2/1/2023

speaker
Katarina Wilson
Acting CEO

Hello and welcome to our second quarter reporting. I'm Katarina Wilson, I'm acting CEO and today I have Anna Klausen acting CFO with me. She is a colleague of mine since many years. Before I start presenting the quarter, I would like to tell you that Marcus is sending his best regards. He's now recovering from his scheduled surgery and the plan is that he will be back within a few weeks as we have already communicated. Quarter two, another strong quarter, net sales increased by .7% and what is really encouraging is that the adult education segment for the second quarter running is showing improved earnings and profitability. In total, Academedia has adjusted EBIT, was in line with last year, 204 million and this is despite continued inflation as well as the full effect of the annual salary revision of 4.1%. And we were already indicating in the last quarter that the annual school voucher adjustment in January 2024 would compensate for higher costs. The school voucher should be inflation safe, it should reflect the cost development in society over time. The school voucher increases for 2024 are still preliminary. We have not yet received decisions from all the municipalities but the preliminary calculations are showing an average increase of just over 4% in Sweden and this should be compared to .6% last year. And for compulsory and after secondary school, the percentage increases are in line with last year and in the Swedish preschool it is somewhat below last year. But inflation is coming down in Sweden and the forecast is that this will continue to come down. We know that index-related rent increases in Sweden from January 24 will be .5% which is a lower increase and a year ago that was 10.9%. So overall our conclusion is that the school voucher on average is and continues to be inflation safe over time. Of course one major exception to this statement is the school voucher increase in the Greater Stockholm area last year meaning 2023 that was 1.8%. In November the Swedish National Agency for Education, Skolverket, published statistics showing that discrepancies between national tests and grades have decreased more in academia compulsory schools than in Sweden as a whole. Also discrepancies in upper secondary schools decreased more in academia schools than in Sweden as a whole. And this is showing that our dedicated focus on equal assessment and grading has made a difference and the work will continue. We have many quality initiatives in academia. We work with quality every day in every classroom, in every school and on top of that our compulsory schools have launched a quality program that will run for several years and this program is focusing on early support in reading, writing and mathematics especially for those children and students who need support the most. Looking ahead it is encouraging that many of our schools have seen record numbers of visitors to open houses and fairs and what is also encouraging is the allocation of occasional education places for the autumn 24 start. Academedia's adult education received 30% more places than in RCS allocation and is gaining market share. Our strategy to grow internationally remains and our longer term goal is that revenue outside of Sweden should grow from today's 25% to 50%. So moving on to page three, highlight in quarter two, as I said solid growth number of children students grew by .6% and sales by .7% and with growth in all segments including the adult education segment. Adjusted EBIT was in line with last year 204 million and EBIT and EBIT margin was higher than last year. Free cash flow was also higher than last year. So moving on briefly to page four and I really just want to especially point out the increased group overhead cost which is a normal consequence of growth. Some of our staff functions are adding extra resources as we grow. We have also had a somewhat higher activity level in the quarter but you will see a somewhat higher group overhead cost going forward but as a percentage of sales it should remain stable. Moving on to page five, rolling 12 months net sales now exceed 16 billion 16.3 and adjusted EBIT stable at 966 million and adjusted EBIT margin .9% and again a very positive free cash flow development and with that I would like to hand over to Hanna who will now take you through our segments.

speaker
Hanna
Acting CFO

Thank you Katarina and good morning everyone. Let's continue to page eight development in the quarter and starting with the preschool and international segment. The number of children increased by .5% and we continue to see growth in all countries except Sweden where two preschools have closed in the quarter. Growth was driven by acquisitions and new openings in the Netherlands and Germany. The first six months eight new units have opened in Germany and a full year plan is to start 15 new preschools is unchanged. Net sales increased by 14% compared to last year and the organic growth was 10.1. The acquisitions, win for them, fubs contributed 5.4%. Currency development had a negative effect of 1.5%. Adjusted EBIT improved and the margin was stable compared to last year despite the higher operating costs in all countries due to inflation. Also we had in this quarter higher costs for temporary staff due to higher sickness rates of about 5 million. All in all, cost increases were offset by the annual school voucher revision and lower energy costs and the acquisition contributed 5 million. And before talking about the preliminary school voucher figures, I would like to stress that they are preliminary and that they are subject to change when all decisions have been received. A more precise figure for 2024 is to be communicated in the interim report for the third quarter. So the average school voucher increase for Sweden is estimated to be just over 4%. For 2023, the increase was 5.3%. And in Norway, the preliminary school voucher increase, including parental fees, amounts to an average of 5.5%. We continue to page nine, the compulsory school segment. The number of students increased by 2.6%, positively affected by the acquisition of two units with 600 students completed in the first quarter. Adjusted for restructuring units, the number of students increased by 3.5%. Net sales increased 10.6%, positively impacted by the annual school voucher revision and student growth. Adjusted EBIT was in line with last year, 65 million. And despite this, despite inflation. The margin, however, decreased to 6%. Inflation continued to impact operating costs and rent increased by about 10 million compared to last year due to indexation. The annual salary revision of .1% as of September affected the quarter by 5 million. An increased capacity utilization and the acquisition contributed about 10 million, mitigating the inflation effect. The preliminary school voucher increase for Academedia's compulsory schools in Sweden 2024 is estimated to be just over 5%, which is in line with last year. We continue to page 10, the upper secondary school segment. Student numbers increased by 2.7%. The growth is mainly due to five units open in the last three years, adding 550 students, as well as capacity expansion. The two campuses opened last autumn, so a 13% year on year increase in the student numbers. Overall, capacity utilization in this segment increased to 86.5%. Net sales increased 5.9%. And in addition to more students, the growth is also coming from the annual school voucher revision. Adjusted EBIT and margin decreased compared to last year due to higher operating costs caused by inflation. And as Katerina mentioned, this is the first quarter with impact from inflation on all costs. Rent increased by 20 million and this annual salary revision from September affected the quarter by 15. And let me reiterate what we highlighted in last Investor Call in October and what Katerina also highlighted, is that about 30% of the schools in the upper secondary school segment in Sweden are located in Greater Stockholm area, where the school voucher increase for 2023 was 1.8%. And this increase is not compensating for the current inflation, including the annual salary revision. The preliminary school voucher increase for the upper secondary schools in Sweden for 2024 is estimated to be close to 4%, which is in line with the previous year. We continue to page 11 and the adult education segment. Sales increased 8% to 473 million due to more students in higher vocational education and the acquisition of books. Demand for higher vocational education remains high and the quarter was positively affected by short vocational education courses run in this quarter. Year over year, revenue increased by 13% and profitability increased. In the municipality business, capacity adjustment and cost cutting measures implemented last year continue to show a positive effect and profitability increased. The acquisition of books contributed 5 million. In total, adjusted EBIT increased to 46 million and the margin increased to 9.7%. But please be aware that the quarter is temporarily strong as short vocational education courses finished in December and in addition, BÖGS has almost all earnings in this quarter. The assessment is that the EBIT margin for the full year will be in the lower range of 9 to 11%. We continue to page 13, Free cash flow and investments. Free cash flow in the quarter was higher than last year, 537 billion. This is due to higher profit and a more positive effect from networking capital development. The networking capital in the comparable quarter was negatively affected by the restoration of accounts payable after calendar effect, about 200 million. Maintenance capex as a percentage of sales remains stable at 1.8%. We continue to page 14, financial position. Net debt excluding IFRS 16 was lower than last year, 1.5 billion. A leverage ratio excluding IFRS 16 was lower than last year, 0.7 and well below the financial target of less than three. Net debt including property related lease liabilities was higher than last year due to expansion in capacity, indexation and growth. And leverage including lease liabilities was 3.2, somewhat lower than last year. Last but not the least, we continue to page 15, financial performance versus target, organic growth including small Bolton acquisitions was .6% which is above our financial target of 5 to 7% growth. Adjusted EBIT margin 5.9 is below target and the target on capital structure is met, 0.7. And with that I hand back to Katerina for some comments on the voluntary share redemption program.

speaker
Katarina Wilson
Acting CEO

Yes, thank you Hanna. The AGM in November decided on a voluntary share redemption program and today we have no additional information but I would like to remind you that this program will be launched in this quarter, this third quarter and also the two parameters that have been set in this program are the maximum amount that will be repaid to the shareholders, 275 million and the redemption amount per share will be set with a premium of maximum 30% of the share price. Very shortly and I would say late February we will be providing all the details and the exact conditions of the program. And so with that I would like to open up for questions.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Operator

If you wish to ask a question please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question please dial pound key six on your telephone keypad. As a reminder if you wish to ask a question please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Beltran Palazuelo from DLTV Europe. Please go ahead.

speaker
Beltran Palazuelo
Analyst, DLTV Europe

Hello, good morning Katerina, good morning Hanna. Thank you for your presentation, for the strong results. I have two questions if I may. Regarding the vouchers of course it's preliminary but with this level of vouchers can you more or less confirm that the margins will be at least this fiscal year as last fiscal year and then my second question is regarding M&A. I remember Marcus on the last conference call saying that maybe this year you'll be a little bit more active regarding M&A so if you could give us maybe a bit of highlights say what operations you're analyzing, is there opportunities, are multiples going down due to high interest rates, if you could give us a little call-up. Thank you very much and thank you for your artwork.

speaker
Katarina Wilson
Acting CEO

Thank you Beltran. Yes I can confirm and as I said that the voucher increase will reflect inflation so yes the margin should not be affected but and I really would like to state that it's still preliminary. I don't see that we will have major changes to these numbers but it might still change somewhat but yes it should be stable. M&A and we also wrote about this in the report that this is something we are looking at all the time and of course the pandemic made it difficult for us in order to continue with some discussions that we've had but yes this is very high on our agenda so absolutely yes.

speaker
Beltran Palazuelo
Analyst, DLTV Europe

Perfect and maybe I'll catch up if I may, Catalina regarding margins in the long term and the stated target, I think that maybe your lower margins are pre-school and international and I suppose by your comments maybe the lower margins on your international business, let's say what measures are you taking to more or less bring that segment to where you want to take it?

speaker
Katarina Wilson
Acting CEO

Yes I mean if we're looking at the margin in the preschool and international segment you really need to look into each country because we have different you know measures in each country but we've spoken about Norway for a long time that we have a lag so the school voucher takes about two years to reflect the actual cost increases that we have and we have a similar pattern in Germany so that's a major reason why the margin isn't really picking up but that will come because we have this lag in the voucher increase and also we spoke about in the quarter that we have highest sick rate and especially the preschool is very sensitive to sick rate that we had in the quarter we had I think the flu season came earlier than last year you know we had in Sweden and in Norway and in Germany a lot of so that is impacting the preschool but hopefully we will not be sick for the full year so those are the main reasons.

speaker
Beltran Palazuelo
Analyst, DLTV Europe

Okay thank you very much for the valuable information all the support.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Carl Johan Bonnevier from DNB Markets please go ahead.

speaker
Carl Johan Bonnevier
Analyst, DNB Markets

Yes good morning Katarina and Hanna just following up also on your your ambition of growing the international revenues from 25 to 50 percent how much of that do you think you can source through more of organic initiatives starting new schools and similar things and what do you think would be then the logical follow-on to the previous choice question and answer the M&A part of it?

speaker
Katarina Wilson
Acting CEO

You will for sure see organic growth I mean we will continue with growing our preschools in Germany the plan this year is 15 new units that is for sure our strategy we're also looking at growing in organically with preschools in in the Netherlands but to really meet the target of 50 percent you will also see acquisitions for sure absolutely so both of course.

speaker
Carl Johan Bonnevier
Analyst, DNB Markets

But in that kind of statement would you say that you would expect the Swedish footprint to basically be unchanged so to say there is no idea of the of say decreasing the Swedish operations?

speaker
Katarina Wilson
Acting CEO

No that's not that's not the plan.

speaker
Carl Johan Bonnevier
Analyst, DNB Markets

There's a question to grow into basically so that's good. And when you look at the continued very very strong cash flow you represent and you highlighted now the the voluntary share redemption program coming looking at a similar strong cash flow going forward should we start to expect that these kind of voluntary programs may be becoming an annual event or should we see this as a one-off?

speaker
Katarina Wilson
Acting CEO

You know that's not a question for me you know so I think you have to ask the AGM or the board that question but for sure and I agree with you Kaliwan our cash flow is very strong and that gives us a lot of opportunities both to invest in our existing operations and we do that but also to grow organically and through acquisitions so it gives us a very good position it's a good position to be in.

speaker
Carl Johan Bonnevier
Analyst, DNB Markets

Thank you and all the best out there.

speaker
Moderator
Conference Operator

As a reminder if you wish to ask a question please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad. There are no more questions at this time so I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.

speaker
Katarina Wilson
Acting CEO

So thank you very much for listening in today and I wish you a very good day. Thank you bye bye.

Disclaimer

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