2/24/2026

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Welcome to Bone Support Year-End Report 2025 presentation. For the first part of the conference call, the participants will be in listen-only mode. During the questions and answers session, participants are able to ask questions by dialing pound key 5 on their telephone keypad. Now I will hand the conference over to CEO Torbjorn Skuld and CFO Håkon Johansson. Please go ahead.

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Thank you, operator, and welcome everyone to Bone Support's Q4 and full year 2025 results call. My name is Torbjörn Sjöld. I'm the CEO of Bone Support, and with me here today is our CFO, Håkan Johansson, and together we will use the next 25 minutes to guide you through the Q4 presentation and then open the line for questions. But before we start the presentation, I would like to draw your attention to the disclaimers covering any forward-looking statements that we will make today. So let's look at the financial and operational highlights from the quarter. Q4 was another strong quarter with solid execution across the business. Net sales came in at 313 million SEC, corresponding to a growth of 22% versus Q4 2024. Sales growth at constant exchange rates was 36%, showing that there was a continued strong currency impact on our figures for the quarter. Our adjusted operating results, excluding incentive program effects, was 81 million SEC, corresponding to an adjusted operating margin of 26%. Reported operating results was 82 million SEC, and we saw solid cash generation with operating cash flows reaching 54 million SEC. We continue to see strong traction for Ceramat-G in the U.S., where both new accounts and increased use among current users contributed to the strong progress. Therma G sales in the US reached 207 million SEC for the quarter, compared to 154 million SEC in the same period the year before. In Europe and the rest of the world, we saw strong momentum, which more than offset the negative effects of the German market reforms. During the quarter, we also advanced our regulatory pipeline. As communicated in early December, the FDA submission for Cerament V has now been transferred from the 510 pathway to the de novo process. This change reflects the FDA's assessment that Cerament V may constitute an entirely new product category. like CERAMENT-G in 2022, and positions us for a stronger long-term market entry. In addition, we initiated the early stage launch of CERAMENT-BVF for Spine in the US, an important step as we continue expanding our portfolio of indications and applications. I will come back to that later in my presentation. Now, let's move to the sales development. The chart shows total last 12 months reported sales in Swedish Krona by quarter since 2019 in stacked bars per region and product category. As you can see, the launch momentum for Ceramid G in the US is exceptionally strong. Given that we keep bringing new strong clinical studies and opening up new market segments and new indications, a product like Ceramid G will remain in a long phase for many years to come. However, throughout 2025, we have seen strong influence from the US dollar to Swedish crown depreciation. Last 12 months growth in Q4 of 31% in the graph corresponds to an even stronger 40% at constant exchange rates. So most of this quarter over quarter slow down in last 12 months sales is due to a strong currency impact. US Sarmat BVF last 12 months was flat year over year in constant currency. In total, antibiotic eluting ceramide grew with 54% last 12 months in the quarter in constant currency. Next slide, please. In the U.S., sales amounted to 259 million SEC, representing a growth of 40% at constant exchange rate. There was some general variability during the quarter due to the number of working days. At the same time, we continue to experience strong growth of Cerament G, driven by both increased access to new accounts and new surgeons, as well as wider adoption among existing accounts and surgeons. In trauma, we see expanding access and adoption in level one trauma centers, which is an important validation of CERAMENT-G for treating complex infections and bone voids in the most demanding clinical environments. There are roughly 250 level one trauma centers in the US. These are the very large and most important centers for advanced trauma treatments. And at the end of 2024, we had sold Saramant to 15 of these. At the end of 2025, we had sold to more than 140 level one trauma centers. That said, actual use is evolving gradually as trauma surgeons carefully assess and evaluate new products before they become part of regular use. And remember that full healing and evaluation of a trauma patient can take more than six months. As part of our mission to modernize an outdated standard of care in the U.S., we have successfully opened one market segment after another. We started in foot and ankle, followed by trauma, and now moving into revision arthroplasty. Interest continues to grow for Ceramac-G in revision arthroplasty and periprosthetic joint infections, two areas where the clinical needs remain substantial and where the evidence supporting our antibiotic-eluting technology has resonated strongly with surgeons. We've built a solid foundation for our spine strategy over the past quarters by establishing distributor coverage and preparing for the market. In Q4, we initiated the early stage launch of Cerament BVF in spinal procedures, with distributors now actively engaging spine surgeons across both existing and new partnerships. As this is a new clinical segment for us, more clinical data is needed to support broader market penetration longer term. Importantly, the performance of Cerament BVF in Spine will help confirm the value proposition for the Cerament platform, which will pave the way for the future Cerament G launch. We have made strong progress in evaluating and preparing the regulatory pathway and will share more on the path forward at our Capital Markets Day this spring. Now, let's turn to Europe. Next slide, please. Sales in Europe and rest of the world came in at 54 million SEC, representing 18% growth at constant exchange rates. Sales in Europe continued to be influenced by the same dynamics as observed in Q3, meaning that hospital reforms and surgical protocol programs in Germany were still impacting our sales. However, direct markets excluding Germany delivered at normal growth rates And by the way, when we say normal growth rates, we mean normal for Saruman. The growth rates that we see outside Germany are 45 times higher than growth rates for the market in general. Furthermore, hybrid markets in Southern Europe, Australia and Canada are performing strongly. We see positive traction from the investments made during the first half of 2025 reflected in improved sales performance. Now I'll leave a deep dive into the numbers to Håkan.

speaker
Håkan Johansson
CFO of Bone Support

Thank you Torbjörn. Net sales improved from 257 to 312.5 million, equaling the growth of 22% reported sales growth or 36% in constant exchange rates. Torbjörn has already spoken about the solid performance in especially the U.S. and the major drivers behind the sales growth. But as the weak U.S. dollar somewhat hides a continuous strong trajectory in the U.S., I would like to share the U.S. sales performance in U.S. dollars. Ceremon G is the growth driver in the U.S. And this slide shows the quarterly Ceremon G sales in the U.S. in U.S. dollars. with continued solid performance quarter to quarter. The number of working days in each period impact sales, especially in Q4, which is impacted by both Thanksgiving and the holiday season over Christmas and New Year's. Taking this into consideration, a strong net sale per working day is noted during the quarter when looking at the orange line in the presentation. The contribution from the U.S. segment improved by 30 million and amounted to 120.2 million. The improved contribution relates to increased sales after effect from increased costs. Selling and marketing expenses during the quarter amounted to 128 million compared with 108.8 million previous year, of which sales commissions to distributors and fees amounted to 85 million compared with 69.6 million the same quarter last year. From the graph at the bottom of the screen showing net sales as bars and gross margin as the orange marker, it can be noted that the gross margin remains stable and strong at around 95% with a minor decline in the period following a gradual impact from US tariffs. In Europe and rest of the world, a contribution of 11.9 million was reported to be compared with 12.8 million previous year. Selling and marketing expenses increased by 4.9 million, including 3.6 million related to the previously communicated commercial investments in the so-called Eurobooster program. From the lower graph, an orange marker, a minor drop in gross margin can be noted, mainly impacted by the market mix. Selling expenses, excluding sales commission and fees, increased by 8.6 million, mainly in staffing expenses, of which 3.6 million relates to the so-called euro booster. The increase from Q3 this year relates to seasonality, as Q4 is usually intense in terms of congresses and marketing activities. R&D remained focused on the execution of strategic initiatives, such as the application studies in Spying Procedures and the market authorization submission for Sermon V in the U.S. The expense for the quarter includes submission fees and other additional expenses related to the change in regulatory pathway for settlement B in the U.S. And finally, administrative expenses, excluding the effects from long-term incentive programs, reports a small increase for the period, of which 2.8 million relates to the CEO succession. The reported operating result amounted to 81.8 million, despite unfavorable currency effects totaling 2.9 million. I will come back to this on a later slide. The newly introduced tariffs in the United States had a gradual impact on costs in the quarter. The full effect of the current 50% tariff will equal a 0.8% impact on U.S. gross margins, which will come gradually with full effect late 2026. The difference between adjusted and reported operating results are costs regarding our long-term incentive programs amounting to a negative expense of 0.5 million in the quarter compared with an expense of 13.7 million previous year, as you can see from the previous slide. The reduced costs are due to the drop in share price. Operating cash flow remains solid with an increase in accounts receivables at the end of the year, mainly as customer payments seem to have been deferred to after the holidays. During the period, the Swedish krona has continued to strengthen against the US dollar. Other operating income and expenses therefore contain foreign exchange gains and losses from the translation of the group's receivables and liabilities in foreign currency amounting to a negative 2.9 million. The graph on this slide shows with gray bars how the relationship between the US dollar closing rate and the Swedish krona has varied over time. This is read out on the right x-axis. The blue dotted line read out on the left y-axis shows adjusted operating result. The adjusted operating result excluding translation exchange effects is the orange line and gives a more comparable view of the underlying trend in operating results. In the table below the graph, you can see the FX adjusted operating margin of close to 27% in the period, compared with 23.6% in the same quarter last year. And with this, I hand back to you, Torbjörn.

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Thank you, Håkan. So to summarize Q4 2025, sales grew by 36% in constant currencies, reflecting steady and consistent progress. Adjusted operating margin reached 26%. Cash flow also remained robust, underscoring the strength and scalability of the business. I'm convinced that the most exciting part of our journey still lies ahead. And as I said, to provide a clearer view of what that journey will look like, We will host a Capital Markets Day in Stockholm on the 26th of May this year, which you are, of course, all welcome to join. Now, happy to open up the line for questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key 5 on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial pound key 6 on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Victor Sundberg from Nordia. Please go ahead.

speaker
Victor Sundberg
Analyst at Nordia

Yes, hi. Thanks for taking my questions. First one on CEREMENT-G in the U.S. As you mentioned, you know, year-over-year growth in the quarters are decreasing, but it's mostly, you know, FX related, as you mentioned. But when you say mostly, you know, is it anything that indicates any, let's say, underlying headwind in the U.S. in 2025? And also, what kind of underlying growth have you baked into your guidance for 2026, and how does that growth compare to 2025 growth in constant exchange rates? That's my first question. Thanks.

speaker
Håkan Johansson
CFO of Bone Support

Well, thank you, Victor. And I think that the takeaway from the report is two. One is, again, we see a continued strong trajectory with ceremony in the U.S., especially when looking at sales in average per working day. Taking that in combination also with what has been mentioned in terms of access to level one trauma centers, et cetera. And, of course, both these aspects are aspects that have been included in our report. estimates and our works ahead of presenting the guidance for 2026. So we remain very optimistic on the continued opportunities for ceremony in the U.S.

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Indeed. And I would like just to add to that. When we look at the performance in 25 and in Q4, we look at two important aspects of where the growth comes from in general and also particularly in ceremony. And it relates to new accounts, calling access, as well as increasing the adoption within existing accounts. So both those two levers, independent of whether it's on surgeon level, account level, IDM level, or GPO level, We measure that and track it. And what's important for us is to make sure that we have a healthy growth, not only in access and not only in adoption. We want to have it in both. And what we've seen throughout 2025 as well as in Q4 is that we have a really healthy adoption and the growth rate on the total stems from both of those legs contributing almost to an equal size, which is very positive. And that goes generally as well as for Cerament G. On Cerament G in particular, we've already talked about the level one trauma center adoption rate. I mean, in 24, we sold to 15 of them. And in 25, we have sold to more than 140. And what we mean with sell is that we sell at least one product. So again, it's very, very early phase. But it's a really strong indication, for us at least, that we get access, we get interest among orthopedic surgeons, among the infectious disease doctors, and we have a really strong foundation to build on in trauma for many, many years to come. So that's on trauma. The next segment that we just started to scratch the surface on is revision orthoplasty. Early days, we have very convincing evidence, but it's a pilot study from Charité indicating very strong results for Ceramant G in a revision arthroplasty segment. So this also looks very promising for both the short, medium and long term in the US. On top of those parts, meaning trauma, and revision arthroplasty, we have foot and ankle, which we still see a lot of potential to continue to build on as we develop more application techniques, as we come up with more clinical studies. And then, of course, very exciting for us is when we get FDA approval for Cerament V. We transitioned from a 510K process to a de novo process, which longer term is actually very positive for us. And that, of course, adds to the total mix. We do not expect a lot of cannibalization on CEREMENT-G from CEREMENT-V. We believe that that's going to be somewhat immaterial in the grander scheme of things. So I think that paints the picture of our outlook, short, medium and long term for CEREMENT-G in the US.

speaker
Victor Sundberg
Analyst at Nordia

Okay, thanks. And maybe in Germany, in the UK also, that's been a bit of a drag on growth in 2025. How much of this drag is baked into your guidance for 2026, and when do you expect this to turn around, and any sense of what the underlying demand is if, you know, funding issues would be a bit better in these countries? Thanks.

speaker
Håkan Johansson
CFO of Bone Support

So we communicated already when releasing Q3 that we do not expect a swift recovery in Germany. We think that Germany will remain somewhat sluggish throughout 2026. However, when it comes to UK, and part of that we also saw in Q4, is that we expect... the situation in the UK to normalize in the sense that surgeries where Cerament is used is coming back to normal levels. The surgical backlog in the U.K. is still at launch, which means that there will be also periods where we see a bit more two steps forward, one step back, et cetera. But again, we have seen gradual improvements, Q4 confirmed that, et cetera. So we remain optimistic when it comes to the U.K.

speaker
Victor Sundberg
Analyst at Nordia

Okay, that's all from me. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Eric Castle from Danske Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Eric Castle
Analyst at Danske Bank

Hi, morning, everyone. First, of course, everyone cares about the Sermon G US number and what that was organically. If I've pulled the data correct, it looked like it was up 55% organically, and that we have a USD number that was at 21.9, essentially. Could you... give any more detail on that sort of number if I'm correct in that assumption, because that would imply like an F-fixed rate of minus 21%. Thank you.

speaker
Håkan Johansson
CFO of Bone Support

Again, largely, the numbers could be recognized. We're not sharing the exact dollar numbers, because we're reporting in Swedish krona. But as we shared in the presentation, you have both the absolute numbers in US dollar sales and also the average sale per working day. And again, as communicated here, we see a continued very strong and solid trend.

speaker
Eric Castle
Analyst at Danske Bank

But if I get 5% organic, that seems reasonable to you, you think?

speaker
Håkan Johansson
CFO of Bone Support

Again, if you just look at it from Q3 to Q4 in US dollars and not taking workdays in consideration, somehow it is a small growth in Q4 to Q3.

speaker
Eric Castle
Analyst at Danske Bank

Okay, I'll leave it there. But can you maybe talk a bit on what sort of indications that happen to grow and say faster than the overall Cermet G sales in the US and which indications may be lagging that growth rate a bit so we sort of can understand what's driving this going forward.

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Yeah, so I think if we look at the US and Cermet G sales only and we look at the three segments that we are in today and actively sell into, foot and ankle, of course, is the segment where we have been the longest period of time. That's where bone support started really. but still both in absolute as well as in relative terms an important contributor to the growth of Ceramat-G. But given the size of it and given that we've been there for a number of years, it's further on in its life cycle, so to say. Second is trauma. And here, of course, relatively new segment. You saw the numbers in terms of access. So that's clearly a segment that will continue to drive growth rates, both short and medium term. So we're very bullish about trauma. as well as we are on revision arthroplasty. So I think you can sort of relate how long we've been in the respective segments to how much relative growth rates we can expect from them. But having said that, all three segments are very important in absolute terms for us, short and medium term. And just to be totally transparent and perhaps obvious to several of you on the call, Cerament G for Spine is not yet approved in the US and will therefore not drive any growth in the short term. But longer term, we expect ceremony once it's approved and launched in the U.S. for spine to be an important segment also in parallel to the three segments that we're already in.

speaker
Eric Castle
Analyst at Danske Bank

Okay, thank you. Should I read that as the osteomyelitis indication being a bit more matured, maybe not growing as much right now?

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

I wouldn't read that into it. Osteomyelitis is actually an indication that can happen in foot and ankle, it can happen in trauma, and also technically can happen also in revision arthroplasty. So I wouldn't draw that conclusion. Osteomyelitis is an underserved indication with a lot of unmet clinical need where CERAMIC G and V play an important role. So I would not draw that conclusion that we've reached a saturation or maturity on Osteomyelitis in general. It's a very healthy and fast-growing segment for us.

speaker
Eric Castle
Analyst at Danske Bank

Okay, thank you. And then I just have a question on commission rates. They sort of hit a new low here in this quarter. Does that sort of imply that fewer and fewer distributors are hitting their sort of bonus quotas? And if that's the case, could you maybe share a bit on sort of what's required for them to get to that sort of, I guess, 35% commission rate? This was, I think, high end. It's a normalized lower. What's the difference there and how much they need to sell and grow their accounts to get different bonus levels?

speaker
Håkan Johansson
CFO of Bone Support

So a good question, Erik. So it sounds like an area for clarification. The line is defined as commission and fees and involves... Everything from commission to the distributors, GPO fees, credit card charges for the customers paying by credit card, etc. And it's the combination of these that is down a few percentage points and so on. So it's small movements in percentage of sales. commission remains relatively stable around 30 percent. The commission are somehow included certain incentives if the distributors are exceeding their so-called quotas substantially, but we see very little movement in the average commission rate to say. So the reason why it's down a few percentage points more relates to the other aspects of fees.

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

And to that, in terms of the distributor turnover, it's part of the beauty of the model that we have in bone support in the US is that we want distributors to be on the journey with us. We want them to share the same goals. So we actively add new distributors. And when we have distributors that are not performing in line with the targets and goals and principles that we set, we don't hesitate to phase them out. So turnover among distributors, we've always had, we will continue to have that. But as Håkan said, that is not one of the reasons why we see lower commission rates, on the contrary.

speaker
Eric Castle
Analyst at Danske Bank

Okay, thank you. And just the last question. So far, I mean, we saw that surgical volumes per day was up a bit in Q4. Can you say anything on the sort of pace that has been now through January and February? if we're seeing the daily averages being roughly the same, increasing, just so we can think about the Q1 number we could expect.

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Yeah, no, thank you for the question. I mean, we don't comment on Q1, as you know. But, you know, similar to we got a lot of questions on Q4 when we released Q3. I mean, we feel confident in the journey that we're on. We feel confident in the guidance that we have said, indicating that we should grow in constant exchange rates. at least 35%. And if we see any reason to change that, we will communicate it adequately and accordingly.

speaker
Eric Castle
Analyst at Danske Bank

All right. Thank you very much. I'll now back into you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Matthias Vadsten from SEB. Please go ahead.

speaker
Matthias Vadsten
Analyst at SEB

Hello and good morning. I have a couple of questions as well. First one, what you shared there regarding level one trauma centers, 140 versus 15 end of 2024. So just if you could share some color on how important this has been while establishing the sales guidance for 26. And of course, also interesting to hear some insights on adoption rates in sort of early one level one trauma centers as well. That's the first one.

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Sure. So starting with your first question around the guidance of more than 35% growth in constant exchange rates. So first of all, we have also communicated that we expect CERAMENT-V, to be approved by the FDA around mid this year. Of course, if we get an earlier approval and we launch earlier than that, then of course we will distance ourselves or we expect to distance ourselves more on the upside versus the 35%. But however, let's say that we get late approval or no approval, then we will, of course, be close to the 35%. I think that's important to just point out that that's the role of Serement B. Now, when we did the guidance for 26, there's not only one factor, of course, that we take into account. We look at growth potential across the geographies. We look at the growth potential of the different segments. Of course, trauma in the U.S. is an important segment for us and the data point that we have on the level 1 trauma centers is an important data point as there are others as well in foot and ankle, in revision arthroplasty in both U.S. as well as Europe and rest of the world. What is very important for us, and we've said this before and it's important to continue to say that, it's the balance between access and adoption that is very important. We don't want to just only grow by getting new accounts. We don't only want to grow by increasing the adoption in existing accounts. We want to have a healthy balance between the two. So that's also a very important factor when we put the guidance together. Another also very important factor is when we simply again recalculate the penetration, meaning that the number of surgeries that we are in by geography, by market segment versus what we think is a realistic or longer term outlook. We still believe that we have a long runway to get to what we think are perfectly realistic penetration levels. So, I think, Mattias, it's not just the trauma number, but it's an important factor and combined with many other factors, as I just described.

speaker
Matthias Vadsten
Analyst at SEB

Good. And are you happy with what you see in terms of adoption in the level one trauma centers that you want early days?

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Yes. Very happy.

speaker
Matthias Vadsten
Analyst at SEB

Good. Then I just have a follow-up on the revision arthroplasty segment that you discussed here in the presentation, which was good. Your position here and maybe how much work is yet to be done for bone support in terms of evidence and so forth to be able to, you know, have an ideal position, call it, for a more material contribution and a better pitch around the segment. That's my next one.

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Yeah. Very good. So, it's early days for us in revision orthoplasty. We have a fantastic pilot study that came out of Charité as communicated last year. I mean, the results from that couldn't have been better from a bone support and cerament. point of view showing excellent results. But again, it's a pilot study and the number of patients is limited. We're building on that study going forward. And I think this is an area where we over several years will need to do a lot more, which is perfectly natural and that's part of the bone support approach. to penetrate a new market segment, meaning that we always lead with evidence. We know that our product is very innovative. It has unique capabilities. in terms of its handling and in terms of how it eludes antibiotic. But we always lead with evidence. So a lot more work remains to be done in revision arthroplasty on the evidence side. So more specific evidence. And we're working on it. We've initiated new studies and we will continue to initiate new studies in this field. However, Orthopedic surgeons, in general, they understand the unmet clinical need in the space of revision arthroplasty, where typically you face two challenges. Number one, how do you heal the bone? How do you make sure that you grow bone in areas where you, for example, have bone voids as a result of explanting the implants in a revision situation? having to deal with bone voids is normal and it's standard for a revision arthroplasty surgeon. We have a great solution for that with Sermon. Also, infections in revision arthroplasty is one of the key reasons why primary implants need to be revised because the patients have infections. So, dealing with infections is also high on the agenda of the revision arthroplasty surgeons. And there, with CERAMA-G and V in Europe, and hopefully when we get the approval for V in the US, we have a very, very intuitive solution that we already see now. Surgeons are willing to try and test. Some of them, surgeons actually already use it as part of their standard routine. Several surgeons want to wait until we have more evidence. But nothing is stopping us to enter this segment and penetrating this segment already now. But of course, we need more evidence. In addition to that, we believe very much in specialization of our sales channels, meaning that A revision orthoplasty surgeon is not the same guy that does trauma, who's not the same guy that does foot and ankle. So we need specialization in our go-to-market channels. So that's, of course, another aspect that we need to make sure that we get relevant sales channels, whether that's distributors as well as direct people, to go deeper in the respective market segments. So I hope that answers your question.

speaker
Matthias Vadsten
Analyst at SEB

Absolutely. Good answer. And my last one is fairly quick. In terms of the working days that we discussed here, how many fewer working days? Was it Q4 or Q3? Was it like two days?

speaker
Håkan Johansson
CFO of Bone Support

It was three days shorter. If I remember, three or four days. But my memory is not skewing me. It's three days shorter.

speaker
Matthias Vadsten
Analyst at SEB

Okay. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Christopher Liljeberg from Carnegie. Please go ahead.

speaker
Matthias Vadsten
Analyst at SEB

Hi. Good morning. I have three or four questions. The first one on this is sequential growth for certainty in the U.S. per third of the day seems much stronger in Q4 versus pretty weak third quarter. So could you explain if there's any particular reason for this or just natural swings between quarters. Thank you.

speaker
Håkan Johansson
CFO of Bone Support

Again, as much as we refer to underlying natural swings quarter to quarter in Q3, somehow that explanation remains in Q4. Because again, somehow, as with forward-looking estimates, there are several parameters that is moving and so on. So, I don't see any specifics, and I'm looking at Torbjörn, but I think that we shall at you.

speaker
Matthias Vadsten
Analyst at SEB

Okay, good. And the better growth in Europe, would you say that's sustainable, just making sure that there's no positive one of larger orders or anything this quarter, explaining the much better growth in Q4 versus what we have seen?

speaker
Håkan Johansson
CFO of Bone Support

Again, what was positive to see, Kristoffer, was the improvement in the UK. To see what's been in our analysis, to see that also realized, but at the same time, We remain modest. We have to remain modest because again, as I mentioned in the call, the surgical backlog remains long in the UK. So there could be short periods of swings back to a slower momentum and then swing back again, etc. But again, I think we're remaining optimistic. Good to see the improvements in Q4. When we look at the investment markets, I call this now, we expect that momentum to continue when looking outside our direct markets and investments that are made in our so-called hybrid markets, Italy, Spain, Australia, South Africa, Canada, just to mention a few. And again, there we start from quite a low penetration level, and there are so much market potential remaining in these markets. And we believe that the investments done is a good way to capture that potential.

speaker
Matthias Vadsten
Analyst at SEB

Okay, good. And then my third question. You mentioned the increased number of trauma centers that you are selling to. But have you reached good adoption already at some of those centers, or is that also too early to see?

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

No, I mean, clearly in some of them, but still it's a very small number where we have reached a solid adoption level. But it's really early days. And again, the definition that we use here is that selling two, meaning that we've sold minimum one packet of cerament. Of course, some of them. early adopters that were early out. We have a good adoption level, but not even close to what we think is the potential. And most of these trauma, I mean, just do the math. Most of these trauma centers that we've sold to are still very, very early in their journey. So yeah, we'll keep ourselves busy to increase the adoption in these level one trauma centers in the US.

speaker
Matthias Vadsten
Analyst at SEB

Okay, thank you. And then finally, just a clarification when it comes to guidance for 2026. So you have included, as it seems, very little or no Ceramide V sales in the guidance?

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Yeah, that's correct, and that's to be prudent, because we only know what we know, and although we have a great dialogue with FDA, you never know with FDA, and we follow their guidance, similar to what we did now in Q4, in terms of transferring CERAMENT-V from a 510K to a de novo. We think that Although unexpected to us, we think it was a very good decision longer term for us. And it is important that we follow and deliver on what FDA wants us to. But of course, if we don't get CERAMENT-V, we still believe that the 35% growth rate is definitely realistic. But it's going to be a lot easier to over-deliver if we get an early approval of CERAMENT-V in the first half of this year. Okay. Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Stan Gustafson from AVG Sundal Collier. Please go ahead.

speaker
Stan Gustafson
Analyst at AVG Sundal Collier

Yes, thank you. Good morning. To follow up on the U.S. market penetration and adoption, I think to ask it in a different way, but I think in the past you have shared with us a number of surgeons you have trained And I believe maybe I'm mistaken here, but the last number I have in my head is 1,000 surgeons. I was wondering if you could update me on where you are today on that number.

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Yeah, good question, thank you very much. So first of all, to put your question into context, this relates to all the sort of relevant surgeons in the fields that we're in today, excluding spine. So that relates to foot and ankle trauma and revision arthroplasty. The boring part of my answer is that no, we're not going to provide an update to that number. We don't have that routine yet. But when we have that routine and when we have updated numbers that we are willing to disclose, we will, of course, do that. But having said that. We are not slowing down, we're putting our foot on the gas to accelerate, which I think we see from both the financial as well as the operational numbers, including that reference point. around the major trauma centers. Because clearly, you don't really get access without training an orthopedic surgeon.

speaker
Stan Gustafson
Analyst at AVG Sundal Collier

I understand. And those level one trauma centers, you know, on average, do they have like 50 or 100 different surgeons? Or what's the size like?

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

I mean, it, of course, varies depending. I mean, in total, the U.S., as per our segmentation, we have 250 level one major trauma centers. If you're a major trauma centers, you're not running around with only sort of five trauma surgeons. You're not the major trauma centers. But it can vary. And I don't want to put a number out there, but, you know, it could be. anything from, I would only be guessing, but there are several, you know, quite a number of trauma surgeons on these different centers. And our ambition in the first place is to focus on the market segments, of course, where we focus on, so foot and ankle and trauma, and then focus on the most complex six difficult cases within trauma where we see that CERAMENT-G adds the most clinical value. And then you typically start with one, maybe two surgeons and one ID doc. You start there, only one indication or one type of case, and then you expand from there. And that's a journey that honestly can take several years. And, of course, we want to do it in the right way and make sure that we and our product adds value to not only the orthopedic surgeon, but also the hospital and the healthcare system.

speaker
Stan Gustafson
Analyst at AVG Sundal Collier

Makes sense. My next question would be on BVF and spine in particular. And I noticed a nice uptick in the and change in growth trajectory for CERAMENT BVF in North America. And I was wondering how much of that is sort of quarterly variation and how much is related to spine?

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Well, given the fact that we honestly launched, we initiated the launch in December on SpineBDF, and we tried to keep it a very focused launch. In Q4, I wouldn't draw any conclusions that it is the Spine launch in the U.S. with CermetBDF that sort of made that number look the way it looks. It's more normal variations.

speaker
Stan Gustafson
Analyst at AVG Sundal Collier

Okay. Excellent. My final question is India. What's the timeline looking like and, you know, what type of potential are we or should we consider for India?

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Yeah. No, India, I mean, So, of course, no sales in Q4 for India. When we look at India strategically long-term, it's an attractive market for a couple of reasons. The main reason is it's a lot of people in India. And second, there's a lot of... people who are willing to pay for care in India. So the approach that we take is a very focused approach on private payers and the hospitals that serve this patient population. When we look at that patient population in terms of size, it's a sizable it's a sizeable segment, very attractive, longer term. And what we see now in India, its first early steps and longer term, give it a couple of years, it could be an important contributor for us. But most importantly, it's another growth leg to have in Europe and rest of the world. Because we say that a lot of times, even in Europe and rest of the world, we're very, very early phase. I mean, we depend and have depended a lot on UK and Germany. And we've been painfully aware of that when we have had the market reforms in Germany. So adding India is an attractive segment. But again, as with all countries, it will take time. But if you count the total population and if you segment that population into how many of them do have private insurers and how many of them have access to certain private hospitals, we feel very confident about that number and we expect sales to start in India already in the first half of 2026. Excellent.

speaker
Stan Gustafson
Analyst at AVG Sundal Collier

Thank you very much. I'll get back into the

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Oscar Bergman from Red Eye. Please go ahead.

speaker
Oscar Bergman
Analyst at Red Eye

I just have three questions for you. The first one, I think, at you as ambassador sites for bone infection, could you give sort of a ballpark figure of what percentage of relevant procedures on down discernment gene today? I mean, have they or have you become the standard of care at some of the centers in the US?

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Great question. To answer that last part, I would dare to say yes, but it's still only a relatively small number where we have genuinely become the standard of care. And of course, it goes to what's the definition of standard of care? Do you only look at one patient indication? Do you look at several, et cetera, et cetera? So I think we're getting traction. Clearly, one very important way to establish this for us is to look at our great collaboration with the Oxford Bone Infection Unit in the UK. And we have a fantastic team. collaboration and partnership with them, and one of the best ways we can educate patients in the US, or sorry, educate the surgeons in the US, is simply by sending them to Oxford and see how they work with it. And we see great results, including that changing the standard of care, moving to more ceremony use in their daily practice. I would say, yes, there are centers in the US that have changed their standard of care, but it's still very early days. But I don't have any hard data to share. Okay.

speaker
Oscar Bergman
Analyst at Red Eye

Do you know if those centers are typically university hospitals?

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Yeah, I mean, one of the key strategies in the US that we have and had for several quarters and potentially years is that we target academic medical centers. And that is simply because that's where they are very evidence and research focused. So they actually pay a lot of attention to the evidence that we have. you know that one of the key pillars in Australia is to invest in and promote and lead by evidence. So that sort of fits like a hand in the glove to that. Commercially, it's a really good way to sell and target academic medical centers because they train a lot of fellows that when they're done training and when they're done with their fellowships, they go to somewhere else. They could go to a different academic medical center or they could start their own practice or go somewhere else. So definitely our product fits very well in academic medical centers simply because it's a much higher evidence level on our product than what's currently on the market. Okay.

speaker
Oscar Bergman
Analyst at Red Eye

And India, that's very interesting to hear about. I assume that the regulatory processes there are piggybacking CE marks for SimonG and BVF, right?

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Yeah, I mean, of course, we use the clinical data, we use the material that we've produced for US, that we've used for Europe. India is a particular country and with a somewhat complicated process, but the team has done a fantastic job on that and we're getting very close to starting the launch in India in the first half of 2026.

speaker
Oscar Bergman
Analyst at Red Eye

Okay, and are there any other markets that you aim to launch at in the near to medium term? I think we spoke about Japan before, very high level of course, Would be interesting to hear about Japan.

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Yeah, I mean, Japan is still on the list. It's a very attractive orthopedic market. Similar to India, somewhat complex regulatory pathway to enter in Japan, but we're actively working on it. We've said that before also, so there's no change in that strategy. And we're getting closer to launch, but from a timing-wise, India will happen before Japan. Okay.

speaker
Oscar Bergman
Analyst at Red Eye

And you also mentioned some safety inventory and longer payment terms due to the holidays. Is it a fair assumption then to make that your free cash flow conversion should normalize already here in Q1?

speaker
Håkan Johansson
CFO of Bone Support

And again, I think that when you look at that, Oskar, it's key to see you have some accounts receivables, but you also have accounts receivables in combination with the so-called K-sheets that is reported as accrued revenue. So part of the increase in accounts receivables in Q4 relates to a reduction in accrued revenue or open case sheets end of Q4 compared to Q3. And the rest is simply somehow that payments have been deferred from December to after the holidays. So with that, yes, we can expect somehow to see the situation stabilize and normalize going into Q1. But again, the balance sheet is measured on the clock on one day. So there will always be volatility in the balance sheet. But over time, as well, cash flow never lies.

speaker
Oscar Bergman
Analyst at Red Eye

Yeah. Okay. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Victor Sundberg from Nordia. Please go ahead.

speaker
Victor Sundberg
Analyst at Nordia

Yes, thanks for allowing a follow-up here. Just to follow up on your progress in trauma, one of the worries in the market with regards to trauma to youth has been that maybe surgeons do not always feel the acute need to prophylactically use infection prevention in surgeries with a product such as Cerament G that comes with a bit of a price premium to other products without infection prevention. in contrast to osteomyelitis when the infection is already always present at the intervention. So can you just comment on that as you have met more surgeons, you know, day-to-day at these level one centers and have got their feedback if this is correct or not to look at adoption in trauma in that way. And maybe also quickly, the NTAP here, you know, any more color on how the added NTAP for trauma and the dropped NTAP for osteomyelitis will impact US sales? we have moved a bit into 2026 and you might have gotten a bit more data on this dynamic thanks

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Yeah, so we'll start with a second question first for simplicity, and then we'll comment on the first one. So in Q4, we did not see any material impact, negative impact of the lost NTAP that actually came into effect 1st of October. So we don't see that we lose volume due to that. Again, early days, but in Q4, we didn't have any signals on that. I think to your point on trauma surgeons prophylactically or not, I think we need to start even more basic research. in trauma, meaning that actually when there is a very high risk of infection or actually that they have a confirmed infection, that's where we start with in trauma. and I don't think that we have reached any maturity or saturation on that level. Once we've done that, then of course it comes to prophylactic. Prophylactically, of course, is always more challenging than the starting point, but once you get the starting point right, my experience is at least that once you get that right, you see and you get the surgeons to understand and see the value that the ceremony has, then moving into that prophylactic stage becomes more natural. And different surgeons, different clinics, different centers are in different parts of this journey, but I would argue that still prophylactically is, you know, further out, but we're making really good progress by starting with the basics and getting them to be aware and understand the role of ceremony in these type of cases.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Okay, thanks. There are no more questions at this time, so I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.

speaker
Torbjörn Sjöld
CEO of Bone Support

Now, with that, thank you all for your interest, and we wish you all a great rest of the day. Thank you.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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