's less the case in the winter. Of course, there's room for improvement. If you've got advice, we're keen to hear that, to bring the client's cash in throughout the year rather than to go flat out just before the financial close, probably what happens in a number of subsidiaries and constraints in terms of supplier terms. I mean, we are very prompt in paying our suppliers on time, sometimes more than on time, hurts the WCR. And then there's capex, capex. We tend to overestimate them in our budget, not because we don't want to do them, but materially for the same reason that you mentioned a second ago. To operationalize capex budgets in actual executed capex, we have to have calls and it generally staggers in time. So all these factors combined means that it's very difficult to have a reliable estimate right down to the final day, week of the year. But of course, I mean, we have progress to make. We realize that. Thank you. Maybe one last question in English or French. Okay. Yeah, we haven't heard much for the French. They're a bit limited in their questions.

speaker
Nicolas Mora
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Well, no last question.

speaker
Xavier Huillard
Chairman & CEO

Thank you all very much for attending this call. For those of you off on holiday, have a great holiday. We'll please

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