11/27/2024

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

Hi and good morning everyone. My name is Peter Nyqvist, Head of Investor Relations here at Elekta. With me here in Stockholm I have our CEO Gustav Salford and our CFO Tobias Hägglöf who will then present the result later on. Today's agenda starts off with Gustav presenting some highlights of the development during the second quarter as well as the strategic achievements in this quarter. Then Tobias will give you details on the financials and the presentation ends with Gustav's view on Elekta's outlook. And as usual after the presentation there will be time for questions and answers. But before we start, I want to remind you that some of the information discussed in this call contains forward-looking statements. This can include projections regarding revenues, operating results, cash flow, as well as products and product development. These statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in the statements. With that said, I would like to hand over to Gustav.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Thank you, Peter, and thank you all for attending our call. And now I would like to focus on the key takeaways for the second quarter of our fiscal year 24-25. So net sales decreased by 4% in constant currencies, mainly due to Europe and Latin America, while US showed growth. Grossmordians came in at 35.7%, a decline year over year, mainly attributed to the reduced net sales and change in market mix with increased volumes in Ukraine, where we have delivered the major part of the order won last year. But we also saw a major impact from foreign exchange rates. The adjusted EBIT margin declined year over year, mainly impacted by the gross margin development and, as expected, higher amortization costs following recent product launches. The cost reduction initiative announced in Q1 has progressed rapidly with reductions visible in the second quarters. Tobias will provide much more detail in his part of the presentation. The book-to-bill ratio came in at 0.99 in the second quarter. There was no really major tenders in the market in the quarter. However, China showed improved order development compared to last year's low level. And we are seeing an increasing public procurement activity in the Chinese market. So all in all, the rolling 12 months book-to-bill ratio is at 1.09, a ratio that is well above 1, implying a solid foundation for future sales growth. Electa Evo, our latest AI-powered adaptive CT Linux and Electa One planning has been launched at Astro and in the quarter also at Astro in Washington. Customer feedback has been very encouraging and we see great interest. And currently we have a handful of installations ongoing of Evos in Europe. And in September, Electric Evo was submitted to the US FDA for pre-market approval. And we now look forward to providing the US market with the most versatile and adaptive CT Linux. I'm also very happy and proud to be able to communicate that we have now reached our target to providing radiation therapy access to 300 million people in underserved market, six months ahead of our target. It does not only mean that we provide best-in-class solutions to people worldwide. It also means that we extend our footprint and will continue to deliver on the installed base and service growth going forward. And moving to the next slide, I will give you more details regarding the sales and market development during the quarter. In constant exchange rates, group sales were down 4% year over year. In the Americas, growth in the US was fully offset by decreased sales in Latin America. And it's also encouraging to see that the installations in the US are showing a positive development. APEC sales was in line with last year, and despite the negative impact of the anti-corruption campaign, China's decline was limited to 1%. And we have continued to see the sequential improvements, which are visible in this quarter as well. In region Europe, Middle East and Africa sales declined by 5% compared to last year when the region grew by 16% driven by large installations in Spain, Italy and the UK. So the geographical mix in EMEA has been more skewed towards emerging markets, particularly Ukraine, where we have delivered on our commitment to support Ukrainian cancer patients. Most markets in Middle East and Africa also showed growth. Our installed base year-over-year grew by around 4%. If we then move towards our product portfolio, you can see that since we launched Access 2025, we have been accelerating innovation and recently we launched our CT-Linux, Electa Evo and the treatment planning software Electa One Planning. And today we have the leading and most comprehensive portfolio in the industry with our MR-Linux Unity, our Electa Bracket Studio, Electa Evo and Electa Harmony on the CT-Linux side, Electa One Software Suite and of course the Lexell Gamma Knife Esprit. And looking across our portfolio, we can now proudly say that we enable online adaptive treatments in all our product lines, Neuro, Brachy, Linac, and software solutions. Where our Unity has unique MR imaging and comprehensive motion management technology, the Elekta Evo now complements our Linac portfolio with a high versatility in terms of personalization and productivity. we will leverage our leading product portfolio to drive profitable growth going forward. So if we look a bit closer at Elekta Evo and at Elekta One. Elekta Evo comes with online adaptive treatments or it can easily be upgraded over time if that's the customer preferences. It has the best-in-class image quality due to the AI-enhanced Iris technology and it leverages our new treatment planning system, Elekta One Planning, powered by MIM. This new software offers AI-driven autocontouring, faster dose calculation and planning, and it is vendor agnostic to ensure it supports not only Lecta devices, but also other products in the market. Electa Evo has been very well received among our customers relating to the clinical needs and elevating personalized care as well as increased productivity. We have received C-marking during September 2024 and we have sent for FDA submission during the second quarter and we look forward to delivering the new solution to our customers in the coming quarters and years. I would also like to give you an update on MR-Linac Unity, and I'm really happy to report great momentum towards our new adaptive standard of care. And I recently had the pleasure of attending our latest MR-Linac Consortium meeting in Singapore, the first one in the APAC region. Some of the highlights include further clinical evidence that our comprehensive motion management technology with Unity offers more precise patient treatments than ever before. For example, Professor Dan Heyer at the University of Iowa Health Care is now treating lung cancers as their second most common indication after adopting comprehensive motion management. An indication that was previously challenging to treat during the movement of the tumor. Furthermore, Dr. Reinhold at the Memorial Sloan Kettering is drawing fantastic single fraction study to take patient treatments of liver metastasis for five visits or more down to one visit for the patient. What is hugely valuable for the patient and the clinic alike. Our constantly growing consortium with its members now passed 100 member sites and is progressing rapidly in superiority tries to generate further evidence that our MR Lin Act is providing the new standard of care in radiotherapy. With that, I would like to hand it over to Tobias for the financials.

speaker
Tobias Hägglöf
CFO

Thank you Gustav and good morning everyone. Let's then look into the Q2 results in more detail. During the second quarter, net sales declined by 4% in constant exchange rates. We continue to increase our service business with a 4% growth year over year with growth in most business lines and regions. solution sales declined by 10 percent driven by europe and latin america just the gross margin amounted to 35.7 percent the decline versus last year is explained by lower sales change market mix with increased volumes in ukraine that you just heard justin said where we have delivered the major part of the order one last year increased cost for material mainly within our service operations And finally, changes in foreign exchange rates had a negative impact of 90 basis points in the quarter. The adjusted EBIT margin declined to 9.8%, mainly driven by lower sales and higher amortization costs following the recent product launches. Net income amounted to 250 million SEK and earnings per share to 0.55 SEK. in the second quarter we have continued to drive the cost reduction initiatives with the aim to lower structural cost and enhance productivity across the organization the target is to generate annual savings by around 250 million sec at the end of the fiscal year 2425 at an estimated implementation cost of 250 million sec The program runs according to plan and in the first half of 24-25 annual run rate savings of 150 million SEK were achieved with a 34 million SEK year-over-year savings in the first six months. The implementation cost amounted to 144 million SEK and are reported as items affecting comparability. The cost reduction initiative contributed to lower selling and admin cost in the quarter. Then looking into our cash flow. During the second quarter, cash flow after continuous investments amounted to 31 million SEC negative compared to 211 million SEC positive last year, impacted by lower earnings and higher investments. Rolling 12 months networking capital as a presenter of net sales improved from a minus 3% last year to minus 5%. In the second quarter, we have continued to make R&D investments in new product solutions and software amounting to 422 million SEC and tangible assets of 66 million SEC. Then, the rolling 12 months cash flow from operating activities amounted to 2.35 billion SEK, which is an increase of 63 million SEK year-over-year. Cash conversion amounted to 80%, which is above our targets of 70%. With that, I hand over to you, Gustav.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Thank you Tobias and now focusing a bit on our outlook for the second half as well as the full year of 24-25. And as previously communicating during the second half of the year we expect sales and profitability to pick up from new product launches as well as productivity measures. Net sales for Lekta are expected to grow by mid single digit for the full year of 24-25 with an improved EBIT margin. We are experiencing strong customer interest in our industry-leading offering and a long-term underlying demand for world-leading cancer care solutions. And beyond 24-25, we will drive for an EBIT margin expansion to 14% and higher. So to summarize the second quarter of 24-25, as anticipated, the first half of the fiscal year 24-25 has been weaker compared to last year in line with our communication. Profitability remains priority number one and with our ongoing activities involving price increases, cost reductions and launching new products, I am convinced that we'll be able to improve the gross margin. This is supported by our accelerating innovation in recent years and all our products are now fully adaptive. Today, we have the industry most competitive and comprehensive product portfolio, which we will leverage to drive profitable growth moving forward. Thank you.

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

Before opening up the Q&A, I would like to share some information about our upcoming events. We are happy to announce that we will organize a Capital Markets Day on June 10th, 2025, here in Stockholm, where we will present our updated strategy, including some new targets. More details will be followed but please mark this date in your calendars. You are all welcome to Stockholm. But also prior to the Captain Market Day we will be organizing a couple of digital deep dives where we present some building blocks leading up to the CM Day. The first one, focusing on products and R&D, among other things, will take place on December 19th this year. Invitation will be shortly. It's a digital event only. And with that said, we now continue with the Q&A session. Please, operator, can you open up for the first question?

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touchstone telephone. You will hear a tone to confirm that you have entered the queue. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Participants are requested to use only handsets while asking a question. And anyone who has a question may press star and one at this time. Our first question comes from Ricard Andregrans with Handelsbanken. Please go ahead.

speaker
Ricard Andregrans
Analyst at Handelsbanken

Good morning and thank you for taking my question. So first one on orders. Could you quantify order growth in China in the quarter and maybe also elaborate on the key drivers of order weakness in the remaining geographies? Thank you.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Thank you, Richard. Yeah, I was in China a couple of weeks ago and you saw more activities, more interest and public procurement activities going on. So I think that's a positive. And what we saw in the quarter was strong double digit growth. on the order side. It's an easy comparison, of course, because it was impacted last year, the Q2. However, what we see is increased activities, strong numbers in the quarter, and i see that going through the next couple of quarters as well we have been successfully being able to drive installations from our backlog over the last years i would say and now we're filling up the backlog again and then we will con install primarily maybe in q4 and onwards into next year so so that's our current outlook on china where we have a strong position and we have added functionality with Ansheng, joint venture, et cetera, to drive that going forward.

speaker
Ricard Andregrans
Analyst at Handelsbanken

And on the sort of other parts of the order weakness in the quarter, anything particular to call out?

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

I think there's not been any major tenders, for example, in Europe. There are tenders, ongoing discussions, as we know, in Poland and so on. And that has not happened so much as may be expected in the quarter. Then a bit in some markets, they are waiting to place orders more for the new product launches, if you say Electa Evo and Electa One Planning. And then you have this a bit of the weight impact on the order side. But if I look into the activities, the sales funnel and into the third quarter, I see good activity in most markets when it comes to order activity. So I look forward to Q3 from an order point of view. uh i mean nine percent to ten percent is not a strong number in this quarter but i said no major tenders and a bit uh waiting mode until we we launch some of our product releases as well okay thank you and second the topic on the sales growth guidance for the year so it sounds like we should expect you know relatively muted growth print maybe around mid single digit level for q3

speaker
Ricard Andregrans
Analyst at Handelsbanken

What brings you the confidence for such a significant ramp in Q4, especially given a softer order print here? So it would be interesting to hear your visibility and the path towards reaching the mid-single-digit portfolio.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

And I fully understand that comment, but I think you need to look at the book to bill ratio on a 12 months basis as well, because that is what has filled our backlog over the last quarters. So to drive the revenue from that backlog and the book and bill ratio. That's one area. Of course, it's also about Electa Evo and Electa One planning. And we are now installing in Europe on the Electa Evo side. We'll take more orders as well. And on Electa One planning, the software suite, we see a big interest that we then can install faster because it's software. As well, we see China coming back from low levels. And I also see that the last Q4, we have a bit an easier comparison because I think we were like minus 4% Q4 last year. So with those factors, it will be skewed towards Q4 for sure. But I think what I see in the sales funnels and activities we have on the supply chain as well, that we have the installations coming and the growth coming, especially for the full year to get to the guidance that we have.

speaker
Ricard Andregrans
Analyst at Handelsbanken

Excellent. And if I can squeeze just one more in. So when Versa HD was launched, Elekta shared the data point that They received 30 orders of First HD in the first 60 days. Do you have any similar data point to share regarding the launch of Elekta Ivo?

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

i don't have a specific number on the order side but i can say big interest and the good thing i would like to say is that just after the c mark we start to do the installation so we start to see a handful installations that i mentioned already now in the second quarter and that will continue in the third quarter and going forward but i don't have a specific order number thanks thank you we're going to move to the next question please operator

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

The next question comes from Robert Davies with Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

speaker
Robert Davies
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

Good morning, Robert. Good morning, both. Thank you for taking my question. My first one was just on the evolution of gross margins. I know you, I think, called out Ukraine and the mix within that. I just wondered if you could give us a bit more color on the different moving parts within the gross margin in terms of sort of magnitude of how we got to where we were. And then just, I guess, on the Evo product and the One product, can you just give us a sense of where profitability on those would be expected to be? Is that sort of underpinning your confidence in the sort of beyond 24%, 25%, 14% plus type of margin trajectory? Is that the mixed benefit from those products coming in that's going to be the biggest help? Or how do we get from where we are now to 14% margins? Thank you.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Yes, thank you. So I think Tobias will take the gross margin question. I will take the Evo Electron One question into next year, so to say.

speaker
Tobias Hägglöf
CFO

Yeah. Hello, Robert. Good morning. And thanks for the question here. So if you look at the quarter here and in terms of the gross margin, the three factors here impacting is the lower revenues, negative FX impact, as I mentioned, of 90 basis points. And then a change market mix predominantly here related to the Ukraine installations, which also had a similar size of impact as the FX. So those were the three. I think also that what we see here, as previously mentioned, we start to see price increases. We have the cost reduction initiative in place. We are not happy here with the level that we are on in terms of the gross margin and we will drive it upwards moving ahead.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

One key factor that's moving ahead is of course the product launches. So we've been working on the pricing, we've been working on the productivity with the cost reduction program. But in order to have the higher price increases, you need to have new value to the customer. And that we do with the product releases. And then you see significantly price increases because what we do with our new product portfolio is really addressing the need that the healthcare systems have in radiotherapy. They need to treat many more patients with less staff. And with adaptive treatments and better imaging quality and AI enabled linear accelerators, we're addressing that need. And so with that also come higher price points, better profitability. And then I think it's also important to say that the software suite or the software part of Electa's product portfolio have a significantly higher gross margin and margin compared to the devices, so to say. So with additional software products and suites that we now can sell to also to an installed base, that will be a key profitability driver. And as previously said as well, our ambition is to get back to the pre-COVID gross margin levels. And a key factor of that is the product releases around Electa Evo and Electa Pro. one and Electa one planning. So that would be, as you say, key factors into the second half of this year, but also into next year.

speaker
Robert Davies
Analyst at Morgan Stanley

That's great. Maybe just one final follow-up. Just on your comments on China, quite a few of the capital equipment names have obviously kind of come out with quite cautious comments on China and the macro backdrop there. I'd just be kind of curious in terms of what's going on on the ground. How much of that China dynamic do you think is coming from sort of government-related stimulus? Where are we on sort of anti-corruption measures, kind of being a headwind to hospital procurement? Just give us a bit more color in terms of what's going on on the ground in China from your side.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Absolutely. I mean, being there, you really feel the pickup in public procurement activity. Then sometimes it's difficult to exactly link that to the stimulus packages. But what I do know is that the country needs a lot more cancer care and maybe especially radiotherapy. And I think that's special a bit with radiotherapy, because you need the treatment devices where you now have quite the well-built out radiology and imaging network that still needs to be strengthened. But you need to strengthen the therapy section even more, because in some parts of China, there could be less than one million patients. one linac per million of population. That needs to be solved to take care of an aging population. And I believe, and it is mentioned as well, that radiotherapy will be a big part of the stimulus packages and the public procurement activities. And as you know, Electa has a very strong position in China with clinical training, with software joint venture. with product development for Chinese needs. So we will continue to focus a lot on China and I look forward to continue to grow and also support China's healthcare systems with building out the cancer capacity with also our partners like Sinopharm throughout the country. And that is what I expect from especially the second half and going forward. Then it's difficult to say exactly how it will play out in Q3 versus Q4. But in the longer perspective, I still see that Electa has a very strong position to grow in China. Understood. Thank you. That's great. Thank you both.

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Thanks, Robert. Next question, please. Of course, the next question comes from Mattias Budsen and SAB. Please go ahead. Good morning, Mattias.

speaker
Mattias Budsen
Analyst at SAB

Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. First one is just to follow up. You said on a previous question that you're filling up the backlog in China. I think it would be helpful if you could provide a book-to-bill ratio for China here in the quarter to understand how to model ahead. And also, I think it's... quite notable that it's down only 1%. In my view, are we seeing a bottom here of 1% decline and that it should then grow ahead? Can you give any color or flavor on that? It would be helpful for us.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Yes, thank you, Mattias. Yes, so I think minus one in China right now in the last quarter on the revenue side, that's holding up quite well compared to many other players in the market. So, I mean, we're proud of that number. We're also happy to see a strong double digit growth on the order side in the quarter. The book to bill ratio is still below one. because we need it's an easy comparison on the order side and we did good installation on the revenue side but going forward we we should be driving a higher book to bill ratio and then installing more of the orders we now took in q4 and onwards So that's what I expect from book-to-bill ratios and the dynamics in China right now. And then I think we have a good opportunity on the software side in China, again, based on the JV with Ansheng.

speaker
Mattias Budsen
Analyst at SAB

I think that's very helpful. Thank you. And then, if I may, another question. If you could share some thoughts and flavor on how the service margins are developing and what we can see and expect there going forward.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Yes, of course. So if I start more on the revenue side and so on, and Tobias will fill in with color on the margin side, the installed base of Elekta is absolutely vital. We have a strong installed base globally. As I mentioned, it's been growing around 4%. And then our ambition is, of course, always to increase our service revenue with a higher number than the installed base growth. I think with new products, with more off-the-sales opportunities to the existing installed base with what we then send the IRIS upgrade, the imaging upgrade together with the Lecta One Suite enables us to drive even stronger service numbers going forward. I think also with our ambition to have this 300 million people around the world getting access to cancer care, that has resulted in more than 800 LINACs in those markets that will also generate service revenue going forward. So I think that's the key thing in the emerging market as well. You need to get to the service revenue growth. So that's the top line implications on what we are working on. Growth, but also more products to put on the installed base and also be part of the price increases on inflation and so on. Right now we have a bit higher cost on the gross margin side. And please, Tobias.

speaker
Tobias Hägglöf
CFO

No, I was saying that we had some higher material cost in a quarter within our service operations, and we're not fully satisfied with that, but we will improve this going forward.

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

Thanks. Thank you so much. Thanks, Mattias.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

Next question, please, operator. We continue with Christopher, Lilje, Burke, and Karthage. Please go ahead.

speaker
Mattias Budsen
Analyst at SAB

Good morning. Coming back to China first. Did you provide a figure also for the year-to-date order figure in China?

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

No.

speaker
Mattias Budsen
Analyst at SAB

Are you willing to share that?

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Let us take a look here. Yeah, so I'm just looking at my paper. So the half-year number you mean, that's a positive number as well. That's around what I can see, 8%. It's plus 8, yes. Plus 8. Yeah.

speaker
Mattias Budsen
Analyst at SAB

And you said strong double digits, or how you phrased it for the second quarter.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Yes, second quarter.

speaker
Mattias Budsen
Analyst at SAB

Yeah. And do you think you could... keep China's sales flat this year or even grow China's sales. Because I noticed last year China was actually up year over year despite the weak order intake for part of that year.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

I think that's a key book to build Quest in, Kristoffer. So I think what we were able to do last year was to deliver really well from the order backlog. And I think now we are refilling it, so to say, to be able to drive installation growth going forward as well. It's difficult to say exactly how it will pan out Q3 and Q4, and we're a bit cautious there. But of course, we'll do our utmost to install as much as possible of the orders we have been building now in Q1 and Q2 into say maybe especially Q4 and onwards. What that will equal in terms of revenue, we need to get back to that when we have after Q3 and after Q4, of course.

speaker
Mattias Budsen
Analyst at SAB

When you're guiding for the group mid-single digits, what's the assumption? Would that allow China to be down with a large figure in the third and fourth quarter?

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

I think we have the backlog to deliver still from revenue from China. And then we, as I mentioned, we fill it with new orders as well. So we will drive on that. And if you look back where we were when we put Outlook in place, I mean, we had different scenarios on China there as well. So we have been factoring in different China scenarios in that Outlook as well. And now what we have with the successful product launches is an opportunity to drive a lot globally then software growth with Electa One planning and of course Evo. So China, we will do whatever we can to install as much as possible and we see the positive signal on the order side in the quarter.

speaker
Mattias Budsen
Analyst at SAB

Some other questions. The Mexico order, what's the timing for deliveries there?

speaker
Tobias Hägglöf
CFO

So actually, if you recall, the total size of the Mexican order was 64 million US dollar. We took 38 in Q1 and then the majority of the rest was actually here in the second quarter.

speaker
Mattias Budsen
Analyst at SAB

And what about the deliveries?

speaker
Tobias Hägglöf
CFO

The deliveries will actually be spread out here over the next years. So they will have a spread out over the next two and a half years.

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

Seeing the first delivery series coming in December? Yes. As in a press release? Yes.

speaker
Mattias Budsen
Analyst at SAB

I thought majority of the deliveries would come end of this year and the first half of next year. Is that still... Or now it sounds maybe it's going to be more back-end loaded.

speaker
Tobias Hägglöf
CFO

It's still so, yes.

speaker
Mattias Budsen
Analyst at SAB

Okay, so this will, I don't know, is it going to be a meaningful contribution to sales in the third quarter or more so in Q4?

speaker
Tobias Hägglöf
CFO

you will have impact from this in q3 and you will have it in a time frame which you just mentioned yes we don't explicitly allocate this between the quarters but you will see impact here in in the next coming quarters yes okay good could you say anything about the expected timing of u.s ebo approval

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

I think it's the FDA process, so it's difficult to say exactly. I mean, we're very pleased to have submitted it just before ASTRO, and now we are waiting for the FDA process to have its way. So I cannot say. Often we refer to 90, 180 days, but I cannot say at the moment.

speaker
Mattias Budsen
Analyst at SAB

Okay, I understand. And my final question, if you could explain this, the reason for the large FX impact on the gross margin? What was driving that and how do you see that now for the rest of the year?

speaker
Tobias Hägglöf
CFO

Sure. No, but when you look at the currency development for Electa, you can on a high level say that we are long in US dollar, we are short in British pound. And actually here what you see is that the average here for US dollar as well as the cost on the British pound led to a negative gross margin impact in US. second quarter what you have seen now is actually a further strengthening of the US dollar which most likely will lead to a less negative impact on gross margin and let's see how the development goes here during the next quarters but that is the you have sort of a strength in both on the British pound as well as on the US dollar but the trend here is stronger for the US dollar so That is actually, if you look at the sequential trend right now, it's favorable on a gross margin level. But we had a negative impact in the second quarter of 90 basis points.

speaker
Mattias Budsen
Analyst at SAB

Okay, that's very helpful. Thank you very much.

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you. Thank you, Kristoffer.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

So we're ready for the next question, please. Absolutely. The next question comes from Jack Nguyen and Cedric, please go ahead.

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

Morning, Jo.

speaker
Jack Nguyen
Analyst

Hey, hello. Morning. Hey, thanks for taking my question. My first question is on the revenue topic. Could you perhaps elaborate on the decline in LATAM that you saw in this quarter? And could you comment on whether you expect this to last, this impact to last into the next quarter? And if not, then what gives you the confidence that you won't see further decline there? And then still on revenue, thinking about elected evils, orders turning into revenues in Europe, Would it be starting from Q3 or would it be more Q4-weighted?

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Thank you. Thank you. So if I start with Latin America, net sales question has impacted the region of America. So we saw that U.S. actually increased, but the main impact was Latin America that was negative in Q3. in the quarter. And often Latin America has a bit more volatile development between quarters and between years. So we'll see how it develops now in the third and fourth quarter. We also saw a bit slower numbers in Canada as well, but it was primarily Latin America. If we then look at the sales impact from Electa Evo, the positive thing is that we started already some installations in Europe, in I think Netherlands, Germany, Austria and a couple of other countries as well. So it's very positive that we already now in Q2 have some parts of the Electa Evo revenue, but more to come, of course, in already Q3 and Q4.

speaker
Jack Nguyen
Analyst

Thank you. And I just have a follow-up on the order side of things. So you have booked the majority of the remaining Mexican order in Q2. So that would work out to be around a mid-single-digit percentage point benefit to your order intake. So excluding that, the decline seems even more drastic. Outside the U.S., is there anything any other region that you would like to call out when it comes to softness in order growth?

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Sorry, please can you take that question again? Sorry, I didn't really get the question. You wanted us to take away the Mexican order from the order number.

speaker
Jack Nguyen
Analyst

Yes, so I suppose the Mexican benefits in your order number in the course would be around a mid-single-digit percentage point, just because you probably booked the majority of the remaining $26 million contracts. So outside of that, the decline looks even more drastic. Is there any particular region outside the U.S. that you would like to call out to explain the decline in the order intake?

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

We haven't called out any specific areas around that. I mean, the order... You mean the order in the quarter? That was more due to European tender process not being there. And that's the main reason for that. The orders didn't come in as maybe expected in the European side. So that's a bit delayed. So that's the main reason for it.

speaker
Tobias Hägglöf
CFO

And which may add to that, I mean, the European market is to a very large extent a tender market that can be worthwhile to also be notified in this context.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Then if you talk about the Latin American sales development, that's something different.

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you. Thank you, Jan. We'll go further to the next question. Please, operator. Of course.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

We have Julien Dormois with Jefferies. Please, go ahead.

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

Good morning, Johan.

speaker
Julien Dormois
Analyst at Jefferies

Hi, good morning, gentlemen. Thanks for taking my questions. I basically have three. So the first one relates to your guidance for the full year. You obviously refer to mid-single-digit growth at the group level. I was just curious whether you could help us better understand what would be the geographic trends and more specifically, is it fair to expect maybe mid-single-digit growth in America and APAC and maybe a more muted trend in Europe with maybe more like low single digits? So that would be the first question. Second question relates to the margin trends in the third quarter. So would you expect year-on-year improvements both for cross-margin and EBIT margin? Is that the first statement? And I'm, again, talking about year-on-year and not sequential. And the last question is very general about the prospect of potential tariffs hitting trades at the global level. Is there anything that you would flag out of the potential concern around those tariff announcements? Thank you.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

So I'll just take the question. So the revenue side, looking forward, where you see the growth coming from, the second one was more the margin development, gross EBIT, and the third one was tariffs and so on. Okay. Thank you for those questions. So on the revenue side, we see that we will drive growth in most of our countries and regions. We see, as we mentioned, that China a bit more back and loaded because we're filling up there. the margins, sorry, the backlog. We see Europe now been driving good volumes from, as I mentioned, Evo already now. And then on the US side and maybe Americas as well, then we need to go through the FDA approval process for Evo to get those installations going. But we can do Electa 1 and Electa 1 planning installations in all those markets. So that's a key product perspective growth coming. I also see Unity is an important driver going forward. We have a good tailwind now from the MRLINAC consortium meeting that I mentioned. We would like growth in that area as well. So that's more the product side, but I would say it's quite broad across the regions, but maybe with a highlight on Asia Pacific and the May, I would say, in the third and fourth quarter.

speaker
Tobias Hägglöf
CFO

Yeah, and then talking about the margin improvement here, we don't guide on gross margin, but we stick to the outlook here. And that you've seen that in our outlook, it's a mid-single digit revenue growth, a full year and an EBIT margin expansion. And of course this then also leads then consequently to a margin expansion in the second half. In this margin expansion it's more skewed than to Q4. So that's how you can think upon it.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

and then on the tariff sides i think it's a bit early to to say uh as many of you know we produce primarily in in uh crawley uh outside london our linear accelerators as well as in beijing so we have kind of uh two two main production sites for the linux side Gamma Knives, primarily Europe as well, as well as Brachytherapy. So I think we're quite well positioned to be able to drive volumes from Europe. And then we're also able now to produce all our product lines going forward in China. So that also gives us flexibility. So exactly what will happen with the terrorists, I think we need to come back to that. But we have been operating in that environment, what was it, seven, eight years ago, and I think we did that successfully. So we focus on what we can do in our supply chains, and then we'll see exactly how the terrorists will pan out.

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

Thanks, Chun-Yen. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

We'll move to the next question, operator. Next question is from David Andlington and JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

speaker
David Andlington
Analyst at JP Morgan

Good morning, David. Hey, guys. Thanks for the questions. Most have been asked already, but maybe just on tariffs. I know you just addressed it, but obviously your biggest competitor has most of their production in the U.S. Would you look at potentially opening some U.S. manufacturing if required and get tariffs brought in? And if so, how long would that take? And then secondly, just on unity, I just wondered if any updates on any progress on improvements in reimbursement, please.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

uh thank you david uh so i think we we have our manufacturing footprint with two main uh production sites uh for the linear accelerators that's the biggest volume business i i don't foresee that we will uh open up a production site of linear accelerators in in the us we produce the soft electronic brachy equipment actually in in the us And we have a lot of our software development in the U.S. as well. But I don't foresee that we will open up a U.S. Linac factory, so to say. Unity. Unity, yes. Unity and reimbursement. So I think... The key thing with Unity right now and what I experienced in the MR-Linak Consortium meeting in Singapore two weeks ago, one week ago, was that it's getting more and more what we call superiority studies. So studies that saying that MR-Linak is better than the standard of care. And that took a couple of years to develop because you need to follow those patients. So we're starting to get very strong superiority studies to go to the payers with to ask for the higher reimbursement. So that's one path. And we have a lot of those discussions around the world. And some countries have specific MR-LINAC adaptive codes, either from private insurers or public payers. So we'll continue to work with that and of course we focus a lot on the U.S. and in the U.S. it's absolutely vital to have these superiority studies to have the discussions with the payers. It's also very important that the number of patients per day or per year especially on the adaptive MR-Linux treatments and we're seeing that the patient loss is increasing a lot and also the throughput on the system Because our users have learned, we've worked with the software and so on. So now it's a very productive system in terms of patients per year because they do so much ultra-hyperfractionations, down to two fractions instead of 25. So it's amazing to see. And also that you can see that they can do totally different cases. And I would like to highlight actually glioblastomas, GBMs. an area that you would not treat in this way with a LINAC before because the tumor is moving around the brain. And then we showed, or our customer, Sunnybrook, showed a united study at Astro. That was one of the rewarded papers and abstracts in Astro showing that you can reduce the margins of healthy tissue around the tumor and improve the treatments dramatically. So I think we are at that stage now. We have a lot of clinical evidence. We have a lot of patients through the momentum study. We have more and more of these superiority studies coming out. So I think we have a good kind of tailwind in that aspect to have those important discussions with the reimbursement and payers.

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

uh to to go for higher codes for mr adaptive radiotherapy thanks uh thanks david for those questions we will move to the next question please operator the next question is from stan gustafson with abg please go ahead good morning good morning um a couple of follow-up questions here from my side um

speaker
Stan Gustafson
Analyst at ABG

I appreciate you gave the FX impact on the gross margin in the quarter. Could you also break out how much negative impact was related to this Ukraine installation? That would be the first one. And then coming back to the full year, Guidance, what are the key risks, as you see, for not achieving mid-single-digit growth? And of the various risk factors, how much of that is sort of out of your control, like FDA approval in the U.S., for example? So if you could highlight some of those factors, that would be appreciated. Thank you.

speaker
Tobias Hägglöf
CFO

Let's start with the first one. In terms of the Ukraine installation, if you look at the total market mix impact here, including the Ukraine installation, it's at the same size of order of impact as the currency impact over 90 basis points negative on the gross margin.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

OK, thank you. Thank you. And then on the risk side, Sted, I think I have to say geopolitical risk, of course, because it's impacting a lot and it's quite difficult to evaluate at the moment with the topics we discuss around, you know, supply chain tariffs and so on. But we focus on what we can control, and that's installing machines around the world and software and selling and so on. So that's absolutely the key. But of course, geopolitics. I think on the FDA side, it's the FDA process, so you need to wait and answer questions and so on. So it's difficult to say exactly how long, but I could say we don't have so much of that revenue into our America's numbers for the full year. It's primarily into the year after. So other risks than that, I wouldn't say anything specific. It's really about the geopolitical situation.

speaker
Stan Gustafson
Analyst at ABG

Okay, thank you. Very helpful. If I could squeeze in one last one, that would be great. You booked a bit of EVO revenue now in Q2. Can you split that revenue into upgrades and what's coming from new installations?

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

All of it was, I would say, new installations. We focused on that. We want to have new machines out in the field treating patients and have reference sites and so on. All of it was new machines. Upgrades will come, but we focused on new installations.

speaker
Stan Gustafson
Analyst at ABG

Okay. I would have thought that upgrades would be easier and drive growth faster, but...

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Yeah, that will come as well. But I think for us, it's important to install new Evo machines as well to our customers. To get early reference sites, that's important to show the technology to other clinicians around the world. Okay.

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you. Thank you. Thanks, Stian. So, operator, we are now ready for the next question.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

The next question comes from Falco Frederiks in Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead. Good morning, Falco.

speaker
Falco Frederiks
Analyst at Deutsche Bank

Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. The first one on the U.S., could you quantify the order intake and sales growth you have seen in the second quarter here? My second question on China, where do you think we stand with this anti-corruption campaign now? And how much longer do you expect this to linger around? And my last question is on the Elector Evo issue. What's your latest thinking on the timeline for the US FDA approval? Could you maybe even narrow this down to a specific quarter? Thank you.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Thank you. So we start with the US. We don't quantify specific orders, but on the revenue side, it was a slight growth. So I think that's what you saw in the US as a market within the Americas number. uh if you then go to china and anti-corruption i i think now it will be a bit of of the new normal they've introduced this process they will continue with it so i don't think you should expect a grand date where they stop the anti-corruption campaign it will just keep on going as part of the regular processes. I think that's what we learned from previous processes in FinTech or EdTech and so on. So that will be the new normal and for us we will operate in that new normal and we've seen successfully now in this quarter that we are growing strong double-digit order growth and we will continue to drive the installation. I think that's how we see it based on my experience from visiting them and talking to our local team. And I think we welcome that. So I think that's a positive. But what I'm also sure about is if you look at their latest five-year plan in the healthcare sector and the need for investments in medtech, but maybe especially radiotherapy, that would be a positive driver. as well as the stimulus packages that will go primarily to upgrading the installed base out in the hospitals. And in the installed base, Electa has a big strength because we have a big, big installed base of linear accelerators that has been there for quite a while, 5, 10, 15 years, that we now can have as part of the upgrading program that we have. On the Evo side, it's the FDA process, so I cannot, I think we need to have that process its path, and we cannot judge exactly when the timing will be for that approval.

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

Thanks, Falco, for that question. And when I'm looking here at my screen, I don't have any further questions. I don't know if you have a different view operator or if you have the same one as I have.

speaker
Operator
Conference Call Operator

That's correct. There are no more questions.

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

But before ending the call, I would like to hand over the word back to Gustav with some closing remarks.

speaker
Gustav Salford
CEO

Thank you, Peter, and thank you for everybody listening in and thank you for your question. And if I just give some concluding remarks, we have really initiated further actions to improve the profitability, our priority number one. So we will continue with price increases and it's visible in this quarter, but it's more to come. We will also continue working with our productivity measures with cost reduction programs, but also productivity throughout their processes. And of course, we will leverage our latest product launches, Selecta Evo and then Lecta One Planning. And it has been well received among our customers. And it is expected to have a positive impact on our profitable growth going forward. So a big thank you to all of you. Thanks.

speaker
Peter Nyqvist
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you. Thank you. Goodbye.

Disclaimer

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